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2025-10-30 18:30:19
[Powell's Hawkish Stance: Rate Cuts Pause Until Mid-2026] ⑴ A minutes released Wednesday by UniCredit Investment Institute indicated that with US inflation potentially rising, hiring rebounding, and economic activity remaining resilient, the Federal Reserve may postpone its next rate cut until mid-2026. ⑵ The institution noted that this week's rate cut statement was accompanied by "clearly tightening" guidance, and Chairman Powell reiterated that a December rate cut is "far from" a foregone conclusion, indicating a widening divergence in policymakers' interpretation of the outlook. ⑶ The model predicts only one more rate cut remaining, with the window falling in mid-2026, while also judging that Trump cannot exert a significant influence on monetary policy.
