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2026-04-06 06:21:14
[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%, and the probability of a rate cut this year has decreased to 11.9%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 1.8%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 1.5%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by December is 11.9% (39% last Friday), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 78.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 9.7%.
