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2026-04-06 09:29:30
[Huatai Securities: The impact of the Middle East conflict has exceeded the "temporary" shock, and the market needs to return to fundamentals and respect volatility] (1) Huatai Securities' research report points out that the duration of the current Middle East conflict and its impact on global supply and demand have exceeded the scope of a "temporary" shock, causing substantial disruptions to capital and supply flows in some areas. (2) Even if the situation improves later, the allocation strategy after April will be different from that during the spring rally. The US dollar and oil prices will be stronger than expected this year, and the global liquidity easing will be lower than expected, corresponding to a lower valuation upside. (3) The market may experience a psychological process from tracking news statements to returning to fundamentals, paying more attention to material shortages, supply chain and cash flow risks. Therefore, Huatai Securities believes that it is still necessary to maintain a certain respect for volatility.
