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2026-04-08 21:07:44
[Energy Markets Face a Fragile Breath of Breath] ⑴ A conditional ceasefire between the US and Iran has brought a glimmer of hope to the global energy market. Shipping of liquefied natural gas and crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz has resumed after weeks of disruption, and prices have fallen somewhat, but extreme volatility remains. ⑵ The fundamental conflict between the two sides remains unresolved. The US insists on zero enrichment and broader restrictions, while Iran seeks the lifting of all sanctions and strategic recognition. Military pressure remains visible, including the deployment of the USS Bush carrier strike group. Political constraints from Washington have also limited room for compromise. ⑶ This is a fragile pause shaped by economic pressure rather than diplomatic consensus. The market faces the risk of instability resurfacing at any time, and any breakdown in negotiations could quickly reverse the current easing of tensions.
