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2026-04-09 06:16:12
[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%, and the probability of a rate cut this year has decreased to 22.3%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a cumulative total of 25 basis points by June is 1.7%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of a cumulative total of 25 basis point rate hikes is 1.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a cumulative total of 25 basis points by December has decreased to 22.3% (from 40.8% the previous day), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 74% (from 42.4% the previous day), and the probability of a cumulative total of 25 basis point rate hikes has decreased to 3.7% (from 16.8% the previous day).
