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2026-04-09 16:57:56
[Commercial Bank: Dollar May Weaken if Trump Pressures for Rate Cuts Again] ⑴ In a report, Commerzbank FX analyst Antje Praefcke noted that the dollar may weaken if Trump calls for rate cuts again. ⑵ The oil price shock triggered by the Iran war should gradually transmit to the price level. Even after the war ends, energy prices may not return to pre-conflict levels due to the disruption of trade routes and production facilities. ⑶ However, Trump may again pressure the Federal Reserve to cut rates in order to boost his approval ratings before the midterm elections. ⑷ If Trump turns his attention back to this front and the conflict with the Federal Reserve reignites, the dollar may come under pressure accordingly.
