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2026-07-15 06:10:11
[The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is 15.5%, and the probability of a rate hike this year has decreased to 79.1%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 15.5%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 42.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 50%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 7.8%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 20.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 42.9%, and the probability of at least a 50 basis point rate hike is 36.2%.
