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2026-09-18 19:02:09
[Next Week's Focus: Interest Rates, Middle East Tensions, and Calls for a Slowdown in AI Development] ⑴ US stock market investors will be watching interest rate trends, Middle East tensions, and renewed calls for a slowdown in artificial intelligence development next week to assess whether stock indices can reach new highs. ⑵ The market will continue to digest the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to raise interest rates for the first time in three years, a move aimed at curbing inflation above target levels. Although the rate hike was widely expected, investors remain uncertain about how many times the Fed will ultimately raise rates and how this will affect already rising US Treasury yields. ⑶ In recent weeks, stock market movements have been influenced by rising US Treasury yields and soaring oil prices as the Middle East conflict escalates. ⑷ A chief market strategist stated that a 5% yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond and oil prices reaching $100 per barrel constitute a psychological watershed. ⑸ The strategist said that below these levels, market participants can breathe a sigh of relief and become more actively involved, while above these levels, as has happened in the past four or five weeks, the market finds these headwinds difficult to overcome. (6) On Thursday, as oil prices and yields fell and stocks rose, U.S. crude oil prices fell to about $101 a barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 4.93% at the end of the day.
