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2026-10-31 06:02:24
According to the latest data from CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in December is 28%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 72%. As of January next year, the probability of the Fed maintaining current interest rates is 19.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 58.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 22.3%. These probability figures reflect current market expectations for the Fed's future monetary policy direction, and these probabilities will dynamically adjust based on statements from Fed officials and the release of core US economic data (such as inflation and non-farm payrolls).
