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2026-02-16 09:25:20
【Short-term trading advice for US crude oil: Oscillating upward, buy on dips】 (1) Reasons for analysis: OPEC+ has released a signal of discussion on resuming some production in April, and the market's expectations for marginal easing of supply have risen, and the risk premium has fallen. At the same time, the latest US non-farm payroll data is solid, strengthening the expectation of "high interest rates for longer", and the US dollar index remains strong, which puts pressure on commodities priced in US dollars. In addition, the pace of global demand recovery is still moderate, and refinery operation and inventory changes have not yet formed a trend of destocking. Technically, the price is running below the short-term moving average, and the rebound momentum is limited. Under the background of the bearish fundamentals, it is more likely to consolidate weakly within the range. (2) Key focus: geopolitical situation, trade sentiment, inventory data, US dollar index (3) Resistance: 63.50, 64.00, 64.60 (4) Support: 62.50, 62.00, 61.60
