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2026-02-16 15:02:09
[Sweden's Long-Term Inflation Expectations Remain Stable at 2.1%, One-Year Expectations Slightly Decline to 1.4%] ⑴ A survey commissioned by the Swedish central bank showed that long-term inflation expectations among money market participants remained unchanged in February. The five-year CPIF inflation expectation is 2.1%, consistent with the January survey results. ⑵ The one-year CPIF inflation expectation fell slightly to 1.4% from 1.5% in January, deviating slightly from the central bank's 2% inflation target. ⑶ The Swedish central bank targets an annual CPIF inflation rate of 2%, and the five-year expectation is the indicator it closely monitors. ⑷ From a market perspective, the stability of long-term inflation expectations near the target provides support for the Swedish central bank to maintain its current monetary policy stance, while the decline in the one-year expectation reflects a slight easing of short-term price pressures. ⑸ Going forward, attention should be paid to the evolution of actual Swedish inflation data, particularly whether the core services and goods sub-categories align with market expectations, as this will determine the pace of future policy adjustments by the central bank.
