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2026-02-17 22:30:56
[The US dollar strengthened slightly as the market awaited guidance from key economic indicators] (1) The US dollar index rose slightly after the US President's Day holiday. Chicago Fed President Goolsby said in an interview with CNBC that tariff policies put upward pressure on inflation. Although he believes the impact is temporary, more time is needed to observe and confirm it. (2) According to CME Group interest rate futures pricing, the market currently expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged in March and April and is expected to start cutting rates in June. This week, the US will release a series of core data such as inflation, GDP and labor market data, and market sentiment is cautious. (3) DHF Capital analyst Bas Kooijman pointed out that the market is expected to be cautious before the data is released, especially the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE) and GDP data, which may recalibrate the market's expectations for the Fed's short-term monetary policy.
