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2026-02-19 15:22:03
Central Bank Indonesia (CBIB) anticipates improved domestic economic growth in the first quarter, driven by fiscal stimulus, monetary easing, and improved consumer expectations. The 2026 GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at +4.9% to +5.7%. The trade surplus is expected to continue in the first quarter. The balance of payments is expected to be manageable in 2026. The current account deficit for 2026 is estimated at 0.1% to 0.9% of GDP, also unchanged. Despite the negative impact of global market uncertainties, the CBIB continues its efforts to stabilize the Indonesian rupiah exchange rate. The rupiah is undervalued; its value is low compared to fundamental factors such as low inflation. The CBIB will continue to increase intervention efforts to stabilize the situation. Looking ahead, the rupiah exchange rate is expected to remain stable with a potential for appreciation.
