Strait of Hormuz negotiations: What do the new conditions proposed by the US and Iran signify?
2026-08-11 23:28:55
The US claims direct involvement in the negotiations; Iran, however, states it will only consult directly with Oman and proposes joint management of the strategic waterway by both countries. Before the US-Israel joint attack on Iran in late February, one-fifth of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas transported through this waterway. Prolonged obstruction of the route would directly impact energy supplies in many Asian and European countries, pushing up global inflationary pressures. On Monday, US President Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for US casualties caused by various conflicts and attacks over the past decades. Just last week, Iran initiated the demand, stating it would not reopen the strait until the US met a series of political and economic conditions. Analysts point out that only when the stalemate over navigation in the Strait of Hormuz is resolved can the two countries potentially restart comprehensive peace talks. Al Jazeera's Tehran correspondent, Toshid Asadi, stated, "The two sides' positions are diverging, and the possibility of a diplomatic reconciliation continues to decline." Although both the US and Iran have previously expressed a desire to sign a ceasefire agreement, the latest situation has further complicated negotiations between Iran and Oman regarding joint management of the strait. What does Trump's "compensation demands" include? Trump insists that Iran must be held responsible for the deaths and serious injuries caused by its actions. He told reporters at the White House, "We will demand that Iran compensate for all the damages caused over the past 50 years. Where there is damage, Iran should pay the bill." He then posted on his own social media platform, demanding that Iran pay compensation to the families of sailors killed in the 2000 attack on the USS Cole in Yemen. The attack was later confirmed to be carried out by al-Qaeda and had no connection to Iran; the incident resulted in the deaths of 17 US soldiers. In addition, Trump also demanded that Iran compensate the families of Iranian protesters killed in anti-government demonstrations in January of this year. He wrote in his post, "In this round of US-Iran negotiations, Iran must also bear the casualties and economic losses caused by its actions in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza." Trump's strong statement is a response to Iran's demand for compensation—Iran had previously demanded that the US and Israel compensate for all damage caused to its country by the war this year. The president's remarks, which escalate tensions, stand in stark contrast to Vice President Vance's comments last Saturday. Vance expressed optimism, stating he was confident of reaching an agreement with Iran that would be in the best interests of the American people. Vance also revealed that Iran had signaled to the US that it had no intention of imposing tolls on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a point of contention between the two sides. However, impacted by Trump's new claims, international crude oil prices surged by over 5% on Monday; the market rose again on Tuesday, with market expectations of a breakdown in negotiations continuing to cool. The sharp fluctuations in oil prices not only reflect market concerns about energy supply disruptions but also further amplify the political pressures of rising inflation and the cost of living in the US. Iran's Six New Negotiation Conditions Since the outbreak of the war, Iran has effectively blocked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran has made it clear that the resumption of the strait's navigation is contingent on the US fulfilling all six new demands, which will be officially announced by Iran's Supreme National Security Council on Saturday: The US must cease all threats and malicious rhetoric against Iran; permanently end all US and Israeli military strikes against Iran and its allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen, and Iraq; lift the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and withdraw all US troops stationed in the air and sea around Iran; compensate for the losses caused by the two "wars imposed on Iran," namely the current US-Israel-Iran conflict that broke out on February 28, and the US-Israel joint invasion of Iran on June 12, 2025; completely lift all US sanctions against Iran; and unconditionally unfreeze Iranian assets frozen overseas. These conditions not only cover an immediate ceasefire but also attempt to secure long-term security and economic compensation, demonstrating Iran's desire to transform the negotiations into a platform for systematically resolving historical grievances and post-war reconstruction issues. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi simultaneously revealed that Iran and Oman are discussing a new strait navigation management plan, delineating new shipping lanes, and that the negotiations are in their final stages, having made substantial progress. On Sunday, Aragh reiterated Iran's position: there are no direct talks between Iran and the US; communication is only conducted through third-party intermediaries. What does this situation mean for overall peace negotiations? Negar Motazawi, a senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, analyzed that the continued hardline stances of both the US and Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz have significantly reduced the likelihood of a diplomatic breakthrough in a broad peace agreement. Experts unanimously agree that without agreements on joint management of the strait and navigation, comprehensive ceasefire negotiations between the two countries cannot begin. Motazawi told Al Jazeera, "Both sides have presented their maximum demands before formal, in-depth negotiations, without yielding any bottom line." She added that the latest US position makes the negotiations even more difficult: "Trump's new claims go beyond the scope of a ceasefire in this war. If the US uses compensation for historical events such as decades-old protests and the USS Cole attack as a hard threshold for negotiations, rather than simply as leverage, Iran is unlikely to accept the relevant terms." Conversely, Tehran not only demands an immediate ceasefire but also hopes for long-term guarantees to prevent a future resurgence of conflict, while also demanding the lifting of the economic blockade and economic recovery after the war. Iran has repeatedly stated that it completely distrusts the US negotiating team—during the previous three rounds of bilateral consultations, the US launched military strikes against Iran simultaneously. Tehran-based political analyst Hossein Roywaran points out that the final outcome of the Strait of Hormuz standoff depends on a test of endurance between the two sides. He explained to Al Jazeera: "The core of the current game is 'sea blockade' versus 'maritime blockade,' and the key is which side will succumb to pressure and compromise first." "Currently, the US is under significant domestic pressure: soaring oil prices, high inflation, rising living costs, and strong public discontent with the war and its chain of negative consequences." "Iran is also bearing the costs of war, but there is a general consensus within its society that this conflict was imposed on Iran from the outside, that national self-defense is legitimate, and that the public understands the current sacrifices." Against this backdrop of asymmetrical internal and external pressure, if the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz cannot be resolved in the long term, it will not only hinder the comprehensive peace process but may also further push up global energy risk premiums, further narrowing the window for negotiations.
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