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Live Updates  >  Live Update Details

2026-04-08 17:42:45

[Japanese Refiners Rush to Ship US Oil, Diverting to Panama Canal; Time-Saving Over Volume] ⑴ Due to supply disruptions caused by the Iran-Iraq War, some Japanese refiners are seeking to expedite US crude oil deliveries by using smaller tankers that can pass through the Panama Canal instead of circumnavigating Africa. ⑵ Ship tracking data shows that three medium-sized tankers are scheduled to transport US oil to Japan from late April to May. Two have already passed through the Panama Canal into the Pacific Ocean, and the third is approaching the canal from the Caribbean. ⑶ US oil is typically transported to Japan via Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) capable of carrying 2 million barrels of crude oil. However, these tankers are too large to pass through the Panama Canal and must circumnavigate the southern tip of Africa, a journey that takes approximately 50 days. ⑷ The use of smaller tankers demonstrates the urgency some Japanese refiners are facing in securing supplies. While transit through the Panama Canal takes about 30 days, it only carries a fraction of the capacity of a VLCC. (5) From a psychological perspective, the market is shifting from "cost priority" to "time priority." Geopolitical supply risks are forcing refiners to accept higher unit transportation costs in exchange for faster delivery guarantees. (6) Currently, at least four very large crude carriers (VLCCs) are en route from the United States to Japan via Africa. The focus going forward is on whether this "dual-pathway" model can be sustained and whether the Panama Canal's capacity will become a new bottleneck.

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