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2026-05-26 19:45:40

【Analysis of the Impact of Expanding EU Airline Carbon Pricing】 (1) An analysis of an emissions reduction proposal shows that if the EU extends its carbon pricing mechanism to cover all flights departing from the EU, major European airlines will incur at least an additional €1.5 billion in costs annually. (2) Recent media reports indicate that the EU is revising its Emissions Trading System (ETS) to extend its scope to outbound flights. The aviation industry is already facing pressure from high kerosene prices, and this move may further increase operating costs and potentially exacerbate trade frictions between the US and Europe. (3) According to Transition Metrics, a carbon pricing consultancy, this move will have the greatest impact on flagship European airlines: by 2027, Lufthansa, IAG (the parent company of British Airways), and Air France-KLM will incur additional carbon costs of €1.8 billion, €1.7 billion, and €1.5 billion respectively, with total related expenditures for all three airlines exceeding €2 billion.

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