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2025-08-02 Saturday

2025-08-02

18:06:02

[Gansu Province issues orange alert for geological disaster meteorological risk] The Gansu Provincial Department of Natural Resources and the Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau jointly issued a geological disaster meteorological risk alert on August 2. It is expected that from 16:00 on August 2 to 16:00 on August 3, the risk of geological disasters such as collapse, landslide, and mud-rock flow in Lanzhou City (Honggu District, Yongdeng County, Gaolan County), Baiyin City (Baiyin District, Pingchuan District, Jingyuan County, Jingtai County), Lanzhou New District, and Wuwei City (Gulang County and Tianzhu County) in Gansu Province is high (orange alert); Gannan Prefecture (Hezuo City, Lintan County, Zhuoni County, Zhouqu County, Diebu County, Xiahe County), Lanzhou City (Chengguan District, Qilihe District, Xigu District, Anning District, Yuzhong County), Longnan City (Dangchang County, There is a high risk of geological disasters such as collapse, landslides, and mud-rock flows in the following areas: Li County, Dingxi City (Anding District, Tongwei County, Longxi County, Weiyuan County, Lintao County, Zhang County, and Min County), Tianshui City (Qinzhou District, Qin'an County, Gangu County, and Wushan County), Baiyin City (Huining County), Zhangye City (Ganzhou District, Sunan County, Linze County, and Gaotai County), Linxia Prefecture (Linxia City, Linxia County, Kangle County, Yongjing County, Guanghe County, Hezheng County, Dongxiang County, and Jishishan County), and Pingliang City (Jingning County). (Yellow alert) Please take precautions. (CCTV News)

2025-08-01 Friday

14:52:00

Gold Prices Under Pressure on Weekly Charts but Finding Temporary Support, Market Focus on Non-Farm Payroll Data: 1. Spot gold briefly touched the 3,300 mark on Friday but has since pared gains, fluctuating around 3,290. This week's cumulative decline remains at 1.2%, potentially marking its third consecutive weekly decline. The US dollar index briefly climbed to its highest level since May 29th, continuing to suppress the performance of dollar-denominated gold. Analysts point out that gold prices have fluctuated between $3,250 and $3,450 for nearly two months and are currently moving toward the lower end of this range, potentially facing a directional shift. 2. A mix of bullish and bearish policy factors: The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and downplayed expectations of a September rate cut, reinforcing the dollar's strength. However, trade tensions sparked by the US imposition of tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on various countries are providing safe-haven support for gold prices. Marex analysts suggest that if tariff negotiations falter and trade frictions escalate, this could reignite gold demand. 3. Non-Farm Payroll Data is a key short-term indicator: The market is closely watching the US non-farm payroll report, due to be released this evening, with an expected increase of 110,000 jobs in July. The data will affect the market's expectations of the Fed's policy path. If the data shows a significant cooling of the job market, it may ease the pressure of the US dollar on gold; conversely, strong data may accelerate the gold price to break through the lower end of the range.

10:43:00

Gold Prices Stable but Expected to End the Week Lower, Stronger US Dollar Suppresses Precious Metals' Performance. 1. Spot gold held steady at $3,287.86 per ounce in early trading on Friday, down 1.4% for the week and on track for its first weekly decline in three weeks. Market analysis shows that the US dollar index climbed to near a two-month high, dampening gold's appeal, while investors closely watched the upcoming US non-farm payroll data for new trading cues. 2. The US dollar index edged up 0.05%, extending its overnight gains. US President Trump signed an executive order Thursday evening, imposing tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on goods from dozens of trading partners. Among them, tariffs on Canadian goods were raised from 25% to 35%, while Mexico was granted a 90-day tariff exemption. This trade policy change boosted the US dollar, making dollar-denominated gold more expensive for overseas buyers. 3. Market sentiment was further dampened, with Asian stock markets generally lower. Investors worried that the new round of tariffs could escalate global trade tensions, but there was no significant safe-haven inflow into the gold market. At the same time, holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, fell slightly by 0.09%, reflecting a weakening of market demand for gold. 4. Market focus is now turning to the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which will be released in the evening of Beijing time. After the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged this week, labor market data will become a key indicator for determining the Fed's next policy direction. Traders said that strong employment data could further push up the dollar and increase downward pressure on gold; otherwise, it could provide short-term support for gold prices.

2025-07-31 Thursday

21:14:01

Why was the market indifferent to the unexpectedly strong data? ⑴ June PCE data was released, and the monthly increase met expectations, but the annual figure exceeded expectations. The core PCE annual rate also exceeded market consensus. This suggests that inflationary pressures persist and have not subsided as quickly as the market had hoped. ⑵ Initial unemployment claims unexpectedly fell, indicating that the labor market remains strong. Furthermore, the unexpected increase in employment costs in the second quarter further demonstrated the resilience of the labor market, which should have been a sign of cooling market sentiment. ⑶ Despite this, US stock index futures continued to rise, the US dollar strengthened, and gold and crude oil prices diverged. The market seemed unusually calm in the face of the unexpectedly strong inflation and employment data. ⑷ Following the data release, federal funds rate futures indicated a 61% probability that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged in September, virtually unchanged from before the data was released. Market expectations for a rate cut this year have not changed significantly, reflecting traders' unwavering confidence in the future policy direction. 5. Technology and communication services sectors led gains in pre-market trading, which may be related to the positive AI-related financial reports of certain companies, indicating that investors are chasing growth stories with greater certainty rather than simply being affected by fluctuations in macroeconomic data.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3363.16

73.24

(2.23%)

XAG

37.003

0.319

(0.87%)

CONC

67.26

-2.00

(-2.89%)

OILC

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USD

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1.3282

-0.0001

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7.1909

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