Sydney:12/24 22:26:56

Tokyo:12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

Singapore:12/24 22:26:56

Dubai:12/24 22:26:56

London:12/24 22:26:56

New York:12/24 22:26:56

2025-11-04 Tuesday

2025-11-04

2025-11-03 Monday

23:00:02

Mexico's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 49.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 49.50

Previous

23:00:02

The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 49.10 Forecast : 49.50

金银 石油
美元

Published Value 48.70

Previous

22:45:02

The final reading of the US SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 52.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 52.50

Previous

21:00:02

Brazil's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 46.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 48.20

Previous

17:30:02

The final reading of the UK's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 49.60 Forecast : 49.60

Published Value 49.70

Previous

17:00:02

The final reading of the Eurozone's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 50 Forecast : 50

Neutral

Published Value 50

Previous

16:55:02

The final reading of Germany's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 49.60 Forecast : 49.60

Neutral

Published Value 49.60

Previous

16:50:01

The final reading of France's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for October

Previous : 48.30 Forecast : 48.30

欧元 金银
美元

Published Value 48.80

Previous

15:30:28

[The Biggest Hidden Danger of the Gaza Ceasefire: How to Introduce International Security Forces to Maintain Order While Preventing Hamas or Israel from Withdrawing] 1. Trump's Gaza peace plan faces a new obstacle: how to introduce international security forces to maintain order while preventing Hamas or Israel from withdrawing from the process. 2. More problematic is whether any country is willing to send troops and take the risk if a third-party armed force is needed to combat Hamas militants attempting to consolidate power. Interviews with US, European, and Middle Eastern officials indicate that Hamas insists on playing a post-war role and still has the strength to undermine the ceasefire after two years of war. Since the ceasefire last month, its militants have emerged from the ruins, conducting partial executions of opponents, and the plan to stabilize Gaza is facing stagnation. 3. Any peacekeeping force could clash with Hamas, leading to an awkward situation. International Crisis Group expert Goun points out that no Arab or Muslim country wants to be labeled an "Israel proxy" by its people. After meeting with Egyptian intelligence officials last week, Hamas emphasized that it would only accept the deployment of international troops on its borders and would not allow confrontation with Hamas. 4. Some Arab countries are willing to send personnel or funds for reconstruction, but none have committed to ground troops. Most countries prefer to start with border security and preventing arms smuggling. Egypt plans to lead a force, requiring the inclusion of US-trained Palestinian personnel. If Hamas refuses to disarm, should international forces confront it? The US and Israel insist Hamas has no future role, while Hamas responds with violence, including the killing of an Israeli soldier last Tuesday. The Trump administration is negotiating the framework for the force and UN authorization with allies. US officials say the process is undecided and the ceasefire remains in effect. Turkey and other countries have expressed interest, but Israel opposes Turkish participation. Egypt has proposed deploying 5,000 troops, plus 2,000-3,000 Palestinian personnel, under Egyptian command.

15:30:02

Switzerland's CPI annual rate in October

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.30%

美元
瑞郎 金银

Published Value 0.10%

Previous

15:14:06

[This Week's Preview: Focus on Bank of England and Australian Bank Decisions and Global PMI Data] 1. This week, the focus of financial markets will be on the interest rate decisions of the UK, Australia, Sweden, and Norway, while a flurry of global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data will also be released. 2. The US government shutdown continues to delay the release of key data such as the October jobs report. Investors are turning their attention to ADP employment changes, ISM and S&P Global PMIs, as well as the University of Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations to assess the economic pulse. 3. Several high-ranking Federal Reserve officials, including Williams, Musalaim, Cook, Daly, Bowman, Waller, Hammark, and Vice Chairman Jefferson, will speak intensively. The US Supreme Court will begin hearings on the legality of Trump's tariffs on Wednesday, with no ruling expected in the short term. 4. A survey shows that 53 economists expect the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.0% on Thursday, but stable inflation in September has paved the way for a rate cut in December. The monetary policy report and summary are highly anticipated, with only the final October PMI reading remaining for the UK. 5. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to keep its interest rate at 3.60% on Tuesday, as a surprise jump in core inflation in the third quarter has hampered short-term easing. Household spending and trade data will be released this week. 6. Swedish central bank governor Thünden hinted that interest rates will remain stable for an extended period, with the market widely expecting the policy rate to remain at 1.75% on Wednesday. The Norwegian central bank, despite easing inflation, is expected to maintain its rate at 4.0% and slow the pace of rate cuts. 7. The Eurozone is relatively quiet this week, with only final PMI readings, retail sales, German factory orders, and industrial production data released. ECB President Lagarde will speak on Tuesday.

14:21:42

[Gold Price Approaching Key Resistance Level; Breakout Could Open Upside Potential] 1. Technical analysis indicates that spot gold may once again challenge the key resistance level of $4037 per ounce. A successful breakout is expected to lead to a further rise towards the $4057-$4077 range. This potential move suggests that buying power remains active, and bulls are attempting to regain control. 2. Structurally, the rebound in gold prices from $3886 is not yet over and may currently be in the final wave of a five-wave structure. Guided by the upper trendline of an ascending wedge, the ongoing e-wave is expected to push prices towards the $4057-$4077 target area. This technical pattern suggests that the current rebound momentum continues, but caution is warranted regarding potential increased volatility at the end of the wedge pattern. 3. If gold prices fail to hold the current support, the key level below lies at $3986. A break below this level could trigger a pullback to the $3949-$3970 range. Traders should closely monitor the performance of this support area to assess the possibility of a short-term shift in market strength. 4. From a daily chart perspective, the correction in gold prices since $4381 has been constrained by two significant retracement sequences: one is a correction of the upward trend that started at $1810, and the other is a pullback to the rise from $3120. It's worth noting that after finding strong support near $3900, gold prices have now successfully broken through the $4004 level. This breakout suggests that this rebound may continue to extend towards higher targets, potentially challenging the $4084-$4199 range in the medium term.

13:11:49

[Euro Gets a Breather, but Overall Weakness Remains! Strong Dollar Suppresses Exchange Rate Rebound] 1. During Tuesday's Asian trading session, the EUR/USD exchange rate was largely flat, currently trading within a narrow range of 1.1521-39. The exchange rate previously tested and successfully held the key short-term support level of 1.1520, gaining temporary breathing room. However, the overall trend remains weak, with upward potential significantly limited. 2. The continued strength of the US dollar is the main factor suppressing the euro. Following the Fed's interest rate meeting, the dollar's momentum remains strong, with the dollar index continuing its upward trend and currently approaching the key resistance level near 100.25. Whether this level is breached or not will have a significant impact on the euro's short-term trend. 3. Increased policy divergence within the Fed has provided new support for the dollar. Signals from several officials have downplayed market expectations for a December rate cut, making dollar interest rates attractive in the short term, which continues to put pressure on the euro. 4. Market attention will turn to the Eurozone economic data to be released later today. The final reading of the EU's October HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) will be released on Monday. The survey forecast is 50.0, and the performance of this key level will directly affect the euro's exchange rate. From a technical perspective, the euro/dollar pair has support at 1.1520 and 1.1392, while on the upside, 1.1670 and 1.1918 constitute significant resistance. Although the exchange rate has temporarily stabilized, given the continued strength of the US dollar, any rebound is likely to face significant resistance, and the overall weak trend is unlikely to change in the short term.

11:39:22

[Bank of England Expected to Hold Rates Steady This Week, Key Turning Point in Rate Cuts] 1. The Bank of England will hold its next policy meeting this Thursday, with the market widely expecting it to pause its rate cuts and maintain the current benchmark interest rate of 4%. If this expectation comes true, it will be the first time the Bank of England has slowed the pace of monetary policy easing since it began its rate-cutting cycle last year. However, due to recent weak inflation and wage data, some analysts are open to the possibility of an unexpected rate cut at this meeting. 2. Looking back at the last policy meeting in August, the Bank of England decided to cut rates by 25 basis points by a narrow 5-4 vote, highlighting significant disagreements within the Monetary Policy Committee. At that time, Governor Bailey publicly stated in September that the previous pace of "cutting rates every three months" had become "more uncertain," suggesting that future interest rate decisions would rely more on data performance rather than a predetermined path. 3. Recent economic data has introduced new uncertainties to the market. In September, UK inflation did not rise to 4% as the Bank of England had expected, while wage growth slowed further and the unemployment rate rose. These signals have reignited market expectations for a rate cut in November. Financial market pricing on Friday indicated that investors saw about a one-third probability of a 25 basis point rate cut on November 6th, while the probability of a rate cut before the end of the year rose to two-thirds. Goldman Sachs also changed its stance last week, predicting that the Bank of England would take action at this meeting. However, most opinions still lean towards the view that the Bank of England will choose to wait and see this week. A recent market survey shows that slightly more than half of the economists surveyed expect the central bank not to cut rates again before 2026. James Smith, an economist at ING Group in the Netherlands, predicts that this meeting will again result in a 5-4 split vote, but the result will be to keep rates unchanged. He emphasized that whether action will be taken in December remains unknown and will largely depend on the content of the budget announced by the Chancellor of the Exchequer on November 26th. Nomura Securities economist George Buckley also pointed out that "this is not an easy decision for the Monetary Policy Committee," and he expects a 5-4 vote to cut rates at this meeting. According to his analysis, Governor Bailey, the two deputy governors, and the two external members may jointly support easing policy. Regardless of the outcome, this meeting will serve as a crucial window into how the Bank of England balances slowing economic growth with easing inflationary pressures.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

4010.10

7.16

(0.18%)

XAG

48.200

-0.455

(-0.94%)

CONC

60.99

0.01

(0.02%)

OILC

64.80

0.16

(0.24%)

USD

99.847

0.142

(0.14%)

EURUSD

1.1521

-0.0015

(-0.13%)

GBPUSD

1.3139

-0.0008

(-0.06%)

USDCNH

7.1260

0.0051

(0.07%)