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Employment, inflation, and the legal system are intertwined, putting the Federal Reserve under pressure.

Employment, inflation, and the legal system are intertwined, putting the Federal Reserve under pressure.
Gold prices approached $4,200, while weak non-farm payroll data weighed on the dollar.

Gold prices approached $4,200, while weak non-farm payroll data weighed on the dollar.

 European Central Bank: Policy reforms are needed to keep pace with AI.

European Central Bank: Policy reforms are needed to keep pace with AI.

Top July 6th Financial Breakfast: Weakening bets on interest rate hikes push gold prices towards $4200; OPEC+ agrees to increase production in August; US oil hovers around the $68 mark, awaiting this week's US-Iran talks.

Top A chart showing support and resistance levels for 18 major forex pairs: USD + EUR/JPY + Commodity Currencies + Emerging Market Currencies (July 6, 2026)

A chart showing support and resistance levels for commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil & Gas, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, and Agricultural Commodities Futures (July 6, 2026)

Gold Trading Alert: Weak Non-Farm Payroll Data Triggers Bullish Frenzy; 2027 Target of $5,500 Imminent?

Non-farm payrolls triggered a major setback for the US dollar, marking its worst weekly performance in 12 weeks; the risk of yen intervention surged; and the political risk premium for the pound sterling receded.

OPEC's production recovery far exceeded expectations, but US crude oil barely closed flat for the week, with the market awaiting geopolitical signals during the "funeral week".

With a large number of workers withdrawing from the job market, the US job market harbors multiple hidden concerns.

Gold Market Outlook: Spot gold continues to rise after non-farm payroll data release.

A chart: The Baltic Dry Index rises to a two-week high, boosted by Cape of Good Hope shipping rates.

Employment, inflation, and the legal system are intertwined, putting the Federal Reserve under pressure.

Popular Markets

Latest News

Market Analysis

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank Current Rate Next Forecast Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points) Historical High Historical Low Latest CPI Rate Trend
Federal Reserve

3.5-3.75

2026-06-17

3.75

2026-07-29

-25

2025-10-30

20

1980-03-04

0-0.25

2008-12-27

 4.2
European Central Bank

2.4

2026-06-11

2.4

2026-07-23

25

2026-06-11

4.75

2000-10-05

0.00

2016-03-16

 2.8
Bank of Japan

1

2026-06-16

1

2026-07-31

25

2026-06-16

9.00

2008-10-31

-0.10

2016-01-29

 1.4
Bank of England

3.75

2026-04-30

待预测

2026-07-30

-25

2025-12-18

17

1979-11-15

0.1

2020-03-26

 2.8
Swiss National Bank

0

2026-06-18

待预测

2026-09-24

-25

2025-06-19

3.5

2000-02-03

-0.75

2015-01-15

 0.5
Reserve Bank of Australia

4.35

2026-05-05

4.35

2026-08-11

25

2026-05-05

17.00

1990-01-22

0.75

2019-10-01

 4.1
Bank of Canada

2.25

2026-06-10

2.25

2026-07-15

-25

2025-10-29

8.06

1995-02-23

0.25

2009-04-21

 3.2
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

2.25

2026-05-27

2.5

2026-07-08

-25

2025-11-26

8.25

2007-07-26

0.25

2020-03-16

 3.1

CFTC Positions

ETF Holdings

Commercial Positions
Non-Commercial Positions
Long Position

Today’s News

View More>

2026-07-06Monday

07:37:11

[Domestic shipbuilders secure new orders in the high-end offshore equipment market, covering FPSO, deep-water engineering vessels and supporting generator sets] (1) Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding has secured another order from SBM OFFSHORE for a Fast4Ward type floating production storage and offloading vessel (FPSO), bringing the total number of orders for this type of vessel to seven. (2) CIMC Raffles has signed a contract to build a new generation of deep-water multi-purpose engineering vessel, which can operate at a maximum water depth of 4,000 meters. (3) Shandong Luhai Equipment Group has successfully signed an order for 4+2 multi-purpose vessels, expanding its business to the fifth European market for the first time; at the same time, CSSC Shaanxi Diesel won a RMB 100 million supporting project from CNOOC, which will supply crude oil generator sets for the Panyu 10-6 platform.

07:36:33

On July 5 local time, Qatar Energy Company issued a statement saying that it has signed a mandate document with the Qatari Ministry of Commerce and Industry to cooperate in establishing and implementing a governance mechanism to allocate hydrocarbon-derived energy to industrial investment opportunities and to develop a new medium-sized industrial zone in Mesayed Industrial City.

07:28:09

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,200.00/ounce mark, last trading at $4,202.19/ounce, up 0.65% on the day; COMEX gold futures are last trading at $4,065.50/ounce, down 0.41% on the day.

Today’s Calendar

View More>

2026-07-06Monday

07:00

ChinaSteelHome's total inventory in cities across the country

Previous : 991.03

Forecast : --

Actual : 1005.98

08:30

Hong Kong, ChinaSPGI Releases PMI

Previous : 50.4

Forecast : --

Actual : --

09:00

AustraliaTD-MI Inflation Index Monthly Rate

Previous : -0.3

Forecast : --

Actual : --

Today’s Events

View More>

2026-07-06Monday

09:20

ChinaToday, the People's Bank of China has 900 billion yuan of outright reverse repos maturing, while simultaneously conducting 1 trillion yuan of outright reverse repos.

22:30

Canada The Bank of Canada released its Business Outlook Survey and Consumer Expectations Survey.

23:00

ItalyFederal Reserve Governor Waller, European Central Bank Executive Board member Schnabel, European Central Bank Governing Council member Winsch, and Swedish Central Bank Vice Governor Seim delivered speeches.

Popular Indicators

View More>

USAFederal Funds Rate Target Upper Limit

3.75%

3.75%

2026-06-18

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USASeasonally adjusted changes in non-farm payrolls

5.7Ten thousand

17.2Ten thousand

2026-07-02

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAunemployment rate

4.2%

4.3%

2026-07-02

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAInitial jobless claims

21.5Ten thousand

21.5Ten thousand

2026-07-02

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USACore PCE Price Index Annual Rate

3.4%

3.3%

2026-06-25

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAADP Employment Changes

9.8Ten thousand

12.2Ten thousand

2026-07-01

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAAPI Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-607.210,000 barrels

-76.510,000 barrels

2026-07-01

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAEIA Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-377.510,000 barrels

-608.810,000 barrels

2026-07-01

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time
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