A New Narrative for the US Dollar in the Era of High Oil Prices: Traders Shouldn't Miss Out!

Palm oil breaks 15-month high: B50 expectations and Middle East turmoil ignite fifth consecutive week of gains.

With the market closed for the holiday and four consecutive days of gains under control, will gold surge to 4800 or retrace to 4550 when it opens on Monday?

Top The US dollar bucked the trend and rose despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and a surprisingly strong non-farm payrolls report, but its safe-haven appeal is fading.

Top The CFTC Commitment of Traders report showed a slight increase in gold long positions, while bullish sentiment towards crude oil cooled.

Trump has requested a $1.5 trillion increase in the 2027 military budget, a record high in decades.

Historical Perspective: Will this oil shock trigger a global recession?

Will gold see a significant pullback next week? Strong non-farm payroll data coupled with new inflationary pressures.

Is the rebound from 4100 a bull trap for gold?

Non-farm payrolls surge by 178,000, triggering a rally in the US dollar and Japanese yen, pushing them close to the 160 mark and prompting Japan to sound intervention alarms.

Analysts comment on March non-farm payrolls: The Federal Reserve will focus on reducing inflation.

Non-farm payrolls surged by 178,000! February's negative growth was reversed in an instant, the US dollar index broke through the 100 mark in a flash, why did institutional and retail investors' views change so drastically?

A New Narrative for the US Dollar in the Era of High Oil Prices: Traders Shouldn't Miss Out!

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OILC 109.02

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USD 100.203

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EURUSD 1.1511

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Latest News

Gold

Forex

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The CFTC Commitment of Traders report showed a slight increase in gold long positions, while bullish sentiment towards crude oil cooled.

2026-04-04 08:28:01

Will gold see a significant pullback next week? Strong non-farm payroll data coupled with new inflationary pressures.

2026-04-03 21:59:20

Is the rebound from 4100 a bull trap for gold?

2026-04-03 21:54:58

World Gold Council: Global central banks made net purchases of 19 tons of gold in February, with emerging markets showing continued enthusiasm.

2026-04-03 13:20:02

Faced with Trump's threats, Iran has mobilized to strengthen its defenses, and the Strait of Hormuz may become the decisive battleground.

2026-04-03 12:28:52

With the March non-farm payroll data about to be released, the Federal Reserve is at a critical crossroads.

2026-04-03 11:32:02

Market Analysis

Tight supply coupled with a recovery in demand led to a sharp short-term rise in CBOT soybean oil prices.

2026-03-30 15:53:14

The shadow of USD/JPY intervention looms, and energy inflation exacerbates pressure on Japanese debt.

2026-03-27 18:30:29

Tin prices continue to fluctuate at high levels! Supply disruptions are the biggest variable.

2026-03-27 11:32:53

The rebound in copper prices has dampened demand, and the electrolytic copper market has shifted to a volatile pattern driven by supply and demand dynamics.

2026-03-26 17:19:24

The LNG supply gap extends through the global winter, prompting a new round of reassessment of the industry chain.

2026-03-26 16:15:03

Float glass prices fluctuated slightly; pay attention to whether inventory changes in the second quarter will support price increases.

2026-03-26 15:55:13

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank	Current Rate	Next Forecast	Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points)	Historical High	Historical Low	Latest CPI
Federal Reserve	3.5-3.75 2026-03-18	3.75 2026-04-29	-25 2024-12-19	20 1980-03-04	0-0.25 2008-12-27	2.4
European Central Bank	2.15 2026-03-19	2.4 2026-04-30	-25 2025-06-05	4.75 2000-10-05	0.00 2016-03-16	2.5
Bank of Japan	0.75 2026-03-19	1 2026-04-28	25 2025-12-29	9.00 2008-10-31	-0.10 2016-01-29	1.3
Bank of England	3.75 2026-03-19	3.75 2026-04-30	-25 2025-12-18	17 1979-11-15	0.1 2020-03-26	3
Swiss National Bank	0 2026-03-19	待预测 2026-06-18	-25 2025-06-19	3.5 2000-02-03	-0.75 2015-01-15	0.3
Reserve Bank of Australia	4.1 2026-03-17	4.35 2026-05-05	25 2026-03-17	17.00 1990-01-22	0.75 2019-10-01	3.6
Bank of Canada	2.25 2026-03-18	2.25 2026-04-29	-25 2025-10-29	8.06 1995-02-23	0.25 2009-04-21	1.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand	2.25 2026-02-18	2.25 2026-04-08	-25 2025-11-26	8.25 2007-07-26	0.25 2020-03-16	3.1

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The CFTC Commitment of Traders report showed a slight increase in gold long positions, while bullish sentiment towards crude oil cooled.

Will gold see a significant pullback next week? Strong non-farm payroll data coupled with new inflationary pressures.

Is the rebound from 4100 a bull trap for gold?

World Gold Council: Global central banks made net purchases of 19 tons of gold in February, with emerging markets showing continued enthusiasm.

Faced with Trump's threats, Iran has mobilized to strengthen its defenses, and the Strait of Hormuz may become the decisive battleground.

With the March non-farm payroll data about to be released, the Federal Reserve is at a critical crossroads.

Market Analysis

Tight supply coupled with a recovery in demand led to a sharp short-term rise in CBOT soybean oil prices.

The shadow of USD/JPY intervention looms, and energy inflation exacerbates pressure on Japanese debt.

Tin prices continue to fluctuate at high levels! Supply disruptions are the biggest variable.

The rebound in copper prices has dampened demand, and the electrolytic copper market has shifted to a volatile pattern driven by supply and demand dynamics.

The LNG supply gap extends through the global winter, prompting a new round of reassessment of the industry chain.

Float glass prices fluctuated slightly; pay attention to whether inventory changes in the second quarter will support price increases.

Central Bank Rates

CFTC Positions

ETF Holdings

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The United StatesUpper limit of the federal funds rate target

The United StatesChange in non - farm payrolls, seasonally adjusted

The United StatesUnemployment rate

The United StatesInitial jobless claims

The United StatesCore PCE Price Index Year-on-Year Rate

The United StatesADP Employment Change

The United StatesAPI crude oil inventory change

The United StatesEIA crude oil inventory change