While the immediate forecast for US second-quarter GDP appears robust, it also hints at a downside risk to the economy throughout the year.

The possibility of a precautionary rate hike exists, and Warsh may use this opportunity to demonstrate the Fed's independence to the market.

A summary of various viewpoints on the Federal Reserve's dilemma.

Top Kevin Warsh gave three reasons this week to postpone the Fed's interest rate hike.

Top A chart shows that shipping freight rates are generally weak, with the Baltic Dry Index falling to its lowest level in more than three weeks.

The sudden narrowing of the US trade deficit reveals a real risk hidden in capital goods imports.

Gold and silver prices fell as the risk of interest rate hikes suppressed safe-haven buying.

The US-Israel meeting plan for Oman has flaws; the geopolitical risk premium for crude oil has not been cleared.

The simultaneous drop in crude oil and soybean oil prices failed to shake demand fundamentals, while Malaysian palm oil is poised for a recovery during its pullback.

The probability of an interest rate hike has risen to 36%, but silver bulls are not most worried about interest rate decisions.

July 28th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs)

A “false period of security” has arrived: What are the gold, foreign exchange, and freight markets trading when negotiation signals are sounding?

While the immediate forecast for US second-quarter GDP appears robust, it also hints at a downside risk to the economy throughout the year.

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Gold

Forex

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Gold and silver prices fell as the risk of interest rate hikes suppressed safe-haven buying.

2026-07-28 21:48:06

The probability of an interest rate hike has risen to 36%, but silver bulls are not most worried about interest rate decisions.

2026-07-28 21:00:05

Falling oil prices eased inflation concerns, while silver continued its decline to near the lower edge of its trading range, awaiting stabilization.

2026-07-28 15:18:05

Institutional research report: Major Asian powers are supporting the $4,000 mark, and gold pricing power is gradually shifting eastward.

2026-07-28 13:16:05

Strategists predict gold prices will consolidate around $4,000 this summer, but are poised for another $1,000-plus rally in the next 6 to 9 months.

2026-07-28 12:12:05

Gold remained range-bound ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, awaiting a directional move.

2026-07-28 10:02:04

Market Analysis

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

2026-07-17 18:24:13

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

2026-06-12 01:51:16

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

2026-06-11 14:54:40

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

2026-05-29 20:07:58

Demand for artificial intelligence is driving up copper prices, while a surge in US imports exacerbates concerns about global supply shortages.

2026-05-28 14:48:57

The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds is under pressure at high levels, and a downward correction is highly probable.

2026-05-20 20:41:46

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank	Current Rate	Next Forecast	Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points)	Historical High	Historical Low	Latest CPI
Federal Reserve	3.5-3.75 2026-06-17	3.75 2026-07-29	-25 2025-10-30	20 1980-03-04	0-0.25 2008-12-27	3.5
European Central Bank	2.4 2026-07-23	待预测	25 2026-06-11	4.75 2000-10-05	0.00 2016-03-16	2.8
Bank of Japan	1 2026-06-16	1 2026-07-31	25 2026-06-16	9.00 2008-10-31	-0.10 2016-01-29	1.7
Bank of England	3.75 2026-04-30	3.75 2026-07-30	-25 2025-12-18	17 1979-11-15	0.1 2020-03-26	2.6
Swiss National Bank	0 2026-06-18	待预测 2026-09-24	-25 2025-06-19	3.5 2000-02-03	-0.75 2015-01-15	0.5
Reserve Bank of Australia	4.35 2026-05-05	4.35 2026-08-11	25 2026-05-05	17.00 1990-01-22	0.75 2019-10-01	4.1
Bank of Canada	2.25 2026-07-15	待预测	-25 2025-10-29	8.06 1995-02-23	0.25 2009-04-21	2.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand	2.5 2026-07-08	2.5 2026-09-02	+25 2026-07-08	8.25 2007-07-26	0.25 2020-03-16	4.1

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Gold and silver prices fell as the risk of interest rate hikes suppressed safe-haven buying.

The probability of an interest rate hike has risen to 36%, but silver bulls are not most worried about interest rate decisions.

Falling oil prices eased inflation concerns, while silver continued its decline to near the lower edge of its trading range, awaiting stabilization.

Institutional research report: Major Asian powers are supporting the $4,000 mark, and gold pricing power is gradually shifting eastward.

Strategists predict gold prices will consolidate around $4,000 this summer, but are poised for another $1,000-plus rally in the next 6 to 9 months.

Gold remained range-bound ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, awaiting a directional move.

Market Analysis

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

Demand for artificial intelligence is driving up copper prices, while a surge in US imports exacerbates concerns about global supply shortages.

The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds is under pressure at high levels, and a downward correction is highly probable.

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