Sydney:12/24 22:26:56

Tokyo:12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

Singapore:12/24 22:26:56

Dubai:12/24 22:26:56

London:12/24 22:26:56

New York:12/24 22:26:56

Top Funds increased their holdings at the fastest pace in four months; the shutdown of three major supply chains helped WTI crude oil rise 6.8% this week; the world is closely watching the limits of "last resort" exports!

Top Weekly Forex Market Review: US and Japan intervene in concert, causing the dollar to drop its biggest weekly loss this year, while yen bears are experiencing a massacre.

Crude oil net longs surged by 28,000 contracts, while natural gas short sellers reversed their positions, indicating that energy funds are playing their cards openly.

Warsh faces pressure to implement anti-inflationary policies as he heads the Federal Reserve, with multiple indicators showing inflation has fallen to its lowest level in recent years.

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

One chart: Large vessel freight rates surged, with the Baltic Dry Index achieving a monthly increase in July.


The Fed has abandoned the old mechanisms without establishing new rules, leaving its policy in a vacuum. The Warsh reforms await a long-term turnaround.

July 31st US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs)

It's not as simple as expectations of interest rate hikes; the yield curve is sending out another warning signal.

Gold Analysis: Short-term market logic shifts to policy expectation repricing and technical correction.

Popular Markets

Latest News

Market Analysis

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank Current Rate Next Forecast Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points) Historical High Historical Low Latest CPI Rate Trend
Federal Reserve

3.5-3.75

2026-07-29

待预测

2026-09-16

-25

2025-10-30

20

1980-03-04

0-0.25

2008-12-27

3.5
European Central Bank

2.4

2026-07-23

待预测

25

2026-06-11

4.75

2000-10-05

0.00

2016-03-16

2.9
Bank of Japan

1

2026-07-31

待预测

25

2026-06-16

9.00

2008-10-31

-0.10

2016-01-29

1.7
Bank of England

3.75

2026-07-30

待预测

-25

2025-12-18

17

1979-11-15

0.1

2020-03-26

2.6
Swiss National Bank

0

2026-06-18

待预测

2026-09-24

-25

2025-06-19

3.5

2000-02-03

-0.75

2015-01-15

0.5
Reserve Bank of Australia

4.35

2026-05-05

4.35

2026-08-11

25

2026-05-05

17.00

1990-01-22

0.75

2019-10-01

4
Bank of Canada

2.25

2026-07-15

待预测

-25

2025-10-29

8.06

1995-02-23

0.25

2009-04-21

2.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

2.5

2026-07-08

2.5

2026-09-02

+25

2026-07-08

8.25

2007-07-26

0.25

2020-03-16

4.1

CFTC Positions

ETF Holdings

Commercial Positions
Non-Commercial Positions
Long Position

Today’s News

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2026-08-02Sunday

16:52:51

[BYD July 2026 Production and Sales Report: Exports Exceed 180,000 Units, Cumulative Production and Sales Both Decline by Approximately 9%-10% Year-on-Year] (1) In July 2026, BYD exported 180,538 new energy vehicles. (2) The monthly production of new energy vehicles was 420,249 units, an increase compared to 317,892 units in the same period last year; the cumulative production for the year was 2,234,379 units, while the cumulative production for last year was 2,454,925 units, a cumulative year-on-year decrease of 8.98%. (3) The monthly sales were 419,211 units, higher than 344,296 units in the same period last year; the cumulative sales for the year were 2,227,722 units, a decrease of 10.54% compared to 2,490,250 units in the same period last year.

16:52:50

[Israeli Military Claims to Have Killed Two Hamas Militants] The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement on August 2, claiming that recent airstrikes in central and southern Gaza Strip killed two Hamas militants. The statement said that on August 1, IDF killed a commander of Hamas's Nuhba force in an airstrike in southern Gaza. The statement claimed that this individual had participated in the October 7, 2023 attack against Israel. On July 31, IDF also killed a commander of Hamas's Magazih camp in central Gaza. (Xinhua)

16:50:51

[OPEC+ Plans to Slightly Increase Production in September to Pave the Way for Actual Production Increases After Middle East Ceasefire] (1) Major OPEC+ oil-producing countries have agreed in principle to increase their collective daily oil production target by 188,000 barrels in September, aiming to complete the supply recovery process interrupted in 2023 and lay the foundation for actual production increases after the Middle East wars. (2) Although actual supply in the region is still constrained by geopolitical conflicts, the seven core member countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia have insisted on increasing nominal quotas before their monthly video conferences. Analysts point out that the current production increase is more symbolic, but once Persian Gulf supply is restored, Saudi Arabia can use its policy space to increase actual production and help replenish global depleted inventories. (3) The supply tensions caused by the current conflict are pushing up fuel prices and exacerbating inflation concerns. On the diplomatic front, Trump said that the United States has suspended new strikes after receiving signals from Iran and other countries working to reach an agreement. The eventual increase in OPEC+ supply is expected to reignite the oil surplus that briefly occurred during the US-Iran ceasefire last month, and some forecasters expect this situation to reappear later this year.

Today’s Calendar

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Today’s Events

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2026-08-02Sunday

23:54

AustriaOPEC+ oil-producing countries held their monthly meeting on oil policy.

Popular Indicators

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USAFederal Funds Rate Target Upper Limit

3.75%

3.75%

2026-07-30

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USASeasonally adjusted changes in non-farm payrolls

5.7Ten thousand

17.2Ten thousand

2026-07-02

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAunemployment rate

4.2%

4.3%

2026-07-02

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAInitial jobless claims

19.7Ten thousand

18.7Ten thousand

2026-07-30

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USACore PCE Price Index Annual Rate

3.3%

3.4%

2026-07-30

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAADP Employment Changes

9.8Ten thousand

12.2Ten thousand

2026-07-01

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAAPI Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-329.610,000 barrels

269.310,000 barrels

2026-07-29

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAEIA Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-716.710,000 barrels

20110,000 barrels

2026-07-29

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time