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Gold Trading Alert: Iranian Conflict Ignites Oil Price Inflation Storm! Gold Prices Plunge Around $5,000, Fed Decision Looms!

Gold Trading Alert: Iranian Conflict Ignites Oil Price Inflation Storm! Gold Prices Plunge Around $5,000, Fed Decision Looms!
The US dollar faces another test; will the pullback from its highs change its strong momentum?

The US dollar faces another test; will the pullback from its highs change its strong momentum?

 Gold faces a major test at the $5,000 mark as bulls and bears battle ahead of the Fed decision.

Gold faces a major test at the $5,000 mark as bulls and bears battle ahead of the Fed decision.

Top UBS moved its forecast for the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate hike forward to May from August; hawkish comments from Bullock boosted market expectations.

Top Fed Decision Preview: Iran War + Inflation Outburst, No Rate Cut Expected This Week, Focus on 4 Key Points

War shatters expectations of interest rate cuts! The Fed is cornered by oil prices: the probability of a rate hike now exceeds that of a rate cut.

The Federal Reserve faces a "stagflation crisis"! Oil supply disruptions completely rewrite expectations for interest rate cuts.

Escalating conflicts in the Middle East are driving up safe-haven demand, while the Federal Reserve maintains its interest rate expectations, leaving gold prices hovering around the $5,000 mark and facing a directional choice.

It's widely believed that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates this week, but the market is surprisingly betting on a rate hike?

Crude Oil Trading Alert: With the marginal impact of geopolitical conflicts waning and a surprise surge in US inventories, the risk of a short-term peak for WTI crude oil prices has increased as they approach $95.

The assassination of Iran's security secretary has sparked Iran's vow of "blood revenge," further escalating turmoil in the oil market.

March 18 Financial Breakfast: Gold prices hover around the $5,000 mark awaiting the Fed decision; Iran launches another attack on the UAE; supply concerns boost oil prices.

Gold Trading Alert: Iranian Conflict Ignites Oil Price Inflation Storm! Gold Prices Plunge Around $5,000, Fed Decision Looms!

Popular Markets

Latest News

Market Analysis

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank Current Rate Next Forecast Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points) Historical High Historical Low Latest CPI Rate Trend
Federal Reserve

3.5-3.75

2026-01-28

3.75

2026-03-18

-25

2024-12-19

20

1980-03-04

0-0.25

2008-12-27

 2.4
European Central Bank

2.15

2026-02-05

2.15

2026-03-19

-25

2025-06-05

4.75

2000-10-05

0.00

2016-03-16

 1.9
Bank of Japan

0.75

2026-01-23

0.75

2026-03-19

25

2024-07-31

9.00

2008-10-31

-0.10

2016-01-29

 1.5
Bank of England

3.75

2026-02-05

3.75

2026-03-19

-25

2025-12-18

17

1979-11-15

0.1

2020-03-26

 3
Swiss National Bank

0

2025-12-11

待预测

2026-03-19

-25

2025-06-19

3.5

2000-02-03

-0.75

2015-01-15

 0.1
Reserve Bank of Australia

4.1

2026-03-17

待预测

25

2026-03-17

17.00

1990-01-22

0.75

2019-10-01

 3.6
Bank of Canada

2.25

2026-01-28

2.25

2026-03-18

-25

2025-10-29

8.06

1995-02-23

0.25

2009-04-21

 1.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

2.25

2026-02-18

2.25

2026-04-08

-25

2025-11-26

8.25

2007-07-26

0.25

2020-03-16

 3.1

CFTC Positions

ETF Holdings

Commercial Positions
Non-Commercial Positions
Long Position

Today’s News

View More>

2026-03-18Wednesday

10:35:09

South Korean President's Special Envoy: The UAE has pledged to prioritize South Korean crude oil supplies, and will receive 18 million barrels of crude oil and naphtha from the UAE.

10:34:20

A chart showing the latest China Cotton Price Index (CC Index) data (March 18, 2026): The 3128B cotton price index was 16,897 yuan/ton (3128B is the benchmark for cotton futures delivery recognized by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange), up 76 yuan/ton, or 0.45%. The 2227B cotton price index was 15,423 yuan/ton, up 78 yuan/ton, or 0.51%, and the 2129B cotton price index was 17,235 yuan/ton, up 62 yuan/ton, or 0.36%. FX678's specially created chart provides a summary of the latest 30 trading days of the China Cotton Price Index (CC Index). (The China Cotton Price Index is published once per trading day, quoting prices in three denominations: 3128B, 2227B, and 2129B. The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) stipulates that the benchmark delivery commodity for cotton futures is domestic cotton of '3128B' grade. The spot market cotton transaction price needs to be converted to the price of 3128B cotton using a specific formula. For example, research reports will state the price of cotton from a certain origin, and then calculate its equivalent price in 3128B.)

10:31:19

The Nikkei 225 index closed the morning session at 54,898.44 points, up 2.23%.

Today’s Calendar

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2026-03-18Wednesday

01:00

The United States20-year Treasury bond auction - Total amount

Previous : 160

Forecast : --

Actual : 130

01:00

The United States20-year Treasury bond auction - High yield

Previous : 4.66

Forecast : --

Actual : 4.82

01:00

The United States20-year Treasury bond auction - bid-to-cover ratio

Previous : 2.36

Forecast : --

Actual : 2.76

Today’s Events

View More>

2026-03-18Wednesday

09:20

China26.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos are maturing today.

10:00

ChinaThe State Council Taiwan Affairs Office held a press conference.

21:45

CanadaThe Bank of Canada announced its interest rate decision.

Popular Indicators

View More>

The United StatesUpper limit of the federal funds rate target

3.75%

3.75%

2026-01-29

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesChange in non - farm payrolls, seasonally adjusted

-9.2Ten thousa

13Ten thousa

2026-03-06

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesUnemployment rate

4.4%

4.3%

2026-03-06

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesInitial jobless claims

21.3Ten thousa

21.3Ten thousa

2026-03-12

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesCore PCE Price Index Year-on-Year Rate

3.1%

3%

2026-03-13

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesADP Employment Change

6.3Ten thousa

2.2Ten thousa

2026-03-04

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesAPI crude oil inventory change

655.610,000 bar

-167.810,000 bar

2026-03-18

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

The United StatesEIA crude oil inventory change

382.410,000 bar

347.510,000 bar

2026-03-11

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time
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