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Top A fresh take on an old topic: Why does gold continue to fall despite ongoing geopolitical conflicts?

Top Rising inflation expectations in Europe are fueling anticipation of earlier action, with Amundi predicting consecutive interest rate hikes by the European Central Bank in June and July.

Outlook! Will soaring gasoline prices trigger another inflation storm? US May CPI may hit a three-year high.

The US dollar index is fluctuating at high levels: supported by both geopolitical risk aversion and expectations of interest rate hikes, awaiting a breakthrough in CPI.

Despite reports of a major breakthrough in uranium enrichment negotiations between the US and Iran, why are gold prices still stagnant?

Three negative factors weigh on the Australian dollar: geopolitical risk aversion, cautious sentiment regarding CPI, and fading expectations of domestic interest rate hikes.


Expectations of a European Central Bank rate hike supported the euro's rise, while soaring Japanese inflation failed to reverse the yen's decline, pushing the euro above the 185 yen level.

The contrasting inventory situations on both sides of the Atlantic: Cushing continues to reduce its inventory while ARA increases for three consecutive weeks. What signals does this crude oil price spread send?

The US May CPI is expected to rise to 4.2%, a two-year high, as concerns about energy shocks and the risk of inflation spreading intensify in the market.

US inflation may return to 4%, and the US dollar index will maintain strong fluctuations.

Popular Markets

Latest News

Market Analysis

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank Current Rate Next Forecast Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points) Historical High Historical Low Latest CPI Rate Trend
Federal Reserve

3.5-3.75

2026-04-29

3.75

2026-06-17

-25

2024-12-19

20

1980-03-04

0-0.25

2008-12-27

3.8
European Central Bank

2.15

2026-04-30

2.4

2026-06-11

-25

2025-06-05

4.75

2000-10-05

0.00

2016-03-16

3.2
Bank of Japan

0.75

2026-04-28

1

2026-06-16

25

2025-12-29

9.00

2008-10-31

-0.10

2016-01-29

1.4
Bank of England

3.75

2026-04-30

待预测

-25

2025-12-18

17

1979-11-15

0.1

2020-03-26

2.8
Swiss National Bank

0

2026-03-19

待预测

2026-06-18

-25

2025-06-19

3.5

2000-02-03

-0.75

2015-01-15

0.6
Reserve Bank of Australia

4.35

2026-05-05

待预测

25

2026-05-05

17.00

1990-01-22

0.75

2019-10-01

4.1
Bank of Canada

2.25

2026-04-29

2.25

2026-06-10

-25

2025-10-29

8.06

1995-02-23

0.25

2009-04-21

2.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

2.25

2026-05-27

待预测

-25

2025-11-26

8.25

2007-07-26

0.25

2020-03-16

3.1

CFTC Positions

ETF Holdings

Commercial Positions
Non-Commercial Positions
Long Position

Today’s News

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2026-06-10Wednesday

17:55:07

[Iraq Announces Official Selling Price for July Basra Medium Crude Oil: $1.80 Discount to Asia, $4.40 Discount to Europe] ⑴ Iraq's National Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) announced on Wednesday the official selling price for July Basra Medium crude oil: a $1.80 discount per barrel to the Oman/Dubai average for Asian customers. ⑵ A $5.40 premium per barrel to the ASCI benchmark for North and South American customers. A $4.40 discount per barrel to spot Brent crude for European customers. ⑶ From the regional pricing differences, the Asian and European markets received a significant discount, while the Americas market recorded a significant premium, reflecting the divergence in demand strength and competitive landscape across different markets.

17:54:56

[Czech Central Bank Committee Member Prochazka: 50/50 Probability of June Rate Hike or Hold, Any Rate Hike Not the Beginning of a New Cycle] ⑴ Czech Central Bank Committee member Jan Prochazka stated that next week's central bank meeting will face a debate between maintaining interest rates and raising them by 25 basis points, with a current 50/50 probability. Market pricing indicates a higher probability of a 25 basis point rate hike to 3.75% at the June 16 meeting, with the current main repo rate at 3.50%. ⑵ Prochazka pointed out that factors supporting a rate hike include a significant increase in wages, faster credit activity, and inflation in the service sector, which should peak above 3% in January next year. A rate hike can serve as a signal indicating the central bank's intention to control inflation. However, he stated that any rate hike would be a relatively quick and reversible operation, not the beginning of a new tightening cycle, and market bets of a maximum 100 basis point rate hike within a year seem unrealistic. ⑶ A weak economy is also an important consideration; the economy does not need such high interest rates. The June vote may be influenced by inflation expectations for early 2027. Regarding domestic fiscal policy, the potential for a rise followed by a decline in the deficit next year poses an inflation risk, but the overall situation is predictable. However, measures to reduce fuel prices and energy bills have obscured the inflation outlook. Uncertainty arising from the Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are also variables in policy decisions.

17:51:38

According to reports from finance ministry officials and the International Financial Review (IFR), Greece raised €3 billion by reissuing 10-year bonds maturing in June 2036, enough to meet 95% of its borrowing needs this year. The final pricing was 68 basis points higher than the intermediate swap level.

Today’s Calendar

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Today’s Events

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2026-06-10Wednesday

00:00

USAThe EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report.

21:45

CanadaThe Bank of Canada announced its interest rate decision.

22:30

CanadaBank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers held a press conference on monetary policy.

Popular Indicators

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USAFederal Funds Rate Target Upper Limit

3.75%

3.75%

2026-04-30

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USASeasonally adjusted changes in non-farm payrolls

17.2Ten thousand

11.5Ten thousand

2026-06-05

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAunemployment rate

4.3%

4.3%

2026-06-05

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAInitial jobless claims

22.5Ten thousand

21.5Ten thousand

2026-06-04

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USACore PCE Price Index Annual Rate

3.3%

3.2%

2026-05-28

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAADP Employment Changes

12.2Ten thousand

10.9Ten thousand

2026-06-03

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAAPI Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-911.910,000 barrels

-675.710,000 barrels

2026-06-10

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time

USAEIA Crude Oil Inventory Changes

-797.410,000 barrels

-332.710,000 barrels

2026-06-03

Latest Value

Previous

Release Time