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Middle East supply supports tight US oil product balance, oil price fundamentals in a tug-of-war

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Top Senator Warren has requested an explanation from the Commerce Department following minor adjustments to the PCE (Patent Product Estimation) methodology.

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After the Federal Reserve refused to provide an answer, the bond market repriced at yields above 5%.

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On the eve of the non-farm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve suddenly issued hawkish remarks! Why did gold and crude oil launch a joint counterattack?

Diplomatic news pressured oil prices, but the market revealed a different logic.

The euro broke out of its range against the dollar, with focus shifting to non-farm payrolls and the peace agreement.

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OILC 82.50

3.10 3.90%

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USD 99.940

0.264 0.27%

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Gold surges ahead of non-farm payrolls report: many superficial reasons, but the underlying logic is perplexing.

2026-08-06 21:28:09

On the eve of the non-farm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve suddenly issued hawkish remarks! Why did gold and crude oil launch a joint counterattack?

2026-08-06 20:12:57

After four consecutive days of price increases, what real information are revealed by technical indicators?

2026-08-06 15:14:56

The Fed's FIMA tool activation and sharp correction in US stocks have prompted senior analysts to significantly increase their gold holdings, but they predict it will be difficult to reach new highs this year.

2026-08-06 10:28:57

August 6th Financial Breakfast: Gold prices surged to a near two-month high as bets on interest rate hikes cooled and geopolitical easing expectations eased; the market remained cautiously optimistic, while US oil prices fluctuated around the $75 mark.

2026-08-06 07:00:52

The real and virtual game in the cross-strait negotiations: Gold prices face a test before a breakthrough.

2026-08-05 21:54:54

Market Analysis

Oil prices plummeted due to expectations of an agreement with Iran, the yen strengthened significantly, and the US chip sector experienced renewed volatility.

2026-08-03 19:56:55

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

2026-08-01 01:52:50

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

2026-07-17 18:24:13

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

2026-06-12 01:51:16

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

2026-06-11 14:54:40

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

2026-05-29 20:07:58

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank	Current Rate	Next Forecast	Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points)	Historical High	Historical Low	Latest CPI
Federal Reserve	3.5-3.75 2026-07-29	待预测 2026-09-16	-25 2025-10-30	20 1980-03-04	0-0.25 2008-12-27	3.5
European Central Bank	2.4 2026-07-23	待预测	25 2026-06-11	4.75 2000-10-05	0.00 2016-03-16	2.9
Bank of Japan	1 2026-07-31	待预测	25 2026-06-16	9.00 2008-10-31	-0.10 2016-01-29	1.7
Bank of England	3.75 2026-07-30	待预测	-25 2025-12-18	17 1979-11-15	0.1 2020-03-26	2.6
Swiss National Bank	0 2026-06-18	待预测 2026-09-24	-25 2025-06-19	3.5 2000-02-03	-0.75 2015-01-15	0.4
Reserve Bank of Australia	4.35 2026-05-05	4.35 2026-08-11	25 2026-05-05	17.00 1990-01-22	0.75 2019-10-01	4
Bank of Canada	2.25 2026-07-15	待预测 2026-09-02	-25 2025-10-29	8.06 1995-02-23	0.25 2009-04-21	2.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand	2.5 2026-07-08	2.5 2026-09-02	+25 2026-07-08	8.25 2007-07-26	0.25 2020-03-16	4.1

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Gold surges ahead of non-farm payrolls report: many superficial reasons, but the underlying logic is perplexing.

On the eve of the non-farm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve suddenly issued hawkish remarks! Why did gold and crude oil launch a joint counterattack?

After four consecutive days of price increases, what real information are revealed by technical indicators?

The Fed's FIMA tool activation and sharp correction in US stocks have prompted senior analysts to significantly increase their gold holdings, but they predict it will be difficult to reach new highs this year.

August 6th Financial Breakfast: Gold prices surged to a near two-month high as bets on interest rate hikes cooled and geopolitical easing expectations eased; the market remained cautiously optimistic, while US oil prices fluctuated around the $75 mark.

The real and virtual game in the cross-strait negotiations: Gold prices face a test before a breakthrough.

Market Analysis

Oil prices plummeted due to expectations of an agreement with Iran, the yen strengthened significantly, and the US chip sector experienced renewed volatility.

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

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