Non-Farm Payrolls Week Highlights: Labor Market Data Released in Quick Succession, Non-Farm Payrolls Set the Tone for Market Trends

The market is besieged by a triple storm: cracks in AI faith, attacks on Middle Eastern oil tankers, and the release of final salary data.

Behind the 600-point move: Why did USD/JPY only fall for one day?

Top Crude oil net longs surged by 28,000 contracts, while natural gas short sellers reversed their positions, indicating that energy funds are playing their cards openly.

Top Warsh faces pressure to implement anti-inflationary policies as he heads the Federal Reserve, with multiple indicators showing inflation has fallen to its lowest level in recent years.

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

One chart: Large vessel freight rates surged, with the Baltic Dry Index achieving a monthly increase in July.

The Fed has abandoned the old mechanisms without establishing new rules, leaving its policy in a vacuum. The Warsh reforms await a long-term turnaround.

July 31st US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs)

It's not as simple as expectations of interest rate hikes; the yield curve is sending out another warning signal.

Gold Analysis: Short-term market logic shifts to policy expectation repricing and technical correction.

Crude Oil Analysis: Supply Surplus May Return in Q4; How Much Risk Premium is Included in the Current $85 Price Level?

Non-Farm Payrolls Week Highlights: Labor Market Data Released in Quick Succession, Non-Farm Payrolls Set the Tone for Market Trends

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XAU 4046.42

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XAG 57.634

-1.331 -2.26%

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CONC 86.80

3.21 3.84%

Update Time ：05:57:47

OILC 90.19

3.00 3.44%

Update Time ：05:00:00

USD 99.788

-0.196 -0.20%

Update Time ：04:58:57

EURUSD 1.1537

-0.0002 -0.02%

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GBPUSD 1.3485

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USDCNH 6.7517

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Latest News

Gold

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Crude Oil

Crude oil net longs surged by 28,000 contracts, while natural gas short sellers reversed their positions, indicating that energy funds are playing their cards openly.

2026-08-01 09:24:51

Gold Analysis: Short-term market logic shifts to policy expectation repricing and technical correction.

2026-07-31 20:52:51

Europe's lifeline has dried up, and its nuclear power pillar has collapsed: the moment for a chain reaction in the euro, crude oil, and gold has arrived.

2026-07-31 17:48:51

Despite a multitude of positive factors, gold continues to weaken and is consolidating within a range, awaiting a breakout.

2026-07-31 17:44:51

Gold is nearing the upper limit of its trading range, awaiting a breakout?

2026-07-31 14:20:58

A rebounding US dollar is putting downward pressure on silver prices, which are expected to continue trading in a low-level range in the short term.

2026-07-31 14:04:53

Market Analysis

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

2026-08-01 01:52:50

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

2026-07-17 18:24:13

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

2026-06-12 01:51:16

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

2026-06-11 14:54:40

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

2026-05-29 20:07:58

Demand for artificial intelligence is driving up copper prices, while a surge in US imports exacerbates concerns about global supply shortages.

2026-05-28 14:48:57

Central Bank Rates

Central Bank	Current Rate	Next Forecast	Last (Non-zero) Change (Basis Points)	Historical High	Historical Low	Latest CPI
Federal Reserve	3.5-3.75 2026-07-29	待预测 2026-09-16	-25 2025-10-30	20 1980-03-04	0-0.25 2008-12-27	3.5
European Central Bank	2.4 2026-07-23	待预测	25 2026-06-11	4.75 2000-10-05	0.00 2016-03-16	2.9
Bank of Japan	1 2026-07-31	待预测	25 2026-06-16	9.00 2008-10-31	-0.10 2016-01-29	1.7
Bank of England	3.75 2026-07-30	待预测	-25 2025-12-18	17 1979-11-15	0.1 2020-03-26	2.6
Swiss National Bank	0 2026-06-18	待预测 2026-09-24	-25 2025-06-19	3.5 2000-02-03	-0.75 2015-01-15	0.5
Reserve Bank of Australia	4.35 2026-05-05	4.35 2026-08-11	25 2026-05-05	17.00 1990-01-22	0.75 2019-10-01	4
Bank of Canada	2.25 2026-07-15	待预测	-25 2025-10-29	8.06 1995-02-23	0.25 2009-04-21	2.8
Reserve Bank of New Zealand	2.5 2026-07-08	2.5 2026-09-02	+25 2026-07-08	8.25 2007-07-26	0.25 2020-03-16	4.1

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Crude oil net longs surged by 28,000 contracts, while natural gas short sellers reversed their positions, indicating that energy funds are playing their cards openly.

Gold Analysis: Short-term market logic shifts to policy expectation repricing and technical correction.

Europe's lifeline has dried up, and its nuclear power pillar has collapsed: the moment for a chain reaction in the euro, crude oil, and gold has arrived.

Despite a multitude of positive factors, gold continues to weaken and is consolidating within a range, awaiting a breakout.

Gold is nearing the upper limit of its trading range, awaiting a breakout?

A rebounding US dollar is putting downward pressure on silver prices, which are expected to continue trading in a low-level range in the short term.

Market Analysis

Federal Reserve dissenting officials interpret their stance on interest rate hikes: High inflation may become entrenched, and the risks of waiting out outweigh the risks of gradual rate hikes.

Iran confronts US military, destroying its aircraft; oil prices rise accordingly.

Eight common misconceptions about the Producer Price Index (PPI)

Escalating tensions in the Middle East fuel inflation concerns and risks of an economic slowdown, sending LME copper to a three-week low.

US Dollar Analysis: Ceasefire Agreement Progress and PCE Revision Unlikely to Change Dollar's Strong Baseline

Demand for artificial intelligence is driving up copper prices, while a surge in US imports exacerbates concerns about global supply shortages.

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USAFederal Funds Rate Target Upper Limit

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