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2026-07-14 Tuesday

2026-07-19

00:26:11

[The Fontainebleau forest fire in France has burned nearly 1,000 hectares] The French Civil Protection Department stated on the 13th that the burned area of the Fontainebleau forest fire has reached nearly 1,000 hectares. According to statistics, the Fontainebleau forest fire is one of the worst fires to occur in northern France since 2006. French President Macron stated that day that the Fontainebleau forest is experiencing an "exceptionally severe" fire, and the government has mobilized all available resources for rescue efforts. Earlier that day, French Interior Minister Nunes stated that the Fontainebleau forest fire is suspected to have been caused by human intervention. (CCTV News)

00:24:11

[German 2-Year Bond Yield Rises Over 7 Basis Points as Investors Focus on Trump's Latest Stance on the Strait of Hormuz] On Monday (July 13), in late European trading, the yield on the 10-year German government bond rose 4.3 basis points to 3.109%, trading within a range of 3.077%-3.112% throughout the day, trending upwards. It hit a daily low at 17:55 Beijing time before extending its gains. The yield on the 2-year German bond rose 7.5 basis points to 2.722%, trading within a range of 2.683%-2.723% during the day; the yield on the 30-year German bond rose 2.2 basis points to 3.626%. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year German bond yields fell 3.196 basis points to +38.240 basis points.

00:24:10

[Iran Declares Southern Strait of Hormuz "Unsafe"] The Iranian Embassy in the UK stated on social media on the 13th that the southern channel of the Strait of Hormuz is "unsafe, unreliable, and prone to accidents." The Iranian ambassador to the UK also serves as Iran's permanent representative to the International Maritime Organization (IMO). The embassy stated that to comply with the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, Iran has established a temporary maritime security corridor without technical or military obstacles, and has informed the IMO. However, "the United States is leading ships towards a dangerous parallel southern channel. This route is not only questionable in its legality but also unsafe, unreliable, and prone to accidents." The embassy added that US attacks on Iranian ports and other "military acts of aggression" have made the Strait of Hormuz a highly tense and high-risk area. Following the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding, the strait was divided into two channels: the northern channel controlled by Iran and the southern channel closer to Oman, with the US military providing navigational assistance in the southern channel. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy announced early on the 12th local time that the Strait of Hormuz would be closed immediately until further notice and the United States ceases its interference in the region, due to the insecurity caused by illegal interference by foreign forces. The U.S. Central Command posted on social media on the morning of the 12th, U.S. Eastern Time, that "passage through the Strait of Hormuz continues." Iran does not control the strait. (Xinhua)

00:18:12

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1610.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1609.89/oz, down 1.03% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1621.1/oz, down 0.48% on the day.

00:18:11

According to Iranian media: The Russian Energy Minister and the Iranian President held a meeting.

00:14:12

Iranian President Pezechzian: Iran and Russia do not accept unilateralism, nor do they accept imposing their will on other countries.

00:14:11

Russian Energy Minister: Just as the Islamic Republic of Iran has always withstood external pressure and bullying, Russia will never bow down to policies based on power.

00:12:10

[UBS Expects Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase Succession to Be the Focus of Earnings Reports] UBS analyst Erika Najarian stated that Goldman Sachs faces its biggest test this earnings season, as standing out among Wall Street's major banks will not be easy; meanwhile, investors are focusing on who might succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan Chase. Najarian said on Monday, "Goldman Sachs faces the biggest test, considering market expectations and investor positioning." She added that five of the six largest U.S. banks will release their results on Tuesday, "and standing out won't be easy, especially since I expect JPMorgan Chase's earnings call will largely revolve around the succession issue." Najarian is a UBS equity research analyst responsible for the large banks and consumer finance sectors. This week, a large number of U.S. banks with a combined market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion will release their earnings reports. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will release their results on Tuesday, while Morgan Stanley will release its on Wednesday. Compared to the typical three-day earnings release schedule for these industry leaders, this year's schedule is more concentrated.

00:10:11

[German 2-Year Bond Yield Rises Over 7 Basis Points as Investors Focus on Trump's Latest Stance on the Strait of Hormuz] On Monday (July 13), in late European trading, the yield on the 10-year German government bond rose 4.3 basis points to 3.109%, trading within a range of 3.077%-3.112% throughout the day, trending upwards. It hit a daily low at 17:55 Beijing time before extending its gains. The yield on the 2-year German bond rose 7.5 basis points to 2.722%, trading within a range of 2.683%-2.723% during the day; the yield on the 30-year German bond rose 2.2 basis points to 3.626%. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year German bond yields fell 3.196 basis points to +38.240 basis points.

00:06:10

[IMF Warns: Europe Faces "Explosive" Risks If Debt Problems Are Not Resolved] The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has stated that Europe's sovereign debt dynamics risk spiraling out of control if the region fails to effectively manage its public finances. Economists including Luc Eyraud, Mahika Gandhi, and Andrew Hodge wrote in a report released Monday that the piecemeal approach adopted by many countries has reached its limit as challenges such as an aging population, energy transition, and rearmament intensify.

00:04:12

Last week, U.S. strategic petroleum reserve crude oil inventories fell by about 3 million barrels to 316.5 million barrels, the lowest level since 1983.

00:04:10

[UK Joins EU Loan Program for Ukraine] British Prime Minister Keir Starmer signed an agreement on July 13th, announcing that the UK has joined the EU's loan program to aid Ukraine, aiming to strengthen cooperation between the UK and the EU in areas such as defense. On May 28th, the European Commission announced that it and Ukraine had formally approved the relevant agreement and memorandum of understanding for a €90 billion loan to Ukraine, with the first tranche of funds expected to be disbursed in June. (CCTV News)

2026-07-13 Monday

23:58:11

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 52,500.00 mark, currently trading at 52,497.11, down 0.27% on the day.

23:54:10

[US Military Claims First Combat Deployment of Maritime Unmanned Surface Vessels] The US Central Command said on the 13th that the US military deployed maritime unmanned surface vessels (USVs) to strike Iran on the 12th. This marks the first time the US military has deployed USVs in combat. The US Central Command stated on social media that day that the US military used multiple "one-way attack surface unmanned surface vessels" to successfully strike an Iranian submarine and ship repair facility. Three "Pirate" surface unmanned surface vessels struck the port of the Bandar Abbas naval base. The US military post included a 25-second video showing US surface unmanned vessels rushing towards Iranian targets, followed by a violent explosion. (Xinhua)

23:52:11

The Nasdaq index has just broken through the 26,000.00 mark, currently trading at 25,999.88, down 1.07% on the day.

23:52:10

[UK 2-Year Bond Yield Rises Over 13 Basis Points] In late European trading on Monday (July 13), the yield on 10-year UK government bonds rose 10.7 basis points, hitting a daily high of 4.979%, with the gains continuing to widen since 18:00 Beijing time. The yield on 2-year UK government bonds rose 13.4 basis points, hitting a daily high of 4.355%. The yield on 30-year UK government bonds rose 7.2 basis points, and the yield on 50-year UK government bonds rose 6.5 basis points. The spread between 2-year and 10-year UK government bond yields fell 2.732 basis points to +62.057 basis points.

23:50:12

British Prime Minister Starmer announced a trade agreement with Switzerland.

23:50:11

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: A strong and sufficient anti-ballistic missile capability is key to ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Its importance is no less than medium- or long-range strikes against the Russian economy or frontline operations. The more means Ukraine has to intercept Russian ballistic missiles, the greater the likelihood that Putin will sit down at the negotiating table—because his last resort in this war will be completely rendered ineffective.

23:48:14

[Institution: S&P 500 EPS Momentum Expected to Continue Strong Upward Trend] Despite high market expectations for S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) in the second quarter following an "explosive" first quarter, Bank of America Securities points out that there are currently "no signs of weakening earnings momentum." A team of strategists led by Savita Subramanian wrote in a research note on Monday that Bank of America expects second-quarter EPS of $85.50, a 28% year-over-year increase; and raised its 2026 EPS forecast from $335 to $345, representing a 26% year-over-year increase. Market consensus expects S&P 500 EPS to grow 22% year-over-year in the second quarter, following a 27% increase in the first quarter.

23:46:17

The STOXX Europe 600 index closed down 0.05% at 640.77 points. The STOXX Eurozone 50 index closed down 0.04% at 6267.47 points. The FTSE Eurotop 300 index closed down 0.10% at 2564.37 points.

23:46:15

[US 2-Year Treasury Yield Rises to Highest Level Since 2025 Amid Soaring Oil Prices] Short-term US Treasury yields rose to their highest level since early 2025 as renewed tensions with Iran pushed up oil prices, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to combat inflation. The rate-sensitive 2-year Treasury yield rose as much as 4 basis points to 4.25%, its highest level since February 2025; the 5-year yield also hit a similar high, at 4.35%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose 3 basis points to 4.60%, its highest level since May. Brent crude oil rose 5% after a new round of attacks between the US and Iran. The two sides gave conflicting statements regarding whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open. Bond market losses widened after US President Donald Trump said the US was "reinstating" its blockade of Iranian ships.

23:46:14

The U.S. Treasury auctioned three-month Treasury notes, with a winning bid of 3.760% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.84. It also auctioned six-month Treasury notes, with a winning bid of 3.860% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.11.

23:46:13

Bosch will begin commercial production in the United States in 2026.

23:46:12

[Britain Plans to Designate Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as an "Illegal Organization"] The British government announced on the 13th that it has submitted a draft bill to Parliament to designate three organizations, including Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as "illegal organizations." The British government said the draft bill will be reviewed by Parliament later this week. If approved by Parliament, supporting or assisting these organizations could result in a 14-year prison sentence; those instigated by these organizations to commit arson or other sabotage could face up to life imprisonment. The new regulations will also reduce the burden of proof for prosecutors. As of now, Iran has not responded to this proposal. (Xinhua)

23:46:11

SMALAN Oil: Production at the Atrush oil field is expected to recover to over 40,000 barrels per day soon. The Atrush oil field produces approximately 37,000 barrels of crude oil per day, and the Salsan oil field produces approximately 7,000 barrels of crude oil per day.

23:44:13

[Report: Dubai Plans New Port to Bypass Strait of Hormuz] The Financial Times, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that DP World plans to build a new port and container terminal on the east coast of the United Arab Emirates to reduce Dubai's reliance on Jebel Ali Port and bypass the Strait of Hormuz. The report states that the port operator is in talks to develop a multi-purpose port in the Fujairah coastal area and to build a new terminal within the emirate's existing port. DP World is consulting with government officials on a term sheet. The report notes that DP World declined to confirm any details of the east coast project but stated that it is "developing diversification plans to cope with the disruption."

23:44:11

Maersk: The WAF6 route will run between Salalah and the western Mediterranean.

23:44:10

Maersk: WAF6 service can now be implemented via the Red Sea route.

23:42:12

Market news: A security incident occurred near the U.S. Capitol.

23:40:17

According to Axios: A U.S. official said that the U.S. Central Command will announce the specific timeline for restarting the "blockade of Iran" operation later on Monday.

23:40:15

The German DAX 30 index closed up 22.95 points, or 0.09%, at 25,108.37 on Monday, July 13; the UK FTSE 100 index closed down 5.86 points, or 0.06%, at 10,491.43 on Monday, July 13; and the French CAC 40 index closed up 25.68 points, or 0.31%, at 8,364.65 on Monday, July 13; Europe The Stoxx 50 index closed down 1.51 points, or 0.02%, at 6268.46 on Monday, July 13; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed down 59.80 points, or 0.31%, at 19324.90 on Monday, July 13; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 188.33 points, or 0.36%, at 52802.50 on Monday, July 13.

23:40:14

[Apollo Warns of Dollar's Vulnerability During AI Correction] Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, stated that the recent dollar rally could be at risk if the sell-off in AI-related stocks intensifies further. Slok pointed out that international investors' active positioning in AI-themed stocks has driven a record net inflow of foreign capital into the US stock market over the past 12 months. However, most of these investors have not hedged their foreign exchange risks. "Therefore, if AI disappoints and causes a decline in capital inflows, it will pose a significant downside risk to the dollar." This means that the dollar actually "has a hidden dependence on AI trading." The AI boom and the subsequent record highs in the US stock market have attracted a large influx of overseas funds. Overseas investors need to convert their local currencies into dollars before buying US stocks, which provides significant support for the dollar. At the same time, compared to other major economies, US interest rates remain high, making the cost of purchasing dollar exchange rate hedging tools too high. Therefore, the dollar's performance is more susceptible to stock market fluctuations. He stated that if investors lose confidence in AI trading and begin selling stocks, the dollar could also decline.

23:36:10

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1620.00/oz mark, last trading at $1620.38/oz, down 0.38% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1630.9/oz, up 0.12% on the day.

23:35:13

US 3-Month Treasury Auction on July 13 - High Allocation Percentage

Previous : 93.49% Forecast : -

Published Value 8.47%

23:35:12

US 3-month Treasury auction on July 13 - Bid-to-cover ratio (USD billion)

Previous : 2.58 Forecast : -

Published Value 2.84

23:34:19

US 3-month Treasury auction on July 13 - winning bid rate

Previous : 3.74% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.76%

23:34:17

US 3-month Treasury auction on July 13 - Total amount (US$ billion)

Previous : 968.85 Forecast : -

Published Value 957.30

23:34:16

US 6-month Treasury auction on July 13 - High allocation percentage

Previous : 0.86% Forecast : -

Published Value 54.42%

23:34:15

US 6-month Treasury auction on July 13 - Bid-to-cover ratio (USD billion)

Previous : 3.05 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.11

23:34:13

US 6-month Treasury auction on July 13 - winning bid rate

Previous : 3.83% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.86%

23:34:11

US 6-month Treasury auction on July 13 - Total amount (US$ billion)

Previous : 831.95 Forecast : -

Published Value 822.03

23:24:16

Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Three members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps were killed in a US airstrike on Iran on Monday.

23:20:13

[Market Nearly Fully Priced in Expectations of a Fed Rate Hike Before September] Market pricing indicates that the expectation of at least one Fed rate hike before September has been almost fully priced in, and two rate hikes before the end of March next year have been fully priced in. This comes after Trump announced on social media that the US would reinstate sanctions against Iran and proposed imposing a 20% fee on any goods passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

23:20:12

EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Karas: There is no guarantee that the cap mechanism on Russian oil prices will continue.

23:16:11

[ING Strategists May Increase Bond Issuance in Euro Credit Market for US Companies] A report from ING Group indicates that US companies' issuance of euro-denominated credit products could reach a record high of €120 billion in 2026. They stated that the euro credit market offers a cost advantage compared to the dollar credit market, prompting companies to issue more bonds in the euro market. "We believe that an issuance scale of €120 billion will not put excessive pressure on the market, nor should it crowd out European issuers."

23:10:17

[28.04%! Chinese Team Breaks World Record for Perovskite-Organic Tandem Solar Cell Efficiency] The Institute of Chemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, announced that Academician Li Yongfang and Researcher Meng Lei's team have achieved a new breakthrough in perovskite-organic tandem solar power generation technology after years of research. Their certified steady-state photoelectric conversion efficiency reached 28.04%, breaking the world record for this type of device and taking a significant step towards practical application. The findings were published on July 13 in the international academic journal *Nature*. (CCTV News)

23:10:16

US June New York Fed's 1-year household income growth forecast

Previous : 2.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 3

23:10:14

US June New York Fed 1-year household spending growth forecast

Previous : 5 Forecast : -

Published Value 5

23:10:13

The average expectation in June for the New York Federal Reserve to be unable to repay its minimum debt in the next three months.

Previous : 12.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 10.80

23:08:17

US June New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations

Previous : 3.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.70

23:08:16

US June New York Fed 1-year gasoline inflation expectations

Previous : 5 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.50

23:08:14

US June New York Fed 1-year home price inflation expectations

Previous : 3.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.20

23:08:13

US June New York Fed 3-year inflation expectations

Previous : 3.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.30

23:08:11

US June New York Fed's 1-year gold price increase forecast

Previous : 5.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 5.20

23:02:12

The Nasdaq index has just broken through the 26,100.00 mark, currently trading at 26,102.19, down 0.68% on the day.

23:00:13

[Houthirs Accuse Saudi Arabia of Hijacking Airport in Yemen] SANAA – According to a report by Al-Masirah TV, controlled by the Houthi rebels, on the 13th, Saudi Arabia launched multiple airstrikes on the runway of Sana'a International Airport, the Houthi-controlled capital of Yemen. The report stated that an Iranian passenger plane carrying a Houthi delegation was en route from Tehran, Iran, to Sana'a when the airstrikes occurred. The plane eventually landed at Hodeidah Airport in northwestern Yemen, which is also controlled by the Houthis. The report stated that the passenger plane had previously carried a Houthi delegation to Iran to attend the funeral of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei. The Yemeni government had requested that the Houthi delegation return on a non-Iranian aircraft under government supervision. The Houthis rejected this request and warned Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni government not to intercept the flight. (Xinhua)

23:00:12

[Macron Announces Additional €36 Billion in Defense Spending] French President Emmanuel Macron announced today (July 13) that France will allocate an additional €36 billion (approximately RMB 278.3 billion) to defense spending between 2026 and 2030. The new investment will reportedly be primarily used to increase ammunition reserves, strengthen military readiness, enhance France's defense autonomy, and strengthen its nuclear deterrent capabilities. Macron also stated that France has fulfilled its commitment to increasing defense spending to 2.5% of GDP and reiterated its goal of doubling the 2017 defense budget by the end of his second presidential term. (CCTV International News)

23:00:11

Market news: The leaders of Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, and the United Kingdom have agreed to establish an integrated anti-missile alliance with Ukraine.

22:52:10

U.S. Central Command: Yesterday, Central Command forces successfully struck an Iranian submarine and ship maintenance facility using multiple one-way attack surface unmanned aerial vehicles (SASs). Three "Pirate" unmanned surface vessels struck the port of the Bandar Abbas naval base, marking the first time the U.S. military has used maritime drones in combat operations. Last night's strikes have weakened Iran's ability to continue attacking commercial shipping.

22:48:11

According to AXIOS: Sources say the United States has not yet discussed with regional allies the issue of securing passage fees in the Strait of Hormuz.

22:46:10

Trump: Recommended Graham's sister to serve as interim senator.

22:44:11

[Trump Urges Senate to Quickly Pass Clarity Act in Memory of Late Senator Lindsey Graham] On July 13, US President Trump stated that the US Senate should expedite the passage of the Clarity Act in memory of the late Senator Lindsey Graham. Trump claimed that Graham was a key supporter of the bill. Trump stated that the Clarity Act is crucial to the US's competitiveness in the digital asset field and warned that other countries are attempting to dominate this major financial transformation and the field of artificial intelligence, while the US currently remains in a leading position.

22:42:11

Before his visit to Norway, the German Foreign Minister stated that it is necessary to readjust the security, defense, and deterrence posture against Russia on NATO's eastern and northern flanks.

22:38:12

U.S. Treasury yields rose further after Trump announced the restoration of sanctions against Iran; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield touched a near two-month high of 4.6055% during the session, and was last up 2.24 basis points to 4.591%.

22:38:10

[Israeli Ambassador Says Israel Will Join Military Action if US Requests] The US and Iran are embroiled in renewed conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. In an interview broadcast on CBS on July 12, Israeli Ambassador to the US, Lighthizer, stated that Israel would "fight alongside the US" if the US called on it to rejoin military action against Iran—however, the US has not yet requested Israel's participation in attacks against Iran. #Israel says US has not yet requested Israeli military involvement in strikes against Iran. According to a previous report by CNN, citing Israeli sources, the Trump administration currently does not want Israel to intervene in military strikes against Iran, fearing it would lead to a loss of control. Sources said that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu "very much wants to join the US strike operation, but the US currently does not want Israel to intervene." (CCTV International News)

22:34:14

Hungary will use EU funds to double its bank capital.

22:32:12

Market news: The Iraqi prime minister has arrived in Washington to prepare for talks with U.S. officials.

22:30:10

Market pricing indicates that expectations for a European Central Bank rate hike have been revised upwards, with a 25 basis point increase now fully priced in before September.

22:28:11

The yield on German 2-year government bonds continued to rise, currently up 7 basis points to 2.72%, the highest level since June 11.

22:26:11

Mexican President Sinbaum: The increase in U.S. sugar imports from Mexico is "excellent".

22:26:10

[Trump: Immediate Resumption of Blockade Against Iran, 20% Fee on Cargo Shipments] US President Trump: The Strait of Hormuz is open, and will remain open with or without Iran. We will resume the “blockade against Iran” operation, so named because it only prevents Iranian ships or customers from entering or leaving. All other countries will use the strait fairly and openly. From now on, the United States will be known as the “Guardian of the Strait of Hormuz,” but as the guardian, and based on the principle of fairness, the United States will charge a 20% fee on all cargo shipments to compensate for all the costs required to provide security and guarantees for this turbulent region of the world. The relevant procedures and setup will begin immediately. Thank you for your attention!

22:19:10

U.S. Treasury Department: The United States has imposed sanctions on Cuba.

22:18:18

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $75.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $75.01/barrel, up 5.04% on the day.

22:18:17

Switzerland and the UK have reached a trade agreement, deepening post-Brexit economic and trade relations. The agreement further strengthens ties between the two largest non-EU economies in Western Europe. The two countries announced the conclusion of negotiations on Monday, more than three years after they began. Building on the financial services agreement signed in 2023, the agreement aims to facilitate cross-border business operations for companies in sectors such as finance, technology, pharmaceuticals, and legal services. British Business and Trade Secretary Peter Kehl and Swiss Federal President and Minister of Economic Affairs Guy Palmer jointly signed the agreement in Bern, emphasizing that enhanced data sharing and improved labor mobility will help attract investment from both countries. The UK stated that bilateral trade between the UK and Switzerland exceeded £50 billion (approximately $67 billion) last year, with about £30 billion coming from trade in goods. Under the agreement, improved market access and reduced administrative barriers are expected to increase bilateral trade in services by £5.2 billion annually in the long term.

22:18:16

Spot gold has just broken through the $4010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4008.77/ounce, down 2.70% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4019.50/ounce, down 2.29% on the day.

22:18:15

Shanghai fuel oil futures have just broken through the 3,300 yuan/ton mark, currently trading at 3,301 yuan/ton, up 2.17% on the day.

22:18:14

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,020.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,010.66/ounce, down 2.65% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,023.60/ounce, down 2.19% on the day.

22:18:12

US unleaded gasoline futures just touched the $3.0600/gallon mark, last trading at $3.0600/gallon, up 2.53% on the day; China INE crude oil futures just broke through the 480.0 yuan/barrel mark, last trading at 480.6 yuan/barrel, up 2.02% on the day; US unleaded gasoline futures just touched the $3.0500/gallon mark, last trading at $3.0500/gallon, up 2.19% on the day.

22:18:11

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 52,600.00 mark, currently trading at 52,582.03, down 0.10% on the day.

22:12:12

[Iranian Revolutionary Guard: We will humiliate the United States like never before] The Islamic Revolutionary Guard: Just as we downgraded the United States’ illusory goal to “reopening the Strait of Hormuz” at the beginning of its aggression, we will humiliate and frustrate them more than ever before in dealing with the United States’ new malicious actions, and will humiliate the United States like never before.

22:12:11

According to the Financial Times, the UK and Switzerland will ease visa restrictions as part of a services trade agreement.

22:10:11

Asset management firm Carmignac expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates at least once in the future, and possibly even twice.

22:10:10

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1610.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1609.98/oz, down 1.02% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1622.7/oz, down 0.39% on the day.

22:08:24

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,030.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,029.75/ounce, down 2.19% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,036.80/ounce, down 1.87% on the day.

22:08:23

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 52,700.00 mark, currently trading at 52,697.77, up 0.12% on the day.

22:06:15

Spot gold fell 2.01% on the day, closing at $4,037.23 per ounce; COMEX gold futures were last quoted at $4,045.90 per ounce, down 1.65% on the day.

22:06:14

Switzerland and the United Kingdom have concluded negotiations on strengthening their free trade agreement.

22:06:13

Sources familiar with the matter said that after Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz in response to US and Israeli strikes, cargo volume at Jebel Ali Port, the region's largest container port, plummeted by 90% to 95%, forcing port operators to find alternative shipping routes.

22:06:12

[Iran: Will Not Allow US Interference in Strait of Hormuz Management] According to Iranian media reports on the 13th, a spokesperson for the Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Hatem Anbia, stated that day that Iran will absolutely not allow the United States to interfere in the management of the Strait of Hormuz. The spokesperson said that the Iranian Armed Forces will strongly retaliate against the US military's unauthorized entry into designated waterways and interference with the passage of merchant ships and oil tankers. "The recent actions of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Islamic Republic of Iran Army are proof of this," the spokesperson said. (Xinhua)

22:06:10

Sinbaum: Mexico today filed a lawsuit against U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

22:04:13

[Brazil Plans to Open Uranium Mining to Private Capital, State-Owned Nuclear Energy Companies Must Hold at Least 20% Stake] ⑴ The Brazilian government is considering a major reform in the nuclear fuel sector. A draft regulation indicates plans to open uranium mining to private capital, allowing state-owned enterprises to partner with private companies to participate in the entire chain of exploration, mining, processing, and sales of uranium and other nuclear minerals. ⑵ According to the proposal, state-owned nuclear energy companies, which currently monopolize Brazil's nuclear fuel cycle, will be allowed to conduct open tenders for joint mineral exploration projects. However, they must retain at least 20% equity in each project to ensure the state's core control over strategic resources. ⑶ The plan is currently under review by the Presidential Office and the Ministry of Mining and Energy. Further adjustments are possible, and the final version will depend on the outcome of negotiations among the parties involved. ⑷ Brazil possesses the world's sixth-largest uranium reserves. Previously, this sector was exclusively controlled by state-owned capital. Opening it to private capital is expected to introduce new exploration technologies and funding, accelerating the commercial development of domestic uranium resources. (5) Global nuclear energy demand continues to rise against the backdrop of energy transition, and uranium prices have remained strong in recent years. Brazil's move may reshape the international nuclear fuel supply chain and attract global mining and energy capital to South American uranium assets. (6) If the draft is ultimately passed, Brazil will transform from a closed market for uranium mining to an open and cooperative market. This has positive implications for the diversification of global uranium supply. However, it is also necessary to pay attention to whether the regulatory framework can strike a balance between attracting investment and protecting national strategic interests.

22:04:12

Switzerland and the United Kingdom have concluded negotiations on strengthening their free trade agreement.

22:04:11

[Global Coffee Exports Continue to Shrink, Brazilian Arabica Suffers 15th Consecutive Month of Decline, Robusta Defies the Trend] ⑴ Global exports of green or raw coffee fell 4.1% year-on-year to 10.8 million bags (60 kg per bag) in May. The International Coffee Organization's monthly report indicates this is the fifth time in the first eight months of the 2025/26 coffee year that negative growth has occurred, with cumulative annual exports declining by 1.1% compared to the same period last year. ⑵ Among Arabica varieties, "Brazilian Natural Beans" were the biggest drag, with exports falling sharply by 17.2% to 2.73 million bags in May, marking the fifteenth consecutive month of negative growth and the longest decline on record. ⑶ Exports of "Colombian Beans," also belonging to the Arabica category, decreased by 1.7% to 980,000 bags in May, while "Other Beans" also declined by 2.8% to 2.75 million bags. The weakness across all three major Arabica sub-categories reflects continued pressure on demand for high-end coffee beans. (4) In stark contrast to the sluggish performance of Arabica, Robusta, primarily used in instant coffee blends, saw a 4.8% increase in exports in May, reaching 4.34 million bags. Brazil, the largest producer, saw its Robusta exports surge by 195.6% year-on-year to 610,000 bags, becoming the core engine of this growth. (5) The continued divergence in export trends between Arabica and Robusta suggests that downstream roasters and instant coffee producers are prioritizing the supply of lower-cost Robusta, while high-end Arabica faces pressure from a structural contraction in demand. (6) If the negative growth trend in Arabica exports continues in the coming months, it could have a profound impact on the price spread structure between different varieties of international coffee futures. The market needs to closely monitor the recovery of new-season Arabica production capacity in Brazil and further evolution of global consumer preferences.

22:02:13

The Bloomberg Commodity Index rose 0.638 points, or 0.50%, to 127.482.

22:02:11

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,040.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,039.78/ounce, down 1.95% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,047.40/ounce, down 1.61% on the day.

22:02:10

RIA Novosti: The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that a Russian drone struck two bulk carriers in a port in Ukraine's Odessa region.

22:00:11

The oil situation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed up US Treasury yields, causing gold and silver prices to decline. Details>

22:00:10

Russian President Vladimir Putin: We are studying a system for supplying oil products to Crimea, a system located in a place that would be extremely difficult for the enemy to reach.

21:56:10

[Strait Traffic Plummets by 80%, US-Iran Conflict Escalates, Oil Prices and Inflation Risks Repriced] ⑴ The US-Iran military conflict escalated significantly over the weekend. The US Central Command struck dozens of targets in Iran, including its first use of a unidirectional attack drone. Iran retaliated by claiming to have attacked a US base in Bahrain. The frequency and depth of the clashes have increased significantly. ⑵ Navigation in the Strait of Hormuz has deteriorated drastically. Iran has officially closed the strait. Data shows that normally about 100 ships pass through the strait daily, but only 21 ships passed over the weekend, with some reaching zero port entries. This has substantially disrupted the crude oil transport route. ⑶ Crude oil prices have risen accordingly, with both Brent and WTI crude increasing. US gasoline retail prices have risen by about 10 cents per gallon in the past week. If the strait closure continues, energy prices will climb further, directly increasing transportation costs and inflationary pressures. (4) The transmission mechanism of conflict to inflation expectations is strengthening. The Federal Reserve is already facing the challenge of persistent core inflation, and rising energy costs will exacerbate the pressure to raise interest rates. The market has already priced in at least one rate hike this year, with a probability of about 71% in September. If oil prices continue to rise, this probability will increase further. (5) The previous memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran has essentially broken down. The two sides have completely opposing positions on control of the Strait of Hormuz. The US insists that it is an international waterway, while Iran asserts its jurisdiction through military actions. In the short term, the diplomatic channel for a solution has narrowed. (6) The market is facing the dual pressure of continuously rising geopolitical risk premiums and expectations of monetary policy tightening. This week's US CPI data and the Federal Reserve Chairman's congressional testimony will determine the direction of asset prices. If inflation exceeds expectations and geopolitical tensions continue, risk assets will face greater pressure, while energy and safe-haven assets may receive further support.

21:54:12

[US Meat Processing Profits Show Dramatic Divergence: Beef Processors Lose $263 Per Head, Pork Processors Turn Profitable] ⑴ US meat processing companies are showing a significant divergence in profits. Beef processors continue to suffer deep losses, while pork processors have turned a profit, reflecting a misalignment between end-consumer demand and cost transmission mechanisms. ⑵ Institutional estimates show that on Monday, beef processors were projected to lose $263.60 per head, a slight improvement from the $337.25 loss on Friday, but still significantly higher than the $317.05 loss a week earlier, indicating continued pressure on beef processing. ⑶ Pork processors showed the opposite trend, with an estimated profit of $3.15 per head on Monday, a further improvement from the $0.65 profit on Friday, successfully reversing the $6.00 loss per head a week earlier. ⑷ This divergence in profit direction typically suggests differences in the supply and demand structure of the two meats—beef faces higher production costs and weaker end-consumer demand, while pork may benefit from improved exports or relatively resilient domestic consumption. (5) Processing profit trends have a leading indicator effect on meat futures prices. Continued losses may force beef processors to reduce operating rates or lower raw material procurement prices, thus transmitting pressure to the live cattle market; conversely, a positive turn in pork processing profits may support live hog prices and pork product prices. (6) Market participants should be wary that if beef processing profits remain in deep negative territory for an extended period, it could trigger capacity adjustments, thereby altering the overall supply pattern of the meat market. Marginal changes in processing profits in the coming weeks will be a crucial indicator for judging the direction of livestock product prices.

45

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4016.36	40.10 (1.01%)
XAG	55.884	0.395 (0.71%)
CONC	81.77	3.49 (4.46%)
OILC	88.08	3.22 (3.80%)
USD	100.759	0.039 (0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1438	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3455	-0.0022 (-0.17%)
USDCNH	6.7769	0.0044 (0.06%)

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