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2025-07-29 Tuesday

2025-08-02

16:20:33

Japan's Minister of Economic Revitalization Ryomasa Akazawa: We need to pay attention to the downside risks brought about by tariffs.

16:20:25

Japanese Minister of Economic Revitalization Ryomasa Akazawa: The impact of the remaining US tariff measures deserves attention.

16:20:19

Japan's Minister of Economic Revitalization Ryomasa Akazawa: The trade agreement has eased uncertainty to a certain extent.

16:19:36

Guangzhou's GDP grew 3.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025. (1) Data from the Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Statistics show that the city's GDP reached 1,508.099 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% at constant prices. (2) By industry, the added value of the primary industry was 11.234 billion yuan, a 4.2% increase; the added value of the secondary industry was 370.587 billion yuan, a 2.1% increase; and the added value of the tertiary industry was 1,126.278 billion yuan, a 4.3% increase.

16:16:53

[Markets Await the Federal Reserve's Decision, European and American Stock Markets Diverge] ⑴ US stock futures rose slightly on Tuesday, with S&P 500 and Dow futures up 0.1% and Nasdaq futures up 0.3%. Markets are focused on earnings reports from companies like Boeing and Spotify, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday. ⑵ European stocks rose broadly in early trading, with the Stoxx Europe 600 index up 0.4%. Philips surged 12% after raising its earnings guidance, while Stellantis' stock price fell 3% after it estimated a full-year tariff impact of €1.5 billion. ⑶ Asian stocks closed mixed, with the Nikkei 225 down 0.8%, the Hang Seng down 0.5%, the Shanghai Composite up 0.3%, and the South Korean Composite Index closing higher for the fifth consecutive day. ⑷ The US dollar index hit a one-month high, putting downward pressure on the euro. The US-EU trade agreement imposes 15% tariffs on the EU, while the UK-US agreement imposes 10%. ⑸ US Treasury yields fell slightly, with the two-year yield at 3.915%, the ten-year at 4.402%, and the thirty-year at 4.948%, respectively. The market expects the Fed to remain on hold at this meeting. 6. Spot gold rose slightly by 0.1% to $3,312.30 per ounce, while crude oil prices fluctuated only slightly.

16:16:12

[Global Markets: Overview of Economic Data and Policy Trends in Multiple Countries] ⑴ The yield on UK government bonds maturing in March 2028 rose to 3.95%. Royal Bank of Canada believes its relative valuation is attractive and expects strong demand at the auction that day. ⑵ Malaysia's consumer spending is expected to accelerate in 2026. BMI lowered its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 1.9% due to weaker-than-expected inflation in May. ⑷ After the EU and the US reached a trade agreement including 15% tariffs, the euro fell to a one-month low of 1.1553 against the dollar, while the pound rose to a near one-week high of 0.8652 against the euro. ⑸ Munich Re data shows that global natural disaster losses reached $131 billion in the first half of 2025, with the California wildfires leading the way at $53 billion. ⑹ Commerzbank noted that there is still room for a rebound in German government bonds, but supply concerns persist. The 10-year yield closed at 2.688% on Monday.

16:13:44

Spain's GDP growth accelerated in the second quarter, outperforming other Eurozone countries. (1) Preliminary data from the Spanish National Statistics Institute showed that GDP grew by 0.7% quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter, exceeding the 0.6% growth in the first quarter and the market expectation of 0.6%. Year-over-year growth was 2.8%, exceeding the expected 2.5%. (2) The service sector was the primary driver of quarterly growth, with significant growth in retail, accommodation, and transportation, and a rebound in construction and manufacturing, but agriculture contracted. (3) The unemployment rate fell to 10.29% during the same period, the lowest level since early 2008. (4) Spain's strong economic performance, primarily driven by a booming tourism industry, stands in stark contrast to weak growth in France, Germany, Italy, and the eurozone as a whole. The market expects zero GDP growth in the eurozone in the second quarter, with only 0.1% growth in France and Italy and a 0.1% contraction in Germany. (5) The Spanish government maintained its full-year growth forecast of 2.6%.

16:13:25

[Russian Federal Savings Bank's profit increased slightly in the second quarter, and high interest rates still constrained credit growth] ⑴ Russian Federal Savings Bank (Sberbank) announced on Tuesday that its net profit in the second quarter increased slightly to 422.9 billion rubles (about 5.19 billion US dollars), compared with 418.7 billion rubles in the same period last year. ⑵ The bank said that high interest rates continued to suppress the growth of consumer credit, but preferential mortgages and project financing pushed the total loan portfolio up 2.1% to 461 trillion rubles. ⑶ The Russian Central Bank cut interest rates by 200 basis points to 18% last Friday to stimulate the economy. However, the bank's semi-annual report showed that the proportion of corporate loans overdue for more than 90 days rose to 3.8%, and the overdue rate of retail loans rose to 5.3%.

16:12:12

[Overseas Chinese stock ETFs have seen significant inflows, with foreign investors optimistic about the revaluation of Chinese assets] ⑴ Since July, the five major overseas Chinese stock ETFs have seen a combined net inflow of US$2.753 billion, of which the MSCI China ETF-iShares has seen a 12.38% increase in size from the end of June to US$7.187 billion. ⑵ South Korean retail investors have accumulated US$5.764 billion in trading volume in Chinese stocks this year, with investment enthusiasm continuing to heat up. ⑶ Many foreign institutions believe that multiple positive factors will drive a new round of revaluation of Chinese assets.

16:11:45

【JP Morgan Chase gives UBTECH Robotics its first "overweight" rating with a target price of HK$135】 ⑴ JP Morgan Chase published a report stating that UBTECH Robotics (9880.HK) has a leading position in the robotics industry and has benefited from policy support, giving it its first "overweight" rating. ⑵ The report emphasizes that the company has well-known customers such as BYD, Zeekr, and Beijing Auto, is headquartered in Shenzhen and has a close relationship with BYD, and is expected to receive more policy support in the future. ⑶ JP Morgan Chase believes that humanoid robots are a disruptive industry with huge development potential in the next decade, and gives a target price of HK$135, corresponding to an 11x price-to-sales ratio in 2027.

16:11:07

The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.15%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.35%. Pharmaceutical stocks led the gains, with WuXi AppTec up about 11%, Cogen Pharmaceuticals up about 7%, and Junshengtai Pharmaceutical-B up about 6%.

16:10:56

Before the US stock market opened, most technology stocks rose, with Nvidia up more than 1% and Advanced Micro Devices up more than 1%. Some Chinese concept stocks also rose, with Li Auto up more than 4% and NIO up more than 1%.

16:10:36

From January to June 2025, 30,014 new foreign-invested enterprises were established nationwide, an increase of 11.7% year-on-year; actual foreign investment reached RMB 423.23 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 15.2%. By industry, actual foreign investment in manufacturing reached RMB 109.06 billion, while that in services reached RMB 305.87 billion. High-tech industries saw actual foreign investment of RMB 127.87 billion, with e-commerce services, chemical pharmaceuticals, aerospace and equipment, and medical instruments and equipment increasing by 127.1%, 53%, 36.2%, and 17.7%, respectively. By source, actual investment in China from the ASEAN region increased by 8.8%, while that from Switzerland, Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany, and South Korea increased by 68.6%, 59.1%, 37.6%, 6.3%, and 2.7%, respectively (including investment through free ports). (Ministry of Commerce)

16:10:05

The Nanjing Municipal Bureau of Statistics and the Nanjing Survey Team of the National Bureau of Statistics released data on Nanjing's economic performance in the first half of 2025. According to the unified GDP accounting results, the city's GDP in the first half of the year reached 917.918 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3% at constant prices. By industry, the added value of the primary industry was 10.620 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%; the added value of the secondary industry was 285.173 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%; and the added value of the tertiary industry was 622.125 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%.

16:09:39

[EQT Group and Canadian Pension Fund jointly acquire NEOGOV shares] EQT X Fund, a subsidiary of private equity investment company EQT Group, has reached an agreement with Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments) to acquire NEOGOV shares held by funds managed by Warburg Pincus and Carlyle Group.

16:09:23

Guosen Securities: The value of Small Commodity City's digital trade platform is highlighted, maintaining an "Outperform" rating. (1) A Guosen Securities research report indicates that the Chinagoods platform, under Small Commodity City, will have over 200,000 users by 2024, with a 72% increase in merchant private traffic activity and over 20% growth in orders from deep-dive users. (2) Continuous upgrades to the platform's AI model optimize foreign trade service scenarios, improve merchant operational efficiency, and drive the growth of emerging businesses. As a pilot for import trade innovation, the company is expected to benefit from this industry dividend. (3) Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.032 billion yuan, 6.408 billion yuan, and 7.832 billion yuan in 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE ratio of 28.5, 18, and 14.7 times, respectively. The "Outperform" rating is maintained.

16:08:31

[The US dollar index hit a one-month high, boosted by the trade agreement and economic resilience] ⑴ The US dollar rose to a one-month high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, with the DXY dollar index rising to 99.048, mainly driven by optimism about the trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to the agreement, the United States will impose a 15% tariff on the European Union. ⑵ MUFG Bank analysis pointed out that the market focus is shifting from trade uncertainty to the resilience of the US economy. Strong second-quarter earnings support the performance of US stocks, and "expectations of the end of American exceptionalism have not yet appeared." ⑶ Market participants are closing earlier short positions in the US dollar, reflecting a reassessment of the outlook for the US dollar.

16:07:48

Italy's preliminary non-EU trade balance for June

Previous : 52.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 53.91

16:06:36

[The PCB industry is booming, and high-end products are in short supply] ⑴The PCB industry's market prosperity has improved significantly compared with the same period last year, and there is strong demand for high-end products. Company executives revealed that BT substrate orders are full and prices have increased. ⑵Driven by hardware upgrades such as AI servers and high-speed switches, PCB categories such as high-layer boards and high-end HDI are in demand and prices are rising. However, due to technical barriers, there is a supply and demand gap for high-end products in the short term. ⑶Heading manufacturers such as Dongshan Precision and Shanghai Electric are tilting their new production capacity toward high-end PCB products. Zhongjing Electronics said that the new Zhuhai factory will continue to increase the proportion of high-end products.

16:06:18

Goldman Sachs recommends shorting USD/JPY to bet on a Fed policy shift. (1) Goldman Sachs' latest report recommends buying USD/JPY put options, believing the current spot level of 148.30 is attractive. It recommends buying a one-week option with a strike price of 146.50 at a cost of 21 basis points. (2) The bank anticipates the Federal Reserve may signal a September rate cut, and coupled with potentially weak non-farm payroll data, the US dollar may face downward pressure. If the Bank of Japan maintains its hawkish stance, it will exacerbate monetary policy divergence. (3) Goldman Sachs notes that the options market is only pricing in a 50 basis point volatility expectation and believes the market is over-pricing political risks in Japan, with a low probability of Sanae Takaichi being elected as the leader of the Liberal Democratic Party.

16:04:56

FTSE 100 Index Rises for Three Consecutive Days, Corporate Earnings Reports Diverge. ⑴ The UK's FTSE 100 Index rose slightly on Tuesday, extending its gains for the third consecutive trading day, primarily supported by strong corporate earnings reports. ⑵ AstraZeneca's second-quarter results beat expectations, driven by strong sales of its cancer drug. Its share price briefly rose 2%. Barclays Bank opened higher after announcing a £1 billion share buyback plan, but closed down 0.6% due to lower-than-expected overall revenue and weak US business. ⑶ Bakery chain Greggs saw 7% revenue growth in the first half of the year, despite unusually high temperatures impacting customer traffic. Investors remained cautious ahead of major central bank interest rate meetings this week.

16:04:36

The Swedish Central Bank faces a policy dilemma: a weak economy and high inflation coexist. (1) Sweden's GDP grew only slightly by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter, following a revised contraction of 0.3% in the first quarter, significantly below the Riksbank's forecast of 0.9% and market expectations of 0.3%. Year-on-year growth remained flat at 0.9%, also below the Riksbank's expectations. (2) June CPIF inflation rose by 2.8% year-on-year, significantly higher than the Riksbank's forecast of 2.4%, reinforcing market expectations of an unchanged interest rate at the August meeting. (3) Analysts believe that EUR/SEK is likely to continue its decline, with key support levels at 11.1271 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) and 11.0635 (50% retracement), with targets at 11.1150 and 11.0320.

16:03:44

Spain's retail sales surged 6.2% year-on-year in June, reaching a 3.5-year high. (1) Spain's retail sales grew 6.2% year-on-year in June 2025, the highest growth rate since January 2022 and accelerating from the 5% increase in May. (2) Non-food sales growth accelerated from 5.2% to 6.6%, while food sales growth rose from 4.1% to 5.4%. (3) After seasonal adjustment, retail sales rose 1.1% month-on-month in June, accelerating from the 0.2% increase in the previous month.

16:03:12

[DAX Index Rebounds 1% as Market Focus on Corporate Earnings and Federal Reserve Decision] ⑴ Germany's DAX 40 index rose 1% to 24,200 points on Tuesday, attempting to recoup Monday's losses. Investor focus shifted from concerns about slowing growth and imbalances in the US-China trade agreement to corporate earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. ⑵ In terms of individual stocks, German online pharmacy Redcare Pharmacy exceeded second-quarter operating profit expectations, and software provider TeamViewer reported strong earnings performance. ⑶ However, semiconductor supplier Süss MicroTec lowered its full-year profit forecast, and chipmaker Siltronic expressed caution about its outlook for 2025 due to the lack of a substantial recovery in demand.

16:01:54

The eurozone's forecast for the European Central Bank's three-year CPI in June

Previous : 2.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.40%

16:01:45

The eurozone's one-year CPI forecast for the European Central Bank in June

Previous : 2.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.60%

16:01:24

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Lead

Previous : -2625 Forecast : -

Published Value 6700

16:01:17

LME Daily Inventory Changes in the UK on July 29th - Tin

Previous : 80 Forecast : -

Published Value 35

16:01:11

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Copper

Previous : -1075 Forecast : -

Published Value 225

16:01:04

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Nickel

Previous : 114 Forecast : -

Published Value 876

16:00:57

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Zinc

Previous : -275 Forecast : -

Published Value -3350

16:00:49

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Primary aluminum

Previous : 3450 Forecast : -

Published Value 1825

16:00:40

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:35

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:32

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on July 29th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : -20 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:58:38

Polish Prime Minister Tusk: According to preliminary estimates, Poland may lose about 8 billion zlotys due to US tariffs. Both sides of the Atlantic will suffer significant losses, but a strict trade agreement is always better than a meaningless tariff war between allies.

15:57:20

USD/CAD rose for four consecutive days to break through 1.3750, with the Canadian dollar under pressure from weak oil prices and concerns about high tariffs Details>

15:55:18

[BlackRock: Australian government bonds may outperform US bonds] Craig Vardy, head of fixed income at BlackRock Australia, said that as the market continues to digest the fiscal risks affecting long-term government bonds, Australian government bonds may outperform US government bonds. Vardy said in a webinar on Tuesday that taking into account issuance and fiscal risks, the pricing of long-term US government bonds will include more term premiums, and the Reserve Bank of Australia may continue to cut interest rates. The fact that Australia's 10-year government bond yield is about 20 basis points lower than that of US government bonds may mark the lower limit of the spread. If the yield is about 10 basis points higher than that of US government bonds, "you may see some people restart this trade."

15:54:42

[Nomura CFO: We need to pay attention to the uncertainty of ultra-long-term Japanese government bonds] Nomura CFO Hiroyuki Moriuchi said that we need to pay close attention to the uncertainty surrounding the outlook for Japan's ultra-long-term government bonds, and it is necessary to flexibly manage risks. He said at a press conference after the release of the financial report that the surge in Japanese government bond volatility in April had a significant impact on Nomura's fixed income trading business, but in May and June the bond trading team has restored its ability to make money in the market while continuing to focus on risk management.

15:54:01

[Thai Military: Commanders of troops stationed at three locations along the Thai-Cambodian border agree to cease fire and halt troop movements] On July 29th local time, the Royal Thai Army issued a notice stating that commanders of troops stationed at three locations along the Thai-Cambodian border unanimously agreed to cease fire and prohibit troop movements pending the Thai-Cambodian Joint Border Committee meeting to be held on August 4, 2025. (CCTV News)

15:49:43

【Minutes of the Bank of Korea meeting: Most members believe that further rate cuts are necessary】 The minutes of the meeting released on Tuesday showed that the members of the Bank of Korea said at the policy meeting on July 10 that a rate cut was needed, and pointed out that the US-South Korea trade negotiations were a key consideration in determining the pace and timing of subsequent rate cuts. Although the Bank of Korea kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.50% at this meeting, most members hinted that they would cut interest rates again in the next three months, while warning that the US tariff policy brought "significant" economic uncertainty. One member said: "Especially due to the trade negotiations with the United States, the uncertainty about the future economic growth trajectory remains very high," and advocated that the central bank should maintain an accommodative policy stance to support weak economic growth. Another member echoed that "it is time to consider another rate cut," and another member said that "there is still a need to lower the benchmark interest rate." The members pointed out that the progress of the US-South Korea trade negotiations is a key factor in the future policy path. South Korean officials are currently striving to reach an agreement to reduce tariffs. South Korean Finance Minister Koo Yoon-chul said on Tuesday that he would seek to reach a mutually beneficial trade agreement when he met with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant this week. South Korea is working to avoid punitive tariffs from the United States as the tariff exemption deadline approaches on August 1.

15:49:19

The Netherlands has declared Israel's finance and national security ministers personae non gratae, the government said.

15:48:12

Trump: Britain should quickly incentivize drillers to exploit North Sea oil. US President Trump stated that North Sea oil is a treasure trove for Britain. However, the high taxes on it are incomprehensible. They've essentially told drillers and oil companies: We don't need you. Drilling companies should be quickly incentivized to exploit this vast treasure trove, bringing enormous wealth to Britain while also significantly reducing energy costs for the public.

15:43:54

The British pound rebounded against the euro as investors reduced their long euro bets. The British pound fell to a two-month low against the US dollar, but rose to a near one-week high against the euro, buoyed by the US-European trade deal. The dollar strengthened overall as concerns about a US recession eased, while the euro declined amid concerns that tariffs would harm the eurozone economy. Consequently, the pound rebounded against the euro. Chris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING, noted in a report that the pound's rise against the euro also stemmed from investors reducing their previous bets on a stronger euro.

15:43:01

ANZ Bank raises Vietnam's inflation forecast for 2025 from 2.8% to 3.2%

15:42:29

Spain's economy picks up slightly, while the eurozone as a whole slows. Spain's economic growth accelerated slightly in the three months ending in June, demonstrating the eurozone's resilience despite the slowdown pressures brought on by increased US tariffs. Spain's statistics institute said Tuesday that the eurozone's fourth-largest economy grew by 0.7% in the second quarter, faster than the 0.6% expansion in the first quarter. Spain was the fastest-growing advanced economy last year, and the International Monetary Fund expects it to continue to lead through 2025. Spain's strong performance will provide some support for the 20-nation eurozone as a whole. Eurozone economic data will be released on Wednesday, and economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect it to show a slight contraction compared to the previous quarter. The eurozone has already been hit by a contraction in Ireland, where many major US pharmaceutical companies have operations. In the second quarter, Ireland's economy was negatively impacted by the reversal of the "tariff rush" effect, which had driven rapid growth in the country in the first few months of the year. Looking ahead, Deutsche Bank calculates that the 15% base tariff on goods exported to the US could reduce overall EU economic growth by 0.5 percentage points.

15:40:04

ANZ Bank raises Vietnam's 2025 GDP growth forecast from 5.5% to 6.8%

15:39:44

Fitch: We do not expect the increase in EU tariffs to directly impact EU sovereign ratings, but it could exacerbate existing credit pressures.

15:36:14

With the continued rebound of the US dollar and the boom in technology stocks, will the gold price fall below 3,300? Details>

15:36:00

Indonesia, Malaysia agree to address trade barriers

15:33:39

Thailand's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister confirmed that tax negotiations are ongoing with the United States and that a final agreement is expected to be reached soon to resolve the impact of border tensions.

15:32:27

[Ministry of Foreign Affairs Responds to China-US Trade Talks in Sweden] Today, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun hosted a regular press conference. In response to questions about the China-US trade talks in Sweden, Guo Jiakun stated that the China-US trade talks in Sweden are still ongoing and you can stay tuned. (CCTV News)

15:31:12

Tesla: Today, the 1,000th Megapack energy storage system produced by Tesla's Shanghai Energy Storage Super Factory officially rolled off the production line and will be shipped to Europe. It took the Shanghai factory less than half a year to produce the first to the 1,000th unit.

15:30:35

Thailand's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister confirmed that tax negotiations are ongoing with the United States and that a final agreement is expected to be reached soon to resolve the impact of border tensions.

15:27:31

Iran's top military commander said in a phone call with Tajikistan's top military commander on Tuesday that Iran does not believe any promises from the United States or Israel and is fully prepared to respond to future aggression

15:27:13

Barclays' CEO said he hopes the situation in the Middle East will end soon, declining to say whether the bank is reviewing its exposure to Israel.

15:26:41

Sources said that after Microsoft suspended its services, Indian oil refiner Nayara turned to Indian information technology company Rediff for help.

15:22:12

[Foreign Media: Dutch Government Says It Has Imposed Travel Bans on Two Far-Right Israeli Ministers] According to Reuters and other media reports, the Dutch government announced on the 28th that it would summon the Israeli ambassador to the Netherlands to condemn the "unbearable and indisputable" situation in the Gaza Strip. The Dutch government has also imposed travel bans on two far-right Israeli ministers. Reports indicate that Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich will no longer be allowed to enter the Netherlands. The Netherlands accuses the two of repeatedly inciting violence against Palestinians and advocating for "ethnic cleansing" in the Gaza Strip.

15:20:41

Goldman Sachs says Trump's "mineral diplomacy" is the biggest risk in assessing the impact of copper tariffs] Goldman Sachs believes that the biggest risk to the impact of U.S. copper tariffs is that Trump may reach a deal to allow large amounts of tariff-free copper to flow into the United States. The United States plans to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports from Friday, but details remain scarce beyond information on this tariff rate. Goldman Sachs' base scenario is that a 50% tariff will be imposed on all copper products in the initial stage, but the bank's analysts also point out the risks posed by "mineral diplomacy" - that is, in order to protect overseas supply sources for U.S. manufacturing, the United States may reach an agreement through diplomatic means. "We believe that offtake agreements related to mineral diplomacy, or tariff exemptions for specific assets over which the United States believes it has sufficient control, pose an increasing risk to expectations of comprehensive tariffs," Goldman Sachs analysts Eoin Dinsmore and others wrote in the report.

15:20:07

Hungarian Economy Minister: Auto industry will be able to absorb reduced 15% tariff rate

15:19:29

Hungarian Economy Minister: US-EU framework trade agreement can reduce uncertainty

15:18:48

The Hungarian Ministry of Economy: The government has pledged to reduce the budget deficit to below 4% of GDP by 2026. The economy may be close to stagnation in the second quarter due to the drag of industry and agriculture.

15:16:36

[Pentagon: Lockheed Martin receives another $2 billion to produce interceptor missiles] The U.S. Department of Defense announced that the contract for the production of the THAAD anti-missile system has increased by $2 billion, bringing the total to over $10 billion. The work will be performed in several states. The announcement stated, "The contract is expected to be completed by December 1, 2029."

15:14:55

Barclays CFO: Barclays continues to build US dollar deposits, and we always stress test liquidity conditions in different currencies

15:14:09

Indonesia's Ministry of Economic Affairs released a report: GDP is expected to grow by 4.9% year-on-year in the second quarter, and Indonesia's GDP growth rate is expected to grow by 5.4% year-on-year in the second half of the year.

15:13:05

US judge rejects bid to make public Fed rate meetings Details>

15:11:50

Spot silver plunged about 0.6% in the short term, hitting a two-week low of $37.89/ounce as the dollar continued to rise to a new high in more than a month.

15:11:21

Bank of Korea meeting minutes: One member said policy communication should be strengthened to prevent the market from having excessive expectations for further rate cuts

15:10:52

Bank of Korea meeting minutes: One member said the timing and pace of further easing should be determined based on progress in trade talks with the U.S.

15:10:22

Kuwait Oil Minister: OPEC+'s decision is based on market developments. We are optimistic about the fundamentals of the oil market and believe that OPEC+'s efforts are aimed at achieving energy security and market balance. Kuwait supports efforts to maintain stability in the international oil market.

15:10:03

[Japanese Bond Market Faces a Triple Storm: Political, Central Bank, and Federal Reserve Risks Intertwined] 1. The Japanese bond market is facing a triple squeeze of political turmoil, a shift in central bank policy, and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve. Following the ruling coalition's defeat in the Senate election, long-term government bond yields remain near record highs, and the growing opposition is putting pressure on Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to step down. Market expectations are that his resignation could occur as early as this week, and the policy preferences of potential successor Sanae Takaichi are causing caution among bond investors. 2. On the policy front, the US-Japan trade agreement has created conditions for the Bank of Japan to resume interest rate hikes, pushing short-term government bond yields to multi-month highs. While no immediate policy change is expected at Thursday's meeting, expectations for an October rate hike are growing. A normalization of central bank policy will push up lending rates and reduce bond purchases, forcing the Ministry of Finance to seek new buyers. 3. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday presents additional risks. While interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, internal policy disagreements and threats from the Trump administration to interfere with the Fed's independence could trigger volatility in US Treasury yields, impacting global bond markets. As one of the world's major bond markets, Japan is at the center of the storm of these three risk factors.

15:09:44

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Zinc

Previous : 478 Forecast : -

Published Value 1540

15:09:44

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Copper

Previous : 1699 Forecast : -

Published Value 251

15:09:42

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Aluminum

Previous : -1077 Forecast : -

Published Value -524

15:09:41

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Silver

Previous : 21015 Forecast : -

Published Value -3403

15:09:39

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Lead

Previous : 973 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:37

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Nickel

Previous : 6 Forecast : -

Published Value -73

15:09:35

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Tin

Previous : 244 Forecast : -

Published Value 160

15:09:33

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Alumina

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value -4823

15:09:31

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Wire Rods

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:29

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Hot-rolled coil

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value -590

15:09:26

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Fuel oil

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:26

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Stainless Steel

Previous : -58 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:24

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Petroleum Asphalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:22

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China -20 # rubber

Previous : 201 Forecast : -

Published Value 1209

15:09:20

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Pulp

Previous : -599 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:18

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Natural Rubber

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value -100

15:09:17

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Rebar

Previous : -3587 Forecast : -

Published Value 594

15:09:17

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Crude oil

Previous : 732000 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:09:17

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on July 29th in China - Gold

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 1005

15:06:20

Hungarian Ministry of Economy: Inflation will start to decline from the second half of the year, and the average inflation rate is expected to be 4.7% in 2025

15:06:13

Gold Remains Weak and Volatile, as a Stronger US Dollar and Cooling Safe-Haven Demand Pressure Gold Prices. 1. International gold prices continued their weak consolidation pattern on Tuesday, hovering near a three-week low. With easing global tariff tensions and a strong US dollar index, gold's safe-haven appeal continues to be dampened. Spot gold is currently trading around $3,317.14 per ounce, having hit its lowest level since July 9th at $3,301.75 per ounce in the previous trading day. 2. Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, noted: "Gold prices continue to see buying support around $3,300. While short-term pressure is being exerted by improving trade relations and a stronger US dollar, gold still has upside potential in the medium to long term." 3. Regarding the market backdrop, senior economic officials from the United States and China held talks in Stockholm on Monday for over five hours to resolve the core issues of the bilateral trade dispute and seek a three-month extension of the tariff truce. Meanwhile, the US and Europe reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday, with the US imposing a 15% import tariff on EU goods, only half of the previously threatened rate, effectively avoiding an escalation of the transatlantic trade war. 4. The US dollar index continued to rise on Tuesday, hitting a new high of 99.01 since June 24, further increasing the cost of gold purchases for holders of non-US currencies.

15:05:55

Hungarian Ministry of Economy: Consumption will continue to be the driving force of economic growth, investment will support the economy by the end of 2025, and the 2025 budget deficit target of 4.1% of GDP is still achievable.

15:05:24

Hungarian Ministry of Economy: GDP growth forecast for 2025 lowered to 1%, economic growth in the second half of the year is expected to be 1% to 2%

15:04:08

Minutes of the Bank of Korea meeting: One member said it was still necessary to lower the benchmark interest rate, and one member said monetary policy decisions must be cautious, but it was appropriate to maintain an accommodative policy stance

15:03:19

Spain's retail trade index for June - seasonally adjusted monthly rate

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.10%

15:02:44

Bank of Korea meeting minutes: One member said it was time to consider further rate cuts

15:01:35

The British pound fell slightly against the US dollar, refreshing its low since May 20 to 1.3324, close to the 100-day moving average of 1.3329, down about 0.2%.

15:01:03

The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71 points today, up 0.33%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4152.02 points today, up 0.39%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41 points today, up 0.64%; the ChiNext Index closed at 2406.59 points today, up 1.86%; the SME Board Index closed at 12720.10 points today, up 0.17%

15:00:38

The euro plunged about 50 points against the US dollar in the short term, refreshing its low since June 24 to 1.1532, a drop of about 0.47%.

42

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3363.16	73.24 (2.23%)
XAG	37.003	0.319 (0.87%)
CONC	67.26	-2.00 (-2.89%)
OILC	69.48	-2.30 (-3.20%)
USD	98.678	-1.389 (-1.39%)
EURUSD	1.1594	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3282	-0.0001 (-0.00%)
USDCNH	7.1909	-0.0006 (-0.01%)

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