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2025-10-30 Thursday

2025-11-04

02:14:24

JPMorgan's global head of fixed income, Michel, said he believes it is essential to get Bessenter into the Federal Reserve and to have him do lobbying work.

02:14:23

During the session, the spread between the US 10-year and 30-year swap rates fell to a low.

02:13:24

JPMorgan's global head of fixed income, Michelle, said the Federal Reserve needs a "convincing" candidate to lead it.

02:12:17

JPMorgan's global head of fixed income, Michelle, said the Federal Reserve needs a "convincing" candidate to take the lead.

02:11:49

Following the Federal Reserve's rate cut, the yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds briefly flattened, with the spread at a positive 46.2 basis points.

02:11:38

Nick Timiraos, the "New Fed Watcher": The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) October decision: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) as expected. There were two dissenting votes: Schmid advocated keeping rates unchanged, while Milan wanted a 50 basis point cut. The Fed will end quantitative tightening on December 1st. Afterwards, proceeds from the redemption of mortgage-backed securities will be reinvested in short-term Treasury securities. Although the statement changed the wording from "recent data" to "available data," the overall description of the economic outlook was largely "mark-to-market," meaning it was updated based on current conditions and did not represent a fundamental change.

02:11:13

According to Nick Timiraos of "The New Fed Watch," the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) October decision showed that the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. There were two dissenting votes: Schmid advocated keeping rates unchanged, while Milan wanted a 50 basis point cut. The Fed will end quantitative tightening on December 1st, after which proceeds from the redemption of mortgage-backed securities will be reinvested in short-term Treasury bonds. Although the statement changed its wording from "recent data" to "available data," the overall description of the economic outlook was largely "mark-to-market," meaning it was updated based on current conditions and did not represent a fundamental change.

02:11:11

Following the Federal Reserve's rate cut, U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise; the 10-year Treasury yield rose 3.9 basis points to 4.022%.

02:11:11

Following the Federal Reserve's decision, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note extended its gains, rising 3.9 basis points to 3.533%.

02:11:10

The Central Bank of the UAE announced a 25 basis point cut in its benchmark interest rate.

02:10:02

The Central Bank of Qatar cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

02:09:56

[Key Points of the Fed's Interest Rate Statement: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut and End to Quantitative Tightening – Two Opponents] The key points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday are as follows: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 10-2 to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%. The Fed announced that it will stop shrinking its balance sheet on December 1, at which time maturing agency debt will be reinvested in Treasury bills. Fed Governor Stephen Milan opposed the decision, advocating for a 50 basis point rate cut. Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid advocated keeping the rate unchanged. The statement continued the previous description of the labor market, stating that "job growth has slowed and the unemployment rate has risen, but remained low as of August." The statement added that "recent indicators are consistent with these changes," and that "downside risks to employment have increased in recent months." The Fed stated that current indicators suggest economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace, and reiterated that inflation has risen since the beginning of the year and remains relatively high.

02:08:58

The statement indicates that the Central Bank of Bahrain has lowered its overnight deposit rate by 25 basis points.

02:08:57

Following the Federal Reserve's decision, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note rose by 3.9 basis points to 3.533%.

02:08:56

The Central Bank of Qatar lowered its deposit rate by 25 basis points.

02:07:53

[Key Points of the Fed's Interest Rate Statement: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut and End of Quantitative Tightening – Two Opponents] The key points of Wednesday's Fed interest rate decision are as follows: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 10-2 to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, and announced that it will stop quantitative tightening on December 1st, at which time maturing agency debt will be reinvested in Treasury bills. Fed Governor Stephen Milan opposed the decision, advocating for a 50 basis point cut, while Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid advocated for maintaining the current rate. The statement continued the previous description of the labor market, stating that "job growth has slowed and the unemployment rate has risen, but remained low as of August," adding that "recent indicators are consistent with these changes" and that "downside risks to employment have increased in recent months." The Fed stated that current indicators suggest economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace, and reiterated that inflation has risen since the beginning of the year and remains relatively high.

02:06:44

JPMorgan's global head of fixed income, Michelle, said that Powell's control over the Federal Reserve is waning.

02:05:49

The World Trade Organization (WTO) has received overdue dues quietly paid by the Trump administration.

02:05:49

Airbus’s chief financial officer said that the shareholdings of the parties in the proposed satellite joint venture with Thales/Leonardo reflect a greater contribution from Airbus.

02:05:41

The Federal Reserve stated that recent data shows slow hiring but low unemployment, which is consistent with this situation.

02:05:41

More than $25 million in overdue dues have been paid by the Trump administration to the World Trade Organization.

02:05:34

Airbus CEO said the goal remains to eliminate the unfinished "glider" awaiting engine installation by the end of the year.

02:05:25

Spot gold has just broken through the $3,990.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $3,989.71/ounce, up 0.94% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,003.70/ounce, up 0.52% on the day.

02:05:25

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 47,800.00 mark, currently trading at 47,797.46, up 0.19% on the day.

02:04:30

Spanish King Felipe said that Spain needs to continue to investigate the "cause" of the floods in order to learn "lessons".

02:04:28

The Federal Reserve decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4.00%, marking the second consecutive rate cut this year, bringing the total year-to-date reduction to 50 basis points.

02:04:28

The CEO of Airbus said the company is closely monitoring the rare earth supply situation.

02:04:26

The Federal Reserve announced that it will stop shrinking its balance sheet on December 1.

02:04:25

The Airbus CEO stated that while the rare earth situation will not affect component supply in 2025, it will complicate supply chain management.

02:04:23

Following the Federal Reserve's decision, traders reduced their bets on further rate cuts, causing U.S. short-term interest rate futures to fall.

02:04:22

The Federal Reserve revealed that Governor Milan dissented, advocating for a 50-basis-point rate cut.

02:04:20

Following the release of the Federal Reserve's statement, U.S. stocks extended their gains slightly, with the S&P 500 index currently up 0.25%.

02:04:19

The euro traded at $1.164, down 0.09% from the previous day.

02:04:19

The dollar traded at 152.45 against the yen, up 0.24% from the previous day.

02:04:19

Following the release of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the dollar index rose, currently up 0.19% to 98.86.

02:04:19

Federal Reserve: Balance sheet reduction will stop on December 1.

02:04:14

The Federal Reserve revealed that Governor Schmidt dissented, advocating for maintaining the current interest rate level.

02:04:14

The pound fell 0.44% against the dollar to $1.3213.

02:04:12

Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield recently increasing by 3.9 basis points to 4.022%.

02:04:10

Following the Federal Reserve's rate cut, the yield curve for US 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds briefly flattened, with the latest spread currently at a positive 46.2 basis points.

02:04:08

Following the Federal Reserve's decision, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note rose further, with the latest increase reaching 3.9 basis points to 3.533%.

02:04:07

The Federal Reserve stated that existing data indicates the economy is expanding at a moderate pace.

02:04:06

Following the release of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, spot gold maintained its upward trend, last trading at $4,003.19 per ounce, up 1.3%.

02:04:04

The Federal Reserve stated that downside risks to employment have increased in recent months.

02:04:03

U.S. Treasury bonds continued their decline after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, but two officials voted against it.

02:02:55

[Fed Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points] The Federal Reserve decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4.00%, marking the second consecutive rate cut this year, bringing the total year-to-date reduction to 50 basis points.

02:02:15

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 1.23% intraday to 4.025%.

02:02:15

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,000.00/ounce mark, last trading at $4,000.19/ounce, up 1.21% on the day; COMEX gold futures are last trading at $4,012.70/ounce, up 0.74% on the day.

02:01:24

Spot gold has just broken through the $3,980.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $3,979.79/ounce, up 0.69% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $3,993.30/ounce, up 0.26% on the day.

02:00:24

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1590.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1588.57/ounce, up 1.11% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1592.5/ounce, up 0.49% on the day.

02:00:03

The interest rate on excess reserves of the US Federal Reserve in October

Previous : 4.15% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.90%

02:00:03

The upper limit of the US federal funds rate target for October

Previous : 4.25% Forecast : 4%

Neutral

Published Value 4%

02:00:03

The lower limit of the US federal funds rate target for October

Previous : 4% Forecast : 3.75%

Neutral

Published Value 3.75%

01:54:20

Foreign exchange flows in Brazil for the week ending October 20 - from the beginning of the month to the cycle date

Previous : -20.16 Forecast : -

Published Value 5.13

01:51:06

U.S. Health Secretary Kennedy commented on Tylenol: There is not enough evidence to definitively say that Tylenol causes autism, but some studies seem to be “very telling.”

01:50:49

Michelle, global head of fixed income at JPMorgan Chase: Tariffs are no longer a significant issue for businesses.

01:50:13

The White House announced that Korean Air will purchase 103 new Boeing aircraft for a total of $36.2 billion, a move that will create up to 135,000 jobs across the United States. To power these new aircraft, Korean Air will also purchase state-of-the-art General Electric aircraft engines in a separate deal worth $13.7 billion.

01:46:19

The Airbus CEO stated that the A220 production adjustments are related to planned integration with Spirit Aero, and that some airlines are awaiting an upgraded version of the GTF engine.

01:45:46

The CEO of Airbus stated that supply chain challenges remain, particularly regarding engines.

01:45:46

The CEO of Airbus said that Airbus has 32 assembled aircraft awaiting engines.

01:45:45

The CEO of Airbus said that aircraft deliveries this year are still concentrated in the later stages, in fact, very concentrated in the later stages.

01:44:55

JPMorgan Global Head of Fixed Income, Michelle: The Fed sees this (rate cut) as a risk management measure.

01:44:44

JPMorgan's global head of fixed income, Michelle, expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and end quantitative tightening.

01:44:26

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) says the Trump administration shutdown has already cost the U.S. economy $18 billion by 2025.

01:44:24

The FDA commissioner said further changes to animal drug testing requirements could be announced as early as next week.

01:44:23

Michelle, Global Head of Fixed Income at JPMorgan Chase: The allocation to fixed income assets in the overall market is low.

01:44:22

The FDA Commissioner stated that it will take three to six months to issue final guidance on biosimilars.

01:43:35

Gold and silver experienced a normal corrective rebound. Details>

01:30:21

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1590.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1589.70/ounce, up 1.18% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1594.3/ounce, up 0.60% on the day.

01:28:38

FDA Commissioner Markari: The proposed new approval process for biosimilars could cut approval times in half.

01:23:58

Sources say Germany is considering nationalizing Rosneft's local operations as a backup plan.

01:22:50

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 47,900.00 mark, currently trading at 47,899.31, up 0.40% on the day.

01:11:13

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued new guidelines that lower the "resource-intensive" requirements for developers to conduct comparative human clinical trials.

01:09:47

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) plans to make it easier to develop biosimilars into products that are interchangeable with branded biologics through another initiative.

01:09:23

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has proposed major updates in a new draft guidance document to streamline biosimilar similarity studies and reduce unnecessary clinical trials.

01:05:38

Spot gold has just broken through the $3,990.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $3,989.60/ounce, up 0.94% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,004.80/ounce, up 0.54% on the day.

01:00:33

[Night Trading Futures Closing] International copper futures closed up 1.49%, Shanghai copper futures closed up 1.23%, Shanghai aluminum futures closed up 0.28%, Shanghai zinc futures closed up 0.27%, Shanghai lead futures closed flat, Shanghai nickel futures closed up 0.36%, and Shanghai tin futures closed down 0.29%. Alumina futures closed up 0.70%, aluminum alloy futures closed up 0.43%, and stainless steel futures closed up 0.27%.

00:34:10

[FGE: Sanctions Won't Deprive Russian Oil of Major Buyers, But Trade Friction Expected in the Next 6-8 Weeks] Consulting firm FGE NexantECA stated in a report on Monday that major countries currently importing Russian crude oil and refined products are likely to continue purchasing, provided they can obtain documentation proving that the purchased crude oil does not originate from Lukoil or Rosneft. FGE predicts "serious trade friction" in the next 6-8 weeks, as current buyers of crude oil and refined products from Rosneft and Lukoil will have to find alternative sources. Up to 1 million barrels per day of crude oil may be stranded in November and December, struggling to find buyers. While sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil "significantly increase uncertainty" in the short term, FGE stated that once these restricted oil products find alternative shipping routes and new markets, the support for oil prices is expected to weaken in 6-8 weeks.

00:33:50

General Motors announced that it will lay off approximately 5,500 employees at its electric vehicle and battery plants in the United States.

00:33:39

[US to Reduce Troops on NATO's Eastern Flanking, Emphasizing Unwavering Commitment to Europe] As the Trump administration reassesses its military deployments in Europe, the United States will reduce its troop presence in some countries on NATO's eastern flank. "This is not a withdrawal of U.S. troops from Europe, nor is it a sign of weakening our commitment to NATO and the Fifth Article," the U.S. Army said in a statement Wednesday. "Instead, it is a positive sign of increased capabilities and responsibilities in Europe," the statement read. "This troop deployment adjustment will not alter the security environment in Europe." The withdrawal involves a small portion of the approximately 85,000 U.S. troops stationed in Europe. The statement said the 2nd Infantry Brigade Combat Team of the 101st Airborne Division will return to its base in Kentucky.

00:33:14

Most major European stock indices closed lower. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.1%, the Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.08%, and the Eurozone blue-chip index fell 0.02%. The French CAC 40 index fell 0.22%, the Spanish IBEX index rose 0.36%, the UK FTSE 100 index rose 0.6%, and the German DAX index fell 0.64%.

00:32:23

One chart: The Baltic Dry Index rises, boosted by stronger Capesize freight rates. Details>

00:24:21

Silver Forecast: The upside target is the $50.02-$51.07 range; Powell's remarks will dominate subsequent price movements. Details>

00:20:24

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 48,000.00 mark, currently trading at 48,001.84, up 0.62% on the day.

00:17:33

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $61.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $61.02/barrel, up 1.45% on the day.

00:12:45

[US House Staff Salaries Suspended Due to Government Shutdown] On October 29, local time, US House staff received notices that they would not be able to receive their salaries, which were due on October 31. The notice stated: "Due to the funding interruption, the Office of the Administrator is not authorized to pay salaries until Congress passes a temporary funding resolution or the 2026 fiscal year appropriations bill and signs it into force." Unlike Senate staff who receive salaries twice a month, House staff receive salaries once a month, making them more directly affected.

00:02:36

According to the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Russian corporate profits fell 8.3% year-on-year to 17.6 trillion rubles in the first eight months of the year.

00:02:36

Russia's Ministry of Economy reported that the country's GDP grew by 0.9% year-on-year in September, compared with a 0.4% increase in August.

00:02:36

Russia's Ministry of Economy reported that as of October 27, the annual consumer inflation rate was 8.13%, compared with 8.14% a week earlier.

00:02:36

Russia's Ministry of Economy: GDP grew by 1.0% year-on-year in the first nine months of the year.

00:02:33

According to the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Russia's weekly consumer inflation rate was 0.16% for the week ending October 27, compared with 0.22% the previous week.

00:02:32

Russian Federal State Statistics Service: Real disposable income increased by 8.5% year-on-year in the third quarter.

2025-10-29 Wednesday

23:55:30

The USD/CNH exchange rate has just broken through the 7.0900 mark, currently trading at 7.0899, down 0.07% on the day; the USD/CNH exchange rate is currently trading at 7.0979, down 0.04% on the day.

23:53:44

OpenAI Releases New Security Inference Models gpt-oss-safeguard Today, OpenAI officially released two new open-source security inference models, gpt-oss-safeguard-120b and gpt-oss-safeguard-20b.

23:51:49

Spot gold has just broken through the $3,990.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $3,989.82/ounce, up 0.94% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,004.50/ounce, up 0.54% on the day.

23:51:38

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1590.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1589.95/ounce, up 1.20% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1596.4/ounce, up 0.73% on the day.

23:47:19

The Central Bank of Tajikistan set the key refinancing rate at 7.50%.

23:46:47

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,000.00/ounce mark, last trading at $3,999.92/ounce, up 1.20% on the day; COMEX gold futures are last trading at $4,015.00/ounce, up 0.80% on the day.

23:41:47

The New Zealand dollar just touched the 0.5800 level against the US dollar, last trading at 0.5800, up 0.35% on the day.

23:34:21

[Canadian Chamber of Commerce: Bank of Canada's Rate Cut Indicates Persistent Economic Concerns Amidst accumulating Tariffs] Andrew DeCapoua, an economist at the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, stated that a 2.25% policy rate is not readily attainable in the current environment. "The Bank of Canada's rate cut indicates that economic concerns persist as tariffs continue to accumulate," he noted. He pointed out that the balance between risks to inflation and growth in Canada remains unclear, therefore, given the persistent overcapacity in the economy, further reductions in the policy rate are necessary. DeCapoua added that with the market awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision, the stimulus signals released so far are unlikely to change the direction of monetary policy this year.

42

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3993.95	-7.21 (-0.18%)
XAG	47.902	-0.157 (-0.33%)
CONC	60.26	-0.79 (-1.29%)
OILC	64.09	-0.72 (-1.12%)
USD	99.907	0.043 (0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1515	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3085	-0.0054 (-0.41%)
USDCNH	7.1254	0.0010 (0.01%)

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