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2026-07-14 Tuesday

2026-07-19

11:04:10

RMB SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate): Latest data as of July 14, 2026. The 2-week SHIBOR rate decreased, while the 6-week SHIBOR rate increased. The overnight SHIBOR was 1.389%, up 1.7 basis points. The overnight SHIBOR rate saw the largest change across all periods, rising 1.7 basis points. (For details on SHIBOR and changes over the past ten working days, please refer to the chart created by FX678). Other periods show: 1-week SHIBOR at 1.402%, up 0.2 basis points; 2-week SHIBOR at 1.405%, up 0.5 basis points; 1-month SHIBOR at 1.4132%, up 0.12 basis points; 3-month SHIBOR at 1.4299%, up 0.09 basis points; 6-month SHIBOR at 1.4444%, up 0.09 basis points; and 9-month SHIBOR at 1.4624%, down 0.11 basis points. The one-year Shibor rate was 1.4734%, down 0.01 basis points.

11:02:14

[VIP Featured Article Reminder] The Euro is consolidating at low levels, awaiting a rebound (Article has been published; you can view it directly on the website, or in the VIP section of the app).

11:02:12

Middle East supply risks pushed up oil prices, and the USD/CAD exchange rate continued its correction. Details>

11:02:11

[General Administration of Customs: China-US Goods Trade Reached 2 Trillion Yuan in the First Half of the Year] The State Council Information Office held a press conference today to introduce the operation of my country's foreign trade this year. At the press conference, a spokesperson for the General Administration of Customs introduced that, according to statistics from China Customs, the total value of China-US goods trade reached 2 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, accounting for 7.9% of my country's total foreign trade. Trade decreased by 18.7% in the first quarter and increased by 13.7% in the second quarter. (CCTV News)

11:00:11

[National Australia Bank: US June Core CPI Could Trigger Fed Rate Hike in July if it Reaches 0.3% or Higher] 1. Ray Attrill, Head of FX Strategy at National Australia Bank, stated that if the US June core CPI rises by 0.3% or higher month-on-month, combined with the Producer Price Index (PPI) data to be released later this week, the Fed's preferred core PCE deflator is also likely to rise by 0.3% or higher. 2. Attrill pointed out that this scenario could be a trigger for the Fed to raise interest rates as early as its July meeting. This means that the upcoming US June CPI data will be a key variable in determining whether the Fed will act sooner. 3. The market currently prices in a Fed rate hike in July at approximately 43.3%, but this probability could increase significantly if the core CPI data is stronger than expected. Investors are closely watching the CPI data scheduled for release on Tuesday evening to determine whether the Fed will take action at its policy meeting later this month.

10:58:11

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino: Bond purchase decisions are separate from monetary policy.

10:56:10

[Death Toll in Bangkok Bar Fire Rises to 30] The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) announced on March 14th that the death toll from the Bangkok bar fire has risen to 30. The fire broke out at approximately 11:57 PM local time on March 12th at a bar near Lap Phrao Road in the Chatuchak district of Bangkok. The Bangkok Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Office reported on March 13th that preliminary investigations suggest the fire was caused by a short circuit in the ceiling-mounted air conditioning unit. (CCTV News)

10:52:12

[Lula: The US Cannot Become a Pirate Too] According to Xinhua News Agency, Brazilian President Lula criticized US President Trump on the 13th for his proposed high fees on goods transported through the Strait of Hormuz, calling it the work of a "pirate nation." Speaking at a public event in São Paulo state, Lula said that such practices would have been considered piracy in the past. "A major power like the United States, which has long fought against piracy, cannot now become a pirate itself."

10:52:10

The FTSE China A50 Index futures have just broken through the 14800.00 mark, currently trading at 14799.00, up 0.02% on the day.

10:50:12

[South Korea significantly raises its 2026 economic growth and inflation forecasts, with semiconductor exports becoming the main engine] (1) In its semi-annual outlook, South Korea's Ministry of Strategy and Finance raised its 2026 GDP growth forecast from 2.0% to 3.0% (compared to 1.1% in 2025) and its annual average inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.6%. The main reason for the upward revision is the continued boom in semiconductor exports and the boost to the economy from government fiscal stimulus (including supplementary budgets to deal with the Middle East conflict). (2) The government plans to increase chip production capacity, expand AI data centers and cultivate the physical AI industry to consolidate its technological leadership. However, the market is focused on the central bank meeting on Thursday. Most analysts expect the central bank to start a gradual interest rate hike cycle due to inflation still being far above the 2% target, the weakness of the Korean won and the recovery of household debt and housing prices. (3) Looking ahead to 2027, growth and inflation are expected to slow to 2.2%. Exports will remain the main driver, with the current account surplus expected to reach a record $290 billion this year (compared to the previous forecast of $135 billion), thanks to strong semiconductor demand.

10:50:10

The Shenzhen Component Index has just broken through the 14500.00 mark and is currently trading at 14498.94, down 0.16% on the day.

10:48:11

[General Administration of Customs: my country's Sporting Goods and Equipment Exports Reached 67.53 Billion Yuan in the First Half of the Year] The State Council Information Office held a press conference today to introduce my country's foreign trade performance this year and answer reporters' questions. In recent years, China has consistently maintained its position as the world's largest exporter of sporting goods, accounting for over 40% of global exports. In the first half of the year, my country's exports of sporting goods and equipment reached 67.53 billion yuan, including 3.08 billion yuan in ball sports. Exports of fitness and rehabilitation equipment such as treadmills reached 26.7 billion yuan, while exports of water sports equipment such as paddleboards reached 4.77 billion yuan. In addition, exports of trendy skateboards, popular among young people, increased by 20.4%. my country's sporting goods not only maintain a stable market share in traditional markets like Europe and the United States, but also perform well in emerging markets such as Latin America and Africa. In the first half of the year, my country's exports of sporting goods to Latin America and Africa increased by 18.9% and 8.1%, respectively. (CCTV News)

10:46:12

CEO of Japan Exchange Group: I personally believe that the yen exchange rate is far below a reasonable level.

10:46:10

Escalating tensions in the Middle East and hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve supported the US dollar, causing the USD/JPY pair to continue its high-level consolidation. Details>

10:44:13

South Korea's Ministry of Finance projects an average inflation rate of 2.6% in 2026, up from a previous forecast of 2.1%.

10:44:12

According to the General Administration of Customs, China exported 5.307 million automobiles (including chassis) from January to June. June exports reached 1.069 million units, compared to 988,000 units in May.

10:44:11

According to the General Administration of Customs, China imported 17.433 million tons of refined oil products and 247.61 million tons of crude oil in the first half of the year. China also imported 57.449 million tons of natural gas in the same period.

10:42:13

According to the General Administration of Customs, China's rare earth exports reached 30,482.8 tons and steel exports reached 54.874 million tons in the first half of the year.

10:42:12

South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced it will accelerate its AI "mega-project" to boost growth potential. The ministry forecasts a 3.0% GDP growth rate for 2026, higher than the previous forecast of 2.0%.

10:42:11

[Trump Announces Reinstatement of Strait of Hormuz Blockade and 20% Toll; Analysts: Oil Prices May Rise to $100] 1. US President Trump announced on Monday that the US will reinstate the naval blockade of Iranian ports and impose a 20% toll on all cargo transported through the Strait of Hormuz to compensate for the costs the US incurs in maintaining navigational security in the region. As a result, WTI crude oil futures jumped 9.4% to $78 per barrel, and Brent crude closed above $83. Both WTI and Brent crude continued their upward trend on Tuesday, reaching near one-month highs. 2. Trump posted on Truth Social that the Strait of Hormuz "will remain open with or without Iran," describing the US as the "guardian" of the waterway. He also indicated that the US is likely to seek control of this vital choke point. The Joint Maritime Information Center confirmed that US Central Command will begin implementing the blockade at 4 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday. 3. Another factor contributing to the oil price increase is the sharp escalation of US-Iranian strikes over the weekend. The US military has launched airstrikes against Iranian targets for three consecutive nights, targeting missile and drone facilities; Iran, in turn, has attacked US allies in the Middle East, including damaging an offshore drilling platform in Kuwait, marking the first direct attack on energy infrastructure in weeks. 4. At current oil prices, a supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of crude oil would have to pay a passage fee of approximately $30 million to $32 million, far exceeding the $2 million per voyage previously reported by Iran. Citibank warned that this move could further increase the risk of military escalation, and the possibility of Iran abandoning the memorandum of understanding is rising. 5. Meanwhile, the Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed responsibility for missile and drone attacks on Saudi airports in response to Saudi airstrikes on Sana'a. Analysts warned that if the conflict escalates to a broader targeting of key energy facilities, oil prices could rise to $100 per barrel. The International Maritime Organization reiterated its opposition to imposing passage fees on international straits.

10:40:15

China's natural gas imports in June - Energy (10,000 tons)

Previous : 1010.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 1093.10

10:40:14

China's June imports of refined petroleum products and energy (10,000 tons)

Previous : 130.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 173.70

10:40:12

China's June exports of refined petroleum products and energy (10,000 tons)

Previous : 336.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 4536.10

10:40:11

China's crude oil imports in June - Energy (10,000 tons)

Previous : 3308.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 2927.20

10:36:16

China's June Exports - US Dollars (USD Billion)

Previous : 3767.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 4123.90

10:36:15

China's June imports - in USD (US$ billion)

Previous : 2713.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 2867.60

10:36:13

China's June imports - in RMB (100 million yuan)

Previous : 18638 Forecast : -

Published Value 19616.20

10:36:11

China's total exports in June - in RMB terms (100 million yuan)

Previous : 25877.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 28206.70

10:35:12

China's June Trade Balance - RMB Denominated (100 Million Yuan)

Previous : 7239.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 8590.50

10:35:11

China's June imports (annual rate) - in RMB terms

Previous : 13.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 20.80

10:34:17

China's June Exports (Year-on-Year) - In Yuan Denominated

Previous : 21.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 29.40

10:34:16

China's June Trade Balance - US Dollar (USD Billion)

Previous : 1054.30 Forecast : 1206

Gold, Silver, Oil

US Dollar

Published Value 1256.20

10:34:14

China's June imports (year-on-year) - in USD terms

Previous : 27.40 Forecast : 24

Gold, silver, oil

Published Value 36

10:34:13

China's June exports (year-on-year) - in USD terms

Previous : 19.40 Forecast : 18.20

Gold, silver, oil

Published Value 27

10:34:12

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $79.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $78.99/barrel, up 1.09% on the day; US unleaded gasoline futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $2.9900/gallon mark, currently trading at $2.9897/gallon, up 0.26% on the day.

10:34:10

[General Administration of Customs: my country's exports of specialized equipment, ships, and marine engineering equipment reached 540.24 billion yuan and 214.99 billion yuan respectively in the first half of the year] The State Council Information Office held a press conference today to introduce the performance of my country's foreign trade this year. In the first half of the year, my country's exports of specialized equipment, ships, and marine engineering equipment reached 540.24 billion yuan and 214.99 billion yuan respectively, representing increases of 24.4% and 19.9%. From intelligent excavators to heavy-duty gas turbines and offshore operation platforms, batches of Chinese equipment have played a key role in major projects around the world. "Made in China" provides optimal solutions for different countries and regions and different application scenarios. (CCTV News)

10:32:13

The Nikkei 225 index closed the morning session at 66,678.36 points, down 0.84%.

10:32:12

The General Administration of Customs reported that a UN report shows global merchandise trade growth this year has been primarily concentrated in artificial intelligence-related fields. Continued expansion in global demand for computing power, data centers, and terminal equipment has boosted my country's exports of related products. In the first half of the year, exports of electronic components and computer parts from my country both saw double-digit growth, contributing a combined 6.9 percentage points to overall export growth. Exports of intelligent bionic robots deeply integrated with AI technology exceeded 10,000 units, reaching more than 90 countries and regions worldwide.

10:32:11

The General Administration of Customs stated that the global green and low-carbon transformation is progressing rapidly, and the development of new energy infrastructure and rising consumer demand align well with my country's green product development. In the first half of the year, my country's exports of green energy-related products such as lithium batteries and wind turbines increased by 37.6% and 35.6% respectively; exports of green transportation products such as electric vehicles, railway electric locomotives, electric motorcycles, and bicycles increased by 68.7%, 45.1%, and 31.5% respectively.

10:30:13

The General Administration of Customs stated that China's export growth rate has exceeded 10% since the beginning of this year, maintaining growth for 11 consecutive quarters. (CCTV News)

10:30:12

[Iranian Revolutionary Guard Launches Operation Nasr-2] Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced today (July 14) that, in response to the latest acts of aggression by its adversaries, it launched Operation Nasr-2, targeting multiple ammunition depots, a satellite communications center, and buildings housing US troops in Bahrain, inflicting "significant losses" on the enemy. The IRGC stated that retaliatory strikes are still underway. (CCTV International News)

10:30:10

A chart showing the latest China Cotton Price Index (CC Index) data (July 14, 2026): The 3128B cotton price index was 17,739 yuan/ton (3128B is the benchmark for cotton futures delivery recognized by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange), up 36 yuan/ton, or 0.20%. The 2227B cotton price index was 16,189 yuan/ton, up 31 yuan/ton, or 0.19%, and the 2129B cotton price index was 18,049 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan/ton, or 0.19%. FX678's specially created chart provides a summary of the latest 30 trading days of the China Cotton Price Index (CC Index). (The China Cotton Price Index is published once per trading day, quoting prices in three denominations: 3128B, 2227B, and 2129B. The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) stipulates that the benchmark delivery commodity for cotton futures is domestic cotton of '3128B' grade. The spot market cotton transaction price needs to be converted to the price of 3128B cotton using a specific formula. For example, research reports will state the price of cotton from a certain origin, and then calculate its equivalent price in 3128B.)

10:26:12

[US Government Prevents Citizens in Democratic Republic of Congo from Returning to the US on Commercial Flights Due to Ebola Risk] (1) White House officials revealed that the Trump administration, citing Section 49 of the Transportation Act, ordered the inclusion of US citizens in the Democratic Republic of Congo or those who recently left the country on a "no-boarding" list, preventing them from taking commercial flights directly back to the US. They must stay in a third country for at least 21 days before being allowed entry. (2) As of Sunday evening, there were 1,926 confirmed cases of Ebola in Congo, with 702 deaths. The outbreak has spread to several provinces. A US citizen working for a humanitarian organization in Congo has been diagnosed with Bondibugyo Ebola, and another infected person (Dr. Peter Stafford) had previously been sent to Germany for treatment. (3) The US Secretary of Health and Human Services signed an order that day, stating that the outbreak was approaching the capital Kinshasa; the State Department will provide transit support for about twenty affected travelers. The US stated that the new restrictions are aimed at preventing the risk of virus importation.

10:26:11

[US military completes new round of strikes against multiple targets in Iran] (1) US Central Command completed its latest round of strikes against Iran at 10:15 p.m. Eastern Time on July 13, lasting five hours, targeting military targets in Bushehr, Chabahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa Island, and Bandar Abbas. (2) The operation aimed to further weaken Iran’s ability to attack merchant ships. The US military used precision-guided weapons to destroy Iran’s coastal defense system, missile and drone sites, and related maritime combat facilities. (3) Currently, there are more than 50,000 US troops deployed in the Middle East. Central Command stated that the troops remain highly vigilant and have strong combat capabilities, ready to respond to any situation.

10:24:13

[National Healthcare Security Administration: 601 Drugs Pass Formal Review for 2026 National Reimbursement Drug List Adjustment] The National Healthcare Security Administration today announced the list of drugs that passed the formal review for the 2026 National Basic Medical Insurance, Maternity Insurance, and Work Injury Insurance Drug List, as well as the Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List adjustment. During the 2026 list adjustment application phase, the National Healthcare Security Administration received 800 applications for the basic medical insurance drug list, involving 664 generic drug names. Ultimately, 601 passed the formal review, including 368 drugs not currently on the list and 233 drugs already on the list, resulting in an overall pass rate of 91%. For the commercial health insurance innovative drug list, 62 applications were received, involving 62 generic drug names. Ultimately, 58 passed the formal review, including 57 drugs not currently on the list and 1 drug already on the list, resulting in an overall pass rate of 94%. The formal review is the initial stage of the medical insurance drug list adjustment process. Passing the formal review only means that the drug meets the relevant application conditions and is eligible to participate in expert review; it does not mean that it has been included in the list. (CCTV News)

10:24:12

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 66,600.00 mark, currently trading at 66,585.97, down 0.98% on the day.

10:24:11

U.S. Central Command: Central Command forces used precision-guided weapons to strike military targets across Iran, including its coastal defense systems, missile and drone sites, and naval capabilities, including Bushehr, Chabahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, and Bandar Abbas.

10:22:14

U.S. Central Command: The U.S. military has completed a new round of strikes against Iranian military targets, and more than 50,000 U.S. troops are currently deployed across the Middle East.

10:22:13

The FTSE China A50 Index futures have just broken through the 14900.00 mark, currently trading at 14901.00, up 0.71% on the day.

10:22:12

[General Administration of Customs: 267,000 Foreign Trade Enterprises Expanded Business to New Countries and Regions in the First Half of This Year] The State Council Information Office held a press conference today (August 14th) to introduce the operation of my country's foreign trade this year. Chinese enterprises have proactively adapted to changes and sought new opportunities, continuously expanding their cooperation and seeking partners globally, resulting in an increasingly broad international "circle of friends." Compared with the same period last year, 267,000 foreign trade enterprises expanded their business to new countries and regions in the first half of this year. These enterprises' combined import and export value increased by 22.6%, accounting for nearly 70% of the total foreign trade value. (CCTV News)

10:20:13

White House officials said the Trump administration is preventing U.S. citizens residing in the Democratic Republic of Congo from traveling to the United States on commercial flights due to the risk of the Ebola virus.

10:20:12

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 66,700.00 mark, and is currently trading at 66,688.55, down 0.82% on the day.

10:20:11

[my country's Foreign Trade Achieved Remarkable Results in the First Half of the Year] Overall, my country's foreign trade achieved remarkable results in the first half of the year. However, the external environment remains complex and volatile. The World Bank believes that the global economy is facing pressure from rising energy prices, increasing inflationary pressures, and tightening monetary policy expectations, leading to a weakening economic growth outlook. Data from the International Monetary Fund predicts that global economic growth will slow from 3.5% last year to 3% this year, and the growth rate of trade in goods and services will also slow from 5% last year to 3.5% this year. While my country's foreign trade will face certain pressures in the second half of the year, its strong innovation drive, robust economic activity, and high level of openness ensure that the fundamentals of its foreign trade remain solid, and the positive momentum of foreign trade development is expected to continue. (CCTV)

10:18:14

my country has remained committed to proactively expanding its opening-up, implementing zero-tariff policies with 63 countries and continuously promoting common development with its trade partners. In the first half of the year, my country's imports and exports with its 31 free trade agreement partners increased by 28.1%, accounting for 46.5% of its total foreign trade. Comprehensive bonded zones have fully leveraged their unique function and policy integration advantages in connecting domestic and international markets and resources, achieving imports and exports of 4.34 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a 28.2% increase. (CCTV)

10:18:13

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, my country's import and export of related products has shown strong momentum. In the first half of the year, my country's imports and exports of computing hardware such as electronic components and computer parts reached 5.13 trillion yuan, an increase of 56.6%. Intelligent products such as AI glasses, AI translators, and mechanical exoskeletons are rapidly iterating, and various innovative products are constantly emerging. (CCTV)

10:18:12

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1600.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1600.13/ounce, down 0.11% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1611.2/ounce, down 0.15% on the day.

10:18:10

In the first half of the year, my country's import and export volume exceeded 25 trillion yuan for the first time in history, an increase of 3.68 trillion yuan compared with the same period last year. On a monthly basis, it exceeded 4 trillion yuan for four consecutive months. According to the latest international data, my country remains the world's largest trading nation in goods. (CCTV)

10:16:11

The Shenzhen Component Index has just broken through the 14600.00 mark and is currently trading at 14600.71, up 0.54% on the day.

10:14:12

The General Administration of Customs stated that, overall, my country's foreign trade maintained a good operating trend in the first half of this year, with significant results achieved in stabilizing scale and optimizing structure. However, it should also be noted that global inflationary pressures have not subsided, trade barriers have increased, geopolitical conflicts have occurred frequently, and global supply chains continue to be under pressure. Stabilizing foreign trade in the second half of the year faces many risks and challenges.

10:14:10

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 66,800.00 mark, currently trading at 66,780.67, down 0.69% on the day.

10:12:10

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 66,900.00 mark, and is currently trading at 66,897.14, down 0.51% on the day.

10:06:12

[General Administration of Customs: my country's exports of machinery and electronic products reached 9.36 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a 20.1% increase] According to customs statistics, in terms of exports, the product structure has been further optimized. In the first half of the year, my country's exports of machinery and electronic products reached 9.36 trillion yuan, a 20.1% increase, accounting for 63.5% of total exports, an increase of 3.5 percentage points compared with the same period last year. Exports of high-tech products reached 3.26 trillion yuan, a 39% increase. In terms of imports, my country's import growth rate was 8.7 percentage points higher than its export growth rate in the first half of the year, promoting balanced development of imports and exports. Among them, bulk commodities such as energy, machinery and electronic products, and agricultural products increased by 3.4%, 28%, and 8.6%, respectively. (CCTV News)

10:06:10

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has reportedly lifted its freeze on $10 billion in funding to five states.

10:04:12

Overall, my country's foreign trade achieved significant results in stabilizing its scale and optimizing its structure in the first half of this year. (CCTV)

10:04:11

my country's various business entities maintained good growth momentum. Private enterprises' imports and exports reached 14.53 trillion yuan, a 17% increase, accounting for 57% of the total foreign trade value. Foreign-invested enterprises and state-owned enterprises saw imports and exports increase by 17.1% and 16.8% respectively. (CCTV)

10:02:13

my country's diversified markets continued to consolidate. In the first half of the year, my country's imports and exports to countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 12.97 trillion yuan, an increase of 14.8%, accounting for 50.9% of the total foreign trade value. Imports and exports to neighboring countries reached 9.44 trillion yuan, an increase of 20.6%. Trade with Latin America and Africa increased by 16.2% and 19.6% respectively, while trade with the European Union increased by 10.2%. (CCTV)

10:02:12

According to customs data, my country's import growth rate exceeded its export growth rate by 8.7 percentage points in the first half of the year, promoting balanced development of imports and exports. Among them, energy and other bulk commodities, machinery and electrical products, and agricultural products grew by 3.4%, 28%, and 8.6%, respectively. (CCTV)

10:02:10

[my country's Goods Trade Up 16.9% in First Half of 2020] According to customs statistics, my country's goods trade totaled 25.47 trillion yuan in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of 16.9%. Exports reached 14.73 trillion yuan, up 13.4%, while imports totaled 10.74 trillion yuan, up 22.1%. In June alone, imports and exports reached 4.78 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.2%, marking the 17th consecutive month of growth. (CCTV)

10:00:14

[Trump Endorses Seven Republican Newcomers Ahead of Midterm Elections, Fierce Battle for House Control] (1) On Monday, Trump announced on Truth Social that he was endorsing seven Republican candidates running for the House of Representatives for the first time, from Georgia (Cowan), New Hampshire (De Lorenzo), New York (Driscoll), South Carolina (Honeycat), Indiana (Regnitz), Tennessee (Taylor), and Texas (Toss). Five of them have already secured the party nomination, while Taylor and De Lorenzo still need to participate in the primaries in August and September, respectively. (2) The districts of Cowen, Taylor, and Toth were rated "solid Republican" by the Cook Political Report; Toth was the only candidate to defeat an incumbent Republican House member in the primaries (by about 15 percentage points); Taylor's district was redrawn, and the Republicans were expected to win it from the Democrats (Cowen had given up his re-election); Hanicart was running for a seat that was "very likely" to be won by the Republicans; while the districts of DeLorenzo, Regnitz, and Driscoll were assessed as "very likely to be won by the Democrats" or "leaning towards the Democrats," respectively. (3) Currently, the Republicans hold a majority of 218 seats to 212 in the House of Representatives (with one independent member serving with the Republicans), but three of the four vacant seats were originally held by Democrats. After the vacancy is filled, the Republicans will have 220 seats to 215. The Democrats need to gain six more seats to regain control, and the redrawn districts of the past year have made this goal more difficult.

10:00:13

【Short-term trading advice for US crude oil: range-bound trading, sell on rallies and buy on dips】 (1) Reasons for analysis: The US has further strengthened restrictions related to the Strait of Hormuz, and the situation in the Middle East remains tense. The risk of supply disruption has pushed up the risk premium for oil prices. The market is also paying attention to EIA inventory changes and subsequent OPEC+ policies. The short-term technical structure is still relatively strong. If the US dollar index remains stable, WTI is expected to maintain a volatile and strong trend. (2) Key areas to watch: geopolitical situation, inventory data, US dollar index (3) Resistance: 80.00, 80.50, 81.00 (4) Support: 79.00, 78.60, 78.00

10:00:12

【Short-term trading advice for spot gold: range-bound trading, sell on rallies and buy on dips】 (1) Reasons for analysis: Tensions between the US and Iran support safe-haven demand, but rising energy prices push up inflation expectations, strengthen the Fed's expectation of maintaining high interest rates, and the US dollar and US Treasury yields put pressure on gold prices. The market is focused on the US June CPI and the Fed Chairman's speech, and gold may maintain a weak and volatile trend in the short term. (2) Key focus: US Treasury yields, US dollar index, geopolitical situation (3) Resistance: 4050, 4080, 4100 (4) Support: 3980, 3950, 3930;

10:00:10

Spot gold has just broken through the $4010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4010.07/ounce, up 0.20% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4016.30/ounce, up 0.26% on the day.

09:58:12

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract rose 6.01% intraday, closing at 5188 yuan/ton.

09:58:11

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67,000.00 mark, currently trading at 66,996.41, down 0.37% on the day.

09:56:12

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67,100.00 mark, currently trading at 67,087.07, down 0.23% on the day.

09:56:10

The US's renewed blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated inflation concerns, causing gold to fluctuate around $4,000 as it awaits CPI data. Details>

09:54:13

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Strikes were carried out against weapons depots, satellite communications centers, and U.S. military barracks at the Jufair airbase in Bahrain.

09:54:12

Bahrain's Ministry of the Interior has issued a warning, urging citizens and residents to remain calm, go to the nearest safe location, and follow the latest news through official channels.

09:54:10

US President Trump: Today, we emptied the beautiful "Reflecting Pool" to repair the damage and destruction left by vandals two weeks ago.

09:50:13

[Nearly 200 AI experts and Nobel laureates jointly warn: AI may lead to mass unemployment, global action is urgently needed] (1) Nearly 200 artificial intelligence researchers and more than a dozen Nobel laureates jointly published an open letter warning that artificial intelligence may seriously threaten employment and reshape the global economic landscape. (2) The open letter, entitled "We Must Take Action Now," points out that AI capabilities will be greatly enhanced in the next 10 years, which may trigger unprecedented economic changes, bringing both major risks such as mass unemployment and new opportunities to improve living standards. (3) The letter calls on economists, policymakers, and technology leaders to immediately conduct in-depth research on the impact of AI on the global economy, while emphasizing the need to establish necessary protection mechanisms and institutional frameworks to ensure that the development path of AI can complement human capabilities and benefit society; the signatories include Nobel laureates in economics Paul Krugman and Daron Acemoglu, as well as the chief economists of Anthropic and OpenAI.

09:50:12

Iran's state news agency reported that the Bushehr region in southern Iran was attacked in a new round of US military strikes.

09:50:11

For the third time in a row! OPEC has lowered its oil demand forecast for this year. What signal does this send? Details>

09:48:12

[Omdia: Global Smartphone Shipments Declined by 4% in Q2, Samsung and Apple Bucked the Trend] (1) Market research firm Omdia released a report showing that global smartphone shipments declined by 4% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, mainly due to the continued memory crisis driving up component costs. (2) In terms of brands, Samsung and Apple performed outstandingly, with their market share increasing by 2 and 4 percentage points respectively compared to the same period last year, achieving growth against the trend. (3) Omdia analysts pointed out that phones priced at $400 and below were most severely impacted by rising costs, with some manufacturers' memory procurement costs rising to more than 4 to 5 times that of a year ago.

09:48:11

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67,400.00 mark, currently trading at 67,404.63, up 0.24% on the day.

09:44:10

【Australian Business Confidence Improves in June, But Current Situation Remains Stable; Middle East Situation Pushes Up Oil Prices】 (1) A survey by the National Australia Bank (NAB) showed that the business current situation index remained stable at +3 for the third consecutive month in June, while the confidence index rebounded sharply from the extreme low of -14 in May to -5. (2) The improvement in confidence was mainly due to the previous interim peace agreement between the US and Iran, which eased cost pressures and reduced the rate of increase in product prices to the level of February, with retail prices falling for the first time in seven years; however, the situation in the Gulf has recently escalated again, with the US resuming military strikes and blocking the Strait of Hormuz, causing Brent crude oil to rise to US$85 per barrel, a new high since mid-June. (3) NAB said that the survey results still indicate a slowdown in economic activity in the first half of 2026, but the impact of the Middle East shock on the economy and prices is less severe than expected; in response to the global energy shock, the Reserve Bank of Australia has raised interest rates three times this year to 4.35%, and although it remained unchanged in June, it reiterated that it does not rule out the possibility of further tightening of policy.

09:42:13

The Shenzhen Component Index has just broken through the 14400.00 mark and is currently trading at 14397.82, down 0.86% on the day.

09:42:11

[Trump Says He Will Soon Decide on New Sanctions Against Russia Based on the Graham Act] (1) Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that the U.S. government is discussing new sanctions against Russia based on a bill proposed by the late Senator Lindsey Graham and will make a final decision on the matter soon. (2) Graham died on July 12 at the age of 71 from complications of cardiovascular disease. He was a key figure in drafting legislation advocating tariffs on imported Russian oil and gas products. (3) Shortly before his death, Graham publicly stated that he would "die with regrets" if the sanctions bill failed to pass.

09:40:10

[Strait of Hormuz Conflict Escalates, Trump Announces 20% Toll, Oil Prices Surge to One-Month High] 1. On Tuesday morning in Asia, international oil prices continued their surge. Brent crude futures rose nearly 3% to above $85 per barrel, while US WTI crude futures briefly broke through $80 per barrel, both hitting one-month highs. The previous trading day, Brent crude had already surged 9.5%, marking its largest single-day gain since May 2020. This rally has pushed oil prices to their highest level since the US and Iran signed a peace memorandum of understanding on June 17. 2. US President Trump announced on Monday that the US would reinstate a naval blockade against Iran and declared himself "Guardian of the Strait of Hormuz," imposing a 20% toll on all cargo transported through the strait. At the current oil price of approximately $80 per barrel, a supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of crude oil would have to pay approximately $30 million. This fee is far higher than Iran's previous temporary fee of up to $2 million per voyage. The Central Command stated that the blockade would officially take effect at 4 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday. 3. Geopolitical conflicts escalate simultaneously. The UAE Ministry of Defense reported on Monday that two UAE state-owned oil tankers were attacked by Iranian cruise missiles in the southern channel of the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in the death of one Indian crew member and injuries to eight others. The US military has launched airstrikes against Iran for the third consecutive night. Meanwhile, the Houthi rebels in Yemen launched missiles at Saudi Arabia after accusing it of airstrikes on an airport under their control. 4. Citibank warned that Trump's proposal to impose tolls substantially increases the risk of further military escalation, noting a rising possibility that Iran will abandon the memorandum of understanding before the midterm elections—a scenario most likely to keep oil prices high for an extended period. Analysts pointed out that if the conflict expands to target key energy facilities more broadly, oil prices could approach $100 per barrel. 5. The previous week, the market had anticipated a de-escalation based on the interim US-Iran agreement, with Brent crude oil prices briefly falling to around $67 per barrel; however, the price reductions resulting from the de-escalation have now been almost entirely reversed. Despite Trump's claim that the Strait of Hormuz will remain "open with or without Iran," the military confrontation between the two sides and plans to impose tolls are systematically repricing geopolitical risks.

09:38:13

SoftBank's Masayoshi Son: In the post-natural gas era, fusion energy will power data centers.

09:38:12

The Colombian president-elect appointed Maria Nohemi Arboleda Arango as Minister of Mines and Energy.

09:38:10

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67200.00 mark, currently trading at 67187.02, down 0.08% on the day.

09:36:12

[Lee Jae-yong's stock holdings increased by 28 trillion won in the second quarter, ranking first among South Korean business leaders] (1) Benefiting from the record high of the South Korean stock market, the value of the stocks held by Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-yong increased significantly in the second quarter (ending June), with the total market value rising from 30.94 trillion won at the end of March to 59.18 trillion won. (2) During the entire quarter, the net book value of his stock holdings increased by approximately 28 trillion won (equivalent to approximately US$18.69 billion). (3) According to data released by the market research firm Korea CXO Institute on Tuesday, Lee Jae-yong ranked first among the heads of major South Korean conglomerates in terms of absolute increase in stock assets during the quarter.

09:36:11

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67,300.00 mark, currently trading at 67,288.40, up 0.07% on the day.

09:34:13

The A-share communication cable and related sectors rose in early trading, with Huamai Technology hitting the daily limit, and Changyingtong, Zhaolong Interconnect, Shenyu Shares, Changjin Photonics, and Huiyuan Communication among the top gainers.

09:34:12

A-share oil stocks opened higher, with Keli Petroleum rising over 8%, and Tongyuan Petroleum, Zhongman Petroleum, and Taishan Petroleum also opening higher.

09:34:10

Crude Oil Trading Alert: Shipping Risks in the Strait of Hormuz Continue to Rise, Oil Prices Rebound Sharply Details>

09:32:16

The yield on Japan's 5-year government bond fell 1.5 basis points to 1.980%. The yield on Japan's 30-year government bond fell 3.0 basis points to 3.875%.

09:32:14

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 67,400.00 mark, currently trading at 67,381.99, up 0.21% on the day.

09:32:13

Australia's June NAB Monthly Business Climate Index

Previous : 3 Forecast : -

Published Value 3

09:32:12

Australia's NAB Business Confidence Index for July (MoM)

Previous : -14% Forecast : -

Published Value -5%

41

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4016.36	40.10 (1.01%)
XAG	55.884	0.395 (0.71%)
CONC	81.77	3.49 (4.46%)
OILC	88.08	3.22 (3.80%)
USD	100.759	0.039 (0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1438	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3455	-0.0022 (-0.17%)
USDCNH	6.7769	0.0044 (0.06%)

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