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2025-09-13 Saturday

2025-09-19

01:51:51

[USDA: U.S. corn harvest area to reach highest level since 1933 in 2025] (1) The U.S. Department of Agriculture said on Friday that the U.S. corn harvest area in 2025 will reach the highest level since 1933, and the production forecast has been raised to a record 16.814 billion bushels. Although the yield is expected to be 186.7 bushels per acre (down from 188.8 bushels in August), both the production and yield are higher than analysts expected. At the same time, the total soybean production is expected to rise to 4.301 billion bushels due to the increase in harvest area. (2) Due to the increase in corn production, the Chicago Board of Trade corn benchmark price (Cv1) came under pressure. Susan Stroud, founder of NoBullAgriculture, pointed out that the USDA's reduction in corn yield is irrelevant. The key is that the planting area exceeded expectations. (3) The USDA forecasts that U.S. corn stocks at the end of the 2025/26 marketing year will be 2.11 billion bushels, slightly lower than last month's forecast (because record exports will absorb more corn), but the supply outlook remains the highest since the 2018/19 season. At the same time, it raised its soybean ending stocks by 10 million bushels, having previously lowered its soybean export forecast to the lowest level since the U.S.-China trade war during the Trump administration. (4) A large corn harvest will benefit livestock producers and ethanol manufacturers, but grain farmers face low crop prices and rising input costs. U.S. crop cash income is expected to decline for three consecutive years and will fall to the lowest level since 2007 after adjusting for inflation. In addition, due to the renewed U.S.-China trade dispute, U.S. soybean exports to China have been hindered, and China has not yet placed orders for new crops.

01:08:01

U.S. wheat exports in September -WASDE Monthly Forecast Latest Market Year

Previous : 8.75 Forecast : -

Published Value 9

Previous

01:07:59

The latest annual forecast of wheat yield per unit area in the United States in September -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 52.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 52.70

Previous

01:07:57

The USDA monthly -WASDE forecast for the latest global cotton ending inventory in September

Previous : 7391 Forecast : -

Published Value 7314

Previous

01:07:57

U.S. cotton exports in September -WASDE Monthly Forecast Latest Market Year

Previous : 1200 Forecast : -

Published Value 1200

Previous

01:01:56

The total number of drilling RIGS in the United States as of the week ending September 12

Previous : 537 Forecast : -

Published Value 539

Previous

01:01:46

The total number of natural gas RIGS in the United States for the week ending September 12

Previous : 118 Forecast : -

Published Value 118

Previous

01:01:38

The total number of oil RIGS in the United States for the week ending September 12

Previous : 414 Forecast : -

Published Value 416

Previous

01:01:30

The total number of mixed drilling RIGS in the United States for the week ending September 12

Previous : 5 Forecast : -

Published Value 5

Previous

01:01:25

The total number of Wells drilled in North America for the week ending September 12

Previous : 718 Forecast : -

Published Value 725

Previous

01:01:15

The total number of Wells drilled in the Gulf of Mexico in North America for the week ending September 12

Previous : 10 Forecast : -

Published Value 10

Previous

01:01:09

The total number of Wells drilled in Canada for the week ending September 12

Previous : 181 Forecast : -

Published Value 186

Previous

00:08:28

Russia's second-quarter GDP annual rate - revised quarterly figures

Previous : 1.10% Forecast : 1.10%

Neutral

Published Value 1.10%

Previous

00:00:10

U.S. soybean ending inventory for September -USDA monthly WASDE estimate for the next New Year

Previous : 33000 Forecast : 32753

Published Value 33000

Previous

00:00:09

U.S. Poultry production in September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 532.99 Forecast : -

Published Value 533.58

Previous

00:00:09

The end-of-September corn inventory in the United States -USDA's monthly WASDE estimate for the next New Year

Previous : 13.05 Forecast : 13.11

Published Value 13.25

Previous

00:00:09

The USDA monthly -WASDE forecast for the latest global soybean ending inventory in September

Previous : 12490 Forecast : 12477

Published Value 12399

Previous

00:00:08

U.S. Cotton production in September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 1321 Forecast : -

Published Value 1322

Previous

00:00:07

U.S. Soybean ending inventory for September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 2.90 Forecast : 2.88

Published Value 3

Previous

00:00:07

U.S. Soybean production in September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 42.92 Forecast : 42.71

Published Value 43.01

Previous

00:00:07

U.S. Soybean exports in September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 17.05 Forecast : -

Published Value 16.85

Previous

00:00:07

U.S. September wheat production -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 19.27 Forecast : -

Published Value 19.27

Previous

00:00:06

U.S. pork production in September -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 283.94 Forecast : -

Published Value 283.94

Previous

00:00:06

The latest USDA monthly -WASDE forecast for the global corn ending stock in September

Previous : 28254 Forecast : 28163

Published Value 28140

Previous

00:00:06

Brazil's latest September soybean production forecast -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 17500 Forecast : -

Published Value 17500

Previous

00:00:06

Brazil's September soybean production estimate for the second New Year -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 16900 Forecast : -

Published Value 16900

Previous

00:00:06

The latest USDA monthly -WASDE forecast for the global wheat ending stock in September

Previous : 26008 Forecast : 226113

Published Value 26406

Previous

00:00:06

U.S. September corn exports -WASDE Monthly Forecast for the Latest Market Year

Previous : 28.75 Forecast : -

Published Value 29.75

Previous

00:00:05

U.S. September corn production -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 167.42 Forecast : 165.16

Published Value 168.14

Previous

00:00:05

U.S. September cotton ending stock -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 360 Forecast : -

Published Value 360

Previous

00:00:05

The end-of-month wheat inventory in the United States for September -USDA monthly WASDE estimate for the next New Year

Previous : 8.51 Forecast : -

Published Value 8.51

Previous

00:00:05

U.S. September beef production -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 255.37 Forecast : -

Published Value 255.57

Previous

00:00:04

U.S. September wheat ending stock -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 8.69 Forecast : 8.65

Published Value 8.44

Previous

00:00:04

The latest annual forecast of corn yield per unit area in the United States in September -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 188.80 Forecast : 186.20

Published Value 186.70

Previous

00:00:04

September in the United States

Previous : 53.60 Forecast : 53.30

Published Value 53.50

Previous

00:00:04

The latest annual forecast for Brazil's September corn production -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 13100 Forecast : -

Published Value 13100

Previous

00:00:04

Brazil's September corn production estimate for the second New Year -USDA Monthly WASDE

Previous : 13200 Forecast : -

Published Value 13500

Previous

00:00:04

U.S. September corn ending Stock -USDA Monthly WASDE forecast for the latest year

Previous : 21.17 Forecast : 20.11

Published Value 21.10

Previous

2025-09-12 Friday

23:38:26

【Central Bank of Russia cuts interest rates by 100 basis points】 (1) As high borrowing rates have suppressed business activity and hindered economic recovery, the Central Bank of Russia has cut its benchmark interest rate for the third time this year. The board of directors of the Central Bank of Russia, led by Elvira Nabiullina, decided to cut the key interest rate by 100 basis points, from 18.00% to 17.00%. (2) Previously, the market generally expected the central bank to cut interest rates more aggressively by 200 basis points. In July this year, the bank cut interest rates by 200 basis points; in June, it cut interest rates by 100 basis points, the first rate cut since 2022. (3) The central bank said it would continue to maintain a "necessarily tight" monetary environment and strive to return inflation to the target level in 2026. Officials expect Russia's annual inflation rate to slow to 6.0%-7.0% in 2025, further to 4.0% in 2026, and stabilize around the target thereafter. (4) The central bank added that future interest rate decisions will depend on the sustainability of the inflation slowdown and the changing trajectory of inflation expectations. Policymakers noted that tight monetary conditions are still driving inflation down, but persistently high inflation expectations could hinder a sustained slowdown in price growth. Furthermore, the central bank believes the economy is gradually returning to a balanced growth path, with recent loan growth accelerating.

23:34:33

【USD/CAD is facing a key test from the "double resolution" of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada】 (1) USD/CAD is facing a key test from the "double resolution" of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. Although the exchange rate has fallen slightly from its high point this year, the correction is still limited, and it still maintains a high range of fluctuations above 1.38. (2) The market generally expects that both central banks will announce interest rate cuts at the interest rate meeting on September 17: the Bank of Canada is priced to cut at least 25bp, and there are calls for a "substantial rate cut" from the Federal Reserve, which makes the currency pair face the dual uncertainty of policy divergence and synchronized easing. (3) On the one hand, Canada's employment is weak and core inflation is falling. There is an 88% probability that the central bank will initiate an "insurance" interest rate cut, and the cumulative easing space this year may exceed 50bp; on the other hand, the downward revision of US non-farm payrolls and the unexpected slowdown of PPI have also strengthened the expectation of a "dovish surprise" from the Federal Reserve. (4) If the Bank of Canada takes more aggressive action, USD/CAD is expected to test the 1.3925 or even 1.40 mark. Conversely, if the Fed leads the way in cutting interest rates or oil prices continue to rebound, the exchange rate may fall back to the 1.3760-1.3750 area to seek support. (5) Short-term traders should focus on the guidance of the Canadian CPI on September 16 and the US CPI on September 12. Any deviation in the data may trigger a breakthrough towards 1.40 or 1.37.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3652.88

8.61

(0.24%)

XAG

42.193

0.400

(0.96%)

CONC

63.04

-0.22

(-0.35%)

OILC

67.27

-0.19

(-0.28%)

USD

97.420

0.064

(0.07%)

EURUSD

1.1773

-0.0012

(-0.10%)

GBPUSD

1.3529

-0.0025

(-0.18%)

USDCNH

7.1106

0.0039

(0.06%)