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2025-10-29 Wednesday

2025-11-04

17:19:55

[Cracks Emerge in the Global Bond Market! The Capital Battle Behind the US Treasury Yield Advantage] ⑴ The current yield on German 2-year government bonds is 1.981%, 152.9 basis points lower than comparable US bonds, demonstrating a significant yield spread advantage. ⑵ The yield on US 2-year Treasury bonds has reached 3.510%, with only Australia and the UK offering higher yields at 3.554% and 3.784% respectively. ⑶ Japan's 2-year yield is the lowest at 0.944%, 256.6 basis points lower than the US, highlighting the divergence in monetary policies among major economies. ⑷ The yield on German 10-year government bonds is 2.630%, 136 basis points lower than the US 10-year Treasury yield of 3.990%. ⑸ The UK's 10-year government bond yield leads major developed countries at 4.403%, 41.3 basis points higher than the US. (6) Australia's 10-year bond yield reached 4.237%, Canada's was 3.002%, and yields in core European countries were concentrated in the 2.5%-3.4% range. (7) Japan's 10-year bond yield was only 1.654%, 233.6 basis points lower than that of the United States, making it a yield haven in the global bond market. (8) The yield differences indicate a significant divergence in the policy paths of central banks around the world, and capital flow preferences are being reallocated.

17:18:45

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:18:39

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Zinc

Previous : -1800 Forecast : -

Published Value -50

17:18:33

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Lead

Previous : -2700 Forecast : -

Published Value -4800

17:18:28

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:18:25

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Nickel

Previous : 198 Forecast : -

Published Value 270

17:18:20

LME Daily Inventory Changes in the UK on October 29th - Tin

Previous : -25 Forecast : -

Published Value 130

17:18:16

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:18:12

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Primary aluminum

Previous : -3625 Forecast : -

Published Value -2900

17:18:05

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 29th - Copper

Previous : -1400 Forecast : -

Published Value 775

17:17:02

The Credit Suisse /CFA Economic Conditions Index for Switzerland in October

Previous : 3.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:11:57

[A Milestone in Baltic Wind Power! Poland's First Offshore Wind Farm Completes Key Installations] ⑴ Baltic Power, a joint venture between ORLEN and Canada's Northland Power, has completed the installation of two offshore substations, each weighing 2,500 tons. ⑵ These two substations are key components of Poland's first offshore wind farm, responsible for collecting electricity generated by the wind turbines and transmitting it to shore. ⑶ Some components of the two substations were manufactured in facilities in Gdynia and Gdansk, reflecting the participation of Polish domestic industry. ⑷ The offshore substations have been installed approximately 20 kilometers from the coast and will receive electricity from 76 wind turbines, each with a capacity of 15 MW. ⑸ Each substation is equipped with two transformers, 230 kV and 66 kV switchgear, diesel generators, and a control and monitoring system. ⑹ The localization rate of the project is expected to reach at least 21% throughout its entire lifecycle, with Polish companies involved in multiple stages from basic components to installation and construction. (7) The wind farm, scheduled for completion next year, will have an installed capacity of approximately 1.2 gigawatts and an annual power generation of 4 terawatt-hours, enough to meet the electricity needs of over 1.5 million households. (8) The wind farm is located in the sea near Leba and Hochevo, 23 kilometers from the coast, covering an area of over 130 square kilometers, roughly the size of the city of Gdynia.

17:11:19

The US dollar index just touched the 99.00 mark, last trading at 99.00, up 0.27% on the day.

17:09:19

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,020.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,020.05/ounce, up 1.71% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,033.10/ounce, up 1.26% on the day.

17:08:41

Italy's preliminary non-EU trade balance for September

Previous : 17.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 27.40

17:06:26

[Gold Surges $129! Three Signals of a Resurgence in Forex Speculation] ⑴ Gold prices have rebounded $129 from Tuesday's low of $3886/oz, currently trading around $4015/oz. ⑵ During the recent gold pullback, global stock markets continued their upward trend, indicating a continued rise in market risk appetite. ⑶ Current safe-haven demand is not strong; the gold rebound reflects more the need to hedge against stock market corrections. ⑷ The rapid rebound in gold has reduced the demand for forex traders to seek other safe-haven assets, driving funds towards riskier assets. ⑸ The strong speculative appetite shown in the stock market is expected to transmit to the forex market, supporting speculative activity. ⑹ Favored forex trends in 2025 may intensify, with strategies such as arbitrage trading and going long on the euro regaining attention. ⑺ The continued downward trend in oil prices will be one of the key factors guiding future exchange rate movements.

17:04:53

[Powell Makes a Major Appearance Tonight! Fed's "Neutral" Tactics Hold Hidden Clues] ⑴ Jefferies economist Mohit Kumar predicts that Fed Chairman Powell may adopt a neutral stance on the prospect of further interest rate cuts on Wednesday. ⑵ The market widely expects the Fed to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this meeting, with the focus on guidance for the subsequent policy path. ⑶ Powell may acknowledge recent signs of a slowdown in labor market data, leaving open the possibility of another rate cut in December. ⑷ However, the Fed Chairman is expected to emphasize that any decision will depend on subsequent data performance, maintaining a data-dependent policy stance. ⑸ Jefferies also expects the Fed to formally announce the end of quantitative tightening at this meeting. ⑹ According to Tradeweb data, the 10-year US Treasury yield fell slightly by 0.6 basis points to 3.976%, with limited fluctuations across the entire yield curve. ⑺ The narrow range of fluctuations in the bond market indicates that investors remain cautious ahead of major risk events, awaiting clear guidance from Powell.

17:01:58

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1610.00/oz mark, last trading at $1610.05/oz, up 2.48% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1608.0/oz, up 1.46% on the day.

17:01:55

[Caterpillar Earnings Report Preview Sparks Bet on Speculative Stock Price Fluctuations] ⑴ Caterpillar shares rose slightly by 0.1% to $527.37 before the market opened on Wednesday, awaiting the release of its third-quarter earnings report. ⑵ According to institutional data, the company's earnings per share are expected to be $4.52, with revenue reaching $16.77 billion, compared to $5.17 and $16.11 billion respectively in the same period last year. ⑶ Caterpillar's earnings per share exceeded expectations in five of the past eight quarters, but missed market expectations in the last two quarters. ⑷ Of the 28 analysts currently rated, 13 have given a "strong buy" or "buy" rating, 14 have given a "hold" rating, and only 1 recommends a "sell". ⑸ The median analyst target price has risen to $480.50, a significant increase from $445.27 a month ago. ⑹ The stock has risen approximately 46% this year, far exceeding the 12.5% gain of the S&P Dow Jones Industrial Average. (7) The options market predicts a 4.8% two-way fluctuation in stock price after the earnings report, significantly higher than the average volatility of 3.3% on earnings day over the past eight quarters.

17:01:20

[Swiss Franc Confidence Index Surges 38.7 Points! Market Undercurrents Behind Historic Rebound] ⑴ The Swiss investor confidence index surged 38.7 points to -7.7 points in October, marking a historic increase. ⑵ UBS Group points out that this increase ranks third in the index's history, second only to the rebounds during the financial crisis and the pandemic. ⑶ Despite the significant rebound, the index remains below its level before the US imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss exports in August. ⑷ The investor expectations sub-index for October was -7.7 points, a significant improvement from -46.4 points in September, and on par with October last year. ⑸ The current conditions sub-index was 0.0 points, slightly lower than 3.6 points in September, completely consistent with October last year. ⑹ Historical data shows that market sentiment is rapidly recovering, but the impact of tariffs has not yet been fully digested.

17:00:01

The Credit Suisse /CFA Economic Expectations Index for Switzerland in October

Previous : -46.40 Forecast : -

Published Value -7.70

16:55:40

[Oil Price Collapse Alarm! Fatal Technical Signals Could Trigger Chain Reaction in the Forex Market] ⑴ Crude oil prices have fallen sharply since oil-producing countries increased production. In February, oil prices were at $82/barrel, but by April, when production began to increase, they had fallen from $75/barrel to $65/barrel. ⑵ The initial low reached after the production increase was $58.50/barrel. Although conflicts in oil-producing regions provided some support, oil prices continued to decline. ⑶ Since June, oil price highs have been decreasing. After the outbreak of the Middle East war, oil prices were at $81.40 in June, $73.63 in July, $70.76 in September, and $66.78 in October. ⑷ If the closing price is below $63.02/barrel, this would break below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2020-22 rally, forming a very bearish technical signal. ⑸ The next key technical target is the $42 level. Continued declines in oil prices will drive the Fed's easing cycle and put pressure on the dollar. (6) The downward trend in oil prices has formed a clear downward channel, and the technical indicators show that there is still huge potential for further decline.

16:55:31

[The Triple Pressures Behind the Reserve Bank of India's Tough Stance] ⑴ Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta stated clearly in Mumbai on Wednesday that under a market-driven exchange rate mechanism, the rupee is not a policy tool to counter trade tariffs. ⑵ This statement comes at a time of continued pressure on the rupee, primarily influenced by market concerns about potential high tariffs imposed by the US on Indian exports. ⑶ The Indian rupee was last quoted at 88.2250 against the US dollar, having depreciated by 3% year-to-date. ⑷ The Reserve Bank of India's emphasis on the market-based nature of the exchange rate mechanism indicates that it will not manipulate the exchange rate to address trade disputes. ⑸ Market anxieties and rupee depreciation pressure have created a vicious cycle, with the current exchange rate approaching a key psychological level. ⑹ The public statement by a central bank official at this sensitive time underscores policymakers' determination to maintain exchange rate stability.

16:54:48

[Pound Sterling Plunges Below Key Support! Three Warning Signs for New Year's Lows] ⑴ The pound sterling continued its decline against the dollar, breaking below the 200-day moving average and currently trading near a three-month low. ⑵ The bearish outside pattern formed on Tuesday reinforced the downward bias, technically supporting a bearish outlook. ⑶ Market risks remain, and the exchange rate may further test the year's low of 1.3140. ⑷ Goldman Sachs' latest forecast indicates that the institution expects the Bank of England to announce an interest rate cut at its November policy meeting. ⑸ The interest rate market currently prices in a 33% probability of a rate cut, indicating that the market has begun to digest some easing expectations. ⑹ If the Bank of England unexpectedly decides to cut interest rates, the pound sterling may face pressure to fall towards the 1.30 level against the dollar.

16:54:16

[Next Raises Profit Forecast Again] ⑴ British fashion retailer Next reported a 10.5% increase in full-price sales in the third quarter ending October 25, exceeding market expectations. ⑵ The company raised its full-year profit guidance for the fourth time in eight months, now expecting pre-tax profit of £1.135 billion for the year ending January 2026. ⑶ This forecast is an improvement from the previous guidance of £1.105 billion and also higher than the actual profit exceeding £1 billion for the first time in 2024/25. ⑷ Next's share price rose 5% on Wednesday, bringing its year-to-date gain to 48%. ⑸ The company's sales performance in both the UK and overseas exceeded expectations, with UK sales growing by 5.4%. ⑹ Overseas sales surged by 38.8%, partly reflecting higher-than-expected digital marketing spending. ⑺ The company raised its fourth-quarter full-price sales growth forecast to 7.0%. ⑻ Next has over 800 stores in the UK and Ireland, including brands such as Reiss, Joules, and FatFace. (9) Analysts point out that Next should benefit from real wage growth in the UK, but remains somewhat sensitive to employment prospects and consumer borrowing costs.

16:52:54

[US Employment Data May Influence the Fed's Policy Path] ⑴ Preliminary data released yesterday by ADP showed that the US added an average of 14,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 11, 2025, equivalent to a cumulative increase of approximately 57,000 jobs over four weeks. ⑵ The Dallas Fed estimated earlier this month that the current break-even point for the job market is about 30,000 jobs per month; the 57,000 figure is far higher. ⑶ Fed Governor Waller, one of the most dovish members, cited ADP data as one of the reasons for supporting interest rate cuts in his July speech. ⑷ However, he recently stated that he still believes interest rate cuts are necessary but caution is needed, pointing out the contradiction between robust economic growth and a weak labor market. ⑸ If the ADP data does indeed show a strong rebound, Fed Chairman Powell may be more cautious about signaling a rate cut in December. ⑹ Such a hawkish surprise will have a significant impact on the market. ⑺ In the absence of government data, both the ADP data and the US Purchasing Managers' Index indicate strong economic activity. (8) The latest dot plot shows that the majority of Federal Open Market Committee members hold a neutral/hawkish stance, far exceeding the number of dovish members. (9) Without strong supporting reasons, these members will be the first to question a December rate cut. (10) Prior to the release of this data, the market generally believed that the outcome of today's Fed meeting was a foregone conclusion, with rate cuts and the end of quantitative tightening already fully priced in.

16:50:15

Goldman Sachs Raises 2026 Iron Ore Price Forecast: ⑴ Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 iron ore price forecast, primarily considering macroeconomic support and tighter inventory levels. ⑵ Analysts predict in their report that the average price of this steelmaking feedstock will be $93 per ton in 2026. ⑶ This forecast is $5 higher than the previous estimate, but still significantly lower than current iron ore futures market prices. ⑷ Goldman Sachs maintains its view that iron ore prices will fall next year.

16:49:20

Ukraine's DTEK Energy Group reported on the 29th that Russian troops attacked one of its energy facilities in the Odessa region, causing severe damage. The report stated that energy workers, in areas where technically feasible, connected critical infrastructure and residential buildings to backup power lines, restoring power to approximately 7,000 households. Currently, about 26,900 households remain without power. Oleg Kipel, the Odessa region's military and political leader, stated that the Russian attack injured one person that day. (CCTV News)

16:49:00

[Lao Feng Xiang's Revenue Increased but Net Profit Declined in Q3 2025] ⑴ Lao Feng Xiang achieved operating revenue of RMB 14.646 billion in the third quarter of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.03%. ⑵ Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was RMB 217 million, a year-on-year decrease of 41.61%. ⑶ Basic earnings per share were RMB 0.4153. ⑷ Cumulative operating revenue for the first three quarters reached RMB 48.001 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.71%. ⑸ Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company for the first three quarters was RMB 1.438 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 19.05%. ⑹ Basic earnings per share for the first three quarters were RMB 2.748.

16:48:36

Recently, seven departments, including the Ministry of Transport, jointly issued the "Implementation Opinions on 'Artificial Intelligence + Transportation'". At a press conference today (29th), a relevant official from the Ministry of Transport stated that the "15th Five-Year Plan" national major science and technology projects will focus on building an intelligent integrated three-dimensional transportation network, intensifying the research and development of key technologies for the integration of artificial intelligence and transportation, organizing collaborative research among innovation entities to overcome major technological challenges, develop key equipment, and innovate development models. (CCTV News)

16:47:59

UBS CFO: We saw more investments in the Asia-Pacific region in the third quarter, and the region performed exceptionally well this quarter.

16:47:38

[UK gilt yields decline ahead of Fed decision] ⑴ UK gilt yields fell ahead of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with the market anticipating a 99.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. ⑵ If the rate cut occurs as expected, the federal funds target range will fall to 3.75%-4.0%. ⑶ Analysts pointed out that although the US government shutdown has resulted in a lack of key recent economic data, there is still ample evidence to support another 25 basis point rate cut. ⑷ The 10-year UK gilt yield fell 1 basis point, ultimately trading at 4.387%.

16:46:32

Market news: Two World Food Programme officials will be expelled from Sudan.

16:46:05

Market news: The European Central Bank plans to launch a digital euro in 2029, and preparations will continue.

16:45:46

SKF CEO: We are moving forward to make more of our product lines compliant with the USMCA.

16:44:53

[Hungary's Trade Surplus Narrows in September but Still Exceeds Expectations] ⑴ Hungary's trade surplus narrowed to €589 million in September 2025, lower than €886 million in the same period last year, but higher than the market forecast of €557 million. ⑵ The narrowing surplus was due to slower export growth than import growth, with exports increasing by 4.9% year-on-year to €13.124 billion. ⑶ Imports increased by 7.8% year-on-year to €12.535 billion. ⑷ In the first nine months of this year, the country's trade surplus expanded to €7.78 billion, higher than €7.079 billion in the same period last year.

16:44:42

[Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor Emphasizes Exchange Rate Policy Stance] ⑴ The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor stated that the exchange rate is not a policy tool for addressing tariff issues. ⑵ RBI Deputy Governor Phuntsok Gupta pointed out at an event in Mumbai that in a market where exchange rate levels are determined by market forces, the exchange rate cannot be used as a policy tool. ⑶ These comments come as the Indian rupee continues to face pressure due to concerns about the impact of high US tariffs on Indian exports. ⑷ The latest exchange rate for the Indian rupee against the US dollar is 88.2250, representing a cumulative depreciation of 3% so far in 2025.

16:43:30

[New Details of Japan's Investment Plan Boost Tokyo Tech Stocks] ⑴ New details of Japan's investment commitments boosted Tokyo tech stocks, with SoftBank Group shares closing up 3.9%. ⑵ However, the outline of the approximately $400 billion project did not specify the concrete structure of Japan's commitment to invest $550 billion in the US as part of a trade agreement. ⑶ The official statement listed SoftBank as one of the major investors, potentially investing up to $25 billion in power infrastructure. ⑷ A SoftBank spokesperson stated that the funds have not yet been allocated to any specific projects. ⑸ Due to the lack of details and a timeline, the market will closely monitor subsequent concrete actions to assess the actual impact of the investment commitments.

16:42:48

On October 29, CCTV reporters learned that US President Trump stated that he had failed to coordinate a meeting time with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. That day, during a bilateral meeting with South Korean President Lee Jae-myung at the Gyeongju National Museum, Trump said, "I know Kim Jong Un very well, we get along very well. It's just that we haven't been able to coordinate a meeting time." Previously, Trump had expressed his desire to meet. On August 25, he stated his hope to meet with Kim Jong Un this year; and earlier on October 29, he reiterated this desire, mentioning that he might soon return to Asia to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. (CCTV News)

16:42:28

UBS CFO: UBS has no balance sheet exposure to First Brands; only a small number of funds have been affected.

16:42:13

UBS CFO: Continue to move forward with the sale of UBS O'Connor business

16:42:01

Market news: Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim will visit South Korea from October 31 to November 1.

16:41:40

The 8th Paris Peace Forum opened in Paris, France, on October 29th, local time. As a major event in global governance, this year's forum, themed "Building a New Alliance for Peace, People and the Planet," aims to promote the construction of a new multilateral cooperation framework in today's international landscape rife with division and conflict. The forum's discussions focused on conflict prevention and resolution, social investment with children as a driver of development, the application of artificial intelligence in peace and development, and innovative solutions to climate change. Against the backdrop of an increasingly complex global situation and frequent conflicts from Ukraine to the Middle East and Central Africa, the forum emphasized the urgency of collective action and the importance of cross-sectoral cooperation. The organizers stated that this forum aims to "rebuild trust, restart dialogue, and redefine the possibilities of multilateral cooperation." (CCTV News)

16:41:26

UBS CFO: No violation of investment guidelines

16:41:18

UBS CFO: Obtaining a national banking license in the United States is expected to enhance its banking capabilities in key markets.

16:40:29

[Preview of the Fed's October Interest Rate Decision] ⑴ Analysts expect the Fed to cut the federal funds target range by 25 basis points later on Wednesday. ⑵ However, they do not expect much forward guidance for the December meeting. ⑶ Fed Chairman Powell is expected to maintain a neutral tone. ⑷ They expect policymaker Stephen Milan to dissent and vote for a 50 basis point rate cut. ⑸ Analysts say that because the Fed currently lacks much data to reference, this rate cut may be described as a further step in risk management measures.

16:39:51

[Montenegro's Retail Sales Growth Slows in Q3] ⑴ Retail sales in Montenegro increased by 2.4% year-on-year in the third quarter, a slowdown from the revised 4.8% growth in the second quarter. ⑵ On a seasonally adjusted basis, retail trade in the three months ending in September increased by 18.6% month-on-month, compared to a revised 26% growth in the previous quarter. ⑶ At current prices, retail sales in the July-September period increased by 6.8% year-on-year and 19.9% month-on-month. ⑷ At current prices, retail sales of motor vehicle fuel in the third quarter of 2025 decreased by 1.6% year-on-year. ⑸ Food retail sales increased by 6.6% year-on-year, while sales of cosmetics and pharmaceuticals increased by 7.0%. ⑹ Other non-food retail sales increased by 8.2% year-on-year.

16:39:20

[Australian Wheat Production Forecast Revised Upwards Due to Favorable Weather] ⑴ Australia's 2025/26 wheat production forecast has been revised upwards by 2% to 34.8 million tons, with a range of 33.1 million to 36.7 million tons. ⑵ Satellite imagery shows good vegetation health in the main wheat-producing states of New South Wales, Western Australia, Victoria, South Australia, and Queensland. ⑶ Vegetation density in these regions is at or above the long-term median level. ⑷ Weather conditions over the past two weeks have been mixed, with temperatures near normal in Victoria and South Australia. ⑸ Temperatures in New South Wales and Queensland are above average, while Western Australia is generally cooler. ⑹ Rainfall in Western Australia is near normal, while Queensland and New South Wales are drier. ⑺ Rainfall in Victoria and South Australia is mostly above normal. ⑻ The overall weather outlook is favorable for the wheat crop, with harvesting already underway in some areas. ⑼ Short-term forecasts indicate above-average temperatures in New South Wales, Victoria, and South Australia. (10) A cooling trend is expected over 8 to 15 days, with temperatures in Queensland and Western Australia near normal. (11) Moderate rainfall is expected in most areas, but limited rainfall is possible in Western Australia. (12) The seasonal outlook indicates near-normal temperatures and rainfall in major wheat-producing regions in November, with slightly above-normal rainfall expected in New South Wales and Queensland.

16:37:56

[Spain's Economic Growth Slows Moderately in Q3] ⑴ Preliminary data from the Spanish National Statistics Institute shows that the economy grew by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, a slowdown from the previous quarter's 0.8%. ⑵ Spain's economy continues to outperform its Eurozone counterparts, mainly due to the post-pandemic tourism boom, a strong labor market driven by immigration, EU financial support, and cheaper energy. ⑶ The Q3 growth rate met analysts' expectations, driven by domestic demand, with consumption and investment maintaining growth amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. ⑷ The government statement said this data reinforces the upward revisions of 2025 forecasts by major countries and international institutions, indicating that Spain will once again lead growth among major developed economies. ⑸ This marks the ninth consecutive quarter of GDP growth for Spain at 0.6% or higher quarter-on-quarter. ⑹ On an annualized basis, Q3 economic output grew by 2.8%, lower than the 3.0% expected by surveyed analysts. ⑺ The National Statistics Institute revised the Q2 annual growth rate from the previously announced 3.1% to 3.0%.

16:37:07

[RBI Deputy Governor Emphasizes Inflation Target and Exchange Rate Policy Stance] ⑴ The RBI Deputy Governor stated that the vast majority of stakeholders recommend that the central bank continue to target overall inflation. ⑵ The Deputy Governor also clearly stated that the exchange rate is not a policy tool for addressing tariff issues.

16:36:40

[Spain's Retail Sales Growth Remained Robust in September] ⑴ Spanish retail sales in September 2025 increased by 4.2% year-on-year, slightly slower than the 4.7% increase in August, but still indicating healthy consumer spending. ⑵ After seasonal adjustment, retail trade increased by 0.5% month-on-month in September. ⑶ Food sales increased by 0.6% month-on-month, and non-food product sales increased by 0.2% month-on-month. ⑷ Year-to-date, Spanish retail sales activity has increased by 4.3% cumulatively.

16:35:29

[Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund Adjusts Investment Strategy] ⑴ Saudi Arabia is preparing to adjust the investment focus of its $925 billion sovereign wealth fund. ⑵ The fund will shift away from mega-real estate projects that previously dominated its development goals. ⑶ The new strategy aims to narrow its focus to existing development projects such as logistics, mining, and religious tourism. ⑷ This adjustment is driven by a determination to ensure more sustainable short-term returns for the fund. ⑸ Saudi Arabia also plans to invest in artificial intelligence. ⑹ It will also focus on data centers powered by its abundant hydrocarbon and other energy sources.

16:34:38

The National Health Commission, the Ministry of Civil Affairs, the National Healthcare Security Administration, the National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine, and the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention jointly issued a "Notice on Launching an Action to Promote the Integration of Medical and Elderly Care" today (29th), deciding to launch a three-year action to promote the integration of medical and elderly care. The notice proposes that by the end of 2027, policies on the integration of medical and elderly care will be continuously improved, the service system will be more complete, service supply will be effectively increased, service capacity will be significantly enhanced, and medical and health resources and elderly care resources will be further shared and integrated to better meet the health and elderly care service needs of the elderly. The notice outlines 25 specific tasks in seven areas: First, improving the layout of service resources. This includes improving the integrated medical and elderly care service system, supporting the expansion of integrated medical and elderly care functions, and deepening medical and elderly care collaboration within medical alliances. Second, strengthening the talent pool. This includes expanding the scale of professional talent training, improving the professional level of practitioners, and conducting health education and care skills training. Third, developing home and community services. This includes strengthening health management for the elderly, improving the quality and efficiency of family doctor contracts, and providing community-embedded services. Fourth, expanding service supply. The measures include: 1) Deepening the effective connection between medical and elderly care services; 2) Deepening the integration of traditional Chinese medicine and medical care services; 3) Popularizing mental health knowledge; 4) Increasing medical insurance support; 5) Strengthening service guarantees for disabled and cognitively impaired elderly people. This includes carrying out health service initiatives for disabled elderly people, ensuring the care needs of economically disadvantaged disabled elderly people, encouraging the development of specialized services for cognitively impaired elderly people, and promoting the implementation of a long-term care insurance system. 6) Strengthening quality management. This includes implementing an assessment system for elderly admissions, strengthening quality control, promoting multidisciplinary continuous services, and standardizing the management of self-brought medications. 7) Building a solid safety production line. This includes strengthening industry supervision, implementing the main responsibility of institutions, and conducting emergency drills for infectious disease prevention and control. (CCTV News)

16:33:50

Equinor CEO: The company is well-positioned to benefit from anticipated growth in US natural gas demand driven by the "artificial intelligence boom" and data center electricity needs.

16:33:39

Russian Central Bank Governor Nabiullina: Sovereign wealth funds' foreign exchange sales in 2026 will be lower than in 2025.

16:33:18

Suzuki President: Facing the fiercest competition in India in the past 40 years

16:33:08

Suzuki President: The previously announced $8 billion investment will be used to expand annual production capacity in India to 4 million vehicles.

16:32:58

Suzuki President: Introducing pure electric vehicles to India's price-sensitive small car market faces numerous challenges.

16:32:47

[Fed October Policy Statement and Voting Proportions Preview] ⑴ Regarding the economic assessment, institutions expect the first sentence of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement to be adjusted to acknowledge the rebound in economic activity. ⑵ The statement may state that "recent indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace," and may add explanations regarding the impact of the government shutdown on the economic assessment due to a lack of data. ⑶ Regarding employment and inflation, analysts believe that given the lack of data due to the government shutdown, the Fed may maintain its existing assessment that employment growth is slowing and inflation remains high. ⑷ However, the weaker-than-expected September inflation data last Friday may prompt a slight adjustment in the inflation statement. ⑸ Regarding the balance sheet reduction plan, several institutional strategists expect the Fed to stop reducing its approximately $6.6 trillion balance sheet this month. ⑹ Regarding voting proportions, institutions expect a possible division within the policymaking body, with Governor Milan potentially advocating for a larger rate cut. ⑺ Some institutions predict a "three-way split" in the policy vote: one dissenter supports a larger rate cut, while some officials may prefer to keep rates unchanged. (8) Analysts point out that Milan is expected to advocate a more aggressive easing stance, which, if supported by other board members, will drive up stock and gold prices. (9) However, others are unlikely to follow his lead, and any dissent supporting maintaining the current interest rate would send a strong hawkish signal, although this risk is relatively low.

16:31:54

The CEO of Equinor, the Norwegian national oil company, stated that with increasing liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies, particularly in Asia, and as natural gas prices reach around $9-10 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), there will be a shift towards natural gas as fuel, which will support natural gas prices.

16:31:37

Equinor CEO: We have a fairly optimistic outlook for US natural gas prices.

16:31:23

Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor: Exchange rates are not a policy tool for dealing with tariffs.

16:31:05

Swiss Government: Continues to support weapons and ammunition management training in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

16:30:33

Statoil CEO: Europe has huge demand for natural gas

16:30:24

The CEO of Bank of Ireland stated that the Irish lending business is likely to grow at a rate higher than the projected 3%-4% annually by 2027, a forecast that takes into account increased competition.

16:30:17

[The Calm Before the Storm! Eurozone Bond Market Stagnation Hints at Three Major Uncertainties] ⑴ Eurozone government bond yields remained stable on Wednesday, with the German 10-year bond yield holding steady at 2.62% and the Italian 10-year bond yield slightly declining by 1 basis point to 3.39%. ⑵ The German two-year bond yield, sensitive to the ECB's monetary policy, also saw little change, holding steady at 1.98%. ⑶ The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to announce an interest rate cut, while the ECB and the Bank of Japan are expected to keep their rates unchanged on Thursday. ⑷ Investors are closely watching the progress of the meeting between the leaders of China and the United States on Thursday, which will be a key factor influencing global risk appetite. ⑸ Traders are also watching the US President's trip to Asia, looking for concrete signals of improved bilateral relations. ⑹ Jefferies strategists point out that the market is in a wait-and-see mode, with this week's focus concentrated on major events such as central bank meetings, summits, and a series of earnings releases. ⑺ The US President's statement in a speech in South Korea that he expects the two sides to reach a "big deal" that benefits both sides further reinforced the market's wait-and-see sentiment.

16:30:07

From January to September, the total operating revenue of state-owned and state-controlled enterprises nationwide (hereinafter referred to as state-owned enterprises) increased by 0.9% year-on-year, while the total profit decreased by 1.6% year-on-year. I. Total Operating Revenue. From January to September, the total operating revenue of state-owned enterprises was 61,329.05 billion yuan, an increase of 0.9% year-on-year. II. Total Profit. From January to September, the total profit of state-owned enterprises was 3,167.03 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year. III. Taxes Payable. From January to September, the taxes payable by state-owned enterprises were 4,414.54 billion yuan, an increase of 0.5% year-on-year. IV. Asset-Liability Ratio. At the end of September, the asset-liability ratio of state-owned enterprises was 65.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. ① The state-owned and state-controlled enterprises referred to in this monthly report include central enterprises under the supervision of the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and the Ministry of Finance, enterprises affiliated to central departments and units, local state-owned and state-controlled enterprises in 36 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the central government, and cities with independent planning status), and state-owned and state-controlled enterprises affiliated to the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, excluding state-owned first-tier financial enterprises and their affiliated enterprises. The industries covered include agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, industry, construction, transportation and warehousing, postal and telecommunications, wholesale and retail, real estate, information technology services, and other industries. ② Due to objective factors such as changes in the number of enterprises and equity ownership, the number of enterprises included in the national summary of state-owned and state-controlled enterprises varies across different periods. The year-on-year growth data in this monthly report are calculated by comparing the current year's data of enterprises within the current summary scope with the data from the same period of the previous year on the same statistical basis. (Ministry of Finance)

16:30:02

[Energy Game Intensifies! Japan's "No" to Russian Ban Hides Three-Tiered Crisis] ⑴ Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated clearly during a meeting with the US President in Tokyo on Wednesday that banning imports of Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) would be difficult for Japan. ⑵ Russian LNG currently accounts for nearly 9% of Japan's total imports, with Mitsui and Mitsubishi holding stakes in the crucial Sakhalin-2 project. ⑶ The US urged Japan and other Russian energy buyers to halt imports ahead of its leaders' Asia trip and imposed sanctions on Russia's two largest oil exporters. ⑷ Takaichi emphasized that other countries would benefit if Japan withdrew from energy projects and asked the US to understand Japan's current energy needs. ⑸ Japan's Minister of Industry pointed out last week that replacing supplies from the Sakhalin-2 project would be extremely costly and lead to higher electricity prices; most of the project's supply will cease between 2028 and 2033. ⑹ According to institutional data, Japan imports less than 1% of its oil from Russia, with most of its oil supply still dependent on the Middle East.

16:29:44

Equinor CEO: It is crucial to produce as much gas as possible and become a stable gas supplier to Europe.

16:29:20

A senior executive stated that BYD is considering establishing a potential distribution center in Saudi Arabia for the Gulf region.

16:29:04

[Analysts: Nvidia's Market Cap Could Surpass $5 Trillion] ⑴ In pre-market trading on Wednesday, Nvidia's stock price rose as much as 3.4%, putting it on track to surpass the $5 trillion market capitalization mark. ⑵ If this goal is achieved, the company will become the first publicly traded company in history to reach this milestone. ⑶ The stock has risen nearly 50% this year, adding approximately $1.6 trillion to its market capitalization. ⑷ The stock price is projected to rise over 170% in 2024, and approximately 240% in 2023.

16:27:32

Gold's rally shows no signs of stopping! An LBMA survey predicts that gold prices will test $5,000 within 12 months. Details>

16:26:32

An executive at Indian refiner MRPL stated that the company will not purchase Russian oil due to risk concerns, and that it must ensure that its purchases do not violate sanctions. Indian banks are requesting complete transaction records from producers to distributors.

16:26:13

Suzuki President: Plans to launch eight new SUV models in India, bringing the total number of models available in that market to 28.

16:23:49

Statoil CEO: Produce as much oil and gas as possible.

16:20:22

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,010.00/ounce mark, last trading at $4,010.39/ounce, up 1.46% on the day; COMEX gold futures are last trading at $4,023.40/ounce, up 1.01% on the day.

16:17:08

[Spain's Q3 Economic Growth Meets Expectations] ⑴ Preliminary data shows that Spain's economy grew by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in the three months ending September 2025, a slowdown from the previous month's 0.8%, in line with market expectations. ⑵ Domestic demand was the main driver of growth, contributing 1.2 percentage points, while external demand dragged it down by 0.6 percentage points. ⑶ In terms of demand components, household consumption grew by 1.2%, government spending by 1.1%, and investment expanded by 1.7%. ⑷ Exports of goods and services declined by 0.6%, while imports grew by 1.1%. ⑸ On the supply side, industrial output grew by 0.5%, with manufacturing leading the way at 0.6%. ⑹ Construction and service sector activity both grew by 0.8%, while the primary sector contracted by 0.4%. ⑺ On an annualized basis, GDP grew by 2.8%, slightly lower than the 3.1% in the second quarter, but close to the market expectation of 3.0%.

16:16:25

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement on the morning of October 29th local time, stating that, following a series of strikes against dozens of "terrorist targets" and "terrorists" under the direction of the political leadership, the IDF has begun to resume enforcement of the Gaza ceasefire agreement. The IDF stated that it will continue to abide by the ceasefire agreement and will resolutely respond to any violations. The IDF indicated that in this round of strikes, in conjunction with the General Directorate of National Security (Shin Bet), it targeted 30 terrorists holding command and leadership positions within terrorist organizations operating in Gaza. (CCTV International News)

16:13:49

[Japan's Investment Plan Boosts Tokyo Tech Stocks] ⑴ New details of Japan's investment commitments boosted Tokyo tech stocks, with SoftBank Group shares closing up 3.9%. ⑵ The outline of these approximately $400 billion projects did not specify the concrete structure of Japan's commitment to invest $550 billion in the US as part of a trade agreement. ⑶ The official statement listed SoftBank as one of the major investors, potentially investing up to $25 billion in power infrastructure. ⑷ A SoftBank spokesperson stated that the funds have not yet been allocated to any specific projects. ⑸ Due to the lack of details and timelines, the market will closely watch subsequent concrete actions to assess the actual impact of the investment commitments.

16:12:44

Internal strife within the Japanese government and divisions within the central bank: the final test for bulls and bears will be tonight. Details>

16:11:51

The standalone edition of "Suggestions of the CPC Central Committee on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development" has been published by the People's Publishing House and is available at Xinhua bookstores nationwide starting today. (Xinhua)

16:11:09

Sources indicate that Saudi Arabia is preparing to adjust its Public Investment Fund (PIF) strategy, withdrawing it from large-scale real estate projects.

16:10:49

Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor: There is room for improvement in merchandise exports.

16:10:42

Bank of Ireland CFO: Assuming the ECB interest rate remains at 2% in 2026, we expect net interest income to reach slightly above €3.3 billion, and potentially around €3.5 billion in 2027.

16:10:12

[Gold Prices Rebound Technically as Market Awaits Fed Decision] ⑴ Gold prices rose on Wednesday as bargain hunters entered the market after falling to a three-week low in the previous session. ⑵ Investors are currently awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. ⑶ Data showed that spot gold reached a high of around $4,010 per ounce, with a daily gain of over 1%. ⑷ Senior market analysts pointed out that the short-term pullback in gold prices was due to trade optimism, with funds shifting towards more responsive instruments such as global equities. ⑸ In the short term, gold faces downward pressure due to position adjustments by short-term leveraged players and the breach of technical levels. ⑹ However, analysts believe that the fundamentals for gold remain bullish.

16:09:10

[National Electricity Market Transaction Volume Grew Steadily in September 2025] ⑴ Data from the National Energy Administration shows that in September 2025, the national electricity market completed 573.2 billion kWh of transactions, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%. ⑵ In terms of transaction scope, intra-provincial transactions totaled 430.3 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%; inter-provincial and inter-regional transactions totaled 142.9 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 18.5%. ⑶ In terms of transaction types, medium- and long-term transactions totaled 533.1 billion kWh; spot transactions totaled 40.1 billion kWh. ⑷ Green electricity transactions totaled 29 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 42.9%. ⑸ From January to September 2025, the national cumulative electricity market transaction volume reached 4,923.9 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%. ⑹ In the first nine months, electricity market transactions accounted for 63.4% of total social electricity consumption, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year.

16:08:23

Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor: India's current account has shown resilience for some time and is clearly in a sustainable range.

16:08:14

The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India stated that India has largely followed the path of fiscal consolidation. India's short-term debt levels have also remained at a low level.

16:08:02

Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor: Flexible inflation targeting framework is working well

16:07:45

The Israeli military stated that it has begun to reinstate the Gaza ceasefire agreement.

16:07:35

On October 29 local time, the Polish Armed Forces Operational Command stated that on October 28, two Polish Air Force MiG-29 fighter jets successfully intercepted a Russian military aircraft flying over the Baltic Sea and escorted it outside the area of responsibility after visual identification. The Polish military stated that the Russian Il-20 aircraft, which was on a reconnaissance mission, did not submit a flight plan and had its transponder turned off, but did not violate Polish airspace and was in international airspace at the time. Currently, Russia has not responded to this. (CCTV News)

16:06:47

Musk: A British civil war is inevitable. It's just a matter of time.

16:06:23

[South African government bond yields fall to new lows for the year] ⑴ The yield on South African 10-year government bonds fell to 8.85%, the lowest level since October 2024. ⑵ The yield has fallen by 32 basis points in the past four weeks. ⑶ It has fallen by 41 basis points in the past 12 months.

16:06:11

[Sweden's Economy Turns Negative in September] ⑴ Preliminary data shows that Sweden's economy contracted by 0.1% month-on-month in September 2025, reversing the upwardly revised 1.2% growth in the previous month. ⑵ The economic downturn was mainly dragged down by a 0.3% decline in household consumption. ⑶ On an annualized basis, GDP grew by 2.7% in September, with the previous figure revised upward to 2.6%. ⑷ This marks the fastest growth in three quarters.

16:05:16

[Sweden's Q3 Economic Growth Exceeds Expectations] ⑴ Preliminary data shows that Sweden's economy grew by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter in the three months ending September 2025, a significant acceleration from the previously revised 0.1%. ⑵ This is the fastest economic expansion since the first quarter of 2023, exceeding market expectations of 0.8%. ⑶ Matthias Kane Wyatt, an economist at Statistics Sweden, pointed out that the accelerated economic growth was mainly driven by strong performance in August. ⑷ On an annualized basis, GDP grew by 2.4%, higher than the expected 1.6%. ⑸ This is a significant improvement from the previously revised 0.9% growth rate, marking the strongest annual growth since the fourth quarter of 2021.

16:04:51

[Estonian Retail Sales Rebound Significantly in September] ⑴ Estonian retail sales in September 2025 increased by 3.7% year-on-year, a significant rebound from the previous month's 1.7% decline, marking the highest growth rate since June. ⑵ Sales of computers, peripherals, software, and communication equipment accelerated, increasing by 28.5%, compared to 1.6% previously. ⑶ Sales of motor vehicle fuel in specialty stores increased by 21.8%, compared to 6.2% previously; sales of second-hand goods, kiosks, markets, and other non-store retail increased by 8.1%, compared to 4.0% previously. ⑷ Sales of medical and orthopedic equipment, cosmetics, and sanitary ware rebounded sharply to 5.0%, compared to a 2.2% decline previously. ⑸ Conversely, sales of textiles, clothing, and footwear slowed to 0.8%, compared to 4.1% previously. ⑹ Sales of food, beverages, and tobacco decreased by 4.2%, compared to a 3.9% decline previously; sales of other goods in non-specialty stores decreased by 5.2%, compared to a 4.7% decline previously. ⑺ Sales of audio-visual equipment decreased by 4.7%, compared to a 3.6% decline previously. (8) After seasonal adjustment, retail sales in September were flat month-on-month, compared to a 3.3% decrease in the previous month.

16:04:49

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1600.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1600.15/ounce, up 1.85% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1600.7/ounce, up 1.00% on the day.

16:04:19

[Preview of the Fed's October Policy Meeting] ⑴ The Fed expects to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its October 2025 policy meeting, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. ⑵ This rate cut would continue the pace of the September rate cuts, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022. ⑶ The market will closely watch for any guidance on December policy, although policymakers are not expected to provide significant new insights. ⑷ The policy backdrop has become more uncertain due to the government shutdown, leading to delays in the release of key economic indicators. ⑸ Among the limited available data, the Consumer Price Index report showed that overall inflation rose slightly to 3%, while core inflation fell slightly to the same level. ⑹ ADP data showed that the private sector added an average of 14,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 11. ⑺ The Chicago Fed's forecast shows that the unemployment rate remained largely unchanged at 4.34% in September.

16:01:56

Spain's retail trade index for September - seasonally adjusted monthly rate

Previous : 0.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.50%

16:00:26

Spain's retail trade index for September year-on-year - seasonally adjusted

Previous : 4.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 4.20%

47

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3956.70	-44.46 (-1.11%)
XAG	47.337	-0.722 (-1.50%)
CONC	60.54	-0.51 (-0.84%)
OILC	64.39	-0.43 (-0.67%)
USD	100.140	0.276 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1481	-0.0037 (-0.33%)
GBPUSD	1.3045	-0.0094 (-0.71%)
USDCNH	7.1336	0.0092 (0.13%)

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