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2026-02-13 Friday

2026-02-22

18:33:15

Central Bank of Russia: Labor market tensions are gradually easing.

18:33:12

Central Bank of Russia: The Bank of Russia estimates that the fundamental measures of current price growth have not changed significantly.

18:33:07

Central Bank of Russia: Deflation will continue after the effects of one-off factors subside.

18:33:02

The Central Bank of Russia predicts that the seasonally adjusted average annualized interest rate will slow to 3.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025, from 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025.

18:32:58

Central Bank of Russia: The Bank of Russia has taken into account the published fiscal policy parameters.

18:32:56

The Central Bank of Russia predicts that seasonally adjusted price growth will slow to an annualized average of 3.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025, down from 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025.

18:32:50

Central Bank of Russia: Changes in fiscal policy parameters may require adjustments to monetary policy.

18:32:47

The Central Bank of Russia: In recent months, most underlying inflation indicators have remained at an annualized rate of 4% to 5%. The risk of deflation involves a more significant slowdown in domestic demand.

18:32:35

Central Bank of Russia: Geopolitical tensions remain a significant uncertainty.

18:31:46

[Russia's Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates to 15.5%, Inflation Target Anchored to 2026] ⑴ The Central Bank of Russia announced on Friday that it would cut its key interest rate from 16% to 15.5%, in line with market expectations. In its statement, the bank said that, based on forecasts, under the current monetary policy stance, the annual inflation rate will fall to 4.5-5.5% in 2026. ⑵ This means that monetary conditions will remain tight, with core inflation expected to be close to 4% in the second half of 2026, and annual inflation stabilizing at the target level from 2027 onwards. ⑶ The baseline scenario assumes an average key interest rate between 13.5% and 14.5% in 2026. The Central Bank of Russia noted that the economy is continuing to return to a balanced growth path, but its assessment suggests that underlying indicators of current price growth have not changed significantly. ⑷ From a policy perspective, this rate cut is a preventative adjustment based on expectations of slowing inflation, but the statement emphasizes that the inflation base is not yet solid, and the pace of subsequent easing depends on the sustainability of the slowdown. (5) In the future, attention should be paid to the transmission of ruble exchange rate changes to import prices, and whether residents' inflation expectations can follow the decline in policy interest rates. These two factors will determine whether the central bank has the conditions to continue cutting interest rates at the next meeting.

18:30:04

The interest rate decision of the Russian Central Bank in February

Previous : 16% Forecast : 16%

Published Value 15.50%

18:29:18

[ECB Liquidity: Overnight Deposits €2.41 Trillion, Loans Only €1 Million] ⑴ Daily liquidity data released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Friday showed that financial institutions used only €1 million in the central bank's overnight lending facility, while deposits in the overnight deposit facility reached a staggering €2.410328 trillion. ⑵ Compared to the previous trading day, overnight loans rose from 0 to €1 million, while deposits increased by approximately €20 billion from €2.390334 trillion. Meanwhile, current account holdings decreased from €218.51 billion to €191.449 billion. ⑶ In terms of fund flows, liquidity in the banking system remains extremely abundant, with institutions preferring to deposit surplus funds with the central bank to earn interest rather than lend or extend credit. ⑷ This structure reflects the continued low risk appetite of financial institutions against the backdrop of an uncertain economic outlook in the Eurozone, who are willing to accept lower returns on deposit facilities to ensure the safety of their principal. (5) The market needs to pay attention to the ECB's subsequent policy path. If the expectation of interest rate cuts is further strengthened, it will be important to see whether the current deposit scale can be eased and transformed into credit for the real economy.

18:29:06

Bank of America Global Research upgrades German equities to "Overweight".

18:28:10

[US Treasuries and Dollar Await Inflation Data, Markets Hold Their Breath for Policy Signals] ⑴ US Treasury yields and the dollar rose slightly ahead of the release of January inflation data. Konstantinos Chrysikos of Kudotrade noted in a report that the data release could recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy and inject volatility into the foreign exchange and bond markets. ⑵ The market currently expects both overall and core inflation to slow slightly year-over-year. However, Chrysikos stated that several policymakers have recently emphasized caution, suggesting that while price pressures have eased somewhat, inflation risks have not completely dissipated. ⑶ According to Tradeweb data, the two-year US Treasury yield rose 1.2 basis points to 3.476%; the 10-year yield rose 1.9 basis points to 4.122%. The DXY Dollar Index rose 0.1% to 97.062. (4) From a trading perspective, the cautious sentiment ahead of the data release has fueled risk aversion. If inflation falls more than expected, it may strengthen market bets on interest rate cuts this year, thus putting downward pressure on yields and the US dollar. If inflation remains resilient, the cautious rhetoric of policymakers will be supported. (5) The market's focus is entirely on the upcoming CPI data; any reading exceeding expectations could trigger a chain reaction in the stock, bond, and currency markets.

18:27:24

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2,040.00/ounce mark, last trading at $2,041.17/ounce, up 2.04% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $2,041.6/ounce, up 0.98% on the day.

18:26:30

[Palm Oil Rebounds After Falling, Bargain Buying Relieves Ringgit Pressure] ⑴ Palm oil prices rose on Friday, erasing earlier losses. Kenanga Futures noted in a report that bargain hunting before the weekend likely mitigated downward pressure after recent price declines. ⑵ However, the firm stated that concerns about demand uncertainty in the coming months, coupled with a stronger ringgit, continued to weigh on market sentiment. The April contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange ultimately rose 13 ringgit to 4,050 ringgit per tonne. ⑶ From a trading psychology perspective, short-term funds chose to cover at key price levels, indicating limited market expectations for further sharp declines; however, upward pressure remains due to dual uncertainties on both the exchange rate and demand sides. ⑷ The focus going forward will be on the subsequent purchasing pace of major importing countries and whether the ringgit exchange rate will show marginal changes, thereby providing more sustained upward momentum for prices.

18:25:26

[Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Holds Plenary Meeting of the Leading Group for Low-Altitude Industry Development] On February 13, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) held a plenary meeting of the Leading Group for Low-Altitude Industry Development. The meeting emphasized the need to strengthen top-level planning, improve planning processes, increase policy support for the innovative development of the low-altitude industry, accelerate standard pre-research, and establish a sound industry standard system. It also stressed the importance of actively promoting integrated innovation, strengthening research on fundamental and common technologies in the industry, deepening collaboration between low-altitude equipment and industries such as new energy and next-generation information technology, and accelerating the application of artificial intelligence. (MIIT Micro-Report)

18:25:01

The Indian government has approved the export of 2.5 million tons of wheat, plus an additional 5 million tons (not 250,000 tons). The government has approved wheat exports and allowed the export of additional wheat products and sugar, permitting the export of an additional 500,000 tons of sugar to willing sugar mills in the 2025-2026 crushing season.

18:22:24

The Federal Reserve has the room to "hold rates steady," which benefits the strengthening of the dollar. Details>

18:18:30

Total employed population in the Eurozone for the fourth quarter - calendar-adjusted and seasonally adjusted preliminary figures

Previous : 17041.14 Forecast : -

Published Value 17251.66

18:17:21

The revised reading of Spain's unadjusted CPI for January

Previous : 119.47 Forecast : -

Published Value 100.84

18:13:10

The seasonally adjusted trade balance of the eurozone for December

Previous : 107 Forecast : -

Published Value 116

18:09:41

Tonight's CPI scenario simulation Details>

18:02:20

Spot silver just touched the $78.00/ounce mark and is currently trading at $78.00/ounce, up 3.72% on the day; COMEX silver futures are currently trading at $77.83/ounce, up 2.83% on the day.

18:01:24

The seasonally adjusted annual GDP growth rate for the eurozone in the fourth quarter was revised

Previous : 1.30% Forecast : 1.30%

Neutral

Published Value 1.30%

18:01:12

The seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate revision for the Eurozone in the fourth quarter

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : 0.30%

Neutral

Published Value 0.30%

18:00:54

The seasonally adjusted annual GDP growth rate for the eurozone in the fourth quarter was revised

Previous : 1.30% Forecast : 1.30%

Neutral

Published Value 1.30%

18:00:44

The seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate revision for the Eurozone in the fourth quarter

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : 0.30%

Neutral

Published Value 0.30%

18:00:07

The eurozone's unadjusted trade balance for December

Previous : 99 Forecast : -

Published Value 126

18:00:06

The preliminary estimate of the seasonally adjusted annual rate of employment in the eurozone for the fourth quarter

Previous : 0.60% Forecast : 0.60%

Neutral

Published Value 0.60%

18:00:04

The preliminary estimate of the seasonally adjusted employment rate in the eurozone for the fourth quarter

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.10%

欧元

Published Value 0.20%

17:52:09

Indonesian Mining Minister: We are considering banning the export of several raw materials, including tin, next year.

17:50:57

[Flattening 2s/5s Yields in Italian Bonds Hints at Pricing Distortions; Mean Reversion Window May Appear] ⑴ After directional adjustments, the spread between the 2-year and 5-year yields on the Italian bond curve has flattened. Two-month long-duration yield regression analysis shows that the 5-year Italian bond is valued 4.2 basis points higher relative to the beta-adjusted 2-year yield, a deviation of 2.2 standard deviations. ⑵ This statistical significance suggests a possible technical distortion in short-term pricing, potentially reflecting an over-discounting of Italy's medium-term fiscal risks, or an underestimation of the 2-year liquidity premium. ⑶ Given that 2.2 standard deviations is approaching an extreme range, future focus will be on whether the spread reverts to its long-term mean. If the ECB's policy path becomes clearer or Italy's fiscal narrative improves, the 5-year yield may face relative downward pressure; conversely, if political uncertainty intensifies, the risk of a short-term correction cannot be ignored.

17:49:01

[Yen Surges 2.7% to 15-Month High, "Buy Japan" Narrative Reverses Short-Selling Trap] ⑴ The yen surged over 2% against the dollar this week, its largest weekly gain since November 2024. On Friday, USD/JPY closed at 153.46. Although the yen retreated 0.5% intraday, its upward momentum remained unstoppable. It rose 2.3% against the euro, its strongest weekly gain in a year, and also climbed approximately 2.7% against the pound, completely overturning pre-election market expectations that a victory for Sanae Takashi would trigger a sell-off. ⑵ Following Sunday's election results, Japanese stocks surged, and government bonds and the yen rose in tandem, forming a vote of confidence in Takashi's loose fiscal policy. She clearly pledged responsible policy and excluded new debt issuance. SMBC's Chief Foreign Exchange Strategist, Hirofumi Suzuki, stated that the election ended the political turmoil that began last July, and the short-covering wave may still have room for further gains. (3) Increased stock market volatility this week drove funds into low-yield safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. The Swiss franc rose 0.8% this week, holding steady at 0.7695. Rabobank strategist Jane Foley emphasized that the Swiss franc is the only safe-haven currency that meets the textbook definition—fiscal soundness, current account surplus, institutional credibility, and ample liquidity. In contrast, while the Norwegian krone and Swedish krona have surged 5.3% and 3% respectively since the beginning of the year, their lower trading volume makes them difficult to replace. (4) The Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish stance supports the Australian dollar's leading position among G10 currencies this year. It fell slightly by 0.3% to 0.7073 on Friday, but still rose nearly 0.9% for the week. The US dollar index is expected to fall 0.7% for the week, as seemingly strong labor market data concealed signs of weak hiring, weakening the narrative of economic resilience. (5) The market is holding its breath awaiting US inflation data. Currently, interest rate futures are pricing in two rate cuts in 2026, with the first likely to occur in July. Commonwealth Bank strategist Carol Kong stated that unless there are unexpected data releases, the US dollar may remain in consolidation in the short term. Whether the yen can break through the political premium and realize structural appreciation depends on the interplay between Sanae Takashi's fiscal discipline commitments and the stickiness of spring inflation.

17:45:44

The Kremlin has referred the Ministry of Energy and oil companies to address the issue of the disruption to oil supplies from the "Friendship" pipeline through the Ukrainian section.

17:45:34

The Kremlin: A new round of peace talks in Ukraine will be held next week. Both Russian and American companies have expressed interest, with some American companies hoping to return to the Russian market. Moscow is clearly proposing cooperation. Discussions of a potential US-Russia economic agreement, such as a memorandum of understanding, are unlikely to make progress at the verbal level until the conflict in Ukraine is resolved.

17:42:19

[Japanese Government Bond Futures Remain Stuck at Current Levels; Steepening Yield Hints at Central Bank's Aggressive Move] ⑴ Japanese government bond futures remained volatile on Friday, opening 34 points higher at 131.89, before touching an intraday high of 132.02. This was driven by buying interest following a sharp drop in US Treasury yields. Yields on 10- to 15-year bonds fell 3.5 basis points in the morning session, with the 10-year yield briefly dropping to 2.195% before rebounding quickly, failing to hold below 2.20% for the second consecutive day. ⑵ However, around 10:25, futures turned lower, touching 131.69, with selling pressure emerging on 40-year bonds, while 12-year bonds saw steady buying, suggesting positive demand for the day's 5- to 15.5-year non-active bond auctions. (3) Following a hawkish speech by Naoki Tamura, a member of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, futures prices accelerated their decline to 131.52. Tamura stated that Japanese inflation is becoming sticky and that the price target could be achieved as early as this spring. He also hinted at a neutral interest rate range of 1% to 2.5%. This statement pushed yields for 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, 20-year, and 30-year maturities to their intraday highs (1.295%, 1.70%, 2.235%, 3.08%, and 3.46%, respectively). (4) Buying on dips subsequently drove a rebound in futures prices, with yields for maturities under 20 years falling again. However, the steepening yield curve remained unchanged, with particularly strong buying interest in 16-year maturities. The yield on the 0.8% coupon JL180 maturing in March 2042 fell by 3.5 basis points in a single day, possibly reflecting institutional demand for replenishing positions in maturities missed in the secondary market. The bidding results for the 0.4% coupon JL173 maturing in June 2040 also showed strong demand. (5) The futures market fluctuated between 132.02 and 131.52 throughout the day, completely overlapping with yesterday's range, indicating that the market is stuck between the Bank of Japan's hawkish shift and the linkage with overseas bond markets. Going forward, attention will be focused on the timing of the spring price target confirmation and the pressure from the neutral interest rate guidance on reshaping long-term pricing.

17:41:35

[Oil Price Collapse and Geopolitical Clouds: Can the Rubber Market Recline After Three Consecutive Days of Decline?] ⑴ The Kuala Lumpur rubber market closed lower on Friday, with the SMR 20 contract falling 7.5 sen to 757 sen/kg and bulk latex declining 1 sen to 578.5 sen/kg. Traders cited a continued 0.28% drop in Brent crude oil to $67.33/barrel, coupled with weakness in regional rubber futures. ⑵ Oil prices had already plummeted by nearly 3%, with expectations of oversupply and rising inventories continuing to weigh on sentiment. Meanwhile, Japanese rubber futures fell for three consecutive days, and the approaching Lunar New Year holiday in China exacerbated selling pressure due to liquidity shortages. ⑶ Escalating tensions in the Middle East added another layer of pressure. Media reports indicated that the US was deploying a second aircraft carrier to the region, creating a double whammy of geopolitical risk premiums and pessimistic demand. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence data showed that global electric vehicle registrations in January plummeted by 3% year-on-year, dragged down by the reduction of subsidies in China and changes in US policy, directly impacting the outlook for rubber consumption. (4) However, the decline was limited by positive US economic data and stable inflation expectations, and the market is still weighing the supporting effect of macroeconomic resilience on industrial commodities. (5) Next Monday is the Chinese New Year holiday. The Kuala Lumpur market will be closed from February 16th to 18th and will resume trading on the 19th. Pre-holiday capital outflows may reduce volatility, but the unresolved supply-demand imbalance in the oil market and geopolitical tensions will make the post-holiday restocking pace and the direction of electric vehicle policies key variables for the renewed battle between bulls and bears.

17:37:58

[Indonesia's Sovereign Wealth Fund Makes Big Move! 14 Major Projects Worth $19 Billion to Commence] ⑴ The CEO of sovereign wealth fund Danantara Indonesia said on Friday that the fund is seeking credit ratings from Moody's and S&P, and will launch 14 new projects in the natural resource processing sector, totaling $19 billion. ⑵ Rosan Roeslani also revealed at an economic forum attended by international organizations that Danantara will make various investments this year totaling 202.4 trillion Indonesian Rupiah, covering data centers, agriculture, and waste-to-energy. ⑶ These investments include a data center project worth 21 trillion Indonesian Rupiah, and the bidding results for the waste-to-energy project will be announced at the end of this month. ⑷ From an investment perspective, Danantara's simultaneous promotion of resource processing and digital infrastructure aims to balance Indonesia's economic dependence on commodities through diversification, while obtaining international ratings will help attract cross-border capital to participate in subsequent financing. ⑸ The focus will be on the specific financing structure of the $19 billion projects, and whether new sectors such as data centers and waste-to-energy can be implemented as scheduled and create a demonstration effect.

17:35:22

[91 Million Tons! Russian Wheat Production Forecast Raised Again, Global Supply Pressure Increases Sharply] ⑴ Russian consulting firm IKAR on Friday raised its forecast for the country's 2026 wheat harvest from 88 million tons to 91 million tons. Head of the firm, Dmitry Rylko, also projected an export potential of 47.5 million tons for the 2026/27 season. ⑵ The firm also projected Russia's total grain production for 2026/27 to be 141.5 million tons, with an export potential of 63.5 million tons. ⑶ The upward revisions to both production and export forecasts mean that wheat supplies in the Black Sea region will be more abundant than previously anticipated, further increasing the grain supply available to global buyers in the new season. ⑷ From a supply and demand perspective, upward revisions to production figures from major producing countries often put downward pressure on international wheat prices. In particular, Russian wheat, with its price advantage, occupies a significant share of the global export market, and its expanded export potential will intensify the bargaining power of major importing countries. (5) In the future, attention should be paid to the growth of winter wheat in other major producing countries in the Northern Hemisphere. If there are also signs of a bumper harvest, the loose supply situation in the international grain market will be further established.

17:32:41

[Singapore Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to Add S$1.5 Billion, Stock Market Injection Plan Linked to Hard Indicators] ⑴ The MAS is injecting an additional S$1.5 billion to boost stock market liquidity. Christopher Forbes of CMC Invest commented that the authority may further expand the funding for the plan if the outcome proves necessary. ⑵ He expects future funding batches to be linked to specific indicators, such as the ratio of third-party funds introduced through strategies deployed by fund managers selected under the plan. ⑶ The head of Asia and the Middle East also stated that increasing the diversity of potential IPOs and focusing funds specifically on mid-cap stocks may also become criteria for injecting new funds into the plan. ⑷ From a trading psychology perspective, linking to hard indicators helps boost market confidence, indicating that policy resources will be precisely targeted rather than indefinitely guaranteed, and in the medium to long term, this is expected to attract more incremental funds to focus on mid-cap stocks and IPO targets in the Singapore market. ⑸ The focus going forward is on the pace of subsequent funding batches under the plan and whether the selected fund managers can effectively leverage third-party capital to form a positive cycle.

17:28:19

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,970.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,969.97/ounce, up 1.00% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,990.10/ounce, up 0.84% on the day.

17:25:04

Head of Indonesia's Danantara Sovereign Wealth Fund: We will announce the winners of the waste-to-energy project tender by the end of this month.

17:24:38

Head of Indonesia's Danantara Sovereign Wealth Fund: We will continue to advance 14 more projects in the natural resource processing sector, with a total value of US$19 billion.

17:24:11

ByteDance is in advanced talks to sell its gaming division, Shanghai Moonton Technology, in a deal that could value the company between $6 billion and $7 billion.

17:23:48

Head of Indonesia's Danantara sovereign wealth fund: We are currently undergoing the rating processes of S&P and Moody's.

17:20:09

[Swiss franc holds steady near record high; Swiss inflation data meets expectations] ⑴ The Swiss franc traded near 0.77 against the US dollar, close to record levels. ⑵ Continued safe-haven demand and investor expectations of a stable Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy stance supported the exchange rate. ⑶ Latest data showed that Switzerland's inflation rate for January 2026 was 0.1%. ⑷ This data was unchanged from December and met market expectations. ⑸ Market expectations that the SNB would maintain its current interest rate stance remained unaffected.

17:19:56

[Bulgaria's GDP Growth Slows to 2.9% in Q4 2025, Lowest in Over a Year] ⑴ Preliminary estimates show that Bulgaria's economy grew by 2.9% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2025. ⑵ The previous month's growth was revised downward to 3.1%. ⑶ This is the weakest growth pace since the third quarter of 2024. ⑷ Net external demand continued to drag on overall economic performance. ⑸ Exports of goods and services remained in contraction territory, but the decline narrowed significantly to 0.1%. ⑹ The third quarter saw a decline of 5.4%. ⑺ Import growth accelerated sharply to 9.5%. ⑻ The third quarter saw growth of 4.2%. ⑼ Meanwhile, the growth rate of final consumption expenditure slowed to 7.2% from 7.9% in the third quarter. ⑽ Gross fixed capital formation growth accelerated further, rising from 9.3% to 10.1%. ⑪ On a quarterly basis, the economy grew by 0.8% in the fourth quarter. 12. The quarter-on-quarter increase in the third quarter was 0.7%.

17:19:15

L'Oréal CEO: Hopes Asian travel retail market will remain stable this year

17:19:05

Tri Pointe Homes shares rose 25.8% in pre-market trading after Sumitomo Forestry announced its $4.5 billion acquisition offer.

17:18:50

L'Oréal CFO: The impact of tariffs in 2026 is expected to be slightly higher than anticipated.

17:18:37

In its monthly report, the German Ministry of Economic Affairs stated that there are increasing signs that the economic recovery is becoming more stable.

17:18:26

Shares of Italy's Prysmian Group continued their decline, falling 5.7%, as the U.S. may lift tariffs on metal derivatives.

17:18:15

Toast Shares fell 5.4% in pre-market trading after the company released its fourth-quarter results.

17:18:02

L'Oréal CEO: All markets had a good start to the year, and there are no signs of a slowdown in the European market.

17:17:52

Roku's annual revenue forecast beat expectations, sending its pre-market stock up 12.6%.

17:16:09

Peru's trade surplus widened to US$3.9994 billion in December 2025. (1) Peru's trade surplus widened to US$3.9994 billion in December 2025. (2) The surplus was US$2.3959 billion in the same period last year. (3) Exports increased by 33.5% year-on-year, reaching US$9.4411 billion. (4) The growth was mainly driven by a 43.0% increase in exports of traditional products. (5) Exports of non-traditional products increased by 11.2%. (6) Exports of other products increased by 31.6%. (7) Imports increased by 16.4% year-on-year, reaching US$5.4417 billion. (8) Imports of consumer goods increased by 15.7%. (9) Imports of raw materials and intermediate goods increased by 9.5%. (10) Imports of capital goods increased by 28.5%. (11) Imports of other goods decreased by 16.7%. (12) The country recorded a trade surplus of US$34.57 billion for the whole of 2025.

17:15:57

[German DAX Index Trades Cautiously on Friday, Siemens Leads Decline] ⑴ The Frankfurt DAX index traded below flat on Friday, around 24,830 points. ⑵ Global markets were cautious ahead of a key US inflation report, with continued concerns about high investment in artificial intelligence also weighing on the market. ⑶ Meanwhile, traders remained focused on the ongoing earnings season. ⑷ In terms of individual stocks, Siemens fell 3%, leading the index decline. ⑸ Bronde fell 2.7%, Symrise fell 1.7%, and Rheinmetall fell 1.6%. ⑹ On the upside, MTU Aero Engines and Rheinmetall rose 2.9% and 1.7% respectively, leading the gains. ⑺ The index is expected to record a weekly gain of 0.4% this week.

17:15:34

[European Stocks Hold Steady Ahead of US Inflation Data, Tech Stocks Under Pressure] ⑴ European stocks held steady on Friday as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of key US inflation data. ⑵ This data could influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's next policy move. ⑶ The Euro Stoxx 50 index fell 0.1% to around 6010 points. ⑷ The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was essentially flat at 618 points. ⑸ Tech stocks faced renewed selling pressure as concerns intensified about the long-term sustainability of massive investments in artificial intelligence. ⑹ Investors reassessed potential structural shifts across industries, with anxiety over the disruptive risks of AI also weighing on sectors such as logistics, commercial real estate, and financial services. ⑺ In company news, L'Oréal shares plunged more than 6% after the company's fourth-quarter sales growth fell short of expectations. ⑻ Dalier fell 8.7%, with mixed performance from its Eastern division. ⑼ Safran bucked the trend, surging 7% after the aerospace group raised its 2026 revenue and profit targets.

17:15:09

[Slovakia's GDP Growth Accelerates to 1% in Q4 2025, Exceeding Expectations] ⑴ Preliminary estimates indicate that Slovakia's economy grew by 1% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2025. ⑵ The previous quarter's growth was 0.9%. ⑶ This growth rate exceeded market expectations of 0.8%, marking the strongest annual growth since the third quarter of 2024. ⑷ This was mainly supported by significant growth in investment activity, particularly government investment. ⑸ Net foreign trade also made a positive contribution. ⑹ After seasonal adjustment, the economy grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the fourth quarter. ⑺ This represents a slowdown compared to the 0.3% quarter-on-quarter growth in the third quarter.

17:14:49

[FTSE 100 Rises Slightly on Friday, with Banks and Mining Stocks Contributing Gains] ⑴ The FTSE 100 rose slightly in Friday trading, after falling 0.7% in the previous session. ⑵ Previously pressured stocks rebounded, with banks and mining stocks also recording gains. ⑶ Stocks related to the disruptive risks of artificial intelligence recovered lost ground, with Rexroth Group rising nearly 4%, becoming the best performing stock. ⑷ London Stock Exchange Group rose over 1%. ⑸ Bank stocks also rose, with NatWest Bank Group rising 0.6%. ⑹ The bank reported better-than-expected pre-tax profits and announced a £750 million share buyback in the first half of 2026. ⑺ Defense stocks were supported after allies pledged up to $35 billion in additional military aid to Ukraine. ⑻ Bayer Systems rose 0.7%, and Rolls-Royce rose 2%. ⑼ On the downside, Entan fell nearly 2%, with its US peer DraftKings weakening due to weak guidance.

17:14:03

[Ikar Agricultural Consulting Raises 2026 Wheat and Grain Production Forecasts for Russia] ⑴ Ikar Agricultural Consulting now forecasts Russian wheat production at 91 million tons in 2026. ⑵ Previously, the company projected 88 million tons. ⑶ The company projects wheat export potential of 47.5 million tons for the 2026/2027 season. ⑷ The company projects Russian grain production at 141.5 million tons in 2026. ⑸ The company projects grain export potential of 63.5 million tons for the 2026/2027 season.

17:13:48

[National Railways Expected to Transport 15.1 Million Passengers on February 13, with 2,117 Additional Trains Planned] National railways are expected to transport 15.1 million passengers on February 13, maintaining a high level of passenger flow. 2,117 additional passenger trains are planned. On February 12, national railways transported 15.019 million passengers. Since the start of the Spring Festival travel rush on February 2, a total of 143 million passengers have been transported, with transportation remaining safe, stable, and orderly. (CCTV News)

17:13:33

[World Rowing Federation Approves Russian and Belarusian Athletes to Participate in International Competitions Under Neutral Status] The World Rowing Federation has approved Russian and Belarusian athletes to participate in international competitions under a neutral status. CCTV News learned on February 13th that the Federation has allowed athletes from Russia and Belarus to participate in international competitions in the quadruple sculls and eight events under a neutral status.

17:12:51

[Singapore's Vehicle Quota Premium Revenue Reaches S$8.66 Billion, Exceeding Government Expectations] ⑴ In the year ending March 2026, Singapore's vehicle quota premium revenue reached S$8.66 billion. ⑵ This amount is approximately 31% higher than the government's initial forecast a year ago. ⑶ Including motor vehicle taxes, the total revenue received by the Singapore government reached S$11.05 billion. ⑷ This figure exceeds Fiji's annual GDP. ⑸ Singapore operates a vehicle quota system, requiring each vehicle to obtain a Certificate of Entitlement (COE) through auction before it can be driven on the road.

17:12:30

[Indian Petroleum Minister Reportedly Corresponded with Epstein via Email; Opposition Demands Resignation] ⑴ According to documents released by the US Department of Justice, Indian Petroleum Minister Hardeep Puri exchanged emails with Epstein discussing a meeting in New York. ⑵ Rahul Gandhi, leader of the Indian opposition, revealed Puri's email correspondence with Epstein this week. ⑶ A spokesperson for the party stated on Thursday that, given these connections, the minister should resign. ⑷ In response to inquiries via email on Friday, Puri's office stated that over approximately eight years, Puri met with Epstein in New York about three or four times, and these meetings were for official business.

17:10:07

[PBOC: January Interbank Lending Weighted Average Rate at 1.4%, Up 0.04 Percentage Points from Previous Month] The People's Bank of China (PBOC) released its financial statistics report for January 2026. In January, the total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market through lending, spot trading, and repurchase agreements reached 211.96 trillion yuan, with a daily average of 10.09 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.1%. Specifically, the daily average transaction volume of interbank lending increased by 75.6% year-on-year, spot trading by 9.2%, and pledged repurchase transactions by 40.7%. The weighted average interest rate for interbank lending in January was 1.4%, up 0.04 percentage points from the previous month and down 0.46 percentage points from the same period last year. The weighted average interest rate for pledged repurchase agreements was 1.43%, up 0.03 percentage points from the previous month and down 0.73 percentage points from the same period last year.

17:09:57

[PBOC: RMB Loans Increased by 4.71 Trillion Yuan in January] Data from the People's Bank of China shows that RMB loans increased by 4.71 trillion yuan in January. By sector, household loans increased by 456.5 billion yuan, of which short-term loans increased by 109.7 billion yuan and medium- and long-term loans increased by 346.9 billion yuan; loans to enterprises and institutions increased by 4.45 trillion yuan, of which short-term loans increased by 2.05 trillion yuan, medium- and long-term loans increased by 3.18 trillion yuan, and bill financing decreased by 873.9 billion yuan; loans to non-bank financial institutions decreased by 188.2 billion yuan.

17:09:45

[PBOC: Cross-border RMB settlement under current account items totaled 1.49 trillion yuan in January, while cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment totaled 0.78 trillion yuan] The PBOC reported that in January, cross-border RMB settlement under current account items totaled 1.49 trillion yuan, of which goods trade, services trade, and other current account items amounted to 1.19 trillion yuan and 0.3 trillion yuan, respectively. Cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment totaled 0.78 trillion yuan, of which outward direct investment and foreign direct investment amounted to 0.27 trillion yuan and 0.51 trillion yuan, respectively.

17:09:33

The People's Bank of China reported that RMB deposits increased by 8.09 trillion yuan in January. Specifically, household deposits increased by 2.13 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 2.61 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.55 trillion yuan, and deposits from non-bank financial institutions increased by 1.45 trillion yuan.

17:09:26

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reported that RMB loans increased by 4.71 trillion yuan in January. By sector, household loans increased by 456.5 billion yuan, including 109.7 billion yuan in short-term loans and 346.9 billion yuan in medium- and long-term loans; loans to enterprises and institutions increased by 4.45 trillion yuan, including 2.05 trillion yuan in short-term loans and 3.18 trillion yuan in medium- and long-term loans, while bill financing decreased by 873.9 billion yuan; and loans to non-bank financial institutions decreased by 188.2 billion yuan.

17:09:19

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reported that preliminary statistics show total social financing in January 2026 reached 7.22 trillion yuan, 166.2 billion yuan more than the same period last year. The outstanding social financing at the end of January 2026 was 449.11 trillion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.2%.

17:09:12

The People's Bank of China reported that RMB deposits increased by 8.09 trillion yuan in January. Specifically, household deposits increased by 2.13 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 2.61 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.55 trillion yuan, and deposits from non-bank financial institutions increased by 1.45 trillion yuan.

17:07:36

The annual rate of the balance of various RMB loans in China in January

Previous : 6.40% Forecast : 6.20%

Published Value 6.10%

17:06:34

China's social financing scale in January - year-to-date

Previous : 356000 Forecast : 70850

Published Value 72200

17:06:33

China's social financing scale in January - year-to-date

Previous : 356000 Forecast : 70850

Published Value 72200

17:06:23

China's new RMB loans in January - year-to-date

Previous : 162700 Forecast : 50000

Published Value 47100

17:06:20

China's new RMB loans in January - year-to-date

Previous : 162700 Forecast : 50000

Published Value 47100

17:05:24

China's M2 annual rate of money supply in January

Previous : 8.50% Forecast : 8.40%

Published Value 9%

17:05:12

China's annual rate of M1 money supply in January

Previous : 3.80% Forecast : 3.60%

Published Value 4.90%

17:05:01

China's annual rate of M0 money supply in January

Previous : 10.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.70%

17:03:32

Switzerland's unadjusted CPI reading for January

Previous : 106.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 99.90

17:01:41

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Nickel

Previous : 636 Forecast : -

Published Value 702

17:01:34

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Tin

Previous : -60 Forecast : -

Published Value -50

17:01:25

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Zinc

Previous : -1750 Forecast : -

Published Value -1275

17:01:14

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Copper

Previous : 4550 Forecast : -

Published Value 7225

17:01:03

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Primary aluminum

Previous : -2200 Forecast : -

Published Value -2000

17:00:56

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Lead

Previous : -50 Forecast : -

Published Value -250

17:00:47

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:46

LME daily inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:43

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on February 13th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:21

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2030.00/ounce mark, last trading at $2029.90/ounce, up 1.47% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $2031.6/ounce, up 0.49% on the day.

16:58:56

[Portuguese Parliament Passes Bill Restricting Social Media Use for Those Under 16] The Portuguese parliament passed a bill on the 12th stipulating that minors under the age of 16 in Portugal will not have free access to social media platforms and must obtain explicit parental authorization and pass an official verification process before they can use them. (Xinhua)

16:58:40

[Shenzhen Prohibits Illegal Gold Pre-Price Trading] On February 13, ten departments, including the Shenzhen Municipal Financial Regulatory Bureau and the Shenzhen Branch of the People's Bank of China, jointly issued a "Public Notice on Further Regulating the Business Practices of the Gold Market," clearly defining compliance red lines from three dimensions: enterprises, individuals, and financial institutions. The notice targets industry irregularities such as illegal gold trading, fundraising fraud, and false advertising. The notice lists six prohibited behaviors for enterprises' gold business: 1. Strictly prohibit disguised futures trading. Enterprises are prohibited from collecting margins and settling price differences through WeChat groups, mini-programs, or apps under the guise of "locked-in prices" or "pre-price trading," without physical delivery. 2. Strictly prohibit illegal fundraising. Enterprises are prohibited from promising "principal and interest guarantees" under the guise of gold custody, leasing, or repurchase. 3. Strictly prohibit investment on behalf of clients. Enterprises are prohibited from inducing consumers to purchase gold but not take physical delivery, instead converting it into entrusted investment. 4. Strictly prohibit illegal online business operations. Enterprises are prohibited from illegally selling, developing, or providing technical support for illegal gold trading software through live streaming. 5. False advertising is strictly prohibited. It is forbidden to impersonate a "Shanghai Gold Exchange member" and to use absolute terms such as "gold prices will definitely rise sharply" or "buying gold is a sure way to make money." 6. Adulteration and price fraud are strictly prohibited. It is forbidden to pass off non-gold as gold, to sell inferior goods as superior ones, and to add extra charges or collect fees not clearly stated. Furthermore, the notice lists two prohibited behaviors in personal gold transactions: 1. Participation in illegal pre-sale transactions, illegal fundraising, and illegal entrusted investment is prohibited; 2. Developing or using illegal gold trading apps or mini-programs is prohibited, and providing technical support to related platforms is not allowed. (CCTV Finance)

16:57:54

[State Administration of Foreign Exchange: my country's Current Account Surplus Reached 1.7137 Trillion Yuan in Q4 2025] Data from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange shows that in the fourth quarter of 2025, my country's current account surplus reached 1.7137 trillion yuan, including a goods trade surplus of 2.1043 trillion yuan, a services trade deficit of 284.5 billion yuan, a primary income deficit of 155.2 billion yuan, and a secondary income surplus of 49.1 billion yuan. The capital and financial account (including net errors and omissions for the quarter) showed a deficit of 1.7137 trillion yuan, with net inflows of direct investment into China. For the full year 2025, my country's current account surplus is projected to reach 5.2427 trillion yuan, while the capital and financial account (including net errors and omissions for the fourth quarter) is projected to show a deficit of 5.4217 trillion yuan.

16:57:32

Has the euro bottomed out? A data storm is quietly approaching. Details>

16:54:30

China's Commercial Banks' Foreign Exchange Settlement and Sales in January - Bank Agency

Previous : 7055 Forecast : -

Published Value 6214

16:48:24

GAC Group: The board of directors has approved providing a loan of no more than RMB 5 billion to its wholly-owned subsidiary, GAC Trumpchi Automobile Co., Ltd.

16:46:03

[Gold Prices Recover Some Losses as Market Awaits US Inflation Data] ⑴ Gold prices rebounded after falling on Thursday as investors await US inflation data to be released later on Friday for further clues about the path of interest rate cuts this year. ⑵ Soojin Kim of MUFG said gold prices recovered some recent losses as bargain hunters returned ahead of key US inflation data. ⑶ Gold prices rose as much as 1.4%, after falling 3.2% in the previous session, marking their biggest one-day drop in a week. ⑷ She said the earlier decline occurred at the same time as overall market jitters and could have been amplified by margin calls, algorithmic trading, and profit-taking. ⑸ New York gold futures rose 1.1% to $5,002.10 per ounce and are on track for a modest weekly gain. ⑹ Meanwhile, silver futures also recovered from the previous session's losses, rising 4% to $78.71 per ounce.

16:44:12

Sources familiar with the matter say that some of the largest private equity firms are in talks with the Bank of England to bring in third-party institutions to participate in their groundbreaking industry stress test data collection efforts, in order to ensure the project meets stringent timelines.

49

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	5098.85	103.02 (2.06%)
XAG	84.227	5.873 (7.50%)
CONC	66.31	-0.09 (-0.14%)
OILC	71.58	-0.31 (-0.44%)
USD	97.807	-0.045 (-0.05%)
EURUSD	1.1785	0.0012 (0.10%)
GBPUSD	1.3484	0.0021 (0.16%)
USDCNH	6.8955	-0.0024 (-0.04%)

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