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2026-05-22 Friday

2026-05-30

23:04:38

[Commercial Bank: Iran War Progress Remains Key to Euro Outlook] Commerzbank analyst Volkmar Baur stated that recent shifts in US and Eurozone interest rate expectations highlight the importance of the progress of the Iran war to the euro's exchange rate against the dollar. The market currently reflects strong expectations of a US rate hike before the end of the year due to rising oil prices, but has reduced bets on a Eurozone rate hike due to concerns about economic growth. Baur said a swift resolution to the conflict would support the euro as the market may again reflect expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. He added that if the conflict continues, the euro could fall as the economic impact on Europe becomes more pronounced than on the US. The euro fell 0.1% to $1.1607.

23:03:47

[Domestic Transformers See Global Order Boom: Chinese Manufacturing Shifts from Scale Dividends to Capability Premiums] Recently, domestically produced transformers have been selling extremely well overseas, with prices rising and overseas orders continuing to pour in. At the end of April, a transformer company in Jiangxi was busy shipping orders. This company started operating two shifts on the third day of the Lunar New Year, with a peak daily shipment volume of nearly 80 million yuan. The company's revenue has increased nearly fivefold in four years. Orders for overseas projects this year are expected to exceed 1 billion yuan. Customs data shows that my country's annual transformer exports increased from 23.7 billion yuan in 2021 to 64.6 billion yuan in 2025, with an average annual compound growth rate exceeding 28%; high-voltage, large-capacity products have become the main export focus. The surge in transformer orders has also kept upstream electromagnetic wire companies extremely busy. A factory in Hunan has a planned monthly production capacity of 4,000 tons, with orders exceeding 6,000 tons, and multiple customers stationed at the factory to expedite delivery. Faced with uncertain copper prices, companies are using financial instruments to hedge risks while simultaneously developing aluminum electromagnetic wire. This surge in orders is not a simple repetition of low-price, high-volume sales. High-voltage, low-loss, intelligent, and customized products are becoming the main export drivers, and "Made in China" is shifting from "scale dividends" to "capability premiums." (CCTV Finance)

23:03:26

[Putin Says Ukrainian Attack on Luhansk School Kills 6, Injures 39] Russian President Vladimir Putin said today (May 22) that early this morning, Ukraine used 16 drones in three waves to attack a school in the Luhansk region, resulting in 6 deaths, 39 injuries, and 15 missing persons. Putin emphasized that there is no evidence that the drones were shot down or deviated from their flight paths when they hit the school dormitory building. He has instructed the Russian Ministry of Defense to develop a retaliatory strike plan. According to previous information provided by Russia, there were 86 teenagers aged 14 to 18 inside the building at the time of the attack. Ukraine has not yet responded. (CCTV International News)

23:02:54

Amidst escalating global supply chain difficulties, India is easing controls on container transshipment at the Port of Navasheva.

23:02:24

As Kevin Warsh takes over the Federal Reserve, market bets on his interest rate hikes are heating up.

23:01:55

[Night Trading Futures Closing] Soybean futures rose 2.84% for the second consecutive day, liquefied petroleum gas futures fell 1.63% for the second consecutive day, coking coal futures fell 1.45% for the second consecutive day, fuel oil futures fell 1.24% for the second consecutive day, and staple fiber futures fell 1.13% for the second consecutive day.

23:01:37

U.S. Treasury yields rose as Federal Reserve Governor Waller shifted to a more dovish stance and U.S. consumer confidence fell more than expected. Waller stated that the protracted Middle East conflict increases the risk of energy inflation spreading to the economy, therefore the Fed should stop suggesting that interest rate cuts are its most likely next step. This contradicts his previous stance of supporting rate cuts. Meanwhile, amid rising inflation concerns, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 44.8 from 49.8 in April. Brent crude oil rose about 2%, and the Wall Street Journal dollar index edged higher. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.572% from 4.552% before Waller's speech and the data release. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.117% from 4.089%.

22:56:07

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio: Sweden has always been an exemplary ally, and its accession to NATO is of great significance. The two sides have a long history of cooperation in the field of science and technology, and maintain collaboration with Swedish companies. Today, the two sides signed a memorandum of understanding to further deepen cooperation in the fields of biomedicine, biotechnology, and artificial intelligence.

22:55:50

[Turkey's London Roadshow Disrupted by Political and Market Turmoil] Senior Turkish economic officials met with London investors to alleviate concerns about the country's accelerating inflation. Hours later, a landmark ruling by an Ankara appeals court removed Ozgur Ozel, leader of the largest opposition party, triggered political turmoil and market volatility. The Turkish government stated it would "take necessary and coordinated steps to maintain macro-financial stability," and analysts expect the court's impact to be relatively short-lived. Long-term investors in Turkey are accustomed to being caught off guard by unexpected events—from the sudden dismissal of the central bank governor and other senior economic officials late at night to the arrest of prominent figures in politics and civil society. Such events can wipe out an entire year's expected returns within minutes.

22:55:10

Mexican President Sinbaum said a follow-up meeting with the Minister of Homeland Security will be held in June.

22:54:39

Federal Reserve's Waller: It is normal for there to be disagreements and debates within the Federal Reserve.

22:54:29

[my country's Urban Underground Pipeline Network Ranks First Globally: A 5 Trillion Yuan Opportunity for Urban Infrastructure] Currently, my country boasts the world's largest urban underground pipeline network. Recently, the State Council Executive Meeting reviewed and approved the "15th Five-Year Plan for Urban Renewal," providing a "task list" and "roadmap" for the construction and renovation of urban underground pipeline networks during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. Xing Haifeng, a first-level inspector of the Urban Construction Department of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, stated: "During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, it is estimated that 770,000 kilometers of urban underground pipelines will be constructed and renovated, driving investment of approximately 5 trillion yuan, further enhancing urban operational safety and resilience." Experts indicate that the construction and renovation of urban underground pipeline networks not only addresses urban safety shortcomings and improves operational efficiency and resilience but also serves as a crucial tool for expanding effective investment and stabilizing economic growth, directly stimulating demand across multiple links in the upstream and downstream of the industry chain, including pipe materials, construction machinery, intelligent sensing equipment, and construction services. (CCTV Finance)

22:54:07

Federal Reserve's Waller: I firmly believe that it is essential for central banks to maintain their independence.

22:54:07

Federal Reserve's Waller: Recent employment and inflation data have changed my interest rate stance.

22:54:05

Federal Reserve's Walsh: I have not yet discussed monetary policy matters with Walsh.

22:54:03

Federal Reserve's Waller: We could reduce the Fed's balance sheet by $300 billion to $500 billion.

22:45:11

Federal Reserve's Waller: We do not want to move toward a scarce reserve regime.

22:44:29

[Pakistani military source: Chief of Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has traveled to Iran] A Pakistani military source told Xinhua News Agency on the 22nd that ISI Chief Malik had traveled to Iran that day. Previously, Iranian media reported that Pakistani Army Chief of Staff Munir had traveled to Iran to meet with senior Iranian officials to advance Iran-US negotiations. (Xinhua)

22:44:12

The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note hit an intraday high, last quoted at 4.135%.

22:40:42

Federal Reserve Bank of Walter stated that rising bond yields could help curb inflation.

22:40:39

Federal Reserve's Waller: We want to maintain an ample reserve regime.

22:40:38

Federal Reserve's Waller: We can't go back to the smaller balance sheet level we had in 2008.

22:40:37

Federal Reserve's Waller: If short-term inflation expectations rise, it will be a wake-up call, and we may have to take action.

22:39:36

Federal Reserve Governor Waller: We generally prefer to look at market-based measures of inflation expectations.

22:39:25

Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If inflation expectations rise over 2, 3, or 4 years, that's a problem for me.

22:32:55

U.S. Department of Homeland Security: Foreign nationals temporarily residing in the United States who wish to apply for a green card must return to their country of origin to submit their application.

22:32:03

Putin: I have instructed the Ministry of Defense to draft a countermeasure plan against Ukraine.

22:31:48

Putin: Ukraine carried out a terrorist attack in the Luhansk region. The attack has resulted in 6 deaths and 39 injuries. Additionally, 15 people are missing. Putin: This attack in Ukraine was not accidental.

22:31:04

The gains of the three major U.S. stock indexes narrowed, with the S&P 500 falling to an intraday low after rising more than 0.7% earlier.

22:28:15

[Germany Plans to Allocate 4% of GDP to Defense Spending by 2026] German Foreign Minister André Waldhofer stated on the 22nd that the German government plans to allocate 4% of its GDP to defense spending by 2026. According to German radio, Waldhofer made these remarks during the NATO foreign ministers' meeting in Helsingborg, Sweden, indicating that the German government is moving towards its goal of increasing this proportion to 5%. NATO member states decided last year to increase annual defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. Foreign media also reported that Waldhofer stated prior to the meeting that Germany would propose strengthening defense cooperation with Ukraine. (Xinhua)

22:27:40

[Report: If the US and Iran reach an understanding, it will be a "one-page agreement," possibly named the "Islamabad Declaration"] According to Saudi media Alhadath, a senior diplomatic source stated that if Washington and Tehran reach an understanding, it will be presented in the form of a "one-page agreement." The agreement between Washington and Tehran is likely to be named the "Islamabad Declaration." If Washington and Tehran reach an agreement, comprehensive negotiations will take place within a stipulated timeframe. The Iranian delegation will again be headed by Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf.

22:26:55

The Brazilian Steel Association (ACO Brasil) said that Brazil's steel imports fell 33% year-on-year in April.

22:26:41

[Cuban President Rejects US Accusations, Emphasizes Cuba's Right to Legitimate Self-Defense] On the 22nd local time, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel stated that the claim that "Cuba poses a threat to the United States" exists only in the "misconceptions" of some officials in the current US administration. He stated that these individuals "control policy towards Cuba," using blatant lies to create public opinion in the US and international community, seeking a pretext for launching a war that could result in massive casualties. Díaz-Canel stated that since the victory of the revolution, Cuba has always been committed to peaceful coexistence. However, it is precisely successive US administrations that have repeatedly threatened and violated this right. Now, the US has pushed the threats to the extreme, not only combining absurd lies with military intimidation but also depriving the Cuban people of the most basic resources and services upon which they depend for survival. Díaz-Canel said that the US has long sheltered "terrorists" engaged in anti-Cuba activities and, without providing any evidence, designated Cuba as a "state sponsor of terrorism," a practice widely opposed by the international community. Díaz-Canel emphasized that Cuba neither threatens, challenges, nor provokes the United States or any other country in the world; Cuba is a peace-loving nation. He stated that Cuba enjoys the legitimate right to self-defense under international law. He also expressed Cuba's continued hope to resolve differences through rationality, dialogue, and peace. (CCTV News)

22:26:16

Qualcomm's stock price rose by 9%.

22:25:47

[US Consumer Confidence Plunges to Record Low Due to Inflation Concerns] Affected by the conflict with Iran, the US consumer confidence index fell to a record low in May, and long-term inflation expectations also deteriorated significantly. Data shows that the final reading of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for May fell to 44.8, with consumers expecting an annualized price increase of 3.9% over the next five to ten years, up from 3.5% in April and reaching a seven-month high. They also expect prices to rise by 4.8% over the next year. Gasoline prices continue to hover near their highest levels since 2022, exacerbating Americans' concerns about rising living costs and the failure to reach an agreement to end the war. The impact of inflation on household budgets, especially for low-income consumers, poses a risk to future consumption prospects. Joanne Hsu, the survey's director, stated, "The cost of living remains the top concern, with 57% of respondents indicating that high prices are eroding their personal finances, up from 50% last month." She added, "The key is that consumers seem worried that inflation will not only spread to areas beyond fuel prices, but that this upward trend may continue for a long time to come."

22:24:13

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1910.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1909.66/oz, down 2.92% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1917.4/oz, down 2.41% on the day; Spot silver has just broken through the $75.00/oz mark, currently trading at $74.98/oz, down 2.19% on the day; COMEX silver futures are currently trading at $75.34/oz, down 1.81% on the day.

22:18:11

Spot silver fell 2.01% on the day, closing at $75.12 per ounce; COMEX silver futures were last quoted at $75.47 per ounce, down 1.64% on the day.

22:15:01

Spot gold fell 1.01% on the day to $4,497.05 per ounce; COMEX gold futures were last quoted at $4,498.80 per ounce, down 0.96% on the day.

22:14:50

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1920.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1919.27/oz, down 2.43% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1928.5/oz, down 1.85% on the day.

22:14:11

Market pricing indicates that traders have fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve by the end of 2026.

22:13:50

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,500.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,499.22/ounce, down 0.96% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,500.60/ounce, down 0.92% on the day.

22:09:26

The US dollar index (DXY) rose slightly in the short term, after Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the Fed should no longer signal interest rate cuts.

22:08:59

[Federal Reserve Governor Waller: Inflation Risks Mean the Fed Should No Longer Signal Rate Cuts] Federal Reserve Governor Waller said on Friday that given the growing risks of inflation, the Fed should not consider further rate cuts as a default plan. Just this January, Waller had supported rate cuts. In a speech, Waller stated that with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, rising costs of oil and other commodities are increasingly likely to trigger broader, persistent inflation in the economy. He said that it is therefore time for the Fed to stop signaling that its next action is most likely another rate cut. Waller stated that maintaining interest rates in the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% is likely the right approach for the foreseeable future. He added, "If inflation does not subside quickly, I cannot rule out the possibility of future rate hikes."

22:08:08

The yield on 10-year UK gilts hit a two-week low of 4.893%.

22:07:51

The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury note rose after the release of economic data, last quoted at 5.081%.

22:07:32

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose after the release of economic data, last quoted at 4.563%.

22:05:31

[Woller Makes a Complete Shift: The Fed Should No Longer Treat Rate Cuts as the Default Option] ⑴ Federal Reserve Governor Waller said on Friday that given the growing risks of inflation, the Fed should no longer treat further rate cuts as the default plan. Just this January, he had supported rate cuts, marking a significant shift in his stance. ⑵ In his speech, Waller pointed out that with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, rising costs of oil and other commodities are increasingly likely to trigger broader and more persistent inflation in the economy. Therefore, it is time for the Fed to stop signaling that its next action is most likely another rate cut. ⑶ He stated that maintaining interest rates in the current range of 3.5% to 3.75% is likely the right approach for the foreseeable future, adding, "If inflation does not subside soon, I can no longer rule out the possibility of future rate hikes."

22:02:13

The leading indicators of the US Conference Board in March

Previous : 97.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 97.40

22:01:59

The monthly rate of the Consultative Conference synchronous indicator for March in the United States

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.30%

22:01:52

The monthly rate of the lagging indicator of the Conference Board in the United States for March

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.40%

22:01:03

Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If inflation expectations lose their anchor, interest rate hikes will be necessary.

22:00:56

Federal Reserve Governor Waller: The current stance is to keep interest rates stable in the near term.

22:00:48

[Trader Plans Large-Scale Copper Withdrawal from LME New Orleans Warehouse, Rushing to Position Before US Tariff Decision] ⑴ Two industry sources say that commodity trader Trader plans to withdraw a large amount of copper from its London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouse in New Orleans, possibly due to the upcoming US decision on copper import tariffs before the end of June. Traders have already shipped large quantities of copper to the US in advance, as holding copper within the US allows buyers to lock in supply at pre-tariff prices. ⑵ Last year, the US imposed a 50% tariff on copper pipes and wires after completing its review. LME data shows that over 30,000 tons of copper had their earmarks cancelled in New Orleans warehouses on Thursday, bringing the total number of earmarks at that location to 45,675 tons. Two unnamed sources said that Trader was responsible for the earmarking, but the company declined to comment. ⑶ On Thursday, total LME copper earmarks exceeded 50,000 tons, with the remaining approximately 22,000 tons mainly located in LME warehouses. Overall, LME copper earmarks account for nearly 30% of the total inventory of 391,900 tons. (4) Total copper inventories in Comex-approved warehouses stand at 574,864 tonnes, an increase of over 550% since the US initiated a Section 232 investigation last February. Industry sources say traders have been withdrawing copper from warehouses such as the LME and shipping it to the US since last February.

22:00:19

The monthly rate of the leading indicators of the Conference Board in the United States for March

Previous : -0.60% Forecast : -0.20%

美元

金银石油

Published Value 0.10%

22:00:16

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,510.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,509.85/ounce, down 0.72% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,510.20/ounce, down 0.71% on the day.

22:00:05

The final reading of the University of Michigan's five-year inflation rate forecast for May in the United States

Previous : 3.40% Forecast : 3.40%

Published Value 3.90%

22:00:05

The final reading of consumer expectations for the University of Michigan in the United States in May

Previous : 48.50 Forecast : 48.40

金银石油

美元

Published Value 44.10

22:00:04

The final reading of the economic situation of the University of Michigan in the United States for May

Previous : 47.80 Forecast : 47.90

金银石油

美元

Published Value 45.80

22:00:04

The final reading of the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for May in the United States

Previous : 48.20 Forecast : 48.20

金银石油

美元

Published Value 44.80

22:00:04

The final reading of the University of Michigan's one-year inflation rate forecast for May in the United States

Previous : 4.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 4.80%

21:59:29

[World Bank Accelerates Catastrophe Bond Issuance, Bringing New Momentum to Sovereign Markets] ⑴ The World Bank issued $200 million in four-year sovereign catastrophe bonds for Jamaica, a country vulnerable to hurricanes. This is its largest and longest-term transaction of its kind to date, injecting new momentum into the sovereign catastrophe bond market. Previously, the Asian Development Bank issued $160 million in "disaster relief" bonds for Central Asian countries, and other major multilateral development banks are also exploring this instrument. ⑵ Michael Bennett, Head of Global Markets Solutions and Structured Finance at the World Bank, said the institution "definitely wants more sovereign catastrophe bond issuances in the market" and is currently working on "several" deals, expecting one or more to be completed this year. He noted that many highly vulnerable countries could benefit from incorporating catastrophe bonds into their strategies. ⑶ Despite the trend of wealthy countries cutting aid budgets, which may reduce contribution support for premium payments to low-income countries, demand for catastrophe bonds from asset management and insurance-linked securities professionals is substantial and appears to be growing. Bennett stated that the World Bank and other multilateral development banks could meet the demand for sovereign catastrophe bonds of $1 billion to $2 billion annually if needed; supply is the greater challenge. (4) Jamaica's issuance used SOFR plus 687 basis points, was listed in Singapore, and for the first time introduced Moody's RMS as its risk modeling institution. Jamaica uses catastrophe bonds as one layer of a multi-tiered protection mechanism that includes reserves, insurance, and standby loan conditions liquidity. Jamaica's Finance Minister stated that establishing disaster risk financing is a key pillar of its resilience-building framework.

21:54:44

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $98.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $98.03/barrel, up 1.74% on the day.

21:52:23

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,600.00 mark, currently trading at 50,599.96, up 0.63% on the day.

21:51:33

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,400.00 mark, currently trading at 26,399.72, up 0.41% on the day.

21:47:12

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,700.00 mark, currently trading at 50,700.49, up 0.82% on the day.

21:45:08

US Secretary of State Marbio: Halting uranium enrichment and opening the Straits are the fundamental pillars of any agreement with Iran.

21:45:02

US Secretary of State Rubio: Some progress has been made in negotiations with Iran, but I don't want to exaggerate; we haven't reached that stage yet.

21:44:00

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1930.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1928.90/oz, down 1.94% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1939.5/oz, down 1.29% on the day.

21:41:57

US Secretary of State Rubio: We are prepared if the situation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict changes.

21:40:19

Data from the Central Bank of Belgium shows that Belgium's business confidence index rose to -13.3 in May from -14.2 in April.

21:39:39

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,500.00 mark, currently trading at 26,501.04, up 0.79% on the day.

21:39:04

Despite a series of positive developments between the US and Iran, oil prices have seen limited declines. Details>

21:37:58

[US Treasuries Enter Wait-and-See Mode, Qatar Mediation News Triggers Short Covering] ⑴ US Treasuries rose steadily overnight as the market remained cautious about the prospects of a US-Iran agreement. US Secretary of State Rubio stated that negotiations showed "positive signs," while a senior Iranian official indicated that no agreement had been reached but differences had narrowed, putting pressure on the market due to this uncertainty. ⑵ Traders tended to interpret the situation optimistically, with bond prices rebounding after media reports that Qatar and the US were coordinating the dispatch of a negotiating team to Tehran to end the war. Tense short covering pushed yields across all maturities back to resistance levels, and another wave of buying from CTAs joined the buying frenzy. ⑶ The 10-year Treasury yield was last quoted at 4.536%, down 4.8 basis points; the 30-year yield was at 5.063%, down 4.8 basis points; and the 2-year yield was at 4.063%, down 2.4 basis points. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed to 47.1 basis points, a decrease of 2.6 basis points from the previous day.

21:36:06

Cuban President Miguel Díaz: We reiterate to the American people that Cuba neither threatens, challenges, nor provokes the United States or any other country in the world. Cuba is a peaceful country. Our right to self-defense, established by the norms of international law, protects us.

21:34:08

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just broke through the $104.00/barrel mark and was last quoted at $104.06/barrel, down 0.78% on the day.

21:34:07

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,520.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,519.94/ounce, down 0.50% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,521.30/ounce, down 0.47% on the day.

21:33:58

China's INE crude oil futures main contract has just broken through the 640.0 yuan/barrel mark, currently trading at 641.5 yuan/barrel, down 0.48% on the day; Nymex US crude oil futures main contract has just broken through the 97.00 USD/barrel mark, currently trading at 97.07 USD/barrel, up 0.75% on the day; US unleaded gasoline futures main contract has just broken through the 3.3400 USD/gallon mark, currently trading at 3.3434 USD/gallon, up 2.06% on the day.

21:33:36

Crude Oil Analysis: Is the $110 high now history? Market signals suggest a potential period of narrow-range consolidation. Details>

21:31:59

US Secretary of State Marbio: We have not specifically requested NATO assistance in the Strait of Hormuz.

21:31:30

May 22 US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:30:36

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,400.00 mark, currently trading at 26,402.98, up 0.42% on the day.

21:30:30

US Secretary of State Rubio: We all hope to reach a deal with Iran. If Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, we need a Plan B.

21:30:25

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,600.00 mark, currently trading at 50,624.53, up 0.67% on the day.

21:26:01

Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Alberta is crucial to my efforts to transform the country.

21:25:42

[CBOT Agricultural Outlook: Wheat Holds Steady to Slightly Lower, Corn and Soybeans Supported by Short Covering] ⑴ Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) trading expectations on Friday showed wheat futures flat to down 3 cents per bushel, as traders adjusted positions ahead of the long weekend, but concerns about drought-induced crop losses in the U.S. Great Plains limited the decline. CBOT July soft red winter wheat was last down 0.25 cents at $6.4725. ⑵ Corn futures held steady to up 2 cents per bushel, strengthening after three consecutive days of declines, supported by short covering and pre-holiday positioning. Strong export sales data also provided support, with the U.S. Department of Agriculture confirming sales of 493,700 tons of corn to Mexico and 110,000 tons to unknown destinations. Generally favorable crop weather in the U.S. Midwest limited gains, with CBOT July corn last up 0.75 cents at $4.63. ⑶ Soybean futures rose 2 to 5 cents per bushel, their first gain in four trading days, supported by short covering and pre-holiday positioning. The U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed on Friday the sale of 252,000 tons of U.S. soybean meal to an unknown destination. CBOT July soybeans were last up 4.25 cents at $11.9825. Generally favorable crop weather in the U.S. Midwest limited soybean gains.

21:19:52

The yield on German 10-year government bonds continued its decline; it was last quoted at 3.0236%, down 7.7 basis points, a new low since May 11.

21:19:43

The yield on German 2-year government bonds fell 8 basis points to 2.6%, the lowest level since May 8.

21:19:34

The yield on Italian 10-year government bonds fell 10.8 basis points to 3.755%.

21:19:15

[German Foreign Minister Remains Cautious: No Traditional NATO Mission in the Strait of Hormuz] ⑴ German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul stated on Friday that he takes a cautious stance on a potential NATO mission in the Strait of Hormuz. He noted that Germany has announced its willingness to contribute to ensuring freedom of navigation in the strait and is coordinating with Britain and France to prepare for possible action. ⑵ However, he also stated that he does not currently believe there is a “traditional NATO immediate mission” in the Strait of Hormuz. He added that the federal government has provided assistance for clearing naval mines after the war with Iran, particularly those in waterways crucial to oil and gas flows, and necessary preparations are underway. ⑶ Despite reservations about direct NATO involvement, Wadephul emphasized Germany's commitment to the alliance, stating that Germany clearly supports NATO and that the United States knows it can rely on Germany at any time.

21:14:04

[Canadian Retail Sales Rise for Seventh Consecutive Quarter, But Soaring Gas Prices Begin to Crowd Household Budgets] ⑴ Statistics Canada released preliminary estimates on Friday showing that retail sales rose 0.6% month-over-month in April, with March's increase revised upward to 0.9%. The March figure was higher than the median forecast of 0.6% in an economist survey. ⑵ Retail sales grew 2.1% in the first quarter of this year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of expansion, significantly higher than the 0.4% increase in the last three months of 2025. In terms of volume, first-quarter retail sales still grew 1.2%, but the historic surge in gasoline prices in March played a significant role in this growth. ⑶ The March report indicated that rising gas prices at gas stations may be increasingly squeezing other consumer spending, and the broader consumer demand strength shown in the previous two months appears to be beginning to weaken. The preliminary April figures are based on feedback from 52.1% of surveyed businesses; Statistics Canada did not provide specific details.

21:12:59

[US Streaming Alliance Pressures Congress for Retaliatory Tariffs on Canadian Fees] ⑴ A coalition of US digital companies is urging the House Ways and Means Committee to push forward a proposed bill requiring the Office of the US Trade Representative to investigate Canada's online streaming rules and, if necessary, respond with retaliatory tariffs. ⑵ The coalition, called the Streaming Innovation Alliance, stated that Canadian regulators' decision to significantly increase fees on the domestic revenue of US streaming companies to fund local programming is a "regressive, unacceptable, and discriminatory" policy. ⑶ In a letter to the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, the coalition stated that coordinated action from the legislative and executive branches is needed to prevent Canada from launching further harmful and costly attacks on US innovators and to deter other countries from following suit.

21:11:30

The pound has just broken through the 214.00 level against the yen, currently trading at 214.01, up 0.28% on the day.

21:10:42

Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Qatar has sent a negotiating team to Tehran to coordinate with the United States in an effort to reach an agreement to end the war with Iran.

21:10:32

[Storms Devastate Fiscals, Portugal's Budget Balance "Extremely Difficult"] ⑴ Portuguese Economy Minister Manuel Castro Almeida said on Friday that achieving a balanced budget this year will be "extremely difficult" due to the €2 billion (approximately US$2.3 billion) in losses caused by storms in January and February, equivalent to 0.6% of GDP. ⑵ Three weeks ago, the government had projected a balanced budget (no deficit or surplus) this year, compared to a previous forecast of a small surplus of 0.1%, lower than the 0.3% projected in 2025. The Economy Minister told parliament that the government has not abandoned its goal of a balanced budget, but achieving this goal will be extremely difficult after suffering €2 billion in storm losses. ⑶ Severe storms and floods struck the heart of Portugal's economy in the central region, causing widespread damage to businesses, homes, and infrastructure, leading to increased public spending and tax revenue losses. However, the Economy Minister stated that Portugal's good international reputation, fiscal discipline (debt below 90% of GDP), and plans to cut corporate taxes continue to support foreign investment. (4) High energy prices related to the storm and the conflict with Iran caused the economy to stagnate in the first quarter, but the government expects the economy to grow by 2% this year, slightly higher than the 1.9% growth in 2025.

21:07:00

[Iranian Revolutionary Guard: 35 More Ships Passed Through the Strait of Hormuz in the Past 24 Hours with Coordination] ⑴ The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy issued a statement on Friday stating that in the past 24 hours, 35 more ships, including oil tankers, container ships, and merchant vessels, passed through the Strait of Hormuz with the coordination and protection of its forces. ⑵ The IRGC stated that despite the insecurity caused by the US and Israeli military "aggression" against Iran, its forces have successfully maintained a safe passage for ships and the continuation of global trade. According to IRGC Navy data, 26 ships passed through in the 24 hours ending Wednesday, and 31 ships passed through on Thursday. ⑶ The IRGC emphasized that all ships must obtain coordination and approval from its forces before passing through the strait. Since the US-Israel joint strike on Iranian territory on February 28, Iran has strengthened its control over the strait, prohibiting the safe passage of ships belonging to or associated with Israel and the United States. The United States has also imposed a maritime blockade on the strait, preventing ships entering and leaving Iranian ports from passing through.

21:05:26

Leaders of Italy, Britain, France, and Germany have stated that the Israeli government's policies and practices, including its further consolidation of control in the West Bank, are undermining stability and the prospects for a two-state solution. The E1 settlement development will divide the West Bank in two, a serious violation of international law.

21:05:00

[Major US Corn and Soybean Meal Export Deals Secured, Mexico Becomes Largest Buyer] ⑴ Data released by the US Department of Agriculture on Friday showed that exporters sold 493,700 tons of corn to Mexico, of which 225,000 tons are for delivery in 2025/2026 and 268,700 tons are for delivery in 2026/2027. ⑵ Exporters also sold 110,000 tons of corn to unknown destinations, of which 50,000 tons are for delivery in 2025/2026 and 60,000 tons are for delivery in 2026/2027. ⑶ In addition, exporters sold 252,000 tons of soybean meal to unknown destinations, of which 117,000 tons are for delivery in 2025/2026 and 135,000 tons are for delivery in 2026/2027.

21:04:07

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 2.03% intraday, closing at 5,846 yuan/ton.

21:02:53

According to Shana, the official website of the Iranian Oil Ministry, Iran is urging the public to "optimize" their fuel consumption habits.

21:02:17

Pakistani security officials: Pakistan's Army Chief of Staff has traveled to Iran to participate in peace talks.

50

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4559.26	63.67 (1.42%)
XAG	75.741	0.124 (0.16%)
CONC	87.63	-1.27 (-1.43%)
OILC	91.39	-1.00 (-1.08%)
USD	98.873	-0.136 (-0.14%)
EURUSD	1.1668	0.0018 (0.16%)
GBPUSD	1.3466	0.0022 (0.16%)
USDCNH	6.7647	-0.0043 (-0.06%)

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