Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

19:36:07

Brazil's total debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 77.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 78.10%

19:35:06

Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE): CBOE Global Markets is initiating the sale process of CBOE Australia and CBOE Canada. This aims to reduce costs associated with listing exchange-traded products (ETPs) in the US and Europe.

19:34:39

[Orbán: Hungary Hopes for US Sanctions Exemption for Russian Energy Companies] Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated that Hungary must convince the United States that, as a landlocked country, it occupies a special position and therefore needs a sanctions exemption in order to continue purchasing Russian oil and gas.

19:32:36

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: Sanctions are needed for another 340 Russian oil tankers; the situation near Pokrovsk remains tense. Krayny's forces have not been surrounded near Pokrovsk.

19:31:59

Brazil's net debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 64.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 64.80%

19:31:53

Brazil's total debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 77.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 78.20%

19:31:35

Brazil's nominal budget balance for September

Previous : -915.16 Forecast : -860.74

Published Value -1021.85

19:31:26

Brazil had a basic budget surplus in September

Previous : -172.55 Forecast : -172.20

Published Value -174.52

19:30:58

The year-on-year growth rate of bank loans in India for the week ending October 13

Previous : 11.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 11.50%

19:30:57

India's foreign exchange reserves for the week ending October 20

Previous : 7025.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 6953.60

19:30:57

India's annual rate of deposit growth for the week ending October 13

Previous : 9.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 9.50%

19:30:00

Kuwait Oil Corporation: Expected to restart units at the Zour refinery by November 11.

19:29:30

[State Council Executive Meeting: Measures Deployed to Accelerate the Cultivation and Opening of Application Scenarios and Promote Large-Scale Application of New Scenarios] Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which pointed out that application scenarios are the bridge connecting technology and industry, and bridging R&D and the market, playing a crucial guiding role in promoting the large-scale commercial application of new technologies and products. The meeting emphasized the need to fully leverage my country's advantages of a super-large market and abundant application scenarios, focusing on supply and demand matching, prioritizing the development of new fields and tracks, high-value niche scenarios, and cross-regional and cross-domain integrated scenarios, targeting the forefront of industrial development and the needs of major technological breakthroughs. It stressed the importance of opening up scenario resources, conducting pilot-scale testing and innovation, and exploring business models to promote the formation of a complete closed loop from technological breakthroughs to industrial applications. The meeting also called for cultivating more new scenarios through reform and innovation, advancing "hardware construction" such as infrastructure and platforms, providing "software support" such as laws, regulations, and policies, strengthening inter-departmental collaboration, improving regulatory mechanisms, and creating a favorable innovation ecosystem. (CCTV News)

19:29:12

[State Council Executive Meeting: Studying Deepening Reforms in Key Areas and Expanding Institutional Opening-up] Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which pointed out that efforts should be focused on deepening reforms in key areas to drive high-level opening-up, improve the level of openness in the commodity market, optimize market access rules for services, and improve the regulatory system for opening up factor markets. It is necessary to proactively align with high-standard international trade and economic rules, actively expand independent opening-up, and steadily expand institutional opening-up in areas such as rules, regulations, management, and standards. Attention should be paid to leveraging the advantages of high-level opening-up platforms such as free trade zones and free trade ports to explore and form more replicable and scalable reform achievements, and continuously improve the effectiveness of institutional opening-up. (CCTV News)

19:22:33

[The Swiss Franc's Safe-Haven Aura Fades; Technical Correction Rather Than Central Bank Intervention] ⑴ The recent decline in the Swiss franc mainly reflects a decrease in safe-haven demand, rather than direct market intervention by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). ⑵ A report by Commerzbank points out that intervention estimates based on demand deposit data are often inaccurate, making it difficult to verify whether the central bank intervened. ⑶ The SNB has repeatedly emphasized that it will only intervene when the Swiss franc experiences significant fluctuations, and the current trend does not meet this condition. ⑷ The latest exchange rate for the euro against the Swiss franc is 0.9283, largely meeting Commerzbank's fourth-quarter forecast of 0.92. ⑸ The institution believes the exchange rate is "unlikely to fall significantly further," suggesting limited room for further depreciation. ⑹ Market speculation about central bank intervention lacks empirical support; exchange rate movements are driven more by technical factors. ⑺ The slight weakening trend of the Swiss franc may continue, but the risk of a significant depreciation is low due to the central bank's cautious stance.

19:20:16

[Euro Approaches 29-Month High Against Pound as ECB Policy Divergence Intensifies] ⑴ The euro has surged against the pound, approaching the key resistance level of 0.8816, its highest level since May 2023, reached on Wednesday. ⑵ Eurozone core inflation remained unchanged at 2.4% in October, higher than the market expectation of 2.3%, providing solid support for the euro. ⑶ Solid inflation data reinforces expectations that the ECB will remain on hold in December, maintaining stable monetary policy. ⑷ The Bank of England's meeting next week (November 6th) carries the risk of an interest rate cut, a prospect that continues to weigh on the pound. ⑸ The divergence in monetary policy is becoming increasingly apparent, with Eurozone inflation stickiness countering a potential easing tendency in the UK. ⑹ Bank of England economists will hold a briefing at 22:30 Beijing time to discuss Bernanke's proposals for 2024. ⑺ A break above the 0.8816 resistance level would push the euro against the pound to a 29-month high, opening up further upside potential. (8) The exchange rate trend fully reflects the difference in policy expectations between the two central banks, and market pricing has begun to reflect this divergence.

19:14:58

[Summary of Latest Changes in Interest Rate Expectations of Major Central Banks] ⑴ The probability of a Fed rate cut before the end of the year is 68%, with a cumulative rate cut of 17 basis points expected. ⑵ A cumulative rate cut of 82 basis points is expected in 2026; Powell emphasizes that a December rate cut is "far from certain." ⑶ The probability of the ECB keeping rates unchanged in the near term is 96%, with only a 12 basis point rate cut expected in 2026. ⑷ The probability of the Bank of England maintaining its interest rate is 68%, with a cumulative rate cut of 64 basis points expected in 2026. ⑸ The probability of the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping rates unchanged is 92%; strong inflation data has postponed the expected rate cut to June 2026. ⑹ The probability of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting rates is 83%, with a 21 basis point rate cut expected before the end of the year. ⑺ The probability of the Bank of Japan keeping rates unchanged is 73%; Kazuo Ueda hinted that there might be no rate hike this year. ⑻ The market expects the Bank of Japan's next rate hike to be postponed until early 2026. ⑼ Both the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank tend to maintain current interest rate levels.

19:11:22

[North Macedonia's Industrial Output Rebounds Year-on-Year in September] ⑴ North Macedonia's industrial output in September 2025 increased by 2.7% year-on-year, a significant improvement from the 3.5% decline in the previous month. ⑵ Manufacturing output recovered strongly, growing by 3.1%; the decline in electricity and gas supply narrowed to 2.5%. ⑶ Mining and quarrying output declined by 1.7%, reversing the 7.0% increase in the previous month. ⑷ Industrial output in the first nine months increased by 2.3% compared to the same period last year.

19:09:55

[EUR/USD Technical Analysis] Observing the 30-minute candlestick chart, the EUR/USD pair quickly entered a downtrend after forming a temporary high at 1.1665, accompanied by a series of long-bodied bearish candlesticks. Subsequently, a lower shadow appeared near 1.1577, indicating that buying pressure was beginning to emerge. The pair then rebounded briefly but encountered strong resistance near 1.1600, suggesting that 1.1600 has become a key short-term resistance level and a "threshold" that bulls must overcome to recover. After failing to break through effectively, the price retested the lows, reaching 1.1546, before finding support above 1.1554 and gradually entering a horizontal channel consolidation between 1.1560 and 1.1580. The MACD indicator (26,12,9) shows that DIFF is -0.0002 and DEA is -0.0003, still below the zero axis, but the two lines are beginning to converge. The MACD histogram has gradually turned from the previous green negative bars to slightly red bars, reflecting the weakening of the bearish momentum and the possible momentum replenishment. This is a typical "slowing down" signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is around 48.4785. It is in the oversold zone below 50 but significantly above 30, which is a neutral to slightly weak state. This indicates that the current situation is not a panic sell-off, but rather a slow war of attrition where the bears control the pace at low levels and force the bulls to give up their rebound chips. In summary, the 1.1546-1.1554 area forms the recent static support zone, and 1.1600 is the static resistance line above. As long as there is no volume breakout above 1.1600, the trend is still defined as a consolidation market dominated by downward pressure, rather than a complete reversal.

19:09:01

[North Macedonia's Retail Sales Decline Year-on-Year in September] ⑴ Retail sales in North Macedonia fell 0.2% year-on-year in September 2025, reversing the 1.1% increase in the previous month. ⑵ Sales of food, beverages, and tobacco declined by 7.1%, while sales of motor vehicle fuel decreased by 1.5%. ⑶ Sales of non-food products rebounded, increasing by 7.6%. ⑷ Excluding fuel, retail trade volume decreased slightly by 0.1%.

19:08:52

[Portugal's October Inflation Rate Slightly Drops to Five-Month Low] ⑴ Portugal's annual inflation rate fell to 2.3% in October 2025, a five-month low. ⑵ This is a slight decrease from 2.4% in September, with energy prices falling 1.2% year-on-year. ⑶ Food inflation slowed to 6.1%, while the consumer price index remained flat month-on-month. ⑷ Calculated according to the EU harmonized index, the annual inflation rate rose slightly to 2.0%. ⑸ The harmonized index fell 0.3% month-on-month, reversing the 0.9% increase in the previous month.

19:08:13

[Colombo, Sri Lanka's Inflation Rate Hits 15-Month High] ⑴ In October 2025, the inflation rate in the Colombo region of Sri Lanka rose 2.1% year-on-year, accelerating for the third consecutive month. ⑵ This is the highest level since July 2024, with food prices rising by 3.5%. ⑶ Non-food prices rose 1.4%, more than doubling the increase from the previous month. ⑷ Seasonally adjusted, consumer prices rose slightly by 0.1% month-on-month in October, continuing the upward trend.

19:07:48

[Sri Lanka's Producer Prices Fall for Third Consecutive Month in September] ⑴ Sri Lanka's producer prices fell 0.5% year-on-year in September 2025, unchanged from the upwardly revised August decline. ⑵ This marks the third consecutive month of deflation, primarily driven by a faster decline in agricultural product prices. ⑶ Agricultural product prices fell 6%, with lower costs for both perennial and non-perennial crops and livestock products. ⑷ Manufacturing price growth slowed to 0.2%, with continued deflation in sectors such as beverages and textiles. ⑸ Electricity and gas supply costs rebounded by 1.7%, compared to a previous decline of 5.1%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, September's producer prices fell 0.7% month-on-month, the largest drop in four months.

19:07:30

[Eurozone Inflation Falls to 2.1% in October, Close to Central Bank Target] ⑴ Eurozone consumer price inflation fell to 2.1% in October, in line with market expectations. ⑵ This represents a further decline from September's 2.2%, gradually approaching the European Central Bank's 2% policy target. ⑶ Food and tobacco price increases slowed to 2.5%, with both processed and unprocessed food inflation easing. ⑷ Non-energy industrial goods inflation fell to 0.6%, while energy cost declines widened to 1.0%. ⑸ Services inflation accelerated for the second consecutive month to 3.4%, the highest level since April. ⑹ Core inflation remained stable at 2.4%, slightly higher than the market expectation of 2.3%.

19:07:11

[Italy's October Inflation Unexpectedly Falls to a One-Year Low] ⑴ Italy's annual inflation rate fell to 1.2% in October, the lowest level in a year. ⑵ This is a significant drop from September's 1.6% and well below market expectations of 1.6%. ⑶ Regulated energy prices fell 0.8% year-on-year, a sharp reversal from the previous value of 13.9%. ⑷ Fresh food inflation slowed to 1.9%, and transportation services inflation fell to 2.0%. ⑸ The growth rate of entertainment services prices accelerated to 3.3%, while the core inflation rate remained unchanged at 2.0%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, consumer prices fell 0.3% month-on-month in October, marking the second consecutive month of decline.

19:05:15

[Greece Retail Sales Growth Hits Four-Month High in August] ⑴ Greek retail sales in August 2025 increased by 3.9% year-on-year, a significant acceleration from the previous month's 2.1%. ⑵ This marks the strongest growth since April, with food sales growth accelerating to 4.6%. ⑶ Non-food sales grew by 7.6%, a particularly strong performance. ⑷ Motor vehicle fuel sales fell by 1.9%, becoming the only category to decline. ⑸ After seasonal adjustment, retail activity increased by 0.2% month-on-month in August, reversing the 1.5% decline in the previous month.

19:04:56

[Croatia's October Inflation Rate Falls to Five-Month Low] ⑴ Croatia's annual inflation rate fell to 3.6% in October 2025, a five-month low. ⑵ This represents a significant slowdown from September's 4.2%, with food, beverage, and tobacco prices rising by 4.4%. ⑶ Service prices rose by 6.4%, and energy prices rose by 3.9%. ⑷ Non-food industrial goods prices fell by 0.2%, and seasonally adjusted consumer prices rose by 0.5% month-on-month in October.

19:04:01

[Luxembourg Producer Prices Decline for Second Consecutive Month] ⑴ Luxembourg's producer prices fell 1.8% year-on-year in September, compared to a 0.9% decline in the previous month. ⑵ Deflation has occurred for the second consecutive month, reaching its lowest level in a year. ⑶ A year-on-year decline in energy costs of 8.9% was the main drag. ⑷ Prices of intermediate goods fell 0.9%, while prices of capital goods fell 0.1%. ⑸ Consumer prices maintained a 1.9% increase, but this was significantly narrower than the previous 7%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, producer prices fell 0.5% month-on-month in September, continuing the downward trend.

18:48:21

The market landscape has shifted: bond yields have pulled a fast one, the dollar is on the defensive, and gold and the euro are facing a pullback. Details>

18:41:41

The soybean crushing volume of major oil mills across China as of October 31

Previous : 236.62 Forecast : -

Published Value 225.34

18:41:31

The operating rates of soybean crushing at major oil mills across China as of October 31

Previous : 65.13% Forecast : -

Published Value 61.99%

18:39:49

India's federal fiscal deficit in September - local currency INR

Previous : 59815.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 57312.30

18:36:26

[USD/JPY Targets 154.80, Japanese Finance Minister Warns Against Decline] ⑴ The USD/JPY pair traded in a range of 153.66-154.41 on Friday, with technical charts suggesting a potential test of the 154.80 peak reached on February 12. ⑵ Japanese Finance Minister Katayama warned that he would closely monitor foreign exchange market volatility, a statement aimed at mitigating the yen's decline. ⑶ Despite the official warning, the yen still faces further downside risk, with technical indicators pointing to continued upward movement. ⑷ The EUR/JPY pair remained below Thursday's record high of 178.80, indicating that the overall weakness of the yen remains unchanged. ⑸ The Nikkei index climbed to a record high due to gains in technology stocks, creating a typical correlation with the yen's depreciation. ⑹ Verbal intervention by Japanese authorities has temporarily failed to reverse market trends, and upward pressure on the USD/JPY pair remains significant. ⑺ A break above the key resistance level of 154.80 could open up further upside potential for the USD/JPY pair, exacerbating the pressure on the yen's depreciation.

18:35:21

Palm oil futures have seen two consecutive monthly declines, and the 4200 ringgit support level is being tested. Details>

18:31:24

[Divergent Demand in Indian Bond Auctions, Strong Buying for Long-Term Bonds] ⑴ The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) 2028 bond auction received bids totaling 71.2 billion rupees, ultimately accepting 89.99 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 3.4 times. ⑵ One bid received a 24.95% partial allocation, indicating the RBI's cautious acceptance of certain offers. ⑶ Strong demand was seen for 2055 ultra-long-term bonds, with 154 bids totaling 165.15 billion rupees. ⑷ The RBI ultimately accepted 65 bids totaling 69.82 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 2.36 times. ⑸ Three bids for this bond type received a high partial allocation rate of 72.69%, reflecting a divergence in pricing for long-term bonds. ⑹ The 2054 sovereign green bond auction received 83 bids totaling 142.15 billion rupees. ⑺ The RBI accepted only 6 bids totaling 49.99 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 2.84 times. (8) One green bond bid received 72.48% of the partial allocation, indicating that environmental bonds also face pricing challenges. (9) Overall auction results show strong market demand for short- to medium-term bonds, while exhibiting a more cautious pricing attitude towards ultra-long-term bonds.

18:29:31

[ECB Survey: Inflation Expectations Slightly Upward, Economic Growth Outlook Remains Fragile] ⑴ The ECB's fourth-quarter survey of professional forecasters shows that the overall HICP inflation expectation for 2025 has been revised upward by 0.1 percentage point to 2.1%. ⑵ Inflation expectations for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged at 1.8% and 2.0% respectively, with long-term inflation expectations remaining stable at the 2.0% target level. ⑶ Core inflation expectations have also been revised upward, with the HICPX expectation rising by 0.1 percentage point to 2.4% in 2025, and remaining unchanged at 2.0% in subsequent years. ⑷ Real GDP growth expectations for 2025 have been revised upward by 0.1 percentage point to 1.2%, remaining at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027. ⑸ Trump's tariff rhetoric has had a negative impact on near-term economic growth expectations, but its direct impact on inflation is relatively limited. ⑹ The unemployment rate is expected to remain stable at 6.3% in both 2025 and 2026, slightly decreasing to 6.2% in 2027 and remaining there in the long term. (7) Interest rate path projections indicate that the deposit facility rate will fall to 1.9% in the first quarter of 2026, subsequently gradually rising to 2.25% by 2030. (8) The euro/dollar exchange rate is projected to steadily appreciate from 1.18 in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 1.20 in 2030. (9) Oil price projections have been slightly revised downwards, expected to remain in the $64-$68 per barrel range throughout the forecast period. (10) Nominal wage growth is projected to gradually slow from 4.5% in 2024 to 3.5% in 2025, and then stabilize at around 2.8% in the long term.

18:27:14

China's weekly rapeseed meal inventory as of October 31

Previous : 0.78 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.71

18:27:04

China's weekly soybean meal inventory as of October 31

Previous : 96.31 Forecast : -

Published Value 100.44

18:26:26

The preliminary reading of Italy's CPI excluding tobacco for October

Previous : 121.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 115.80

18:24:56

The preliminary annual rate of Italy's CPI excluding tobacco in October

Previous : 1.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.80%

18:22:07

Palm oil futures closed lower, mainly due to the combined pressure of weak demand and rising production. Palm oil futures fell 55 ringgit to 4,205 ringgit per tonne on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange. High inventory levels in Malaysia continue to put downward pressure on prices. Competition from alternative oils such as soybean oil has further exacerbated the downward pressure on the palm oil market. As Malaysia enters its traditional production reduction cycle, prices are expected to rebound moderately in the fourth quarter. However, institutions predict that this rebound will be limited and unlikely to replicate the strong gains seen in the same period last year. The current market environment remains bearish, and the degree of improvement in demand will be key to future price movements.

18:16:26

[Key Levels for the Dollar: Weekly Closing Price to Determine Future Direction] ⑴ The dollar's closing position this week will be crucial for its movement in the coming days and weeks. ⑵ The dollar index remained volatile at high levels on Friday, after hitting a three-month high on Thursday. ⑶ Traders are digesting mixed signals from this week's central bank decisions, tech earnings reports, and the temporary suspension of tariffs between the US and China. ⑷ The dollar index has broken through the 99.515 Fibonacci resistance level, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2025 decline from 110.170 to 96.224. ⑸ The dollar left a significant low of 98.025 on October 17, forming technical support. ⑹ If the dollar closes above the 99.515 Fibonacci resistance level this week, it will increase the likelihood of the dollar attacking the 100.00 level. ⑺ Conversely, failure to achieve a weekly closing breakout suggests a risk of a dollar pullback. (8) The current market environment is full of uncertainty, and the direction of the US dollar will depend on the technical confirmation of this week's closing price.

18:14:37

Preliminary reading of the eurozone's harmonized CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.10%

Published Value 0.20%

18:14:21

Preliminary reading of the Eurozone's core harmonized CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20%

18:13:52

[Asian Fuel Oil Spot Freight Discounts Narrow, Market Structure Remains Weak] ⑴ Asian fuel oil spot spreads narrowed on Friday, but the market has maintained a futures premium structure recently. ⑵ An unexpected shutdown at Kuwait's Al-Zour refinery, a key producer of low-sulfur fuel oil, provided a slight improvement to the market. ⑶ Trade sources indicated that the Asian market still receives ample supply from other regions, meaning the impact of the shutdown may be limited. ⑷ The 380cst high-sulfur fuel oil market strengthened due to improved buying, but the inter-month spread remains at a deep futures premium. ⑸ Marine fuel oil premiums for both low-sulfur and high-sulfur fuel oil remained stable at a low of $10 above cargo prices this week, with no significant recovery seen throughout the month. ⑹ Fuel oil crack spreads held steady to strengthened, with the Singapore 380cst high-sulfur fuel oil crack spread remaining at a discount of nearly $5 per barrel. ⑺ The low-sulfur fuel oil crack spread rose to a premium of approximately $6.60 per barrel. (8) Fuel oil inventories in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region fell slightly by 0.3% to 920,000 tonnes in the week ending October 30. (9) Kuwait National Oil Company provided additional heavy crude oil for November spot shipments to mitigate the impact of unexpected refinery shutdowns.

18:13:43

Preliminary monthly rate of the eurozone's harmonized CPI excluding food, energy, tobacco and alcohol for October

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.30%

18:13:42

Preliminary reading of the eurozone's unadjusted CPI for October

Previous : 129.42 Forecast : -

Published Value 129.70

18:12:49

[Eurozone Inflation Slightly Declines, Central Bank Remains in Policy Comfort Zone] ⑴ Eurozone inflation slowed slightly to 2.1% in October, down 0.1 percentage point from 2.2% in September, but remains slightly above the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% policy target. ⑵ This moderate slowdown provides policymakers with a reason to maintain the status quo, with no need to consider adjusting key interest rates again in the short term. ⑶ Inflation data continues to hover near the target level, allowing the ECB to maintain its current policy stance. ⑷ The gradual easing of price pressures and the balanced economic growth together constitute a relatively stable policy environment. ⑸ The current inflation trajectory shows that the Eurozone is steadily moving towards the central bank's target, without any abnormal fluctuations requiring immediate intervention. ⑹ The market generally expects the central bank to maintain stable interest rates for some time to observe the continued impact of existing policies on the economy. ⑺ This data further reinforces the central bank's previous assessment of the economic outlook, namely that inflation will gradually return to the target level.

18:10:56

[Eurozone Inflation Remains Stubborn: Accelerating Services Inflation Offsets Energy Price Decline] ⑴ The Eurozone's preliminary inflation rate for October was 2.1%, in line with market expectations, down 0.1 percentage points from September's 2.2%. ⑵ Core inflation (excluding energy, food, and tobacco) remained unchanged at 2.4%, higher than the market expectation of 2.3%. ⑶ Services inflation accelerated to 3.4%, up 0.2 percentage points from September's 3.2%, becoming the main factor supporting core inflation. ⑷ Energy prices fell by 1.0% year-on-year, a larger decline than September's 0.4%, putting downward pressure on overall inflation. ⑸ The price increase for food, alcohol, and tobacco narrowed to 2.5%, with the price increase for unprocessed food falling significantly from 4.7% to 3.2%. ⑹ Non-energy industrial goods inflation slightly decreased to 0.6%, down 0.2 percentage points from September's 0.8%. (7) Looking at monthly changes, overall prices rose 0.2% month-on-month in October, with core commodity prices rising 0.3% month-on-month, indicating that inflationary pressures persist. (8) The tug-of-war between rising service sector prices and falling energy prices has kept the inflation rate hovering around the European Central Bank's 2% target.

18:09:50

The preliminary reading of Italy's unadjusted CPI for October

Previous : 123.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 122.70

18:09:45

The dollar index remained around 99.50, with traders balancing Powell's comments with bets on interest rate cuts. Details>

18:05:18

[Greek Retail Sales Rebound Strongly, Domestic Demand Engine Rekindles] ⑴ Greek retail sales volume in August increased by 3.9% year-on-year, a significant acceleration from the 2.1% growth in July, indicating continued strengthening of consumer momentum. ⑵ Retail revenue increased by 5.3% year-on-year, higher than the 3.9% increase in July, reflecting growth driven by both sales volume and price factors. ⑶ Food sales volume increased by 4.6% year-on-year, becoming a key pillar supporting overall retail growth. ⑷ Non-food sales volume (excluding motor fuel) increased significantly by 7.6%, indicating a significant recovery in demand for non-essential consumer goods. ⑸ Motor fuel sales volume decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, the only sub-category to contract. ⑹ Recent trends show that retail sales have maintained positive growth for three consecutive months, a stark contrast to the 5.8% decline in May. ⑺ The current growth trend is a significant improvement from the 5.1% decline in August last year, indicating that the Greek domestic demand market is emerging from its slump.

18:03:56

[Eurozone Inflation Alarms: Accelerating Services Inflation Offsets Lower Energy Prices] ⑴ Eurozone inflation dipped slightly to 2.1% in October, remaining close to the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% target, in line with expectations of a moderate economic recovery. ⑵ Core inflation remained unchanged at 2.4%, exceeding market expectations of a slowdown, as services inflation accelerated from 3.2% to 3.4%. ⑶ The decline in industrial goods inflation was completely offset by rapid growth in services prices, with lower energy costs being the main driver of the slight overall inflation decline. ⑷ The ECB kept interest rates unchanged on Thursday, believing that inflation is on its target trajectory and that the most serious risks to economic growth have diminished. ⑸ Market expectations indicate that the probability of the central bank cutting interest rates again before mid-next year is only 40%, with most economists believing that the current rate-cutting cycle has ended. ⑹ In the year ending in June, the ECB had cumulatively cut interest rates by 2 percentage points, and the lagged effects of policy transmission continue to impact the real economy. ⑺ Some policymakers are concerned that inflation risks are tilted to the downside, predicting that inflation will fall below 2% early next year due to the statistical base effect, which may change corporate pricing expectations. (8) Another view holds that the economy is performing better than expected, with multiple surveys showing improved economic activity, which should alleviate economic concerns and limit the downside risk of inflation.

18:02:45

[French Grain Planting Accelerates, Corn Quality Concerns Emerge] ⑴ The condition of French grain corn remained stable in the week ending October 27, with the "good" grade maintaining a 55% share. ⑵ However, the quality of corn this year is significantly lower than the same period last year, with the "excellent" grade share dropping from 6% to 4%, and the "good" and above grades decreasing by a total of 17 percentage points. ⑶ The combined share of "poor" and "very poor" corn grades reached 16%, far higher than the 5% of the same period last year, reflecting challenges in crop growth. ⑷ Grain corn planting progress has reached 82%, significantly faster than the 36% of the same period last year, and also exceeding the five-year average of 75%. ⑸ Soft wheat planting is 68% complete, a rapid progress from 57% the previous week, and significantly higher than the 38% of the same period last year and the five-year average of 61%. ⑹ Winter barley planting has reached 80%, surpassing the previous week's progress of 73% and the 58% of the same period last year, and slightly higher than the five-year average of 76%. (7) The planting progress of hard wheat is 9%, which is still in the early stage, but has exceeded the 3% of the same period last year and is close to the five-year average of 10%.

18:01:05

[Divergence Behind Global Stock Markets' Seven-Month Rally: Tech Boom vs. Asian Sentiment] ⑴ Global stocks are on track for their seventh consecutive monthly gain on Friday, while the dollar index hovers near a three-month high. ⑵ Strong earnings reports from Amazon and Apple reinforced global tech optimism, with markets anticipating massive AI spending that will ultimately boost economic growth. ⑶ Nasdaq futures surged 1.1%, and S&P 500 futures rose 0.6%, as Amazon's better-than-expected earnings drove its pre-market share price up more than 11%. ⑷ Apple's shares rose more than 2% on forecasts of strong iPhone sales, offsetting plunges in Meta and Microsoft due to concerns about surging AI spending. ⑸ Japan's Nikkei index jumped more than 2% on Friday, bringing its monthly gain to 16.4%, its best monthly performance since 1990, mainly driven by expectations of stimulus policies from the new prime minister. ⑹ Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by about 1.5%. ⑺ Despite the Federal Reserve chairman's dismissal of market optimism about a December rate cut, US Treasuries and European government bonds remained stable on Friday. (8) The US dollar index remained near a three-month high of 99.5, the euro was flat against the dollar at 1.1569, and the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 2% for the third consecutive time. (9) In the commodities market, oil prices fell for the third consecutive month, with Brent crude futures down 0.9% to $64.55 per barrel. (10) Spot gold prices fell 0.3% to $4,008 per ounce, a significant drop from the record high of $4,381 reached last week.

18:00:41

Preliminary reading of Italy's harmonized CPI annual rate for October

Previous : 1.80% Forecast : 1.70%

Published Value 1.30%

18:00:41

Preliminary reading of Italy's harmonized CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : 1.30% Forecast : 0.20%

Published Value -0.20%

18:00:41

Preliminary reading of Italy's CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : -0.20% Forecast : 0%

Published Value -0.30%

18:00:40

The preliminary annual rate of Italy's CPI in October

Previous : 1.60% Forecast : 1.60%

Published Value 1.20%

18:00:07

The preliminary annual rate of the eurozone's harmonized CPI excluding food, energy, tobacco and alcohol for October

Previous : 2.40% Forecast : 2.30%

Published Value 2.40%

18:00:06

Eurozone harmonized CPI annual rate for October - unadjusted preliminary value

Previous : 2.20% Forecast : 2.10%

Neutral

Published Value 2.10%

18:00:06

Eurozone core harmonized CPI annual rate for October - unadjusted preliminary value

Previous : 2.40% Forecast : 2.30%

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 2.40%

17:59:31

Annual rate of retail sales in Greece in August

Previous : 2.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.90%

17:59:04

From a one-sided decline to a sideways tug-of-war: EUR/USD awaits "data revival" to break the 1.1570 deadlock? Details>

17:58:50

[Is the Yen's Sharp Rise Just a "Verbal" Rebound? Tokyo Inflation Reaches 2.8%, Pressuring the Central Bank; Monthly Decline Still Reaches 4%, Worst in July] ⑴ Japan's new Finance Minister, Satsuki Katayama, expressed a "high sense of urgency" on Thursday, monitoring the foreign exchange market and retracting his March statement that "120-130 yen is reasonable." The yen surged in European trading on Friday, while the dollar rose only slightly by 0.1% against the yen to 154.28, recovering from a nine-month low. ⑵ Tokyo's October core CPI surged to 2.8%, higher than expected. The central bank's policy space narrowed after holding rates steady on Thursday, raising market concerns about escalating verbal intervention by the government. ⑶ Institutional statistics show that the yen still fell 4% against the dollar in October and hit a record low against the euro. The dollar index approached a three-month high, with risk aversion continuing to weigh on the dollar. ⑷ Fed Chair Powell's hawkish stance, with the probability of a December rate cut plummeting from over 90% to 75%, dashed expectations of a narrowing interest rate differential, making yen short sellers even more aggressive. (5) The euro rose slightly by 0.1% to $1.1572 on Friday, as the European Central Bank maintained its 2% interest rate for the third consecutive time, declaring its policy "well positioned," but the monthly decline had already reached 1.4%. (6) The pound suffered another blow: Political uncertainty surrounding UK Chancellor Reeves intensified, causing the pound to dip slightly to $1.3145 on Friday, potentially closing the month 2.3% lower. The euro rose for the fifth consecutive month against the pound, holding above 0.88 and reaching a two-and-a-half-year high, while the market eagerly awaited fiscal details but only saw a "long wait."

17:55:21

Super Trading Week is Coming: A Global Market Outlook Amidst PMI, ADP Non-Farm Payrolls, and Central Bank Decisions Details>

17:53:58

[Even the Prime Minister's Protection Can't Stop the "Reeves Risk": Pound Just Dropped 0.1%, 10-Year Bond Yield Soared 2.2 Basis Points] ⑴ ING warned that if UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves resigns unexpectedly, the pound and UK bonds will replicate the July flash crash, with volatility increasing dramatically. ⑵ Market Fear Point: Top-level personnel change = loosening of fiscal discipline, coinciding with peak UK bond supply, deficit financing may expand further. ⑶ Real-time Market Data: Pound fell 0.1% against the dollar to 1.3141, euro rose 0.1% against the pound to 0.8802, and the 10-year UK bond yield rose 2.2 basis points to 4.430%. ⑷ The opposition is using the "tenancy license" issue to pressure Prime Minister Starmer, who has publicly supported him, but the rental agents' willingness to take responsibility has not extinguished the selling pressure.

17:43:41

[Poland's Q3 GDP figures not yet released, Finance Minister calls for a finish line] ⑴ Poland's Finance Minister stated on Friday that Q3 GDP growth will be "significantly faster" than the 3.4% growth in the second quarter, using growth to offset the soaring fiscal deficit. ⑵ Fitch and Moody's have already lowered Poland's rating outlook to negative; Warsaw urgently needs a data victory to stabilize market confidence. ⑶ Official statement: The economy's "dynamic expansion" is helping the government "digest debt with growth," but the gap remains large, hence the proposed bank tax increase to fill the gap. ⑷ The Statistics Office will release the final figures on November 13th; the market is holding its breath, waiting to verify whether the "official forecast" has materialized.

17:43:31

[AI Surge Fails to Save Eurozone: Overall Economic Conditions Show Only "Slight Improvement," Consumption Like a Power Cut] ⑴ The European Central Bank's business survey on Friday showed that the overall economic situation in the Eurozone has only "slightly improved," with growth rates negligible. ⑵ The AI sector is booming, with software, database, and cloud orders surging year-on-year. The financial and public sectors are spending the most, and traditional consulting firms are being disrupted by algorithms, leading to layoffs. ⑶ Manufacturing output continues to shrink, hit by a triple whammy of tariffs, global demand uncertainty, and declining competitiveness. Businesses say they "have no bottom in the short term." ⑷ Consumer spending remains weak. Home appliances and electronics are barely showing positive growth due to the replacement cycle, while the summer peak season for tourism and hotels has passed, and prices have returned to normal. ⑸ The job market is stagnant, wage growth has turned downwards, and business expansion intentions are locked in by uncertainty, leading to a downward revision of labor cost expectations.

17:30:18

[Intervention Alarm Sounded: Bull-Bear Battle at the USD/JPY 155 Level] ⑴ Traders must seriously consider the real and rising risk of Japanese authorities intervening in the USD/JPY exchange rate, an action that could happen soon. ⑵ The USD/JPY is rising to levels where Japanese authorities previously sold dollars, and under pressure from the US, they are likely to act again. ⑶ The yen's weakness is a problem Japan needs to address, as it essentially equates to loosening monetary policy and exacerbating inflation, and the yen is currently extremely weak. ⑷ While the dollar's own trade-weighted index remains weak, the yen's trade-weighted value is nearing its historic low reached last July. ⑸ As one of the most actively traded currency pairs, the USD/JPY's movement is clearly troubling the US government, and the US stance will determine whether and when intervention occurs. ⑹ As the USD/JPY rapidly climbs towards the 155 level, Japanese officials have begun warning of excessive exchange rate volatility, a clear signal that intervention is imminent. (7) The last intervention to sell dollars occurred in July 2024 (with the exchange rate near 162), and before that, in September 2022 (with the exchange rate around 152). (8) Historical interventions have resulted in significant exchange rate declines: to 127 in 2023 (a drop of approximately 25 yen), and to 139 last September (a drop of approximately 23 yen), providing ample justification for hedging against the next potential intervention and a surge in the yen. (9) A coordinated intervention backed by the United States could have a more significant market impact. (10) When the market lacks safe-haven assets, investors tend to buy dollars, further complicating the current complexities of the foreign exchange market.

17:30:07

[Yen staged a dramatic comeback, while the pound sterling sank deeper: October's forex market closes] ⑴ The yen strengthened on Friday after new Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated he was closely monitoring forex market developments with a high degree of urgency, providing support for the yen. ⑵ Despite a rebound during the day, the yen still fell 4% in October, its worst monthly performance since July, and hit a record low against the euro. ⑶ Tokyo's core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, higher than expected, indicating that inflation continues to exceed the target level, adding complexity to the Bank of Japan's future policy path. ⑷ The dollar index hovered near a three-month high, with risk aversion continuing to favor the dollar, while the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on a December rate cut reduced the probability of a cut from over 90% a week ago to around 75%. ⑸ The euro rose slightly by 0.1% to $1.1572 after the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 2% for the third consecutive time, stating that policy was in a "good position" as economic risks subsided. (6) The pound fell to $1.3145 amid concerns about the potential impact of Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves' upcoming budget on businesses and the economy. (7) The pound has fallen 2.3% this month, performing even worse than the euro, which has remained at a more than two-year high of 88 pence against the pound and is on track for its fifth consecutive month of gains.

17:24:23

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: We affirm the necessity of establishing a mutually beneficial strategic relationship.

17:21:52

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,000.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $3,999.89/ounce, down 0.60% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,012.40/ounce, down 0.09% on the day.

17:14:02

[USD/IRR Approaching Historical High, Policy Unchanged Could Push Towards 92.42] ⑴ The USD/IRR is approaching its historical high. Technical analysis suggests a target of 89.11 based on the March 2024 base period, using the February high and May low. ⑵ Despite intervention measures to slow the rate's rise, the overall intervention has been limited and has failed to reverse the upward trend. ⑶ India's foreign exchange reserves continue to grow and are near record levels, providing a liquidity buffer for the market. ⑷ The Reserve Bank of India's underlying foreign exchange policy generally favors a stronger USD/IRR. ⑸ If current policy remains unchanged, after breaking through 89.11, the next internally driven upside target is 92.42. ⑹ In the global context, when the market lacks clear safe-haven assets, investors tend to buy the US dollar, further enhancing the attractiveness of dollar assets.

17:13:01

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1590.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1589.65/oz, down 0.54% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1593.9/oz, down 1.26% on the day.

17:12:56

[Yield Rift: Reshaping the Global Bond Market Landscape and Opportunities for the US Dollar] ⑴ The yield on German 10-year government bonds was 2.654%, significantly lower than the US yield of 4.108%, forming a huge negative spread of 145.4 basis points. ⑵ The US 10-year yield is among the highest of major global economies, only lower than Australia's 4.306% and the UK's 4.429%, but significantly higher than core Eurozone countries. ⑶ In terms of short-term interest rates, the US 2-year yield reached 3.615%, surpassing most developed countries and only slightly lower than the UK's 3.792%, in stark contrast to Germany's 1.984%. ⑷ A clear yield ladder is visible: Japan's long-term yield is the lowest at only 1.659%, with Germany and other Eurozone countries in the middle, and English-speaking countries such as the UK, US, and Australia consistently leading in yields. ⑸ As the benchmark for the Eurozone, Germany's 10-year yield has a positive spread of 50-77 basis points compared to major Eurozone countries such as Belgium, France, and Italy. (6) Cross-maturity comparisons show that the US yield curve is relatively steep, with a spread of nearly 50 basis points between 10-year and 2-year yields, while the German curve is relatively flat. (7) This multi-tiered yield differential provides clear directional guidance for global capital flows, and the attractiveness of high-yield currency assets continues to increase.

17:12:33

Preliminary reading of the annual rate of government consumption expenditure in Hong Kong, China for the third quarter

Previous : 2.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.60%

17:12:33

Preliminary annual rate of private consumption expenditure in Hong Kong, China for the third quarter

Previous : 1.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.10%

17:12:33

Preliminary value of the year-on-year rate of fixed capital expenditure in Hong Kong, China for the third quarter

Previous : 2.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 4.30%

17:12:32

Preliminary estimate of the year-on-year rate of service imports in Hong Kong, China in the third quarter

Previous : 7% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.60%

17:12:30

Preliminary value of the year-on-year rate of goods imports in Hong Kong, China in the third quarter

Previous : 12.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 11.70%

17:12:29

Preliminary estimate of the year-on-year rate of Hong Kong's service exports in the third quarter

Previous : 7.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 6.10%

17:12:28

Preliminary value of the year-on-year rate of Hong Kong's goods exports in the third quarter

Previous : 11.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 12.20%

17:10:36

Annual rate of retail sales in Hong Kong, China in September

Previous : 3.20% Forecast : 1.90%

Published Value 4.80%

17:07:08

[The Hedging Dilemma: Three Signals of a Dollar's Comeback] ⑴ When global markets lack clear safe-haven assets, investors often turn to the US dollar for protection, a pattern proven effective in previous hedging periods. ⑵ In 2025, investors tried various hedging tools such as the euro, yen, gold, and Swiss franc amid trade conflicts, but with mixed results: the yen fell instead of rising, and the Swiss franc's gains were limited by intervention from the Swiss National Bank. ⑶ While gold became one of the best trading instruments of the year and lacked interest rate support, its current price is expensive and trading is crowded, raising questions about its safety. ⑷ The euro is also showing signs of weakness and is unlikely to break through the key resistance level of 1.20 unless there are significant fundamental changes. ⑸ The continued rise in the stock market has reduced the demand for hedging, but investors still need to protect their profits, creating a unique market contradiction. ⑹ If the market experiences the expected correction, the currently continuously sold-off dollar and heavily shorted US Treasury bonds may show stronger rebound potential than other hedging assets this year. (7) Traditional safe-haven assets that were once overlooked—especially dollar assets that have undergone deep corrections—are returning to investors’ sights.

17:05:04

[ECB's "Reassurance" Fails? Market Undercurrents Behind Inflation Target Achievement] ⑴ The European Central Bank (ECB) emphasized that inflation remains close to its medium-term target of 2%, and its assessment of the inflation outlook remains largely unchanged. ⑵ The Governing Council did not pre-commit to a specific interest rate path, but is determined to ensure that inflation stabilizes at the 2% target level over the medium term. ⑶ Despite a challenging global environment, the Eurozone economy continues to grow, with a robust labor market, a strong private sector balance sheet, and past interest rate cuts being important sources of resilience. ⑷ However, the economic outlook remains uncertain, mainly due to ongoing global trade disputes and geopolitical tensions, particularly market concerns triggered by Trump's tariff rhetoric. ⑸ The ECB will follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance. ⑹ According to the ECB's professional forecasters survey released on Friday, Eurozone inflation is expected to be 1.8% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027, both forecasts unchanged from three months ago. (7) Surveys show that long-term inflation expectations remain stable at 2.0%, with GDP growth projected at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027; these forecasts remain unchanged. (8) Institutional reports indicate that Eurozone inflation will remain near the central bank's 2% target in the coming years, while economic growth is expected to slowly recover to its potential level. (9) At its meeting on Thursday, the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive time, believing that the inflation outlook remains largely unchanged, with price growth fluctuating around 2% and likely to remain near that level in the coming years. (10) Internal forecasts from the European Central Bank show that the inflation rate in October (to be released at 18:00 Beijing time on Friday) is expected to decline slightly to 2.1% from 2.2% a month ago, then fall to 1.6% in early 2026, before slowly recovering to 2% by mid-2027.

17:04:17

Spain's current account for August

Previous : 62.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 50.80

17:02:58

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Copper

Previous : -400 Forecast : -

Published Value -325

17:02:49

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Primary aluminum

Previous : -3225 Forecast : -

Published Value 98525

17:02:42

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:02:37

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on October 31st - Tin

Previous : -40 Forecast : -

Published Value 85

17:02:33

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Nickel

Previous : -40 Forecast : -

Published Value 462

17:02:27

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:02:22

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Lead

Previous : -700 Forecast : -

Published Value -3875

17:02:16

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31st - Zinc

Previous : -300 Forecast : -

Published Value 400

17:02:10

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on October 31 - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:59:19

[Yen Under Pressure Nears Year-to-Date Lows; Market Focuses on Policy Divergence Between Japan and the US] ⑴ The yen weakened again during Friday's European session, nearing its lowest level since February. ⑵ Strong inflation data from the Tokyo region briefly boosted expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike, but the market reaction was short-lived. ⑶ Traders generally believe that against the backdrop of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi potentially implementing an aggressive fiscal spending plan, the Bank of Japan may resist further policy tightening.

16:54:37

[UK gilt yields rise following US and European bond markets] ⑴ UK gilt yields climbed, following the trend of the US and Eurozone bond markets. ⑵ Investors lowered their expectations for interest rate cuts by major central banks in the coming months. ⑶ The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday but indicated it might not act again in December; the European Central Bank kept rates unchanged on Thursday. ⑷ Expectations for rate cuts in the US and Eurozone declined, and expectations for a rate cut in the UK also decreased. ⑸ The money market estimates a 62% probability of a Bank of England rate cut before the end of 2025, a decrease of 10 percentage points from a week ago. ⑹ The 10-year UK gilt yield rose 2.2 basis points to 4.430%.

16:54:29

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,009.89/ounce, down 0.36% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,021.90/ounce, up 0.15% on the day.

16:54:18

[Xinjiang's Electricity Transmission Exceeds 100 Billion kWh in the First Three Quarters, with Renewable Energy Accounting for Over 30%] ⑴ Xinjiang's electricity transmission to other regions reached 108.4 billion kWh in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 12%. ⑵ Renewable energy transmission reached 35.8 billion kWh, accounting for over 30%, a year-on-year increase of 11.51%. ⑶ This renewable energy transmission is equivalent to reducing standard coal consumption by approximately 10.83 million tons. ⑷ Carbon dioxide emissions were reduced by over 29 million tons.

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3958.23	-42.93 (-1.07%)
XAG	47.347	-0.712 (-1.48%)
CONC	60.52	-0.53 (-0.87%)
OILC	64.37	-0.45 (-0.69%)
USD	100.140	0.276 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1481	-0.0038 (-0.33%)
GBPUSD	1.3046	-0.0093 (-0.71%)
USDCNH	7.1334	0.0090 (0.13%)

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