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2026-09-18 Friday

2026-09-22

09:17:12

[Jensen Huang: Nvidia's chip sales will double next year as AI demand spreads across all industries] (1) Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said on Thursday that the company's chip sales will double next year. (2) This is Nvidia's latest forecast, pointing to continued strong growth over the next six quarters; shortly before, the company disclosed that it expects to achieve 70% growth in the fiscal year ending January 2028, reaching approximately $673 billion, driving analysts' expectations to soar. (3) Huang told the media at a summit in Scotland with King Charles III: "I expect Nvidia to sell twice as many chips next year as this year. The reason is that AI is making huge contributions to all industries and economies, and we can see this in almost every country where we do business. People want to invest in AI." (4) Nvidia does not disclose total chip sales. Its most well-known products are data center GPUs, such as Blackwell and Rubin chips; last fall, Huang said that Nvidia shipped 6 million Blackwell GPUs in four quarters. (5) In addition to GPUs, Nvidia manufactures a variety of semiconductors, including CPUs, switching chips, optical network chips, laptop chips, Jetson chips for robots and automobiles, and chips used in the Nintendo Switch 2 game console. (6) Jensen Huang discussed AI security in the UK, with representatives from Google DeepMind, OpenAI, and Anthropic also attending the summit. He has spoken on this topic several times in recent weeks. Public discussion about the risks to humanity has intensified after AI researchers warned that humans can no longer control the most advanced artificial intelligence. Huang said, “When a product is not safe, we should postpone its release and continue to engineer it.”

09:15:41

On September 18, the central parity rate of the RMB against the foreign exchange market in the interbank market was as follows (1/2): The Swiss Franc was quoted at 8.1683 against the RMB, down 62.01 points; the US Dollar was quoted at 6.7521 against the RMB, down 59.00 points; the Euro was quoted at 7.7257 against the RMB, down 93.00 points; 100 Japanese Yen was quoted at 4.3173 against the RMB, down 79.00 points; the Hong Kong Dollar was quoted at 0.8606 against the RMB, down 9.20 points; the British Pound was quoted at 8.9958 against the RMB, down 331.00 points; the Australian Dollar was quoted at 4.7860 against the RMB, up 19.00 points; the New Zealand Dollar was quoted at 3.8545 against the RMB, down 67.00 points; and the Singapore Dollar was quoted at 5.2791 against the RMB, down 14.00 points. The Canadian dollar was quoted at 4.8088 against the Chinese yuan, down 108.00 points; the yuan was quoted at 0.6078 against the Malaysian ringgit, up 15.90 points; and the yuan was quoted at 12.6077 against the Russian ruble, up 757.01 points.

09:15:41

On September 18, the central parity rate of the RMB in the interbank foreign exchange market was as follows (2/2): The RMB/South African Rand was quoted at 2.4145, down 133.00 points; the RMB/Korean Won was quoted at 205.4900, up 82.00 points; the RMB/UAE Dirham was quoted at 0.5459, up 12.20 points; the RMB/Saudi Riyal was quoted at 0.5584, up 12.60 points; the RMB/Hungarian Forint was quoted at 46.9164, down 1989.97 points; the RMB/Polish Złoty was quoted at 0.5632, down 0.50 points; the RMB/Danish Krone was quoted at 0.9676, up 14.00 points; the RMB/Swedish Krone was quoted at 1.4597, down 14.00 points; the RMB/Norwegian Krone was quoted at 1.4004, up 27.00 points. The yuan was quoted at 7.2401 against the Turkish lira, up 277.40 points; the yuan was quoted at 2.5459 against the Mexican peso, down 59.00 points; and the yuan was quoted at 4.9551 against the Thai baht, down 69.00 points.

09:15:20

The central parity rate of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan was quoted at 6.7521 today, down 59.00 points from 6.7580 in the previous trading day; the onshore yuan closed at 6.7101 yesterday, and the offshore yuan closed at 6.7037 yesterday.

09:14:25

[JPMorgan Chase: Oil Market Outlook Unpredictable, Demand Shrinkage Temporarily Restrains Price Gains] 1. JPMorgan Chase stated on Thursday that for the first time since the start of the US-Israel war in Iraq, it was unable to make a clear baseline judgment on the oil market. Analysts said, "We simply don't know how to predict the ultimate outcome of this conflict." The bank noted that oil prices have risen above $100 per barrel, with US gasoline prices reaching $4.37 per gallon and diesel prices hitting a record high of $6.31 per gallon, while inventories are at historically low levels. 2. JPMorgan Chase estimates that the fair value of Brent crude in September is approximately $90 per barrel, while the current price is close to $104, indicating that the market is priced in the risk of supply disruptions expanding further from the currently estimated 10 million barrels per day. Risks in the Middle East are also escalating, including threats to shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and recent attacks affecting Saudi export routes. 3. However, despite the significant scale of supply disruptions, oil price increases have not been as dramatic as expected. Since the outbreak of the conflict, global crude oil and refined product inventories have decreased by approximately 555 million barrels, only about one-third of the decline previously predicted by JPMorgan Chase; global oil demand is about 4.4 million barrels per day lower than the same period last year. JPMorgan Chase stated that the market is relying more on shrinking demand than depleting inventories to absorb supply disruptions, thus the average price of Brent crude since the conflict has been only $94 per barrel. 4. The International Energy Agency stated last week that the decline in global oil supply and demand this year may both exceed previous expectations. In contrast, OPEC, despite lowering its forecast for the fifth consecutive month, still expects global oil demand to grow by 380,000 barrels per day in 2026. 5. JPMorgan Chase stated that China, Europe, Japan, and South Korea still have large inventories available, which can provide a buffer against prolonged supply disruptions. However, if Middle East supply disruptions persist, oil prices may rise later this year as inventories further decline and the market increasingly relies on shrinking demand to maintain balance. The bank concluded: "There is still enough 'ammunition' to curb rising oil prices, at least for now."

09:13:54

Saudi Embassy in the United States: The proposed F-35 arms sale reflects the strength and enduring nature of the strategic partnership between Saudi Arabia and the United States.

09:13:07

Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor: The Board is fully committed to achieving the inflation target.

09:12:42

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: Continued inflationary shocks cannot be ignored

09:10:40

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: Inflation risks are tilted to the upside.

09:09:39

UBS currently expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates twice more, by 25 basis points each time, to 4.85%.

09:09:09

Russia will hold a three-day election from September 18-20, in which citizens will elect members of the ninth State Duma of the Russian Federation, governors of eight regions, and members of local legislatures and autonomous bodies.

09:09:08

[VIP Article] CBOT Agricultural Commodities Analysis: Soybean Meal Futures Hit Highest Point Since Late May 2024, Spot Prices Slow to Rise, Corn and Wheat Consolidate Awaiting Change (Article already published, can be viewed directly on the website, or in the VIP section of the app)

09:06:37

[Ten Departments: Accelerate the Application of New Technologies such as Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing in Drug Development, Explore New Models of Pharmaceutical and Medical Device Production such as Ultra-Restricted Manufacturing and Space Pharmaceuticals] The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, and eight other departments jointly released the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Pharmaceutical Industry" today. The plan proposes to accelerate the deployment of cutting-edge technologies and products. It emphasizes strengthening interdisciplinary integration and the supply of cutting-edge technologies, supporting joint research efforts among pharmaceutical companies, universities, research institutes, and medical institutions. The plan calls for accelerating the application of new technologies such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, supercomputing, and computational medicine in drug development, exploring new models of pharmaceutical and medical device production such as ultra-restricted manufacturing, space pharmaceuticals, and biomanufacturing, deepening the application of cutting-edge technologies such as gene editing, molecular precision delivery, cell programming and regulation, advanced omics, and next-generation brain-computer interfaces, and achieving breakthroughs in key technologies such as artificial life system synthesis, organoids and organ-on-a-chip, universal cell therapy, complex regenerative organs, integrated radiopharmaceuticals, and xenotransplantation organs, cultivating several new growth points. (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology)

09:05:28

[The New York Times: US Considers New Business Deal with Russia Before Ukraine Conflict Ends] (1) The New York Times, citing sources, reported that US authorities are considering the possibility of reaching a new business deal with Russia before the conflict in Ukraine ends. (2) An anonymous US official said that reaching an agreement with Russia before the conflict ends is possible because it would demonstrate the US's intention to reset US-Russia relations. (3) Sources said this represents a new US strategy for resolving the conflict in Ukraine; specific agreements involved were not disclosed. (4) On Thursday, US President Trump said his diplomats are working to end the conflict in Ukraine and promised a solution soon.

09:04:05

[Bank of Japan Expected to Raise Rates; Ueda's Press Conference a Key Window for Policy Signals] 1. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise its policy rate from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This would be the first rate hike in three months, bringing the rate into the BOJ's estimated neutral range of 1.1% to 2.5%, marking a further step away from Japan's decades-long ultra-low interest rate policy. The policy decision will be announced around 11:00 AM Beijing time, and Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a press conference at 6:30 AM. 2. The Federal Reserve's rate hike on Wednesday and its potential further tightening of policy this year have put pressure on the BOJ to follow suit. A further widening of the US-Japan interest rate differential could lead to a depreciation of the yen, increased import costs, and exacerbated inflation. Kansai Mirai Bank strategists point out that the pressure on the BOJ has significantly increased, and Ueda's communication challenges at the press conference have also risen accordingly. 3. The market will closely watch Ueda's statements for clues about the timing and pace of future rate hikes. Analysts expect that council member Toichiro Asada, who voted against the rate hike in June, may again raise his objections. Since ending its decade-long easing policy in 2024, the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates approximately twice a year, a pace critics argue is too slow and is one reason for the yen's continued weakness. 4. Even with this rate hike, Japan's policy rate remains lower than that of major global central banks—the European Central Bank raised its key rate to 2.5% last week, and the Federal Reserve recently raised rates to 3.75%-4.00%. US Treasury Secretary Bessenter previously stated that during his meeting with Ueda at the G20 summit, he strongly supported decisive monetary policy measures to address the yen's depreciation. 5. Surveys show analysts expect the Bank of Japan to raise rates to 1.25% this month, to 1.5% by the end of March next year, and then to 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027. Most analysts believe the final rate will reach at least 1.75%.

09:03:45

China's INE crude oil futures main contract has just broken through the 750.0 yuan/barrel mark, and is currently trading at 749.0 yuan/barrel, down 12.88% on the day.

09:01:36

【Citi: The weakness of the Korean won may be temporary, and it is expected to rebound against the US dollar before the end of the year】 (1) A Citi trader said that the recent weakness of the Korean won may only be a temporary phenomenon, driven by the South Korean chip industry's economic growth, and the Korean won is expected to rebound against the US dollar before the end of the year. (2) Lee Sanghun, head of Citi's Korea trading, said in an interview on Wednesday evening that the Korean won is at risk of falling below 1,400 won per US dollar in the short term due to external factors such as the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and inflation concerns caused by rising oil prices. (3) However, he believes that the Korean won will not remain so weak for a long time, so it will be a good time to sell the US dollar and buy the Korean won when the exchange rate is around 1,400 won per US dollar. (4) The Korean won had previously experienced a two-month rise and became the best-performing currency in Asia; however, on Thursday, the Korean won fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, hitting a low of 1,388.25 won per US dollar. (5) The hawkish policy of the Federal Reserve has suppressed the Korean won, and the widening of the US-Korea interest rate differential due to US interest rate hikes may weaken the attractiveness of South Korean domestic assets. (6) On Friday morning, the Korean won opened steadily, with the exchange rate remaining around 1381.00 won per US dollar.

09:01:04

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1790.00/oz mark, last trading at $1790.50/oz, up 1.03% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1793.0/oz, down 0.07% on the day.

09:00:44

Spot silver rose 1.01% on the day, reaching $65.85 per ounce; COMEX silver futures were last quoted at $66.38 per ounce, up 0.42% on the day.

09:00:14

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,360.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,360.41/ounce, up 0.43% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,399.50/ounce, down 0.00% on the day.

08:58:24

[Amazon Stances AI Development Speed: Models Must Undergo Rigorous Testing Before Release; Progress and Safety Are Not an Either/or Choice] (1) On September 17th local time, it was reported that Amazon stated that artificial intelligence models can only be released after undergoing rigorous testing. (2) After several top AI labs called for a slowdown in development speed due to security vulnerabilities, Amazon also joined the discussion on the issue of AI development speed. (3) Amazon spokesperson Tom Parnell stated in an email: "We do not believe it is an either/or choice between progress and safety. Models should be released when they are ready and safe to use, which requires rigorous testing and strong safeguards." (4) He stated that there would be risks if the industry could not work together to do this; he believes that the entire industry, in cooperation with the government, will jointly establish appropriate safeguards.

08:55:29

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: There is a general consensus that the neutral interest rate has risen.

08:51:47

【Timiraos: Trump's Rare Approval of Rate Hike May Make the "Ceasefire" Between the White House and the Fed Difficult to Last】 (1) Nick Timiraos, a senior reporter for the Wall Street Journal, wrote that Trump has been criticizing the Fed for keeping interest rates too high, but after the Fed raised rates this week, he claimed that he had approved of the decision when he spoke with Fed Chairman Warsh a few days before the decision. (2) Sources revealed that Trump's call with Warsh surprised many of the president's close advisors. This "ceasefire" clearly shows that Warsh has temporarily reversed the previous tension between the White House and the Fed. (3) The risk is that this situation may only last until the Fed raises rates again. A senior government official said that if the Fed decides to raise rates again in October, before the midterm elections, Warsh may become the subject of more rigorous scrutiny by Trump and his advisors. (4) Trump's description of a hostile Fed board may make investors wonder whether Warsh is leading the Fed or being led by it.

08:47:58

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: We are considering whether we have tightened our policy sufficiently; overall, the decline in house prices is not too significant.

08:33:53

The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds fell 3.5 basis points to 2.955%; the yield on 2-year Japanese government bonds fell 1 basis point to 1.85%; and the yield on 5-year Japanese government bonds fell 1 basis point to 2.285%.

08:33:26

[VIP Article] Iran's call for "Trump and Netanyahu to step down" is insufficient to withstand three negative factors, and US oil prices fall below the $100 mark (Article has been published; you can click to view it directly on the website, or go to the VIP section in the app).

08:27:38

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: The rise in Australian bond yields was not unexpected.

08:27:18

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung will meet with Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Chairman of the Abu Dhabi Administrative Authority of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), at the Blue House in Seoul today (Friday).

08:23:00

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1780.00/oz mark, last trading at $1780.30/oz, up 0.46% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1781.4/oz, down 0.72% on the day.

08:21:21

Interest rate hikes are still priced in, but hawks are disappointed: Japan's CPI fell short of expectations, and the dollar rose slightly against the yen. Details>

08:21:20

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 64,700.00 mark, currently trading at 64,681.65, up 0.85% on the day.

08:17:18

U.S. Postmaster General David Steiner said on Thursday that the agency has halted development of a controversial computer system that was central to Trump's measures to restrict mail-in voting, after the Supreme Court this week rejected Trump's executive order. He stated, "There's an injunction in place, so we didn't do anything."

08:17:04

A spokesperson for the New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that New Zealand has not discussed becoming a joint member state with the European Union.

08:15:59

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 64,800.00 mark, currently trading at 64,804.08, up 1.04% on the day.

08:14:39

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract fell 1.01% to $96.25 per barrel on the day.

08:14:39

The Nikkei 225 index rose 1.01% on the day, closing at 64,783.78.

08:13:36

South Korea and the UAE will discuss cooperation on defense, artificial intelligence, and nuclear energy.

08:11:19

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,350.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,350.50/ounce, up 0.20% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,388.90/ounce, down 0.25% on the day.

08:10:37

In the White House Rose Garden, President Trump joked with hunters and fishing enthusiasts that he could have "banned fishing" and "completely bankrupted" the CEO of outdoor retail giant Bass Pro Shops if he wanted to. "The power of that position is simply astounding!" he exclaimed. "I think I would have done it... just for a day or two, until he called me and said, 'Please, Mr. President, please.'"

08:10:12

The union says hundreds of Qantas ground staff will strike next week over pay issues.

08:07:49

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 64,600.00 mark, currently trading at 64,581.90, up 0.69% on the day.

08:04:18

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell by 1.44% to 4.942% during the day.

08:03:38

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 64,700.00 mark, currently trading at 64,705.46, up 0.89% on the day.

08:01:20

A chart showing support and resistance levels for 18 major forex pairs: USD + EUR/JPY + Commodity Currencies + Emerging Market Currencies (September 18, 2026) Details>

08:00:08

The Nikkei 225 index opened at 64,681.55 points this morning, up 0.85%.

07:58:58

Japan's seasonally adjusted CPI reading for August, excluding food and energy.

Previous : 112.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 102.30

07:58:25

A chart showing support and resistance levels for commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil & Gas, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, and Agricultural Commodities Futures (September 18, 2026) Details>

07:56:13

[Japan's CPI nears 2% target, central bank expected to raise interest rates to 1.25%] (1) Japan's consumer price index (CPI) excluding fresh food rose 1.7% year-on-year in August, slightly lower than July's 1.8%, but still close to the Bank of Japan's 2% target; the index excluding fresh food and energy prices rose 1.9% year-on-year, unchanged from July, indicating strong underlying inflation. (2) The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting later that day, raising the benchmark interest rate to 1.25%; the market has largely priced in the expectation of a September rate hike. (3) The focus has shifted to the pace of the Bank of Japan's next move. Policymakers pointed out that the impact of the Middle East conflict, yen volatility, and demand related to artificial intelligence are potential factors that could push up inflation. (4) Overnight index swaps indicate that the probability of another rate hike by the end of this year is about 65%.

07:55:41

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: In a world where oil prices remain high for an extended period, businesses are now more inclined to pass on rising costs to consumers.

07:55:05

Goldman Sachs: Gold prices may fall to the support level of $4,070/oz in the short term, and then gradually recover to $4,200/oz by the end of 2026.

07:51:40

Goldman Sachs: Central bank reserve diversification remains the main structural driver for our bullish outlook on gold. We continue to view our gold forecast as upward-biased, but also anticipate greater two-way volatility along the way.

07:49:48

Goldman Sachs: Despite the Fed's rate hike on Wednesday, we maintain our year-end 2027 gold price forecast of $5,400/ounce.

07:47:19

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: Financial stability risks are under control; it is necessary to curb overall demand growth; significant inflation risks remain contained. Monetary policy is prepared to address developments, and we are focused on achieving our mission of price stability and full employment.

07:41:22

Gold Trading Alert: With the dollar weakening and oil prices falling, gold prices rebounded by nearly 2%! Has the bulls sounded their counterattack? Details>

07:40:46

The Australian dollar just touched the 111.00 level against the Japanese yen, and is currently trading at 111.00, up 0.13% on the day.

07:38:03

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: A key question is whether the monetary policy tightening so far has been sufficient to bring inflation back to target levels within a reasonable timeframe.

07:37:54

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: Recent data is largely in line with our expectations that demand growth will slow in the first half of 2026. Housing market conditions have softened, and more accommodative policies than anticipated could pose a downside risk to economic activity.

07:37:19

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor: Through our liaison program, we have learned that many companies are passing on higher input costs.

07:37:04

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor: Indicators continue to suggest that the labor market remains close to full employment, but slightly tight. At the August board meeting, we assessed that the risks to this outlook were skewed to the upside. Subsequent developments suggest that while Australian economic growth is slowing, some of these upside risks to inflation appear to be materializing.

07:34:03

Japan's August nationwide core-core CPI month-on-month rate

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.50%

07:34:03

Japan's August CPI (excluding food and energy) year-on-year rate

Previous : 1.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.70%

07:34:02

Japan's nationwide CPI monthly rate in August

Previous : 0.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.10%

07:34:01

Japan's August unadjusted CPI reading

Previous : 102 Forecast : -

Published Value 102.20

07:31:50

Japan's August CPI reading excluding fresh food

Previous : 113.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 102

07:30:15

Japan’s annual national CPI rate in August

Previous : 1.90% Forecast : 2%

US Dollar

Japanese Yen

Published Value 1.90%

07:30:00

Japan's August national core CPI year-on-year rate

Previous : 1.80% Forecast : 1.80%

US Dollar

Japanese Yen

Published Value 1.70%

07:30:00

Japan's August national core-core CPI year-on-year rate

Previous : 1.80% Forecast : 1.80%

Published Value 1.90%

07:28:04

[Mexican and US Presidents Discuss Trade in Phone Call; Negotiations Continue] Mexican President Jacques Sinbaum and US President Donald Trump held a phone conversation, exchanging views on trade issues against the backdrop of ongoing negotiations.

07:17:39

US President Donald Trump will make a statement on healthcare at 2:30 p.m. Eastern Time on Friday (2:30 a.m. Saturday Beijing Time).

07:10:06

[South Korea Extends Fuel Tax Reduction to End of November, Maintains Unchanged Gasoline and Diesel Discounts] 1. South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it will extend the fuel tax reduction for another two months, until the end of November. 2. The Ministry of Finance stated that this move aims to alleviate fuel cost pressures caused by oil price fluctuations due to the Middle East situation, and will maintain the 15% reduction for gasoline and the 25% reduction for diesel and butane.

07:08:40

Wells Fargo Bearish on the Yen: BOJ May Struggle to Meet Hawkish Expectations, Recommends Buying USD/JPY 1. Wells Fargo recommends selling the yen against the dollar before the Bank of Japan (BOJ) announces its interest rate decision, believing that the BOJ's policy力度 (policy力度) may not meet or even exceed the market's current hawkish expectations. 2. Chidu Narayanan, Head of Asia Pacific Macro Strategy at Wells Fargo, stated in a report that the market has already priced in an expectation of 25 basis point rate hikes at every meeting until July 2027. Reaching this threshold is very difficult for the BOJ, and exceeding it will be even more challenging. 3. Based on the above judgment, Wells Fargo recommends buying USD/JPY, with a target price of 159 and a stop-loss order at 153.40.

07:02:29

[Fighting Fiercely Between Yemeni Government Forces and Houthi Rebels Near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait] According to officials from both the Yemeni government forces and the Houthi rebels on the 17th, fierce fighting broke out in the vicinity of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait over the past 24 hours, as they vie for high ground overlooking this vital Middle Eastern shipping route. An anonymous Yemeni government official told Xinhua News Agency that fierce fighting has continued in the Kahbub mountains and surrounding high ground in Lahj province, southern Yemen, since the 16th, with the Houthi rebels launching a new offensive against government defensive positions. (Xinhua)

06:52:12

New Zealand's 12-month trade balance for August (NZ$ billion)

Previous : -52.40 Forecast : -

Published Value -54.40

06:51:12

New Zealand August food price index month-on-month

Previous : 0.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.30

06:50:44

New Zealand August Food Price Index (Year-on-Year)

Previous : 1.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.90

06:50:11

New Zealand's August exports (NZ$ billion)

Previous : 73.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 66.60

06:50:11

New Zealand's imports in August (NZ$ billion)

Previous : 93.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 80

06:49:37

New Zealand's August trade balance (NZ$ billion)

Previous : -19.49 Forecast : -

Published Value -13.49

06:27:54

[Trump Says He Will Make a "Major Decision" on the Iran War, Plans to Meet with Gulf Leaders During UN General Assembly] 1. US President Trump stated on the 17th that he is at a critical juncture where he needs to make a "major decision" on whether to restart large-scale military action to end the war with Iran. 2. In an interview with the US news website Axios, Trump said that Iran is currently maintaining direct contact with the United States and hopes to reach an agreement. He also stated that he hopes to take advantage of the UN General Assembly to directly hear the opinions of regional allies on the next steps in the conflict. 3. Trump is expected to meet with leaders of Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman, during the UN General Assembly in New York on the 22nd to discuss the next steps in the war with Iran. When asked if he would meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in New York next week, Trump replied, "Maybe." 4. The report also stated that the White House is developing a post-war plan to guide US Middle East policy after the end of the war with Iran.

06:25:17

[US Agrees to Iranian Leader's Attendance at UN General Assembly; Iranian President Expected to Speak on the 23rd] 1. According to multiple US media reports on the 17th, despite the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran, the US government has agreed to allow Iranian leaders to travel to New York to attend next week's high-level meeting of the UN General Assembly. A US State Department spokesperson stated that, in accordance with US policy, the Iranian delegation will be smaller than last year and will be subject to travel restrictions within the US. 2. The 81st session of the UN General Assembly's general debate will open on the 22nd, and Iranian President Pezechzian is expected to address the assembly on the 23rd. 3. The US State Department announced on the 16th that it will extend sanctions against members of the Palestine Liberation Organization and officials of the Palestinian National Authority, and refuse to issue them visas. This is the second consecutive year that the Trump administration has refused to issue visas to the Palestinian delegation planning to attend the UN General Assembly in New York.

06:24:13

[Iran Stances Tough: Reopening of Strait of Hormuz Requires Trump and Netanyahu's Resignation] 1. Iran has once again escalated tensions with the United States and Israel, directly linking the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to the resignation of Trump and Netanyahu. This warning from Mohammad Bagher Zorchader, political advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader, comes as regional tensions continue to rise and the passage of this strategic sea route is severely restricted. 2. Zorchader made these remarks in a statement commemorating 200 days of continuous protests by the Iranian people, describing the period as a phase of resistance and determination, and emphasizing that the struggle will continue to defend the nation's survival, identity, independence, and aspirations. The most emphasized part of his statement warned: “Unless the criminal Trump and the bloodthirsty Netanyahu step down, our warriors will never reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This is the first phase of the Iranian people’s revenge.” 3. The advisor mentioned the Iranian people killed in the attacks during the conflict, including civilians and soldiers, specifically mentioning the children killed in Minabu, the teenagers killed in Ramerd, the soldiers killed in Banpur, and the crew of the warship “Dina.” He stated that Iran seeks revenge for the deaths caused by these attacks and will continue to close the Strait of Hormuz as the first phase of its response. This move increases pressure on this vital passage to international energy markets. 4. The Strait of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman and is one of the world’s main routes for oil and gas transport. Trade volumes have dropped sharply in recent days, with preliminary maritime tracking data showing only three merchant ships passing through the strait on Wednesday. Iran claims to have attacked 10 ships and continues to tighten navigation restrictions in the region in an attempt to enhance its pressure-making capabilities in the conflict. 5. The escalation of the military conflict has also affected US facilities in Jordan. The US previously attacked five Iranian oil tankers, after which Iran attacked the Mowafak Salti airbase, damaging several US aircraft. According to CBS News, approximately eight F-15 fighter jets were returned to service with minor damage, while one A-10 attack aircraft was hit, sustaining significant damage to one wing. No US personnel were reportedly injured in the operation.

06:13:59

US SPDR Gold Holdings Changes - Daily (tons) - September 17

Previous : 1.71 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.85

06:13:58

US SPDR Gold Holdings - Daily Update (tons) - September 17

Previous : 1051.99 Forecast : -

Published Value 1052.84

06:13:13

US iShares Silver Holdings Changes - Daily (tons) - September 17

Previous : -39.33 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

06:13:12

US iShares Silver Holdings - Daily Update (tons) - September 17

Previous : 15226.98 Forecast : -

Published Value 15226.98

06:12:57

US iShares Gold Holdings Changes - Daily (tons) - September 17

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.47

06:12:56

US iShares Gold Holdings - Daily Update (tons) - September 17

Previous : 464.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 464.67

06:09:34

[Datafolha Poll: Lula 39%, Flavio Bolsonaro 36% in First Round of Brazilian Presidential Election] 1. A recent Datafolha poll shows incumbent President Lula with 39% support in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election. 2. Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former President Bolsonaro, has 36% support. 3. With a 3-percentage-point difference between the two, the election remains highly uncertain.

06:05:52

[Trump May Meet Venezuelan Acting President for the First Time at UN General Assembly; Venezuela Seen as a Key Achievement] 1. According to informed negotiators, Trump is arranging his first meeting with Venezuelan acting president Rodriguez as early as next week. Trump will travel to New York next week for the UN General Assembly and to address issues related to the Iran war. He hopes to find time for a sideline meeting with Rodriguez as early as Tuesday. 2. A Trump advisor stated that while the Iran issue is thorny, Venezuela is undoubtedly Trump's top achievement, and Rodriguez is a key figure in achieving this. Unless major unforeseen circumstances arise, Trump hopes to facilitate this meeting. Another senior US government official cautioned that the arrangements have not yet been finalized, and the final decision rests with the president. 3. On Sunday, when asked on Air Force One whether he would meet with Rodriguez, Trump responded, "Possibly, possibly."

06:05:34

[The probability of a Fed rate hike in October is 55.4%, and the probability of at least one more rate hike this year is 87.4%] According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 44.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 55.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 12.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 47.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 39.8%.

06:00:16

The USD/JPY pair has just broken through the 156.00 level and is currently trading at 156.01, up 0.03% on the day.

06:00:06

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $100.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $96.48/barrel, down 0.77% on the day.

05:45:46

According to market sources, US President Trump is planning to hold his first meeting with Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodriguez as early as next week.

05:36:45

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, known as the "New Bond King," has warned that a potential U.S. recession could trigger a debt crisis, driving long-term Treasury yields sharply higher—a prediction that breaks with decades of conventional wisdom, as bonds have long been considered safe-haven assets during periods of economic stress. Gundlach revealed that he is currently focusing on investing in shorter-duration assets to protect DoubleLine Capital's funds from the impact of continuously rising interest rates. He also predicts that the U.S. government is likely to implement further policy interventions to curb the concentrated sell-off of bonds. He mentioned several possible policy options, including the Federal Reserve launching another "Operation Twist," and in more extreme cases, debt restructuring—that is, reducing the coupon payments on existing bonds to reduce interest expenses. “Once an economic recession hits, the US fiscal situation will become a major focus of market attention,” he said at an event in New York. “At that time, the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP could easily reach 12%, and the annual interest payments would be around $3 trillion, a scale that is completely unsustainable.”

05:33:17

The Central Bank of Brazil issued an official announcement revealing that it will hold a dollar auction with repurchase agreements on September 18. These dollar auctions with repurchase clauses are a common foreign exchange market adjustment tool used by central banks. They are typically used to temporarily regulate dollar liquidity in the market, smooth out abnormal exchange rate fluctuations, and convey the central bank's policy signal of maintaining the stable operation of the foreign exchange market, thus playing a positive role in stabilizing market expectations.

05:32:06

Brent crude oil prices fell below the $100 per barrel mark, with an intraday drop of 1.50%. As one of the key pricing benchmarks for international oil prices, fluctuations in Brent crude oil prices typically have a ripple effect on the global energy market, transportation industry, and industrial production costs. This decline has also drawn widespread attention to the future supply and demand trends of crude oil and changes in inflationary pressures.

05:30:28

US NYMEX Palladium Inventories - Daily Update (100 ounces) - September 16

Previous : 2502.47 Forecast : -

Published Value 2502.47

05:29:47

Trump signed an executive order further relaxing restrictions on hunting on federal public lands. According to the policy adjustments, the federal lands now open to hunting include national wildlife refuges and public woodlands in several states. Subsequent regulations from relevant authorities will specify the types of species permitted for hunting, permitted hunting seasons, limits on the number of animals that can be hunted, and the eligibility requirements for applicants. This aims to ensure the legitimate activities of hunting enthusiasts while also considering the ecological protection goals of federal lands and maintaining the balance of biodiversity within the areas.

05:29:17

US NYMEX Palladium Inventory Change - Daily (100 ounces) - September 16

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

05:29:16

US NYMEX Platinum Inventory Changes - Daily (100 ounces) - September 16

Previous : -3 Forecast : -

Published Value -27.70

24

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4357.86	14.34 (0.33%)
XAG	66.469	0.465 (0.70%)
CONC	92.66	0.29 (0.31%)
OILC	100.69	0.66 (0.66%)
USD	100.374	-0.036 (-0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1469	0.0007 (0.06%)
GBPUSD	1.3374	0.0009 (0.06%)
USDCNH	6.6924	-0.0001 (-0.00%)

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