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2025-12-16 Tuesday

2025-12-20

13:18:42

[Core Retail Sales Data Draws Attention; Weak Signs May Strengthen Rate Cut Expectations] 1. The US core retail sales report, to be released at 21:30 Beijing time on Tuesday, is attracting significant market attention. It serves not only as a barometer of market sentiment but also as a key indicator of consumer behavior and its impact on the overall economy. 2. If the actual data falls short of the market consensus of 0.2% growth, it may indicate that US household spending is slowing, prompting businesses to adopt more cautious strategies in hiring, production expansion, and inventory management. While retail data itself may not directly trigger dramatic market price fluctuations, it clearly reveals the health of the consumer sector, which constitutes the mainstay of the US economy. 3. Consumption, as a core driver of economic growth, is also an important basis for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Weak data may strengthen investors' expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates earlier than anticipated to support the economy. Therefore, this report is often regarded by market participants as an important barometer for assessing economic momentum, predicting the direction of monetary policy, and forecasting the outlook for risky assets.

13:16:13

According to the Financial Times, the Finnish Prime Minister warned that Russia would redeploy troops to NATO's eastern flank if a peace agreement is reached in Ukraine. He urged Europe to invest more in the defense of frontline nations.

13:15:39

[Analysts Note: Today's US Non-Farm Payroll Data Release is Complex; Bureau of Labor Statistics Warns of "Higher-than-Normal" Statistical Errors] 1. Investinglive analyst Justin Low points out that market focus is highly concentrated on the long-delayed US labor market report to be released today (December 16). 2. This report is unusual, as it not only includes the November non-farm payroll data originally scheduled for early December but will also release the October employment data, creating a rare "combined release." This increases the complexity of data interpretation. 3. More importantly, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has previously warned that the employment data for this month and the following months may contain "higher-than-normal statistical errors." This situation stems from two aspects: first, the statistical department made technical adjustments to the statistical weights to compensate for omissions in the October data; second, the November data collection process itself encountered some problems.

13:13:28

[Dubai Crude Oil Forward Curve Turns Negative, Intensifying Global Oil Supply Oversupply Pressure] 1. The forward curve for Dubai crude oil, a benchmark for Middle Eastern crude, has weakened rapidly recently. The spread between the January and February contracts fell to -$2 per barrel in early trading on Tuesday, exhibiting a deep futures premium structure. This change indicates intensified market concerns about the recent supply glut, becoming another clear signal of a global oil supply glut. 2. Affected by increased crude oil production, the market is generally worried that the oversupply situation will continue. The International Energy Agency predicts a significant oversupply in 2026. This sentiment has dragged down major global oil prices, with Brent crude futures prices currently under pressure near the $50 per barrel level. As a key pricing benchmark for Asian traders and refiners, the changes in the market structure of Dubai crude directly reflect the current supply pressure facing the global crude oil market.

13:10:56

According to the Financial Times: Greg Gut, head of Shell's M&A team, has resigned after the CEO rejected a takeover bid for BP.

13:10:21

[Bank of Korea: Attributing the Weakness of the Korean Won to Excess Domestic Liquidity is an Exaggeration] 1. The Bank of Korea (BOK) released a report on Tuesday stating that attributing the weakness of the Korean won and rising housing prices primarily to excess domestic liquidity is an exaggeration. The BOK analyzed that the won's exchange rate is influenced more by factors such as increased overseas securities investment by residents and export companies' tendency to hold foreign exchange than by liquidity conditions; and the rise in real estate prices is mainly due to the continued inflow of previously accumulated liquidity, rather than new money supply. 2. The BOK had previously maintained its interest rate unchanged for the fourth consecutive time at its meeting at the end of November, mainly considering that the sharp depreciation of the won limited the scope for further easing policies, while the continued rise in housing prices in Seoul and other areas also posed risks to financial stability. The BOK emphasized in its report that the current domestic liquidity situation is not as serious as some commentators have worried, and it is not the sole reason for the weakness of the won and the inflation of asset prices.

13:05:00

[Venezuelan Vice President: Trinidad and Tobago Assisted the US in "Stealing" Venezuelan Oil Tankers] 1. Venezuelan Vice President and Oil Minister Rodríguez issued a government statement on the 15th, claiming that Trinidad and Tobago assisted the US in "stealing" Venezuelan oil tankers. 2. The statement said that Trinidad and Tobago allowed the US to install military radar on its territory to surround passing Venezuelan oil tankers, making Trinidad and Tobago an accomplice in the US aggression against Venezuela. 3. The Venezuelan government is aware of Trinidad and Tobago's participation in the recent US seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker, which it considers an act of piracy and a violation of international law. The statement said that the Venezuelan government has decided to immediately terminate all natural gas supply contracts, agreements, and related negotiations with Trinidad and Tobago.

13:03:29

A report released by the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) on the 15th stated that the adoption rate of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in Italian businesses has doubled this year compared to last year. However, in Italy, where small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) dominate, the adoption rate remains low. This year, 16.4% of Italian companies with 10 or more employees have adopted some form of AI technology, up from 8.2% in 2024 and 5% in 2023.

13:01:19

Preliminary HSBC Manufacturing PMI for India in December

Previous : 56.60 Forecast : 57.20

Published Value 55.70

13:01:12

HSBC Services PMI for India in December

Previous : 59.80 Forecast : 60.10

Published Value 59.10

13:00:47

India's HSBC Composite PMI for December

Previous : 59.70 Forecast : 59.30

Published Value 58.90

13:00:08

The Shanghai Composite Index opened at 3820.89 points in the afternoon, down 1.22%; the CSI 300 Index opened at 4490.29 points, down 1.36%; the Shenzhen Component Index opened at 12864.64 points, down 1.89%; the ChiNext Index opened at 3063.73 points, down 2.36%; and the SME Composite Index opened at 13710.33 points, down 1.73%.

12:59:14

A chart showing support and resistance levels for 18 major forex pairs: USD + EUR/JPY + Commodity Currencies + Emerging Market Currencies (December 16, 2025) Details>

12:57:15

A chart showing support and resistance levels for commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil & Gas, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, and Agricultural Commodities Futures (December 16, 2025) Details>

12:45:46

A summary chart of futures company viewpoints: Non-ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, tin, etc.) on December 16th Details>

12:06:32

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 49,500.00 mark, currently trading at 49,498.90, down 1.33% on the day.

12:03:37

A comprehensive preview of the non-farm payrolls report in eight charts; the first non-farm payrolls report after the White House shutdown is likely to be poor. Details>

11:59:22

Vadim Astafiev, head of the press center of the Russian Armed Forces' Southern Group, said that the group's drone system destroyed 32 Ukrainian bunkers and 7 ground robots in the directions of Kramatorsk, Seversk, and Konstantinovka.

11:55:20

The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 49,600.00 mark, and is currently trading at 49,601.38, down 1.13% on the day.

11:52:32

[EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting Fails to Reach Agreement on Using Frozen Russian Assets to Aid Ukraine] On December 15th local time, the EU held a meeting of foreign ministers in an attempt to reach an agreement on using frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine before the upcoming EU summit, but failed to do so. The plan not only continues to face opposition from Belgium, but has also encountered new obstacles, with the Czech Republic, Italy, and other countries joining the opposition, making the plan's progress extremely difficult. (CCTV News)

11:52:20

[First Cross-Sea Interconnection Project in Beibu Gulf Begins Submarine Cable Laying] At approximately 10:00 AM on December 16th, as the cable-laying vessel Dejing 106 entered the designated waters near Weizhou Island, the laying of the submarine cable for the first cross-sea interconnection project in the Beibu Gulf—the China Southern Power Grid 220kV Weizhou Island Cross-Sea Interconnection Project—began. This is the first 220kV submarine cable in China to use domestically produced insulation materials. After its commissioning, the project will end Weizhou Island's history of operating as an isolated power grid, injecting strong momentum into Guangxi's maritime economic development. According to calculations, after the project is operational, carbon dioxide emissions will be reduced by 4,318 tons based on gas-fired power generation. Taking island guesthouses as an example, the cost of diesel generators (300 yuan per hour during peak season) will be replaced by a stable power grid supply, significantly reducing operating costs and demonstrating significant energy conservation and carbon reduction effects. Furthermore, the project can also accommodate the grid connection needs of offshore wind power near the island, providing a crucial transmission channel for future offshore wind power in the Beibu Gulf and creating a new energy fulcrum for strengthening the maritime economy. (CCTV News)

11:51:18

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) CEO, Chen Yiting, stated that since 2025, the Hong Kong IPO market has seen over 100 listings (including the two largest IPOs globally this year), raising a total of over HK$270 billion. Looking ahead to 2026, the Listing Division is currently processing over 300 listing applications.

11:44:10

[SSE 50 Index Replaces 4 Stocks, SAIC Motor and Northern Rare Earth Added] According to a previous announcement by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, the SSE 50 Index replaced four stocks, including SAIC Motor, Northern Rare Earth, Huadian New Energy, and Sugon. SAIC Motor believes this adjustment not only confirms the company's strength in core indicators such as market capitalization and market liquidity, but also signifies that its comprehensive deepening of reforms and innovative transformation have gained high recognition from the capital market.

11:37:00

[my country Successfully Launches ZY-3 04 Satellite] Today, my country successfully launched the ZY-3 04 satellite into its predetermined orbit using a Long March-4B carrier rocket from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center. The launch mission was a complete success. (CCTV)

11:36:28

[A-Share Midday Review: Turnover of 1.1396 Trillion Yuan Across the Board, Dairy, Retail, and Insurance Sectors Active] The three major A-share indices all fell. As of midday, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.88%, the ChiNext Index fell 2.35%, and the Beijing 50 Index rose 1.10%. The total turnover of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges in the morning session was 1.1396 trillion yuan, a decrease of 58.9 billion yuan from the previous day. More than 4,400 stocks declined across the market. In terms of sectors, dairy, retail, and insurance sectors were active, while Hainan, film and cinema, and photovoltaic sectors saw adjustments. On the market, the dairy sector strengthened, with Huangshi Group hitting the daily limit and Huanlejia rising more than 9%. The retail sector strengthened, with several stocks, including Yonghui Supermarket and Baida Group, hitting the daily limit. The film and cinema sector adjusted, with Bona Film Group hitting the daily limit down and China Film falling more than 8%. The Hainan sector weakened, with Hainan Ruize nearing the daily limit down and Xindazhou A falling more than 8%.

11:35:22

Nissan plans to increase Nismo brand deliveries by 50% to 150,000 vehicles by 2028.

11:33:38

The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 49,400.00 mark, currently trading at 49,397.64, down 1.54% on the day.

11:31:08

The Shanghai Composite Index closed the morning session at 3820.85 points, down 1.22%; the CSI 300 Index closed the morning session at 4490.41 points, down 1.35%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed the morning session at 12866.09 points, down 1.88%; the ChiNext Index closed the morning session at 3063.97 points, down 2.35%; and the SME Composite Index closed the morning session at 13712.00 points, down 1.72%.

11:31:05

Societe Generale makes a bold prediction: it will break through the $5,000 mark in 2026, far surpassing the US dollar and bonds! Details>

11:30:16

The Nikkei 225 index opened at 49,461.44 points at midday, down 1.41%.

11:28:30

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates once next year, to 3.85%. However, CBA economist Belinda Allen points out that if economic growth is stronger and inflation is more persistent, there is a risk of initiating a larger rate hike cycle.

11:28:19

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that observers from the International Atomic Energy Agency are ashamed to admit that the Ukrainian armed forces were responsible for the attack on the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.

11:26:05

Photovoltaic and energy storage stocks continued to adjust during the trading session. Orient Sunrise fell by more than 10%, Zhongli Group was close to the daily limit down, and Jinchen Shares, Canadian Solar, Sungrow Power, and Airo Energy all fell by more than 5%.

11:21:13

[Key Data Released in Quick Succession! Beware of Macroeconomic "Reset" Triggering Interest Rate Repricing This Week] 1. Saxo Bank's Chief Investment Strategist, Charu Chanana, points out that the market views this week as a brief "reset" of the US macroeconomic narrative, with the upcoming flurry of employment and inflation data potentially triggering a sharp adjustment in interest rate expectations in a very short period. 2. The signals released after last week's Fed rate cut indicate that it expects only one more rate cut in 2026, while the market currently prices in at least two rate cuts in 2026. Chanana states that if this week's data is mixed or slightly weaker than expected, the prevailing narrative of a "soft landing" may persist, but it is unlikely to be enough to drive a broad and significant rise in risk assets. 3. The real risk lies in a hawkish surprise. She warns that if inflation or employment data is significantly stronger than expected, it will push up Treasury yields, and risk assets, especially long-term growth stocks, will be the first to be impacted.

11:13:44

Data from Qunar.com shows that outbound travel bookings for flights and hotels in 2026 have entered their peak season. Hotel bookings for popular outbound destinations have more than doubled; more people are choosing to travel in segments during the long holiday, resulting in two outbound travel peaks before and during the holiday. Qunar.com data shows that outbound flight bookings began to rise sharply a week before the Spring Festival holiday, with airfares half the price of those traveling just before the holiday.

11:13:24

[Market Focuses on Weak Non-Farm Payroll Expectations; Data Becomes an Economic and Policy Indicator] 1. The upcoming non-farm payroll report, one of the most closely watched economic indicators in the United States, has sparked widespread market concerns. Last month's data showed that the US economy added 119,000 jobs, a significant slowdown from the beginning of the year. This year's report, delayed by 11 days due to the government shutdown, is expected to be even weaker, with only about 50,000 new jobs anticipated. 2. Investors are focusing not only on the total number of jobs but also on employment trends in key sectors such as technology, healthcare, and leisure, which are often seen as leading indicators of overall economic health. Wage growth is also crucial—a slowdown could indicate easing inflationary pressures, thus influencing the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions; conversely, a faster growth suggests a still tight labor market and potentially high inflation. 3. The report has also been embroiled in political issues. US President Trump previously blamed Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for relatively weak employment data, intensifying scrutiny of the central bank. Some analysts believe that if the data is significantly weaker than expected, Powell may face pressure from the public and political spheres to cut interest rates, regardless of his own assessment. 4. Historically, the non-farm payroll report has had a significant impact on the market: the stock market reflects expectations of economic momentum, while bond yields and the dollar exchange rate are sensitive to potential changes in Fed policy. If the data falls short of expectations, safe-haven assets such as gold are often favored. Besides triggering immediate market volatility, the report's more important value lies in helping investors determine whether the economy is slowing down, maintaining stable growth, or demonstrating resilience in a high-interest-rate environment.

11:11:24

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1810.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1809.65/oz, up 1.86% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1836.5/oz, up 1.13% on the day.

11:10:49

[From January to November this year, China's railways transported 4.28 billion passengers, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%] According to China Railway, from January to November this year, China's railways transported 4.28 billion passengers, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, setting a new record for the same period. Going forward, the China State Railway Group will closely monitor passenger flow and dynamically adjust train operation plans based on the development of local cultural and tourism economies and passenger travel demands. It will continuously optimize passenger transport product supply and station and train services to provide strong support for comprehensively expanding domestic demand and promoting the development of service consumption.

11:10:21

Palm oil prices fell in early Asian trading, pressured by weak demand and dragged down by lower soybean oil futures prices on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) overnight. The benchmark March crude palm oil futures contract on the Malaysian Derivatives Exchange fell 23 ringgit to settle at 3,990 ringgit per tonne. David Ng, a trader in Kuala Lumpur, noted that in addition to spillover pressure from the soybean oil market, concerns about demand were also weighing on market sentiment. The key support level for crude palm oil futures is currently around 3,900 ringgit per tonne, while the resistance level is at 4,080 ringgit.

11:08:56

The average liquidity balance of financial institutions in South Korea in October - seasonally adjusted

Previous : 5998.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 6032.49

11:08:34

Spot silver fell 2.04% on the day, closing at $62.76 per ounce; COMEX silver futures were last quoted at $62.93 per ounce, down 1.04% on the day.

11:06:40

The Philippines has stated that the two perpetrators of the Bondi Beach shooting in Australia are Indian nationals.

11:04:03

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, a magnitude 4.4 earthquake struck off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, Japan, at approximately 11:45 a.m. local time on the 16th. The maximum intensity felt was 3, and the epicenter was at a depth of 100 kilometers.

11:03:47

RMB SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate): Latest data as of December 16, 2025. The 2-week SHIBOR rate decreased, while the 6-week SHIBOR rate increased. The overnight SHIBOR was 1.276%, up 0.2 basis points. The largest change was in the 1-month RMB SHIBOR rate, which rose 0.4 basis points. (For details on SHIBOR and changes over the past ten working days, please refer to the chart created by FX678). Other periods show: 1-week SHIBOR at 1.429%, down 0.3 basis points; 2-week SHIBOR at 1.51%, down 0.1 basis points; 1-month SHIBOR at 1.537%, up 0.4 basis points; 3-month SHIBOR at 1.595%, up 0.4 basis points; 6-month SHIBOR at 1.629%, up 0.4 basis points; and 9-month SHIBOR at 1.643%, up 0.1 basis points. The one-year Shibor rate was 1.653%, up 0.1 basis points.

11:01:57

[Qinghai Hydrogen-1, the world's largest integrated green hydrogen-ammonia-methanol project, officially commences Phase I operation] According to China Energy Engineering Corporation, the first phase of the "Qinghai Hydrogen-1" Songyuan project, the world's largest integrated green hydrogen-ammonia-methanol project, officially commenced operation in Songyuan, Jilin Province. The project's numerous technologies fill domestic gaps, providing technical support for my country's large-scale hydrogen production and integrated green hydrogen-ammonia-methanol development. (CCTV)

11:01:11

South Korea's M2 money supply grew at its fastest year-on-year rate since June 2022 in October.

11:00:46

South Korea's M2 monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.90%

11:00:38

South Korea's monthly rate of money supply in October

Previous : 1% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.60%

11:00:02

South Korea's annual rate of money supply in October

Previous : 7.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 7.10%

10:58:49

According to the Wall Street Journal: Changes to Nvidia's (NVDA.O) chip cooling system have caused delays in the CoreWeave data center project.

10:58:03

Spot gold has just broken through the $4290.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4287.93/oz, down 0.39% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4315.60/oz, down 0.45% on the day; Spot silver has just broken through the $63.00/oz mark, currently trading at $62.97/oz, down 1.71% on the day; COMEX silver futures are currently trading at $63.15/oz, down 0.70% on the day.

10:56:32

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1820.00/oz mark, last trading at $1819.65/oz, up 2.42% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1847.7/oz, up 1.75% on the day.

10:53:33

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,300.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,298.79/ounce, down 0.14% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,326.70/ounce, down 0.20% on the day.

10:52:48

A chart summarizing "pivot points + long/short position signals" for gold, crude oil, forex, and stock indices on December 16, 2025. Details>

10:50:42

The main rebar futures contract rose 1.01% intraday, closing at 3095 yuan/ton.

10:49:19

[China's Cumulative Installed Distributed Energy Storage Capacity Reaches 3638MW] A report jointly released by the Zhongguancun Energy Storage Industry Technology Alliance and the Natural Resources Defense Council shows that from 2019 to September 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of distributed energy storage in China (access voltage level below 35kV, power scale ≤6MW) will increase from 570MW to 3638MW. Since 2024, the growth rate of distributed energy storage has accelerated significantly. Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Zhejiang rank among the top three in terms of cumulative installed capacity of distributed energy storage, with 642MW, 630MW, and 572MW respectively. In different application scenarios, industrial and commercial distributed energy storage accounts for 68.70%; followed by grid-side distributed energy storage (including substation distributed energy storage, distribution area energy storage, etc.), accounting for 8.30%; and new energy distributed energy storage accounting for 7.09%. In terms of technology, lithium-ion batteries account for 92.77% of the domestic distributed energy storage installed capacity. (Zhongguancun Energy Storage Industry Technology Alliance)

10:48:57

[First Time in History! Volkswagen to Close Dresden Plant on Tuesday] 1. Volkswagen will officially close its iconic "transparent factory" in Dresden, Germany, on Tuesday. This will be the first time in the group's 88-year history that it has shut down a vehicle assembly plant in Germany. Since its opening in 2001, the plant has produced over 165,500 vehicles and has focused on electric vehicle manufacturing in recent years. 2. Volkswagen's brand head, Thomas Schäfer, previously explained that although the decision was painful, it was "economically necessary." The shutdown is mainly due to multiple factors, including rising energy costs in recent years, weak sales in several key markets such as Europe, China, and the United States, and pressure from US tariffs, which have put enormous pressure on the company's cash flow. 3. This move is part of Volkswagen's plan announced last year to reduce German production capacity and cut 35,000 jobs. In fact, the entire German automotive industry is facing structural challenges. Clemens Fuest, director of the ifo Institute, warned that the German economic downturn is "becoming increasingly severe," and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also acknowledged that the economy has fallen into a "structural crisis," with many industries experiencing a significant decline in competitiveness. Besides Volkswagen, German automakers such as BMW and Mercedes-Benz are also facing continued pressure this year from high energy prices, intensified competition from Chinese brands, and US tariffs.

10:45:17

[Singapore's Non-Oil Export Growth Likely to Slow Significantly in November] 1. According to the median forecast of a Wall Street Journal survey of seven economists, Singapore's non-oil domestic exports are expected to grow significantly by 6.5% year-on-year in November, far below the 22.2% growth rate in October. 2. Nomura analysts believe the slowdown is mainly due to the combined effects of a high base effect and a decline in gold exports. However, the analysis also points out that despite the unfavorable base effect, the growth momentum of electronics exports may weaken compared to October, but is still expected to remain relatively strong. 3. Singapore's official non-oil domestic export data for November is scheduled to be released this Wednesday.

10:43:28

The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw a significant correction, with China Uranium hitting its daily limit down. Other stocks such as TianTong Shares, Mindong Electric Power, Ansteel Technology, Guangdong Rare Earths, Ningbo Yunsheng, and Steel Research Institute Nake also declined.

10:42:40

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1830.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1830.60/ounce, up 3.04% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1857.0/ounce, up 2.26% on the day.

10:40:13

Australian police: Initial indications suggest this was a terrorist attack instigated by the Islamic State. There is no evidence that anyone else was involved in the attack.

10:39:00

Mikhail Ulyanov, Russia’s Permanent Representative to International Organizations in Vienna, said that all of Russia’s ideas about attacking the West are like the ramblings of a kindergartener, and that the statements made by Western officials on this matter are deeply puzzling.

10:36:30

The Shenzhen Component Index has just broken through the 12900.00 mark and is currently trading at 12899.68, down 1.62% on the day.

10:36:11

[Guo Tingting Meets with Chair of Trustees of the International Financial Reporting Standards Foundation] On December 10, 2025, Guo Tingting, Vice Minister of Finance, met with Elki Liikanen, Chair of Trustees of the International Financial Reporting Standards Foundation (IFRS), and her delegation at the Ministry of Finance. The two sides exchanged views on the development of International Financial Reporting Standards, the international convergence of Chinese accounting and sustainable disclosure standards, and deepening bilateral exchanges and cooperation. They also renewed the Memorandum of Understanding on the operation of the Foundation's Beijing office. (Ministry of Finance)

10:35:50

The U.S. military says it attacked three ships in international waters, killing eight people.

10:34:01

A-share digital currency stocks saw a short-term surge, with Cuiwei Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit, Aerospace Information Co., Ltd. previously hitting the limit, and Xinchen Technology Co., Ltd. rising by more than 10%. Other stocks such as Chuangshi Technology, Hengbao Co., Ltd., Xiongdi Technology, Hailian Jinhui, and Dongxin Heping also rose.

10:31:09

The Nikkei 225 index closed the morning session at 49,523.56 points, down 1.28%.

10:30:55

Australian police have confirmed that the gunman in the Bondi shooting had traveled to the Philippines, and the reasons for his trip are under investigation. Explosive devices were found in the vehicle the gunman was in, and two homemade flags of the extremist group ISIS were also discovered.

10:29:43

[National Medical Products Administration Approves Two Innovative Medical Devices for Market Launch] Recently, the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) approved the market launch of two innovative medical devices. First, it approved the registration application for a proton therapy system from Varian Medical Systems Particle Therapy Co., Ltd. Second, it approved the registration applications for an implantable deep brain stimulator, implantable deep brain stimulator electrode lead, and implantable deep brain stimulator extension lead from Jingyu Medical Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. (National Medical Products Administration)

10:29:09

A chart showing the latest China Cotton Price Index (CC Index) data (December 16, 2025): The 3128B cotton price index was 15,130 yuan/ton (3128B is the benchmark for cotton futures delivery recognized by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange), up 68 yuan/ton, or 0.45%. The 2227B cotton price index was 13,291 yuan/ton, up 86 yuan/ton, or 0.65%, and the 2129B cotton price index was 15,372 yuan/ton, up 67 yuan/ton, or 0.44%. FX678's specially created chart provides a summary of the latest 30 trading days of the China Cotton Price Index (CC Index). (The China Cotton Price Index is published once per trading day, quoting prices in three denominations: 3128B, 2227B, and 2129B. The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) stipulates that the benchmark delivery commodity for cotton futures is domestic cotton of '3128B' grade. The spot market cotton transaction price needs to be converted to the price of 3128B cotton using a specific formula. For example, research reports will state the price of cotton from a certain origin, and then calculate its equivalent price in 3128B.)

10:24:01

Commercial aerospace stocks rebounded during trading, with Datang Telecom hitting the daily limit, Jiuzhiyang rising nearly 15%, and Tianli Composite, Aerospace Electronics, Xinchen Technology, Tianyin Electromechanical, and Sichuan Jinding all surging.

10:23:44

[World's Largest Diameter High-Speed Railway Tunnel Boring Machine "Navigator" Breaks 10,000-Meter Mark] On December 16, the "Navigator," the world's largest diameter high-speed railway tunnel boring machine independently developed by my country, broke through the 10,000-meter mark in the Chongtai Yangtze River Tunnel project, remaining only 1,000 meters from the south bank of the Yangtze River. This marks a crucial step towards the goal of completing the "last kilometer" and enabling a 350 km/h high-speed railway to cross the river. This is also the first time in the world that a 15-meter diameter tunnel boring machine has achieved a continuous excavation of 10,000 meters. (CCTV)

10:23:05

[Joint Plenary Meeting of the 2025 Committee of the Brain-Computer Interface Standardization Technical Committee of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Brain-Computer Interface Subcommittee of the National Information Technology Standardization Technical Committee Successfully Held] On December 11, the 2025 joint plenary meeting of the Brain-Computer Interface Standardization Technical Committee of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Brain-Computer Interface Subcommittee of the National Information Technology Standardization Technical Committee (SAC/TC28/SC43) was held in Hangzhou. Zhao Chaofan, Deputy Director of the Science and Technology Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, pointed out in his speech that the "15th Five-Year Plan" proposal explicitly identified brain-computer interfaces as one of the six major future industries, marking a new stage in the development of the brain-computer interface industry and its standardization. Going forward, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will adhere to the principles of "standard setting leading industrial development, standard implementation promoting industrial governance, and standard internationalization serving industrial globalization," working hand in hand with all parties to jointly develop and strengthen this future industry. (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology)

10:20:38

[Zhang Yongwei of China EV100: China's Intelligent Driving Solutions Expected to Go Global in the Next Five Years] 1. At a media briefing for the China EV100 Forum (2026) held on December 16th, Zhang Yongwei, Chairman of the China EV100, stated that the automotive industry has played a crucial supporting role in stabilizing the macroeconomy in the past. Looking ahead to 2026, the leading role of the automotive industry in national economic development and technological innovation will become even more prominent. 2. Zhang Yongwei pointed out that the automotive industry is becoming a key large-scale application scenario for cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence and next-generation communications, significantly driving overall technological innovation. In the global competitive landscape, more and more multinational automakers are actively introducing and integrating Chinese intelligent driving solutions. He believes that within the next five years, intelligent driving solutions originating from China are expected to develop into a mainstream global technology path.

10:18:00

The proportion of foreign holdings of New Zealand government bonds in November

Previous : 58.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 58%

10:14:11

FOREX market analyst Fawad Razaqzada's preview of the US November non-farm payrolls: The market is anticipating weak employment data of around 50,000, with the unemployment rate potentially rising to 4.5%. Any downside surprises could lead to earlier-than-expected expectations for the next Fed rate cut, thus supporting gold prices.

10:13:50

ANZ Bank: On the other hand, improved US economic growth prospects, an unexpectedly strong dollar, and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve could cause gold prices to fall back to $3,500/ounce in 2026.

10:13:30

On December 16, a comparison of domestic gold jewelry prices showed that Chow Sang Sang's pure gold jewelry was priced at 1349 yuan/gram, down 4 yuan/gram from the previous day, ending a five-day winning streak since December 10; Lao Miao Gold was priced at 1352 yuan/gram, Lao Feng Xiang at 1349 yuan/gram, Chow Tai Fook at 1353 yuan/gram, and Luk Fook Jewellery at 1351 yuan/gram, all unchanged from the previous day.

10:10:58

ANZ Bank stated that a deteriorating global economic growth outlook, escalating trade tensions, erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence, and a stock market sell-off could cause gold prices to potentially break through the $5,000 per ounce level in 2026.

10:09:17

The FTSE China A50 index futures fell 1.00% to 14978.00 on the day.

10:07:59

According to US media reports on the 15th, the FBI is offering a $50,000 reward for information leading to the arrest of the suspect in the Brown University shooting.

10:05:56

National Australia Bank: The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in February, followed by another 25 basis points in May.

10:02:16

The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 49,500.00 mark, currently trading at 49,496.29, down 1.34% on the day.

10:02:11

Michael Wan, a foreign exchange analyst at MUFG Financial Group, stated that disappointing November non-farm payroll data and a rise in the unemployment rate would reinforce the Fed's dovish stance and potentially accelerate the dollar's sell-off until the end of the year. Given the recent US government shutdown, data quality could also be problematic. As traders readjust expectations based on incomplete data, the market should prepare for volatility in interest rates and foreign exchange.

09:57:30

A-share semiconductor chip stocks fluctuated and declined, with Shenggong Technology falling by more than 10%, Moore Threads falling by more than 5%, and Aisen Technology, Fuchuang Precision, Hongwei Technology, and Ingenic Semiconductor also falling.

09:52:15

[Lan Fo'an Meets with Tanzanian Finance Minister Omar] On the morning of December 12, 2025, Minister Lan Fo'an met with Tanzanian Finance Minister Omar in Beijing. The two sides exchanged views on China-Tanzania relations, bilateral financial cooperation, and other issues. Vice Minister Liao Min and others attended the meeting. (Ministry of Finance)

09:51:55

[US Plans to Simplify G20 Finance Ministers' Meeting Mechanism] 1. The United States plans to simplify the G20 finance ministers' meeting mechanism to reduce the number of meetings, aiming to make the forum more focused on core macroeconomic issues. 2. According to sources, the United States will begin to reduce the frequency of meetings between G20 finance ministers as part of streamlining the multilateral process. Specific measures include the US planning to abandon hosting the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting, which is usually held in February each year. A White House official stated that the meeting will instead be attended by officials at the deputy finance minister level. 3. Under the current framework, the G20 typically holds dozens of working-level and ministerial meetings throughout the year, culminating in a leaders' summit. Finance ministers usually meet twice in their host country and once each during the spring and autumn meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. 4. After the adjustment, the United States, as the 2026 G20 chair, plans to host only one meeting in August next year, attended by finance ministers and central bank governors from all member countries. The U.S. side stated that this move aims to streamline the ministerial agenda, freeing up time for more focused and in-depth dialogues, and pushing the forum back to its core mission of macroeconomic policy coordination.

09:48:24

According to Dankvert, head of the Russian Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance, Russia's meat exports will approach 1 million tons in 2025, compared to 3.5 million tons 15 years ago.

09:48:04

The FTSE China A50 Index futures have just broken through the 15,000.00 mark, currently trading at 14,999.00, down 0.87% on the day.

09:44:43

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1810.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1809.97/oz, up 1.88% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1844.0/oz, up 1.55% on the day.

09:43:43

The Shenzhen Component Index has just broken through the 13,000.00 mark and is currently trading at 12,999.71, down 0.86% on the day.

09:41:41

【Short-term trading advice for US crude oil: downward trend, sell on rallies】 (1) Reasons for analysis: The continuous decline in oil prices is mainly due to the market's general expectation that inventories in the US and major global consumption regions will increase, weakening the support for oil prices; on the other hand, the ongoing efforts to ease the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have gradually diminished the previous geopolitical risk premium. In the short term, the fundamentals are bearish, and we should continue to pay attention to changes in inventory data. Technically, the price has broken through the support of the trading range, and there is a possibility of accelerated downward movement in the short term. (2) Key areas to watch: geopolitical situation, trade sentiment, inventory data, US non-farm payroll data (3) Resistance: 57.00, 57.20, 57.50 (4) Support: 56.30, 56.00, 55.50

09:41:41

Sources familiar with the matter say the United States, about to assume the G20 presidency, plans to reduce the number of finance ministerial meetings, a move clearly aimed at streamlining this multilateral cooperation mechanism.

09:41:38

【Short-term trading advice for spot gold: Oscillating upward, buy on dips】 (1) Reasons for analysis: The market’s bet on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has become the main reason for the rise in gold prices. At the same time, the US dollar index continues to decline, which supports gold prices in the short term. However, the geopolitical situation is easing, and the market is more inclined to rely on the interest rate path to choose the short-term direction. Pay attention to the direction of the US dollar index after the release of the US non-farm payroll data. Technically, gold maintains a bullish trend. Before breaking through the previous high in the short term, beware of further increases in volatility. (2) Key focus: US Treasury yield, US dollar index, geopolitical situation, US non-farm payroll data (3) Resistance: 4330, 4350, 4380 (4) Support: 4300, 4280, 4260;

09:40:03

[US LiDAR Manufacturer Luminar Files for Bankruptcy] 1. On December 15th local time, US LiDAR manufacturer Luminar announced that it has voluntarily filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection proceedings in the Southern District of Texas Bankruptcy Court. The company plans to dispose of its core LiDAR business (LiDARCo) and equity in its subsidiary Luminar Semiconductors Inc. (LSI) through an asset sale process to maximize asset value. 2. This restructuring has received majority creditor support, with approximately 91.3% of first lien holders and approximately 85.9% of second lien holders agreeing to the plan. Luminar emphasized that its business will continue to operate during the bankruptcy reorganization. Its subsidiary LSI is not included in this bankruptcy filing, and its operations are not expected to be affected. 3. Previously, Luminar had reached an agreement with Quantum Computing Inc. (QCi), under which the latter would acquire LSI's equity for $110 million in cash. This transaction, negotiated before the bankruptcy proceedings began, is considered a crucial part of the restructuring plan.

09:37:27

[ECB Decision and Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: Morgan Stanley Bullish on Euro, Long-Term Target 1.30 if ECB Does Not Refute Rate Hike Expectations] 1. Morgan Stanley believes that if European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde avoids explicitly opposing market expectations of higher interest rates at this week's policy meeting, and US non-farm payroll data is weak, the euro will face significant upside risks. Weak US employment data will further strengthen expectations of continued easing by the Federal Reserve, thus putting downward pressure on the US dollar. 2. From a technical analysis perspective, the euro is expected to break through key resistance levels. If it can hold above 1.1920, it will open the door to 1.20, a level not reached since the early recovery phase after the pandemic. Broader dollar weakness could drive the euro further up, even if the ECB may cut rates later. 3. In the medium term, Morgan Stanley is relatively optimistic about the euro. Although the baseline scenario still expects the ECB to cut rates by 50 basis points, the euro can still appreciate if US interest rate trends, risk premiums, and global capital flows are favorable to the euro. 4. In a more optimistic scenario, if US interest rate expectations continue to adjust, the dollar risk premium declines, and European economic growth stabilizes, the euro could rise to 1.30 in the long term. Currently, strategists believe the downside risks for the euro are relatively limited, while its upside potential is greater. 5. Note: US October non-farm payroll data will be released at 21:30 Beijing time today, and the European Central Bank's policy decision will be announced on Thursday.

09:36:42

The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 49,600.00 mark, currently trading at 49,591.54, down 1.15% on the day.

09:36:23

[Shenzhen: Supporting the Reform of the ChiNext Market and Continuously Promoting a Series of Special Actions in Capital Market, Listing Cultivation, Mergers and Acquisitions, and Venture Capital] On December 15, 2025, the Shenzhen Municipal Financial Services Office held a plenary meeting. The meeting emphasized that, in line with the positioning of building a more globally influential industrial financial center, further efforts should be made to promote the high-quality development of the financial industry itself by promoting technological innovation in financial services and high-quality industrial development. Support will be given to the reform of the ChiNext market, and a series of special actions will be continuously promoted in the capital market, listing cultivation, mergers and acquisitions, and venture capital to consolidate and enhance the vitality and competitiveness of Shenzhen's capital market. The advantages of connecting domestic and international markets will be fully leveraged to promote the high-quality development of characteristic areas such as fintech, cross-border finance, and wealth management, providing high-quality financial services for enterprises "going global".

09:36:17

Gold prices remained range-bound at high levels, awaiting the release of US non-farm payroll data. Details>

09:35:35

A-share food and dairy concept stocks surged, with Huangshi Group, Heizhima, Huifa Food, Anji Food, and Sunshine Dairy all hitting their daily limit. Huanlejia rose over 10%, while Panda Dairy and Nanqiao Food followed suit.

29

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4338.22	5.61 (0.13%)
XAG	67.126	1.664 (2.54%)
CONC	56.54	0.54 (0.96%)
OILC	60.48	0.76 (1.28%)
USD	98.717	0.277 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1707	-0.0014 (-0.12%)
GBPUSD	1.3375	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
USDCNH	7.0341	0.0029 (0.04%)

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