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2026-07-15 Wednesday

2026-07-19

18:04:11

[Colorado River Water Crisis: Arizona Farmers Face Land Acquisition by Developers and Solar Panels; Water War Between Cities and Agriculture Imminent] ⑴ The Colorado River basin is experiencing a prolonged drought, compounded by record-low snowfall and high temperatures this year, putting pressure on the water supply for approximately 40 million residents and millions of acres of farmland. Water disputes between communities and industries within the basin are escalating rapidly. ⑵ In Pinal County, Arizona, farmers have been forced to leave more than half of their land fallow due to the drying up of river water. Some farmers are paying high annual water bills but still have no water available. Developers and solar panel companies are actively acquiring agricultural land, significantly increasing pressure for land use conversion. ⑶ Scottsdale, a suburb of Phoenix, relies on the Colorado River for about 70% of its water supply. Local candidates advocate diverting water resources from agriculture to meet urban expansion needs, while farmers are calling for a halt to residential development to ensure food security. ⑷ Federal officials are considering adopting water conservation proposals from three downstream states, planning to reduce water consumption by about 21% annually by 2028. This move exacerbates the risk of legal disputes between downstream and four upstream states over the allocation of limited flow. (5) In Colorado, ranchers have seen hay production plummet to a quarter of normal levels due to the premature depletion of irrigation water from snowmelt. Local ranchers emphasize that agriculture is not the root cause of the problem but rather a beneficiary, refuting external accusations. (6) In a small town in Utah, stream flow has dropped to only 6% of normal levels. Groundwater and backup water sources can only sustain the town for a few months to six months. If alternative solutions or rainfall do not arrive in time, external water supply will be forced to begin, and the reality of water scarcity is becoming a daily occurrence, moving beyond mere prediction.

18:02:15

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The EU has "safe and reliable production facilities" that can help expand drone production.

18:02:14

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) states that the global economy's resilience to oil supply disruptions is weakening. A swift restoration of oil supplies is necessary to avoid further economic losses.

18:02:12

[Russian Refinery Attacked, Production Halted, Crude Oil Processing Capacity Significantly Damaged, Adding Further Uncertainty to Energy Supply Chain] ⑴ The Salavat petrochemical plant in Russia's Ural region suspended operations on Tuesday after a Ukrainian drone attack. The local governor confirmed the attack but stated that normal production is expected to resume within days. ⑵ Two industry sources revealed that both of the plant's main refining units were damaged and shut down, including the CDU-6 crude oil distillation unit with a daily processing capacity of approximately 17,140 tons and the CDU-4 unit with a daily processing capacity of approximately 11,430 tons. ⑶ In addition, some secondary processing units and other equipment were also damaged to varying degrees. Repair work may take weeks or even months, and the actual resumption of production may be longer than officially expected. ⑷ The Salavat petrochemical plant is one of Russia's largest petrochemical enterprises. Its prolonged shutdown will directly affect domestic refined oil supply and may reduce export share, tightening the regional energy balance. ⑸ This attack exacerbated geopolitical risk premiums, providing additional support to international oil prices after the news broke, and reigniting market concerns about the vulnerability of Russia's energy infrastructure. (6) Going forward, attention should be paid to whether other Russian refineries face similar threats, and whether Ukraine's drone strike strategy will be further escalated, which will determine the duration and scope of the energy supply disruption.

17:58:11

Iranian media released a video of retaliatory strikes against US targets in the Middle East.

17:54:11

The Salavat petrochemical complex in Russia has ceased operations following a Ukrainian drone attack on Tuesday.

17:52:11

[India's textile industry faces a double whammy of US tariffs and Middle East conflict, with cost fluctuations compounded by cautious orders] ⑴ After months of fluctuating raw material costs, Indian textile and apparel exporters are facing new uncertainties. The outcome of US tariff negotiations remains unclear, while the resumption of conflict in the Middle East could push up freight costs and disrupt supply chains. ⑵ Cotton prices previously surged due to El Niño concerns, but the market gradually stabilized after the government removed import tariffs on long-staple cotton and increased imports. Some exporters locked in yarn prices and production capacity in advance to cope with fluctuations. ⑶ By mid-May, benchmark Gujarat cotton prices had risen by about 10% month-on-month, while spot prices rebounded again on July 14. International ICE cotton futures rose by more than 6% that week, reigniting concerns about global supply. ⑷ Analysis indicates that the impact of rising cotton prices on the industry chain is clearly differentiated. Cotton accounts for nearly 70% of the raw materials in the home textile and textile sector, while about 70% of the garment manufacturing sector relies on polyester, which is more directly affected by oil price fluctuations. (5) The United States is India's largest export market for textiles and apparel, with annual shipments of approximately US$10.5 billion. However, industry estimates suggest that only about 8%-10% of the industry's revenue relies on the US market, indicating relatively limited direct exposure. Trade agreements between India and the UK, and India and the EU, have begun to generate increased inquiries. (6) Uncertainty regarding tariff prospects has led overseas buyers to favor small-batch, high-frequency orders, postponing long-term contracts. Although exporters are using discounts to offset some tariff costs, overall demand has not yet been significantly damaged, and the long-term outlook remains optimistic. It is expected that the benefits of trade agreements will gradually materialize in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2027.

17:46:12

EU Trade Commissioner Šefčovič: The goal is to bring the EU-India trade agreement into effect by 2027.

17:46:11

Russian Ministry of Defense: In the past 24 hours, Russian armed forces have launched strikes against logistics centers, fuel and energy infrastructure, and transportation infrastructure used by the Ukrainian armed forces.

17:44:12

[Germany's Ultra-Long Bond Auction Meets with Cool Demand, Yields Climb to 3.65%, Bid Multiples Rebound but Cannot Mask Weak Demand] ⑴ The German Federal Financial Services Agency (FFS) auctioned €759 million of 0% coupon federal bonds maturing in 2052 on Wednesday, with a settlement date of July 17. ⑵ The bid multiple for this auction was 2.4 times, a slight increase from 1.6 times in the previous auction on April 15, indicating a slight improvement in subscription enthusiasm. ⑶ However, the average yield rose from 3.57% to 3.65%, while the average price fell from 39.75 to 39.28, reflecting a more conservative pricing strategy for ultra-long-term bonds. ⑷ The maximum issuance size was €1 billion, but only €759 million was sold, with €241 million reserved, indicating that the primary market's absorption capacity remains weak. ⑸ The rise in yields coincides with the recent geopolitical conflicts pushing up energy prices and rising inflation expectations, leading investors to continue to increase their risk-compensation requirements for ultra-long-term assets. (6) Following the announcement of the results of the ultra-long-term bond auction, the yields on long-term bonds in the secondary market remained high. Going forward, attention should be paid to the overall supply pace of European bonds and the further impact of central bank policy signals on the demand side.

17:44:11

[What's the Confidence Behind European Stocks' Rebound? UBS Unveils Four Trump Cards: Semiconductors and Banks as Dual Drivers] ⑴ European stocks rose slightly on Tuesday, with ASML and Richemont Group rising 4% and 6% respectively after their earnings releases, boosting market sentiment. The STOXX 600 index edged up 0.1%, and US stock futures also rose slightly. ⑵ UBS released its latest bullish report, setting a target price of 690 points for the STOXX 600 index, representing an upside of approximately 7.5% from current levels, and listing four core reasons to support its optimistic assessment. ⑶ Firstly, earnings revisions for beneficiaries of AI capital expenditures remain strong, with semiconductor supply chain and data center construction-related companies becoming among the few bright spots in the European market, and UBS believes this trend is sustainable. ⑷ Secondly, the US manufacturing cycle is improving, with European companies directly benefiting through the industrial sector, while a weak euro provides indirect support. The process of shifting from destocking to restocking is expected to accelerate in the second half of the year. (5) Third, the banking sector's earnings continue to be revised upwards. Although financial stocks performed exceptionally well last year, UBS believes valuations remain attractive. The interest rate environment is significantly better than normal levels over the past decade, and the insurance and banking sectors will continue to benefit. (6) Fourth, previously underperforming sectors have stabilized and are no longer dragging down the index. The negative corrections in the consumer staples, luxury goods, and pharmaceutical sectors are narrowing. UBS expects the pharmaceutical sector to see an upward revision in earnings in the second half of the year.

17:42:11

The Italian Economy Minister stated that mergers and acquisitions in the financial sector are valuable if they enhance investment conditions in terms of security and innovation; the government will continue to monitor changes in the ownership structure of the banking sector; and he is confident that the government will soon reduce its remaining stake in domestic banks.

17:40:12

[Bank of Canada May Hold Rates Steady to Curb Rate Hike Expectations, Canadian Dollar Faces Multiple Headwinds] ⑴ A report by institutional strategists points out that if the Bank of Canada explicitly curbs market expectations of a rate hike this year in its policy decision, the Canadian dollar will face downward pressure. ⑵ The institution believes that the central bank may signal that it will maintain interest rates unchanged, thereby refuting the money market's pricing in further tightening before the end of the year. Current interest rate futures implying overly optimistic rate hike expectations may be risky. ⑶ Governor Macklem may acknowledge that rising energy prices triggered by the Iranian conflict pose a threat to inflation, but given that core inflation remains relatively moderate, policymakers have ample reason to hold rates steady and await further data verification. ⑷ Uncertainty surrounding trade policy and increased stock market volatility surrounding the AI sector could also weaken external support for the Canadian dollar, and cooling risk appetite will suppress commodity currency performance. ⑸ Overall, if the central bank's stance leans towards dovish stability, coupled with external risk factors, the Canadian dollar may find it difficult to receive an effective boost in the short term, and its exchange rate movement will depend more on the tug-of-war between oil price fluctuations and market risk sentiment.

17:40:11

[VIP Featured Article Reminder] Crude oil is betting on the end of the world, gold is betting on interest rate hikes, who will win? (Article has been published; you can view it directly on the website, but in the VIP section of the app).

17:38:12

The Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China plan to conduct bidding for the 2026 Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits (Eleventh Phase) on July 20. The Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China will conduct bidding for the 2026 Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits (Eleventh Phase) through the People's Bank of China's Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits Business System from 9:00 AM to 9:30 AM on July 20, 2026. The total amount for this phase is 150 billion yuan, with a term of 3 months. The interest accrual date is July 20, 2026, and the maturity date is October 19, 2026 (postponed if it falls on a holiday). Bidding will be conducted through interest rate bidding and a single-price winning bid method, open to participating banks in the Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits business. Bidding matters will be handled in accordance with the "Operating Procedures for Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits Business," the "Bidding Rules for Central Treasury Cash Management Commercial Bank Time Deposits," and related regulations. (PBOC)

17:38:11

The German central bank announced that it auctioned off an additional €753 million in 30-year German government bonds with a 2.5% interest rate. The average yield on these 30-year bonds is 3.65%, compared to an average yield of 2.96% in previous offerings.

17:36:13

India has announced a new semiconductor manufacturing plan worth 1.28 trillion rupees.

17:36:12

Thailand has approved several measures to boost the clean energy market.

17:36:11

[Recent US Military Strikes Have Caused Approximately 300 Casualties in Iran] Iranian government spokesman Mohajrani posted on social media on the 15th that more than 30 civilians died in the recent US attacks on southern Iran. According to Hossein Kermanpour, head of public relations at the Iranian Ministry of Health, also posted on social media on the 15th, US airstrikes against Iran since the 7th of this month have injured more than 260 Iranians. He said 222 of the injured have received treatment and been discharged from the hospital. The Iranian Army issued a statement on the same day saying that the US launched a missile attack on an army camp in the Banpour region of Sistan-Baluchistan province in southeastern Iran early that morning, killing seven Iranian soldiers and injuring many others. The US military has recently launched a series of military strikes against Iran, citing Iranian attacks on merchant ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Axios, a US news website, reported on the 14th, citing three sources, that US President Trump held a meeting in the White House Situation Room that day to discuss a large-scale attack plan against Iran, stating that it would be "more extensive than the current strikes around the Strait of Hormuz." (Xinhua)

17:34:11

The European Central Bank stated that it received €308 million in loans under its overnight lending facility, while €2,006.38 billion in deposits were deposited into its overnight deposit facility.

17:32:11

Singapore Airlines: Singapore Airlines' service to and from Dubai, UAE remains suspended.

17:28:13

[Belgium's Trade Surplus Widens Significantly to €4.27 Billion in May] ⑴ Belgium's trade surplus widened significantly to €4.27 billion in May from €1.91 billion in the same period last year. ⑵ Exports rose 4.2% to €43.46 billion, with exports to EU member states increasing by 3.6% and exports to non-EU countries by 5.5%. ⑶ Imports fell 1.5% to €39.19 billion, with imports from non-EU countries declining by 8.4%, offsetting the 2.7% increase in imports from EU member states. ⑷ In the first five months of this year, the trade surplus widened significantly to €14.8 billion from €8.75 billion in the same period last year.

17:28:12

[Croatia's June Inflation Drops to 4.5%, a Four-Month Low] ⑴ Croatia's annual inflation rate fell to 4.5% in June from 5.2% in May, the lowest level since February, confirming the preliminary reading. ⑵ Price increases slowed in categories such as food and non-alcoholic beverages (0.8%, previous 1.4%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (7.1%, previous 7.5%), transportation (8.6%, previous 12.5%), and catering and accommodation (5.8%, previous 6.1%); medical inflation remained flat at 5.2%. ⑶ Inflation rose slightly in categories such as housing (water, electricity, gas and other fuels, 12.0%, previous 11.8%), information and communication (2.9%, previous 2.7%), and leisure and culture (4.1%, previous 3.9%); clothing and footwear prices continued to decline (-2.8%, previous -3.0%), with the decline narrowing slightly. ⑷ On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices fell by 0.4% in June, a deeper decline than the 0.3% drop in the previous month.

17:26:12

[Eurozone Industrial Output Unexpectedly Falls 0.2% Month-on-Month in May, Ending Three-Month Growth Streak] ⑴ Eurozone industrial output fell 0.2% month-on-month in May, ending a three-month growth streak and falling short of market expectations of a 0.2% increase. ⑵ The decline was dragged down by reduced output in durable consumer goods (-1.1%) and intermediate goods (-0.3%), offset by growth in energy (2.2%), non-durable goods (0.8%), and capital goods (0.3%). ⑶ Among major economies, Ireland saw the largest decline (-5.2%), followed by declines in France (-0.1%) and Italy (-0.3%), while Germany (0.8%) and Spain (1.2%) saw growth. ⑷ Year-on-year, industrial output fell 1.2%, compared to a 0.4% increase in the previous month, and was lower than the market expectation of a 0.5% decline.

17:26:11

Singapore Airlines' passenger volume reached 3.68 million in June, with a cargo load factor of 60.6%. ⑴ Singapore Airlines' group passenger volume reached 3.68 million in June. ⑵ The group's cargo load factor was 60.6% in June.

17:24:12

The Straits Times Index in Singapore closed up 1.2% at 5559.72 points.

17:24:11

US media Semafor: The White House does not rule out taking action against open-source AI models.

17:20:12

Israel's public broadcaster reported today (July 15) that Israel lifted restrictions on US military aerial refueling tankers landing at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion International Airport after a request from the United States.

17:20:11

Russian reports: "The Zaporizhia nuclear power plant lost power after being attacked by Ukrainian armed forces."

17:18:14

[German 10-Year Bond Yield Nears 3.1%, Driven by Soaring Oil Prices and ECB Rate Hike Expectations] ⑴ The yield on German 10-year government bonds climbed to nearly 3.1%, a new high since May 21, as escalating tensions in the Middle East pushed up oil prices, exacerbating inflation concerns and reinforcing market expectations for further tightening by the European Central Bank. ⑵ Brent crude oil hit a one-month high as the US blockade of Iranian shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and continued strikes against Iran raised questions about the stability of global energy supplies. ⑶ The European Central Bank raised interest rates for the first time in three years in June, and the market expects further tightening. Two more rate hikes are currently anticipated before next spring, with a September rate hike already fully priced in. ⑷ However, recent statements from officials Cipollone and Kocher indicate a cautious stance, suggesting there are currently no clear signs of a second round of inflationary effects, essentially ruling out a July rate hike.

17:14:12

Sources say Japan has added a footnote on the Bank of Japan's autonomy to its revised draft fiscal policy.

17:14:11

[ICE New York cocoa futures rise nearly 5%, breaking through $6,082 per ton] ⑴ ICE New York cocoa futures rose nearly 5% to $6,082 per ton. ⑵ ICE London cocoa futures also rose nearly 5%, to £4,535 per ton.

17:08:15

[French Soft Wheat Production Cuts Sound Supply Alarm; Stable Rapeseed Prices Cannot Mask Tight Grain Market] ⑴ The French Ministry of Agriculture released its 2026 soft wheat production forecast on Wednesday at 32 million tons, a 4% decrease from 2025 and about 2% below the five-year average, clearly signaling a production cut. ⑵ For barley, the total production forecast, including both winter and spring seasons, is 11.1 million tons, a 6.3% year-on-year decline and 2.3% lower than the five-year average, a more significant drop. ⑶ Rapeseed production remains at 4.63 million tons, unchanged from last year, making it the only major crop in this assessment that did not show a decline. ⑷ In addition, the Ministry of Agriculture maintained its 2026 corn planting area forecast at 1.31 million hectares, and the sugar beet planting area also remained unchanged at 373,000 hectares. ⑸ Overall, as the EU's largest grain producer, the simultaneous reduction in soft wheat and barley production in France will tighten the regional supply situation, potentially supporting international wheat prices. ⑹ The market will continue to monitor weather changes and harvest progress. If yields are further damaged, the EU's export competitiveness may be weakened, and global grain trade flows may be adjusted accordingly.

17:08:13

The Malaysian FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI closed down 0.4% at 1713.76 points.

17:08:12

Sources say Mizuho Financial Group will partner with Nvidia to build internal AI computing infrastructure.

17:08:11

E Fund Crude Oil LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on July 16, 2026, and will resume at 10:30 on July 16, 2026. Redemption services will continue as usual during the suspension period.

17:06:15

Invesco Nasdaq Technology ETF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on July 16, 2026, and will resume at 10:30 on July 16, 2026. Redemption services for this fund will continue as usual during the suspension period.

17:06:14

Canadian Existing Home Sales Monthly Rate in June

Previous : 5.50 Forecast : 5.40

Published Value 0.50

17:06:12

[Latest Response from the People's Bank of China Regarding Panda Bonds] The State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the implementation of monetary policy and financial statistics for the first half of 2026 and answer questions from reporters. At the conference, a relevant official from the People's Bank of China explained that Panda bonds are RMB bonds issued in China by foreign governments, international development institutions, and large multinational corporations. In recent years, the RMB has been used more extensively in cross-border trade, investment, and financing, leading to increased demand for RMB financing from overseas entities. Against this backdrop, the People's Bank of China, adhering to the principles of marketization, rule of law, and internationalization, has optimized mechanisms for registration, issuance, information disclosure, and fund utilization to provide a stable institutional environment for overseas issuers to participate in the Panda bond market and facilitate financing for overseas institutions. In the first half of 2026, Panda bond issuance exceeded RMB 160 billion, a year-on-year increase of 69%. As of the end of June 2026, cumulative Panda bond issuance exceeded RMB 1.3 trillion, with more than 110 issuers covering 24 countries and regions across five continents: Asia, Europe, Africa, South America, and North America. (CCTV)

17:04:14

Sources say that India’s main cybersecurity agency is investigating the incident.

17:04:12

Reliance Industries stated that a partial data breach occurred on one of its servers, and the incident has been reported to the Indian government.

17:04:11

The Iraqi Ports Authority stated that operations at the Faw Port were unaffected by the drone crash.

17:02:16

Pan-European wheat futures rose 3.5% in September, with traders citing the escalating attacks on shipping routes in the Sea of Azov, Russia's main grain export route, as the reason.

17:02:14

Eurozone June working-day adjusted annual rate of industrial production

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : -0.50%

Published Value -1.20%

17:02:13

Eurozone June seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month rate

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.20%

Published Value -0.20%

17:00:12

Iraqi state news agency: The Iraqi Ports Authority stated that operations at the Port of Fau were unaffected following the drone crash.

17:00:11

Sources say that the Iraqi Prime Minister will pay an official visit to Tehran in the coming days at the invitation of Iranian President Peshiziyan. The Iraqi Prime Minister is currently on an official visit to the United States.

16:54:14

Alibaba's US-listed shares rose more than 5% in pre-market trading; the news is that Alibaba's Qianwen AI will be integrated into Apple's AI ecosystem.

16:54:12

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just broke through the $85.00 per barrel mark, and are currently trading at $84.93 per barrel, down 0.43% on the day.

16:54:11

Bank of Thailand Governor: Household debt pressure is expected to ease in the long term.

16:52:11

[Botswana's June Inflation Remains Stable at 10.7%, Nearly a Three-and-a-Half-Year High] ⑴ Botswana's annual inflation rate remained stable at 10.7% in June, unchanged from the previous month, and still the highest level since December 2022. ⑵ The categories contributing the most to overall inflation were transportation (28.4%, previous 28.6%), miscellaneous goods and services (11.5%, previous 11.1%), and food and non-alcoholic beverages (5.7%, unchanged from the previous month). ⑶ On a month-on-month basis, the CPI rose 0.2% in June, compared to 0.3% in the previous month.

16:50:12

Spot gold has just broken through the $4030.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4030.26/ounce, down 0.56% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4036.00/ounce, down 0.83% on the day.

16:50:11

[ECB Governing Council Member Panetta: Middle East Conflict Exacerbates Energy Pressures, Italy May Tighten Credit Standards] ⑴ ECB Governing Council member Panetta stated that continued hostilities in the Middle East, coupled with increased pressure on the energy market, may lead Italy to become more cautious and tighten credit standards. ⑵ Eurozone inflation is currently hovering around 3% and is expected to remain above this level until early 2027; the ECB's goal in considering future interest rate decisions is to stabilize inflation expectations and limit the indirect and secondary effects of shocks. ⑶ Panetta stated that consolidation of the Italian financial sector can strengthen individual institutions and the overall system, encourage investment, and improve efficiency; risks related to rising energy prices, tightening financial conditions, and continued geopolitical uncertainty are only partially reflected in market assessments, and multiple indicators suggest that the stock market rally following the Iranian conflict stemmed from an underestimation of risk.

16:48:12

[Israeli Media Reports US Pressure to Lift Restrictions at Ben Gurion Airport] According to a report by Israel's public broadcaster on July 15th, Israel lifted restrictions on US aerial refueling tankers landing at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion International Airport following a request from the United States. The report stated that the Israel Airports Authority has instructed air traffic control to allow US refueling tankers to continue landing and parking at Ben Gurion Airport. This decision overturns the previous directive from Israeli Transportation Minister Regev prohibiting excessive landings of US refueling tankers at Ben Gurion Airport. The report noted that Ben Gurion Airport had previously requested that US refueling tankers be moved to other locations to free up parking spaces and avoid impacting civilian flight operations during the summer season. However, sources indicated that given the escalating tensions between the US and Iran, the US Central Command needs to maintain a high state of alert for refueling tankers and crews in Israel, therefore the US requested Israel to lift the restrictions. The report also stated that during the height of the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran this year, approximately 90 US aerial refueling tankers were deployed in Israel, and 34 remain parked at Ben Gurion Airport and Ramon Airport in the south. The US and Israel had discussed transferring some aircraft to other Israeli air bases, but ultimately concluded that there were no viable alternatives at present. As of now, the Israeli government has not responded to this news. (CCTV International News)

16:44:12

[US Producer Inflation Expectations Flat Month-on-Month in June, Core Year-on-Year Expected to Accelerate to 5.2%] ⑴ US producer price expectations were flat month-on-month in June, the weakest monthly reading in ten months, after rising 1.1% in the previous two months. The slowdown may have been driven by falling energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire agreement. ⑵ Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core producer price expectations rose 0.4% month-on-month in June, consistent with the increase in May. ⑶ Year-on-year, overall producer inflation expectations fell to 6.2% from 6.5%, the first slowdown in eight months; core producer inflation expectations accelerated to 5.2% from 4.9%, the highest since December 2022.

16:44:11

[Sri Lankan Bond Market Awaits Turnaround; 2027 May See Interest Rate Inflection Point, Rupee Depreciation Pressure Remains] ⑴ Capital One Holdings maintains its medium-term outlook for Sri Lankan fixed income and equities, expecting bond yields to stabilize within the current forecast range in 2026. ⑵ Due to concerns about debt sustainability and uncertainty surrounding the pace of structural reforms, a risk premium of approximately 50 basis points will be introduced at the long end of the yield curve in the first half of 2027. ⑶ The institution forecasts an average inflation rate of around 6% in 2026. Recent central bank tightening policies have helped anchor inflation expectations, but the high-interest-rate environment will suppress economic growth and credit expansion, leaving room for interest rate cuts in the first half of 2027. ⑷ The Chief Strategist recommends that investors currently focus on short-duration allocations, which can generate substantial holding returns and capture capital gains opportunities when yields revert to the target range. (5) Regarding the interest rate path, the weighted average prime lending rate is expected to remain at 10.0%-11.0% in the second half of 2026, and is expected to fall back to 9.5%-10.5% in the first half of 2027 as GDP and credit growth slow down and liquidity improves. (6) In terms of exchange rates, the rupee is expected to fluctuate between 325 and 335 against the US dollar in the second half of 2026, and may depreciate moderately to the 335-345 range in the first half of 2027 due to external pressures and changes in foreign exchange dynamics.

16:42:18

[Bulgaria's June Inflation Falls to 5.4%, Exceeding Expectations] ⑴ Bulgaria's annual inflation rate fell to 5.4% in June from 6.9% in May, lower than the initial estimate of 5.6%, exceeding market expectations. ⑵ Price growth slowed in most categories, with significant declines in food and non-alcoholic beverages (2.4%, previous 4.4%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6.7%, previous 7.7%), housing and utilities (5.0%, previous 5.2%), transportation (16.8%, previous 21.6%), and leisure and culture (10.8%, previous 15.7%). ⑶ Deflation in clothing and footwear deepened (-1.0%, previous -0.4%); inflation accelerated in miscellaneous goods and services (6.1%, previous 5.9%) and insurance and financial services (2.7%, previous 1.3%). ⑷ On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices fell 0.9% in June, compared to no change in the previous month, lower than the initial estimate of a 0.8% decline.

16:42:16

Sources say the Securities and Exchange Commission of India (SEBI) is considering reforming the margin system for stock derivatives.

16:42:15

[Sources: Burnham's Team Divided Over Chancellor Appointment, Miliband May Miss Out on Treasury Position] ⑴ Disagreements have emerged within Burnham's advisory team over the appointment of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, with internal rifts beginning to appear less than a week before his expected appointment. ⑵ While many of Burnham's supporters within the Labour Party's left wing had initially expected him to appoint Energy Secretary Miliband to head the Treasury, others in his team strongly oppose this appointment. ⑶ Sources say the latter group increasingly believes that Miliband, a former Labour leader, will not receive the Chancellor's position.

16:42:14

The USD/CHF pair just touched the 0.8100 level, last trading at 0.8100, up 0.12% on the day.

16:38:12

Amazon: Amazon LEO will provide satellite internet services to South Africa’s largest internet service provider.

16:38:11

Why has the euro entered a range-bound trading pattern after rebounding from 1.1324? Details>

16:34:12

[KLM Royal Dutch Airlines Expands Cooperation with Ministry of Defence to Send Six Pilots to Reserve Positions] ⑴ KLM Royal Dutch Airlines announced that it has expanded its cooperation framework with the Dutch Ministry of Defence, and will send six KLM pilots to join the Ministry of Defence as reserve personnel. ⑵ In addition, the two sides will cooperate to explore the development and application of synthetic sustainable aviation fuels.

16:28:11

[Mega Heatwave Sweeps Across the US and Canada, Affecting Over 100 Million] A massive heatwave has moved from the western United States eastward and into Canada this week, breaking temperature records and issuing heatwave warnings in many areas, causing unbearable heat for over 100 million people in the US and Canada. (Xinhua)

16:26:11

Sources: Bahrain's five-year credit default swaps rose to a three-month high of 280 basis points.

16:22:11

Sources say a drone crashed in the Iraqi port of Fao, causing no damage.

16:20:12

A weaker yen kept the euro strong against the yen, while tensions in the Middle East supported the euro, with the exchange rate holding steady above the 185 level. Details>

16:18:12

Jensen Huang: The Vera Rubin project is progressing smoothly and has already been put into production.

16:14:15

[Iran Claims US Forces Attacked Bushehr Province Again] According to Iran's Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) on the 15th, the US military launched a new round of attacks on Bushehr province in southern Iran that day. The report quoted Bushehr Mayor Mohammad Mozafari as saying that the US military attacked three locations in the port city of Bushehr that day. The extent of damage and casualties has not yet been released. Iran's only operating nuclear power plant is located outside Bushehr. (Xinhua)

16:14:14

[PBOC: If necessary, the amount of tools can be increased and policy elements optimized to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation] At a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 15th, PBOC Vice Governor Zou Lan stated that the PBOC will continue to leverage the role of structural monetary policy tools and other monetary and financial policies. As our Director of the Guangqi Department just gave a detailed introduction, we will focus on supply-side structural reform in the financial sector, continuously improve the quality and efficiency of financial services to the real economy, and optimize the credit structure. On the one hand, we will implement the series of structural monetary policy measures introduced at the beginning of the year, continuously improve the design and management of tools, and, if necessary, increase the amount of tools and optimize policy elements according to market demand to strongly support key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and micro enterprises. On the other hand, we will guide financial institutions to scientifically assess risks, implement differentiated policies, provide support while maintaining control, and improve the efficiency of fund utilization.

16:14:13

hawkish expectations from the Bank of England are rising, causing the pound to remain range-bound against the yen. Details>

16:14:11

[Norway's Trade Surplus Widens to 61.9 Billion Kroner in June, Exports Rise 12.5%] ⑴ Norway's trade surplus widened to 61.9 billion kroner in June from 46.9 billion kroner in the same period last year, with export growth far exceeding import growth. ⑵ Exports increased by 12.5% year-on-year to 158.3 billion kroner, with growth in fuel lubricants and related materials (+24.8%), raw materials excluding fuel (+17.3%), animal and vegetable oils and waxes (+48.7%), and food and livestock (+7.1%) offsetting declines in beverages and tobacco (-14.6%), chemical products (-0.2%), and transport machinery (-23.1%). ⑶ Imports increased by 2.7% to 96.4 billion kroner, mainly driven by increased purchases of raw materials excluding fuel (+20.9%), fuel lubricants and related materials (+53.9%), and animal and vegetable oils and waxes (+8.4%). (4) In the first half of this year, Norway’s trade surplus was 419.9 billion kronor, up 11.3% year-on-year, with exports growing by 5.7%, far faster than imports’ 1.8%.

16:12:12

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract rose 2.00% to $80.93 per barrel on the day.

16:12:11

[German Stocks Fall Over 1%, Underperforming European Indices; Middle East Tensions and Tech Stocks Drag Down Performance] ⑴ The German DAX 40 index fell over 1% on Wednesday to approximately 24,860 points, retreating after slight gains in the previous two days and underperforming other regional indices. ⑵ Investors remained cautious while closely watching earnings season, with continued pressure from Middle East tensions; Trump's withdrawal of his proposal to impose a 20% tariff on goods transiting the Strait of Hormuz failed to calm the market, and Iran's insistence on maintaining the strait's closure exacerbated concerns about global oil supply, pushing up crude oil prices. ⑶ The decline was broad-based, with technology, retail, and chemical sectors leading the losses; despite ASML's positive earnings, Infineon fell over 2%, and software company SAP fell 1.7%.

16:10:13

[VIP Featured Article Reminder] Chart Analysis: US Withdraws Strait Transit Fee, Crude Oil Market Outlook: Four Questions and Answers (This article is an exclusive original analysis by Xiruo) (The article has been published; you can view it directly on the website, or in the VIP section of the app)

16:10:12

[Hong Kong Stock Market Closing] ⑴ Hong Kong stocks closed on Wednesday with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.398% and the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 1.304%. ⑵ In terms of individual stocks, MINIMAX-W rose 13.478%, Innovent Biologics rose 8.051%, and Zhipu rose 7.375%. ⑶ Meituan-W rose 5.429%, Henderson Land Development rose 4.669%, WuXi AppTec rose 4.554%, and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group rose 4.316%.

16:10:11

As tensions escalate between the US and Iran, gold bulls await a new sentiment low. Details>

16:08:12

[Recent US Military Strikes Have Caused Approximately 300 Casualties in Iran] Iranian government spokesman Mohajrani posted on social media on the 15th that more than 30 civilians had died in the recent US attacks on southern Iran. According to Hossein Kermanpour, head of public relations at the Iranian Ministry of Health, also posted on social media on the 15th, US airstrikes against Iran since the 7th of this month have injured more than 260 Iranians. He said that 222 of the injured have received treatment and been discharged from the hospital. The Iranian Army issued a statement on the same day saying that the US launched a missile attack on an army camp in the Banpour region of Sistan-Baluchistan province in southeastern Iran early that morning, killing seven Iranian soldiers and injuring many others. (Xinhua)

16:08:11

[PBOC: Asset Management Products Reached 124.8 Trillion Yuan at the End of June, Up 12.7% Year-on-Year] Yan Xiandong, spokesperson for the People's Bank of China (PBOC) and Director of the Survey and Statistics Department, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 15th that at the end of June, the total assets of asset management products reached 124.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, with the balance increasing by 4.6 trillion yuan compared to the beginning of the year. Among them, bank wealth management products accounted for 34.8 trillion yuan, public funds 42.9 trillion yuan, asset management trusts 25.3 trillion yuan, and asset management products from insurance companies, securities firms, funds, futures companies, and financial asset investment companies totaled 21.8 trillion yuan. In terms of funding sources, funds raised by non-financial enterprises grew rapidly, while households remained the main source of incremental funds for asset management products. At the end of June, funds raised by asset management products from non-financial enterprises increased by 24.7% year-on-year, marking the fourth consecutive month with a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 20%, with the balance increasing by 331.9 billion yuan compared to the beginning of the year, an increase of 353.8 billion yuan year-on-year; funds raised from households increased by 7.7% year-on-year, with the balance increasing by 1.1 trillion yuan compared to the beginning of the year.

16:06:12

The EU has extended its temporary protection for Ukrainians until March 2028.

16:06:11

[PBOC: Asset Management Products Held 9.5 Trillion Yuan in Stocks at the End of June, Up 26.2% Year-on-Year] Yan Xiandong, spokesperson for the People's Bank of China and Director of the Survey and Statistics Department, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 15th that at the end of June, asset management products held a total of 28.5 trillion yuan in interbank deposits and certificates of deposit, up 10% year-on-year; held 38.2 trillion yuan in bonds, up 8.4% year-on-year, with the growth rate continuing to rise, and the balance increased by 2.2 trillion yuan from the beginning of the year, 1.1 trillion yuan more than the same period last year; and held 9.5 trillion yuan in stocks, up 26.2% year-on-year.

16:04:12

CMA CGM will launch the "Kola Express" route connecting Northern Europe to West Africa.

15:58:11

Zou Lan, Vice Governor of the People's Bank of China, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that regarding interest rates, the People's Bank of China will guide and regulate interest rate levels appropriately based on macroeconomic conditions, price trends, and the needs of macroeconomic control, in order to promote low overall social financing costs. (Xinhua)

15:56:13

On July 15, the Shanghai Futures Exchange issued a notice regarding the testing of its trading system: To ensure the smooth launch of arbitrage orders, the Shanghai Futures Exchange will conduct full-market testing on July 18 (Saturday) and July 25 (Saturday), 2026.

15:56:12

ASML CFO: The number of high numerical aperture devices shipped globally is only in the single digits, a low level.

15:52:11

[Netanyahu May Visit US This Week] According to foreign media reports today (July 15), citing a senior Israeli official, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will travel to the United States on Saturday (July 18). It is understood that Netanyahu hopes to meet with US President Donald Trump, but it is unclear whether the trip will actually take place. (CCTV International News)

15:48:13

Xie Guangqi, Director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the central bank is continuously optimizing and improving the monetary policy framework, promoting the transformation of the monetary policy framework from primarily quantitative control to primarily price-based control, and striving to create a suitable monetary and financial environment. Currently, a single loan indicator can no longer fully reflect the financing situation of the real economy. It is recommended that investors combine loan and bond data for analysis, and also pay more attention to indicators such as interest rates and financing structure, which comprehensively reflect social financing conditions. (Xinhua News Agency)

15:48:12

The People's Bank of China has optimized the temporary repurchase and reverse repurchase operation time to 3:00 to 3:30 pm, one hour earlier than before. This is mainly to respond to the needs of primary dealers, give financial institutions more time to respond, and better connect with the trading habits of repurchase transactions concentrated before 3:30 pm.

15:46:12

[Two Iranian oil tankers changed their destination to Pakistan, possibly as a temporary safety evasion marker] (1) Ship tracking data shows that the "Rani" and "Amil" oil tankers, carrying a total of 1 million barrels of Iranian crude oil, changed their destination markers to Karachi, Pakistan on Tuesday. This move is relatively rare and may indicate that the ships are seeking a relatively safe location to observe the situation after the United States restarted its maritime blockade. (2) However, it is unlikely that the two oil tankers will actually unload their cargo in Pakistan, as doing so would expose Pakistan to the risk of violating US sanctions. Kpler data shows that Pakistan has not imported Iranian crude oil for at least ten years. (3) A senior market analyst at Vortexa explained that the ships may have chosen to sail closer to Pakistan to avoid US warships and marked Karachi as a transit destination, which is more likely a temporary strategic adjustment than the final unloading destination.

15:46:11

Xie Guangqi, director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 15th that in the future, monetary and credit development will shift from extensive expansion to intensive growth, and the slowdown in loan growth and the improvement in loan quality may become one of the new normal aspects of macroeconomic operation. (Xinhua News Agency)

15:42:11

Zou Lan, spokesperson and vice governor of the People's Bank of China, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 15th that in the first five months of this year, the proportion of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging rose to 34.4%, an increase of 4.5 percentage points compared to the 2025 target, while the proportion of cross-border trade settlement conducted in RMB was approximately 30%. (Xinhua)

15:40:14

China's June total electricity consumption year-on-year - monthly

Previous : 6.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.70

15:40:12

China's total electricity consumption in June - monthly (billion kilowatt-hours)

Previous : 8671 Forecast : -

Published Value 8981

15:38:12

According to the National Energy Administration, from January to June, total electricity consumption reached 5,099.9 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%. By sector, primary industry electricity consumption was 71.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%. Secondary industry electricity consumption was 3,305.7 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%; among which, industrial electricity consumption was 3,276 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, and high-tech and equipment manufacturing electricity consumption was 600.8 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%. Tertiary industry electricity consumption was 991.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%; among which, charging and swapping services and internet data services consumed 81 billion and 49.4 billion kilowatt-hours respectively, with growth rates reaching 56.9% and 44.0% respectively. Residential electricity consumption was 731.5 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%.

15:38:11

According to the National Energy Administration, in June, total electricity consumption reached 898.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. By sector, primary industry electricity consumption was 13.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%. Secondary industry electricity consumption was 573.4 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%; among which, industrial electricity consumption was 568.3 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, and high-tech and equipment manufacturing electricity consumption was 112.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%. Tertiary industry electricity consumption was 186 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%; among which, charging and swapping services and internet data services consumed 14.8 billion and 9.1 billion kilowatt-hours respectively, with growth rates reaching 57.1% and 41.4% respectively. Residential electricity consumption was 125.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1%.

15:36:12

Spring Airlines announced that in June 2026, the company's transport turnover was 473 million ton-kilometers, up 16.62% year-on-year; passenger turnover was 5.14 billion passenger-kilometers, up 15.53% year-on-year; and total passenger volume was 2.877 million, up 11.20% year-on-year.

15:34:11

[Foreign Ministry: Artificial Decoupling and Supply Chain Breaks Will Ultimately Cost All Parties More] Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian hosted a regular press conference. In response to a question about global supply chains, Lin Jian stated that current global supply chains are deeply intertwined and complementary, forming a community of shared interests where everyone prospers or suffers together. Artificially decoupling and supply chain breaks, erecting protectionist barriers, and forcibly restructuring supply chains will not only incur high economic costs but also violate market principles and corporate choices, ultimately costing all parties more and yielding less benefit. China will continue to steadfastly expand high-level opening-up, fully leveraging its advantages such as its super-large market and complete industrial system to continuously and steadily provide the world with high-quality products and cooperation opportunities. (Xinhua News Agency)

15:32:11

The People's Bank of China stated that the factors influencing the RMB exchange rate are quite diverse, including both factors driving appreciation and depreciation. The RMB exchange rate is expected to continue fluctuating in both directions. (CCTV)

15:30:11

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) stated that to better meet the short-term liquidity management needs of the banking system and enhance the precision and effectiveness of money market regulation, at the end of June, it added overnight reverse repurchase operations to its open market operations, further enriching its toolbox. It also narrowed the interest rate range for temporary repurchase and reverse repurchase operations from 70 basis points to 50 basis points. In addition, it created a repurchase tool for overseas central banks to facilitate RMB liquidity management and RMB bond asset allocation for overseas central banks and similar institutions; the first operation was recently completed.

15:28:16

Zou Lan, Vice Governor of the People's Bank of China, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the 7-day reverse repurchase operation rate remains the main policy rate at this stage. From a practical perspective, it has effectively served as a market pricing anchor. (CCTV)

28

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4016.36	40.10 (1.01%)
XAG	55.884	0.395 (0.71%)
CONC	81.77	3.49 (4.46%)
OILC	88.08	3.22 (3.80%)
USD	100.759	0.039 (0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1438	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3455	-0.0022 (-0.17%)
USDCNH	6.7769	0.0044 (0.06%)

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