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2025-12-16 Tuesday

2025-12-20

15:38:36

[Indian Rupee Falls Below 91] ⑴ The Indian rupee weakened further on Tuesday, falling below 91 rupees to the US dollar, marking its fourth consecutive day of record lows. ⑵ The rupee's pressure stems primarily from hedging activities and continued foreign capital outflows amid stalled India-US trade negotiations. ⑶ The rupee has depreciated by more than 6% this year, becoming one of the worst-performing emerging market currencies, mainly due to the pressure exerted on trade and investment flows by high US tariffs. ⑷ Overseas investors have already sold over $18 billion in domestic stocks by 2025, heading towards the largest annual capital outflow on record. ⑸ Although state-owned banks intervened by selling dollars to alleviate pressure from maturing non-deliverable forward positions, analysts believe the rupee is unlikely to recover unless trade negotiations make progress. ⑹ India's trade minister said on Monday that the country is engaging with the US in hopes of reaching an agreement "as soon as possible." ⑺ Meanwhile, a rebound in exports in November eased some pressure, with increased shipments to the US narrowing the trade deficit to a five-month low.

15:37:57

[UK Wage Growth Excluding Bonuses Slightly Exceeds Expectations] ⑴ In the three months to October, UK regular weekly wages excluding bonuses rose 4.6% year-on-year to £687, a slowdown from the slightly revised 4.7% growth, but higher than the market expectation of 4.5%. ⑵ Private sector wage growth slowed to 3.5% from 4.2%, the lowest level since the end of 2020. ⑶ Public sector wage growth accelerated to 7.6% from 6.6%, the largest increase on record. ⑷ By industry, the fastest year-on-year wage growth was in wholesale, retail, hospitality and catering (5.5%), followed by services (4.7%), manufacturing (4.5%), construction (2.9%), and financial and business services (2.3%). ⑸ After adjusting for inflation, real wage growth was 0.5%, still the weakest increase since 2023.

15:37:15

[UK Total Wages Growth Exceeds Expectations in Three Months to October] ⑴ In the three months to October, average weekly wages in the UK, including bonuses, rose 4.7% year-on-year to £739, a slowdown from the slightly revised 4.9% growth, but higher than the market expectation of 4.4%. ⑵ Private sector wage growth slowed to 4.0% from 4.4%, the slowest pace since the period from December 2020 to February 2021. ⑶ Conversely, public sector wage growth accelerated to 7.7% from 6.8%, the highest level since the period from July to September 2023. ⑷ Adjusted for inflation, total wages grew by 0.6%, lower than the 0.7% in the previous quarter, the lowest level since the period from May to July 2025.

15:34:43

According to Japan's Kyodo News, total spending in Japan's draft budget for fiscal year 2026 is projected to exceed 120 trillion yen.

15:34:01

The EU will expand the scope of its carbon emissions tax on cars and washing machines.

15:33:39

[Digital Consumption Accounts for Nearly Half of Total Household Consumption Expenditure in my country] On December 15th, the Policy and International Cooperation Institute of the China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC) released the "Digital Consumption Development Report (2025)". The report presents the current development trend of digital consumption in my country from five dimensions. First, the scale is considerable, stimulating consumption momentum. In the first half of 2025, the scale of digital consumption based on goods, services, and content reached 9.37 trillion yuan, accounting for 46.5% of total household consumption expenditure. Among them, digital consumption of physical goods accounted for 66.3% of total digital consumption, while digital services (such as online education and online healthcare) and digital content (such as digital music and online video) accounted for 29.2% and 4.5%, respectively. (CCTV)

15:33:21

[Conflict Continues, Trade in Thai Border Town Stagnates] The Poipet border crossing, the largest land route between Thailand and Cambodia, has been completely closed since the outbreak of the latest round of border conflict. The once bustling crossing is now deserted, with only military and police presence. Nearby towns, whose economy depends on the border, have also come to a standstill. The economic impact of the conflict is starkly reflected in data from the Thai Ministry of Commerce. From January to May 2025, monthly trade between the Thai and Cambodian borders remained stable at 16 billion baht. After the outbreak of the conflict, from July to September, trade plummeted to an average of only 11 million baht per month, less than one-thousandth of its previous level. In September, Thailand's imports from Cambodia even dropped to zero. (CCTV News)

15:32:04

[Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security: Prioritizing Stable Employment and Promoting Increased Workers' Compensation] The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security held an expanded meeting on December 15th. The meeting emphasized the need to focus on key tasks related to continuously improving people's well-being, prioritizing stable employment, implementing actions to stabilize, expand, and improve job opportunities, building an employment-friendly development model, and taking multiple measures to stabilize employment for key groups and maintain a stable employment base. The meeting also stressed strengthening and optimizing the "Skills Illuminate the Future" training program, accelerating the integration of artificial intelligence and human resources, and improving relevant talent attraction, cultivation, retention, and utilization mechanisms. Furthermore, the meeting emphasized improving the income distribution system, promoting increased workers' compensation, and continuing to ensure the implementation of reforms in social security, public institutions, and other areas. It also stressed improving policies to protect the rights and interests of flexible workers, those in new employment forms, and workers past the retirement age, strengthening the governance of wage arrears for migrant workers, and effectively preventing and resolving risks and hidden dangers in the labor and employment field. Simultaneously, the meeting highlighted the need to fully leverage the advantages of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security's functions to provide strong support for high-quality development, focusing on building a strong domestic market, accelerating the cultivation and expansion of new growth drivers, enhancing the dynamism and vitality of high-quality development, promoting win-win cooperation in multiple fields, and promoting urban-rural integration and regional linkage. (Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security)

15:31:41

British Labour Party Secretary Kinnock: I think the BBC is right to stand firm on the Trump lawsuit.

15:31:28

[Wang Zhongmin, former vice chairman of the National Council for Social Security Fund: Electricity is the fundamental support for the development of artificial intelligence] 1. Wang Zhongmin, former vice chairman of the National Council for Social Security Fund and honorary chairman of the China Responsible Investment Forum, recently stated that electricity is the fundamental support for the development of artificial intelligence, and the ultimate direction of electricity development is green electricity. He emphasized that green electricity not only refers to renewable energy power generation forms such as wind, solar, and hydropower, but its own production process and industrial chain should also follow the principles of energy conservation and minimizing the consumption of natural resources. 2. Wang Zhongmin pointed out that the ultimate destination of artificial intelligence is ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance). He believes that the construction of zero-carbon parks, zero-carbon cities, and zero-carbon industries first requires powerful computing centers as a foundation, and computing centers are currently the commanding height of global technological competition. The upstream of the computing power industrial chain is directly constrained by the power supply—if there is insufficient power, the computing power of artificial intelligence will not be able to effectively support front-end applications; if electricity relies entirely on fossil fuels, the progress of achieving global ESG goals will be delayed.

15:27:25

Spot gold has just broken through the $4280.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4279.91/ounce, down 0.58% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4305.40/ounce, down 0.69% on the day.

15:24:47

A report released by Counterpoint Research indicates that global smartphone shipments may decline by 2.1% next year due to memory chip shortages driving up costs and reducing production capacity. This contrasts sharply with the 3.3% growth forecast for this year, and the research firm had previously predicted a slight increase of 0.45% next year. The report, released Tuesday, points out that the average selling price of global smartphones will rise by 6.9% next year due to an overall increase of 10% to 25% in the cost of electronic components.

15:20:26

The UK unemployment rate has climbed to its highest level in nearly five years, wage growth has slowed, and the cooling labor market appears to have cleared one of the last obstacles for the Bank of England to cut interest rates before Christmas.

15:20:04

[Japan Plans to Tax Electric Vehicles Based on Weight Starting in 2028] 1. The Japanese government and ruling party have drafted an amendment to the automobile tax system, planning to impose an additional tax on privately owned electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) based on their weight, starting in May 2028. This new tax will be levied on top of the existing vehicle weight tax paid during vehicle inspections, using a mechanism where "the heavier the vehicle, the higher the tax." 2. This move aims to address the growing financial strain on road maintenance by requiring electric vehicles, which are heavier than traditional gasoline vehicles and place a greater burden on roads, to bear a corresponding financial burden. This tax adjustment is expected to be included in the soon-to-be-finalized 2026 tax reform outline. 3. Notably, among electric vehicles sold in the Japanese market, heavier models are primarily imported. Since new electric vehicles generally tend to be more expensive the heavier they are, this policy is expected to primarily affect high-end electric vehicles, significantly increasing their tax burden. The new regulations will apply to vehicle inspections conducted after May 1, 2028.

15:19:36

[US Bureau of Labor Statistics to Release Combined Employment Report; Missing Key October Data Draws Attention] 1. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is scheduled to release its closely watched combined employment report for October and November on Tuesday. Due to the government shutdown, data collection was interrupted, resulting in the absence of several key details in this report. Notably, the October unemployment rate will not be calculated, marking the first time this data series has been missing since 1948. 2. The employment report typically consists of household and business surveys. During the shutdown, household surveys could not be conducted, making it impossible to generate household-based indicators such as the October unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and employment-to-population ratio. However, business survey data (used to calculate nonfarm payrolls, hours worked, and wages) continued to be collected electronically during the shutdown, allowing the BLS to calculate October's nonfarm payroll data after the government resumed operations. The November survey collection period was extended, and processing time increased accordingly. 3. Economists generally believe that the shutdown has had a limited impact on the data quality of business surveys, and may even have increased the response rate due to the extended collection period (the business survey collection rate reached 80.2% in September, significantly higher than the average of 61.8% over the previous 12 months). However, it should be noted that the October data may be biased due to the Trump administration's plan to scale back the survey—more than 150,000 federal employees were removed from the government payroll list at the end of September, which may affect the employment statistics. 4. According to the survey, economists predict that non-farm payrolls will increase by 40,000-50,000 in November (compared to 119,000 in September). The median forecast for the November unemployment rate remains at 4.4%. In its update note on Monday, the BLS mentioned that the variance of its labor force estimate in the November household survey was "slightly higher than normal" due to adjustments in statistical weights, and it is expected to revert to the normal methodology in December, with the impact gradually fading in the coming months.

15:17:23

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Copper

Previous : 9663 Forecast : -

Published Value 3558

15:17:23

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Zinc

Previous : -579 Forecast : -

Published Value 431

15:17:21

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Aluminum

Previous : 8653 Forecast : -

Published Value -625

15:17:20

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Silver

Previous : 36893 Forecast : -

Published Value 32901

15:17:18

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th, China - Lead

Previous : -1366 Forecast : -

Published Value -100

15:17:16

Daily warehouse receipt changes on the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Nickel

Previous : 2622 Forecast : -

Published Value 821

15:17:12

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Alumina

Previous : -6318 Forecast : -

Published Value -2394

15:17:09

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Wire Rods

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:17:08

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th, China - Hot-rolled coil

Previous : -4724 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:17:05

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Fuel oil

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:17:05

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th, China - Stainless Steel

Previous : -182 Forecast : -

Published Value -616

15:17:03

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Petroleum Asphalt

Previous : -500 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:16:59

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Pulp

Previous : -3322 Forecast : -

Published Value -4993

15:16:56

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Natural Rubber

Previous : 15970 Forecast : -

Published Value 11300

15:16:55

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Gold

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:16:55

Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - Rebar

Previous : -1197 Forecast : -

Published Value 21157

15:16:55

Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on December 16th in China - crude oil

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

15:13:34

Bank of Korea meeting minutes: Another member stated that it is necessary to assess whether the Bank of Korea has sufficient policy space to respond if current interest rates are in the neutral interest rate range. One member stated that the main reason for the weakness of the won is that local residents are investing in overseas stocks, rather than the strength of the US dollar.

15:08:18

TotalEnergies: Signs new renewable energy power agreement with Google to power its data centers in Malaysia.

15:06:07

Minutes of the Bank of Korea meeting: One board member stated that the Bank of Korea needs to cooperate with the government to stabilize the foreign exchange market and real estate prices, while another board member stated that the continued weakening of the won could exacerbate inflationary pressures.

15:05:44

The Bank of Korea released the minutes of its last policy rate decision meeting.

15:02:36

[Markets Focus on US Non-Farm Payrolls Report, Watch for Changes in Fed Policy Expectations] 1. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the highly anticipated combined October and November employment report later today, along with several preliminary manufacturing data points. 2. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, federal funds rate futures indicate a 75.6% probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates at its next meeting on January 28, unchanged from the previous day. 3. However, some analysts doubt whether this data release will completely eliminate market uncertainty. 4. Rodrigo Catril, a currency strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney, said, "The October data likely includes all previously delayed and unaccounted-for layoffs in the DOGE division." He was referring to the large-scale layoffs conducted by the DOGE division established by Musk earlier this year. 5. He further pointed out, "I'm not sure we can really figure out what happened in October, but we should and need to understand the situation at that time in order to accurately grasp the trend of US job growth."

15:01:37

The UK's three-month ILO unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in October, the highest level since January 2021.

15:01:11

The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3824.81 points, down 1.11%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4497.55 points, down 1.20%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12914.67 points, down 1.51%; the ChiNext Index closed at 3071.76 points, down 2.10%; and the SME Composite Index closed at 13762.55 points, down 1.36%.

15:00:41

[Guangzhou: Strongly Supporting the Guangzhou Futures Exchange in Promoting the Construction of a Carbon Emission Rights Futures Market] The Guangzhou Municipal People's Government released the "Outline of the Beautiful Guangzhou Construction Plan (2025-2035)" on the 15th. It mentions promoting the construction of a carbon emission rights trading market. This includes deepening carbon emission rights trading and coordinating the integrated development of carbon emission rights, carbon preferential systems, and carbon sink trading. It also involves organizing key emitting enterprises to participate in national and Guangdong provincial carbon emission rights trading, and ensuring the proper reporting and verification of carbon emission information, quota settlement and compliance. Furthermore, it supports the expansion of the national carbon emission rights trading market. Using the Guangzhou Carbon Emission Rights Exchange Center as a strategic platform, it actively introduces high-quality enterprises or related institutions from Hong Kong, Macao, and the province and city to study the establishment of a carbon emission rights trading market in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. Finally, it strongly supports the Guangzhou Futures Exchange in promoting the construction of a carbon emission rights futures market and studies the launch of carbon emission rights-related futures products at an appropriate time. (Guangzhou Municipal People's Government)

15:00:28

The ILO job changes in the UK in October

Previous : -2.20 Forecast : -6.70

英镑

美元

Published Value -1.60

15:00:06

The ILO job changes in the UK in October

Previous : -2.20 Forecast : -6.70

英镑

美元

Published Value -1.70

15:00:05

The annual rate of the UK's three-month average wage excluding dividends in October

Previous : 4.60% Forecast : 4.50%

Published Value 4.60%

15:00:05

The annual rate of the UK's three-month average wage including dividends in October

Previous : 4.80% Forecast : 4.40%

Published Value 4.70%

15:00:04

Changes in the number of unemployment benefit applications in the UK in October

Previous : 2.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 2.01

15:00:04

The HMRC job changes in the UK in October

Previous : -3.20 Forecast : -

Published Value -3.80

15:00:04

Unemployment rate in the UK in October - according to ILO standards

Previous : 5% Forecast : 5.10%

Neutral

Published Value 5.10%

14:58:23

[Guangzhou: Vigorously Promoting the Development and Utilization of New Energy Sources such as Photovoltaics, Biomass Energy, and Hydrogen Energy to Increase Local Green Power Supply] The Guangzhou Municipal People's Government released the "Outline of the Beautiful Guangzhou Construction Plan (2025-2035)" on the 15th. It mentions actively developing and utilizing new energy sources. Strengthening the safety net for coal and coal-fired power generation, promoting the reduction and replacement of coal consumption and its clean and efficient utilization. Rationally controlling oil consumption. Continuously promoting the utilization of natural gas. Vigorously promoting the development and utilization of new energy sources such as photovoltaics, biomass energy, and hydrogen energy to increase local green power supply. Vigorously developing distributed solar photovoltaic power generation. Exploring the construction and operation model of building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV), and carrying out BIPV pilot projects. Rationally developing and utilizing biomass energy. Promoting the demonstration and large-scale application of hydrogen energy in transportation, power, and other fields. Forward-looking deployment of the exploitation, development, and industrialization of natural gas hydrates.

14:56:59

Interfax news agency: The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) says an attack on a section of the Friendship Pipeline has been thwarted.

14:56:27

According to sources from Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) member countries, Cambodia has applied to join the TPP. Currently, 10 countries and regions have expressed interest in joining the agreement.

14:56:11

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1800.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1799.75/ounce, up 1.30% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1833.0/ounce, up 0.94% on the day.

14:56:07

[Strong Yen, Market Widely Expects Bank of Japan Rate Hike This Week] 1. The USD/JPY pair fell as much as 0.3% to 154.68 on Tuesday and is currently trading around 154.84. The market is closely watching the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision to be announced on Friday, with widespread expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the policy rate to 0.75%. 2. Wong King Lung, a foreign exchange strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore, said: "The market's optimistic expectations for a Bank of Japan rate hike this week remain solid. Although the sell-off in US tech stocks and Asian stock markets did affect market sentiment, it did not have an overly broad impact on the foreign exchange market."

14:50:48

[Strong Industrial and Investment Demand Drives Silver Up Nearly 120% This Year] A chief market analyst at an institution points out that the silver market continues its bullish trend, thanks to no signs of weakening industrial demand. Supported by both industrial and investment demand, and driven by tightening inventory levels, silver prices have risen by approximately 121% year-to-date.

14:48:07

[Markets are closely watching potential signals from ECB President Christine Lagarde regarding future interest rate hikes] Konrad Kleinfeld, an analyst at State Street Investment Management, noted in a report that any comments Lagarde might make will be closely watched as market participants increasingly discuss the possibility of an ECB rate hike in 2026. Kleinfeld stated that the key is whether Lagarde will directly respond to market expectations of a rate hike or intentionally interpret these expectations within a specific policy framework and under specific conditions. He believes that at the upcoming policy meeting on Thursday (December 17), the ECB is likely to emphasize its policy flexibility and its continued reliance on future data performance to make decisions.

14:47:15

Gold prices retreated slightly as the market focused on US data and Fed policy clues. 1. Gold prices fell on Tuesday, with spot gold briefly dropping to around $4272 per ounce before recovering to around $4292. Investors were cautious ahead of key US employment and inflation data releases, which are expected to provide important guidance for Fed policy expectations in the new year. 2. Some market analysts pointed out that gold prices are approaching the previous high of around $4380 per ounce reached in mid-October. The market is currently testing whether it has enough momentum to break through this resistance level or whether there are signs of weakening upward momentum at this level. 3. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders currently believe there is a 76% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in January, with some market participants even expecting two rate cuts. The upcoming non-farm payroll data this week is expected to provide new clues about the pace of Fed policy easing in 2026. 4. In addition, the market is also awaiting the weekly initial jobless claims data to be released later this week, as well as the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator.

14:43:06

[Nomura Securities: Bank of Korea Has Ended Its Current Rate Cut Cycle] 1. Nomura Securities released a report predicting that the Bank of Korea has ended its current rate cut cycle and is likely to maintain the benchmark interest rate at its current level in 2026. The risk of further policy changes has shifted from rate cuts to rate hikes. 2. Nomura economist Jeong Woo Park stated that this shift in policy expectations is mainly based on market predictions that the South Korean economy will expand at a rate higher than its potential growth rate in 2026. This is driven by strong domestic consumption, a recovery in the construction industry, and the upward cycle in the global semiconductor industry. He added that the South Korean economy is expected to close the output gap (i.e., actual output reaches or exceeds potential output levels) by around the second quarter of next year, a process earlier than the Bank of Korea's own forecast, thus reducing the need for further monetary easing.

14:40:19

A recent Politico poll shows that respondents in France and Germany want their governments to reduce financial aid to Ukraine. Respondents in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, however, tend to hold the opposite view, supporting continued substantial support.

14:37:22

[Japan's Foreign Ministry May Establish Peace Mediation Agency] At a press conference, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara announced that the Japanese government is considering establishing a dedicated agency within the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to handle the mediation and peaceful resolution of international conflicts. Kihara emphasized, "With the outbreak of conflicts in various regions, it is increasingly important to prevent crises, resolve conflicts as early as possible, and achieve peace through means such as peace mediation." He pointed out that Tokyo plans to "actively and appropriately participate in peace mediation to ensure uninterrupted efforts from achieving peace to post-war reconstruction and recovery." He added that establishing a coordinating agency is a wise move, as it can fully utilize the expertise of various local departments within the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which have maintained contact and trust with the parties to the conflicts.

14:35:46

Bankers say the continued depreciation of the Indian rupee has sparked heated debate in the market about whether the Reserve Bank of India will intervene.

14:35:15

Arab Airlines: Launches daily direct flights between Sharjah and Munich.

14:34:38

Spot gold has just broken through the $4290.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4290.03/ounce, down 0.35% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4316.20/ounce, down 0.44% on the day.

14:33:40

[Russian Foreign Minister Says Europe is a Failed Doctor Prescribing Inappropriate Medicine] Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated on December 15th that "Europe is like a failed doctor," "unwilling to understand the illness, but arbitrarily prescribing medicine only to temporarily relieve symptoms, even if it only works for five minutes." He stated that Europe has historically been "the source of all evil and a breeding ground for profound crises," including two world wars triggered by the "delusional ambitions" of its leaders. Lavrov also stated that Europe is currently attempting to "impose its conditions and desires on everyone," intentions "only superficially related to the Ukraine crisis." (CCTV)

14:32:14

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim: I will make a special statement tonight regarding government cabinet matters.

14:30:05

UBS Group: Bank of America Global Research upgraded UBS Group's rating from "Neutral" to "Buy" and raised its target price from $44 to $60.3.

14:29:05

Goldman Sachs Raises 2026 Copper Price Forecast: 1. In its latest report, Goldman Sachs raised its 2026 copper price forecast, increasing the annual average price estimate from $10,650 per ton to $11,400 per ton. This is primarily due to the continued risk of further US tariffs on copper imports. 2. Goldman Sachs estimates there is a 55% probability that the Trump administration will announce a 15% tariff on copper imports in the first half of 2026, which is expected to take effect in 2027 and could potentially increase to 30% in 2028. Despite the upward revision to the 2026 price forecast, Goldman Sachs maintains its 2027 copper price forecast at $10,750 per ton.

14:20:35

A-share liquid cooling concept stocks saw some fluctuations, with Feilong Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit, and Rongyi Precision, Siquan New Materials, Yingweike, Kechuang Xinyuan, and Fang Sheng Co., Ltd. also rising sharply.

14:19:58

[China Galaxy Securities: New Energy Remains a Key Focus of the 15th Five-Year Plan] A research report from China Galaxy Securities states that the Central Economic Work Conference's communique outlines a plan for building a strong energy nation, accelerating the construction of a new energy system and expanding the application of green electricity. This Central Economic Work Conference, for the first time, proposed "formulating a plan for building a strong energy nation," placing it alongside manufacturing and technological powerhouses. This shift from a defensive objective of "energy security" to a proactive positioning of "energy power leadership" marks a significant upgrade in the strategic positioning of energy. New energy remains a key focus of the 15th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on new quality productivity and anti-involution. Wind, solar, and energy storage, AIDC, lithium batteries, and robotics are expected to benefit comprehensively.

14:12:03

Merriam-Webster Names "Slop" as Word of the Year for AI-Generated Low-Quality Content Merriam-Webster, the publisher of Merriam-Webster's dictionary, recently announced that it has selected "slop" as the word of the year for 2025, defining it as "low-quality digital content typically generated in bulk by artificial intelligence (AI)." Merriam-Webster stated on its website that in 2025, a large amount of low-quality content will flood the internet, including absurd videos, distorted advertising images, vulgar propaganda, deceptively realistic fake news, low-quality books created by AI, and inefficient work reports dubbed "work scrap." This content both provokes public resentment and is widely consumed and disseminated. (Xinhua)

14:07:30

The US dollar index consolidated slightly, with market sentiment leaning cautious as it awaits a directional move. Details>

14:06:04

During the talks between Indian Prime Minister Modi and Jordanian leaders, the Gaza and West Asian crisis, civilian nuclear energy cooperation, cultural ties, and doubling bilateral trade were among the key topics of discussion.

14:05:48

[Former Vice Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Wang Jiangping: AI Scientific Discoveries Face a "Blocked Lake" Dilemma] According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Wang Jiangping, former Vice Minister of the Ministry, pointed out that current AI scientific discoveries face a "blocked lake" dilemma. He analyzed that while AI's predictive results are growing exponentially, human verification and industrialization capabilities are growing linearly, resulting in a huge gap. A prediction made by AI in one day requires humans 10 years or even longer to verify. This contradiction, like a "blocked lake," obstructs the channel for scientific discoveries to be transformed into practical applications, preventing a massive amount of predictive results from being experimentally verified and industrialized in a timely manner, and also consuming a large amount of research and computing resources.

14:03:47

The Saudi Stock Exchange announced that shares of "ALRAMZ Real Estate Company" will be listed for trading on December 18.

14:03:25

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1800.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1798.95/ounce, up 1.25% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1830.3/ounce, up 0.79% on the day.

14:02:43

[CAICT's AI Product Security Vulnerability Database Officially Launched] According to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT), on December 12, 2025, under the guidance of the Cybersecurity Administration of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, CAICT's AI product security vulnerability database officially went online. Covering general network products, industrial control products, government-related products, mobile internet apps, and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) products, the database forms a vulnerability management system of "one general database + five specialized databases." Next, CAICT will leverage CAIVD to collect and verify security vulnerabilities in AI products, urge AI product providers to promptly patch vulnerabilities in their products, support the standardized management of AI product security vulnerabilities, and jointly build a safe and orderly industrial ecosystem.

14:01:52

The Bank of Thailand: Increased inflows into Thai bonds and pressure on the stock market have led to a depreciation of the baht.

14:01:05

The Nikkei 225 index closed at 49,422.87 points today, down 1.49%.

13:59:53

The US dollar index consolidated slightly, while the British pound remained range-bound against the dollar. Details>

13:58:09

According to Indian media reports, a 10-vehicle pileup occurred on the Delhi-Agra highway in the early hours of the 16th, resulting in at least 4 deaths and 25 injuries.

13:57:03

[Indian Regulators Plan to Ease Restrictions on Commodity Derivatives; Reform Plan to be Submitted Early Next Year] 1. Three sources familiar with the matter revealed that a special panel established by the Securities and Exchange Commission of India (SEBI) is expected to submit its final report early next year, recommending the relaxation of restrictions on commodity derivatives trading and proposing specific measures to enhance the market's attractiveness to institutional investors. This move is seen as a key step in SEBI's efforts to deepen reforms of the domestic commodity market. 2. SEBI Chairman Tushin Kanta Pandey has previously stated that "strengthening the Indian commodity market is a priority on the SEBI's regulatory agenda," with the core objective being "deepening and expanding market participation." This year, SEBI has already taken the lead in relaxing several rules in the stock market, and the market widely expects its next reform to focus on the commodity derivatives sector.

13:55:42

The US dollar was under pressure and fluctuated ahead of the US non-farm payroll data, with the USD/CAD pair maintaining a range-bound trading pattern. Details>

13:52:56

The Bank of Thailand has instructed banks to monitor foreign exchange inflows.

13:50:08

Total Energy: has reached an agreement to sell its 9.998% indirect interest in the SK408 block in Malaysia to Thailand’s National Petroleum Exploration and Development Company (PTTEP).

13:49:18

[Rising US Unemployment Rate Expectations Draw Attention; Markets May Adjust Policy and Economic Path Expectations] 1. The market widely expects the upcoming US unemployment rate data to rise slightly from 4.4% to 4.5%. If this change is confirmed, it may indicate that the labor market is gradually easing, which will have multiple impacts on financial markets. 2. Investors may therefore increase their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated to support the economy, even if inflation remains above the policy target. This expectation may drive down Treasury yields and boost the prices of traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. For the stock market, on the one hand, the expectation of interest rate cuts may generally benefit risk sentiment, but on the other hand, the slowdown in household income and consumer spending implied by the rising unemployment rate may also keep the market (especially consumer-related sectors) cautious. 3. Weak labor data may intensify external political scrutiny of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Some believe that even if he personally judges the economy to remain stable, pressure from various parties may prompt the Federal Reserve to take action. If the rising unemployment rate is accompanied by weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll growth, the market may interpret this as the economy not being on the verge of recession, but rather entering a controlled, moderate slowdown phase. This "soft landing" scenario might be seen by some investors as evidence that the US economy is shifting towards slower but more sustainable growth. 4. If weak job growth and rising unemployment continue, the US economy may follow a path of moderate expansion, a gradually cooling labor market, and more cautious consumer spending. In this scenario, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve adopting a more accommodative policy stance will increase significantly, and the pace of interest rate cuts may accelerate. The market will also adjust its price expectations for stocks, bonds, and various assets accordingly.

13:47:55

Rising expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike, coupled with a weakening dollar, caused the USD/JPY pair to break below key support. Details>

13:47:46

Bank of Thailand: Will seek to regulate online gold trading

13:46:38

According to data released by the Japan Meteorological Agency, a 5.2-magnitude earthquake struck off the eastern coast of Aomori Prefecture, Japan, at approximately 2:38 p.m. local time on the 16th. The maximum tremor was felt as a level 3, and the epicenter was at a depth of 20 kilometers. (CCTV News)

13:46:07

The lithography machine sector saw a surge, with Wavelength Optoelectronics and Woge Optoelectronics rising by over 6%, while Juguang Technology, Maolai Optics, Yongxin Optics, United Optoelectronics, and Bai'ao Chemical followed suit.

13:44:24

The Bank of Thailand has taken action against the Thai baht and tightened restrictions on gold-related transactions.

13:42:58

Bank of Thailand: Concerned about rapid appreciation of the Thai baht

13:42:45

The Japan Meteorological Agency's "Earthquake Alert Notice for the Hokkaido and Sanriku Coast" expired and was lifted early on the 16th. The Japanese government stated that this does not mean the possibility of a large-scale earthquake has disappeared, and urged the public to continue preparing for disasters, including confirming evacuation sites and routes. (Xinhua)

13:39:27

Alibaba has released its new generation of Wanxiang 2.6 series models. This series has been upgraded for professional film and television production and image creation scenarios, and is the first video model in China to support role-playing functionality. The newly released Wanxiang 2.6 also supports audio-visual synchronization, multi-camera generation, and sound-driven features.

13:36:59

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz confirmed that Ukraine and Germany signed a ten-point plan, which includes establishing a representative center for Ukraine's defense industry in Berlin and joint production of drones.

13:35:22

A panel of Indian market regulators will recommend easing rules on commodity derivatives. The panel will recommend lifting the ban on agricultural derivatives trading and lowering margin requirements.

13:30:10

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1800.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1798.30/oz, up 1.22% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1829.1/oz, up 0.73% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4280.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4279.90/oz, down 0.58% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4306.40/oz, down 0.66% on the day.

13:29:15

[Hungarian Foreign Minister: Hungary Opposes EU's Measures to Escalate the Russia-Ukraine Conflict] Hungarian Foreign Minister Pierre Szijjártó stated on the 15th that the decision to freeze Russian assets and plan to use them to support Ukraine clearly demonstrates the EU's readiness to break all existing rules and drag the EU into war. Szijjártó stated that the EU's accusation that Russia created the energy crisis in Europe is a complete lie. The energy crisis is not due to Russia, but rather to the EU's ban on the use of Russian energy. Hungary does not believe that Ukraine's accession to the EU will guarantee Ukraine's security, but rather views it as a serious threat of war to Europe. The EU also wants to transfer EU military training missions to Ukraine, which is an absolute red line that Hungary will never agree to. (CCTV)

13:28:55

Gold prices edged lower ahead of non-farm payroll data, pressured by short-term profit-taking and geopolitical optimism. Details>

13:27:17

Indonesia's Ministry of Energy: Indonesia auctions approximately 629,000 metric tons of bauxite stockpiles.

13:24:53

[Chongqing: 60 New Hydrogen Refueling Stations Planned for 25 Million Kilograms/Year by 2035] According to the Chongqing Municipal Commission of Economy and Information Technology, the "Chongqing Hydrogen Refueling Station Industry Development Plan (2025-2035)" has been issued. It states that by 2035, the city plans to build 60 new hydrogen refueling stations, bringing the total number of existing stations to 72, with a hydrogen supply capacity of 25 million kilograms/year. The plan outlines construction tasks in three key phases: 2025-2027: Focus on completing the construction of 10 new hydrogen refueling stations, achieving a daily hydrogen supply capacity of 15,000 kilograms, and initially establishing a regional hydrogen refueling service network; 2028-2030: Continue to expand construction, adding 20 new hydrogen stations, increasing the daily hydrogen supply capacity to 40,000 kilograms, and further enhancing service coverage; 2031-2035: Complete the construction of 30 new hydrogen refueling stations, exceeding 70,000 kilograms per day, and fully achieving the overall construction goals.

13:22:46

Moscow court documents show that Russian grain trader Parada has filed a lawsuit against the Syrian State Grain Trading Company, seeking 10.7 billion rubles in damages.

13:19:57

Investinglive analyst Justin Low: It may take weeks, not days, to clearly interpret the latest non-farm payroll data and accurately assess the labor market outlook. The prevailing market expectation remains that the labor market will continue to show signs of weakness, but for investors, it makes more sense to wait until early next year to make a final judgment than to rush to conclusions on this chaotic data release day. However, this does not mean the market will completely ignore today's report. Traders and investors are expected to react to the data, and market volatility is inevitable.

28

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4338.22	5.61 (0.13%)
XAG	67.126	1.664 (2.54%)
CONC	56.54	0.54 (0.96%)
OILC	60.48	0.76 (1.28%)
USD	98.717	0.277 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1707	-0.0014 (-0.12%)
GBPUSD	1.3375	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
USDCNH	7.0341	0.0029 (0.04%)

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