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2025-09-16 Tuesday

2025-09-19

17:00:04

Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for September

Previous : 34.70 Forecast : 26.30

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 37.30

17:00:03

Germany's ZEW Economic Conditions Index for September

Previous : -68.60 Forecast : -75

Published Value -76.40

16:59:45

[Vietnam's Stock Market Strives to Become Official: How Much Will It Attract Capital?] ⑴ Vietnam's Minister of Finance recently met with officials from the London Stock Exchange and FTSE Russell to promote an upgrade of its stock market rating. Vietnam stated that it has implemented several reform measures to meet the upgrade criteria and hopes to attract more foreign investment. ⑵ Currently classified as a "frontier market," Vietnam's stock market aims to be upgraded to the "emerging market" category. If achieved, this move is expected to significantly enhance the market's appeal and create a more favorable trading environment for foreign investors. ⑶ As of the end of August, Vietnam's total stock market capitalization was approximately US$352 billion, accounting for 73.9% of its 2024 GDP. This substantial market capitalization indicates significant market potential and lays the foundation for attracting incremental capital. ⑷ The market is generally interested in whether this upgrade will effectively boost the activity and international influence of the Vietnamese stock market. Especially amidst the increasing scrutiny of global capital flows, such rating adjustments often trigger strategic positioning among traders.

16:59:35

France's bumper summer grain harvest is in sight, but corn production faces pressure. (1) The French Ministry of Agriculture's latest forecast indicates that this year's soft wheat production is expected to reach 33.3 million tons, up from the 33.1 million tons forecast last month and a significant 29.8% rebound from last year's rain-damaged harvest. (2) However, hot and dry weather has negatively impacted corn production. The Ministry of Agriculture has lowered its forecast for cereal corn production from 13.9 million tons last month to 13.6 million tons, a 7.8% year-on-year decrease. The decline is expected to be primarily due to lower yields, despite planted area remaining roughly the same as last year. (3) For rapeseed, the production forecast has been raised to 4.6 million tons, up from the 4.5 million tons forecast last month and a 19.3% year-on-year increase, indicating favorable harvest prospects. (4) Sugar beet production is expected to reach 31.8 million tons, a 2.3% decrease from last year, primarily due to a reduction in planted area. ⑸ It is worth noting that the production forecast for sunflower seeds has been lowered to 1.5 million tons, a decrease compared with last year. This is similar to the situation for corn, both of which are affected by the suppression of yields due to high temperatures and drought in summer.

16:58:09

[Ministry of Commerce and Nine Other Departments: Encourage E-commerce Platforms to Innovate Online and Offline Digital Service Consumption Scenarios] The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments issued "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption." These measures propose expanding digital service consumption, encouraging e-commerce platforms to innovate online and offline digital service consumption scenarios, and supporting the digital transformation and promotion of lifestyle service businesses. They also recommend typical "AI + Consumption" application cases and continuously create new products, scenarios, and hotspots for information consumption.

16:57:48

[Ministry of Commerce and 9 other departments: Optimize student holiday arrangements and explore the establishment of spring and autumn holidays for primary and secondary schools] The Ministry of Commerce and 9 other departments issued "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption." The measures propose to optimize student holiday arrangements and improve supporting policies. While the total number of holiday days and total teaching time remain unchanged, localities with conditions are encouraged to scientifically adjust the teaching and holiday schedules for each school year based on factors such as climatic conditions, production arrangements, and the implementation of the paid leave system for employees. They are also encouraged to explore the establishment of spring and autumn holidays for primary and secondary schools, shorten winter and summer vacations accordingly, and increase time for service consumption such as travel. (Ministry of Commerce)

16:57:34

[The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments: Attract more foreign personnel to enter the country for consumption and orderly expand the scope of unilateral visa-free countries] The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments issued the "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption". The measures propose to attract more foreign personnel to enter the country for consumption. Orderly expand the scope of unilateral visa-free countries, optimize and improve regional entry visa-free policies, continue to optimize visa policies for foreigners coming to China and facilitation measures such as communication, accommodation, and payment, and issue 5-year multiple-entry visas to more qualified personnel. Strengthen the international publicity and promotion of my country's cultural and tourism resources, give full play to the advantages of traditional cultural resources such as food, traditional Chinese medicine, and cultural relics, and encourage travel agencies and online travel platforms to launch a number of special tourism routes suitable for foreigners. Strengthen the "Study in China" brand building to attract outstanding foreign students to study in China. Cultivate international markets such as medical care and exhibitions. (Ministry of Commerce)

16:57:14

[Ministry of Commerce and 9 other departments: Increase support for consumer credit and implement interest subsidies for consumer loans in key areas] The Ministry of Commerce and 9 other departments issued the "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption." The measures propose to coordinate the use of various funding channels, such as central budget investment and local government special bonds, to support the construction of qualified service facilities such as culture, tourism, elderly care, childcare, and sports. Support the Guidance Fund for Innovation and Development of Service Trade to invest in qualified service consumption enterprises according to market principles, and guide social capital to increase investment in service consumption-related sectors. Increase support for consumer credit. Support local governments to share consumer credit risks through the establishment or integration of existing special risk compensation funds, implement interest subsidies for consumer loans in key areas, and guide financial institutions and businesses to cooperate in developing products and services suitable for service consumption, forming a combination of "government subsidies + financial support + merchant discounts."

16:51:47

[EUR/USD Technical Analysis] The daily chart shows the middle Bollinger Band at 1.1685, the upper Bollinger Band at 1.1780, and the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1591. The current price of 1.1792 is already above and slightly above the upper Bollinger Band. If it breaks through further, it will point to the psychological round number barrier of 1.1829 and 1.1900, the upper band high. The candlestick chart has recently shown a push-up structure within the rising channel, and retracements have mostly recovered momentum near the middle Bollinger Band. MACD shows DIFF 0.0030, DEA 0.0021, and the bar at 0.0018, all standing above the zero axis and weakly expanding. The momentum is positive but not overheated. If the bar cannot continue to expand, there is a risk of blunting the short-term momentum. RSI (14) is at 60.4884, in a moderately bullish range and not yet overbought. Structurally, the two lows of 1.1405 and 1.1391 form a key medium-term support band, while above that lies a dense resistance cluster between 1.1800 and 1.1829. The combined indicators suggest the trend remains upward, with dense resistance along the upper edge. In the short term, a successful breakthrough will rely more on fundamental catalysts.

16:51:07

[Nine departments release "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption"] The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments released the "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption" on September 16. These measures propose 19 measures across five areas, including launching a series of "Service Consumption Season" promotional activities, supporting cross-border collaborations between high-quality consumer resources and well-known IPs, extending the operating hours of popular cultural and museum venues and scenic spots according to local conditions, optimizing reservation methods, encouraging the implementation of no-reservation bookings, optimizing student holiday arrangements, and improving supporting policies. These measures aim to increase the supply of high-quality services and better meet the people's diverse service consumption needs. (Xinhua News Agency)

16:50:54

Bulls are "queuing up" on the upper track: The euro needs to hold steady at 1.18, and all it needs is a final catalyst? Details>

16:43:52

Oil Prices Stable as Market Weighs Russian Supply Risks and Federal Reserve Decision: ⑴ Oil prices traded sideways on Tuesday, with Brent front-month contracts down 0.3% to $67.24 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude down 0.3% to $63.11 per barrel. The market simultaneously assessed supply risks posed by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. ⑵ Ukraine has recently intensified its attacks on Russian energy facilities. JPMorgan Chase notes that attacks on export terminals such as Primorsk would directly restrict Russia's ability to sell oil abroad and ripple through international markets, providing an upward catalyst for oil prices. ⑶ Goldman Sachs estimates that drone attacks have curtailed Russian refining capacity by approximately 300,000 barrels per day from August to this month. Despite high uncertainty surrounding secondary tariffs, Asian buyers remain willing to import Russian oil, and Russian production is expected to decline only modestly. ⑷ Investors also focused on the Federal Reserve meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, with a 25 basis point rate cut widely expected. While low interest rates typically stimulate fuel demand, analysts remain cautious about the overall health of the US economy. ⑹ The market is betting on a decline in U.S. crude oil inventories last week, with official data due on Wednesday. Macquarie expects inventories to fall by 6.4 million barrels in the week ending September 12, reversing a 3.9 million barrel increase in the previous week.

16:41:19

Hang Seng Index dipped slightly by 0.03%, with photovoltaic and tourism stocks bucking the trend while the non-ferrous metals sector retreated. (1) On Tuesday, Hong Kong's three major indices showed divergent trends, with all three reaching intraday highs and hitting new highs. By the close, the Hang Seng Index dipped slightly by 0.03%, reaching a high of 26,601.59 points; the China Enterprises Index edged up by 0.02%; and the Hang Seng Tech Index was relatively active, rising by 0.56%. Trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market was approximately HK$115 billion, slightly down from the previous day. (2) Large-cap technology stocks showed mixed performance, with Meituan rising 3%, NetEase climbing 1.25%, Baidu, Xiaomi, and Tencent slightly higher, JD.com falling 1.29%, and Alibaba and Kuaishou retreating slightly. The photovoltaic industry chain performed well due to rising product prices across multiple links, with Flat Glass rising 5%. Travel and tourism stocks rallied, boosted by the approaching National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with China Travel Service (Hong Kong) rising 4.4% and Ctrip Group rising 4%. ⑶ In addition, supported by Goldman Sachs' view that domestic airfares are expected to improve starting in September, airline stocks also rose, and sectors such as brain-computer interface concepts, sporting goods, automobiles, catering, and shipping also strengthened. On the downside, internet medical stocks led the market decline, while major financial sectors such as domestic insurance stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks mostly performed poorly. Affected by fluctuations in international commodity prices, non-ferrous metal stocks such as gold, copper, and aluminum collectively retreated, and infrastructure-related sectors such as heavy infrastructure stocks and building materials and cement stocks also fell.

16:40:26

Denmark to invest DKK 1.6 billion in Greenland between 2026 and 2029

16:40:13

Market News: Iranian security chief to meet Saudi Defense Minister in Riyadh

16:40:08

[Top 15 Countries by Per Capita Energy Consumption in 2024: Iceland Leads with Clean Energy] ⑴ According to the Energy Institute's "Statistical World Energy 2025" report, the top 15 countries in the world by per capita energy consumption in 2024 have been released. Iceland ranks first globally with a per capita energy consumption of 788 GJ. Its electricity comes almost 100% from renewable energy sources, with approximately 70% coming from hydropower and 30% from geothermal energy, thanks to its abundant geothermal and hydropower resources. ⑵ Also in the top five are Qatar, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait. These countries either have small populations but significant energy production—for example, Qatar's energy output accounts for approximately 80% of its industrial output—or have strong electricity demand due to climate factors. ⑶ In terms of regional distribution, North America will remain the world's highest per capita energy consumer, reaching 217 GJ in 2024, nearly three times the global average of 73 GJ. Europe and the Middle East followed closely behind, with per capita energy consumption of 105 GJ and 141 GJ respectively, continuing to be important regions for global energy consumption.

16:40:03

Russia says its drones attacked a Ukrainian gas distribution station used by Ukrainian troops

16:39:30

Market news: Ford will lay off 1,000 employees at its Cologne plant in early 2026.

16:39:16

[Bank of Japan May Hold Interest Rates on Hold This Year - ANZ] 1. ANZ Research stated that, given the impact of US tariffs and political uncertainty in Japan, the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its policy interest rate for the rest of the year, with the next rate hike likely delayed until January 2026. 2. It noted that the Bank of Japan's inflation outlook for fiscal 2026 has been lowered to below 2%, indicating a decline in the policy committee's confidence in achieving its price stability target, which has become the primary internal driver of the policy hold.

16:37:12

Fujairah Bunker Fuel Sales Rise for Two Consecutive Months] ⑴ Marine fuel sales at the UAE's Fujairah bunkering port continued their upward trend in August, increasing by another 1.5% month-over-month to 650,500 cubic meters (approximately 644,000 tons), a four-month high. ⑵ Low-sulfur fuel oil and marine gasoil combined reached 461,900 cubic meters, up 6.1% month-over-month. High-sulfur bunker fuel sales fell 8.2% to 188,600 cubic meters after reaching an 18-month peak in July. This was due to a narrowing of the high-sulfur to low-sulfur price gap in August, which shifted from a sharp widening in July. ⑶ Market sources indicate that the low-sulfur bunker fuel premium remained firm in early September, reaching a year-to-date high. The suspension of Sudanese crude oil imports has led to a slight shortage of feedstock for UAE refineries, and the supply of low-sulfur bunker fuel is expected to tighten slightly.

16:32:27

Former ECB President Draghi: EU AI bill is a source of uncertainty.

16:31:59

[US Dollar Falls to Multi-Month Low, Awaiting Fed Decision] ⑴ The US dollar fell to over two-month lows against the euro and pound, and hit a new 10-month low against the Australian dollar, as investors reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut this week. The US dollar index hit a low of 97.121, its weakest since July 7th, as US President Trump again called for aggressive easing. ⑵ The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, primarily driven by recent weakening labor market data. Trump urged Powell on social media on Monday to "go deeper," citing the housing market as an excuse. ⑶ Jefferies strategists pointed out that the key will depend on Powell's wording; if he emphasizes inflation risks or uncertainties in the growth outlook, the market may reduce some of its bets on a rate cut. ⑷ The British pound rose 0.2% to 1.3627 against the US dollar, reaching a new high since July 8th. Official UK data showed that corporate payrolls fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the growth rate of basic wages in the private sector slowing from 4.8% to 4.7%. This may ease the Bank of England's concerns about sticky inflation, and the market expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday. (5) The euro rose 0.3% against the dollar to 1.1797, its highest level since July 3rd. Germany's ZEW survey, as well as eurozone wage and industrial output data, will be released later. (6) The Australian dollar edged down to 0.6666 after hitting a high of 0.6677 on November 8th. The dollar fell 0.3% against the yen to 146.92. Markets expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its interest rate at 0.5% on Friday. The Liberal Democratic Party presidential race intensified with the entry of the agriculture minister and chief cabinet secretary.

16:30:09

Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Hong Kong, China for August

Previous : 3.70% Forecast : 3.80%

Published Value 3.70%

16:30:04

[Goldman Sachs: Russian Oil Production to Decline Only Moderately] ⑴ Goldman Sachs stated in its latest report that despite the continued uncertainty surrounding secondary tariffs on Russian crude oil, it expects Moscow's oil production to decline only modestly. ⑵ Bank of America analysts stated that the greater risk comes from narrowing producer profits and operational bottlenecks caused by existing sanctions. ⑶ Ukrainian drone attacks pose an additional threat, having destroyed approximately 300,000 barrels per day of Russian refining capacity in August and September. If refinery processing capacity declines and storage facilities or export channels reach capacity, upstream producers may be forced to cut production.

16:29:05

[Sanctions on Rosneft are not yet completed, and the EU is under "double pressure"] ⑴ EU officials said on Tuesday that the 19th set of sanctions against Russia originally scheduled to be submitted will be postponed because the EU is seeking a strategy to deal with Trump's tariff remarks, which requires the EU to accelerate the reduction of its dependence on Russian energy. ⑵ Previously, the Trump administration increased pressure on the EU, not only requiring the EU to impose high tariffs on India and China for purchasing Russian oil, but also urging the EU itself to stop importing Russian energy. ⑶ Although the EU has planned to gradually stop purchasing Russian oil and natural gas by January 1, 2028, and believes that this move is an ambitious plan aimed at avoiding sharp fluctuations in energy prices or supply disruptions, Washington hopes that the EU can speed up the process. ⑷ An EU diplomat pointed out that Trump's request that the EU impose high tariffs on crude oil importing countries first is extremely challenging. Even though the intention is obvious, it forces the EU to consider how to respond to avoid being shirked by Trump.

16:28:57

US Appeals Court Blocks Trump's Removal of Cook, Renewing Judicial Defence for the Fed's Independence (1) On Monday, Eastern Time, the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit rejected the Justice Department's request for a temporary injunction to stay President Trump's removal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, paving the way for her to attend the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, where the Fed is widely expected to announce an interest rate cut to support the cooling labor market. (2) Trump had previously accused Cook of engaging in mortgage fraud before taking office, which Cook denied. Last week, a district court judge ruled that the allegations were insufficiently based and did not meet the "removal for cause" standard under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. The appeals court's ruling allows that ruling to remain in effect and does not grant a stay to the Justice Department's request. (3) According to the 1913 law establishing the Federal Reserve, the president can only remove a governor for cause. However, the law neither defines "cause" nor sets out a procedure. To date, no president has successfully removed a governor, and the relevant provisions have never been tested by the Supreme Court. Neither the White House nor Cook's lawyers were immediately available for comment. The Fed did not comment on the ruling, only urging the court to resolve it swiftly. (4) The outcome of this case hinges on whether the central bank can set interest rates free from political interference, a principle widely considered a core prerequisite for its functions, including controlling inflation. Since taking office, Trump has publicly pressured Fed Chairman Powell to cut interest rates, but the Fed, focused on combating inflation, has previously refused to comply. If the rate cut goes ahead this week, Cook's continued tenure will protect the Fed's independence from immediate political disruption.

16:26:40

UK Food Inflation Slightly Decreases to 4.9%, Remaining Under Pressure for Consumers ⑴ A new report from Worldpanel, a subsidiary of market research firm Numerator, shows that in the four weeks ending September 7, the UK's annualized grocery inflation rate fell slightly to 4.9% from 5.0% the previous month, but remains elevated, providing only limited relief for shoppers. ⑵ By category, chocolate, fresh meat, and butter prices saw the fastest price increases, while household paper products, confectionery, and dog food saw the fastest price declines. ⑶ Private label premium lines continued to be popular with budget shoppers, with sales increasing by 10.3% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of double-digit growth. After years of inflationary pressure, consumers are increasingly choosing private label premium products that offer similar quality to big-name brands at more affordable prices. ⑷ The best-performing retailer during the period was Tesco, with sales increasing by 7.7%, the fastest growth since December 2023, and its market share rising to 28.4%. ⑸ The fastest-growing channel was online retailer Ocado, with sales increasing by 11.9% year-on-year and a market share of 1.9%.

16:26:26

Italy's CPI reading for August excluding tobacco

Previous : 121.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 121.80

16:26:25

Italy's year-on-year CPI excluding tobacco in August

Previous : 1.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.40%

16:26:03

Why is Australia, despite having the 11th-highest GDP, still firmly in the top 6 of the foreign exchange market? Could the Australian dollar still rally in the short term? Details>

16:24:52

Ukraine's Defense Budget Rise to 27.2% of GDP in 2026 (1) The Ukrainian Prime Minister announced on the 15th that the government has approved the draft state budget for 2026, which will further increase defense spending. (2) According to the draft, total budget expenditures for 2026 will be 4.8 trillion hryvnia (approximately $116.5 billion), of which defense spending will reach 2.8 trillion hryvnia ($68.3 billion), an increase of 168.6 billion hryvnia ($4.1 billion) from the previous year. (3) Defense spending as a percentage of GDP will rise to 27.2%, of which 44.3 billion hryvnia ($1.08 billion) will be allocated to domestic weapons production. (4) The government plans to keep the budget deficit to 18.4% of GDP next year, with external financing requirements expected to reach 2.079 trillion hryvnia ($49 billion).

16:23:52

[Analyst: Technical Weakness May Expose Further Downside to the US Dollar Index] ⑴ Market analysis shows that the fragile US dollar could decline further due to a combination of market positioning, fundamentals, and technical factors. ⑵ The US dollar remains under pressure as speculative short positions have not yet reached a sufficient level to halt the decline. Insufficient buying volume and buy stop-loss orders suggest further downside for the US dollar. ⑶ The dollar's decline stems from investors' strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this week and continue to ease policy. The US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since July. ⑷ Technically, the US dollar index remains capped below the 98.311-98.876 cloud on the daily chart, maintaining its overall bearish trend. The 14-day momentum indicator remains negative, highlighting technical weakness. ⑸ Only a breakout and sustained position above the daily cloud can reverse the current downward trend.

16:22:56

Former ECB President Draghi: The Mercosur agreement can ease the burden on EU exporters.

16:22:47

Former ECB President Draghi: Defense commitments increase the EU's huge financing needs.

16:22:40

Former ECB President Draghi: There is no clear way to finance the investments we need.

16:21:51

U.S. Treasuries surge to the top spot! Expectations of rate cuts fuel bullish sentiment, while a weak dollar proves a powerful catalyst. Details>

16:21:42

The French Ministry of Agriculture has raised its 2025 soft wheat production forecast to 33.3 million tons. (1) The French Ministry of Agriculture raised its 2025 soft wheat production forecast to 33.3 million tons on the afternoon of the 16th, up from the 33.1 million tons forecast last month and 29.8% higher than the rain-affected production level in 2024. (2) The 2025 barley production forecast remained at 12 million tons, unchanged from the previous month. (3) The corn (including seed) production forecast was lowered to 13.6 million tons, down from the 13.9 million tons forecast last month and a 7.8% decrease from the same period last year. (4) Sugar beet production was estimated at 31.8 million tons, down 2.3% from 32.5 million tons in 2024. (5) The rapeseed production forecast was raised to 4.6 million tons, up from the 4.5 million tons forecast last month. (6) The sunflower seed production forecast was lowered to 1.5 million tons, down from the 1.6 million tons forecast last month.

16:19:14

China debuts in the top ten of the UN Innovation Rankings, surpassing Germany! R&D investment and patent application data reveal a new landscape. ⑴ On Tuesday, the United Nations released its annual Global Innovation Index (GII), marking China's first entry into the world's top ten most innovative countries, ranking 10th and displacing Germany. ⑵ Switzerland topped the list for the 14th consecutive year, with Sweden and the United States in second and third place. ⑶ The GII survey covers 78 indicators for 139 economies. China's rise in the rankings is attributed to continued strong government investment in research and development (R&D). ⑷ Data shows that China is expected to become the world's largest R&D spender, with the gap in private sector financing rapidly narrowing. ⑸ China contributes approximately a quarter of international patent applications, maintaining its position as the largest filer. ⑹ In contrast, patent applications from the United States, Japan, and Germany all saw slight declines. ⑺ Germany dropped to 11th place, facing challenges in digital innovation. ⑻ GII co-editors note that the rankings do not yet reflect the economic impact of Trump's tariff rhetoric. ⑼ Overall, the global innovation outlook is overshadowed by declining investment, but China’s strong performance foreshadows possible changes in the economic landscape in the future.

16:14:24

The Fed's rate-cutting cycle may continue until 2027, boosting market risk appetite. ⑴ The Federal Reserve is expected to begin its rate-cutting cycle this week. Credit Mutuel Asset Management predicts that this round of rate cuts may continue until 2027, with the terminal rate potentially falling to 3.1%. ⑵ The US dollar weakened against most G10 and Asian currencies, with the US dollar index falling to a two-month low of 97.06, bringing its year-to-date decline to nearly 11%. ⑶ The British pound rose to a two-month high of 1.3633 against the US dollar, with the market expecting the Bank of England to remain on hold this week while the Fed cuts rates. ⑷ Gold futures hit a record high of $3,730.80 per ounce. Expectations of a rate cut suppressed the US dollar, boosting gold prices, and gold mining companies in the UK and US saw broad gains. ⑸ Easing trade tensions and a surge in tech stocks boosted risk assets. ⑹ The yen strengthened, with Japanese Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi announcing his candidacy for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidency. Markets expect his victory to prompt the Bank of Japan to continue tightening policy. ⑺ UK labor data showed weakness but wages remained high. Analysts believe that the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged this year, and the 10-year UK bond yield remained stable at 4.634%.

16:12:40

On September 16, Hong Kong Customs announced that they had successfully dismantled a local money laundering ring in an operation codenamed "Flash" from August 26 to September 15, arresting four members suspected of laundering HK$2.6 billion in criminal proceeds through multiple company bank accounts. Hong Kong Customs stated that the case is still under investigation and that further arrests are possible. (CCTV News)

16:12:23

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Demonstrates strong political commitment to India trade agreement

16:12:14

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Public and private investment needs to be strongly promoted

16:12:07

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Europe is 'too dependent' on imported fossil fuels

16:11:29

Israeli military officials: Israel's ground military operation in Gaza City is still in its early stages

16:11:19

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed down 0.03%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.56%. The pharmaceutical sector led the decline, with Yaojie Ankang-B shares plummeting over 53%, Ascletis Pharma-B shares down over 11%, and CStone Pharmaceuticals down over 6%. Kaisa Group rose over 12%, Ctrip Group rose over 4%, and Meituan rose over 3%.

16:11:05

Egypt Plans to Establish Six Logistics Centers in Africa (1) Egypt's Minister of Investment and Foreign Trade announced plans to establish six logistics centers for Egyptian products in key African countries. (2) Egypt hopes to establish Morocco as a key hub for Egyptian exports to North and West Africa, leveraging Morocco's strong position in West African countries to facilitate Egyptian exports. (3) The plan aims to improve and develop the logistics system between Egypt and Africa, strengthen trade balance between the two countries, create jobs, and protect local industries. (4) The two sides discussed strengthening cooperation during the Fourth Council of Trade Ministers in Cairo.

16:08:07

[UK Labor Market Weakness and High Wages Coexist] ⑴ The UK labor market continues to weaken, with the number of salaried employees falling for the seventh consecutive month, down 8,000 in August. ⑵ Hiring intentions are subdued as businesses prepare for fiscal austerity measures, including tax increases, in the Autumn Budget (to be announced on November 26). ⑶ While the growth rate of regular private sector wages (excluding bonuses) has slowed to 4.7% (a three-year low), it remains significantly above pre-pandemic levels. ⑷ The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee is divided on the wage outlook. Most members, previously inclined to believe forecasts of slowing wage growth, have shown less confidence. ⑸ Market expectations for a Bank of England standstill have been adjusted, with pricing in a lower probability of further interest rate cuts this year and a 45% probability of a cut in February. ⑹ Focus has shifted to the fiscal outlook, with the Chancellor of the Exchequer proposing to put fiscal order through spending cuts and tax increases.

16:06:35

The French Ministry of Agriculture has updated its 2025 cereal production forecast. (1) The soft wheat production forecast has been raised to 33.3 million tons (previous month's estimate was 33.1 million tons). (2) The barley production forecast remains unchanged at 12 million tons. (3) The corn (including seed) production forecast has been lowered to 13.6 million tons (previous month's estimate was 13.9 million tons).

16:06:09

[Analyst: New York Coffee Futures May Break Through $4,209 Resistance] ⑴ New York December coffee futures may break through the $4,209 resistance level per ton, reaching $4,328. ⑵ Currently in the fifth wave of an uptrend, projection analysis and the rising trend line both point to a target of $4,328. ⑶ Support is at $4,090; a break below could lead to a decline to the $3,943-4,017 range.

16:05:25

[Bank of Korea Meeting Minutes: Majority Supports Future Policy Easing to Address Growth Headwinds] ⑴ The minutes of the Bank of Korea's meeting show that a majority of Monetary Policy Committee members believe further interest rate cuts are needed to counter the impact of US tariffs on economic growth. ⑵ The August 28 meeting voted 6-1 to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.50%, in line with expectations. ⑶ Member Shin Sung-hwan (the only vote in favor of a 25 basis point rate cut) stated, "As the impact of tariff policies becomes apparent by year-end, economic growth is expected to gradually slow." ⑷ South Korea is weighing trade concessions, proposing to cap US import tariffs at 15%, but negotiations have stalled due to unfinished details of a $350 billion investment fund. ⑸ A majority of members believe that interest rate cuts are needed in the coming months to support economic growth, which is "significantly below potential." ⑹ The central bank raised its economic growth forecast for this year from 0.8% to 0.9%, still the lowest growth rate since 2020.

16:04:46

South African rand fluctuates in a narrow range, with market focus on inflation data and interest rate decision. ⑴ The South African rand was essentially flat in early trading on Tuesday, trading at 17.3425 against the US dollar, close to Monday's closing price of 17.3450. ⑵ Investors awaited this week's inflation data and interest rate decision, with the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) set to announce its policy decision on Thursday. ⑶ CPI and retail sales data will be released on Wednesday. ⑷ The yield on the 2035 benchmark government bond rose 1 basis point to 9.225%, remaining at its highest level since 2018. ⑸ A survey showed long-term inflation expectations fell to a record low, attracting inflows into the bond market and the rand. ⑹ The US dollar index fell 0.3% in early trading, as the Federal Reserve and SARB interest rate decisions will provide further guidance. ⑺ The Johannesburg Top 40 Index rose 0.2% in early trading.

16:03:50

GBP/USD Options Buying Reignites, Breaking Through Key Technical Levels: (1) GBP/USD broke through the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August decline from 1.3787 to 1.3142. (2) Implied volatility rebounded from its 2025 low, opening the way for a test of previous highs. (3) One-month implied volatility traded between 6.65 and 6.75, a significant increase from Monday's 6.35 and Friday's 6.1. (4) Three-month and four-month implied volatility were at 7.3 and 7.35, respectively. (5) The euro strengthened against the dollar and related options, putting the dollar under broad pressure. (6) The Federal Reserve's decision poses volatility risks to the dollar, attracting option buying. (7) Volatility risks from UK data and central bank policy may confirm the undervaluation of GBP options.

16:03:05

Italy's August CPI final value is consistent with the preliminary estimate. ⑴ Italy's August EU-harmonized CPI final value was -0.2% month-on-month (consistent with the preliminary estimate), and the year-on-year final value was +1.6% (preliminary estimate was +1.7%). ⑵ Italy's August domestic CPI (NIC index) final value was +0.1% month-on-month (consistent with the preliminary estimate), and the year-on-year final value was +1.6% (consistent with the preliminary estimate).

16:02:41

Bank of Thailand Governor: Current Policy Rate Meets Economic Needs (⑴) The Bank of Thailand Governor stated that the current policy rate is appropriate for economic development. (⑵) He noted that the economic growth outlook for next year faces downside risks. (⑶) He emphasized the need to maintain monetary policy space to address challenges. (⑷) He warned that ultra-low interest rates pose long-term risks.

16:01:59

UK 10-Year Gilt Yield Holds Steady at 4.64% (1) The UK 10-year gilt yield last traded at 4.64%, with investors remaining cautious ahead of the Bank of England's decision and key data releases. (2) The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 4% on Thursday while slowing its £100 billion annual balance sheet reduction. (3) Wage growth, excluding bonuses, was 4.8% (4.7% including bonuses), in line with expectations. The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.7%, while the 8,000 decrease in wage employment was better than expected. (4) Data suggests a gradual slowdown in the labor market, rather than a collapse, leaving expectations for a Bank of England rate cut largely unchanged. (5) The market is focused on August CPI data (expected to be 3.8% year-on-year) and retail sales. (6) The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, with markets pricing in at least two more rate cuts before the end of 2025.

16:01:14

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Lead

Previous : -3950 Forecast : -

Published Value 2225

16:01:06

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Nickel

Previous : -600 Forecast : -

Published Value 1950

16:00:58

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Primary aluminum

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value -1500

16:00:50

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Copper

Previous : -1325 Forecast : -

Published Value -1675

16:00:43

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Zinc

Previous : -375 Forecast : -

Published Value -1175

16:00:42

The final reading of Italy's CPI year-on-year rate for August

Previous : 1.60% Forecast : 1.60%

Published Value 1.60%

16:00:39

The final reading of Italy's CPI monthly rate for August

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.10%

Published Value 0.10%

16:00:38

The final reading of Italy's harmonized CPI annual rate for August

Previous : 1.70% Forecast : 1.70%

Published Value 1.60%

16:00:33

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:29

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:28

The final reading of Italy's CPI year-on-year rate for August

Previous : 1.60% Forecast : 1.60%

Published Value 1.60%

16:00:26

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Tin

Previous : 25 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:24

The final reading of Italy's CPI monthly rate for August

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.10%

Published Value 0.10%

16:00:23

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on September 16th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:00:20

The final reading of Italy's harmonized CPI annual rate for August

Previous : 1.70% Forecast : 1.70%

Published Value 1.60%

16:00:15

The final reading of Italy's harmonized CPI monthly rate for August

Previous : -0.20% Forecast : -0.20%

Published Value -0.20%

15:58:26

Bank of Thailand Governor: Need to maintain monetary policy space

15:55:59

Governor of the Bank of Thailand: The current interest rate policy is suitable for the current economic situation, and there are downside risks to the economic growth outlook next year

15:55:42

German Chancellor Merz: We must complete the Mercosur trade agreement as soon as possible

15:54:32

Argentine President Reiterates Commitment to Fiscal Balance: Argentine President Mille delivered a televised address on the 2026 budget on the 15th local time, reiterating his commitment to achieving fiscal balance and refraining from revising economic policies. Mille stated that fiscal balance is a "non-negotiable" goal, and that achieving it would allow Argentina's economy to experience "unimaginable" growth, while failing to do so would risk a return to runaway inflation. The draft budget submitted to Congress that day projected GDP growth of 5% in 2026, with inflation projected at 10.1%.

15:54:03

[Analyst: A pullback in gold prices after this rally could be a buying opportunity] Philip Newman, managing director of Metals Focus, a consulting firm, said the company expects gold prices to climb to around $3,800 by the end of the year. "We may see a pullback in the future after this price increase, but we also believe this is a buying opportunity for investors who are waiting on the sidelines to enter the market. We may see gold prices break through $4,000 in 2026."

15:53:50

The euro has just broken through the 1.1800 mark against the US dollar and is currently trading at 1.1801, up 0.35% on the day.

15:53:29

Israeli military: Gaza City will be surrounded in the coming days

15:53:14

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Artificial intelligence is reshaping global technological competition

15:51:40

Israeli military official: We have launched the main phase of the ground operation in Gaza City

15:51:17

Goldman Sachs downgraded Transsion Holdings' rating from buy to neutral, with a target price of RMB 99.

15:50:32

German Chancellor Merz: The Minister of Digital Affairs will propose measures to cut red tape this autumn

15:49:56

Bank of Thailand Governor: Gold exports to Cambodia affect the Thai baht

15:49:39

German DAX Index Falls 0.3% as Market Await Fed Decision (Note: The following appears unrelated to the preceding text and may be an error.) ⑴ The Frankfurt DAX Index fell 0.3% to below 23,700 points on Tuesday as traders awaited the outcome of the Federal Reserve's upcoming two-day policy meeting. ⑵ The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points for the first time since 2025. ⑶ The market is focused on the upcoming release of Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index.

15:48:42

The Ukrainian military said it attacked the Saratov oil refinery in Russia overnight.

15:48:21

German Foreign Minister: Seeking to strengthen cooperation with the EU in security, economy, diplomacy and internal affairs, we will introduce incentives to encourage people to work more and reduce the use of medical and social services

15:43:49

[Indian analysts: Gold's long-term bull trend remains unchanged, but a short-term correction is possible] Renisha Chainani, head of research at Augmont, a Mumbai-based refiner, said on the sidelines of the India Gold Conference in New Delhi: "Gold's long-term bull market looks unchanged as demand continues to grow at a faster pace, especially from central banks and ETFs. But gold is currently in an overbought range and may see a 5-6% correction in the short term, followed by consolidation and rising again in 2026 to a new high above $4,200."

15:42:40

Bank of Thailand Governor: The strengthening of the Thai baht is mainly driven by the weakening of the US dollar

15:42:20

Governor of the Bank of Thailand: Gold transaction tax and other measures for gold trading have been discussed

15:41:08

Bank of Thailand Governor: Will support gold trading in US dollars

15:36:53

Bank of Thailand Governor: Gold trading drives Thai baht strength

15:36:45

[S&P: Both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada are expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week] S&P predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, bringing the rate to 4% to 4.25%, amid cooling employment data and persistently high inflation. It also expects another rate cut in the fourth quarter. The agency also expects the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.5%, and may cut interest rates at least once this year.

15:31:49

[UK Unemployment Rate Stable, Bank of England May Hold Interest Rates] 1. The UK unemployment rate remains stable, and wage growth has slowed slightly, which may prompt the Bank of England to maintain its key interest rate unchanged at this month's meeting. 2. The UK unemployment rate was 4.7% in the three months ending July, unchanged from the previous two months. The UK Office for National Statistics announced on Tuesday that the key wage indicator, excluding bonuses, rose by 4.8% year-on-year during the same period, down slightly from 5.0% in the previous period. The job market showed signs of cooling, with employment falling by 8,000 from July to August, following a drop of 6,000 in the previous month, and the unemployment rate rising from 4.1% in the same period last year. 3. Investors expect the Bank of England to maintain its key interest rate at 4% at its upcoming meeting on Thursday. Since August of last year, the Bank has adopted a "cautious and gradual" interest rate cut strategy, with a 0.25 percentage point cut last month. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that the timing and pace of future rate cuts remain uncertain. 4. Despite the slowdown in wage growth, inflationary pressures remain, with inflation expected to reach 4% in September, far exceeding the 2% target, primarily due to policies such as rising water prices and employer payroll taxes. Suren Thiru, head of economics at the Institute of Chartered Accountants, noted that the degree of labor market slack is insufficient to trigger a new round of easing policies, and the likelihood of an interest rate cut is low.

15:27:34

ASEAN Becomes Ningbo's Second-Largest Trading Partner: According to Ningbo Customs, from January to August this year, total import and export trade between Ningbo and ASEAN reached 139.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.6%. Imports reached 62.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and exports reached 76.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%. This marks the first time that ASEAN has become Ningbo's second-largest trading partner. Ningbo, with its port advantages and comprehensive automotive industry chain, is becoming the preferred gateway for ASEAN auto parts to enter the Chinese market. Furthermore, the well-developed manufacturing base in Ningbo and surrounding areas, particularly in textiles and electronics, complements the industries of ASEAN countries.

15:26:49

Gold soared above 3690 to hit a new record high! The Fed is about to cut interest rates, and gold bulls are still dominant Details>

15:25:29

[ECB Governing Council member Kazaks: There is no reason to cut interest rates at the moment] ECB Governing Council member Kazaks said that there is no need to cut interest rates at the moment. In an interview with TV24 on Tuesday, he said: "The current inflation rate is around 2%, and economic growth can be described as weak. There is no reason to cut interest rates at this stage." Before these remarks were made, the ECB kept borrowing costs unchanged for the second consecutive meeting last week. Most policymakers believed that there was no need for further interest rate cuts, but at the same time reserved the option to take action if necessary. Kazaks emphasized: "Given the high uncertainty in the global economic situation, especially geopolitics, and the various risks that still exist, the central bank is closely monitoring economic developments and will make the necessary decisions." He specifically pointed out that "if this uncertainty is taken into account, coupled with further economic weakness, or inflation begins to fall significantly below the target level of 2%, the ECB may also implement an interest rate cut."

15:21:00

Bank of Thailand Governor: Fiscal policy space is limited

15:20:33

[Institution: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut its policy rate by a cumulative 75 basis points in 2025] Kaspar Hense of RBC BlueBay Asset Management said that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by a cumulative 75 basis points this year. This expectation is largely consistent with the market view reflected in data from the London Stock Exchange Group. The senior fund manager said that a 25 basis point rate cut this week is "basically a done deal." He said: "We have also seen the most accommodative members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) hint at a 25 basis point rate cut." He also said that although there have been some signs of weakness in the labor market, overall growth is still not too weak. He said that the weakness in the labor market partly reflects the impact of restrictions on immigration.

15:19:15

Bank of Thailand Governor: Ratings could be downgraded if fiscal situation does not improve

15:18:59

Israel's ambassador to Geneva called on the Human Rights Council to urgently discuss the Qatar attack, calling it a "unilateral attack on Israel." (Asked if a diplomatic solution to the Gaza war is still possible) We are now moving forward with our actions

31

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3651.37	7.10 (0.19%)
XAG	42.087	0.294 (0.70%)
CONC	63.10	-0.16 (-0.25%)
OILC	67.36	-0.10 (-0.15%)
USD	97.468	0.112 (0.12%)
EURUSD	1.1772	-0.0013 (-0.11%)
GBPUSD	1.3504	-0.0051 (-0.37%)
USDCNH	7.1115	0.0049 (0.07%)

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