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2026-05-27 Wednesday

2026-05-30

00:14:15

[German 2-Year Bond Yield Rises Over 5 Basis Points] On Tuesday (May 26), in late European trading, the yield on the 10-year German government bond rose 3.3 basis points to 2.979%, trading within a range of 2.958%-2.986% during the day, exhibiting an overall N-shaped trend. The yield on the 2-year German bond rose 5.3 basis points to 2.589%, trading within a range of 2.554%-2.599% during the day; the yield on the 30-year German bond rose 1.5 basis points to 3.516%. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year German bond yields fell 1.978 basis points to 38.398 basis points.

00:12:37

[UK 2-Year Bond Yields Narrow Losses to Nearly 3 Basis Points] In late European trading on Tuesday (May 26), the yield on the 10-year UK gilt fell 0.19 basis points to 4.878%, gradually recovering after a gap-down opening following the long weekend, holding steady around 4.850% for most of the time. The yield on the 2-year gilt fell 3.1 basis points to 4.3%. The yield on the 30-year gilt was roughly unchanged, while the yield on the 50-year gilt rose 0.5 basis points. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year gilt yields widened by 1.243 basis points to +57.807 basis points.

00:11:40

Goldman Sachs: Amid tensions in Iran, dollar currencies are moving in unison.

00:11:17

[Former New York Fed President Dudley Warns of Potential Loss of Fed Credibility] Former New York Fed President William Dudley stated that the Federal Reserve's failure to achieve its 2% inflation target for many years is jeopardizing its credibility, and market inflation expectations may spiral out of control. He pointed out that persistently high inflation, rising long-term inflation expectations, and continued strong economic growth in a high-interest-rate environment mean that monetary policy tightening may be less aggressive than the market anticipates. Dudley also mentioned that structural factors such as investment in artificial intelligence and high levels of government debt could push up the neutral interest rate; furthermore, political pressure and leadership changes have exacerbated uncertainty.

00:10:34

[Israeli Military Crosses Border in Southern Lebanon, Escalating Tensions Ahead of US-Iran Agreement] Israeli media reported on the 26th that, in response to Hezbollah's continued drone attacks against Israel, the Israeli military has begun ground operations beyond the "yellow line" defined by the April 17 ceasefire agreement, penetrating deeper into Lebanese territory. The Jerusalem Post reported that the extent of this operation is currently unclear. The report quoted Israeli military officials as saying that controlling specific locations outside the "yellow line" could help weaken Hezbollah's drone threat. The report stated that the purpose of this operation is unclear, but it may aim to gradually expand control over Lebanese territory, pressure Hezbollah to reduce drone attacks or even accept partial disarmament, and demonstrate to the Israeli public that the government and military are responding to security threats with a tough stance. The report noted that this escalation of the Israeli-Lebanese situation comes at a time when there is widespread expectation that the US and Iran will reach an agreement. A US-Iran agreement may further require a more comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. (Xinhua)

00:09:33

[Pentagon and SpaceX Clash Over Starlink Price Hike] Sources indicate that SpaceX, Elon Musk's space exploration company, has increased the cost of Starlink connectivity for each drone fivefold, reaching $25,000 per month. Faced with this premium, the Pentagon was ultimately forced to agree to pay the higher price. The dispute has now spilled over to the pricing of Starlink's Direct-to-Cell service for civilians in Iran, intended to circumvent local internet censorship. However, the harsh reality is that no company currently offers a comparable alternative to Starlink, giving SpaceX a significant advantage over the US government.

2026-05-26 Tuesday

23:36:37

The German DAX 30 index closed down 0.69% at 25,213.45 points. The French stock index closed down 0.94%, the Italian stock index closed down 0.35% and the banking index closed down 0.44%, while the UK stock index closed up 0.43%.

23:35:09

The STOXX Europe 600 index closed down 0.40% at 629.11 points. The STOXX Eurozone 50 index closed down 0.99% at 6075.86 points. The FTSE Eurotop 300 index closed down 0.44% at 2508.43 points.

23:34:50

[Rubio: Iran Deal Negotiations Need More Time] US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that negotiations between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz will take several more days to complete due to disagreements over the wording of the draft agreement. He said the US insists the waterway remains fully open and free of charge, and warned President Trump that he would not accept a "bad deal."

23:34:01

The U.S. Treasury auctioned three-month Treasury notes, with a winning bid of 3.595% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.08. It also auctioned six-month Treasury notes, with a winning bid of 3.650% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.77.

23:32:11

The winning interest rate of the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 3.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.60%

23:32:11

The bid multiple for the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 3.17 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.08

23:32:10

The 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th - high allocation percentage

Previous : 12.47% Forecast : -

Published Value 25.60%

23:32:09

The total amount of the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 943.71 Forecast : -

Published Value 924.31

23:32:05

The US 6-month Treasury bond auction on May 26th - High allocation percentage

Previous : 37.69% Forecast : -

Published Value 37.55%

23:32:04

The winning rate of the 6-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 3.62% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.65%

23:32:04

The bid multiple for the 6-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 3.07 Forecast : -

Published Value 2.77

23:32:03

The total amount of the 6-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on May 26th

Previous : 816.47 Forecast : -

Published Value 799.68

23:30:57

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,600.00 mark, currently trading at 26,599.57, up 0.97% on the day.

23:30:06

Market news: As negotiations with Iran enter a crucial phase, US President Trump will convene a cabinet meeting at Camp David on Wednesday, a rare occurrence. Fox News confirmed that all cabinet members will attend, including outgoing Director of National Intelligence Tucie Gabbard. This meeting is being held against the backdrop of an increasingly unstable ceasefire situation and the US considering subsequent actions to reach a broader agreement with Iran.

23:29:31

[Iranian Media: Iran Fully Restores International Internet Connection] According to a report by the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) on the 26th, Iranian telecommunications companies have fully restored international internet connections. (Xinhua)

23:29:15

[Bank of Canada Warns of "Low Hiring, Low Layoffs" in Labor Market; Three Trends Indicate More Than a Short-Term Slowdown] Bank of Canada Deputy External Governor Nicolas Vincent stated that the Canadian labor market is undergoing structural changes—as evidenced by the "low hiring, low layoffs" environment—which will complicate monetary policy decisions. Speaking in Montreal on Tuesday, Vincent highlighted three trends in the job market that indicate the slowdown is not merely temporary: low turnover, rising long-term unemployment, and difficulty for young people to find employment. Vincent warned that during periods of structural change, the central bank's ability to help the economy is limited, and stimulating demand through interest rate cuts could fuel inflationary pressures. "Monetary policy can help the economy to some extent during periods of economic adjustment, but it cannot compensate for supply declines caused by factors such as trade frictions or an aging population," Vincent said.

23:27:58

Micron Joins the Trillion-Dollar Club as AI Race Fuels Memory Chip Boom] On Tuesday, Micron Technology's market capitalization surpassed the $1 trillion mark for the first time, experiencing a rapid surge and solidifying its position as one of the leading winners in the AI boom as the largest U.S. memory chip manufacturer. Micron's stock price rose as much as 18% to a record high of $886.6. This followed UBS's significant price target increase from $535 to $1,625, the highest among the 46 brokerages tracking the company. This milestone not only highlights the central role of memory chips in AI infrastructure but also reflects a broader shift in AI investment: after an initial rush to invest in graphics processor makers, investors are now looking for companies that can benefit from the massive spending plans of tech giants. Samsung Electronics, the world's largest memory chip manufacturer, has already surpassed the $1 trillion market capitalization, and SK Hynix is also approaching that level.

23:27:36

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1940.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1939.70/oz, down 1.33% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1949.5/oz, up 0.51% on the day.

23:22:13

Qualcomm and TikTok's parent company ByteDance have reached an AI chip cooperation agreement. On May 26th, Eastern Time, it was reported that Qualcomm and TikTok's parent company ByteDance have reached an AI chip cooperation agreement. ByteDance plans to purchase millions of Qualcomm's application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) chips to support the operation of the social media company's AI agent software. Following the announcement, Qualcomm's stock price surged, currently up over 6%. This cooperation represents a significant breakthrough for Qualcomm, as the company seeks to expand from smartphone processors into the AI infrastructure sector. Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon previously stated that the company had begun connecting with potential customers for these chips. In the earnings call following last month's report, Amon stated that the company had been in contact with several companies, but did not disclose specific partners. This statement immediately boosted Qualcomm's stock price. The cooperation between Qualcomm and ByteDance is significant: ByteDance is a large-scale customer and it will help Qualcomm enter one of the fastest-growing areas of the semiconductor industry. Currently, Qualcomm relies on partners such as TSMC for chip production. As long as the computing power parameters of Qualcomm chips meet relevant regulatory requirements, its foundry partners will not violate current U.S. restrictions on the supply and production of AI chips to Chinese companies such as ByteDance. The report also states that this collaboration will help ByteDance implement its completed self-developed chip design and create a mass-producible chip product.

23:19:46

[Having tasted the benefits of regulatory easing, Wall Street banks continue to pressure the Federal Reserve] According to four sources familiar with the matter, major Wall Street banks are exerting pressure on the Federal Reserve to solidify its newly enacted regulatory system, ensuring these changes are less likely to be overturned by a potential future Democratic administration. As regulatory officials under Republican President Trump embark on the largest banking regulatory reform since the 2008 financial crisis, they are significantly restricting the use of Matters of Concern (MRAs). MRAs have long been a primary tool used by bank regulators to compel lending institutions to rectify weaknesses in risk management and internal controls. The sources revealed that these institutions are urging the Federal Reserve to formally eliminate legal ambiguities surrounding MRA alternatives, thereby providing banks with a solid long-term legal foundation; the Federal Reserve also plans to provide clearer guidance in this regard. This news indicates that major Wall Street banks have begun to proactively strengthen their defenses against current regulatory changes.

23:18:05

Wall Street stocks opened higher on Tuesday, boosted by expectations of a US-Iran agreement on the Strait of Hormuz. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.33%, as investors continued to await a potential agreement between the US and Iran on the Middle East conflict. Ten minutes after the New York Stock Exchange opened, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 166 points to 50,746; the S&P 500 was up 0.56% to 7,515; and the tech-heavy Nasdaq was up 0.76% to 26,544. The New York Stock Exchange is still closely monitoring peace talks between the US and Iran, hoping for an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, even after mutual attacks in the region. The US sank two Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) vessels, claiming they were attempting to mine mines in the strait. The US stated its action was defensive and that it would continue to respect the ceasefire agreement. The IRGC announced on Tuesday that it would retaliate for "violations of the current ceasefire agreement" after detecting and attacking US drones and F-35 fighter jets that entered its airspace.

23:15:24

[Israeli Military Crosses Lebanon-Israel Ceasefire Line, Exploration Uncertain] Israeli media reported on the 26th that, in response to Hezbollah's continued drone attacks against Israel, the Israeli military has begun ground operations beyond the "yellow line" established by the April 17 ceasefire agreement, penetrating deeper into Lebanese territory. The Jerusalem Post reported that the extent of this operation remains unclear. (Xinhua)

23:14:57

According to Israel's I24 news channel, a US official denied reports that the US had restarted escort operations for ships in the Strait of Hormuz and "Operation Freedom of Navigation."

23:06:11

[Society of France: Eurozone Green Bond Issuance Rises as Investor Demand Grows] Societe Generale analyst Juan Valencia stated in a report that after a brief dip in March following the initial outbreak of the US-Iran conflict, new eurozone green bond issuance has increased significantly. He noted that the supply of eurozone green bonds rose in April and continued to increase in May, supported by strong investor demand for these assets. "Since mid-April, green bond issuance has almost doubled, from €42 billion ($48.9 billion) to €72.65 billion."

23:02:58

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,510.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,509.07/ounce, down 1.35% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,510.70/ounce, down 0.28% on the day.

23:00:55

[Night Trading Futures Closing] Coking coal fell 2.00% for the second consecutive day, fuel oil rose 1.61% for the second consecutive day, low-sulfur fuel oil rose 1.56% for the second consecutive day, coking coal fell 1.48% for the second consecutive day, and asphalt rose 1.23% for the second consecutive day.

23:00:37

The Wall Street Journal reported on the 26th, citing US military officers, that the US Navy "has resumed assisting ships" through the Strait of Hormuz. (Xinhua)

23:00:06

[Euro Could Fall Against Dollar If Fed Warns of Possible Rate Hike] ING analyst Chris Turner stated in a report that the euro could fall towards $1.1500 if the Federal Reserve warns of a possible rate hike, especially as weak economic data prompts markets to lower their expectations for a rate hike in the Eurozone. Turner said ING estimates the euro's fair value against the dollar at $1.16-$1.17, but interest rate differentials could put pressure on it. "There's no strong reason to support a fall below $1.1500 for the euro. However, if more members of the Federal Open Market Committee speculate on a rate hike, and as European data continues to disappoint, that could be the future direction." The euro was last down 0.14% at $1.1625.

22:56:27

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,500.00 mark, currently trading at 50,499.05, down 0.16% on the day.

22:56:13

U.S. soybean export inspection for the week ending May 18 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 48.39 Forecast : -

Published Value 57.16

22:56:13

U.S. wheat export inspection for the week ending May 18 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 22.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 36.85

22:56:12

U.S. corn export inspection for the week ending May 18 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 137.88 Forecast : -

Published Value 158.17

22:54:44

[Iranian President: Iran Desires to Strengthen Brotherly Ties with All Arab Countries] On May 26 local time, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi spoke with Iranian President Sergei Pezechzian. Sisi stated that Egypt fully supports the ongoing negotiation process and briefed President Pezechzian on Egypt's efforts to promote negotiations and reach a final comprehensive agreement. Sisi emphasized the importance of maintaining flexibility, avoiding miscalculations, and giving the diplomatic process ample opportunity. He reiterated Egypt's firm stance based on upholding the principles of international law, particularly respect for national sovereignty, good neighborliness, and the peaceful resolution of disputes. Pezechzian expressed appreciation for the efforts made by Egypt and other regional parties to bridge the differences between Iran and the United States. He stressed that Iran desires to strengthen its brotherly ties with all Arab countries, especially members of the Gulf Cooperation Council. (CCTV News)

22:54:28

Market news: ChemEurope's new sulfuric acid plant in Kazakhstan has officially started production.

22:53:43

[Industry Insiders: Huawei's "Tao Law" Offers Major Investment Opportunities and New Opportunities for the Chip Industry Chain] Yesterday, at the Shanghai International Circuits and Systems Symposium, He Tingbo, Director of Huawei and President of its Semiconductor Business Unit, released "Tao Law," attracting significant attention from the industry and market. Analysts from securities research institutes explained that with the development of the chip industry in recent years, traditional wafer manufacturing has increasingly approached its limits in pursuing higher precision advanced processes at the two-dimensional level, making technological breakthroughs more difficult and leading to the emergence of various advanced packaging technologies. Huawei's "Tao Law" provides new paths for the industry from multiple perspectives. Industry insiders analyze that the biggest breakthrough of "Tao Law" at this stage is mainly reflected in circuit layer design. If the corresponding chips are successfully mass-produced in the second half of this year, the wafer foundry segment is expected to benefit. In the future, EDA design tools at the software level, as well as upstream equipment and materials, will need to keep pace. US media even predicts that if "Tao Law" can be widely applied, it will have a profound impact on the global chip ecosystem. (CCTV Finance)

22:52:32

White House documents: Trump raises refugee acceptance cap by 10,000 to accept more white South Africans.

22:50:10

The Nasdaq 100 index extended its gains to 1.5%.

22:43:58

The Dallas Fed's Manufacturing Raw Materials Payment Price Index for May in the United States

Previous : 37 Forecast : -

Published Value 42.70

22:43:58

The Dallas Fed's manufacturing Loading index for May in the United States

Previous : 15 Forecast : -

Published Value 7.40

22:43:57

The Dallas Fed's manufactured goods Price Index for May in the United States

Previous : 27.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 18.90

22:43:56

The Dallas Fed's manufacturing Employment Index for May in the United States

Previous : -0.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20

22:43:52

The new orders index of the Dallas Fed in the United States for May

Previous : 9.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 6.40

22:39:59

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for May was 0.4, compared to a forecast of 0.0 and a previous reading of -2.3.

22:31:58

[US Consumer Confidence Weakens Amid Inflation Concerns] US consumer confidence dipped slightly in May, as consumer sentiment regarding the current economic situation declined due to rising prices triggered by the Iran war. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index fell 0.7 points to 93.1 in May. The measure of current conditions declined 3.2 points to 121.2 in May, while the measure of expectations for the next six months rose to 74.4. The report further confirms growing anxiety among US consumers about the high cost of living. While the labor market remains generally stable and there are few signs of large-scale layoffs, the recent surge in fuel prices is particularly challenging for low-income families.

22:31:21

The Dallas Fed's Manufacturing Activity Index for May in the United States

Previous : -2.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.40

22:31:14

Micron Technology surged over 15%, AppLovin rose 9.3%, Western Digital climbed 8.8%, and SanDisk gained 7.2%, leading the Nasdaq 100 index components, which are currently up over 1.6%; the semiconductor index is up over 4.9%.

22:30:46

[Iranian Parliament Speaker Returns Home After Visit to Qatar] According to a report by the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRNA) on the 26th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf returned to Iran on the 26th after concluding his visit to Qatar. The report stated that Ghalibaf led a delegation to Qatar to discuss the progress of Iran-US negotiations and the regional situation with Qatari officials. (Xinhua)

22:29:57

[Large-Scale Retirement Cycle of Power Batteries Approaching; New Regulations for Power Battery Recycling Introduced] With the increasing number of new energy vehicles in my country, power batteries are entering a large-scale retirement cycle. On April 1st of this year, the "Interim Measures for the Management of Recycling and Comprehensive Utilization of Waste Power Batteries from New Energy Vehicles" officially came into effect. Previously, small workshops intercepted batteries at high prices and illegally dismantled and resold them, resulting in legitimate recycling companies having the qualifications but no vehicles to collect them. The new regulations require "vehicle-battery integration" for scrapping, implementing a unified 24-digit "national standard code," giving each battery a unique "identity card." Whitelisted companies report a steady increase in recycling volume. Waste batteries are both a "hot potato" of environmental risk and a "city mine" of resources. Only by implementing the new regulations effectively and ensuring compliant operation at every stage can the "city mine" dividend be released, safeguarding the steady and long-term development of the new energy industry. (CCTV Finance)

22:28:23

Market sources indicate that Türkiye will continue to provide support during the negotiations.

22:28:02

According to a U.S. court order, the trial of the former FBI director accused of threatening Trump has been postponed to October 21.

22:23:52

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Baltic states currently face security challenges such as drone intrusions, cyber threats, and disinformation, and these problems may spread to other parts of Europe in the future. Europe urgently needs to enhance its defense capabilities, emergency preparedness, and interoperability to address the current situation.

22:22:44

[Inbound Tourism Consumption Shows Strong Vitality, Turning Inbound Traffic into Increased Consumption] "Arriving empty-handed and leaving fully loaded" has become the norm for inbound tourists visiting China. Since the national tax refund policy for departing tourists was introduced last year, Shanghai has released a three-year action plan, proposing multiple measures such as expanding service outlets, increasing product categories, promoting convenience, and optimizing the environment to create a benchmark city for tax refunds. Over the past year, Shanghai's inbound consumption market has continued to heat up. Data shows that from May last year to April this year, the number of "instant tax refund" applications issued in Shanghai increased by 14.7 times year-on-year, and the sales volume of "instant tax refund" increased by 9.7 times year-on-year, with more than 1,200 new tax refund stores added. With the implementation of convenient policies such as "instant tax refund," more and more overseas tourists have started a "buy, buy, buy" spree in Shenzhen. At a drone sales store in Huaqiangbei, Shenzhen, even on weekdays, the store is still crowded, with many overseas tourists among them. Reporters observed that after overseas tourists place orders, sales staff provide "one-stop" service to help them quickly complete the tax refund procedures. Store sales staff stated that in the first four months of this year, store sales increased by 40% compared to the same period last year. Data shows that from January to April this year, sales of goods eligible for tax refunds for departing tourists in Shenzhen surged by 145% year-on-year, while sales and tax refunds for "instant refund" goods increased by 1.11 times year-on-year. (CCTV Finance)

22:20:36

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,700.00 mark, currently trading at 26,701.74, up 1.36% on the day.

22:20:13

[UK Announces New Round of Sanctions Against Russia] On May 26, local time, the British government announced a new round of sanctions targeting the Russian financial system. This round of sanctions covers 18 entities. The UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Department issued a statement that day stating the new sanctions would take effect immediately. The British government stated that since the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the UK has cumulatively sanctioned more than 3,300 Russian-related individuals, companies, and vessels. Russia has not yet responded. (CCTV News)

22:13:04

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,510.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,509.87/ounce, down 1.33% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,511.00/ounce, down 0.27% on the day.

22:12:25

[The War Against Iran: America's Biggest Foreign Policy Failure] In a podcast broadcast on May 25, renowned American international relations scholar and University of Chicago political science professor John Mearsheimer stated that a year or two ago, the Council on Foreign Relations assessed the 2003 Iraq War as the biggest foreign policy mistake in American history—but he believes that the US-Israel attack on Iran on February 28 this year was far worse, making it the biggest foreign policy failure in American history. Mearsheimer said that even Robert Kagan, a historian known for advocating for active US intervention in international affairs and maintaining global hegemony and a strong advocate for the Iraq War, considers the US-Israel war against Iran a disastrous mistake. This decision will be recorded in history as a huge strategic blunder. (CCTV International News)

22:05:02

[Machine Traffic on the Internet Surpasses Human Traffic, Intelligent Agents Become the Main Users] Data shows that the Chinese intelligent agent market is projected to grow from 80.4 billion yuan to 696.8 billion yuan between 2025 and 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 54%. Currently, intelligent agents are gradually becoming the main way for artificial intelligence to form real productivity. However, while the industry is accelerating, problems such as inconsistent technical architectures and incompatible interaction protocols are becoming increasingly prominent. Experts say that facing this emerging industry, there is an urgent need to accelerate standardization efforts and break down technical barriers. Experts point out that as intelligent agents become the main users of the internet, the internet itself is also moving from a "network for information exchange" to a "network for capability collaboration." The director of the Artificial Intelligence Research Institute of the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology said: "In 2025, the proportion of automated traffic from machines on the internet will exceed 53%, surpassing human internet traffic. Among them, traffic from intelligent agents has increased 78 times in the past year. Intelligent agents will definitely become the main users of the internet in the future." (CCTV Finance)

22:04:18

According to TASS: Russia and Kazakhstan will discuss increasing oil transportation capacity.

22:03:47

[Trump Makes Rare Visit to Camp David on Wednesday for Cabinet Meeting; Iran Expected to Dominate] ⑴ According to media reports, as peace talks with Iran approach a critical juncture, US President Trump will make a rare visit to Camp David on Wednesday to hold a cabinet meeting. All cabinet members are expected to attend the meeting at the presidential retreat in rural Maryland. ⑵ The meeting location may be changed due to inclement weather. A White House official revealed that officials will discuss recent government achievements, including economic development and small business performance, key highlights of the anti-fraud task force, and the latest developments in foreign policy. ⑶ Given the US airstrikes on targets in southern Iran and the subsequent threats from Iran's Supreme Leader against US military bases in the Middle East, the Iran issue is highly likely to be the dominant topic of discussion at the meeting.

22:01:25

[Livestock Trading Booms Ahead of Eid, Pakistani Buyers Complain of High Prices; Goat Priced at 400,000 Rupees] ⑴ Livestock markets across Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province are experiencing a trading boom ahead of Eid al-Fitr. Several markets in Peshawar are bustling with activity, with the Ring Road market packed all day. Buyers say they have to pay a market fee of 2,000 rupees per animal. ⑵ The Karamandi market near GT Road, Peshawar's largest livestock market, is exceptionally active, attracting traders from across the province, including Chitral. The market has designated areas for buffalo, cattle, bulls, and dairy cows. A railway track running through the market causes inconvenience, with buyers saying they have to pay 1,500 rupees per transaction. ⑶ Despite the active trading, many buyers complain about rising prices. A government employee said he postponed his purchase hoping prices would drop closer to the festival, but this did not materialize. Livestock traders say a large number of animals were sold on Sunday, and festival purchasing is accelerating. (4) Buyers in the Malakand district favored local breeds this year, including Achai cattle and Azihli buffalo, as lower transportation costs made prices relatively affordable. (5) In contrast to the robust activity in Peshawar, trading at the Charsada livestock market was slow. Vendors attributed the weakness to declining purchasing power and high inflation, with fewer customers than in previous years and many facing financial difficulties. (6) Local prices showed buffalo selling for 400,000 to 600,000 rupees, cattle for 300,000 to 400,000 rupees, goats for 50,000 to 100,000 rupees, and sheep for 100,000 to 200,000 rupees. A goat priced at 400,000 rupees attracted attention but no one bought it.

22:01:01

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,600.00 mark, currently trading at 50,597.18, up 0.03% on the day.

22:00:57

The Conference Board's Consumer Expectations Index for the United States in May

Previous : 72.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 74.40

22:00:54

The Consultative Conference Consumer Status Index for the United States in May

Previous : 123.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 121.20

22:00:02

The Conference Board's Consumer confidence index for the United States in May

Previous : 92.80 Forecast : 92

美元

金银石油

Published Value 93.10

21:59:32

[UK Two-Year Bond Yields Fall as Market Expectations for 2026 Rate Hikes Reduced from Two to One] ⑴ UK two-year bond yields fell as the market lowered its expectations for a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, following data from the labor market, inflation, and retail sales all indicating weak economic activity, reducing the risk of a surge in inflation. ⑵ Investment analysts noted in a report that macroeconomic data suggests the Bank of England may not need to take a hawkish stance on interest rates as the market currently expects. ⑶ Institutional data shows that the UK money market is currently pricing in only one 25-basis-point rate hike in 2026, compared to recently pricing in two hikes. ⑷ Trading platform data shows that the two-year UK bond yield earlier touched a five-week low of 4.247%, and has recently fallen 5.5 basis points to 4.270%.

21:58:14

Brent crude oil quickly broke through the $100 mark and is currently up 4.19%.

21:57:36

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: A hybrid threat response agreement should be developed.

21:57:26

[Prime Minister Says Portugal Must Reform Labor Laws to Unleash Growth, Target Raised from 2% to 4%] ⑴ The Portuguese Prime Minister stated on Tuesday that labor laws must be relaxed to enhance competitiveness and attract more investment, hoping to push for comprehensive labor reforms to be approved by parliament in the coming weeks, despite opposition from unions to key measures. ⑵ Reforms include easing outsourcing restrictions and introducing time banking arrangements to cope with peak demand, allowing employees to accumulate working hours and receive paid leave or wage premiums as compensation. Portugal ranks 38th out of 39 OECD countries in terms of labor law rigidity. ⑶ The Prime Minister stated that he does not want to deprive workers of their rights, but Portugal possesses all the conditions to become a benchmark for stability and attracting more investment during the current period of external instability. Relaxing labor laws could accelerate investment and boost annual economic growth from the recent 1.5% to 2% to 3.5% to 4%. ⑷ Foreign direct investment in Portugal is projected to decline by 34% to €8.5 billion by 2025, mainly due to a €1.2 billion reduction in intra-group debt between resident subsidiaries and non-resident parent companies. However, export-oriented investment promotion agencies received a record €3.5 billion in investment last year, eight times that of 2024. (5) The Prime Minister said the government could fine-tune the proposal, but a competitive economy cannot restrict outsourcing or abandon time banking arrangements.

21:56:19

According to the New York Post: US President Trump and his cabinet will discuss economic and foreign policy updates on Wednesday.

21:56:11

[Argentina Lowers Grain Export Tax, US-Iran Peace Progress Becomes Focus, Speculative Long Positions Face Test] ⑴ The agricultural market environment in the coming week will be determined by news regarding the progress of US-Iran peace negotiations. Investors will also focus on the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Index released on Thursday, which will provide guidance for the interest rate outlook. ⑵ Argentina announced a gradual reduction in grain export taxes, welcomed by industry organizations who believe it will boost exports. This put downward pressure on grain prices, with Chicago wheat, corn, and soybean futures all falling during Tuesday's European session. ⑶ The continued strength of the US dollar has hampered agricultural price gains. Any reopening of the Strait of Hormuz would alleviate inflation concerns and potentially lower US Treasury yields, typically a positive signal for agricultural products. ⑷ Speculative traders sold off a range of agricultural products last week, but analysts at Peak Trading Research point out that speculators are still betting on agricultural products to outperform the broader market. Bullish positions built on rising Brent crude and optimism surrounding the US-China trade agreement appear increasingly unstable. (5) Cocoa prices rebounded to above $4,000 per ton, with traders continuing to cover short positions, despite Ivory Coast raising its production forecasts, potentially enough to push prices higher; coffee prices rose despite Brazil raising its production estimates to record levels; and New York sugar prices fell to 14.57 cents per pound.

21:55:53

Trump will hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David on Wednesday.

21:54:09

[Citigroup: Market Overreacts to Fed Rate Hike Expectations; Rate Cut Remains the Most Likely Next Step] ⑴ US Treasury yields fell due to hopes for a resumption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, but investors currently reflect a higher probability of a Fed rate hike this year than a rate cut. Citigroup analysts believe this expectation is misrepresented. ⑵ Citigroup states that the risk balance is tilted to the other side, and the market may re-reflect expectations of a rate cut in the coming weeks or months. Lower energy costs will allow the Fed to refocus on a stable unemployment rate and above-target inflation, suggesting that interest rates should be maintained at current levels. ⑶ However, these analysts point out that the fundamental risk balance is tilted towards a weak labor market and slowing inflation, making a rate cut the most likely next step.

21:53:31

[APEC Trade Ministers' Meeting Issues Suzhou Statement, Achieving Fruitful Results] From May 22-23, the Ministry of Commerce hosted the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Trade Ministers' Meeting in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province. Participants engaged in in-depth discussions on promoting regional economic integration and the construction of the Asia-Pacific Free Trade Area, supporting the World Trade Organization, strengthening digital cooperation, and developing a green economy. The meeting issued the "Joint Statement of the 2026 APEC Trade Ministers' Meeting in Suzhou," also known as the "Suzhou Statement," and reached an agreement on the "APEC Roadmap for Innovative, Competitive, and Resilient Services," achieving fruitful results. (Ministry of Commerce)

21:53:07

[USDA Weekly Export Inspections Report to be Released Soon; Market Forecast Ranges Released] ⑴ The USDA plans to release its weekly grain and oilseed export inspections report at 10 p.m. on Tuesday. Industry analysts have provided market forecast ranges for each product. ⑵ Wheat export inspections are forecasted at 300,000 to 500,000 tons, compared to 223,972 tons the previous week. ⑶ Corn export inspections are forecasted at 1.1 million to 1.7 million tons, compared to 1.37877 million tons the previous week. ⑷ Soybean export inspections are forecasted at 350,000 to 550,000 tons, compared to 483,881 tons the previous week.

21:53:07

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $94.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $94.04/barrel, down 2.65% on the day.

21:52:08

[Hungary Keeps Benchmark Interest Rate Unchanged at 6.25%, Inflation Outlook Improves Significantly but Energy Risks Remain] ⑴ The Hungarian central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.25% on Tuesday, in line with market expectations. Previously, rising global energy prices and domestic fiscal risks had kept the central bank cautious, but the deflationary effect of a stronger forint improved the inflation outlook. ⑵ The central bank implemented its first 25 basis point rate cut since the end of 2024 in February, when the year-to-date price increase slowed to 2.1%, below the policy target of 3%. However, the Middle East war and global market volatility subsequently made the central bank more cautious. ⑶ The central bank's monetary policy committee stated that the inflation outlook has improved significantly, but the uncertain global economic environment requires a cautious approach to monetary policy. All factors affecting the inflation path will be fully assessed in the June inflation report. ⑷ The governor stated that two scenarios were discussed at Tuesday's meeting but did not elaborate on the second option. Analysts pointed out that while many emerging market central banks are considering raising interest rates or remaining on hold, the Hungarian context is indeed more favorable for monetary easing. (5) The analyst expects the window for interest rate cuts to open unless energy prices surge again, and anticipates two 25-basis-point cuts this year to bring the benchmark interest rate down to 5.75%. (6) The new government has put the adoption of the euro and the unfreezing of EU funds on the agenda, boosting investor sentiment in Hungarian assets, but it also faces the budget deficit problem left by its predecessor, which may approach 7% of economic output for the whole year.

21:51:07

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,520.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,519.84/ounce, down 1.11% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,520.90/ounce, down 0.05% on the day.

21:50:47

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just broke through the $100.00/barrel mark, last trading at $100.04/barrel, up 4.00% on the day.

21:49:15

[Senior Iranian Lawmaker: Potential Straits of Hormuz Deal Would Be a "Pure Loss" Without Clear Compensation] ⑴ A senior Iranian lawmaker, a member of Iran's negotiating team with the US, said on Tuesday that a potential deal involving the Strait of Hormuz would be contrary to Iran's national interests. ⑵ The lawmaker posted on social media that accepting any agreement that merely exchanges the reopening of the strait for the lifting of the blockade without guaranteeing Iran's sovereignty or transit fees, lacks clear compensation, and is ambiguous regarding the lifting of sanctions would be a pure loss. ⑶ He added that if the potential agreement also stipulates that Iran's peaceful nuclear use in areas such as power generation and radiopharmaceutical production must be approved by the US, it would be contrary to national interests and violate the conditions set by Iran's leadership and the Supreme National Security Council.

21:47:35

[Texas Rains Ease Drought, Cotton Hits Six-Week Low; Weaker Dollar and Strong Crude Oil Limit Losses] ⑴ Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) cotton futures hit a six-week low on Tuesday as rains in key Texas growing regions eased drought concerns, but a weaker dollar and higher international oil prices limited further declines. ⑵ The July cotton contract touched its lowest level since mid-April during the session before recovering to a 0.6% gain at 77.92 cents per pound. A brokerage president stated that drought damage had been significantly mitigated, with ample rainfall over the past two weeks. ⑶ Chicago wheat futures fell for the fourth consecutive day as rains in the U.S. growing belt eased drought conditions, while traders prepared for the new season's supply in the Northern Hemisphere. ⑷ Another reason for the limited decline in the cotton market was the 0.2% drop in the dollar index, making dollar-denominated U.S. cotton cheaper for buyers holding other currencies; Brent crude oil rose more than 2%, increasing the production cost of petroleum-based alternatives like polyester. (5) The USDA's export sales report last week showed that net sales of highland cotton for the 2025/2026 marketing year were 131,800 bales, a significant increase from the previous week and 16% higher than the four-week average. (6) Data last week showed that ICE cotton speculators' net long positions decreased by 10,011 contracts to 69,314 contracts.

21:45:56

The butterfly effect is emerging: An analysis of the new round of risk transmission chains in the global economy. Details>

21:45:45

The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.00% on the day, closing at 26,608.49.

21:44:48

[Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Survey: Business Activity Rises Slightly to -3.8, But Regional Activity Plunges to -23.6] ⑴ The Philadelphia Fed's non-manufacturing survey released Tuesday showed that the business activity index rose slightly to -3.8 in May from -4.5, but the regional activity index plummeted to -23.6 from -16.5, with approximately 35.2% of surveyed businesses reporting a decline in regional business activity. ⑵ The new orders index improved significantly from -16.9 to -0.8, nearing neutral levels. The proportion of businesses seeing increases and decreases in new orders was almost equal, potentially indicating a period of stability after the surge in new orders driven by the Iran war. ⑶ As new orders stabilized, the sales and revenue indices fell to -7.6 from +2.5 in April. Employment indicators remained neutral, with manufacturing companies showing a greater preference for hiring part-time and contract workers rather than full-time employees. (4) The price paid index fell to 36.5 in May from 43.9, but 42.1% of surveyed businesses still saw an increase in input costs. The price received index began to rise, which may indicate that input cost inflation is gradually being passed on to sales prices. (5) The expectations index shows that businesses expect their own business level to improve to +14.4, but expect the regional level to deteriorate to -9.6.

21:44:04

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,530.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,530.01/ounce, down 0.89% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,529.90/ounce, up 0.15% on the day.

21:42:20

[Economic Confidence Index Plummets to -45, Lowest Level Since October 2022; 10% of Americans Frequently Use Installment Payments] ⑴ The Gallup Economic Confidence Index declined again in May, falling from -38 in April to -45, its lowest point since October 2022, reflecting a continued rise in pessimism among Americans regarding the economy. ⑵ However, the index remains higher than the low of -58 reached in June 2022, a time of similar high inflation and soaring gasoline prices. ⑶ Another Gallup survey shows that approximately 10% of Americans frequently use installment payments for online shopping, while another 17% use them occasionally, totaling 51% of respondents who have used installment payment options. ⑷ Households with incomes below $48,000 are more likely to use installment payments, with 37% reporting frequent or occasional use, compared to 29% for middle-income groups and 21% for higher-income groups. There were no significant statistical differences in age, education level, or gender. (5) The survey was based on interviews with 1,024 American adults Gallup members from April 1 to 15. Gallup did not ask about the specific categories of purchases or the amount of spending for which installment payments applied.

21:41:34

[US-Iran tensions weigh on oil prices; US Treasuries trade sideways; month-end buying and supply pressures offset each other] ⑴ US Treasuries traded sideways on Tuesday, remaining near their intraday highs. Overnight short covering dominated the price action. The potential for a defensive US strike on Iran could accelerate a peace agreement and reopen the Straits of Hormuz, providing a backdrop for stabilizing oil prices. ⑵ Commodity trading advisors sold at the opening of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, after which fund flows quickly diverged. Some speculative and real money buying was related to catch-up demand following Monday's market closure. Real money buying persisted, with banks' proprietary trading desks also buying across the board. However, hedge funds sold during the rise due to doubts about the short-term likelihood of a peace agreement. ⑶ Traders sold on rallies to prepare for the month-end coupon auction this week. The $69 billion 2-year Treasury auction that began on Tuesday partially curbed the overnight overheated buying at the front end of the yield curve, keeping the yield curve moving sideways. The 10-year Treasury yield remained anchored at 5.00% in both directions of fund flows. (4) Subsequent data releases were generally positive, but the data only reflects two-way capital flows. Month-end position adjustments are another focus, attracting index-linked buyers. (5) According to the widely tracked Bloomberg month-end portfolio index, Treasury bond duration extended to 0.10 years, down from 0.11 years in June last year, but above the 12-month average of 0.08 years.

21:40:15

[US Home Prices Fall 0.2% in March, Sellers' Pricing Power Limited, Weakest Growth in 14 Years Emerges] ⑴ The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index, released Tuesday, fell 0.2% month-over-month in March, weaker than the market expectation of a 0.1% increase. The FHFA Home Price Index rose 0.1% month-over-month during the same period. ⑵ The Case-Shiller index's year-over-year increase fell from 0.9% to 0.8%, below the expected 1.0%, the lowest level since July 2023; the FHFA year-over-year increase fell from 1.8% to 1.7%, the weakest performance in 14 years. ⑶ Of the 20 cities surveyed by Case-Shiller, 15 saw seasonally adjusted month-over-month home price declines, while only 4 saw increases. The cities with the largest declines included Seattle, Tampa, Los Angeles, San Diego, Portland, and Dallas, while the cities with the largest increases were Chicago, Boston, Miami, and New York. ⑷ With mortgage rates rising slightly, sellers' pricing power has not shown significant improvement, but this could change if inventory increases continue to fall below seasonal norms. (5) FHFA data shows that five of the nine census districts saw a month-on-month decline in house prices, with the strongest increase occurring in the mountainous areas and the eastern, central and northern areas, and the weakest decline occurring in the western, central and southern areas.

21:38:15

According to the Wall Street Journal, Iranian lawmakers stated that a potential agreement on the Strait of Hormuz would be a "pure loss" for Iran.

21:35:24

[US-Iran Military Strikes and Retaliation Threats Regain Upward Momentum in Oil Prices, Further Delaying Peace Prospects] ⑴ Following the US strikes on Iranian ships and missile launchers, crude oil futures are recovering from yesterday's plunge, despite ongoing negotiations, as Iran has issued threats of retaliation. ⑵ Spartan Capital analysts noted in a research report that oil prices are regaining upward momentum. Although some ships continue to transit the Strait of Hormuz to transport millions of barrels of crude oil to their destinations, the ongoing war of words surrounding a potential peace agreement is further delaying the prospect of a swift resolution to the war.

21:34:06

[Bauxite Prices Nearly Halved; Guinea, World's Largest Producer, Plans Export Controls in June] ⑴ Bauxite prices, a key raw material for aluminum production, have recently fallen. Guinea, the world's largest bauxite producer, plans to introduce reform measures next month to control exports in an effort to boost prices. ⑵ Guinea's bauxite production accounts for more than one-third of global output. In 2025, the country's exports are projected to increase by approximately 25% year-on-year to 183 million tons, with export growth accelerating further in the first quarter of this year. ⑶ Guinea's Minister of Mines and Geology stated that the surge in supply has led to lower market prices, with bauxite prices nearly halved from their peak at the beginning of last year. He hopes to push prices back to a reasonable range by controlling exports, with specific control measures expected to be introduced in June.

21:33:24

[AI Boom and Inflation Concerns Coexist, Global Markets Face Dilemma, Many Central Banks Turn Hawkish] ⑴ Analysts at BNY Mellon noted in a research report on Tuesday that global markets remain in a dilemma: on the one hand, they remain optimistic driven by the AI concept stock boom; on the other hand, they face significant concerns about inflation, volatile oil prices, and the prospect of prolonged high interest rates. ⑵ The head of macro strategy at the institution stated that the bond and foreign exchange markets are reacting sharply to the shift in the tone of central bank rhetoric, with central banks increasingly striving to balance the inflation risks caused by rising energy prices with the trend of slowing global economic growth. ⑶ Among them, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are showing a more hawkish tendency, meaning they are more inclined to take measures to raise interest rates.

21:32:16

[US Stock Market Opening] ⑴ US stocks opened on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.25%, the S&P 500 rose 0.60%, and the Nasdaq Composite was flat. ⑵ Micron Technology rose 10.27%, Micron Technology rose 9.92%, AppLovin rose 8.29%, AutoZone fell 4.97%, Atlassian fell 2.79%, and Caijie fell 2.28%. ⑶ Among the "Seven Sisters" stocks: Tesla rose 1.42%, Amazon rose 0.70%, Apple rose 0.40%, Google rose 0.34%, Nvidia rose 0.17%, Meta Platforms fell 0.02%, and Microsoft fell 0.95%.

21:32:11

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,600.00 mark, currently trading at 26,601.13, up 0.98% on the day.

21:31:26

Hungarian central bank governor: The forint exchange rate has risen since March.

31

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4539.78	44.19 (0.98%)
XAG	75.274	-0.343 (-0.45%)
CONC	87.76	-1.14 (-1.28%)
OILC	91.59	-0.81 (-0.88%)
USD	98.932	-0.077 (-0.08%)
EURUSD	1.1660	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3456	0.0001 (0.01%)
USDCNH	6.7632	0.0001 (0.00%)

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