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2025-07-30 Wednesday

2025-08-03

20:01:11

Mexico's second-quarter GDP annual rate - unadjusted preliminary value

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : 0.20%

Published Value 0.10%

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20:01:03

Mexico's second-quarter GDP annual rate - unadjusted preliminary value

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : 0.20%

Published Value 0.10%

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20:00:07

Mexico's second-quarter GDP growth rate - seasonally adjusted preliminary value

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.40%

Published Value 0.70%

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19:27:48

[Undercurrents in the Eurozone: Market Conundrum Amidst Intertwined Interest Rate Cut Expectations and Economic Resilience] ⑴ Eurozone government bond yields remained stable on the evening of July 30th, Beijing time. ⑵ Market focus shifted to the EU-US trade agreement and the euro's significant decline this week. ⑶ Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision early Thursday morning, Beijing time, leaving the eurozone bond market uncertain. ⑷ With the agreement between the EU and the US on a 15% import tariff, tariff uncertainty has receded, leading to a slight decline in bond yields this week. ⑸ Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the eurozone benchmark, fell less than 1 basis point to 2.681%, falling 3.5 basis points this week. ⑹ This marked the first weekly decline since late June. ⑺ Latest data showed that the eurozone economy grew by 0.1% in the second quarter, exceeding market expectations and demonstrating resilience in the face of trade uncertainty. ⑻ ING Chief Economist Bert Colijn noted that despite the uncertainty surrounding the first half of the year, the combined growth performance in the first two quarters did not disappoint. ⑼ The euro came under pressure this week, falling 1.5%, its biggest weekly drop since November. ⑽ German two-year government bond yields remained stable at 1.92%, having fallen 2 basis points this week. ⑾ Market expectations for another ECB rate cut this year have fallen to around 30%, with a cut expected as early as March next year.

19:00:08

Brazil's Composite market price Index (IGP-M) monthly rate for July

Previous : -1.67% Forecast : -0.90%

Published Value -0.77%

Previous

19:00:06

The MBA Mortgage purchase Index for the week ending July 25 in the United States

Previous : 165.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 155.60

Previous

19:00:06

The U.S. MBA mortgage application Activity index for the week ending July 25 week-on-week

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value -3.80%

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19:00:04

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate of the US MBA for the week ending July 25

Previous : 6.84% Forecast : -

Published Value 6.83%

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19:00:04

The MBA Mortgage Refinancing Activity Index for the week ending July 25 in the United States

Previous : 747.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 739.30

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19:00:04

The MBA Mortgage application Activity index in the United States for the week ending July 25

Previous : 255.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 245.70

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18:30:55

Eurozone Business Sentiment Index for July

Previous : -0.78 Forecast : -

Published Value -0.72

Previous

18:29:30

Wall Street Holds Its Breath: How Will Giant Earnings and the Federal Reserve's Decision Drive Market Direction? ⑴ U.S. stock index futures were stable on the evening of July 30th, Beijing time, as investors closely watched the upcoming release of key economic data, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, and the earnings reports of tech giants. ⑵ Pre-market data showed that the S&P 500 futures rose slightly by 0.05%, the Nasdaq 100 futures rose by 0.11%, and the Dow Jones futures fell slightly by 0.02%. ⑶ The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended their record-breaking gains on Tuesday, primarily due to disappointing earnings from Dow components such as UnitedHealth and Merck. ⑷ The market is currently pinning its hopes on the earnings reports of major tech companies, with Microsoft and Meta Platforms set to release their results after the market close, while Amazon and Apple are scheduled to release theirs on Thursday. ⑸ Coffee chain giant Starbucks jumped 4.6% in pre-market trading after its third-quarter revenue exceeded expectations. ⑹ Despite beating third-quarter earnings expectations, Visa, a global payments processing company, maintained its annual net revenue growth forecast, sending its stock price down 2%. ⑺ Furthermore, the US and South Korea are currently engaged in trade negotiations, aiming to reach an agreement before the August 1st deadline. ⑻ The EU has reached a framework agreement with the US to halve its import tariffs to 15%. ⑼ Today's focus will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. While the market generally expects rates to remain unchanged, the focus will shift to Fed Chairman Powell's speech for clues on future policy direction. ⑽ The release of preliminary US second-quarter GDP data and July private sector employment data later in the day will be crucial for assessing the health of the economy and the resilience of the labor market.

18:13:31

The monthly average hourly wage rate in Italy in June

Previous : 0.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.50%

Previous

18:13:20

Italy's average hourly wage growth rate in June

Previous : 4% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.70%

Previous

18:00:07

[South Korea's New Strategy: A Future Showdown Between Stablecoins and CBDCs?] ⑴ The Bank of Korea (BOK) is actively exploring the digital currency sector and will establish a virtual asset committee to strengthen oversight of the cryptocurrency market. ⑵ According to Yonhap News Agency, the virtual asset team will also be responsible for responding to discussions regarding stablecoins and virtual assets and working closely with the government during the legislative process. ⑶ This move is driven by proposals for stablecoin legislation put forward by South Korean lawmakers, with several banks currently considering issuing stablecoins pegged to the Korean won. ⑷ Notably, the Bank of Korea has renamed the research team responsible for central bank digital currency (CBDC) projects the "Digital Currency Team," highlighting its role as a practical operational unit actively exploring digital currency initiatives. ⑸ Two other related teams have also been renamed, assuming responsibilities for digital currency technology and digital currency infrastructure, respectively. ⑹ Although the Bank of Korea postponed its CBDC testing on June 29, central bank officials stated that testing discussions may resume soon after legal uncertainties are resolved. ⑺ Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong emphasized that South Korea will need a digital currency in the future, regardless of its form. ⑻ It is worth noting that eight major South Korean banks plan to launch stablecoins pegged to the Korean won by the end of 2025 or early 2026, indicating that banks prefer stablecoins rather than CBDCs as the main issuer.

17:59:06

Scotch Whisky's Dilemma in India: Why is Joy So Hard to Receive Even with a Halved Tariff? (1) Although India's trade agreement with the UK halved the import tariff on Scotch whisky to 75%, this doesn't seem to bring much joy to Indian consumers. (2) The reason is that the price of alcoholic beverages in India is primarily influenced by high local taxes levied independently by each state. (3) Industry experts estimate that even with the tariff reduction, the final price drop for imported whiskey will be less than 10%, and some states may even offset the tariff benefits by raising local taxes. (4) A foreign company executive noted that tariffs account for less than 25% of the total product price in most states. (5) Naveen Malpani of consulting firm Grant Thornton Bharat stated that import tariffs average only 10% to 20% of the retail price, with the rest consisting of local taxes and other costs. (6) This means that the trade agreement is more likely to promote premiumization and brand diversity rather than trigger an immediate surge in demand. (7) Despite the high tax burden, the Indian spirits market was valued at $37 billion last year, second only to China and the United States, and remains attractive. ⑻ Last year, Diageo and Pernod Ricard generated combined revenue of nearly $6 billion in India. ⑼ India is the largest export market for Scotch whisky by volume, with exports exceeding 192 million bottles in 2024, representing over 200% growth over the past decade. ⑽ However, a complex tax and regulatory system, along with annual approvals for bottle labels and pricing, makes doing whisky business in India challenging. ⑾ Against this backdrop, Indian single malt whiskies are rapidly gaining popularity, winning over young consumers and posing fierce competition to international brands.

17:37:31

The Tsunami Warning Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources stated that a strong earthquake off the east coast of Kamchatka generated a tsunami, but it will not cause disastrous impacts on my country's coastal areas. At 7:24 a.m. (Beijing Time) on July 30, 2025, a strong earthquake struck off the east coast of Kamchatka, prompting the Tsunami Warning Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources to issue a yellow tsunami warning. Wang Peitao, deputy director of the Tsunami Forecast Office of the Tsunami Warning Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources, told Xinhua News Agency that the standard for issuing a yellow tsunami warning is "a tsunami wave amplitude of 0.3 meters (inclusive) to 1 meter due to the impact of an earthquake or other factors." The tsunami amplitude along the coast of mainland my country is expected to be 0.3 meters, which is not expected to cause disastrous impacts. Considering the potential for additional impacts from the landfall of Typhoon Rakshasa, a yellow warning was issued in accordance with the standard. Wang Peitao stated that based on the latest monitoring results, the earthquake has already triggered a tsunami. The Midway station in the United States detected a tsunami wave of 1 meter, the 21416 buoy detected a tsunami wave of 0.9 meters, and the Ofunato station in Japan detected a tsunami wave of 0.4 meters. These waves are expected to have some impact on the coasts of eastern Taipei, eastern Pingtung, eastern Pingtung, southeastern Taichung, northeastern Taichung, Hualien, and Yilan. The tsunami warning center maintains a yellow tsunami warning for the eastern coast of Taiwan, while lifting the yellow alert for the coasts of Zhejiang and Shanghai. According to reports, due to the natural barrier of island chains, the Pacific islands and reefs effectively absorb tsunami energy, significantly reducing the impact of Pacific submarine earthquakes and tsunamis on coastal areas of my country. Furthermore, the East China Sea and the Yellow Sea are located on a wide continental shelf, and their shallow waters accelerate the attenuation of tsunami waves, making it difficult for them to form destructive high waves. Earthquakes offshore my country are mostly strike-slip faults, rarely causing vertical displacement, and are less likely to cause sudden changes in submarine topography. Historical records show that earthquakes offshore my country are generally low in magnitude (rarely above magnitude 8) and have deep focal depths, further reducing the tsunami risk. Wang Peitao said this doesn't mean we can be complacent, especially during typhoon season. We must pay close attention to the impact of overlapping events. It's better to be prepared than to be caught off guard. (Xinhua News Agency)

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Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3363.16

73.24

(2.23%)

XAG

37.003

0.319

(0.87%)

CONC

67.26

-2.00

(-2.89%)

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1.1594

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GBPUSD

1.3282

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USDCNH

7.1909

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