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2026-07-15 Wednesday

2026-07-19

21:26:11

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,060.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,059.88/ounce, up 0.17% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,066.20/ounce, down 0.09% on the day.

21:24:14

Haskell, the nominee for the UK Office for Budget Responsibility, said the UK's fiscal situation is not optimistic.

21:24:13

U.S. Central Command: The U.S. military has deployed two ships to participate in the blockade operation.

21:22:18

[Trump Says Russia Is Ready to Reach an Agreement to End the Russia-Ukraine Conflict] US President Donald Trump stated in an interview that he believes Russia is ready to reach an agreement soon to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In the interview, Trump said he believes the conflict will end during his term and that Russian President Vladimir Putin is ready to reach an agreement quickly. Trump said, "I thought this was supposed to be over a long time ago. It should have been the easiest thing to resolve because I get along well with both leaders. I thought it would be the easiest thing for me." (CCTV)

21:22:17

Federal Reserve's Williams: I am very much looking forward to hearing the views of the balance sheet task force led by Warsh.

21:22:16

Federal Reserve's Williams: Part of the balance sheet will grow naturally; we are simply meeting the corresponding demand.

21:22:15

Federal Reserve's Williams: We are currently roughly in the range of ample reserves.

21:22:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: The balance sheet is currently in a steady pace of reduction.

21:22:12

Federal Reserve's Williams: Interest rates are expected to eventually decline as inflation rises.

21:22:11

The EU and Ukraine signed a defense industry partnership agreement.

21:20:12

Federal Reserve's Williams: A large number of people still hold low-interest mortgages, and it will take years to resolve this situation.

21:16:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: When inflation falls back to 2%, I expect interest rates to be slightly lowered to a more normal level. Many people are still enjoying the benefits of low mortgage rates, and this problem will take several years to resolve.

21:14:14

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1640.00/oz mark, last trading at $1639.88/oz, up 0.69% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1653.6/oz, up 0.66% on the day.

21:14:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: Mortgage rates are closely correlated with the 10-year Treasury yield, which has risen due to expectations of strong U.S. economic growth.

21:10:11

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1650.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1650.28/ounce, up 1.33% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1662.4/ounce, up 1.20% on the day.

21:08:11

[Benchmark Raises Target Prices for Two Major Railroad Stocks; Intermodal Freight Volume Grows Despite High Base, Year-to-Date Gains Exceed 20%] ⑴ Benchmark raised its target prices for U.S. railroad operators Union Pacific and CSX on Wednesday, maintaining a "buy" rating on both companies. The firm believes the strong performance of the domestic freight market is driving continued growth in intermodal freight volume across the industry, even against a high base from the same period last year. ⑵ The firm noted that Union Pacific's strong performance in both freight volume and rates supports its more optimistic profit outlook, which is the main reason for the target price increase. ⑶ For CSX, Benchmark believes the growth momentum in rail freight volume remains strong enough to support the market's upward revision of its profit expectations, thus maintaining a positive view. ⑷ As of the previous trading day's close, Union Pacific had risen approximately 25% year-to-date, while CSX had risen nearly 38%. Both companies' stock prices have accumulated significant gains; whether they can continue to exceed expectations in freight volume and rates will be key.

21:06:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: The U.S. economy is dynamic

21:06:12

Federal Reserve's Williams: No specific view on policy direction

21:06:11

Federal Reserve's Williams: Number of new businesses in the US surges

21:04:15

The Federal Reserve's important statement suggests that geopolitical constraints have caused inflation to peak and the dollar to fall. Details>

21:02:11

The Central Bank of Russia stated that its current account surplus was $27 billion from January to May.

21:00:18

Why didn't a lower-than-expected PPI cause the US dollar index to fall below 100? Details>

21:00:16

Federal Reserve's Williams: The move to remove forward guidance has received very strong support. We currently do not know the direction or timing of interest rates.

21:00:15

Federal Reserve's Williams: Warsh is very concerned about the challenge of achieving monetary policy goals.

21:00:14

Spot gold has just broken through the $4070.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4070.18/ounce, up 0.43% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4076.90/ounce, up 0.18% on the day.

21:00:13

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1640.00/oz mark, last trading at $1641.03/oz, up 0.76% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1653.4/oz, up 0.65% on the day.

21:00:12

Federal Reserve's Williams: Warsh firmly believed in the Fed's mission and understood the importance of achieving price stability and full employment. Warsh brought very popular new ideas.

20:58:16

Fed's Williams: Absolutely no consideration of changing the 2% interest rate target

20:58:15

Federal Reserve's Williams: CPI is only a "small part" of the process of inflation returning to the target, and the risk of energy price inflation has decreased.

20:56:13

Federal Reserve Chairman Williams: The CPI data is in line with my expectations for the next few months; we will observe the market's reaction to changes in the Middle East conflict.

20:56:12

The Daily Telegraph: British police have arrested a man suspected of threatening to shoot British reformist leader Nigel Farage.

20:54:11

[Brazil's service sector unexpectedly declined by 0.4% in May, with the transportation sector dragging down growth significantly; year-on-year growth fell short of expectations] ⑴ Data released by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics on Wednesday showed that, after seasonal adjustment, service sector activity in May fell by 0.4% compared to April, far below the market expectation of a 0.1% increase, ending the previous trend of continuous improvement. ⑵ The decline was mainly dragged down by transportation services and other services, which fell by 1.0% and 1.9% respectively, reversing the growth trend in April and becoming the main force suppressing the overall index. ⑶ Some sub-sectors remained resilient: professional and administrative services rose by 1.9% month-on-month, household services increased slightly by 0.2%, while information and communication services remained flat month-on-month, not posing an additional drag on the overall index. ⑷ Year-on-year, service sector activity in May grew by only 0.4%, also lower than economists' expectations of a 0.9% increase, indicating that the expansion momentum of Brazil's service sector was weaker than expected. The future focus should be on whether key sub-sectors such as transportation can stabilize and rebound.

20:50:12

[US Core PPI Unexpectedly Slows to 4.7% in June, New York Fed Manufacturing Rebounds Strongly, Inflationary Pressures Ease Marginally] ⑴ Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that the year-on-year increase in core PPI unexpectedly slowed to 4.7% in June, with a month-on-month increase of only 0.2%, indicating that the transmission effect of the conflict related to Iran on production-side prices remains to some extent under control. The overall PPI rose 5.5% year-on-year. ⑵ On the same day, the New York Fed released its July manufacturing sentiment index, which rebounded sharply, with both new orders and shipments increasing. The employment indicator climbed to its highest level since December 2022, showing a significant acceleration in the expansion of manufacturing activity in the region. ⑶ Although the manufacturing price payment index remains high, it has fallen from its previous peak. At the same time, companies' expectations for future payment and sales prices have declined, which may indicate that upstream cost pressures are likely to continue to ease. ⑷ The unexpected slowdown in core PPI, coupled with the cooling of manufacturing price expectations, provides the market with a positive signal of marginal easing of inflationary pressures. Further monitoring is needed to see if this trend can be verified in more data.

20:48:14

[Williams: Inflation Still Too High But Has Peaked, May Fall to 3.25% by Year-End; Economic Resilience Absorbs Geopolitical Risks] ⑴ Federal Reserve Chairman Williams said on Wednesday that the current inflation rate of around 4% is undoubtedly too high and must be persistently restored to the 2% target level, but the current monetary policy stance is fully capable of achieving this goal. ⑵ He expects overall inflation to fall to around 3.25% by the end of the year, continue to move towards 2% in 2027, and reach the target in 2028. He also believes that medium- and long-term inflation expectations remain well anchored, and there is ample reason to expect that inflation has peaked and will gradually decline. ⑶ Regarding economic growth, he expects real GDP growth to remain between 2% and 2.25% in this year, next year, and 2028, and the unemployment rate to gradually fall to 4% by 2028. He stated that economic growth is robust and in line with trends, and the labor market is also robust, stable, and resilient. ⑷ He pointed out that the full impact of the surge in artificial intelligence investment on growth, employment, and inflation is difficult to predict, and supply disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict remain a source of risk to the outlook, but the US economy has so far absorbed the impact of these events quite well.

20:48:13

[Caixin Futures: Edible Oils Show Slightly Stronger Trend, Soybean Meal and Corn Show Weakness, Live Hogs Sell on Rallies, Eggs Buy on Dips] ⑴ Edible Oils: Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East pushed international oil prices higher, leading to a slightly stronger trend in edible oil futures. Palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil futures contracts all closed slightly higher. Spot prices rose: Guangdong 24-degree palm oil rose 40 yuan to 9170 yuan/ton, soybean oil rose 10 yuan to 8820 yuan/ton, and Jiangsu genetically modified rapeseed oil rose 30 yuan to 10510 yuan/ton. Rapeseed oil spot prices have recently shown strength and a firm basis, providing strong support. However, influenced by the volatility in Canadian rapeseed futures, the upward breakout has been weak. Domestic soybean oil fundamentals are weak. The peak season for soybean arrivals has not yet passed, with imports reaching 13.5472 million tons in June. Cumulative imports from January to June increased by 1.5% year-on-year. Domestic crushing volume is nearly 10 million tons, leading to continued inventory accumulation. Palm oil is entering its seasonal off-season, with reduced demand and sluggish spot transactions. These fundamental factors continue to suppress the rebound in futures prices. Overall, while the short-term center of gravity for edible oils has risen, there is a lack of substantial positive factors to drive a sustained increase. A range-bound trading strategy is recommended. (2) Soybean Meal: Improved US soybean export expectations coupled with unfavorable weather in producing areas have led to higher US soybean futures prices and increased import costs. Domestic soybean oil and soybean meal futures have followed suit, but spot prices are still in a phase of inventory accumulation, resulting in significant supply pressure. Downstream demand is flat, and there is low enthusiasm for building inventory. The supply-demand imbalance remains unchanged, and the spot basis remains weak. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines and avoid chasing high prices. (3) Corn: The fundamental loose situation remains unchanged. Traders in producing areas are selling according to market conditions. New-season wheat and imported grains are increasing overall supply pressure. Downstream users are mostly maintaining a just-in-time purchasing strategy. Under the background of strong supply and weak demand, prices are expected to remain weak and volatile in the short term. A short-selling strategy on rallies is recommended. (4) Live Pigs: The second breeding season has recently cooled down, leading to weaker spot prices. The futures market correction validates previous logic. A short-selling strategy on rallies is recommended. In the medium to long term, breeding profits may see some recovery, but the scope is limited. On a month-on-month basis, due to the decline in sow inventory 10 months ago, the theoretical supply in the second half of the year will decrease, but the magnitude will be limited. Coupled with the peak consumption season in the second half of the year and policy-guided reduction in production, breeding profits may see a phased recovery. (5) Eggs: Recently, the overall trend has remained strong. Hot weather has lowered egg production rates, and farmers are reluctant to sell, resulting in a slight decrease in supply. The peak demand season is from July to September, with smooth sales at the terminal level. Demand may further increase after mid-to-late July. Given the weak supply and strong demand, inventory has decreased, and egg prices may remain strong. It is recommended to buy on dips.

20:48:11

[Caixin Futures: Continued Geopolitical Tensions Push Crude Oil, Fuel Oil, and Asphalt Higher] ⑴ Crude Oil: The US continues bombing Iran, stating that the Strait of Hormuz remains open to all countries except Iran but will charge a 20% fee on transiting goods, effectively reimposing a blockade on Iran; Iran maintains the Strait remains closed. The sharp rise in international oil prices has driven up chemical prices. With geopolitical tensions unlikely to ease significantly in the short term, chemical prices may remain bullish. ⑵ Fuel Oil: Renewed geopolitical tensions have driven a rebound in fuel oil prices. The market had previously been restrained in pricing in response to a significant escalation of the situation, but with the US imposing a 20% fee on transiting goods through the Strait of Hormuz, short-term supply constraints have increased significantly, suggesting a bullish outlook in the short term. ⑶ Asphalt: Today, the price of 70# heavy-grade asphalt in Shandong is 4355 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan from the previous day. Increased supply pressure is expected, but industry confidence has not fully recovered. The rebound in international oil prices has injected upward momentum into asphalt prices. This week, the capacity utilization rate of domestic asphalt refineries will increase by 3.9 percentage points to 20.3%. As of July 13, the inventory of 54 sample asphalt plants in China was 749,000 tons, an increase of 0.5% compared to July 9 and a decrease of 7.0% year-on-year; the inventory of 104 social warehouses was 990,000 tons, a decrease of 1.5% compared to July 9 and a decrease of 45.7% year-on-year. Overall, the market is in a weak supply and demand situation with low inventory levels. The escalating tensions between the US and Iran are the main trading logic at present, and short-term fluctuations with a slight upward bias are expected. (4) Glass: The overall trading in the Shahe market was average, with some small-plate prices softening. Industry players are cautiously observing the market. Last week, float glass inventory was 76 million weight boxes, a decrease of 59,000 weight boxes (-0.08%) week-on-week and an increase of 13.26% year-on-year. Glass technology upgrades will raise industry costs, keeping supply low, but demand expectations remain weak. Medium-term supply and demand pressures remain, and low-level fluctuations are expected. (5) Soda Ash: The market trend is stabilizing, with prices fluctuating narrowly at the bottom. Plant operations are stable with no maintenance shutdowns, and daily output remains around 105,000 tons. Downstream demand is generally on an as-needed basis, with weak overall sentiment and insufficient driving force. On Monday, total soda ash manufacturer inventory was 1.7501 million tons, an increase of 3,100 tons (+0.18%) from last Thursday; total social inventory remained around 490,000 tons. Futures-spot basis offers: Hebei warehouse delivery 09-20, Shahe delivered to flat to 09+10, Inner Mongolia plant delivery 09-270 to 300, Hubei warehouse delivery 09-35, Shandong plant delivery 09+10. High supply and weak demand are unlikely to change in the medium term, and low-level fluctuations are expected. (6) Methanol: Today, the spot price in Taicang is 2690 yuan/ton, -32 yuan; the price in the northern Inner Mongolia region is 2205 yuan/ton, +7.5 yuan. US-Iran relations are escalating, with the US imposing a 20% charge on transit cargo, and Iran announcing the re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This week, methanol port inventory was 401,500 tons, a decrease of 45,200 tons from the previous period; sample production enterprise inventory was 380,900 tons, a decrease of 10,900 tons from the previous period. Geopolitical risks have escalated again. While the market reaction was relatively restrained initially, with the US blocking the Taiwan Strait and increasing transit fees, expectations of supply contraction are rising, and methanol is expected to fluctuate with a slightly upward bias.

20:46:13

[Caixin Futures: Non-ferrous metals sector fluctuates, precious metals' upside limited, lithium carbonate continues to weaken] ⑴ Shanghai Copper: US June CPI fell 0.4% month-on-month, the largest monthly decline in four years. Overall inflation data was better than expected, macro sentiment improved marginally, but geopolitical disturbances persist. On the supply side, the long-term mining supply remains tight, and refined copper supply remains low; on the demand side, purchases are mainly for immediate needs. Be wary of changes in macro sentiment and pay attention to the subsequent Fed interest rate path. In the short term, copper prices are expected to fluctuate. ⑵ Shanghai Aluminum: Domestic destocking is progressing rapidly, and the expected commissioning of new overseas aluminum production capacity creates a medium- to long-term supply downside. With mixed bullish and bearish factors and continuous macroeconomic disturbances, aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate in the near term. ⑶ Shanghai Zinc: The tight global zinc mine supply situation remains unchanged, and the continued low processing fees at home and abroad provide bottom support. However, the off-season characteristics of consumption are significant on the demand side. Under the mixed bullish and bearish factors, zinc prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term. (4) Precious Metals: Better-than-expected US June CPI data improved macro sentiment marginally, but geopolitical disturbances persist, limiting upside potential for precious metals. The market still bets on one more rate hike each from the ECB and the Bank of England this year, with prices expected to fluctuate in the short term. (5) Lithium Carbonate: The main contract closed up 2.19% at 149,240 yuan/ton, with the market continuing to weaken due to expectations of ample future supply and pressure from warehouse receipts. Domestic production in July saw a slight overall decline, with lithium extraction from salt lakes entering its peak production period. While raw material supply from lithium mica companies recovered, the increase was limited. Zimbabwean lithium mines resumed shipments, and the raw material shortage before new material arrived at ports led some smelting companies to reduce operating rates. Warehouse receipts decreased by 483 tons to 42,420 tons, and the spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate fell by 1,750 yuan to 152,200 yuan/ton.

20:46:12

[Caixin Futures: Steel Prices Fluctuate at Low Levels Amidst Raw Material Supply Disruptions and Macroeconomic Expectations] ⑴ Steel: Exports remained resilient, investment continued to be weak in June, and the market had some expectations for the Politburo meeting at the end of the month, leading to some improvement in demand expectations. Both long and short positions in the top 20 rebar futures contracts decreased significantly, with short positions decreasing more; both long and short positions in the hot-rolled coil futures contracts decreased, with long positions decreasing slightly more, and overall funds continued to flow out. Technically, the rebar futures contract rebounded after a reduction in open interest, with the 40-day moving average acting as resistance above and the support level moving up to around 3085 yuan/ton below. In terms of valuation, steel mill profits continued to be under pressure, with the futures price approaching the off-peak electricity cost of electric arc furnaces in East China, and the previous undervaluation has been somewhat corrected. Supply disruptions on the raw material side raised expectations of cost support, and the market awaited positive macroeconomic news, but the weak reality still limited the rebound potential. ⑵ Iron Ore: The failure of labor negotiations between BHP and management limited delivery of some FMG products, coupled with the seasonal decline in shipments after the June fiscal year's sales push, provided some support to the futures market in the short term due to supply disruptions. The September contract continued its rebound after a reduction in open interest, with the upper resistance level shifting to around 770 yuan/ton, while the lower support level remains around 750 yuan/ton. Both long and short positions decreased among the top 20 holders, with a larger reduction in short positions, indicating a weakening willingness to actively suppress prices. Supply disruptions have not completely subsided, but given the overall decline in demand, the upward momentum of the market is expected to be limited. (3) Coking Coal: Safety inspections at production sites remain stringent, and the pace of production resumption in Shanxi coal mines is slow; pig iron production has fallen from its highs, coupled with rising expectations of coking coal price reductions. Downstream buyers are maintaining just-in-time purchases, and intermediaries are gradually lowering prices to move inventory. Short-term coal prices may continue to fluctuate weakly. The top 20 holders for the September contract increased long positions and decreased short positions, with a generally bullish change in open interest. Technically, the September coking coal contract rebounded after an increase in open interest and a decline, with the upper resistance level around 1290-1300 yuan/ton and the lower support level shifting to 1253-1260 yuan/ton. The renewed conflict between the US and Iran has driven up crude oil prices, and the energy premium sentiment has provided some support to the market. The market is caught in a tug-of-war between supply contraction and weak demand, with limited upside and downside potential. Operationally, it is recommended to maintain a buy-on-dips strategy based on support levels. (4) Coking Coal: Coal prices continue to weaken, coking plant profits have slightly recovered, and output is expected to remain stable with a slight increase. Pig iron production has been confirmed to have peaked, and further declines are expected, with demand-driven forces gradually weakening. The futures main contract is trading at a significant discount to the spot price, and valuations are relatively low. Steel mill losses continue to widen, making the implementation of the tenth round of price increases significantly more difficult, and expectations of price reductions are rising, leading to an overall downward shift in market valuations. However, the basis has already largely priced in the expectation of spot price reductions, so further downside potential for futures may be relatively limited. (5) Manganese Silicon: The fundamentals remain weak and stable. Manganese ore port inventories continue to accumulate, demand is weak, plant operating rates remain low, and plant inventories are increasing, driving the overall market downward. The September contract failed to break through the 40-day moving average. The support level to watch is the 20-day moving average, while the resistance level to watch is around 5940. Both long and short positions among the top 20 holders have decreased, with the reduction in positions being quite significant.

20:45:15

Federal Reserve's Williams: The labor market is showing signs of resilience and stability.

20:45:14

Federal Reserve's Williams: While the impact of the Middle East conflict poses a significant risk, the U.S. economy has so far absorbed these events quite well.

20:45:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: Economic growth is solid and in line with trends, and the labor market is also solid and stable.

20:45:11

Federal Reserve's Williams: Supply disruptions caused by Middle East conflict remain a source of risk to the growth and inflation outlook.

20:44:22

Federal Reserve's Williams: The full impact of the surge in AI investment on growth, employment, and inflation is difficult to predict.

20:44:21

Federal Reserve's Williams: Unemployment rate is expected to gradually decline to 4% by 2028.

20:44:20

Federal Reserve's Williams: Real GDP growth is expected to be between 2% and 2.25% this year and over the next two years.

20:44:19

Fed's Williams: Medium- and long-term inflation expectations remain well anchored

20:44:17

Federal Reserve's Williams: He expects overall inflation to fall to around 3.25% by the end of the year, continue moving towards the 2% target in 2027, and reach the target level in 2028.

20:44:16

Federal Reserve's Williams: We have good reason to expect inflation to have peaked and will gradually decline in the coming quarters.

20:44:15

Federal Reserve's Williams: The current inflation rate of around 4% is undoubtedly too high.

20:44:13

Federal Reserve's Williams: The current monetary policy stance is fully capable of achieving this goal.

20:44:12

Federal Reserve's Williams: Given persistently high inflation, we must bring it back to the 2% target level in a sustained manner.

20:42:11

[Inflation Squeezes US Household Budgets, Over 30% of Consumers Use Credit Card Rewards for Everyday Essentials] ⑴ A survey of over 1,000 people by the USAA Federal Savings Bank shows that more than 35% of respondents said they have used credit card reward points for "everyday expenses," covering necessities from gasoline to cat litter, reflecting that persistent inflation is significantly squeezing household budgets. ⑵ The survey also found that reward point redemption services are popular, with nearly 80% of respondents using points at least once in the past six months, indicating that consumers are actively using existing tools to cope with financial pressure. ⑶ Since mid-2023, grocery prices have risen by more than 6%, and gasoline prices have risen by about 30 cents per gallon, while the annualized increase in inflation-adjusted hourly wages during the same period was only about 1.4%, indicating that income growth is clearly not keeping pace with the rising cost of living. ⑷ The president of the USAA Federal Savings Bank stated that as the cost of living continues to rise, practicality has become the primary consideration in household financial decisions. Consumers are shifting their spending focus from non-emergency purchases such as appliances and furniture to essential areas such as food and gasoline, and are adopting the same strategy when using credit card reward points, using points to extend their budgets to offset the impact of rising prices.

20:40:21

US Machinery Manufacturing PPI in June

Previous : 197.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 198.20

20:38:15

U.S. Energy Secretary Wright criticized New York State's decision to halt data center construction.

20:38:14

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,060.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,060.05/ounce, up 0.18% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,066.60/ounce, down 0.08% on the day.

20:38:12

[New York Fed Manufacturing Index Surges to 15.6, New Orders Rally, Inflationary Pressures Ease] ⑴ The New York Fed's July manufacturing sentiment index unexpectedly jumped to 15.6, far exceeding market expectations of 8.8 and significantly higher than June's 5.7, indicating a significant acceleration in the region's manufacturing activity expansion. ⑵ The new orders index surged from 3.5 in June to 22.2, becoming the core driver of the overall index increase, while the employment index also rose moderately to 11.4, indicating continued strengthening of business demand for labor. ⑶ The six-month business outlook index slightly declined from 30.1 to 27.9, remaining in a relatively high expansionary range, indicating that manufacturers' expectations for the next six months remain optimistic, but the degree of optimism has slightly subsided. ⑷ The input price index fell from 61.0 to 52.3, still at a high level, but the pressure of rising costs has eased continuously, which may help alleviate some market concerns about inflation stickiness. It remains to be seen whether this trend will continue.

20:34:25

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1630.00/oz mark, last trading at $1630.33/oz, up 0.10% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1641.9/oz, down 0.05% on the day.

20:34:24

U.S. July New York Fed Manufacturing Prices Paid Index

Previous : 61 Forecast : -

Published Value 52.30

20:34:22

US July New York Fed Manufacturing Expectations Index for the Next 6 Months

Previous : 30.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 27.90

20:34:21

Canadian manufacturing inventories month-on-month in June

Previous : 0.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.50

20:34:19

Spot gold rose by about $15 in the short term, reaching a high of $4,051 per ounce.

20:34:18

Canada's June manufacturing backlog of orders month-on-month

Previous : 1.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 6.70

20:33:26

Canada's June manufacturing inventory-to-shipment ratio

Previous : 1.62 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.30

20:33:24

Canada's June manufacturing new orders month-on-month rate

Previous : 2.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 9.50

20:33:23

Canadian wholesale inventories month-on-month rate in June

Previous : 1.10 Forecast : 0.20

Published Value -2.30

20:33:22

US July New York Fed Manufacturing Employment Index

Previous : 9.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 11.40

20:33:20

US July New York Fed Manufacturing New Orders Index

Previous : 3.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 22.20

20:33:19

The US dollar index fell by about 8 points in the short term, hitting a low of 100.92.

20:33:18

U.S. July New York Fed Manufacturing Prices Index

Previous : 31.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 27.60

20:33:17

Spot gold has just broken through the $4050.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4050.24/ounce, down 0.06% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4056.10/ounce, down 0.33% on the day.

20:33:15

US June final demand PPI annual rate excluding food, energy and trade

Previous : 5.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 5.10%

20:33:14

Canadian wholesale sales month-on-month rate in June

Previous : 0.60% Forecast : -0.70%

Canadian Dollar

Published Value 0%

20:33:12

US June PPI year-on-year rate

Previous : 6.50% Forecast : 6.20%

Published Value 5.50%

20:32:19

US June Core PPI Annual Rate

Previous : 4.90% Forecast : 5.20%

Published Value 4.70%

20:32:17

US June Core PPI Monthly Rate

Previous : 0.40% Forecast : 0.40%

Published Value 0.20%

20:32:16

US June PPI (excluding food, energy, and trade) month-on-month rate

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.10%

20:32:13

US June PPI month-on-month rate

Previous : 1.10% Forecast : 0%

Published Value -0.30%

20:32:12

US July New York Fed Manufacturing Index

Previous : 5.70 Forecast : 8.80

US Dollar

Gold, Silver, Oil

Published Value 15.60

20:28:13

Morgan Stanley CFO: The renewed escalation of the situation in the Middle East has not yet affected the deal.

20:28:12

On July 15, Indian domestic funds made net purchases of Indian stocks totaling 7.05 billion rupees. Global funds, on the other hand, made net sales of Indian stocks totaling 7.36 billion rupees.

20:28:11

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1610.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1609.91/oz, down 1.15% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1623.9/oz, down 1.14% on the day.

20:26:13

German Chancellor Merz: (Regarding the next ECB president) I don't think it's necessary to make a decision in the short term; ECB President Lagarde has performed excellently.

20:26:11

[UBS Raises AMD Target Price to $700, Bullish on Customer Expansion and Business Growth] (1) UBS released a report maintaining its "Buy" rating on AMD and raising its 12-month target price from $670 to $700, representing an upside of about 28% from Tuesday's closing price. UBS believes AMD is poised to attract more customers and expand its chip business. (2) Analyst Timothy Arcuri points out that Amazon remains a key customer for the MI450x, and Anthropic may also join. Furthermore, AMD may collaborate with Cerebras Systems to develop fast inference solutions and may further expand its presence in the data center custom ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) market. (3) Over the past three months, AMD's stock price has risen by 112%, demonstrating strong performance.

20:22:18

[Russia's Fuel Shortage Continues to Escalate; Government Plans to Prioritize Food Logistics, Dragging Down Economic Growth] ⑴ The Russian Deputy Prime Minister stated on Wednesday that the government has discussed prioritizing fuel supplies to vehicles serving large food retail chains, highlighting the authorities' anxiety over a nationwide fuel shortage primarily caused by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and refineries. ⑵ According to industry sources and institutional estimates, after major refineries shut down due to the attacks, Russian gasoline production has fallen to only about 65% of the seasonal average consumption, a significant shortfall. ⑶ The Deputy Prime Minister emphasized that prioritizing fuel for food delivery vehicles is to prevent food spoilage and avoid passing on additional costs to consumers; the authorities typically issue fuel cards to drivers. ⑷ The special task force established by the government to address the fuel shortage also discussed diesel supplies to the agricultural sector, while the Russian Central Bank had previously stated that declining fuel production would affect the country's economic growth performance in the second quarter of 2026.

20:22:17

US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may meet next Monday.

20:22:16

US President Trump: Iran has largely exhausted their "best missiles" at this stage, but if you look back over the last four or five days, they launched a lot of missiles—almost every one of them was shot down.

20:20:12

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced that it will conduct a 300 billion rupee conversion/replacement operation of Indian government bonds on July 20.

20:20:11

[US Sugar Export Quota to Mexico Raised to 550,000 Tons, Remaining Quota Pending; Supply Uncertainty Remains Before Northern Hemisphere Crushing Season] ⑴ After reducing its current sugar export quota to a historic low of 180,000 tons, the US, through negotiations with the Mexican government and industry representatives, has raised the quota for the next cycle to 550,000 tons, with the possibility of further expansion to 1 million tons in the future remaining. ⑵ The former president of the Mexican National Sugar and Wine Industry Association stated that only about 550,000 tons of the 1 million-ton quota announced by the federal government have been confirmed so far, with the remaining quota planned to be announced in February next year, at which time the total will reach the million-ton level. ⑶ The source pointed out that the negotiations lasted for more than half a year, with Mexican federal officials playing a positive role in the consultations. They also emphasized the need to closely monitor changes in US sugar consumption, production, and imports from now until February next year, as the crushing season in neighboring countries begins in September. (4) The U.S. does not want sugar from other international markets to be transshipped into the U.S. via Mexico. Therefore, Mexico has raised sugar import tariffs in response. According to a July report, the U.S. expects Mexico to produce about 5.38 million tons of sugar and warned that U.S. imports will rise to more than 1 million tons. The pace of subsequent quota adjustments and the actual production situation will be key variables in the market.

20:18:12

[Sugar Futures Plunge Across the Board, Near-Month Contracts Lead the Decline, Supply Expectations Pressure the Market] ⑴ ICE sugar futures fell across the board on Wednesday, with the near-month August contract experiencing the most significant decline, closing at $451.70 per tonne, down about 2.5%, having touched a low of $451.30 during the session, a spread of $14. ⑵ The most active October contract fell 0.4% to $460.50, while the December and March contracts fell between 0.6% and 0.7%. The longer-term contracts generally showed relative resilience, indicating that market concerns about near-term supply pressure are more concentrated. ⑶ Looking at the spread structure, the discount between the August and October contracts widened further, reflecting greater selling pressure on near-term contracts, while the decline in longer-term contracts was shallower, suggesting that the market expects the supply-demand imbalance to ease in subsequent months. (4) Overall positions and subsequent trading should pay attention to changes in the crushing progress and export pace of major producing countries. If no new disruptive factors emerge on the supply side, sugar futures may continue to be under pressure and consolidate in the short term.

20:18:11

The governor of the Bank of Israel said the next Israeli government must curb rising debt, strike a balance between defense spending and investment in education and infrastructure, and may need to raise taxes by 2027.

20:16:11

[US Military Claims 90-Minute Strike Against Iran] On July 15th local time, according to the US Central Command, the US military completed a new round of strikes against Iran at 7:30 AM local time. The US Central Command stated that during the 90-minute operation, the US military used precision-guided munitions to strike the coastal defense system on Grand Tunbu Island, as well as cruise missile storage and launch facilities. The US Central Command stated that this strike further weakened Iran's ability to attack commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. (CCTV News)

20:14:15

The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs strongly condemns Iran's renewed aggressive attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan.

20:14:14

US President Trump: Our relationship with Iraq, I would say, has gone from not very good to very good. We will build a long-term relationship with Iraq.

20:14:12

[Hawkward Proposal Fails to Win in Poland; Interest Rates Remain Unchanged as Market Awaits New Inflation Signals] ⑴ The Polish central bank announced on Wednesday that Joanna Tyrowicz, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee, submitted a proposal to raise interest rates by 100 basis points at the June meeting, but it failed to gain the support of other committee members. ⑵ The committee kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the third consecutive month, a result in line with market expectations and indicating that most policymakers are satisfied with the current policy stance. ⑶ Although Tyrowicz's proposal to raise rates was rejected, it still reflects internal disagreements on the inflation outlook. The market will now focus on whether the country's inflation performance will prompt more committee members to adjust their stance. ⑷ The market will next assess whether the interest rate path will truly remain stable in the long term, or whether this dissenting vote has only temporarily suppressed calls for a rate hike. The data developments in the coming months will be a key variable.

20:14:11

Market news: Azerbaijan's natural gas exports increased by 0.5% year-on-year in the first half of the year, reaching 12.4 billion cubic meters.

20:12:13

Lebanese sources say Israel has bombed villages in southern Lebanon.

20:12:12

Azerbaijan's natural gas exports rose 0.5% year-on-year to 12.4 billion cubic meters in the first half of the year.

20:12:11

According to Politico: U.S. Vice President Vance will meet with House Republicans at the Capitol at 3 p.m. local time.

20:10:12

Market news: Executives from SpaceX (SPCX.O), Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and other companies will attend today's White House event.

20:08:11

Ukraine's acting Defense Minister, Mikhail Mikheil, stated that Ukraine has signed two agreements with the European Union aimed at enabling Ukrainian companies to participate in EU defense projects and securing a new grant of €300 million. He pointed out that €260 million of this funding will be used to enhance Ukraine's defense production capabilities.

26

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4016.36	40.10 (1.01%)
XAG	55.884	0.395 (0.71%)
CONC	81.77	3.49 (4.46%)
OILC	88.08	3.22 (3.80%)
USD	100.759	0.039 (0.04%)
EURUSD	1.1438	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3455	-0.0022 (-0.17%)
USDCNH	6.7769	0.0044 (0.06%)

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