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2025-07-31 Thursday

2025-08-03

04:08:10

Ford Motor's adjusted earnings per share in the second quarter reached $0.37, higher than the estimate of $0.33; the company expects full-year adjusted EBIT to be between $6.5 billion and $7.5 billion, compared with an estimate of $6.84 billion; it expects full-year adjusted free cash flow to be between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion; and it expects full-year capital expenditures to be approximately $9 billion, higher than the estimate of $8.15 billion.

04:08:10

META shares surged 6.8% after hours as the company's third-quarter revenue forecast exceeded expectations.

04:07:05

Microsoft shares rose 7% in after-hours trading after the company reported fourth-quarter revenue that beat expectations.

04:07:04

Microsoft's capital expenditures reached $24.2 billion this quarter.

04:05:58

Microsoft's fourth-quarter earnings per share reached $3.65.

04:05:51

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,310.00/oz mark and was last trading at $1,310.95/oz, down 5.74% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,316.4/oz, down 7.27% on the day.

04:04:54

Microsoft's intelligent cloud business revenue reached $29.88 billion in the fourth quarter, exceeding the estimate of $29.1 billion.

04:04:53

Microsoft's stock rose 5.2% in after-hours trading after the company released its quarterly earnings report.

04:04:51

After the market closed, Qualcomm's stock price fell 3%.

04:03:48

Qualcomm's shares fell 2.6% in after-hours trading after the company released its quarterly earnings report.

04:03:46

Microsoft's fourth-quarter revenue reached $76.44 billion, beating the estimate of $73.89 billion.

04:02:43

Qualcomm expects fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share between $2.75 and $2.95, compared with its previous estimate of $2.84.

04:01:33

Qualcomm's adjusted revenue in the third quarter was $10.37 billion, lower than analysts' expectations of $10.616 billion, and it expects fourth-quarter revenue to be between $10.3 billion and $11.1 billion, compared with analysts' expectations of $10.61 billion.

03:59:10

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,500.00 mark and was last at 44,500.36, down 0.30% on the day.

03:56:20

On July 30th, local time, the White House issued a statement saying that US President Trump signed an executive order suspending the de minimis duty-free treatment for low-value goods. Starting August 29th, imported goods worth $800 or less sent through means other than the international postal network and that previously met the de minimis duty-free conditions will be subject to all applicable tariffs. For goods shipped through the international postal system, parcels will be subject to tariffs based on ad valorem or specific taxes. (Refinitiv)

03:55:13

Trump says he will choose oil company to lead Pakistan partnership. (Refinitiv)

03:55:12

Trump said other countries are making offers to reduce tariffs. (Refinitiv)

03:55:11

Trump expressed great interest in South Korea's proposal. (Refinitiv)

03:54:05

Trump said he will meet with a South Korean trade delegation this afternoon. (Refinitiv)

03:54:03

Trump said they had just reached a deal with Pakistan. [Refinitiv]

03:54:02

Trump said South Korea's current tariffs are 25%, and South Korea has offered to purchase these tariffs. (Refinitiv)

03:54:00

Trump said Pakistan and the United States will work together to develop their vast oil reserves. (Refinitiv)

03:47:34

Market news revealed that U.S. House Democrats sued the Trump administration for blocking their access to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) facilities. (Refinitiv)

03:46:29

At the end of New York trading on Wednesday (July 30), ICE raw sugar futures fell 0.78%, ICE white sugar futures fell 1.14%, ICE Arabica coffee futures and coffee "C" futures both fell 1.26%, Robusta coffee futures rose 1.55%, New York cocoa futures fell 0.16% to US$8,207/ton, London cocoa futures rose 0.94%, and ICE cotton futures fell 0.25%.

03:42:17

International oil prices rose on the 30th. As of the close of the day, the price of light crude oil futures for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by 79 cents to close at US$70.00 per barrel, an increase of 1.14%; the price of London Brent crude oil futures for September delivery rose by 73 cents to close at US$73.24 per barrel, an increase of 1.01%.

03:39:08

Affected by the strong earthquake in Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula, New Zealand's National Emergency Management Agency issued another tsunami warning at 6:30 a.m. local time on July 31. The tsunami has reached parts of New Zealand's waters and is expected to intensify in the coming hours. The warning is expected to last until noon that day. The agency reminds people to stay away from beaches, ports, rivers and estuaries. On July 30, local time, New Zealand's National Emergency Management Agency issued a tsunami warning for the entire coast of the country, predicting strong abnormal ocean currents and unpredictable waves in all coastal areas of New Zealand. (Refinitiv)

03:39:04

Spot palladium fell 6.00% during the day and is currently quoted at $1,168.78 per ounce.

03:38:00

According to sources, the Canadian liquefied natural gas project led by Shell has encountered problems in its process of increasing production.

03:35:54

Spot platinum fell 7.27% during the day, breaking below the $1,290.00/oz mark and was last at $1,289.65/oz.

03:34:47

The U.S. Treasury Deputy Secretary said the Federal Reserve has room to lower interest rates.

03:34:46

[Powell's key points at a glance] The economy is on solid footing and inflation is slightly above target; the Fed remains focused on its dual mandate, and indicators suggest a slowdown in economic growth, reflecting a slowdown in consumer spending and continued weakness in housing activity; wage growth has slowed but remains faster than inflation; long-term inflation expectations are within manageable limits; the reasonable baseline is that the impact of tariffs on inflation is transitory; no decision has been made on September policy; it was a good meeting, with dissenters clearly articulating their positions; services inflation is declining while goods inflation is rising; there is still a long way to go to understand the full extent of the tariff impact; inflation is more than halfway back toward the 2% target; dissenters from the July Fed statement will disclose relevant information in the next day or two; when asked whether he intends to remain on the board after his term as chairman ends, Powell said he had no information on that at this time. (Refinitiv)

03:34:17

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,290.00/oz mark and was last trading at $1,289.65/oz, down 7.27% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,297.5/oz, down 8.60% on the day.

03:32:36

Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," said Fed Chairman Powell took a "tough defensive stance" on whether to cut interest rates in September. When asked with a leading question, "What circumstances would trigger a September rate cut," he said he would not give a specific answer, saying that it was necessary to observe the evolution of the data and that there were multiple possibilities. He also said that decisions would be made based on comprehensive data analysis and risk balance assessment, just as Potomac Research often said, "If we are hungry, we will eat."

03:32:32

Market sources say that Scale AI's competitor Surge AI is in talks to raise funds at a valuation of $25 billion.

03:32:30

The intraday decline reached 1.70%, and spot gold fell below $3,270 per ounce.

03:31:47

Spot gold just broke through the $3,270.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,269.86/ounce, down 1.70% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,321.00/ounce, down 1.78% on the day.

03:31:26

After Powell's "no decision has been made" remarks, futures markets showed a 45% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, compared with a 68% probability if the Fed keeps rates unchanged.

03:25:00

Brazil's trade commission announced that the implementation date of the 35% tariff on electric and hybrid vehicles will be brought forward from the originally planned July 2028 to January 2027. (Refinitiv)

03:23:57

USD/CHF rose 1.0% on the day to 0.8140.

03:22:53

Brazil's trade commission has decided to bring forward its planned tariff increase on electric and hybrid vehicles. (Refinitiv)

03:20:47

On Wednesday afternoon, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was asked why Americans endure mortgage rates around 7%. He responded that the Fed cannot control the direction of mortgage rates. While the federal funds rate directly affects some savings and borrowing rates, mortgage rates are more closely correlated with the 10-year Treasury yield. US President Trump stated on his social media platform on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve should "enable people to buy homes and refinance." However, even if the Fed cuts interest rates, it will not be a panacea for the housing market's problems. Since the subprime mortgage crisis, the US has been plagued by a chronic housing shortage, rising construction material costs (most recently due to Trump's imposition of high tariffs on goods such as lumber and metal), and the forced eviction of foreign workers who constitute the industry's critical workforce, making the housing inventory shortage even more severe. It is also worth noting that after the Fed began cutting interest rates last year, mortgage rates have risen instead of falling. (Refinitiv)

03:20:45

USD/CHF rose 1.00% to 0.8140

03:20:44

When asked what the Fed needs to see in the data before making a decision to cut interest rates, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that it would depend on "all the evidence" between now and the next meeting in September. He also said that "we have not made any decisions about September." If the Fed believes that the risks facing its dual mission are completely balanced, it means that it will take a more neutral stance, because restrictive policies support the Fed's inflation target. If interest rates are adjusted before the inflation problem is resolved, it will result in a waste of resources, but adjusting too late will damage the labor market. He emphasized that the key is to "get the timing right."

03:17:33

After Powell's speech on the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US dollar rose to its highest level against the Japanese yen since April 2, with the latest increase being 0.53% to 149.265.

03:16:30

Powell says he had a "pleasant meeting" with Trump at the Federal Reserve headquarters. Despite a previous spat between the two over cost overruns at the headquarters, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described US President Trump's rare visit to the Federal Reserve building as a "pleasant meeting." Powell said, "We had a pleasant meeting with the president, and it was an honor to host him. It's unusual for the president to visit the Federal Reserve, let alone the office building, so it was truly a pleasant meeting." When asked if he believed the government's focus on the Fed renovation project was directly related to Trump's push for interest rate cuts, Powell said, "That's not something I should judge." (Refinitiv)

03:16:25

Powell said he still believes the labor market is the best economic data we have.

03:16:22

After Powell's speech, the Nasdaq 100 index turned from decline to rise.

03:13:08

Powell said that before the next meeting, two employment and inflation reports will be obtained, and the decision will be made based on how the situation develops at that time.

03:13:06

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the Fed can maintain stable interest rates while waiting to see whether tariff policies will push up inflation. He said higher tariffs are beginning to be more clearly reflected in the prices of some commodities, but their overall impact on economic activity and inflation remains to be seen. A "reasonable baseline scenario" might be that the impact of tariffs on inflation will be "transient." However, he also warned that tariffs could make inflation changes "more persistent." He added that the Fed's responsibility is to maintain stable longer-term inflation expectations and prevent a one-time increase in price levels from evolving into a persistent inflation problem. The Fed is currently in a favorable position to learn more about the possible direction of the economy and the evolving balance of risks before adjusting its policy stance. He believes that the current policy stance is suitable for preventing inflation risks. (Refinitiv)

03:11:51

Powell said that in the discussion surrounding policy, the majority view is that inflation is above the target level and employment has reached the target level, and the policy should be restrictive to a certain extent.

03:11:49

Powell said the disagreement was not surprising.

03:11:46

Powell said those who disagree with the July Fed statement will disclose relevant information in the next day or two.

03:11:43

Powell called the July meeting "one of the better meetings that I can remember."

03:11:40

Trump administration officials continue to criticize Powell. Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Pulte said that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell once again lied to the American people, claiming that the Fed had nothing to do with the housing market, but in fact the Fed was closely related to the housing market. (Refinitiv)

03:10:32

Powell said he expected an explanation for the objections within the next day or two.

03:10:28

Powell said the current mainstream view is focused on inflation above target levels.

03:10:26

Powell said two members believed it was time to cut interest rates.

03:09:18

Powell said overall data showed the labor market was solid.

03:09:18

Powell said the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) may show close to zero new private sector jobs.

03:08:05

The UK Air Traffic Control Center said on the 30th that a technical failure occurred at the country's Swanwick Air Traffic Control Center that day, causing large-scale disruptions to British flights. The affected airports included Heathrow Airport, Gatwick Airport, Edinburgh Airport, London City Airport and Birmingham Airport. At present, airports in various places have gradually resumed normal operations.

03:08:00

Powell said there was no doubt that consumers had slowed and he would be watching the situation closely.

03:07:59

Powell said the pace of labor inflows has slowed significantly, largely due to immigration policies.

03:06:56

The decline in spot platinum further widened, with the latest price at $1,291.75 per ounce, down 7% from the previous price.

03:06:54

Powell said consumer spending has remained very strong in the past few years and may finally be showing signs of slowing down.

03:06:40

Fed Chair Powell said the Fed's independence enables it to make decisions based on data rather than political factors. (Refinitiv)

03:06:38

U.S. stocks fell after Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, with the S&P 500 index falling 0.45%.

03:06:36

The US dollar index DXY rose by 1.00% during the day and is currently quoted at 99.86; the US dollar against the Swiss franc USD/CHF also rose by 1.00% during the day and is currently quoted at 0.8137.

03:06:33

Powell said that the gross domestic product (GDP) was exactly in line with expectations, but it was still difficult to interpret due to fluctuations in net exports.

03:05:26

Powell said that as long as the Federal Reserve can serve the public well, its independence should be respected and continued.

03:05:24

The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.97% overnight at 24,934 points.

03:05:21

The highest level since July 16! The yield on the US two-year Treasury bond rose to 3.94%

03:05:19

Market news shows that Senate Democrats are putting pressure on Amazon over rising food prices.

03:04:44

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,300.00 mark and was last at 44,299.19, down 0.75% on the day.

03:04:13

The White House said Trump will evaluate whether to impose a phased, general import tariff of 15% on refined copper starting January 1, 2027. (Refinitiv)

03:03:09

When asked about the dollar, Powell said only the U.S. Treasury has the authority to comment on the dollar.

03:03:07

Powell said the dollar was not a major focus of the discussion.

03:03:06

The White House said the U.S. Commerce Secretary will provide an update on the domestic copper market by June 30, 2026. (Refinitiv)

03:03:03

Powell said government data is the gold standard, emphasizing the need for them to be accurate and reliable and to rely on them.

03:03:02

Powell said he certainly hopes to get the results they need.

03:02:33

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,310.00/oz mark and was last trading at $1,295.45/oz, down 6.85% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,303.8/oz, down 8.16% on the day.

03:01:56

Spot palladium fell 4.16% during the day, falling below $1,200 per ounce; spot gold fell sharply by $50.06 during the day, currently at $3,276.28 per ounce, a drop of 1.50%.

03:01:23

Spot silver just touched the $37.00/oz mark and was last trading at $37.00/oz, down 3.08% on the day. The main COMEX silver futures contract was last trading at $37.06/oz, down 3.22% on the day.

03:00:52

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that if the risks to the goals are fully balanced, then a rate cut may be appropriate.

03:00:13

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,310.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $1,309.70/ounce, down 5.83% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,323.6/ounce, down 6.76% on the day.

02:59:50

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that commodity inflation has caused us to deviate slightly from our target, but the deviation is not large.

02:59:47

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said both of our goals are at risk.

02:59:47

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the best thing we can do for the housing market is to stabilize house prices and achieve full employment.

02:58:43

The U.S. Treasury Department website reported that the United States has issued a new general license related to Iran, authorizing certain transactions and allowing the unloading of cargo involving specific persons or vessels blocked on July 30. (Refinitiv)

02:58:41

After Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said no decision had been made on whether to cut interest rates in September, U.S. Treasury yields extended their gains, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising 4.6 basis points to 4.372%.

02:58:22

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,400.00 mark and was last at 44,398.03, down 0.53% on the day.

02:58:16

Traders no longer fully expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in October.

02:57:36

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the cost of tariffs will be borne partly by consumers and partly by retailers. (Refinitiv)

02:56:53

The Nasdaq index just touched the 21100.00 mark and was last at 21098.84, flat on the day.

02:56:33

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,320.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $1,318.90/ounce, down 5.17% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,331.7/ounce, down 6.19% on the day.

02:55:30

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said there is currently "catch-up inflation," which reflects past pressures and that the impact of tariffs on inflation cannot be isolated. At the same time, service sector inflation is falling and goods inflation is rising. (Refinitiv)

02:55:28

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points of core inflation were due to tariffs. (Refinitiv)

02:55:26

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index continued its upward trend, hitting its highest level since May.

02:54:21

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that inflation is more than halfway back toward the 2% target.

02:54:21

The White House said tariffs on Brazil would not cover certain wood pulp and petroleum products. (Refinitiv)

02:53:22

Spot gold just broke through the $3,280.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,279.73/ounce, down 1.40% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,332.80/ounce, down 1.43% on the day.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3363.16	73.24 (2.23%)
XAG	37.003	0.319 (0.87%)
CONC	67.26	-2.00 (-2.89%)
OILC	69.48	-2.30 (-3.20%)
USD	98.678	-1.389 (-1.39%)
EURUSD	1.1594	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3282	-0.0001 (-0.00%)
USDCNH	7.1909	-0.0006 (-0.01%)

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