Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

Sydney：12/24 22:26:56

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2025-07-30 Wednesday

2025-08-03

23:09:59

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Canada needs to think about its position in global trade and has the opportunity to diversify its trade.

23:06:57

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,350.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $1,349.90/ounce, down 2.94% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,385.3/ounce, down 2.42% on the day.

23:03:56

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Exports are not expected to rebound significantly in the third quarter. The reality of tariffs is that economic efficiency will be reduced and revenue will be reduced.

23:03:34

Bessant: Europe is in "regulatory chaos." Bessant: If no deal is reached by August 1st, don't panic. Bessant: August will definitely be busy because the trade deal still needs to be completed. Bessant: Hope to see the Fed show "some imagination." Bessant: Reiterate that the Fed made a mistake on the inflation issue of tariffs. Bessant: Do not expect the Fed to cut interest rates today.

23:00:00

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: If no agreement is reached, negotiations on trade issues can continue after August 1.

22:59:00

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: Confidence and growth momentum are returning to our economy. U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: The fundamentals and Trump's policies are "excellent." U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: The world now stands with us. U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: The United States is the most prosperous economy today and is ready to accelerate its pace of economic development.

22:56:16

The Nasdaq index just broke through the 21200.00 mark and was last at 21200.06, up 0.48% on the day.

22:54:39

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Some factors that may lead to higher core inflation should be alleviated. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Even if the United States and Canada may reach a tariff agreement, uncertainty will continue. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: When faced with extraordinary uncertainty, it is difficult to make forward-looking predictions as usual. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: U.S. trade policy is full of "unpredictability." Tariff risks need to be considered when formulating policies. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: More companies are expected to comply with the USMCA. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: The situation has not changed much since June. Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Be prepared to respond to new information.

22:54:22

Countdown to the Fed’s “hawk vs. dove showdown”: When will the euro’s decline bottom out? Details>

22:54:05

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,360.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $1,359.76/ounce, down 2.23% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,397.2/ounce, down 1.58% on the day.

22:52:32

Chile issues red tsunami alert due to strong earthquake off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula. Following a strong earthquake off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on the 30th, Chile's National Center for Disaster Prevention and Response issued a red tsunami alert that day, urging residents in coastal areas to evacuate to safe areas. According to the center's announcement, the entire Chilean coastline, from the northernmost regions of Arica and Parinacota to the southernmost Magallanes-Chilean Antarctic Region, could be affected. Tsunami waves are expected to reach Easter Island, the country's westernmost point, at 11:25 a.m. local time on the 30th (11:25 p.m. Beijing time on the 30th). Chilean President Boric posted on social media that day that the first wave of a tsunami is usually not the most destructive, and urged the public to follow government instructions and remain calm.

22:51:52

Raw sugar prices fell for the first time in three days as Brazil, a major sugar producer, reported higher-than-expected production. New York raw sugar futures fell for the first time in three days due to higher-than-expected production in Brazil in the first half of July. According to data from the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock, sugar production over the past 15 days totaled nearly 3.4 million tons. Industry organization Unica is likely to release its sugarcane crushing report this week. Claudiu Covrig of Covrig Analytics stated that the government data exceeded market expectations and contradicted previous market expectations of a decline in sugarcane crushing during the same period.

22:50:49

Pending home sales in the United States fell 0.8% in June, but gold still has little chance to breathe Details>

22:44:11

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: The fundamentals and Trump's policies are "excellent."

22:42:38

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: Confidence and growth momentum are returning to our economy.

22:40:40

Sources: U.S. oil producer Chevron has obtained limited authorization from the United States to operate in Venezuela.

22:34:50

A Dutch court said Opel, Peugeot, Citroën and DS diesel cars sold since 2009 were fitted with the cheating software.

22:33:48

The EIA reported that U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories were 238,000 barrels in the week ending July 25, compared with -200,000 barrels in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories were 238,000 barrels in the week ending July 25, compared with -200,000 barrels in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. crude oil inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, were 690,000 barrels in the week ending July 25, compared with 455,000 barrels in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. refined product imports were -110,000 barrels per day in the week ending July 25, compared with 312,000 barrels per day in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. crude oil imports were 1.317 million barrels in the week ending July 25, compared with -740,000 barrels in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. refined oil production was 130,000 barrels per day in the week ending July 25, compared with 95,000 barrels per day in the previous week. The EIA reported that U.S. gasoline production was 676,000 barrels per day in the week ending July 25, compared with 282,000 barrels per day in the previous week. The EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending July 25 was 7.698 million barrels, compared with expectations of -1.288 million barrels and the previous reading of -3.169 million barrels. The EIA's total motor gasoline production and implied demand data for the week ending July 25 was 10.0406 million barrels per day, compared with the previous reading of 9.688 million barrels per day.

22:33:25

[Trump says India will pay 25% tariff, threatens additional penalties over India-Russia energy deal] US President Donald Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on India starting August 1 and hinted at additional penalties for India's energy purchases from Russia. The Trump administration is scheduled to impose new tariffs on dozens of trading partners on August 1. The US leader's latest statement dashed India's hopes of receiving more favorable treatment than other countries in the region. New Delhi was one of the first countries to hold talks with Washington after Indian Prime Minister Modi's high-profile visit to the White House in February. In response to Trump's latest statement, an Indian official who requested anonymity said New Delhi remains in contact with the United States to ensure a mutually beneficial trade agreement. Earlier reports said Indian officials had said they would continue negotiations with the United States and strive to reach a bilateral trade agreement before the fall.

22:31:40

The total EIA crude oil output of the United States for the week ending July 25

Previous : 1327.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 1331.40

22:31:28

U.S. DOE distillate demand for the week ending July 25

Previous : 477.53 Forecast : -

Published Value 491.87

22:31:14

U.S. DOE gasoline implied demand for the week ending July 25

Previous : 968.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 1004.06

22:30:40

U.S. DOE crude oil implied demand for the week ending July 25

Previous : 1970.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 1835

22:30:26

EIA refinery equipment utilization rate in the United States for the week ending July 25

Previous : 95.50% Forecast : 95.40%

Published Value 95.40%

22:30:11

U.S. EIA Weekly refined oil imports for the week ending July 25

Previous : 31.20 Forecast : -

Published Value -11

22:30:09

U.S. EIA weekly gasoline production for the week ending July 25

Previous : 28.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 67.60

22:30:08

美国截至7月25日当周 EIA每周取暖油库存

Previous : 0.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 73.90

22:30:08

U.S. EIA Weekly distillate production for the week ending July 25

Previous : 9.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 13

22:30:07

U.S. EIA Weekly crude oil imports for the week ending July 25

Previous : -74 Forecast : -

Published Value 131.70

22:30:07

U.S. EIA Oklahoma - Cushing crude oil inventories for the week ending July 25

Previous : 45.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 69

22:30:05

U.S. EIA weekly crude oil production for the week ending July 25

Previous : 8.70 Forecast : -

Published Value -2.50

22:30:05

Changes in U.S. EIA gasoline inventories for the week ending July 25

Previous : -173.80 Forecast : -62

Published Value -272.40

22:30:04

Changes in equipment utilization rates of U.S. EIA refineries for the week ending July 25

Previous : 1.60% Forecast : 0.10%

Published Value -0.10%

22:30:04

U.S. EIA Weekly new formula gasoline inventories for the week ending July 25

Previous : 0.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.40

22:30:03

Changes in U.S. EIA distillate inventories for the week ending July 25

Previous : 293.10 Forecast : 29.50

Published Value 363.50

22:30:02

The change in U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 25

Previous : -316.90 Forecast : -128.80

Published Value 769.80

22:26:20

Trade negotiations between the United States and India have recently reached an impasse. U.S. Trade Representative Lindsey Graham stated that more talks are needed to assess India's willingness to open its market. "They've shown strong interest," he said, "but we have to see how committed they are." Meanwhile, Indian officials are still awaiting confirmation from the White House on the final tariff rate. If Trump ultimately finalizes a rate of 25% or higher, it could shake up companies in India's export supply chain and add pressure on substantive progress in negotiations before the fall.

22:26:19

Trade negotiations between the United States and India have recently reached an impasse, with the crux of the matter being US demands for further opening of India's agricultural, dairy, and automotive markets, while India insists on exemptions in areas such as pharmaceuticals. Although a US delegation plans to visit India in August, time is running out, and investors in India's export-oriented sectors should remain cautious.

22:26:15

The short-term impact of Trump's 25% tariffs on India cannot be underestimated. Internal Indian estimates suggest that if Trump ultimately imposes tariffs above 25%, approximately 10% of Indian exports this quarter could be impacted, with electronics and jewelry likely to be the hardest hit.

22:24:53

Sources say Google will invest $6 billion to build data centers in southern India.

22:24:51

U.S. Republican Majority Leader Thune: If necessary, we are ready to push for the passage of sanctions bills against Russia.

22:24:42

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,370.00/oz mark and was last trading at $1,369.90/oz, down 1.50% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,404.8/oz, down 1.04% on the day.

22:24:28

[Analyst: Bank of Canada Remains Loose] Nick Rees, senior foreign exchange market analyst at Monex Europe, said that although the Bank of Canada's latest decision to keep interest rates unchanged was in line with expectations, the Bank of Canada has maintained an easing bias in its recent series of communications. However, any decision to resume rate cuts seems to be based on further clarity of the outlook, which suggests that further rate cuts may take some time.

22:24:22

USD/CNH just broke through the 7.2000 yuan mark, and was last at 7.2001 yuan, up 0.28% on the day. USD/CNH was last at 7.1900 yuan, up 0.19% on the day.

22:24:13

[Strategist: The Bank of Canada tries to leave multiple options open] Andrew Kelvin, head of Canadian and global interest rate strategy at TD Securities, said, "The Bank of Canada is very wisely trying to leave as many options as possible." He pointed out, "It is very clear to me that the Bank of Canada is still reluctant to declare that the worst is over. Despite the strong employment data, there are still some things to note. The Bank of Canada is not panicking, but it also does not believe that the economy is out of danger, so they are just trying to take a balanced approach."

22:23:58

Trump's tariff threat will severely impact Indian exports. India may soon face a difficult situation. US President Trump stated in a Truth Social post on Wednesday that India will pay a 25% tariff and a penalty related to purchases of Russian military equipment and energy, effective August 1st. New Delhi, which had originally hoped for more favorable tariffs than those offered by Indonesia and the Philippines, has been forced to adjust its expectations of reaching a temporary agreement by August 1st. However, Indian officials have not given up, believing the tariff impact is only a short-term setback, with larger negotiations still scheduled for the fall.

22:23:07

[South African Parliament passed the 2025 budget and two other bills] The National Committee of Provinces (NCOP) of South Africa passed the 2025 Appropriation Bill and the Eskom Debt Relief Amendment Bill at its plenary meeting on the 30th, marking the completion of parliamentary review of the 2025/26 fiscal year budget and Eskom's debt restructuring plan. The next step will be to submit it to South African President Ramaphosa for signature and implementation.

22:22:51

According to data from the New York Federal Reserve, the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) was at 4.36% on July 29, the eve of the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement, compared to 4.36% the day before. The effective federal funds rate was at 4.33%, compared to 4.33% the day before.

22:22:36

At 10:00 PM, the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory updated its orange rainstorm warning signal to a blue rainstorm warning signal. Precipitation is expected to reach approximately 50 mm over the next six hours across the city. The orange rainstorm warning signal has been updated to a blue rainstorm warning signal. Please be mindful of urban waterlogging caused by heavy rainfall and ensure proper drainage and flood prevention measures in low-lying and flood-prone areas. The typhoon yellow warning signal has been updated to a blue warning signal. Typhoon "Hypokalemia," the eighth typhoon of the year (tropical storm level), is moving away from Shanghai. Gusts of 8-9 will continue to occur across much of the city. The yellow warning signal has been updated to a blue warning signal. Please be mindful of the adverse impacts of the typhoon on aerial work, transportation, and agricultural facilities. At 10:00 PM, the Shanghai Municipal Hydrological Station lifted its blue high tide warning signal for the Huangpu River. The tide level at the Suzhou estuary of the Huangpu River has fallen below 4.55 meters, and the blue high tide warning signal for the Huangpu River has been lifted.

22:21:52

U.S. Corporate Bond Market Distress Index for five weeks up to July 25 - Investment grade average

Previous : 14.75% Forecast : -

Published Value 12.40%

22:21:52

The U.S. corporate bond Market Distress Index for five weeks up to July 25 - the overall market average

Previous : 13.75% Forecast : -

Published Value 13.20%

22:21:50

U.S. Corporate Bond Market Distress Index for five weeks up to July 25 - High Yield Average

Previous : 15.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 11.40%

22:11:33

Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council: Canada still has hope of making progress. (Talking about India trade) Trump believes that tariffs will help the situation.

22:11:15

[State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters Deploys All-Out Efforts to Ensure Flood Prevention, Emergency Rescue and Disaster Relief During Critical Period] Reporters learned from the Ministry of Emergency Management on the 30th that the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters recently issued a notice requiring all localities, relevant departments, and river basin flood control and drought relief headquarters to be aware of the sudden, extreme, and uncertain nature of disastrous weather, implement detailed flood prevention, emergency rescue and disaster relief measures, and make every effort to protect the safety of people's lives and property and overall social stability. The notice requires that saving lives be prioritized, with all efforts made to search and rescue missing and trapped persons, give full play to the leading role of the national comprehensive fire and rescue team, and the role of the People's Liberation Army and armed police force commandos, actively organize professional teams such as central enterprises and social forces to participate in rescue operations, and swiftly carry out search and rescue, emergency response, water rescue, and road clearing. Weak links and key areas in flood control, such as small and medium-sized rivers, dangerous sections of dikes, small and medium-sized dangerous reservoirs and "overhead reservoirs," areas at risk of flash floods and geological disasters, as well as low-lying and easily flooded areas, construction sites, nursing homes, primary and secondary schools, and hospitals, must be closely monitored and protected, with targeted hidden danger inspections and rectifications promptly carried out to prevent all types of secondary disasters. The disaster warning "call and response" and follow-up feedback mechanism directly reaching grassroots responsible personnel must be strictly implemented, forming a closed-loop work cycle of warning, response, action, feedback, and verification. The "four uniform" requirements for evacuation and risk avoidance must be strictly implemented, and threatened people must be resolutely and decisively relocated and resettled. Special attention must be paid to the safety of crowded places such as nursing homes, primary and secondary schools, and hospitals during the flood season. Emergency plans must be implemented on a "one-point, one-policy" basis, and the responsibilities for "call and response" transfers must be detailed. "One-on-one" evacuation and risk avoidance measures must be implemented for special groups such as the elderly, left-behind children, and the disabled, ensuring that all those who need to be relocated are relocated as soon as possible, and that evacuations are expanded in extreme cases. (Xinhua News Agency)

22:10:54

The Shanghai Hydrological Station lifted the blue warning signal for the high tide level of the Huangpu River at 22:00 on July 30, 2025: The tide level at the Suzhou estuary of the Huangpu River has now dropped below 4.55 meters, and the blue warning signal for the high tide level of the Huangpu River has been lifted.

22:10:20

[Bank of Canada expects GDP to shrink by 1.5% in the second quarter] The Bank of Canada kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2.75%, although it expects the economy to shrink by an annualized 1.5% in the second quarter after growing by 2.2% in the first quarter, reflecting a sharp 25% drop in Canadian exports due to US tariffs. The Bank of Canada said that trade uncertainty has dragged down business investment and household spending, but this has been partially offset by increased government spending. Under the bank's scenario, if the current tariff backdrop remains largely unchanged, policymakers expect average growth to reach 1% in the second half of the year as exports stabilize at a lower level.

22:09:30

Shanghai to Launch Comprehensive Urban Village Renovation Project Next Year: According to Shangguan News, the 23rd session of the 16th Shanghai Municipal People's Congress Standing Committee reviewed the "Report on the Progress of Urban Renewal Work." Wang Zhen, Director of the Shanghai Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Commission, stated that the city will actively explore new models and mechanisms for urban renewal that suit its specific circumstances, accelerate the pace of urban renewal, and promote high-quality urban development. Guided by planning, scientific urban renewal goals and tasks will be formulated. The city will accelerate the exploration and innovation of sustainable renewal models to better serve its long-term development. The "Shanghai Urban Renewal Action Plan (2026-2028)" will be formulated. Building on the completion of the first three-year action plan by 2025, the plan will further clarify key tasks and renewal projects for the next three years. For example, the comprehensive urban village renovation project will be fully launched in 2026, the renovation of thin-beam and slab buildings will be fully completed by 2027, and renovation of older residential communities will continue. The city will accelerate the revitalization of commercial businesses, improve the quality and efficiency of industrial land, promote the functional integration and quality improvement of the "One River, One River, One Belt" initiative, and strengthen the preservation and inheritance of historical and cultural heritage.

22:08:33

U.S. existing home sales fell to a nine-month low in June.

22:07:50

The chairman of the Federal Communications Commission has opened an investigation into Comcast's relationship with its local broadcast affiliates.

22:06:10

[US Natural Gas: Double whammy of surging production and cooling demand, prices falling below $3?] ⑴ US natural gas futures prices fell on July 30th, Beijing time, primarily due to increased production and milder weather forecasts, which are expected to reduce cooling demand. ⑵ Front-month natural gas futures for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 10.30 cents, or 3.3%, to $3.04 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), having previously hit their highest level since July 23rd. ⑶ Thomas Saal, Senior Vice President of Energy at StoneX Financial, stated that the market is currently well supplied. ⑷ Data from LSEG, a well-known energy data agency, shows that average natural gas production in the Lower 48 states rose to 107.5 billion cubic feet per day in July, exceeding the monthly record high of 106.4 billion cubic feet set in June. ⑸ Saal added that prices are trending lower as the market shifts to September futures trading, as September is typically associated with milder weather than August. 6. LSEG forecasts that total natural gas demand (including exports) in the Lower 48 U.S. states will fall to 108 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) over the next week, down from 113 Bcf/d this week. 7. Meanwhile, cooling degree days (CDDs) are projected to be 235 over the next two weeks, down from 239 estimated on Monday. 8. Technical issues encountered during the ramp-up of the Shell-led LNG Canada project have also added to market uncertainty.

22:04:48

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of existing home sales contracts in the United States for June

Previous : -0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value -2.80%

22:04:13

[Fed Decision Imminent: Regional Banks Hidden 14% Discount, or a Premonition of Unusual Movement?] ⑴ The Fed's policy announcement will be released at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday, and the market is expected to experience significant volatility. ⑵ Goldman Sachs strategist John Marshall reminds investors to closely monitor the regional bank sector. ⑶ Data shows that US bank ETFs (KBE, KRE) have experienced significant volatility on Fed interest rate meetings since 2023. ⑷ Specifically, the S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has experienced an average daily volatility of 2.5% on Fed interest rate meetings over the past two years. ⑸ Marshall predicts that KRE may also experience significant volatility after tonight's decision. ⑹ Although US financial stocks have rebounded since their April lows, regional banks have failed to keep pace with their normal correlation with macro assets. ⑺ Goldman Sachs research finds that KRE's current valuation is significantly discounted by 14% relative to its normal level before the Fed meeting.

22:03:11

Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR): Data shows that despite an increase in housing market inventory, contract signings are still declining slightly.

22:02:54

Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated: "India may lower its prices to the US and reconsider its approach. Trump is frustrated with the current progress, but we still believe a 25% tariff is sufficient to "resolve and repair" the situation with India. A comprehensive agreement with India would be an "absolute game-changer for the global economy," and I remain hopeful that India will eventually open its market to the US. Meanwhile, there remains hope for progress in Canadian negotiations, and the agreements between the EU and Japan have already fueled a capital spending boom. The US economy is expected to grow by 4% in the third quarter, and tariff revenue is crucial for deficit reduction. We fully respect the independence of the Federal Reserve and believe they will quickly monitor the data and take action."

22:00:55

The Bank of Canada suddenly released a "hawkish-dovish reverberation", and the US-Canada 1.38 defense line was tested again! Details>

22:00:02

The seasonally adjusted existing home contract sales index for June in the United States

Previous : 72.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 72

22:00:01

The seasonally adjusted existing home contract sales index for June in the United States rose monthly

Previous : 1.80% Forecast : 0%

金银石油

美元

Published Value -0.80%

21:56:19

Spot gold just broke through the $3,300.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,299.96/ounce, down 0.79% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,353.80/ounce, down 0.81% on the day.

21:52:02

[Bank of Canada "On Hold": Economic Resilience and Inflation Concerns Amid Tariff Confusion] ⑴ On July 30th, Beijing time, the Bank of Canada announced that it would maintain its policy interest rate at 2.75%. ⑵ This decision was primarily based on three considerations: first, uncertainty stemming from US tariff rhetoric remains high; second, despite trade disruptions, the Canadian economy has thus far demonstrated some resilience; and third, while inflation is close to the 2% target, underlying inflationary pressures remain. ⑶ Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted that due to the high uncertainty surrounding tariff policy, the Bank did not release its usual economic growth and inflation forecasts. Instead, it provided three scenario analyses to capture the potential trajectory of trade policy. ⑷ Macklem stated that Canada's economy experienced strong growth in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to businesses frontloading exports to avoid tariffs. ⑸ However, the economy appears to have contracted in the second quarter, with exports to the US falling sharply. This represents both a "repayment" of previous overdrafts and a reflection of the tariffs suppressing US demand. ⑹ Despite this, the Canadian economy has shown resilience, with improved consumer and business confidence, continued growth in the labor market in non-trade-related sectors, and the unemployment rate rising modestly to 6.9%. ⑺ Regarding inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to just below 2% due to the removal of the carbon tax, but a range of indicators suggest that underlying inflation has risen from around 2% in the second half of last year to around 2.5% recently, primarily driven by rising prices for non-energy goods. ⑻ The Bank of Canada expects that under the current tariff scenario, downward pressure from the appreciation of the Canadian dollar, slowing unit labor costs, and excess supply in the economy will be roughly balanced by upward pressure from direct tariff costs, keeping inflation around 2%. ⑼ The Bank of Canada emphasized that it will closely monitor tariff developments and indicators of underlying inflation and is prepared to respond to new information to ensure price stability and support economic growth.

21:50:26

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: Because the Canadian economy has shown some resilience so far and inflationary pressures persist

21:50:20

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: If economic weakness puts further downward pressure on inflation and price pressures are contained, the central bank may have to cut interest rates

21:50:08

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: GDP may fall by 1.5% in the second quarter due to a sharp reversal of exports

21:50:00

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: economic indicators show that oversupply has increased since January

21:49:55

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: core inflation is expected to be around 2.5%

21:49:49

Bank of Canada interest rate decision: Because the Canadian economy has shown some resilience so far and inflationary pressures persist

21:49:48

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,600.00 mark and was last at 44,596.66, down 0.08% on the day.

21:48:23

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: We have stepped up regional outreach to help understand the impact of tariffs and added new questions to our household and business surveys

21:48:18

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: The rise in underlying inflation mainly reflects rising prices of commodities other than energy

21:48:10

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Growth in Canadian business and household spending is constrained by uncertainty

21:48:02

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: This meeting clearly reached a consensus to maintain interest rates unchanged

21:47:55

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: We must pay more attention to risks, look shorter than before, and be prepared to respond to new information

21:47:42

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: The impact of U.S. trade policy on the global economy has so far been less severe than feared

21:47:35

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Tariffs in other trade deals show the U.S. won't return to open trade

21:47:32

Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: Lack of traditional forecasts does not hinder our ability to make monetary policy decisions

21:46:05

The Bank of Canada kept interest rates unchanged at 2.75% as expected. USD/CAD rose 10 points in the short term and is now at 1.3809.

21:45:05

The overnight lending rate of the Bank of Canada on July 31

Previous : 2.75% Forecast : 2.75%

Neutral

Published Value 2.75%

21:44:08

[Pound Under Pressure: Data Positive for the US Dollar, Expectations of a Bank of England Rate Cut Increase Downside Risks for the Pound] ⑴ On July 30th, Beijing time, the British pound (GBP/USD) quickly gave up early gains, falling from its intraday high of 1.3380 to around 1.33. ⑵ Previously released US ADP employment data and second-quarter GDP figures both exceeded expectations, demonstrating the resilience of the US economy, supporting the dollar's strength and reinforcing the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see stance. ⑶ The strong ADP data and inflation consistently above the Fed's 2% target have reduced market expectations for a recent dovish shift by the Fed. ⑷ The probability of a September rate cut has fallen from nearly 70% before the data release to 62%. ⑸ In contrast, the market generally expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates on August 7th, which would widen the US-UK interest rate differential and further weaken the Pound's appeal. ⑹ Rising inflation in the UK has also exacerbated market concerns about the UK's fiscal deficit, exerting bearish pressure on the Pound. ⑺ Currently, the British pound has received short-term support around 1.33, but if it falls below the Fibonacci key level of 1.3250, it may further fall to the 200-day moving average of 1.2976 or even lower to the 1.27 area.

21:38:12

Baltic index extends decline, hits two-week low Details>

21:37:40

[The Calm Before the Forex Storm? A Potential Reversal Crisis Amid Low Volatility in the Options Market] ⑴ On July 30th, Beijing time, the G10 currency options market signaled an unusual calm. ⑵ Implied volatility has fallen to its lowest level since March, with volatility across all expiration dates shrinking simultaneously, indicating a general decline in market expectations for future exchange rate fluctuations. ⑶ Although the Federal Reserve's policy decision is approaching on Wednesday and the likelihood of a rate cut before September is almost zero, the statement and press conference still pose potential volatility risks. ⑷ However, the options market's pricing of the Fed meeting's event risk premium has fallen to its lowest level of the year. ⑸ EUR/USD options also reflect this low volatility trend, with its three-month 25-delta risk reversal indicator returning to neutral, indicating a lack of clear directional market bias. ⑹ Despite the recent rebound in the US dollar, market demand for downside protection remains limited. ⑺ Overall, foreign exchange option prices reflect expectations of exchange rate stability rather than unexpected volatility. ⑻ Although the current market seems comfortable, this calm may be quickly broken if central banks release unexpected signals or if US employment data on Friday far exceeds expectations.

21:34:42

July 30 US market update support and resistance: 18 varieties of support and resistance (gold, silver, platinum, palladium, crude oil, natural gas, copper and ten major currency pairs) Details>

21:34:16

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,700.00 mark and was last at 44,701.81, up 0.15% on the day.

21:31:56

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,380.00/oz mark and was last trading at $1,379.60/oz, down 0.80% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,409.9/oz, down 0.68% on the day.

21:30:56

USD/JPY just touched the 149.00 mark and is currently trading at 149.00, up 0.38% on the day.

21:29:25

Italian Economy Minister: The government imposed conditions on UniCredit's acquisition of BPM Bank to safeguard national interests

21:29:18

Italy's Economy Minister: UniCredit's investments in Russia through a local subsidiary could put the group at risk of international sanctions

21:20:15

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 1.09% to 4.371.

21:18:35

[Italy's Economy Unexpectedly Contracts: Trade Headwinds and Weak Services Scream Alarms!] ⑴ On July 30th, Beijing time, Italy's preliminary second-quarter GDP unexpectedly contracted by 0.1% quarter-over-quarter. ⑵ This likely reflects the initial impact of US tariff rhetoric and global trade uncertainty. ⑶ Data from the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) showed that Italy's GDP, the eurozone's third-largest economy, grew by only 0.4% year-over-year in the second quarter, below the 0.6% forecast by economists surveyed by leading institutions. ⑷ The quarter-over-quarter decline was primarily attributed to negative trade flows, which offset the positive contribution of domestic demand. ⑸ Nicola Nobile, a leading economist, pointed out that this may be a normalization of net exports after businesses rushed to export in the first quarter to circumvent Trump's tariff rhetoric. ⑹ UniCredit's Chief Italian Economist Loredana Federico believes that weak service sector activity was the primary cause, with the sector showing stability rather than the expected slight recovery, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. ⑺ The Italian government lowered its 2025 growth forecast to 0.6% in April due to uncertainty surrounding US tariff policy changes. ⑻ Think tank Prometeia said the data was like a "cold water dump," indicating that trade-related uncertainties are far from over and Italian companies will continue to face the impact of new trade arrangements and the depreciation of the US dollar in the future.

21:13:14

Spot gold just broke through the $3,310.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,309.89/ounce, down 0.49% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,364.70/ounce, down 0.49% on the day.

21:10:27

[Shanghai: Formulate differentiated "AI+" implementation paths, and promote them in a classified manner with "one industry, one policy"] The Shanghai Municipal Government Executive Meeting deployed the implementation of the "AI+ Manufacturing" action to accelerate the development of intelligent manufacturing. The meeting agreed in principle to the "Implementation Plan for Accelerating the Development of "AI+ Manufacturing" in Shanghai" and pointed out that it will help "Shanghai Manufacturing" leap to "Shanghai Intelligent Manufacturing". It is necessary to promote innovation and empowerment, grasp the new trend of lightweight technology, focus on developing industrial-grade intelligent bodies for vertical fields, and achieve "small incision" precise empowerment. It is necessary to implement policies in a classified manner, formulate differentiated "AI+" implementation paths, and promote them in a classified manner with "one industry, one policy". Traditional manufacturing should promote the intelligent transformation of production processes, and emerging manufacturing should focus on native tracks such as smart terminals. It is necessary to optimize the ecosystem, cultivate and strengthen intelligent solution service providers, make good use of computing power coupons, model coupons, and corpus coupons, reduce the cost of enterprise transformation, build a closed loop of "technological breakthroughs-scenario implementation-ecological collaboration", and build a solid security barrier for the industrial Internet.

21:09:58

South Korean Finance Minister Koo Yoon-chul will hold trade talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Jeffrey Bennett at 10:45 p.m. local time tomorrow. (Yonhap News Agency)

30

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3363.16	73.24 (2.23%)
XAG	37.003	0.319 (0.87%)
CONC	67.26	-2.00 (-2.89%)
OILC	69.48	-2.30 (-3.20%)
USD	98.678	-1.389 (-1.39%)
EURUSD	1.1594	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3282	-0.0001 (-0.00%)
USDCNH	7.1909	-0.0006 (-0.01%)

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