Sydney:12/24 22:26:56

Tokyo:12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

Singapore:12/24 22:26:56

Dubai:12/24 22:26:56

London:12/24 22:26:56

New York:12/24 22:26:56

2025-12-16 Tuesday

2025-12-20

09:20:41

[Announcement of the People's Government of Hainan Province Regarding the Official Launch of the Island-wide Customs Closure in the Hainan Free Trade Port] The People's Government of Hainan Province hereby announces the following regarding the official launch of the island-wide customs closure in the Hainan Free Trade Port: 1. The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially launch the island-wide customs closure on December 18, 2025. 2. A series of documents, including the "Notice on Tax Policies for Goods Entering and Leaving the 'First Line' and 'Second Line' of the Hainan Free Trade Port and Their Circulation within the Island" (Finance and Customs Duty [2025] No. 12), the "Notice on the Catalogue of Imported Taxable Commodities in the Hainan Free Trade Port" (Finance and Customs Duty [2025] No. 13), the "Interim Measures of the Customs of the People's Republic of China for the Administration of Tax Collection on Value-Added Duty-Exempt Goods in the Hainan Free Trade Port" (General Administration of Customs Announcement No. 158 of 2025), the "List of Prohibited and Restricted Import and Export Goods and Articles in the Hainan Free Trade Port" (Ministry of Commerce Announcement No. 43 of 2025), and the "Measures of the Customs of the People's Republic of China for the Supervision of the Hainan Free Trade Port" (General Administration of Customs Announcement No. 159 of 2025), will come into effect from the date of the official launch of the island-wide customs closure. (People's Government of Hainan Province)

09:03:22

[Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: A Complex Situation Tests the Fed's Rate Cut Decision] 1. The highly anticipated US non-farm payrolls report will be released on Tuesday, December 16th at 21:30 Beijing time, covering both October and November data. Due to data collection delays caused by the federal government shutdown this fall, October's overall non-farm payrolls are expected to show negative growth (a decrease of 10,000 jobs), mainly due to a significant reduction of approximately 130,000 federal sector jobs. This loss was not directly caused by the shutdown, but rather stemmed from the deferred resignation program introduced by the DOGE (Department for Government Efficiency) at the beginning of the year, which many federal employees opted for. 2. The market has strong expectations for a rebound in employment in November, with economists' median forecast predicting approximately 50,000 new jobs. However, forecasts vary widely, with some analysts expecting even higher growth, reaching an upper limit of 127,000, while the lower limit could be as low as -20,000. This wide fluctuation is mainly due to the government shutdown combined with DOGE layoffs, which significantly interferes with federal employment data and could easily distort the report. 3. Regarding the unemployment rate, this release may lack complete household survey data for October. The sample used for the November unemployment rate was collected at the end of the shutdown, and some furloughed federal employees may have been included in the unemployment figures. Therefore, the November unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly to 4.6% or 4.7% temporarily, but is expected to fall back to near September levels of 4.4%-4.5% in the following months. 4. Overall, the US labor market is at a critical juncture. While this report partially reflects the employment situation, the data anomalies make it difficult to present a complete picture. Other indicators, such as the continued rise in initial jobless claims, the weak ADP private sector employment report, and the stagnant hiring rate despite a recovery in job openings, with many companies adopting a "neither hiring nor laying off" wait-and-see approach, clearly indicate a slowdown in job growth. Future trends depend on whether the economy regains strength in 2026; if the recovery exceeds expectations, employment may rebound significantly. 5. Given data collection and technical issues, the market is likely to downplay the impact of the October employment and November unemployment rates, focusing instead on the November non-farm payrolls data. If November's data significantly exceeds expectations, it will not only indicate an accelerating economy but also influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path next year. Currently, the market is pricing in two more rate cuts before September next year, but the Fed itself predicts only one. If employment figures exceed expectations, market sentiment may align with the Fed's, and the dollar is likely to strengthen.

08:30:03

Preliminary value of Japan's Jibun Composite PMI for December

Previous : 52 Forecast : -

Published Value 51.50

Previous

08:30:02

The preliminary Jibun Services PMI for Japan in December

Previous : 53.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 52.50

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08:30:02

The preliminary Jibun manufacturing PMI for Japan in December

Previous : 48.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 49.70

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08:00:12

New Zealand's OBEGAL operating balance forecast for July

Previous : -147.40 Forecast : -

Published Value -169.30

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08:00:11

Forecast of New Zealand's net debt-to-GDP ratio in July

Previous : 42.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 43.30%

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08:00:10

New Zealand's budget cash balance for July

Previous : -99.90 Forecast : -

Published Value -148

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07:30:34

Australia's Western Pacific/Melbourne Consumer Confidence Index for December

Previous : 103.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 94.50

Previous

07:30:22

Australia's December Western Pacific/Melbourne Consumer Confidence Index monthly rate

Previous : 12.80% Forecast : -

Published Value -9%

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07:30:02

Australia's December Western Pacific/Melbourne Consumer Confidence Index monthly rate

Previous : 12.80% Forecast : -

Published Value -9%

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06:45:12

iShares Silver position changes in the US on December 15th - Daily

Previous : 19.74 Forecast : -

Published Value -42.30

Previous

06:45:12

iShares Gold position changes in the US on December 15th - Daily

Previous : 1.93 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.88

Previous

06:45:11

iShares Silver Holdings in the US on December 15th - Updated Daily

Previous : 16102.90 Forecast : -

Published Value 16060.60

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06:45:10

iShares Gold Holdings in the US on December 15th - Updated Daily

Previous : 488.42 Forecast : -

Published Value 489.30

Previous

06:29:18

SPDR Gold positions in the US on December 15th - Updated Daily

Previous : 1053.12 Forecast : -

Published Value 1051.68

Previous

06:29:18

SPDR Gold position changes in the US on December 15th - Daily

Previous : 2.29 Forecast : -

Published Value -1.43

Previous

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5.61

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