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2025-12-16 Tuesday

2025-12-20

22:09:50

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1830.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1830.50/ounce, up 3.03% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1865.1/ounce, up 2.71% on the day.

22:02:55

[Hawkward Stability: Hungarian Central Bank Combats Inflation Uncertainty with "Patience and Caution"] ⑴ The Hungarian Central Bank stated that maintaining a cautious and patient monetary policy remains necessary. ⑵ The central bank believes that maintaining a tight monetary environment is justified, and that restrictive monetary policy helps maintain the stability of financial markets. ⑶ Future decisions regarding the benchmark interest rate level will be made cautiously and data-driven at each meeting. ⑷ The central bank pointed out that household inflation expectations remain stagnant, indicating that inflationary sentiment has not yet stabilized. ⑸ Meanwhile, corporate price adjustments at the beginning of the year and the timing of the withdrawal of government price controls have brought uncertainty to the inflation outlook. ⑹ The central bank's overall stance maintained a hawkish tone, emphasizing that it will not shift to easing until inflation risks are fully under control, and policy adjustments will be highly dependent on subsequent economic data.

21:59:28

The effective federal funds rate in the United States was 3.64% on December 15, with a trading volume of $97 billion, compared to 3.64% on December 12, with a trading volume of $102 billion.

21:58:36

The annual rate of retail sales in the United States in October

Previous : 4.26% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.50%

21:58:03

[Thailand Plans Charter Flights to Bring Back Citizens Stranded in Cambodia] Thailand's National Security Council announced on December 16 that it will arrange charter flights to bring back Thai citizens stranded in Cambodia. National Security Council Secretary-General Chatchai Bangchul stated that the council has instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to coordinate arrangements for Thai citizens stranded in Cambodia to return to Thailand on charter flights. According to a press conference held by the Thai Ministry of Foreign Affairs that day, there are currently 5,000 to 6,000 Thai citizens stranded on the Cambodian side of the Poipet border crossing between Thailand and Cambodia. (Xinhua)

21:57:36

Following the release of the non-farm payrolls data, a fierce battle ensued between gold bulls and bears around the 4 Details>

21:55:59

The red-book annual rate of commercial retail sales in the United States for the week ending December 8

Previous : 5.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 6.20%

21:55:02

The red-book annual rate of commercial retail sales in the United States for the week ending December 8

Previous : 5.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 6.20%

21:53:05

[Services Activity in the New York Area Continues to Contract in December] ⑴ The New York Fed's General Business Activity Index rose to -20.0 in December from -21.7 in November. Despite the rebound, the reading indicates that services sector business activity in the region continued to decline significantly in December. ⑵ Employment declined for the fourth consecutive month (-7.4, previous -8.6), while wage growth remained moderate (23.7, previous 25.4). Supply availability improved slightly (-7.4, previous -11.1). ⑶ Input prices (72.1, previous 61.9) and sales prices (30.5, previous 20.1) both accelerated. ⑷ Meanwhile, businesses expect no significant improvement in conditions over the next few months. The Business Climate Index slipped slightly to -44.2 (previous -42.2), indicating that the business environment remains worse than normal.

21:52:19

Pfizer's CEO stated that the position of US federal agencies on vaccines is "untenable."

21:51:31

Zelensky: Our negotiating delegation will travel to the United States this weekend.

21:50:35

The non-farm payroll report revealed two opposing sentiments, with gold prices surging and then retreating as it battled for the 4300 level. When will the counterattack begin? Details>

21:50:18

Thailand's National Security Council (NSC) announced on the 16th that it will arrange charter flights to repatriate Thai citizens stranded in Cambodia. NSC Secretary-General Chatchai Bangchul stated that the NSC has instructed the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to coordinate arrangements for Thai citizens stranded in Cambodia to return to Thailand on charter flights. According to a press conference held by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs that day, there are currently 5,000 to 6,000 Thai citizens still stranded on the Cambodian side of the Poipet border crossing between Thailand and Cambodia. (Xinhua)

21:49:51

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the USD/JPY pair rebounded from a low of 154.65 (-0.37%), having fallen as low as 154.39 (-0.49%), and is currently trading at 154.79 (-0.26%).

21:48:39

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract fell 2.01% to $55.68 per barrel on the day.

21:48:34

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, US crude oil prices fluctuated downwards by 22 cents from $55.92 (-1.60%), and are currently trading at $55.70 (-1.97%).

21:47:28

Institutional analysis of November non-farm payrolls: Expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve have increased. Details>

21:47:11

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the euro rose against the dollar from 1.1775 (0.20%) before falling back, reaching a high of 1.1794 (0.31%), and is currently trading at 1.1763 (0.10%).

21:47:08

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,300.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,299.70/ounce, down 0.12% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,329.00/ounce, down 0.14% on the day.

21:46:13

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the pound rose against the dollar from 1.3438 (0.49%) before falling back, reaching a high of 1.3455 (0.58%), and is currently trading at 1.3414 (0.33%).

21:45:27

Analyst Anstey stated that U.S. manufacturing employment has fallen to its lowest level since March 2022—clearly not what the Trump administration wanted. There are currently no signs that policies aimed at bringing manufacturing back to the U.S. will effectively boost job growth. Average hourly earnings growth has slowed to its most modest level since May 2021. While the 3.5% increase is still higher than the inflation rate, real wage growth is decelerating, which does little to alleviate the cost of living pressures on the population.

21:45:06

The decline in U.S. employment in October was the largest drop since the end of 2020, as workers participating in the Trump administration's buyout resignation program officially dropped off the employment list, resulting in a decrease of 162,000 federal government jobs.

21:44:25

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the three major European stock indices showed mixed results on an overall downward trend. The UK's FTSE 100 continued to decline, France's CAC40 index continued to rebound, and Germany's DAX30 index traded sideways.

21:44:00

[UK Announces £600 Million Aid to Ukraine to Strengthen Air Defense Capabilities] British Defence Secretary Healy stated at the 32nd meeting of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group that the UK will allocate £600 million to help Ukraine improve its air defense capabilities. Healy also announced that the UK will soon begin production of the new "Octopus" interceptor drone, meaning that thousands of interceptor drones will subsequently be shipped to Ukraine every month. In October of this year, Ukraine and the UK signed an agreement for the joint production of the "Octopus" interceptor drone. (CCTV)

21:42:50

Analyst Anstey's quick review of the US non-farm payroll report: November's non-farm payroll data slightly exceeded expectations, recording 64,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6% in November, which may attract the attention of the Federal Reserve. However, the labor force participation rate increased, so the rise in the unemployment rate may not be entirely bad news; we still need to examine the specific data more closely. US stock index futures rose, and the two-year US Treasury yield fell—based on the weak performance of non-farm payroll data in recent months, market expectations for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve have increased. It should be noted that the data for August and September were also revised down by a combined 33,000.

21:42:23

[US Nonfarm Payrolls Exceed Expectations in November] US job growth rebounded in November after October's nonfarm payrolls declined due to government spending cuts. The unemployment rate remained at 4.6%, as economic uncertainty stemmed from President Trump's aggressive trade policies and a weakening labor market. The November jobs report and some updates to the October report, released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, did not include the unemployment rate or other October data because the government shutdown for 43 days prevented the collection of household data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said nonfarm payrolls increased by 64,000 last month. The US economy lost 105,000 jobs in October, reflecting the departure of more than 150,000 federal employees who accepted deferred buyouts as part of the Trump administration's efforts to reduce government influence. Most of them disappeared from the government's payroll at the end of September.

21:41:40

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Wage survey collection rate higher than usual

21:41:34

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively reversed their losses and rose in pre-market trading. The mini Dow Jones, mini Nasdaq, and mini S&P 500, which were previously down 0.03%, -0.25%, and -0.13% respectively, have now all turned down again.

21:40:43

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Unable to quantify the impact of the government shutdown on the October-November employment survey.

21:39:39

[US Retail Sales Flat in October, Core Sub-sectors Rebound Strongly] ⑴ US retail sales were flat month-over-month in October, with the previous month's figure revised down to a 0.1% increase, below market expectations of a 0.1% increase. ⑵ Core retail sales (excluding food service, auto dealerships, building material stores, and gas stations), used to calculate GDP, rose sharply by 0.8% month-over-month, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in September. ⑶ Categories with the largest sales increases included: general merchandise retailers (up 2.2%), gas stations (up 1.9%), furniture and home furnishing stores (up 2.3%), and health and personal care stores (up 1.3%). ⑷ Other categories with sales increases included: food and beverage stores (up 0.1%), grocery stores (up 0.3%), electronics and appliance stores (up 0.7%), and general merchandise stores (up 0.5%). (5) On the other hand, sales declined in the following sectors: motor vehicle and parts dealers (down 1.6%), clothing and accessories stores (down 0.9%), sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and bookstores (down 1.7%), building materials and garden equipment and supplies dealers (down 0.9%), and food and beverage service and drinking establishments (down 0.4%).

21:37:55

U.S. retail sales in October

Previous : 7332.58 Forecast : -

Published Value 7326.33

21:37:45

Core retail sales in the United States in October

Previous : 5939.05 Forecast : -

Published Value 5954.03

21:37:31

[Data Fog: A Non-Farm Payroll Report "Distorted" by the Government Shutdown] ⑴ US non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000 in November, stronger than expected, while October's figure was revised to a decrease of 105,000, mainly reflecting the impact of federal employees accepting buyouts. ⑵ The unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, but this data is at risk of distortion due to statistical disruptions caused by the government shutdown; statistical agencies pointed out that its error may be higher than usual. ⑶ Agencies warned that the unusually large number of new samples participating in the November household survey could lead to an upward bias in the unemployment rate. ⑷ Household sentiment towards the labor market deteriorated in November, with economists attributing the slowdown in hiring to the impact of Trump's tariff rhetoric, leading to business caution and affecting consumer spending. ⑸ The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates last week as a result, but hinted that the threshold for further rate cuts in the short term is high, requiring a clearer outlook for the labor market and inflation. ⑹ The Federal Reserve Chairman previously cited preliminary revised data indicating that job growth in the 12 months ending in March may have been 911,000 fewer than originally reported, averaging 76,000 fewer per month, indicating downside risks. (7) The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the final revised employment data benchmark in February next year, which will provide a more accurate basis for judging the true strength of the labor market.

21:37:18

[The Truth About Emerging Jobs: The US Labor Market in a Slow-Paced State] ⑴ A delayed government report showed that the US added 64,000 non-farm jobs in November, while October's figure was revised to a decrease of 105,000. ⑵ The unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, higher than the market expectation of 4.5% and also higher than September's 4.4%. ⑶ The report provides new clues to the recent significant cooling of the job market, revealing that companies are suppressing hiring due to inflation, uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff rhetoric, and tightening immigration policies. ⑷ Economists describe the current environment as one of "low turnover, low hiring," where companies are neither laying off large numbers of employees nor creating many new positions, partly due to hopes for artificial intelligence to replace them. ⑸ These data will be an important reference for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in late January, with the cooling job market being the main reason for its decision to cut interest rates last week. ⑹ However, the Federal Reserve Chairman had previously warned that due to disruptions in data collection, officials would review the data with "a slightly skeptical eye." (7) He also pointed out that official statistics may overestimate by as many as 60,000 jobs per month, meaning that actual employment in the United States may have decreased by 20,000 per month since April. (8) The potential risks of data revision and the limitations of statistical methods have increased the complexity and uncertainty of the market's interpretation of future employment reports.

21:36:21

Influenced by employment and retail sales data, the US interest rate futures market still anticipates two rate cuts in 2026; it expects a 58 basis point easing next year.

21:35:57

U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 105,000 in October.

21:35:56

U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 105,000 in October, compared to market expectations of a 25,000 decline.

21:35:44

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the unemployment rate was 4.6% in November, with 7.8 million unemployed, little changed from September. These figures are higher than last November, when the unemployment rate was 4.2% and the number of unemployed was 7.1 million.

21:35:07

The US September average hourly earnings annual rate was revised to 3.7%, from an initial estimate of 3.8%; the seasonally adjusted US September non-farm payrolls change was revised to 108,000, from an initial estimate of 119,000; the seasonally adjusted US August non-farm payrolls change was revised to -26,000, from an initial estimate of 22,000.

21:34:41

[US October Retail Sales Show Dull Performance, Key Indicators Exceed Expectations] ⑴ US retail sales rose 0.0% month-over-month in October, below the expected 0.1%. The previous figure (September) was revised down from 0.2% to 0.1%. ⑵ Retail sales excluding automobiles rose 0.4% month-over-month, higher than the expected 0.3%. The previous figure was revised down from 0.3% to 0.1%. ⑶ Retail sales excluding automobiles and gasoline rose 0.5% month-over-month, compared to 0.0% in the previous month (revised from 0.1%). The control group (used to calculate GDP) rose 0.8% month-over-month, significantly higher than the expected 0.4%, compared to a 0.1% decline in the previous month. ⑷ Retail sales data is one of the clearest and most timely key indicators of consumer demand, and consumption accounts for about two-thirds of overall US economic activity. Because this data is released monthly and directly included in GDP calculations, the market often uses it to reassess economic growth momentum, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and the short-term direction of Treasury yields, the stock market, and the US dollar. (5) Overall retail sales data measures total spending but can be affected by fluctuations in automobile and gasoline prices. Therefore, traders pay more attention to retail sales excluding automobiles, which more clearly reflects underlying demand; and control group data (excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services), which is directly included in the personal consumption expenditure portion of GDP. (6) Strong control group data generally indicates robust growth in the real economy, while weakness can quickly trigger concerns about a recession or slowdown. (7) Internal category data is just as important as overall data. Strong performance in discretionary consumption categories such as online sales, food services, and general merchandise indicates strong consumer confidence and healthy labor income. (8) Conversely, weak performance in multiple categories or growth dependent on necessities may indicate that consumers are becoming more cautious, even if overall data appears stable. (9) For the market, strong retail sales data often supports higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar, especially if accompanied by signs of rising prices or wages. Weak or slowing sales data typically depress yields and the dollar, reinforcing market expectations of further easing by the Federal Reserve. (10) Traders ultimately use this report to determine whether US consumers are driving growth, merely maintaining growth, or beginning to contract, which affects both short-term market trends and shapes the broader macroeconomic landscape.

21:34:25

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, spot gold rose rapidly by $11 from $4301 (-0.07%) to $4312 (0.16%). Before the data release, gold had already risen by $20.

21:34:24

Boosted by the jobs data, Federal Reserve funds futures prices indicated that the market had slightly increased the likelihood of a January rate cut; the index rose from 22% to 31% before the jobs data was released.

21:34:16

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell 0.67% to 4.142% during the day.

21:33:24

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that among key working-age groups, the youth unemployment rate was 16.3% in November, up from September. Unemployment rates for adult men (4.1%), adult women (4.1%), whites (3.9%), blacks (8.3%), Asians (3.6%), and Hispanics (5.0%) remained largely unchanged.

21:33:10

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: In November, employment increased in the healthcare and construction sectors, while federal government jobs continued to decline.

21:32:46

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revised August's nonfarm payrolls figure to -26,000 from -4,000; and September's figure to 108,000 from 119,000. The revised figures show that the combined job gains for August and September were 33,000 lower than the initial figures.

21:32:19

Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the US dollar index accelerated its decline by 15 points from 98.05 (-0.23%), and the current drop has widened to 97.90 (-0.38%). Prior to the data release, the US dollar index had already fallen by 18 points.

21:32:06

The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since September 2021.

21:31:35

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,310.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,310.03/ounce, up 0.12% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,339.90/ounce, up 0.11% on the day.

21:31:32

The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since September 2021.

21:31:14

U.S. Treasury yields fell after the data release; the 10-year Treasury yield was last down 2.7 basis points to 4.157%. The yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was last at a positive value of 67.1%. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield was last down 2.5 basis points to 3.483%.

21:30:45

The New Zealand dollar has just broken through the 0.5800 level against the US dollar, last trading at 0.5801, up 0.37% on the day.

21:30:14

The monthly rate of core retail sales in the United States for October

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : 0.30%

美元

金银欧元

Published Value 0.40%

21:30:14

U.S. retail sales of automobiles and gasoline for October - seasonally adjusted monthly rate

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.50%

21:30:14

The month-on-month rate of the retail sales control group related to the U.S. GDP in October - seasonally adjusted

Previous : -0.10% Forecast : 0.40%

Published Value 0.80%

21:30:12

The annual rate of average hourly wages in the United States for October and November

Previous : 3.80% Forecast : 3.60%

金银石油

美元

Published Value 3.50%

21:30:12

Job changes in US government departments from October to November

Previous : 2.20 Forecast : -

Published Value -0.50

21:30:11

The monthly average hourly wage rate in the United States from October to November

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.30%

金银石油

美元

Published Value 0.10%

21:30:11

The labor force participation rate in the United States for October and November

Previous : 62.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 62.50%

21:30:10

The unemployment rate in the United States for October and November

Previous : 4.40% Forecast : 4.40%

金银石油

美元

Published Value 4.60%

21:30:09

Seasonally adjusted changes in manufacturing employment in the United States for October and November

Previous : -0.60 Forecast : -0.50

Neutral

Published Value -0.50

21:30:08

The average weekly working hours in the United States from October to November

Previous : 34.20 Forecast : 34.20

美元

金银石油

Published Value 34.30

21:30:07

Seasonally adjusted changes in non-farm payrolls in the United States for October and November

Previous : 11.90 Forecast : 5

美元

金银石油

Published Value 6.40

21:30:06

The U6 unemployment rate in the United States for October and November

Previous : 8% Forecast : -

Published Value 8.70%

21:30:06

Changes in non-farm payrolls of private enterprises in the United States from October to November

Previous : 9.70 Forecast : 4.50

美元

金银石油

Published Value 6.90

21:30:02

U.S. retail sales monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.10%

金银欧元

美元

Published Value 0%

21:29:38

Is the Australian dollar poised to "buy low" against the US dollar in 2026? Details>

21:29:09

[German Research Institute: The Future of the Automotive Industry Lies in Cooperation with China] A report released on the 15th by the Bochum Automotive Research Institute in Germany, forecasting the global passenger car market to 2026, states that China's importance in the global automotive market is further increasing, and the future of the automotive industry lies in cooperation with China. "Without the Chinese market, it's impossible to truly enter the automotive industry," said Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, the report's author, a German automotive economics expert, and director of the Bochum Automotive Research Institute. He added that the increasing economies of scale brought by the Chinese market and its complete supply chain, as well as China's rapid development and innovation in cutting-edge technologies such as power batteries, new energy vehicles, and autonomous driving, are key drivers propelling the global automotive industry towards electrification and intelligentization. (Xinhua)

21:26:24

[Non-Farm Payrolls "Judgment Day": How Does a Report Define the Fed's "Right or Wrong"?] ⑴ Analysts point out that today's US non-farm payrolls report is crucial for Federal Reserve policymakers. ⑵ Although the Fed's next interest rate decision won't be until January 28th, and will refer to December data, this report is not entirely decisive. ⑶ However, the report's results will directly influence the market's assessment of whether last week's Fed rate cut decision was wise. ⑷ Given the significant internal divisions within the Fed at last week's policy meeting, this data will be key evidence in judging the positions of both sides. ⑸ If the employment data is weak, it will prove that last week's rate cut decision was forward-looking and supported the position of dovish officials. ⑹ Conversely, if the data shows the job market remains robust, it will significantly strengthen the arguments of hawkish officials who advocate delaying rate cuts, making the rate cut decision face more scrutiny.

21:24:47

[Copper Prices Fluctuate at High Levels, Year-End Liquidity Shortages Amplify Volatility Risk] ⑴ Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell 0.2% on Tuesday to settle at $11,635 per tonne, as the market remained cautious ahead of key US employment data and year-end liquidity tightened. ⑵ Analysts point out that in a liquidity-scarce environment, price volatility in base metals is amplified, making the entire sector prone to sudden and sharp fluctuations at the end of the year. ⑶ Copper prices have risen 33% so far this year, on track for their biggest annual gain since 2009, driven primarily by mine supply disruptions, US inventory outflows, and expectations of surging demand from AI data centers and the energy transition. ⑷ Commodity strategists believe the core issue lies on the supply side, expecting the market to shift from surplus to shortage next year. While current demand is weak, the market is more focused on the long-term demand outlook driven by global electrification. ⑸ The Yangshan copper premium, a measure of import demand, remained stable this week at a two-month high of $42 per tonne, providing some support for copper prices.

21:23:20

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant told Fox Business that the view that Kevin Hassett would lack autonomy if he became the next Federal Reserve chairman was "wrong." He added that Hassett was "very, very qualified."

21:23:05

[Initial Signs of Recovery: ADP Data Shows US Job Market May Be Stabilizing and Rebounding] ⑴ The ADP weekly employment report shows that in the four weeks ending November 29, US private sector companies added an average of 16,250 jobs per week. ⑵ The data shows that the US job market continued to strengthen in the second half of November, suggesting that private sector hiring activity may be stabilizing and rebounding. ⑶ This job growth occurred after four consecutive weeks of job losses, potentially marking the end of a period of weakness in the labor market. ⑷ This data is preliminary and may be revised as more information becomes available, but the initial trend provides positive clues for assessing the state of the labor market.

21:22:55

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,300.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,300.03/ounce, down 0.11% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,328.80/ounce, down 0.15% on the day.

21:19:41

Argentina's Economy Minister: Argentina's economy is expected to grow by 4% to 8% in 2026.

21:18:44

According to the latest views of Ashley Lester, Chief Research Officer at MSCI, investors will still enter 2026 in a world of continued growth and innovation, despite greater pressure on the institutional foundations underpinning global markets. The firm expects investments surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) to remain a central focus of the market in 2026.

21:18:09

ADP, the US-based automated data processing company, reported continued strength in data for the second half of November, suggesting a potential rebound in hiring.

21:17:19

ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending November 29, private sector employers added an average of 16,250 jobs per week.

21:16:52

December 16th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:14:35

Belarus' industrial output fell 5.7% year-on-year in November.

21:13:53

[Central Financial and Economic Affairs Office: Actively and Steadily Promote Carbon Peaking] An official from the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Office explained the spirit of the 2025 Central Economic Work Conference, which mentioned actively and steadily promoting carbon peaking. Next year will be the first year of the comprehensive shift from dual control of energy consumption to dual control of carbon emissions. It is necessary to further consolidate the foundation of carbon emission statistics and accounting, and implement a dual control system for total carbon emissions and intensity. Coal and oil are the main sources of energy consumption and carbon emissions in my country. It is necessary to further promote energy conservation and carbon reduction transformation in key industries, and steadily promote the peaking of coal and oil consumption. It is also necessary to strengthen the construction of the national carbon emissions trading market and improve the voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading system. (Xinhua News Agency)

21:12:44

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: The United States will discuss Ukraine's security guarantees, the 20-point plan, and reconstruction plans with Russia. The timeframe for the US security guarantees has not yet been discussed.

21:12:20

The Finnish Prime Minister stated that he has not found any signs that Russia is seeking peace.

21:10:03

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that Russia will not compromise on the issues concerning the Donbas region, the Republic of Crimea, the Zaporizhzhia region, and the Kherson region.

21:09:23

[Hungarian Central Bank's Pre-Election Balancing Strategy: Balancing Inflation and Exchange Rate] ⑴ The Hungarian central bank, as expected, kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.5% on Tuesday, marking the 15th consecutive month of stabilization. ⑵ This policy meeting comes amid uncertainty about the domestic inflation outlook and the approaching parliamentary elections (potentially in April), reflecting a cautious approach. ⑶ The central bank will release new inflation forecasts later on Tuesday, with a downward revision to the 2026 inflation outlook expected, as the governor previously hinted that average inflation next year might be below 3.8%. ⑷ Some analysts believe this even opens the door to a small rate cut before the election, making Tuesday's central bank statement a key indicator of a policy shift. ⑸ Deutsche Bank analysis suggests that Hungary may experience a more significant slowdown in inflation in the short term, thanks to a stronger forint and government price controls that will likely continue at least until the election. ⑹ While the market perceives the central bank's stance as hawkish, a rate cut before the election is still anticipated, provided the forint remains stable and inflation falls below target. ⑺ The central bank stated that the December inflation report will be crucial in determining the stance of monetary policy next year. (8) High interest rates have supported the forint's appreciation against the euro by nearly 7% this year, but uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the 2026 election has introduced uncertainty into the fiscal outlook and the future of existing price control policies.

21:07:23

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Members of Congress are outperforming too much in stock trading. Congress should stop (members') stock trading activities.

21:05:10

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The Fannie Mae-Freddie Mac IPO has not been ruled out. The IPO is expected sometime next year.

21:04:55

US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Sanctions can be effective if implemented strongly and fully. He believes the Maduro regime is "on the verge of collapse."

21:04:40

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The macroeconomy is expected to improve in the first quarter. Tax refunds of $100 billion to $150 billion are expected in the first quarter. Each household could receive a refund of $1,000 to $2,000.

21:02:23

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1810.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1809.95/oz, up 1.87% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1845.3/oz, up 1.62% on the day.

21:01:53

[Bank of America Survey Shows AI Bubble is the Biggest "Tail Risk"] A Bank of America global fund manager survey shows that investor concerns about an artificial intelligence bubble have eased slightly, but remain at a high level. The vast majority of investors surveyed still consider an AI bubble the biggest "tail risk" (i.e., a low-probability event that, if it occurs, will cause huge losses), with 38% of respondents holding this view, down from 45% in the November survey. Another 19% of investors believe that disorderly increases in bond yields are the biggest tail risk. This month, private lending was listed as a new risk factor, with 14% of surveyed fund managers believing it to be the biggest "tail risk" for the coming year.

20:55:36

[Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission: Next Year, a New Batch of Policies and Measures to Optimize the Foreign Investment Environment Will Be Introduced, Guided by Deepening the Reform of the Foreign Investment Promotion System and Mechanism] A relevant official from the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission explained the spirit of the 2025 Central Economic Work Conference. The official stated that, focusing on continuously optimizing the business environment and attracting foreign investment, next year, a new batch of policies and measures to optimize the foreign investment environment will be introduced, guided by deepening the reform of the foreign investment promotion system and mechanism. This includes further relaxing market access, expanding pilot programs in areas such as value-added telecommunications and biotechnology, implementing the requirement of "both market access and operation," and addressing the problem of "open doors but closed back doors" in market access. Foreign investment support policies will be optimized to promote reinvestment of foreign capital in China and support foreign-invested enterprises in accelerating localized production and participating in upstream and downstream supply chain collaboration. Supporting policies for foreign-invested enterprises to establish R&D centers in China will be improved. A sound service and support system for foreign investment will be established, fully implementing national treatment in areas of concern to foreign-invested enterprises, such as access to factors of production, qualification licensing, standard setting, and government procurement. A multi-level, regular communication and exchange mechanism will be improved to help foreign-invested enterprises solve their problems. (Xinhua News Agency)

20:51:59

[Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission: Moderately Loose Monetary Policy Will Continue Next Year] A relevant official from the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission explained the spirit of the 2025 Central Economic Work Conference. The official stated that a moderately loose monetary policy will continue to be implemented next year. First, promoting stable economic growth and a reasonable recovery in prices will be a key consideration in monetary policy, a new approach introduced at this year's conference. Monetary policy will strengthen forward-looking and scientific adjustments, maintain ample liquidity, keep social financing conditions relatively loose, promote low overall social financing costs, and work in synergy with other policy measures to strive to achieve goals such as economic growth and price recovery. Second, a variety of monetary policy tools will be used flexibly and efficiently. The monetary policy toolbox includes reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate cuts, and other short-, medium-, and long-term liquidity injection tools. Next year, various tools will be used flexibly and efficiently to ensure that the growth of social financing and money supply matches the expected targets for economic growth and the overall price level. Third, support will be strengthened for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and medium-sized enterprises. Structural monetary policy tools will continue to be used effectively, efforts will be made to smooth the monetary policy transmission mechanism, and the quality and efficiency of financial services to the real economy will be continuously improved. At the same time, it is necessary to continue to balance internal and external relations and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. (Xinhua)

20:51:21

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: There is an inflation problem, but also a price level problem. Rising real wages will solve this problem. Price levels have become very high.

20:50:00

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1820.00/oz mark, last trading at $1820.20/oz, up 2.45% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1855.2/oz, up 2.16% on the day.

20:48:27

US Treasury Secretary Bessant: Federal Reserve Chair needs to have an open mind

20:48:18

US Treasury Secretary Bessant: Inflation is expected to decline sharply in the first six months of 2026.

20:46:53

[Personnel battle intensifies; US Treasury Secretary "foreshadows" imminent announcement of new Fed chair] ⑴ US Treasury Secretary Bessant said on Tuesday that the new Fed chair is expected to be determined in early January. ⑵ In an interview, Bessant emphasized that former Fed Governor Walsh and White House National Economic Council Director Hassett are both highly qualified for the position. ⑶ He refuted claims that the new Fed chair would lack independence and stressed that the Fed chair needs to maintain an open mind. ⑷ Bessant expressed optimism about the prospects for American workers next year. ⑸ This statement has heightened market attention on the next Fed chair candidate, with the policy inclinations of the two main candidates becoming a crucial variable in future monetary policy.

20:45:22

Bessant refuted the view that the new Federal Reserve chairman would lack independence.

20:45:05

Bessant: Warsh and Hassett are both very, very qualified (to become Federal Reserve Chairs).

20:44:25

Bessant: Trump has always been very direct in interviews about policy.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4338.22	5.61 (0.13%)
XAG	67.126	1.664 (2.54%)
CONC	56.54	0.54 (0.96%)
OILC	60.48	0.76 (1.28%)
USD	98.717	0.277 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1707	-0.0014 (-0.12%)
GBPUSD	1.3375	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
USDCNH	7.0341	0.0029 (0.04%)

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