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2026-05-27 Wednesday

2026-05-30

19:00:04

The MBA Mortgage purchase Index for the week ending May 22 in the United States

Previous : 170.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 169.70

19:00:03

The MBA Mortgage Refinancing Activity Index for the week ending May 22 in the United States

Previous : 920.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 753.70

19:00:03

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate of the US MBA for the week ending May 22

Previous : 6.56% Forecast : -

Published Value 6.65%

19:00:03

The MBA Mortgage application Activity index in the United States for the week ending May 22

Previous : 283.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 259.40

18:57:50

[Oil Price Transmission Not Over Yet: US Grocery Inflation Resurfaces, April's Increase Hit Nearly Four-Year High] ⑴ Just as Americans are grappling with soaring gas prices, another wave of inflation is hitting supermarkets. In April, US food prices saw their biggest increase in nearly four years. A combination of factors, including severe weather, tariff barriers, and declining cattle numbers, has led to above-average increases in grocery prices. ⑵ Economists point out that the impact of the Iran war and a potential El Niño climate pattern will continue to exert upward pressure on food prices until 2027. Ricky Volpe, a professor of agricultural economics at Caltech, says food prices will become increasingly unaffordable, and consumers should prepare themselves. The latest USDA food price outlook predicts a 3.2% increase in grocery prices this year, while Professor Volpe expects actual inflation to be around 4% to 4.5%. ⑶ The financial impact of rising grocery bills on American households is expected to worsen further ahead of the November midterm elections, making affordability a key issue in the election.

18:52:18

[Crude oil price decline drags raw sugar down to a four-week low of 14.33 cents, while cocoa bucks the trend, surging 2.8% to continue its strong performance] ⑴ Raw sugar futures fell to a four-week low on Wednesday, with the most active contract touching 14.33 cents per pound before closing down 1.2% at 14.36 cents. Traders said the decline in the crude oil market put downward pressure on sugar prices, as lower energy prices may prompt sugar mills to use more sugarcane for sugar production rather than bioethanol. The market is awaiting data on sugar and ethanol production in Brazil's south-central region for the second half of April, to be released later on Wednesday. White sugar futures also fell 1.6% to $430.10 per tonne. ⑵ London cocoa futures continued their recent strong performance, rising 2.8% to £3,241 per tonne on Wednesday, after recording a 10.2% gain in the previous session. Traders noted that the price chart is becoming more positive, but improved production prospects in Côte d'Ivoire remain a bearish factor. New York cocoa futures rose 3.7% to $4,323 per tonne. (3) Arabica coffee futures rose 0.5% to $2.7530 per pound, with traders saying that buying from roasters in recent days provided support for prices. Robusta coffee futures fell slightly by 0.3% to $3,368 per tonne.

18:48:33

Iran says it has not yet reached an agreement with the United States on the Strait of Hormuz, causing spot gold to fall further; it is currently down 1.24%.

18:33:33

[Iranian uncertainty limits pound's upside potential; UK energy price cap slashed by 13%, but supermarket inflation falls to 3.1%] ⑴ The pound weakened against the euro for the second consecutive trading day, remaining relatively stable against the dollar at 1.3452. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East peace process kept traders cautious. While the nearly 7% drop in oil prices this week provided some respite for import-dependent currencies like the pound, the overall trading range was narrow and volatility was subdued, reflecting a lack of clear trading direction among investors. ⑵ On Wednesday, the UK energy regulator Ofgem slashed its energy price cap by 13%, the largest increase in over two years, mainly due to the Middle East conflict pushing up wholesale gas prices. Kathleen Brooks, head of research at XTB, pointed out that the increased use of renewable energy in the UK meant that this price cap increase was less than that during the 2022 Ukraine crisis. If a peace agreement is reached in the coming days and the Strait of Hormuz reopens, energy prices could fall further, thus limiting future bill increases. (3) Regarding supermarket inflation, Worldpanel data shows that in the four weeks ending May 17, the UK grocery inflation rate slowed to 3.1% from 3.8% in the previous period, the lowest pace since December 2024. However, the full impact of the Iranian conflict has not yet been fully transmitted to supermarket prices. Money market data indicates that traders expect the Bank of England to raise interest rates once this year, with a less than 50% chance of a second rate hike, suggesting that market concerns about the impact of inflationary pressures on the economy have eased compared to two weeks ago.

18:32:50

[Sri Lanka's Long-Term Bond Auction Shows Steep Yield Curve, 11.86% in 2030, Rising to 12.93% in 2035] ⑴ The Sri Lankan government completed three rounds of long-term government bond auctions on Wednesday. The closing yield for bonds maturing on August 1, 2030, was 11.86%, and the yield for bonds maturing on January 15, 2033, was 12.32%. ⑵ The highest yield was for bonds maturing on March 15, 2035, reaching 12.93%. The yields across the three maturities showed a clear steepening trend, with the spread widening to 107 basis points from 2030 to 2035. ⑶ The auction results indicate that investors are demanding a higher risk premium for ultra-long-term bonds, reflecting market concerns about longer-term inflation and fiscal conditions. The steepness of the yield curve also reflects that Sri Lanka will still need to attract long-term funding at a higher cost after debt restructuring.

18:28:12

[Heat Wave Sweeps Europe, Wind Power Plummets by Nearly 10 GW, German Electricity Prices Surge 31% to €112.8] ⑴ German baseload electricity prices jumped 31.16% to €112.8 per megawatt-hour on Wednesday. Consulting firm Mind Energy pointed out that the heat wave in Germany and other parts of Europe, coupled with sluggish wind power output, was the main reason for the surge in spot prices. On Thursday, German wind power supply is expected to decrease by 9.67 GW to 4.39 GW, while French wind power supply will only increase slightly by 790 MW to 2.67 GW, approximately 10% of the country's installed wind power capacity. ⑵ Most of Europe experienced unusually high temperatures this week, leading to increased demand for cooling and boosting electricity consumption. Analysts at Engie EnergyScan stated that extremely strong solar output in the region at midday pushed spot prices to near zero euros per megawatt-hour for some periods. On Thursday, German solar power generation is expected to increase by 1.3 GW to 23.35 GW, while French solar output will decrease slightly by 150 MW to 6.4 GW. (3) France's nuclear energy availability rate remained at 87% of total capacity. Regarding forward contracts, the German 2027 baseload contract fell 0.81% to €92.25 per megawatt-hour, while the French 2027 contract remained unchanged at €56. Natural gas prices declined slightly due to ample supply, while the benchmark European carbon contract rose 1.5% to €79.23 per tonne.

18:26:38

[Iran Says No Agreement Reached with US on Strait of Hormuz] According to Iranian sources on the 27th, Ali Bagheri, Deputy Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran and the United States have not yet reached an agreement on issues related to the Strait of Hormuz. Bagheri indicated that Iran and Oman are currently consulting on a new mechanism for ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and indirect contact between Iran and the US is continuing. He also stated that the issue of Iran's enriched uranium is not currently on the agenda for Iran-US negotiations. (CCTV News)

18:13:13

[HKEX: Launches Market-Wide Trading Fee Waiver for Gold Futures] The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) announced a market-wide trading fee discount for US dollar gold futures contracts, along with incentive programs for liquidity providers and active traders. These arrangements will take effect in July 2026 for a period of twelve months and are subject to change by the Exchange from time to time. I. The Exchange will waive the original US$1 trading fee (calculated per contract per side) for US dollar gold futures contracts. This fee waiver will apply from July 6, 2026 to June 30, 2027 (inclusive). II. Applications are now open for the Liquidity Provider Incentive Program and the Active Trader Incentive Program for US dollar gold futures, with the program period from July 6, 2026 to June 30, 2027 (inclusive). Applicants may only participate in one of the Liquidity Provider Program or the Active Trader Incentive Program and cannot participate in both programs simultaneously. Applicants who intend to participate in the Liquidity Provider Incentive Program, or who intend to participate in the Active Trader Incentive Program from July 6, 2026, must submit their applications on or before June 16, 2026.

18:09:15

[India's 364-day Treasury bill yield breaks 6%, hitting a 14-month high; spread with 10-year government bonds narrows sharply to 95 basis points] ⑴ The yield on India's 364-day Treasury bills rose to 6.03% on Wednesday, breaking the 6% mark for the first time in nearly 14 months, and marking the sixth consecutive week of increases for this instrument. A trader at a small financial bank said that rising market concerns about interest rate hikes and investors' reluctance to make any directional bets on the one-year maturity were the main reasons for the continued rise in short-term interest rates. ⑵ This change in the yield curve led to a sharp narrowing of the spread between the 364-day Treasury bill and 10-year government bond yields, from 140 basis points two weeks ago to 95 basis points, the lowest level in four months. ⑶ The current one-year overnight index swap rate is 6.10%, indicating that market expectations for higher short-term interest rates are still brewing. The Reserve Bank of India will announce its latest interest rate decision on June 5, and the market will closely watch whether the central bank will take action to address inflationary pressures. The continued rise in short-term interest rates has added more uncertainty to next week's policy meeting.

18:07:21

[Hamas Source Confirms Death of Military Leader Awda] Sources within the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) told Xinhua News Agency on the 27th that Hamas's new military leader, Mohammed Awda, was killed in an Israeli military attack on the Gaza Strip on the 26th. Earlier, Israel had announced the killing of Awda. (Xinhua)

18:06:21

[Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao Holds Talks with German Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy Reichschaft] On May 27, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao held talks with German Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy Reichschaft in Beijing. The two sides exchanged views on issues such as China-Germany and China-EU economic and trade relations. Wang Wentao pointed out that the EU has recently introduced a series of protectionist trade restrictions, which have seriously disrupted cooperation between Chinese and European enterprises. China and Germany are both major manufacturing, exporting, and trading nations, and beneficiaries of economic globalization. They should jointly support free trade and multilateralism, and be advocates of openness and inclusiveness, practitioners of mutual benefit and win-win cooperation, and pioneers of innovation. China is willing to strengthen dialogue and consultation with Germany, lengthen the list of cooperation areas, shorten the list of issues, and jointly promote the steady and long-term development of China-EU economic and trade relations. (Ministry of Commerce)

18:02:02

[Swiss Franc Shorts Face Challenges, JPMorgan Acknowledges Pressure on Positions, Morgan Stanley Bullish and Shorts EUR/CHF] ⑴ The Swiss franc weakened against the US dollar and cross-currency pairs on Tuesday, but the decline gradually stalled on Wednesday, with a mild rebound underway. In recent trading days, physical funds and systematic accounts have consistently appeared on the buying side of the Swiss franc, providing support for the exchange rate. ⑵ JPMorgan Chase is one of several institutions holding short positions in the Swiss franc. While the institution prefers to express this trading strategy through AUD/CHF, it also acknowledges that its current positions are under pressure. Month-end rebalancing flows pose another short-term obstacle for Swiss franc shorts, as the end of the month in recent months has often tended to support a stronger Swiss franc. ⑶ Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, is bullish on the Swiss franc and holds short positions in EUR/CHF, citing the Swiss National Bank's failure to clearly signal its defense of the 0.90 to 0.91 range. Morgan Stanley also pointed out that the decline in global yields following consecutive lower-than-expected April CPI data could provide further support for the Swiss franc. However, the options market has already reflected the current stalemate, with the spot exchange rate fluctuating within a range and actual volatility remaining low.

17:57:05

[US Treasury Yields Fall Across the Board, Dollar Under Pressure as Expectations of Middle East Diplomatic Breakthrough Fuel Cautious Optimism] ⑴ US Treasury yields across all maturities fell on Tuesday, with the dollar index dropping 0.1% to 99.09. Bas Kooijman, CEO of DHF Capital SA, stated that investors remained optimistic that a Middle East diplomatic breakthrough could ultimately lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and alleviate energy price-related inflationary pressures, pushing yields to continue their decline from the previous trading day. ⑵ Data showed that the 10-year US Treasury yield fell 2.8 basis points to 4.463%. The market is still cautiously weighing the prospects of a peace agreement, with no overly optimistic buying. ⑶ Market focus has now shifted to the personal consumption expenditure price index and GDP data to be released on Thursday. Kooijman pointed out that these two data points could be important catalysts for the dollar and US Treasury yields; if inflation data is higher than expected or economic growth data changes, it could reverse the current trend of declining yields.

17:54:35

[Poland's exports to the UK approached 80 billion złoty last year, with the UK remaining its fourth-largest export market, while imports were only 26 billion złoty] ⑴ Data from the Polish Statistical Office shows that in 2025, Poland's exports to the UK will approach 80 billion złoty (approximately 18.9 billion euros), making the UK Poland's fourth-largest export destination. In 2024, Poland's total exports to the UK amounted to 79.4 billion złoty, with major export categories including transport equipment, food, beverages and tobacco, as well as machinery and industrial equipment. ⑵ Meanwhile, in 2025, Poland's total imports from the UK will only be 26 billion złoty (approximately 6.1 billion euros), with the UK failing to enter Poland's top ten import partners. Poland's main import sources are, in order, Germany, China, and the United States. In 2024, the main products imported from the UK were transport equipment, machinery and industrial equipment, and plastic products. ⑶ According to data from the UK Department for Business and Trade, Poland is the UK's 15th largest trading partner, accounting for 1.8% of the UK's total trade.

17:54:03

[Iranian Conflict Disrupts Gulf Shipping Routes, Indian Basmati Rice Exports Drop 7% in First Four Months, Shipping Insurance and Freight Rates Rise] ⑴ Two Indian government officials said on Wednesday that India's rice exports fell 1.3% year-on-year to 8.39 million tons in the first four months of 2026, with exports of high-quality Basmati rice falling 7% to 2.3 million tons. The main reason was that the conflict between the US and Israel over Iran disrupted shipping routes to the Gulf market. India accounts for more than 40% of global rice exports, exceeding the combined exports of Thailand, Vietnam, and Pakistan. ⑵ Iran was long the largest buyer of Indian Basmati rice until Saudi Arabia surpassed it last year. Currently, rice shipments bound for Iran, Iraq, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are stuck en route due to the conflict, with both buyers and sellers suspending new transactions. A New Delhi exporter expects shipments to remain below normal levels until the conflict in Iran ends. ⑶ Since the outbreak of the conflict in late February, which disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, marine insurance and freight costs have risen significantly, which has also suppressed demand for non-Basmati rice from African buyers. Indian rice prices have already been pressured by a record harvest, falling by more than 5% this year, and declining exports will further exacerbate price pressures.

17:50:20

[German Bond Auction Shows Maturity Divergence Again: 30-Year Bonds Close Strong with Zero Spread, 15-Year Bonds Slightly Weaken] ⑴ Germany completed its auction of 15-year and 30-year government bonds on Wednesday, with a total issuance of €1.549 billion. Overall demand was good. The 30-year bonds, issued in additional issuance, performed particularly strongly, with an issuance size of €787 million, an average yield of 3.500%, 0.5 basis points lower than the pre-issuance quote, a zero tail spread, and a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.85. ⑵ The 15-year bonds issued totaled €763 million, with an average yield of 3.300%, 0.2 basis points higher than the pre-issuance quote, a 3-pip tail spread, and a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.54. This tranche performed slightly weaker at the close of bidding, with yields slightly higher than the pre-issuance quote range. (3) The two auctions continued the maturity divergence pattern seen in previous German bond issuances: the 30-year ultra-long-term bonds attracted strong institutional subscriptions with their strong performance of negative spreads and zero tails, while the 15-year bonds, although still at a reasonable coverage level, showed positive spreads and positive tails, indicating that investors were relatively cautious about allocating to medium-term bonds.

17:45:29

[Heat Wave and Sharp Drop in Wind Power Cause German Electricity Prices to Jump 29% as Cooling Demand Surges to Decades High] ⑴ German electricity prices jumped 29% on Wednesday as a heat wave across much of Europe boosted cooling demand, while wind power output was expected to decrease by 9.7 gigawatts to 4.4 gigawatts from the previous day, forcing the grid to rely on more expensive power sources such as natural gas and coal to cover the demand gap. ⑵ EnergyScan, a subsidiary of the French Engie Group, analyzed that unusually warm weather was the dominant factor, with cooling days (a measure of air conditioning demand) reaching their highest level for this time of year in decades. This warm pattern is expected to continue until the weekend, keeping electricity demand high, while strong solar power output during the midday hours continues to ease pressure on the grid. ⑶ According to weather forecasts, temperatures in southern and western Germany are expected to reach 30 degrees Celsius on Thursday, with midday peaks exceeding 30 degrees Celsius in most parts of France. Remaining load (covering non-renewable energy generation) is expected to increase by 8.2 gigawatts to 23.5 gigawatts, indicating that traditional energy output needs to be significantly increased to balance the system.

17:45:04

The 99 mark for the US dollar has become a major battleground! A triple whammy of inflation, energy, and policy factors is about to ignite a market surge. Details>

17:42:57

[Iranian Intelligence Ministry: Enemy Forces Are Pressuring Iran Through "Soft Warfare"] On the 27th local time, Iran's Ministry of Intelligence issued a statement saying that "hostile forces" are attempting to exert new pressure on Iran through "soft warfare," "cognitive warfare," and other "hybrid warfare" methods. The statement said that, according to information obtained by Iran, the enemy is currently focusing on seven areas: increasing economic pressure, using social issues to incite public opinion, provoking ethnic and religious conflicts, carrying out terrorist attacks and sabotage, smuggling weapons and illegal communication equipment, launching cyberattacks, and conducting information warfare through foreign Persian-language media and social media platforms. The statement also indicated that the enemy had attempted to launch ground operations from western and northwestern Iran using armed groups, but these plans were thwarted by Iran. The statement also accused some foreign media outlets of participating in information warfare and claimed that Iranian intelligence agencies had seized a large quantity of weapons and communication equipment. (CCTV News)

17:40:38

The Financial Times reports that six EU member states are urging the EU to protect its heavy industries from carbon cost shocks, warning that the EU's climate policy must be adjusted against the backdrop of geopolitical crises and "exceptionally high" energy prices.

17:39:04

[Gold Prices Under Pressure for Second Consecutive Day as US-Iran Peace Talks Fade, Rising Rate Hike Expectations Threaten $4450 Level] ⑴ Spot gold fell as much as 0.3% to $4494.16 per ounce on Wednesday, marking its second consecutive day of decline. Iran stated on Tuesday that the US had attacked targets near the Strait of Hormuz, violating the ceasefire agreement, shaking market hopes for a peace agreement between the US and Iran, while inflationary concerns stemming from the conflict persist. ⑵ Analyst Lukman Otunuga stated that as hopes for a peace agreement fade, gold prices have retreated and are approaching the $4450 support level. Price pressures from the conflict are steadily increasing market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, putting further downward pressure on gold. ⑶ If further signs emerge indicating rising price pressures, it could further strengthen market bets that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period, posing a greater downside risk to gold.

17:34:41

[German Bond Auction Shows Dramatic Contrast: 30-Year Demand Surges to 1.8, 15-Year Demand Halved] ⑴ The German central bank auctioned €787 million of newly issued 2.90% coupon 30-year bonds on Wednesday, with an average yield of 3.50%, a significant drop from the previous auction's 3.62%. The bid coverage ratio was 1.8, a substantial increase from the previous 1.3, indicating strong demand for long-term bonds. ⑵ On the same day, €763 million of 2.60% coupon 15-year bonds were auctioned, with an average yield of 3.30%, slightly lower than the previous 3.34%. However, the bid coverage ratio plummeted from 2.7 to 1.5, almost halved, indicating significantly weak demand for medium-term bonds. ⑶ The two auctions presented starkly different demand patterns: 30-year bonds saw higher coverage despite lower yields, while 15-year bonds, although yields also declined, experienced a significant drop in bidding enthusiasm. This divergence is reflected at the long end of the yield curve, where investors are more inclined to lock in higher absolute returns through ultra-long-term instruments.

17:33:23

[Poland's Long-Term Bond Issuance Reaches Nearly 10 Billion Złoty in a Single Day, with 4.1 Billion Złoty in 2031 Molds, Multiple Maturities Concentrated for Replenishment] ⑴ The Polish Ministry of Finance completed a series of bond issuances on Wednesday, covering multiple maturities, raising a total of approximately 10.07 billion złoty. The largest issuance was for bonds maturing in July 2031, reaching 4.09 billion złoty. ⑵ Other maturities included 3.06 billion złoty for bonds maturing in April 2036, 1.63 billion złoty for bonds maturing in October 2033, 785 million złoty for bonds maturing in March 2031, 190 million złoty for bonds maturing in January 2029, and 355 million złoty for bonds maturing in September 2036. ⑶ This issuance focused on medium- to ultra-long-term maturities, demonstrating the Polish Ministry of Finance's active need to secure long-term financing at current yield levels. Nearly 4.88 billion zlotys were issued across two maturities in 2031, forming the main component of this round of supply.

17:30:01

[Ethanol Enters Marine Fuel Market: Global Shipping Giant Deepens Roots in US Corn Belt, $152 Million in Export Value Awaits Release] ⑴ Alicia Koch, Global Ethanol Export Development Director of the US Grain and Bioproducts Council, stated that ethanol is rapidly emerging as a key candidate for marine fuel. International shipping and logistics company Maersk has comprehensively assessed its potential through pilot projects, policy development, and supply chain interactions. The Maersk team recently visited Indiana to conduct on-site inspections of sustainable corn farming and ethanol production facilities. ⑵ This visit followed a US delegation's visit to Maersk's Copenhagen headquarters earlier this year. The delegation toured the POET ethanol plant in Shelbyville, showcasing advancements in ethanol production technology and its potential as an alternative fuel for marine transport. With the assistance of partners such as the Indiana Corn Marketing Council, the US team was able to provide the Maersk team with in-depth insights into US agricultural practices and the environmental benefits of ethanol. ⑶ According to data released by ComplEat Analytics, grain and grain product exports added $290 million to the Indiana economy in 2024. Of these, corn exports were valued at US$937.7 million, ethanol exports at US$753 million, and ethanol by-product exports at US$387.8 million, representing increases of 148.6% and 42.2% respectively compared to 2023. Corn, ethanol, and by-products together generated US$1.52 billion in export value.

17:29:51

[Russia Claims Control of Two Settlements in Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Regions] The Russian Ministry of Defense announced on May 27 that Russian forces have taken control of the settlement of Granov in Kharkiv Oblast and the settlement of Vozdvizhevka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Ukraine has not yet responded. (CCTV)

17:28:47

[Geopolitical risk premium rapidly recedes, euro high-yield CDS hits 12-week low as market bets on US-Iran peace deal] ⑴ The iTraxx Europe Crossover Index, which tracks euro high-yield credit default swaps, fell 2 basis points to 267 basis points on Tuesday, its lowest level in 12 weeks since March 4. S&P Global Market Intelligence data shows that market expectations of an imminent peace agreement between the US and Iran are rapidly depressing the credit protection costs of European high-yield bonds. ⑵ A peace agreement between the US and Iran is expected to alleviate the current energy supply shock and push down oil prices. For eurozone companies heavily reliant on energy imports, this means a simultaneous decline in production cost pressures and inflation expectations, directly improving the credit profile of high-yield bond issuers. ⑶ The continued decline in credit default swap prices indicates that investors are pricing in a scenario of geopolitical easing. The index's retreat from its highs over the past 12 weeks reflects a significant easing of market concerns about European high-yield bond default risks and a recovery in risk appetite.

17:25:31

[Strait Crisis Impacts Australian Farms, Costs Soar by 60%, Price Transmission to Grains and Oils is Only a Matter of Time] ⑴ The supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has led to a significant increase in fertilizer and fuel prices, severely squeezing the profit margins of Australian farms. Dennis Voznesenski, an agricultural and sustainable development economist at CommBank, points out that over 40% of the world's urea, approximately 15% of its phosphate, and about 40% of its sulfur are blocked behind the strait, posing a major threat to Australian agriculture, which relies heavily on imported fertilizers. ⑵ Even if the strait reopens quickly, fertilizer shipments to Australia will still take 3 to 4 weeks. The next one to two weeks will be a critical window; if the strait becomes open, fertilizers are expected to arrive around mid-July, just in time for the crucial winter crop fertilization period. Currently, farm input costs have increased by 20% to 60%, while wheat, barley, and rapeseed prices have only increased by 13%, 15%, and 8% respectively. Revenue growth is far less than the increase in costs, significantly compressing profit margins. (3) Faced with high fertilizer costs and uncertainty, some farms have begun to adjust their planting strategies: reducing the planting area of wheat, which requires high nitrogen, and instead increasing the planting area of forage barley and legumes to fix nitrogen. Other farmers are reducing crop planting or postponing fertilization, but this may come at the cost of yield and quality. Voznesenski warned that if fertilizers are not available by July or prices do not fall, the market will realize the real production problems, at which point commodity prices will be impacted, and this will ultimately be transmitted to food prices.

17:25:19

[ECB Warns of Sudden Market Correction Risks; Asset Prices High and Downside Risks Underestimated] ⑴ The European Central Bank (ECB) warned that financial markets face the risk of a sudden and significant correction as investors downplay several threats, including the conflict with Iran. ⑵ In its semi-annual Financial Stability Review, the ECB stated on Wednesday that despite some recent market adjustments, asset prices remain "high" by historical standards, while downside risks from geopolitical, fiscal, and macro-financial conditions appear to be "underestimated." ⑶ The ECB Vice President stated, "This makes markets susceptible to sharp revaluations. If this occurs, non-bank financial institutions could amplify financial market volatility."

17:24:15

According to Saudi media reports, Bagheri, Deputy Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran and Oman are currently negotiating to determine a new mechanism for passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The conditions and arrangements for passage through the Strait of Hormuz will differ from those before the war. Bagheri also stated that indirect communication between Iran and the United States continues.

17:24:12

[UK 7-Year Bond Auction a Resounding Success, Demand Surges to 3.38 Times, Closing Yield Below Pre-Issuance Level] ⑴ The UK Debt Management Office completed its auction of 7-year benchmark government bonds on Wednesday, issuing £4 billion with a coupon rate of 4.125% and maturing in March 2033. The final average yield was 4.550%, 0.7 basis points lower than the pre-issuance level at the closing bid. ⑵ The total bid amount for this auction reached £13.537 billion, with a coverage ratio of 3.38 times, indicating extremely strong institutional demand. The short tail spread of 0.3 basis points (the difference between the average yield and the lowest winning bid yield) further confirms the strong performance of the auction. ⑶ Market participants generally consider this a fully successful auction. The closing yield of the bonds being lower than the pre-issuance bid level, combined with the high coverage ratio and short tail, indicates that investors have a strong willingness to allocate 7-year UK government bonds at the current absolute yield level.

17:23:11

[Consumer Confidence Hits Historic Low, Inflation Expectations Rise; Wednesday's CPI Data Key to Breakthrough] ⑴ Australia's consumer confidence index dipped slightly by 0.3 points to 66.1 last week, while the four-week moving average declined by 0.4 points to 66.0. ANZ economist Sophia Angala noted that the index remains near historical lows since records began in 1973. ⑵ In terms of sub-indices, "Current Financial Conditions" (past year) fell by 3.5 points, and "Future Financial Conditions" (next 12 months) fell by 2.1 points. "Short-Term Economic Confidence" (next 12 months) declined by 0.8 points, while "Medium-Term Economic Confidence" (next five years) rose by 1.2 points. The sub-index for "Timing to Purchase Major Household Items" rebounded by 4.0 points. ⑶ Weekly inflation expectations rose slightly by 0.1 percentage point to 6.0%, while the four-week moving average declined by 0.1 percentage point to 6.3%. Angala stated that confidence in financial conditions weakened, but confidence in economic conditions improved slightly, possibly driven by news regarding the prospects of a US-Iran agreement. The April CPI data to be released this week will be key to revealing the speed and extent of the transmission of rising input costs such as fuel, fertilizer, or plastics to the overall inflation basket. Overall inflation is expected to rise by 0.5% month-on-month in April.

17:19:20

[Brent Crude Falls About 3% to $96.6, Nearing Five-Week Low] ⑴ Brent crude futures fell about 3% to $96.6 a barrel on Wednesday, nearing a five-week low, as market optimism grew regarding a potential peace agreement between the US and Iran, despite ongoing hostilities and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. ⑵ The US Secretary of State stated that a potential agreement could still take several days to finalize. Meanwhile, the US military struck targets near the strait, while Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed to have fired on several US aircraft that entered Iranian airspace. ⑶ This vital waterway typically handles about 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments and remains largely closed due to blockades by both sides. ⑷ However, reports indicate that two non-Iranian very large crude carriers successfully left the chokepoint on Tuesday, marking the first significant unrestricted crude oil transport in a week.

17:16:00

The Russian Ministry of Defense claims its troops have captured Khranivskyi in Ukraine's Kharkiv region.

17:15:20

The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian troops have captured Vozdvizhevka in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region.

17:14:01

[Middle East Conflict Pushes Up Gas Prices, UK Raises Residential Energy Price Cap] The UK's energy market regulator, the Office of the Gas and Electricity Markets, announced on the 27th that due to the impact of the Middle East conflict pushing up wholesale gas prices, the UK's residential energy price cap will be raised by 13% from July 1st to September 30th this year. The energy price cap applies to users who have not signed fixed-price contracts and use standard floating rates. It limits the maximum unit price and fixed fee that energy suppliers can charge users. This does not mean that all household bills will be the same; actual expenditures still depend on specific usage. (Xinhua)

17:13:22

[US Denies Visas to Russian and Iranian Officials for UN Meeting] On May 26, local time, Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN, Nebenzia, stated in a Security Council address that the Russian delegation should have sent Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Alimov, responsible for UN affairs, to the meeting, but the US refused to grant him a visa. This violated the obligations under the "United Nations-US Agreement on the Headquarters of the United Nations," which stipulates that "all officials of UN member states have the right to enter the UN Headquarters." According to the Iranian Foreign Ministry on May 25, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi was also unable to attend the same Security Council meeting due to "visa issues." UN Deputy Spokesperson Farhan Haq responded to this matter at a press conference, urging the US to issue visas to all personnel who need to attend UN Headquarters events. (CCTV International News)

17:13:01

India's oilseed meal exports rose to 274,887 tons in March.

17:08:40

[E Fund Nasdaq ETF: Warns of Secondary Market Trading Price Premium Risk] E Fund Nasdaq ETF issued an announcement stating that the fund's secondary market trading price has recently been significantly higher than its net asset value (NAV), exhibiting a substantial premium. On May 27, 2026, its secondary market closing price was RMB 2.047, while the NAV per share was RMB 1.9028. If the premium does not effectively decrease by May 28, the fund has the right to take measures such as temporary trading suspension. The fund is operating normally, and there is no undisclosed material information. Investors are reminded to pay attention to the premium risk and invest prudently.

17:07:01

[British Media Reports 9 Countries Withdraw from Ammunition Procurement Alliance to Ukraine] According to a report by the Financial Times on the 26th, since December last year, nine countries have withdrawn from the Czech-initiated initiative to procure ammunition for Ukraine, reducing the number of participating countries by half compared to its peak. Czech President and former Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, Peter Pavel, hopes to discuss the continuation of the procurement mechanism at the NATO summit in July. Since 2024, participating countries in the so-called "Czech Initiative" have supplied Ukraine with more than 4 million large-caliber artillery shells, accounting for approximately 50% of the total large-caliber ammunition supplied to Ukraine. The number of participating countries, which reached 18 last year, has now dropped to nine, raising concerns about the internal sharing of responsibilities and its future. Pavel told the Financial Times that the NATO summit scheduled for July in Ankara, Turkey, should include the continuation of the initiative on its agenda. (Xinhua)

17:06:36

[Japanese Government Bonds Show Late-Day Movement, Insurance Funds and Pension Funds Secretly Buy, Rushing to Buy Before Tomorrow's Trading] ⑴ Japanese government bond futures strengthened in late trading on Tuesday, with the main contract finally closing at 128.30, up 5 ticks from Monday, although it briefly fell to 128.15 during the session. The 10-year yield climbed to 2.73% in the morning before falling back, eventually dropping below 2.70% to 2.69%, while the 5-year yield closed down 3.5 basis points to 1.93%. ⑵ The auction results for 40-year government bonds today were stable. The compound yield of the newly issued 3.8% coupon JU19 bond was 3.84%, slightly lower than the 3.842% of the older JU18 bond at midday. The issuance size was 100 billion yen smaller than the previous one, with demand supported by orders from offshore accounts and three Japanese life insurance companies. However, the auction results did not exert downward pressure on longer-term bonds. Selling pressure emerged around 1:20 PM for the 20-year bond, with the yield briefly falling from 3.64% to 3.595%. (3) The market saw a significant rally in the last hour of trading, with ultra-long-term bonds strengthening in tandem. Analysts stated that purchases by Japanese pension accounts were the main driver of the afternoon rebound. Furthermore, the lack of active selling pressure in the market prior to the Bank of Japan's routine bond-buying operations on Wednesday also amplified the rise in government bonds.

17:04:29

[Iranian Official: Final Agreement with the US Will Definitely Serve Iran's National Interests] According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency on the 27th, Boroujerdi, a member of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that the final agreement signed with the United States will definitely serve Iran's national interests. Boroujerdi said that according to the preliminary draft agreement between Iran and the United States, the US will first commit to a 60-day comprehensive ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon. The draft agreement also calls for the unfreezing of most of Iran's frozen assets and the lifting of the naval blockade. Boroujerdi said that Iran's diplomatic institutions and national system will not make decisions based on US President Trump's posts. For Iran, what matters is the final outcome of the negotiations; any document ultimately signed will definitely be formulated within the red lines of the Iranian system and will serve the interests of the Iranian people and nation. (Xinhua)

17:02:14

According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Bagheri, Deputy Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, traveled to Moscow to attend the 14th International Conference of Senior Security Officials. While in Moscow on Wednesday, Bagheri met with South African Minister in the Presidency, Kumbuzo Nichawi, to discuss bilateral, regional, and international issues.

17:00:23

[Amazon to Invest Over £15 Billion in UK by 2025, Advancing £40 Billion Three-Year Plan] ⑴ On May 27, it was reported that Amazon stated it will invest over £15 billion (approximately $20 billion) in the UK by 2025. ⑵ This investment brings Amazon on track to achieve its plan to invest £40 billion in the UK over three years, ending in 2027. ⑶ The report states that Amazon's 2025 investment includes launching new operating sites, expanding studio production facilities and office space, and launching a drone delivery pilot project.

17:00:06

[Sources: EU Member States Approve Legislation Related to EU-US Trade Agreement] On May 27th local time, an EU source familiar with the EU meeting stated that EU governments approved legislation on Wednesday to eliminate import tariffs on many US goods. This move aims to avoid US President Trump's threat to impose higher tariffs on EU cars and other products. Under the agreement reached last July at Trump's Turnberry golf resort in Scotland, the EU agreed to eliminate import tariffs on US industrial goods and grant preferential access to US agricultural and seafood products, while accepting the US's 15% tariff on most EU goods. Reportedly, ten months have passed since the framework agreement was signed, and the EU has still not fulfilled its commitments under the agreement. Trump stated that if the EU does not fulfill its commitments by July 4th, he will impose "higher" tariffs on EU goods. (CCTV)

16:57:20

WTI crude oil prices extended their intraday decline following Iran's announcement of a preliminary draft agreement, currently down 4.22%.

16:54:50

[my country's Bohai Sea Oilfield with Over 100 Million Tons of Reserves Commences Full Production] China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) announced on May 27 that the first phase of the Kenli 10-2 oilfield cluster development project, my country's largest offshore shallow lithologic oilfield, has commenced full production. Located in the southern Bohai Sea, the Kenli 10-2 oilfield has proven geological reserves exceeding 100 million tons of crude oil, with a daily production exceeding 2,800 tons. The Kenli 10-2 oilfield is the first shallow lithologic oilfield with reserves exceeding 100 million tons discovered in the Bohai Bay Basin depression. The first phase of the development project mainly includes the construction of one central processing platform and two unmanned wellhead platforms, with a total of 79 development wells. (Xinhua News Agency)

16:54:26

[World's Top Wind Turbine Installation Vessel "Wind Ace" Begins Sea Trials] On May 27, under the meticulous care of the Nantong Maritime Safety Administration, the "Wind Ace," a world-class NG20000-type wind turbine installation vessel built by COSCO Shipping Offshore Engineering in Qidong for a Danish shipowner, set sail from Qidong Port, Jiangsu Province, to begin a month-long sea trial. (CCTV)

16:53:58

[Inaugural Qinghai-Vietnam Container Freight Train Service Launched] On the morning of May 27, with a long whistle, a "Central Asia Railway Train (Xining-Ho Chi Minh City)" loaded with nearly 1,000 tons of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) slowly departed from the Shuangzhai Logistics Center in Xining on the Qinghai-Tibet Railway. It will exit China via the Pingxiang Port in Guangxi, covering a total distance of approximately 3,200 kilometers by rail, with its final destination being Zhanbang Station in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. This is the first container freight train service launched by Qinghai Province to Ho Chi Minh City, building upon its existing regular international freight train services to Vietnam. This signifies a more stable and mature logistics channel between Qinghai and Southeast Asia. (Xinhua)

16:53:38

The Russian Deputy Prime Minister stated that Russia's grain exports are expected to reach 60 million tons in the 2025/26 agricultural season.

16:52:54

Red air raid sirens sounded in Shlomi, northern Israel.

16:52:45

[US FAA Asked to Revise Runway Safety Standards in Heavy Rain] The US National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) on the 26th requested the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to revise its airport runway safety assessment standards for heavy rain to reduce the risk of aircraft overrunning wet runways. (Xinhua)

16:52:02

Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited announced that SpaceX has been added to the list of designated US-listed constituent stocks of the Hang Seng US-Hong Kong Technology Index.

16:51:49

Iran says agreement reached; Trump cabinet holds emergency closed-door meeting, accelerating US-Iran negotiations. Details>

16:51:26

[EU Approves Removal of Tariffs on Multiple US Goods to Counter Trump's Threat of Higher Tariffs] ⑴ Sources revealed that EU governments approved legislation on Wednesday aimed at removing import tariffs on multiple US goods, a move expected to counter President Trump's earlier threat to impose higher tariffs on EU automobiles and other products. ⑵ Under an agreement reached last July, the EU agreed to remove import tariffs on US industrial goods and grant preferential market access to US agricultural and seafood products; at the same time, the EU accepted the US arrangement to impose a 15% tariff on most EU goods. ⑶ Ten months have passed since the framework agreement was reached, but the EU has still not fulfilled its obligations under the agreement, prompting Trump to say that if the EU fails to deliver on its promises by July 4, he will impose "much higher" tariffs on EU goods.

16:48:12

[Dallas Fed President Lori Logan Warns: Global Oil and Gas Supply May Tighten if Strait of Hormuz Shipping Does Not Resume Soon] ⑴ Dallas Federal Reserve President Lori Logan warned that global oil and gas supplies could begin to tighten if shipping through the Strait of Hormuz does not return to normal soon. ⑵ Logan's district includes the Permian Basin, the world's largest shale oil producing region. She stated that U.S. production cannot fill the global oil supply gap caused by the conflict with Iran. ⑶ She said on Wednesday that capital, labor, and other input constraints, coupled with physical bottlenecks in transporting natural gas from West Texas gas fields, mean consumers may face a new reality: key fuel sources will no longer be as abundant as they once were. ⑷ Logan stated that approximately 10% of global oil supply is trapped in the Persian Gulf due to the conflict. So far, reserve releases have filled the gap to some extent, but she added that inventories are ultimately finite.

16:43:59

Ganfeng Lithium: Provides Guarantees Totaling RMB 740 Million for Subsidiaries. Ganfeng Lithium announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Ganfeng International, has provided a credit guarantee of RMB 25 billion (approximately USD 44 million) for the debt of its subsidiary LMSA to a bank in Mali. Ganfeng Lithium Battery, another subsidiary, has provided joint and several guarantees of RMB 400 million and RMB 300 million respectively for the debts of its wholly-owned subsidiaries Huizhou Ganfeng and Guangdong Huichuang to CITIC Bank. As of the date of this announcement, the total outstanding guarantees provided by the company and its subsidiaries amounted to RMB 20.984 billion, representing 46.48% of the company's latest audited net assets.

16:43:28

S&P Global Ratings upgraded HSBC's outlook to positive.

16:42:51

The latest data released by the Asset Management Association of China (AMAC) shows that the total size of my country's public funds increased by over 1.8 trillion yuan in April, reaching a new historical high of 39.36 trillion yuan. By fund type, money market funds saw an increase of over 640 billion yuan, bond funds over 510 billion yuan, mixed funds over 390 billion yuan, and equity funds over 160 billion yuan. Furthermore, the size of FOF (Fund of Funds) and QDII (Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor) funds also increased in April.

16:40:11

[Iranian Revolutionary Guard Official Says Likelihood of Resumption of War with the US is "Low"] According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency on the 27th, Mohammad Akbarzadeh, a naval official of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, stated that the possibility of a renewed war with the United States is "low," but the Iranian armed forces are "fully loaded" and ready. Speaking to the public in Zanjan province on the 26th, Akbarzadeh said that the Iranian people will never yield to threats. He added that the United States has suffered a "strategic failure" on the Strait of Hormuz issue, stating, "They claimed they could open the Strait of Hormuz, but after this passage was blocked, they have tried everything but to no avail." (Xinhua)

16:36:33

Sources: EU member states have tentatively agreed to a trade agreement with the United States.

16:36:02

[UK 10-Year gilt yields fall below 4.85%, hitting a near six-week low] ⑴ UK 10-year gilt yields fell below 4.85%, the lowest level since April 20, as market optimism grew regarding a potential peace agreement between the US and Iran. ⑵ Investors are closely watching developments in the Middle East. Neither side has released negative signals recently, and despite recent strikes, the market continues to hold expectations of an agreement to ease tensions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. ⑶ Traders have reduced their bets on a Bank of England rate hike, now expecting a tightening of around 40 basis points by the end of the year, with a roughly 50% probability of a rate hike next month. ⑷ Market attention is now focused on upcoming speeches by Bank of England policymakers for monetary policy signals, as well as political developments surrounding the Prime Minister following Labour's setbacks in local elections.

16:35:41

[Italy's Industrial Turnover Rises 2.0% in March, the Largest Increase in Six Months] ⑴ Italian industrial turnover rose 2.0% month-on-month in March, the largest increase in six months, accelerating from the revised 0.5% in February. ⑵ Domestic sales rebounded sharply (up 2.3%, compared to a 0.2% decline in February), offsetting the slowdown in foreign sales (up 1.5%, compared to 1.8% in February). ⑶ On an annualized basis, calendar-adjusted industrial turnover jumped 4.4%, compared to 0.5% in the previous month, driven by strong growth in both domestic (4.5%, previously 0.4%) and foreign (4.1%, previously 0.7%) sales. ⑷ By sector, energy recorded a robust growth of 25.3%, capital goods rose 5.8%, intermediate goods rose 4.9%, while consumer goods declined by 1.4%. (5) Meanwhile, service sector turnover rose 1.3% month-on-month after falling 0.1% in February, mainly supported by a rebound in wholesale trade (up 2.1%, compared to a previous decline of 0.1%).

16:35:21

[Swiss Investor Sentiment Improves to -11.1 in May, Easing Pessimism] ⑴ According to a survey by UBS and the Swiss CFA Institute, Swiss investor sentiment improved to -11.1 in May from -30.3 in May 2025. ⑵ The index rose 19.2 points month-on-month, reflecting a more optimistic outlook than previous readings, but remains in negative territory. ⑶ Approximately 75% of analysts expect the Swiss economic situation to remain unchanged over the next six months. UBS notes that despite a more stable domestic outlook, inflation expectations remain high, especially outside of Switzerland. ⑷ The current conditions indicator for May was +9.1, while the expectations indicator was -2.8.

16:32:10

Cooling inflation in Australia provides a reason to pause interest rate hikes; the Australian dollar faces short-term pressure but medium-term support remains. Details>

16:31:37

Escalating US-Iran conflict vs. UBS lowering its target: Who should we trust for silver? Details>

16:31:32

Google: On July 1, 2026, Google Ads will update its gambling and gaming policy for Ireland to comply with new regulations.

16:30:39

[UK Energy Price Cap Raised by 13%, Average Household Annual Bill Rises to £1862] ⑴ From July, the annual energy bill for typical dual-fuel (gas and electricity) households in the UK will increase by several hundred pounds. The UK Energy Regulatory Authority (Ofgem) announced a 13% increase in the residential energy price cap, raising the annual limit for average households from £1641 to £1862. ⑵ For average households using the supplier's standard default rate, the monthly bill will increase by £18. This is the first time the annual energy bill has reached this high level since January 2024. ⑶ The situation in Iran has pushed up wholesale energy prices, impacting the bills of residents in England, Scotland, and Wales for the first time. Due to the conflict, the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil and gas shipping route carrying 20% of global oil and gas transport, has been disrupted. Wholesale energy prices began to rise in February and surged in March. ⑷ However, due to higher summer temperatures, the demand for electricity and gas from UK residents is generally lower, so the pressure from this price increase will be relatively milder than in winter.

16:29:16

A Hungarian government spokesperson stated that technical negotiations are still underway between Hungary and the EU regarding several issues related to EU funding.

16:28:53

S&P revised HSBC's outlook to positive.

16:28:36

A Hungarian government spokesperson stated that a specific date has not yet been set for the meeting between the Hungarian Prime Minister and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

16:23:48

[Global NAND Flash Market Size Reaches $42.815 Billion in Q1, Up 81.8% Quarter-on-Quarter] ⑴ According to CFM Flash Market data, the global NAND Flash market size reached $42.815 billion in Q1. Enterprise-grade SSD demand doubled and continues to accelerate, while consumer demand, despite signs of weakness, remains largely unaffected by the overall supply shortage. ⑵ The average selling price of NAND flash memory increased significantly quarter-on-quarter in Q1, driving the global NAND Flash market size to continue growing by 81.8% quarter-on-quarter. ⑶ Specifically, Samsung held a 29.7% market share, ranking first; SK Hynix held a 17.6% market share, ranking second; Kioxia held a 14.9% market share, ranking third; SanDisk held a 13.9% market share, ranking fourth; and Micron held an 11.7% market share, ranking fifth.

16:22:00

[Power Outages in Five Ukrainian Regions Due to New Russian Attacks] CCTV reporters learned that on the 27th local time, the Ukrainian National Electricity Company announced that, as of that morning, several regions in Ukraine experienced civilian power outages due to a new round of Russian drone and artillery attacks. According to the electricity company, new power outages have occurred in Donetsk Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Sumy Oblast, and Kharkiv Oblast. Currently, workers are conducting comprehensive power restoration and repair operations in areas where safety conditions have been met. (CCTV)

16:21:21

According to data released by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), from May 1st to 24th, retail sales of passenger vehicles nationwide reached 989,000 units, a 24% decrease compared to the same period last year, but a 10% increase compared to the same period last month. Year-to-date, cumulative retail sales reached 6.594 million units, a 19% decrease year-on-year. From May 1st to 24th, retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles nationwide reached 619,000 units, an 11% decrease compared to the same period last year, but a 13% increase compared to the same period last month. Year-to-date, cumulative retail sales reached 3.377 million units, a 16% decrease year-on-year. From May 1st to 24th, the retail penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles nationwide was 62.5%; the wholesale penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles among manufacturers nationwide was 63.6%.

16:20:55

ECB's Guindos: We have consistently urged banks to increase their investment in cybersecurity to address the risks posed by artificial intelligence.

16:18:46

[Bank of Japan's Government Bond Holdings Suffer Record Loss of ¥45.44 Trillion in Last Fiscal Year] ⑴ The Bank of Japan announced a record loss on its holdings of Japanese government bonds in the last fiscal year, highlighting the heavy valuation blow to its holdings caused by the bank's shift to higher interest rates. ⑵ The central bank announced on Wednesday that its unrealized losses on its Japanese government bond holdings amounted to ¥45.441 trillion, or approximately $285.26 billion, in the fiscal year ending in March. ⑶ This loss is higher than the ¥28.625 trillion recorded in the previous fiscal year and is the central bank's largest loss since comparable data became available. ⑷ Bank of Japan officials have long insisted that such losses do not affect monetary policy decisions because the bank intends to hold these bonds to maturity, meaning these book losses will not be realized.

16:18:18

[Rabobank: European Gas Market Overly Complacent About Supply Risks, TTF Expected to Rise to €69 by Year-End] ⑴ Rabobank analysts say the European gas market remains overly complacent about the risks of tightening LNG supply and low winter inventories, warning that the full impact of supply disruptions has not yet been priced in. ⑵ The bank says reduced LNG inflows during the summer reserve injection season could lead to unusually low gas inventories in Europe as winter approaches, increasing the risk of shortages. ⑶ Rabobank expects the average TTF price to be around €60 per megawatt-hour in the third quarter, rising from the current €46 to €69 by the end of the year. ⑷ These analysts say prices are unlikely to return to normal before 2028, when new LNG supplies from the US and Qatar are expected to come online.

16:17:45

[Iran Pays Over 7 Trillion Yuan in Outstanding Payments Related to the Toman "Pharmaceutical Support Program"] CCTV reporters learned that on the 27th local time, the Iranian Subsidy Targeting Organization announced that it has paid over 7 trillion yuan in outstanding payments related to the Toman "Pharmaceutical Support Program" to pharmacies and medical centers, the ultimate beneficiaries, to continue supporting the healthcare sector and ensuring the stability of the pharmaceutical and medical equipment supply chain. The organization stated that this payment aims to alleviate the financial pressure on pharmacies and medical institutions and ensure the stable operation of the pharmaceutical supply system. The Iranian Subsidy Targeting Organization is the main government agency in Iran responsible for managing the redistribution of income from subsidy reforms. (CCTV)

16:17:08

South Korea's Ministry of Foreign Affairs: It is not yet possible to determine whether the attack on the Namook was intentional.

16:12:22

[ECB Warns: Sovereign Risk Faces Repricing Risk, Equity Valuations Overvalued] ⑴ The European Central Bank (ECB) stated that financial market sentiment may deteriorate, and sovereign risk faces a reasonable risk of repricing. ⑵ A sudden market sell-off could expose sovereign vulnerabilities and increase concerns about the sustainability of public finances. ⑶ The ECB stated that equity valuations are overvalued, and corporate bond risk premiums are compressed. ⑷ Energy supply shocks could increase market volatility and challenge debt repayment capacity.

16:11:34

UK government bond yields continued their upward trend; the yield on 10-year UK government bonds fell 5 basis points to 4.83%.

16:11:20

EU sources indicate that EU member state governments have approved legislation to lower tariffs on US goods, a key component of the EU-US trade agreement.

16:10:55

The German Council of Economic Experts projects inflation at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027; it forecasts economic growth of 0.8% in 2027; and that the German economy will grow by 0.5% in 2026, lower than the 0.9% predicted in November.

16:10:28

The situation in the Middle East is fueling inflation concerns; Kashkari emphasizes that the Federal Reserve needs to be wary of long-term price risks. Details>

16:10:24

[Hong Kong Stock Market Closing] ⑴ Hong Kong stocks closed on Wednesday with the Hang Seng Index down 1.165% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.807%. ⑵ BYD shares fell 3.417%, XPeng Group-W fell 3.451%, China Resources Beer fell 3.911%, and CK Asset Holdings fell 3.998%. ⑶ Xiaomi Group-W fell 5.040%, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group fell 5.645%, and Horizon Robotics-W fell 6.279%.

16:09:39

Switzerland's Credit Suisse /CFA Economic Conditions Index for May

Previous : 9.10 Forecast : -

Published Value -2.80

16:09:08

[RBC Capital Markets: UK gilt coupon reinvestment demand expected to support this week's auction] ⑴ RBC Capital Markets strategists stated in a report that the upcoming March 2033 UK gilt auction is expected to attract demand given investors will receive coupon income in the coming days. ⑵ They indicated that these cash proceeds can be reinvested. ⑶ The strategists stated that the UK gilt coupon, due on June 7th, will go ex-dividend this Friday, which "should support UK gilt supply activity this week."

16:07:14

[Sucden Financial: Market Lacks Strong Confidence in Short-Term US-Iran Resolution; Dollar Unlikely to Reprice Significantly Higher] ⑴ Sucden Financial wrote in a report that the market lacks strong confidence that the US-Iran conflict will be resolved in the short term. ⑵ The institution stated that cautious optimism surrounding the negotiations has improved market sentiment, and safe-haven demand for the dollar remains, but news fatigue is emerging. ⑶ The institution added that this means that unless tensions escalate further or the Strait of Hormuz faces direct interference, the dollar is unlikely to significantly reprice higher. ⑷ The institution noted that, supported by resilient growth led by artificial intelligence, stock market performance continues to decouple from broader macroeconomic signals.

16:06:22

[French Consumer Confidence Index Falls to 82 in May, Lowest Level Since March 2023] ⑴ French consumer confidence fell further in May, influenced by uncertainty surrounding the situation in Iran and rising energy prices, reflecting a continued weakening of public sentiment. ⑵ Data released Wednesday by the French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (Insee) showed that the consumer confidence index fell to 82 in May from 84 in April, marking a new low since March 2023. ⑶ The institute stated, "Public sentiment regarding their past and future financial situation has deteriorated again." At the same time, the willingness to make large purchases also declined significantly. ⑷ The ongoing Middle East situation continued to weigh on market sentiment in May, with the US and Iran failing to reach an agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The uncertain future of the conflict prompted consumers to postpone spending, while persistently high energy prices continued to erode purchasing power. ⑸ Although French price increases were moderate before the conflict, and the risk of hyperinflation in the short term remains relatively limited, a prolonged conflict is expected to exacerbate economic and financial turmoil in the country, further damaging market confidence.

16:03:33

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value -5

16:03:22

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Primary aluminum

Previous : -125 Forecast : -

Published Value -100

16:03:14

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Lead

Previous : -775 Forecast : -

Published Value -1350

16:03:04

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Zinc

Previous : -1075 Forecast : -

Published Value -1550

16:02:54

Diverging consumer data put downward pressure on gold; PCE data may trigger a "sell the news" rally. Details>

16:02:48

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Tin

Previous : 15 Forecast : -

Published Value 265

16:02:18

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Nickel

Previous : -186 Forecast : -

Published Value -822

16:02:04

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on May 27th - Copper

Previous : -2375 Forecast : -

Published Value -2225

25

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4539.78	44.19 (0.98%)
XAG	75.274	-0.343 (-0.45%)
CONC	87.76	-1.14 (-1.28%)
OILC	91.59	-0.81 (-0.88%)
USD	98.932	-0.077 (-0.08%)
EURUSD	1.1660	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3456	0.0001 (0.01%)
USDCNH	6.7632	0.0001 (0.00%)

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