2025-09-17 Wednesday
2025-09-19
16:11:40
China's ASEAN Trade Index for 2024
Previous
:
164.94
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
167.87
Previous
16:09:18
European stocks rose slightly ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. ⑴ European stocks generally rose on Wednesday, with the STOXX 50 index rising 0.3% to 5,390 points and the STOXX 600 index rising 0.1%, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision. ⑵ The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in nine months, by at least 25 basis points, to balance a slowing labor market with tariff-driven inflationary pressures. ⑶ The market will closely monitor the Fed's quarterly "dot plot" for guidance on the future policy path. ⑷ UK inflation remained steady at 3.8% in August, the same as in July, and remains at its highest level since January 2024. The Bank of England will announce its policy decision the following day. ⑸ PostNL announced a new strategy, planning to split its parcel business into two divisions: e-commerce and platform, starting in 2026. Its share price surged 7%. ⑹ Novo Nordisk received an upgrade from "hold" to "buy" by Berenberg, sending its share price up 1.8%.
16:08:36
[France's CAC 40 Index Slightly Rises 0.2%, Awaiting the Fed's Decision] ⑴ The Paris CAC 40 Index rose 0.2% to 7,840 points on Wednesday, attempting to recover from a 1% drop in the previous trading day, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision later that day. ⑵ The market generally expects the Fed to implement its first 25 basis point interest rate cut in nearly nine months, with focus on Chairman Powell's press conference for hints on the future policy path. ⑶ European investors are also focused on the eurozone's final August inflation data, which will be released this morning, for further clues on inflationary pressures. ⑷ In terms of individual stocks, Edenred rose 1.0%, Accor Group rose 1.1%, and Essilor Luxottica rose 0.7%. ⑸ ENGIE fell 0.7%, ArcelorMittal fell 0.5%, and Teleperformance fell 0.5%.
16:06:58
South Africa's unadjusted CPI reading for August
Previous
:
103.30
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
103.20
Previous
16:03:10
[Global Markets Await the Federal Reserve's Decision, Narrowing Volatility Across Asset Classes] ⑴ Singapore's sharp decline in trade may be difficult to sustain. Maybank economists noted that although non-oil domestic exports fell for the second consecutive month in August, the August manufacturing PMI showed a rebound in overall manufacturing activity. ⑵ The German Finance Ministry is expected to increase its fourth-quarter bond issuance plan. Citi Research predicts an increase of €15 billion, including €12 billion in bonds and €3 billion in Treasury bills. ⑶ UK inflation remained stable at 3.8% in August, with core inflation falling to 3.6% in line with expectations, and services inflation falling from 5.0% to 4.7%. Deutsche Bank believes the data is generally positive, but food inflation, rising to 5.1%, continues to pose pressure. ⑷ Gold futures fell 0.5% to $3,706.50 per ounce, while the US dollar index rose 0.2% to 96.82. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and is closely watching Powell's comments on the pace of future easing. ⑸ The market is betting on the Fed starting a cycle of consecutive rate cuts. 6. The UK 10-year government bond yield fell 2 basis points to 4.626%. Slowing inflation increases the likelihood of a Q4 rate cut by the central bank. 7. The US dollar rose slightly by 0.1% to 96.745, near a two-and-a-half-month low. Markets are pricing in a 97% probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut. 8. Eurozone government bond yields fell slightly, with Germany's 10-year bond yield down 0.7 basis points to 2.690% and Greece's down 1.9 basis points to 3.338%. 9. The British pound fell slightly against the dollar to 1.3637, but remained stable against the euro. UK inflation was slightly lower than expected, but food price pressures remain. 10. US Treasury yields remained stable during Asian trading hours, with the two-year at 3.507%, the 10-year at 4.023%, and the 30-year at 4.643%. The market is closely watching the Fed's dot plot for guidance on future rate cuts. ⑾ Analysts believe the current starting point provides a greater cushion than in September 2024, with 10-year yields higher than then, limiting the risk of a repeat of significant increases. ⑿ Insight Investments notes that a rate cut environment is positive for investors in diversified global fixed income portfolios. While tariffs could drive up inflation, central banks may prioritize protecting the labor market.
16:01:15
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Copper
Previous
:
-1675
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-1175
Previous
16:01:07
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Nickel
Previous
:
1950
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
2034
Previous
16:01:01
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Lead
Previous
:
2225
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-2500
Previous
16:00:51
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Zinc
Previous
:
-1175
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:49
LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Tin
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:47
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Cobalt
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:44
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Primary aluminum
Previous
:
-1500
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:41
LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:39
LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on September 17th - Aluminum Alloy
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
16:00:23
South Africa's core CPI annual rate for August
Previous
:
3%
Forecast
:
3.10%
Published Value
3.10%
Previous
16:00:22
South Africa's core CPI monthly rate for August
Previous
:
0.40%
Forecast
:
0.10%
Published Value
0.10%
Previous
16:00:18
South Africa's CPI monthly rate for August
Previous
:
0.90%
Forecast
:
0.20%
Published Value
-0.10%
Previous
16:00:11
South Africa's CPI annual rate in August
Previous
:
3.50%
Forecast
:
3.60%
Published Value
3.30%
Previous
15:45:56
[National Development and Reform Commission: Solidly advance the construction of a unified large market and clean up and rectify market access barriers] On September 17, Wu Yuetao, Director of the Employment, Income Distribution and Consumption Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the next step will be to deeply implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" action, promote the accelerated application of artificial intelligence in service consumption and other fields, and empower all types of service enterprises, large, medium and small. Deepen the integration of online and offline, business, travel, culture, sports and health, and other multi-format consumption, encourage enterprises to create new consumption scenarios, expand new consumption experiences, and tap into new consumer demands. Solidly advance the construction of a unified large market, clean up and rectify market access barriers, and create a fair market access environment for all types of enterprises, especially small and medium-sized enterprises. Give full play to the role of regular communication and problem-solving mechanisms with private enterprises, continue to listen in depth to the opinions and suggestions of private enterprises, and help private enterprises solve difficult problems and achieve healthy development. (China Net)
15:37:58
Indonesia's loan facility interest rate for September
Previous
:
5.75%
Forecast
:
5.75%
Published Value
5.50%
Previous
15:37:51
Indonesia's deposit instrument interest rate for September
Previous
:
4.25%
Forecast
:
4.25%
Published Value
3.75%
Previous
15:37:33
Indonesia's 7-day reverse repo rate on September 7
Previous
:
5%
Forecast
:
5%
Published Value
4.75%
Previous
15:37:15
[The "Artificial Intelligence Security Industry Self-Discipline Initiative" was officially released] On the morning of September 17, at the 2025 National Cyber Security Awareness Week Artificial Intelligence Security Governance Sub-Forum held in Kunming, Yunnan, the "Artificial Intelligence Security Industry Self-Discipline Initiative" was officially released. This "Initiative" was jointly initiated by the China Cyberspace Security Association and industry enterprises, covering more than 60 units including research institutes, Internet leading companies, network security vendors, artificial intelligence companies, etc. The "Initiative" focuses on the prominent security risks and governance challenges facing the development of artificial intelligence, and forms a consensus in seven aspects: first, to build a solid security foundation and share the main responsibility; second, to strengthen the combination of technology and management, and jointly build security capabilities; third, to deepen collaborative governance and jointly draw a governance blueprint; fourth, to focus on innovation and breakthroughs, and jointly build industry resilience; fifth, to practice intelligence for good and jointly abide by ethical bottom lines; sixth, to strictly abide by data compliance and jointly protect data security; seventh, to expand the global vision and jointly promote open cooperation
15:35:41
Indonesia's annual loan rate in August
Previous
:
7.03%
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
7.56%
Previous
15:32:46
Austria's August inflation rate confirmed at 4.1%, highest since March of last year. (1) Austria's annualized inflation rate rose to 4.1% in August, a significant increase from 3.6% in July, consistent with preliminary estimates and the highest level since March of last year. (2) Higher prices for alcohol and tobacco (3.8% (previous: 3.6%)), housing and utilities (6.1% (previous: 5.7%)), and healthcare (4.6% (previous: 4.5%)) drove inflation higher. (3) Transportation prices rose by 1.2% (previous: 0.3%), entertainment and culture (4.1% (previous: 3.9%)), and restaurants and hotels (6.1% (previous: 5.8%)). (4) Clothing, footwear, and hat prices rebounded to 4.5% (previous: -0.2%), while furniture and home maintenance prices rose by 0.5% (previous: unchanged). 5. Education inflation slowed slightly to 4.8% (previous value: 5.0%), while food and non-alcoholic beverages (5.2%) and other goods and services (4.7%) remained stable. 6. Month-on-month, consumer prices rose by 0.2% in August, slowing from the previous value of 0.3%.
15:30:45
Japanese stocks retreat as weak trade data raises economic concerns. ⑴ The Nikkei 225 index fell 0.25% to 44,790 points, and the Topix index fell 0.71% to 3,146 points, retreating from record highs. ⑵ Exports fell slightly by 0.1% in August, a smaller-than-expected decline but marking the fourth consecutive month of decline. Exports to the US plummeted 13.8%. ⑶ Imports contracted 5.2%, narrowing from a 7.4% drop in July but still exceeding analysts' expectations of a 4.1% decline. ⑷ Japanese stocks followed overnight declines on Wall Street, as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision. ⑸ SoftBank Group fell 1.3%, Advantest fell 1.3%, Fujikura fell 3.7%, Nintendo fell 1.7%, and Hitachi fell 2.3%.
15:21:11
[Ministry of Commerce: Pilot projects for new consumption formats, models, and scenarios will be launched in approximately 50 cities] Today (September 17), the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the main content and highlights of the "Several Policy Measures on Expanding Service Consumption." A representative from the Ministry of Commerce stated that, going forward, we will select approximately 50 pilot cities nationwide through a competitive review process for new consumption formats, models, and scenarios with large population bases, strong driving forces, and promising development potential. This will increase the supply of high-quality consumption, innovate and enrich diversified consumption scenarios, promote the continuous emergence of new consumption formats, further enhance consumption vitality, better meet the diverse and differentiated consumption needs of the people, and provide strong support for high-quality economic development. (CCTV News)
15:19:10
Traders are losing confidence in the US dollar and are buying euros, yen, and gold. 1. A notable shift has recently occurred in financial markets: traders are losing confidence in the US dollar and are buying euros, yen, and gold. This behavior has not only undermined the US dollar's position as the world's leading reserve currency but has also directly contributed to its continued decline this year. 2. Unlike previous crises, when the US dollar tended to strengthen, 2025 marked a turning point—even in a highly uncertain environment, the US dollar failed to appreciate. This milestone reflects a structural shift in market perception of the US dollar. Since the 2008 financial crisis, the US dollar has been on a strong cycle, and global foreign exchange reserves have grown from approximately $7 trillion to $12-13 trillion, but this trend may be coming to an end. 3. If the US dollar continues to depreciate, central banks are expected to significantly adjust their foreign exchange reserve structure, gradually reducing the US dollar's share and increasing holdings of euros, yen, Swiss francs, British pounds, and renminbi. Central banks are also likely to accelerate their gold holdings—the recent sharp rise in gold prices may be an early sign of a rebalancing of reserve assets. This change will not only affect the currency market, but will also profoundly change the logic of global asset allocation.
15:13:46
[China Passenger Car Association Branch: From September 1 to 14, the national passenger car market retailed 732,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 4%] According to the data of the China Passenger Car Association Branch, from September 1 to 14, the national passenger car market retailed 732,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 4% from the same period last September, and an increase of 6% from the same period last month. The cumulative retail sales so far this year reached 15.497 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 9%; from September 1 to 14, the national passenger car manufacturers wholesaled 774,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 3% from the same period last September, and an increase of 18% from the same period last month. The cumulative wholesales so far this year reached 18.816 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 12%.
15:07:50
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China -20 # rubber
Previous
:
-605
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-404
Previous
15:07:39
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Crude oil
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-320000
Previous
15:07:28
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Pulp
Previous
:
-186
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-193
Previous
15:07:26
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Natural Rubber
Previous
:
2930
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-70
Previous
15:07:25
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Rebar
Previous
:
14941
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-6300
Previous
15:07:25
Daily Warehouse receipt changes on the Shanghai Futures Exchange in China on September 17th - Gold
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
900
Previous
15:07:22
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Petroleum Asphalt
Previous
:
-2000
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
15:07:21
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Fuel oil
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
25640
Previous
15:07:19
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th, China - Stainless Steel
Previous
:
-604
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-480
Previous
15:07:17
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Hot-rolled coil
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
15:07:13
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Alumina
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
0
Previous
15:07:11
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th, China - Tin
Previous
:
-92
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-106
Previous
15:07:09
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Nickel
Previous
:
1208
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-26
Previous
15:07:07
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Lead
Previous
:
0
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-199
Previous
15:07:06
Daily warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Silver
Previous
:
-12220
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-9833
Previous
15:07:04
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Aluminum
Previous
:
649
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-1269
Previous
15:07:03
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Copper
Previous
:
3049
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
-401
Previous
15:07:02
Daily Warehouse receipt changes of the Shanghai Futures Exchange on September 17th in China - Zinc
Previous
:
799
Forecast
:
-
Published Value
550
Previous