Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

Sydney：12/24 22:26:56

Tokyo：12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong：12/24 22:26:56

Singapore：12/24 22:26:56

Dubai：12/24 22:26:56

London：12/24 22:26:56

New York：12/24 22:26:56

2025-10-31 Friday

2025-11-04

20:58:10

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1590.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $1589.87/oz, down 0.53% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1594.5/oz, down 1.23% on the day.

20:57:30

The USD/CNH exchange rate just touched the 7.1200 mark, last quoted at 7.1200, up 0.15% on the day; the USD/CNH exchange rate was last quoted at 7.1158, up 0.09% on the day.

20:56:46

US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: He discussed suspending oil purchases from Russia and Iran with the Singaporean Prime Minister. He also discussed the adoption of a stablecoin based on the US dollar.

20:47:10

[Caixin Futures: Divergent Trends in Agricultural Product Markets] ⑴ The ample supply of palm oil continues, with Indonesia's palm oil production projected to increase by 10% in 2025. ⑵ Coupled with the weakening of crude oil prices, palm oil futures maintained a narrow range of fluctuation between 8760-8840 yuan. ⑶ The spot price of 24-degree palm oil in Guangzhou fell by 70 yuan to 8620 yuan/ton, with futures trading at a slight premium to spot. ⑷ In the short term, short positions can be initiated at the upper limit of the range, as the declining volume indicates a continued downward trend. ⑸ The trading data shows that some long positions are concentrated on bottom-fishing; short positions near 8850 yuan should be monitored for a profit-taking range of 8500-8600 yuan. ⑹ Improved expectations for US soybean exports have pushed US soybean prices back to previous highs. ⑺ Rising import costs have driven up domestic soybean meal futures prices, with ample soybean supply expected in the fourth quarter. ⑻ However, a supply gap may emerge in the first quarter of next year, and inventory pressure will gradually ease from November onwards. (9) Given rising costs and easing supply pressure, a small long position in soybean meal can be considered. (10) Corn futures have risen sharply, with China Grain Reserves Corporation (Sinograin) purchasing 250,000 tons in the past two days to alleviate supply pressure. (11) However, seasonal selling pressure remains, and downstream feed mills and deep-processing enterprises are reluctant to purchase grain. (12) Maintaining a just-in-time purchasing strategy is recommended, but demand is weak, and the short-term supply easing situation remains unchanged. (13) Short selling is still recommended, as the increase in hog supply is the main long-term contradiction. (14) Theoretical slaughter volume will increase significantly in October, and the supply easing situation may deepen further. (15) The enthusiasm for secondary fattening has weakened, and the decline in spot prices has squeezed the price bubble. (16) Short selling can be considered at opportune times, as the number of newly laying hens in the egg market is not high. (17) Farmers' enthusiasm for culling old hens remains high; attention should be paid to the progress of the production inflection point. (18) In the short term, a wait-and-see approach is recommended.

20:46:25

[Caixin Futures: Divergent Trends in the Energy and Chemical Sector] ⑴ The Trump administration recently canceled the summit in Budapest and imposed sanctions on Russian oil companies, while the EU formally passed its 19th round of sanctions against Russia. ⑵ This may lead to countries like India reducing their purchases of Russian oil. ⑶ The macro environment is bullish, but considering that OPEC+ may implement a slight production increase at its meeting this Sunday, sentiment has shifted towards neutral to bullish. ⑷ The US and EU announced a new round of sanctions against Russia, with the US sanctions against Russia's two largest oil companies triggering a strong reaction. ⑸ Expectations of reduced supply of high-sulfur fuel oil remain, and prices have rebounded following crude oil. ⑹ OPEC+ may implement a slight production increase at its meeting this Sunday, but with positive macroeconomic expectations, the downside for fuel oil may be limited. ⑺ Market sentiment in Shahe has improved recently, with inventories declining and some downstream companies restocking. ⑻ Some manufacturers are selling well, and market transactions are acceptable; glass supply is gradually turning positive year-on-year. ⑼ However, demand is still declining significantly year-on-year, facing considerable pressure, but short-term gains are influenced by easing trade tensions and stronger commodity sentiment. (10) The market showed resilience, and the downside potential for glass futures may be limited. (11) A slightly bullish outlook is recommended, as the domestic soda ash market remained stable with prices fluctuating within a narrow range. (12) Total inventory of domestic soda ash producers was 1.702 million tons this week, an increase of 9,600 tons from Monday. (13) The soda ash operating rate remained stable at 87.44%, but production from the Alashan Phase II plant may be delayed. (14) Short-term coal costs have constrained the decline, and a slightly bullish outlook is recommended. (15) Prices of liquid soda ash and liquid chlorine in Shandong rose, with chlor-alkali profits reaching 627 yuan/ton. (16) Supply is expected to increase next week, and downstream purchasing prices are expected to decline further. (17) Supply remains ample, while downstream deliveries have increased slightly. (18) However, there is no peak season restocking demand for non-aluminum products, inventories are high, and there are no signs of improvement in fundamentals. 18. The market is expected to fluctuate with a slightly weak bias. The spot price in Taicang fell by 33 yuan to 2157 yuan, and the price in the northern Inner Mongolia region fell by 15 yuan to 2005 yuan. 20. The main methanol contract broke down again, significantly dragging down the spot trading atmosphere.

20:45:00

[Caixin Futures: Divergent Trends in Precious Metals and Non-ferrous Metals] ⑴ Market optimism faded, and funds returned to fundamental trading logic. ⑵ Weaker-than-expected earnings reports from US tech stocks triggered a decline, with funds flowing back into gold ETFs, increasing holdings by 4.3 tons. ⑶ New York gold support is at $3940, and resistance is at $4070; domestic gold support is at 900 yuan, and resistance is at 926 yuan. ⑷ The support range for the AU2512 contract has shifted down to 904-910 yuan, with a short-term trading range of 915-926 yuan. ⑸ Trading recommendations: Reduce leverage, strictly control risk, and adopt a defensive buy-on-dips strategy. ⑹ The Fed cut interest rates as expected, but Powell's remarks were hawkish, stating that a December rate cut is "not a certainty." ⑺ Copper prices fell as a result, but domestic and international copper mine disturbances continued, with supply expected to be tight. ⑻ Amid escalating geopolitical tensions, Shanghai copper still has support; maintain a buy-on-dips strategy. (9) Shanghai zinc prices retreated slightly due to hawkish comments, while LME inventory levels remained low. (10) Domestic social inventories decreased slightly but remained high, with export opportunities open and demand stable. (11) Fundamentals are gradually moving towards a tight balance, and Shanghai zinc prices may stabilize and fluctuate. (12) Overall alumina supply and demand remain relatively loose, and the pressure of oversupply has not eased. (13) The rebound is weak given high inventory levels; caution is advised when bottom-fishing. (14) Risks of mining disruptions should be guarded against before the Guinea elections. (15) Aluminum prices were suppressed by hawkish comments, but the overall macroeconomic environment is favorable. (16) Tight scrap aluminum supply and firm prices suggest continued high-level fluctuations in Shanghai aluminum. (17) The strategy is mainly to buy on dips, while lithium carbonate futures remain relatively strong. (18) Strong downstream demand supports prices, and the destocking trend continues. (19) However, the rise is more of a temporary supply-demand mismatch, and the high supply pressure remains unchanged. (20) Excessive optimism about the upside potential of the market is not advisable; attention should be paid to demand and inventory trends.

20:43:38

[Caixin Futures: Divergent Trends in the Ferrous Metals Sector] ⑴ Pig iron production declined due to environmental regulations, but the lifting of production restrictions in Tangshan may boost output. ⑵ Cost support remains in the short term, but the room for improvement in construction material demand is limited, and the peak demand season may have already arrived. ⑶ Overall, the supply and demand drivers for steel are weak, suppressing the upside potential of the market; short-term fluctuations are expected. ⑷ In terms of funding, both long and short positions in the top 20 rebar 01 contract decreased, with roughly equal magnitude. ⑸ Both long and short positions in the hot-rolled coil 01 contract increased, with short positions increasing slightly more, resulting in a slightly bearish change in open interest. ⑹ Iron ore port inventories continued to rise, indicating a weakening of supply and demand, but pig iron production disruptions persist. ⑺ Steel mills maintain a low inventory strategy, and restocking expectations support short-term high-level fluctuations. ⑻ Iron ore shipments are expected to remain high in November, and pig iron production still has room to decline. ⑼ The medium-term weak expectation pattern remains unchanged, and there is a risk of valuation decline; shorting is recommended on opportune occasions. ⑽ Coking coal supply remains tight due to safety inspections, environmental protection, and underground factors. (11) Downstream buyers are actively purchasing, and low coal mine inventories support stronger spot prices. (12) Macroeconomic disturbances have triggered some profit-taking, increasing market volatility, but the adjustment range is limited. (13) Strategically, maintain a buy-on-dips approach, avoiding chasing highs; short positions have been reduced more significantly. (14) Coking coal production is suppressed by environmental maintenance, and rising costs are driving expectations of a third round of price increases. (15) Steel demand is nearing its peak, and rising raw material prices may compress steel mill profits. (16) Coking plant profit improvement has limited room; a long coal, short coking coal strategy can be maintained. (17) Manganese silicon plant inventories continue to increase; supply and demand drivers are weak, but expectations of reduced manganese ore supply are rising. (18) The battle between bulls and bears intensifies; awaiting a breakout from the month-long trading range. (19) Funding has increased long positions more significantly, with a generally positive change in open interest.

20:41:37

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,030.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,030.13/ounce, up 0.15% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,043.30/ounce, up 0.68% on the day.

20:39:25

Spot gold rose $8 in the short term, with attention focused on developments in the situation in Venezuela.

20:37:49

The Miami Herald: The US has decided to attack military targets in Venezuela, and a US strike on Venezuela could be launched at any time. Note: Monitor the impact of these developments on market sentiment.

20:35:49

Crude oil demand is alarming, yet global giants are ramping up production! The high-stakes gamble behind it is coming to light. Details>

20:34:01

[MBS Opening: Sharp Yield Surge Widens Spreads, Market Under Pressure Ahead of Month-End Index Buying] ⑴ At the opening on October 31, US Treasury yields were bear-steeping, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.105% and the 2s/10s yield widening by 1.1bp to 48.6bp. The MBS basis slightly underperformed, with the UMBS30 yield at 5.0%-6.0% 1-2 ticks lower than the 10-year yield. ⑵ On the 31st day of the government shutdown, the Q3 employment cost index and the September core PCE were absent, leaving only the Chicago PMI and speeches from three non-voting Fed officials. Market volatility was supported by sentiment. ⑶ Crude oil fell 0.3% to $60.38, pressured by expectations of increased OPEC+ production in December coupled with a demand-side uncertainty. (4) End-of-month buying interest in index futures has not materialized. The current 30-year bond yield is 5.163%, widening the spread between it and the 10-year mixed government bond yield to 124.7bp, and the spread between it and the 10-year SOFR yield to 149.2bp, indicating pre-emptive pressure of 1bp. (5) Next week's focus: The Supreme Court will hear on Tuesday regarding Trump's tariff statements; October MBS prepayment data will be released starting Thursday evening; Class A rolls will settle on Friday, amplifying volatility and convexity trading.

20:33:40

[Canada's GDP Plunges 0.3% in August: A Triple Blow from Mines, Factories, and Airline Strikes] ⑴ Statistics Canada data released Friday showed that August GDP unexpectedly contracted by 0.3%, the fourth contraction in five months, with both services and goods sectors stalling. ⑵ Manufacturing was hardest hit by US tariffs, shrinking another 0.5% in August, accounting for nearly 10% of GDP; mining and oil and gas sectors fell 0.7%, with metal ore and coal production plunging by 1.2% and 5% respectively. ⑶ Transportation and warehousing dragged down the service sector due to airline strikes, with slight increases in retail and real estate only partially offsetting the shortfall. The leading indicator for September is estimated at only +0.1%, locking in an annualized quarterly growth of 0.4%, lower than the 0.5% forecast by the Bank of Canada a week earlier. ⑷ If the September figures are not revised downwards, Canada can avoid the official definition of recession, which requires two consecutive quarters of negative growth; Q2 already saw an annualized decline of 1.6%.

20:32:06

Canada's seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate for August

Previous : 0.90% Forecast : -

Published Value -0.30%

20:31:45

[Fed Hawkish Official Explains Reasons for Opposing Rate Cut: Inflation Risks Remain] ⑴ Kansas City Fed President Schmid explicitly stated his opposition to this week's rate cut decision, expressing concern that persistently high inflation could damage the central bank's credibility. ⑵ In a written statement, Schmid explained his voting position, believing that a 25 basis point rate cut would have limited effect on easing labor market pressures. ⑶ He warned that if the market questions the Fed's commitment to its 2% inflation target, the rate cut could have a more lasting impact on inflation. ⑷ Although official data releases were suspended due to the government shutdown, recent reports show that the core PCE annual rate remains high at 2.8%. ⑸ Schmid noted that his contacts in his region are generally concerned about persistent cost increases and inflationary pressures. ⑹ Healthcare costs and insurance premiums are the primary concerns, indicating that inflation is spreading broadly across goods and services categories. ⑺ He believes that economic growth momentum remains strong, and monetary policy should continue to curb demand growth to ease price pressures. ⑻ The current policy stance is only defined as "slightly restrained," while labor market conditions are largely balanced. (9) Schmid and Federal Reserve Governor Michel both voted against the cut, but the latter supported a larger 50-basis-point rate cut.

20:31:32

[Pound Falls to Six-Month Low as Fiscal Crisis Fuels Rate Cut Expectations] ⑴ The pound fell 0.11% against the dollar to $1.3136 on Friday, nearing its lowest level since April. ⑵ The pound fell 2.3% in October, its biggest monthly drop since July and the second-largest monthly decline this year. ⑶ The pound also fell to a two-and-a-half-year low against the euro, reflecting heightened investor concerns about the UK's fiscal outlook. ⑷ Chancellor Reeves will present her budget in late November, but her room for maneuver within her own fiscal rules is very limited. ⑸ The market widely expects she may be forced to break her campaign promises and implement tax increases to maintain fiscal stability. ⑹ UK government bonds rose sharply this month as investors bet that the Bank of England will cut interest rates sooner than expected, given stable inflation. ⑺ Money market pricing indicates a 45% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Bank of England's meeting next week, a significant increase from near zero a few weeks ago. ⑻ Goldman Sachs economists changed their stance this week, now predicting a rate cut by the Bank of England, after previously holding the opposite view. (9) The dual pressures of fiscal difficulties and expectations of monetary easing have made the pound one of the worst-performing major currencies this month.

20:31:10

Federal Reserve's Schmid: If the Fed's 2% inflation target is called into question, cutting interest rates could be damaging.

20:31:05

Federal Reserve's Schmid: Current policy is only slightly restrictive; it still needs to address demand and price pressures.

20:30:59

Federal Reserve's Schmid: Financial conditions appear accommodative, with no indication of particularly tight financial conditions.

20:30:54

Federal Reserve's Schmid: The labor market is generally balanced, and any pressure is likely to stem from structural changes, which cannot be addressed by a small rate cut by the Fed.

20:30:45

Federal Reserve's Schmid: Opposes rate cuts because economic growth remains strong and there are concerns about persistently high and potentially spreading inflation.

20:30:03

Canada's seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate for August

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0%

美元

加元金银

Published Value -0.30%

20:28:09

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Today we identified the main directions for future sanctions efforts. These directions include the sanctions proposals we put forward to our partners, our own sanctions (which are similar in many respects to those of other European countries), and the direct, rapid, and long-term sanctions we will implement. A large number of Russian companies involved in the production of missiles and other weapons remain untouched by international sanctions. We will address this issue by working more actively with our partners to coordinate the implementation of various sanctions measures.

20:26:27

ExxonMobil CEO (XOM.N): Believes California is following a "flawed ideology" like Europe.

20:25:46

A spokesperson for the British Prime Minister stated that the UK has no intention of arbitrarily cutting Personal Independence Payments (PIPs).

20:23:56

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1600.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1600.15/ounce, up 0.12% on the day; Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1601.1/ounce, down 0.82% on the day.

20:23:20

ECB Governing Council member Villeroy: At the upcoming meeting, a flexible and pragmatic approach based on data and forecasts is needed more than ever.

20:23:06

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,020.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,020.10/ounce, down 0.10% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,032.90/ounce, up 0.42% on the day.

20:20:29

ExxonMobil CEO: The biggest challenge is the oil supply that is about to enter the market.

20:20:00

EU Trade Commissioner Šefčovič: Detailed talks have been held with the US on steel and aluminum. The ECB faces risks, including from financial markets, and must maintain sufficient policy flexibility. The ECB is working to resolve the US anti-dumping case against Italian pasta.

20:14:50

ExxonMobil CEO: Strong performance in the third quarter despite price volatility

20:10:58

European Commission Vice-President Šefčovič: We are helping Italy deal with the pasta tariff war with the United States.

20:05:26

[China Futures Association Notice on Issuing and Implementing the "Rules for the Management of Futures Market Making Trading Business"] To implement the relevant requirements of the "Opinions on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, and Promoting High-Quality Development of the Futures Market," and to further strengthen self-regulatory management of futures market making trading business, the China Futures Association (hereinafter referred to as the Association), after extensively soliciting opinions from the industry, has formulated the "Rules for the Management of Futures Market Making Trading Business." The rules were reviewed and approved at the 23rd meeting of the Sixth Council of the Association and are hereby issued, effective December 1, 2025. Risk management companies that have registered their market making business with the Association, in accordance with the "Guidelines for Pilot Business of Risk Management Companies of Futures Companies," may conduct futures market making trading business. (China Futures Association)

20:03:48

[Yen Boosted by Finance Minister, Pound Falls to Year-to-Date Low] ⑴ The yen rose on Friday after Japan's new finance minister said he was closely monitoring foreign exchange market movements with a high degree of urgency. ⑵ The dollar held steady at 154.125 against the yen, remaining above its near nine-month low, as Tokyo's core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year, exceeding expectations. ⑶ The yen fell 4% in October, its worst monthly performance since July, and its exchange rate against the euro fell to a record low. ⑷ The dollar index hovered near a three-month high, influenced by central bank decisions, tech earnings reports, and the temporary suspension of tariffs between the US and China. ⑸ Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained cautious about a December rate cut, with market expectations falling from 90% a week ago to 75%. ⑹ The euro was flat against the dollar at 1.1562 after the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 2% for the third consecutive time, saying policy was "in the right place." (7) The pound fell 0.2% to 1.312, bringing its monthly decline to 2.3%, as political pressure surrounding Chancellor Rachel Reeves continued to mount. (8) The euro rose 0.15% against the pound to 0.8812, a more than two-year high, and is on track for its fifth consecutive month of gains. (9) Market concerns about the impact of the UK's November budget on businesses and households led investors to flock to UK government bonds as a safe haven.

20:02:15

JPMorgan Chase's division invests in the Texas Stock Exchange.

20:00:38

[US Repo Rates Surge to 4.25%, Halloween Liquidity Alarm Sounds] ⑴ The general guarantee rate surged 19 basis points to 4.25% on Halloween, reflecting settlement pressure caused by a $58 billion outflow. ⑵ The opening bid price was 25 basis points higher than the upper limit of the 3.75%-4.00% interest rate corridor, continuing the recent upward trend in overnight rates. ⑶ The Federal Reserve's repo facility offered a 4.00% execution rate at 20:30 Beijing time and 01:30 the following day, with a liquidity quota of $500 billion. ⑷ Yesterday's two operations only raised $6.2 billion, and although the execution rate was better than the market level, it failed to effectively attract demand. ⑸ Month-end fund allocation drove increased demand for reverse repo operations, and this pattern may continue today. ⑹ The 20-year bond premium remained stable, despite new bond settlement pressure, showing the resilience of demand for certain bonds. (7) Auction announcements for 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year bonds will be released on November 5th, and hedging demand may boost buying in these maturities. (8) Federal funds futures pricing indicates a 68% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the December meeting, down 7 percentage points from yesterday. (9) The auction stop rates for 1-month and 2-month Treasury bills were 3.910% and 3.890%, respectively, with short-term rates remaining relatively stable. (10) The 0x3 overnight index swap rate was 3.759%, 48.1 basis points lower than the 10-day average SOFR, implying a 92% probability of another rate cut.

20:00:22

South Africa's trade balance for September - including regions

Previous : 39.70 Forecast : 125

Published Value 217.60

20:00:03

Brazil's unemployment rate in September - National Household Sample Survey

Previous : 5.60% Forecast : 5.50%

Published Value 5.60%

19:59:36

"Conditional easing" ignites the market! The US dollar surges, and Canadian dollar bears are sharpening their knives? Details>

19:58:27

Alexei Pushkov, a member of the Constitutional Committee of the Federation Council of Russia, believes that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's refusal to stop purchasing Russian liquefied natural gas is of symbolic significance, and that Russia cannot be isolated from the global energy market.

19:57:07

[US Treasury Yields Hold Above 4.10%, Central Bank Policy Divergence Exacerbates Market Volatility] ⑴ The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield remained above 4.10%, with near-record levels of corporate bond issuance intensifying supply and demand pressures. ⑵ Federal Reserve Chairman Powell explicitly stated that a December rate cut is not a given, and Wednesday's rate cut was purely a risk management measure. ⑶ Disagreements have emerged within the European Central Bank regarding its December policy meeting; the newly released three-year forecast will be a key factor in decision-making. ⑷ Trading strategies favor selling on rallies, with the 4% psychological level becoming a significant resistance level; the 10-year yield range is expected to be 4.08%-4.12%. ⑸ Friday's government shutdown delayed the release of the employment cost index and personal income and spending reports, amplifying market volatility due to the data vacuum. ⑹ The European bond market faces structural challenges; the lifting of debt restrictions in Germany may trigger a bond issuance frenzy, testing market resilience. ⑺ Several hawkish Federal Reserve officials will speak, and their policy stances may further reinforce expectations of persistently high interest rates. (8) Although core PCE inflation is projected to remain at 2.9%, tariffs could push inflation to 3.1% by the end of 2025. (9) The ECB significantly upgraded its economic assessment in its statement, removing its cautious description of the economic situation, demonstrating a hawkish shift. (10) Market liquidity is facing a test, with over $40 billion in investment-grade corporate bond issuance in a single day exhausting buyers' capacity to absorb the supply.

19:53:47

[The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will issue 190 billion rupees in treasury bills on November 6] ⑴ The RBI is scheduled to hold a treasury bill auction on November 6, with a total size of 190 billion rupees. ⑵ Of this, 70 billion rupees will be 91-day treasury bills, accounting for 36.8%. ⑶ 60 billion rupees will be 182-day treasury bills, accounting for 31.6%. ⑷ 60 billion rupees will be 364-day treasury bills, accounting for 31.6%. ⑸ The relatively high proportion of short-term instruments indicates the central bank's preference for maintaining stable liquidity. ⑹ This auction will test market demand for Indian short-term debt instruments. ⑺ The balanced allocation across maturities reflects the central bank's comprehensive consideration of yield curve management.

19:53:12

A European Commission spokesperson stated that EU Defence Commissioner Kubilius discussed the SAFE plan with the UK Defence Secretary. The EU plans to finalize negotiations with the UK on the security plan by mid-November.

19:52:03

[Abnormal Yield Spread Between Italian and Portuguese Bonds, 5-Year Yield Curve Shows Arbitrage Opportunity] ⑴ After directional adjustment of the yield spread, the Italian 5-year bond yield curve appears overvalued relative to its Portuguese counterparts. ⑵ Based on two-month constant yield regression analysis, the Italian 5-year bond yield is 2.7 basis points higher than the beta-adjusted Portuguese 5-year yield. ⑶ This spread represents 2.3 standard deviations, indicating a deviation exceeding normal fluctuations. ⑷ The current valuation difference offers potential opportunities for relative value trading, and the market may experience mean reversion. ⑸ Investors should pay attention to the possibility of convergence in the yield spread between the two countries; the overvaluation of Italian bonds may be unsustainable. ⑹ Technical indicators suggest that Portuguese 5-year bonds are more attractive relative to their value, with room for a revaluation of their allocation value.

19:49:31

Alitalia will resume flights to and from Tel Aviv starting January 1.

19:48:21

Ukraine's Ministry of Economy: Due to reduced corn sales, Ukraine's grain exports in October 2025 will decrease to 2.5 million tons from 3.7 million tons in October 2024.

19:47:36

EUR/USD Monthly Forecast: Bulls Face Challenges in November as well Details>

19:45:57

[Canada Budget Preview: Fiscal Expansion May Boost the Canadian Dollar] ⑴ The Canadian federal budget, to be released on Tuesday, is expected to provide positive support for the Canadian dollar. ⑵ Monex Europe analysts point out that a policy mix combining fiscal expansion with spending efficiency is likely to be welcomed by the market. ⑶ The budget is expected to include investment in the military and housing sectors, as well as support measures for groups affected by the US-Canada trade dispute. ⑷ At the same time, the government will balance the budget by cutting other expenditures, demonstrating fiscal discipline. ⑸ On Friday, the Canadian dollar's movement was mainly driven by external factors such as the US dollar, oil prices, and the stock market, due to a lack of important domestic economic data in Canada. ⑹ The US dollar is currently up 0.2% against the Canadian dollar at 1.4008 Canadian dollars, as the market awaits the release of budget details. ⑺ Analysts maintain an optimistic outlook on the budget, believing its overall structure is favorable for the Canadian dollar. ⑻ Traders will closely monitor the specific arrangements for the scale and funding sources of fiscal stimulus in the budget.

19:44:34

Lieutenant General Igor Konashenkov, spokesman for the Russian Ministry of Defense, stated that the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs' ban on media access to the "powder keg" via the Russian security corridor was an attempt to conceal the true situation on the front lines from the international community and the Ukrainian people.

19:44:13

India's M3 money supply for the week ending October 13

Previous : 9.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 9.20%

19:40:34

A spokesperson for the European Commission stated that if negotiations fail, the EU will consider measures to prevent the export ban on Ukraine.

19:40:08

Alexander Shokhin, Chairman of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs: He expects the Russian Central Bank's key interest rate to fall to 16% this year, and to be lowered by 0.5 percentage points each quarter until 2026.

19:37:11

[Brazil's Fiscal Deficit Meets Expectations, but Debt Pressure Remains High] ⑴ Brazil's primary budget deficit in September was 17.452 billion reais, perfectly in line with market expectations of 17.45 billion reais. ⑵ The overall budget deficit reached 102.185 billion reais, significantly higher than the market expectation of 86.074 billion reais. ⑶ In the 12 months ending in September, the primary budget deficit was equivalent to 0.27% of GDP, indicating that the fiscal situation still faces pressure. ⑷ The total public sector debt as a percentage of GDP remained high at 78.2%, highlighting the challenge of debt sustainability. ⑸ The net public sector debt as a percentage of GDP was 64.8%, lower than the total debt level but still within a high range. ⑹ The budget data reflects slow progress in Brazil's fiscal consolidation, and the debt burden has not yet shown significant improvement. ⑺ The market is focused on how the government will balance fiscal discipline with the need for economic growth, and the policy direction remains uncertain.

19:36:34

European Commission spokesperson: There is no reason to impose an export ban on Ukrainian agricultural products.

19:36:15

[Barclays and Bank of America Issue Joint Statement: ECB Rate Cut Unlikely This Year] ⑴ Barclays and Bank of America Global Research have revised their forecasts, no longer expecting the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut rates at its December meeting. ⑵ Both institutions previously predicted a 25 basis point rate cut by the ECB in December, but have now changed their stance. ⑶ The ECB kept interest rates unchanged at 2% for the third consecutive time on Thursday, stating that policy is in the "appropriate position." ⑷ The central bank noted that economic risks are receding, and the Eurozone has shown continued resilience in the face of uncertainty. ⑸ Barclays now expects interest rates to remain unchanged until the end of 2026, with policy stability exceeding market expectations. ⑹ Bank of America expects a rate cut to be delayed until March next year, by 25 basis points. ⑺ Goldman Sachs and UBS Global Wealth Management, among other institutions, have also reiterated that the ECB will remain on hold for the foreseeable future. ⑻ According to institutional data, current market consensus indicates that the probability of a rate cut in December is extremely low, almost negligible.

19:36:07

Brazil's total debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 77.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 78.10%

19:35:06

Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE): CBOE Global Markets is initiating the sale process of CBOE Australia and CBOE Canada. This aims to reduce costs associated with listing exchange-traded products (ETPs) in the US and Europe.

19:34:39

[Orbán: Hungary Hopes for US Sanctions Exemption for Russian Energy Companies] Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated that Hungary must convince the United States that, as a landlocked country, it occupies a special position and therefore needs a sanctions exemption in order to continue purchasing Russian oil and gas.

19:32:36

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: Sanctions are needed for another 340 Russian oil tankers; the situation near Pokrovsk remains tense. Krayny's forces have not been surrounded near Pokrovsk.

19:31:59

Brazil's net debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 64.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 64.80%

19:31:53

Brazil's total debt as a proportion of GDP in September

Previous : 77.50% Forecast : -

Published Value 78.20%

19:31:35

Brazil's nominal budget balance for September

Previous : -915.16 Forecast : -860.74

Published Value -1021.85

19:31:26

Brazil had a basic budget surplus in September

Previous : -172.55 Forecast : -172.20

Published Value -174.52

19:30:58

The year-on-year growth rate of bank loans in India for the week ending October 13

Previous : 11.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 11.50%

19:30:57

India's foreign exchange reserves for the week ending October 20

Previous : 7025.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 6953.60

19:30:57

India's annual rate of deposit growth for the week ending October 13

Previous : 9.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 9.50%

19:30:00

Kuwait Oil Corporation: Expected to restart units at the Zour refinery by November 11.

19:29:30

[State Council Executive Meeting: Measures Deployed to Accelerate the Cultivation and Opening of Application Scenarios and Promote Large-Scale Application of New Scenarios] Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which pointed out that application scenarios are the bridge connecting technology and industry, and bridging R&D and the market, playing a crucial guiding role in promoting the large-scale commercial application of new technologies and products. The meeting emphasized the need to fully leverage my country's advantages of a super-large market and abundant application scenarios, focusing on supply and demand matching, prioritizing the development of new fields and tracks, high-value niche scenarios, and cross-regional and cross-domain integrated scenarios, targeting the forefront of industrial development and the needs of major technological breakthroughs. It stressed the importance of opening up scenario resources, conducting pilot-scale testing and innovation, and exploring business models to promote the formation of a complete closed loop from technological breakthroughs to industrial applications. The meeting also called for cultivating more new scenarios through reform and innovation, advancing "hardware construction" such as infrastructure and platforms, providing "software support" such as laws, regulations, and policies, strengthening inter-departmental collaboration, improving regulatory mechanisms, and creating a favorable innovation ecosystem. (CCTV News)

19:29:12

[State Council Executive Meeting: Studying Deepening Reforms in Key Areas and Expanding Institutional Opening-up] Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which pointed out that efforts should be focused on deepening reforms in key areas to drive high-level opening-up, improve the level of openness in the commodity market, optimize market access rules for services, and improve the regulatory system for opening up factor markets. It is necessary to proactively align with high-standard international trade and economic rules, actively expand independent opening-up, and steadily expand institutional opening-up in areas such as rules, regulations, management, and standards. Attention should be paid to leveraging the advantages of high-level opening-up platforms such as free trade zones and free trade ports to explore and form more replicable and scalable reform achievements, and continuously improve the effectiveness of institutional opening-up. (CCTV News)

19:22:33

[The Swiss Franc's Safe-Haven Aura Fades; Technical Correction Rather Than Central Bank Intervention] ⑴ The recent decline in the Swiss franc mainly reflects a decrease in safe-haven demand, rather than direct market intervention by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). ⑵ A report by Commerzbank points out that intervention estimates based on demand deposit data are often inaccurate, making it difficult to verify whether the central bank intervened. ⑶ The SNB has repeatedly emphasized that it will only intervene when the Swiss franc experiences significant fluctuations, and the current trend does not meet this condition. ⑷ The latest exchange rate for the euro against the Swiss franc is 0.9283, largely meeting Commerzbank's fourth-quarter forecast of 0.92. ⑸ The institution believes the exchange rate is "unlikely to fall significantly further," suggesting limited room for further depreciation. ⑹ Market speculation about central bank intervention lacks empirical support; exchange rate movements are driven more by technical factors. ⑺ The slight weakening trend of the Swiss franc may continue, but the risk of a significant depreciation is low due to the central bank's cautious stance.

19:20:16

[Euro Approaches 29-Month High Against Pound as ECB Policy Divergence Intensifies] ⑴ The euro has surged against the pound, approaching the key resistance level of 0.8816, its highest level since May 2023, reached on Wednesday. ⑵ Eurozone core inflation remained unchanged at 2.4% in October, higher than the market expectation of 2.3%, providing solid support for the euro. ⑶ Solid inflation data reinforces expectations that the ECB will remain on hold in December, maintaining stable monetary policy. ⑷ The Bank of England's meeting next week (November 6th) carries the risk of an interest rate cut, a prospect that continues to weigh on the pound. ⑸ The divergence in monetary policy is becoming increasingly apparent, with Eurozone inflation stickiness countering a potential easing tendency in the UK. ⑹ Bank of England economists will hold a briefing at 22:30 Beijing time to discuss Bernanke's proposals for 2024. ⑺ A break above the 0.8816 resistance level would push the euro against the pound to a 29-month high, opening up further upside potential. (8) The exchange rate trend fully reflects the difference in policy expectations between the two central banks, and market pricing has begun to reflect this divergence.

19:14:58

[Summary of Latest Changes in Interest Rate Expectations of Major Central Banks] ⑴ The probability of a Fed rate cut before the end of the year is 68%, with a cumulative rate cut of 17 basis points expected. ⑵ A cumulative rate cut of 82 basis points is expected in 2026; Powell emphasizes that a December rate cut is "far from certain." ⑶ The probability of the ECB keeping rates unchanged in the near term is 96%, with only a 12 basis point rate cut expected in 2026. ⑷ The probability of the Bank of England maintaining its interest rate is 68%, with a cumulative rate cut of 64 basis points expected in 2026. ⑸ The probability of the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping rates unchanged is 92%; strong inflation data has postponed the expected rate cut to June 2026. ⑹ The probability of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting rates is 83%, with a 21 basis point rate cut expected before the end of the year. ⑺ The probability of the Bank of Japan keeping rates unchanged is 73%; Kazuo Ueda hinted that there might be no rate hike this year. ⑻ The market expects the Bank of Japan's next rate hike to be postponed until early 2026. ⑼ Both the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank tend to maintain current interest rate levels.

19:11:22

[North Macedonia's Industrial Output Rebounds Year-on-Year in September] ⑴ North Macedonia's industrial output in September 2025 increased by 2.7% year-on-year, a significant improvement from the 3.5% decline in the previous month. ⑵ Manufacturing output recovered strongly, growing by 3.1%; the decline in electricity and gas supply narrowed to 2.5%. ⑶ Mining and quarrying output declined by 1.7%, reversing the 7.0% increase in the previous month. ⑷ Industrial output in the first nine months increased by 2.3% compared to the same period last year.

19:09:55

[EUR/USD Technical Analysis] Observing the 30-minute candlestick chart, the EUR/USD pair quickly entered a downtrend after forming a temporary high at 1.1665, accompanied by a series of long-bodied bearish candlesticks. Subsequently, a lower shadow appeared near 1.1577, indicating that buying pressure was beginning to emerge. The pair then rebounded briefly but encountered strong resistance near 1.1600, suggesting that 1.1600 has become a key short-term resistance level and a "threshold" that bulls must overcome to recover. After failing to break through effectively, the price retested the lows, reaching 1.1546, before finding support above 1.1554 and gradually entering a horizontal channel consolidation between 1.1560 and 1.1580. The MACD indicator (26,12,9) shows that DIFF is -0.0002 and DEA is -0.0003, still below the zero axis, but the two lines are beginning to converge. The MACD histogram has gradually turned from the previous green negative bars to slightly red bars, reflecting the weakening of the bearish momentum and the possible momentum replenishment. This is a typical "slowing down" signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is around 48.4785. It is in the oversold zone below 50 but significantly above 30, which is a neutral to slightly weak state. This indicates that the current situation is not a panic sell-off, but rather a slow war of attrition where the bears control the pace at low levels and force the bulls to give up their rebound chips. In summary, the 1.1546-1.1554 area forms the recent static support zone, and 1.1600 is the static resistance line above. As long as there is no volume breakout above 1.1600, the trend is still defined as a consolidation market dominated by downward pressure, rather than a complete reversal.

19:09:01

[North Macedonia's Retail Sales Decline Year-on-Year in September] ⑴ Retail sales in North Macedonia fell 0.2% year-on-year in September 2025, reversing the 1.1% increase in the previous month. ⑵ Sales of food, beverages, and tobacco declined by 7.1%, while sales of motor vehicle fuel decreased by 1.5%. ⑶ Sales of non-food products rebounded, increasing by 7.6%. ⑷ Excluding fuel, retail trade volume decreased slightly by 0.1%.

19:08:52

[Portugal's October Inflation Rate Slightly Drops to Five-Month Low] ⑴ Portugal's annual inflation rate fell to 2.3% in October 2025, a five-month low. ⑵ This is a slight decrease from 2.4% in September, with energy prices falling 1.2% year-on-year. ⑶ Food inflation slowed to 6.1%, while the consumer price index remained flat month-on-month. ⑷ Calculated according to the EU harmonized index, the annual inflation rate rose slightly to 2.0%. ⑸ The harmonized index fell 0.3% month-on-month, reversing the 0.9% increase in the previous month.

19:08:13

[Colombo, Sri Lanka's Inflation Rate Hits 15-Month High] ⑴ In October 2025, the inflation rate in the Colombo region of Sri Lanka rose 2.1% year-on-year, accelerating for the third consecutive month. ⑵ This is the highest level since July 2024, with food prices rising by 3.5%. ⑶ Non-food prices rose 1.4%, more than doubling the increase from the previous month. ⑷ Seasonally adjusted, consumer prices rose slightly by 0.1% month-on-month in October, continuing the upward trend.

19:07:48

[Sri Lanka's Producer Prices Fall for Third Consecutive Month in September] ⑴ Sri Lanka's producer prices fell 0.5% year-on-year in September 2025, unchanged from the upwardly revised August decline. ⑵ This marks the third consecutive month of deflation, primarily driven by a faster decline in agricultural product prices. ⑶ Agricultural product prices fell 6%, with lower costs for both perennial and non-perennial crops and livestock products. ⑷ Manufacturing price growth slowed to 0.2%, with continued deflation in sectors such as beverages and textiles. ⑸ Electricity and gas supply costs rebounded by 1.7%, compared to a previous decline of 5.1%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, September's producer prices fell 0.7% month-on-month, the largest drop in four months.

19:07:30

[Eurozone Inflation Falls to 2.1% in October, Close to Central Bank Target] ⑴ Eurozone consumer price inflation fell to 2.1% in October, in line with market expectations. ⑵ This represents a further decline from September's 2.2%, gradually approaching the European Central Bank's 2% policy target. ⑶ Food and tobacco price increases slowed to 2.5%, with both processed and unprocessed food inflation easing. ⑷ Non-energy industrial goods inflation fell to 0.6%, while energy cost declines widened to 1.0%. ⑸ Services inflation accelerated for the second consecutive month to 3.4%, the highest level since April. ⑹ Core inflation remained stable at 2.4%, slightly higher than the market expectation of 2.3%.

19:07:11

[Italy's October Inflation Unexpectedly Falls to a One-Year Low] ⑴ Italy's annual inflation rate fell to 1.2% in October, the lowest level in a year. ⑵ This is a significant drop from September's 1.6% and well below market expectations of 1.6%. ⑶ Regulated energy prices fell 0.8% year-on-year, a sharp reversal from the previous value of 13.9%. ⑷ Fresh food inflation slowed to 1.9%, and transportation services inflation fell to 2.0%. ⑸ The growth rate of entertainment services prices accelerated to 3.3%, while the core inflation rate remained unchanged at 2.0%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, consumer prices fell 0.3% month-on-month in October, marking the second consecutive month of decline.

19:05:15

[Greece Retail Sales Growth Hits Four-Month High in August] ⑴ Greek retail sales in August 2025 increased by 3.9% year-on-year, a significant acceleration from the previous month's 2.1%. ⑵ This marks the strongest growth since April, with food sales growth accelerating to 4.6%. ⑶ Non-food sales grew by 7.6%, a particularly strong performance. ⑷ Motor vehicle fuel sales fell by 1.9%, becoming the only category to decline. ⑸ After seasonal adjustment, retail activity increased by 0.2% month-on-month in August, reversing the 1.5% decline in the previous month.

19:04:56

[Croatia's October Inflation Rate Falls to Five-Month Low] ⑴ Croatia's annual inflation rate fell to 3.6% in October 2025, a five-month low. ⑵ This represents a significant slowdown from September's 4.2%, with food, beverage, and tobacco prices rising by 4.4%. ⑶ Service prices rose by 6.4%, and energy prices rose by 3.9%. ⑷ Non-food industrial goods prices fell by 0.2%, and seasonally adjusted consumer prices rose by 0.5% month-on-month in October.

19:04:01

[Luxembourg Producer Prices Decline for Second Consecutive Month] ⑴ Luxembourg's producer prices fell 1.8% year-on-year in September, compared to a 0.9% decline in the previous month. ⑵ Deflation has occurred for the second consecutive month, reaching its lowest level in a year. ⑶ A year-on-year decline in energy costs of 8.9% was the main drag. ⑷ Prices of intermediate goods fell 0.9%, while prices of capital goods fell 0.1%. ⑸ Consumer prices maintained a 1.9% increase, but this was significantly narrower than the previous 7%. ⑹ Seasonally adjusted, producer prices fell 0.5% month-on-month in September, continuing the downward trend.

18:48:21

The market landscape has shifted: bond yields have pulled a fast one, the dollar is on the defensive, and gold and the euro are facing a pullback. Details>

18:41:41

The soybean crushing volume of major oil mills across China as of October 31

Previous : 236.62 Forecast : -

Published Value 225.34

18:41:31

The operating rates of soybean crushing at major oil mills across China as of October 31

Previous : 65.13% Forecast : -

Published Value 61.99%

18:39:49

India's federal fiscal deficit in September - local currency INR

Previous : 59815.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 57312.30

18:36:26

[USD/JPY Targets 154.80, Japanese Finance Minister Warns Against Decline] ⑴ The USD/JPY pair traded in a range of 153.66-154.41 on Friday, with technical charts suggesting a potential test of the 154.80 peak reached on February 12. ⑵ Japanese Finance Minister Katayama warned that he would closely monitor foreign exchange market volatility, a statement aimed at mitigating the yen's decline. ⑶ Despite the official warning, the yen still faces further downside risk, with technical indicators pointing to continued upward movement. ⑷ The EUR/JPY pair remained below Thursday's record high of 178.80, indicating that the overall weakness of the yen remains unchanged. ⑸ The Nikkei index climbed to a record high due to gains in technology stocks, creating a typical correlation with the yen's depreciation. ⑹ Verbal intervention by Japanese authorities has temporarily failed to reverse market trends, and upward pressure on the USD/JPY pair remains significant. ⑺ A break above the key resistance level of 154.80 could open up further upside potential for the USD/JPY pair, exacerbating the pressure on the yen's depreciation.

18:35:21

Palm oil futures have seen two consecutive monthly declines, and the 4200 ringgit support level is being tested. Details>

18:31:24

[Divergent Demand in Indian Bond Auctions, Strong Buying for Long-Term Bonds] ⑴ The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) 2028 bond auction received bids totaling 71.2 billion rupees, ultimately accepting 89.99 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 3.4 times. ⑵ One bid received a 24.95% partial allocation, indicating the RBI's cautious acceptance of certain offers. ⑶ Strong demand was seen for 2055 ultra-long-term bonds, with 154 bids totaling 165.15 billion rupees. ⑷ The RBI ultimately accepted 65 bids totaling 69.82 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 2.36 times. ⑸ Three bids for this bond type received a high partial allocation rate of 72.69%, reflecting a divergence in pricing for long-term bonds. ⑹ The 2054 sovereign green bond auction received 83 bids totaling 142.15 billion rupees. ⑺ The RBI accepted only 6 bids totaling 49.99 billion rupees, resulting in an oversubscription rate of 2.84 times. (8) One green bond bid received 72.48% of the partial allocation, indicating that environmental bonds also face pricing challenges. (9) Overall auction results show strong market demand for short- to medium-term bonds, while exhibiting a more cautious pricing attitude towards ultra-long-term bonds.

18:29:31

[ECB Survey: Inflation Expectations Slightly Upward, Economic Growth Outlook Remains Fragile] ⑴ The ECB's fourth-quarter survey of professional forecasters shows that the overall HICP inflation expectation for 2025 has been revised upward by 0.1 percentage point to 2.1%. ⑵ Inflation expectations for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged at 1.8% and 2.0% respectively, with long-term inflation expectations remaining stable at the 2.0% target level. ⑶ Core inflation expectations have also been revised upward, with the HICPX expectation rising by 0.1 percentage point to 2.4% in 2025, and remaining unchanged at 2.0% in subsequent years. ⑷ Real GDP growth expectations for 2025 have been revised upward by 0.1 percentage point to 1.2%, remaining at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027. ⑸ Trump's tariff rhetoric has had a negative impact on near-term economic growth expectations, but its direct impact on inflation is relatively limited. ⑹ The unemployment rate is expected to remain stable at 6.3% in both 2025 and 2026, slightly decreasing to 6.2% in 2027 and remaining there in the long term. (7) Interest rate path projections indicate that the deposit facility rate will fall to 1.9% in the first quarter of 2026, subsequently gradually rising to 2.25% by 2030. (8) The euro/dollar exchange rate is projected to steadily appreciate from 1.18 in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 1.20 in 2030. (9) Oil price projections have been slightly revised downwards, expected to remain in the $64-$68 per barrel range throughout the forecast period. (10) Nominal wage growth is projected to gradually slow from 4.5% in 2024 to 3.5% in 2025, and then stabilize at around 2.8% in the long term.

18:27:14

China's weekly rapeseed meal inventory as of October 31

Previous : 0.78 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.71

18:27:04

China's weekly soybean meal inventory as of October 31

Previous : 96.31 Forecast : -

Published Value 100.44

18:26:26

The preliminary reading of Italy's CPI excluding tobacco for October

Previous : 121.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 115.80

18:24:56

The preliminary annual rate of Italy's CPI excluding tobacco in October

Previous : 1.40% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.80%

18:22:07

Palm oil futures closed lower, mainly due to the combined pressure of weak demand and rising production. Palm oil futures fell 55 ringgit to 4,205 ringgit per tonne on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange. High inventory levels in Malaysia continue to put downward pressure on prices. Competition from alternative oils such as soybean oil has further exacerbated the downward pressure on the palm oil market. As Malaysia enters its traditional production reduction cycle, prices are expected to rebound moderately in the fourth quarter. However, institutions predict that this rebound will be limited and unlikely to replicate the strong gains seen in the same period last year. The current market environment remains bearish, and the degree of improvement in demand will be key to future price movements.

18:16:26

[Key Levels for the Dollar: Weekly Closing Price to Determine Future Direction] ⑴ The dollar's closing position this week will be crucial for its movement in the coming days and weeks. ⑵ The dollar index remained volatile at high levels on Friday, after hitting a three-month high on Thursday. ⑶ Traders are digesting mixed signals from this week's central bank decisions, tech earnings reports, and the temporary suspension of tariffs between the US and China. ⑷ The dollar index has broken through the 99.515 Fibonacci resistance level, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2025 decline from 110.170 to 96.224. ⑸ The dollar left a significant low of 98.025 on October 17, forming technical support. ⑹ If the dollar closes above the 99.515 Fibonacci resistance level this week, it will increase the likelihood of the dollar attacking the 100.00 level. ⑺ Conversely, failure to achieve a weekly closing breakout suggests a risk of a dollar pullback. (8) The current market environment is full of uncertainty, and the direction of the US dollar will depend on the technical confirmation of this week's closing price.

18:14:37

Preliminary reading of the eurozone's harmonized CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.10%

Published Value 0.20%

18:14:21

Preliminary reading of the Eurozone's core harmonized CPI monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20%

18:13:52

[Asian Fuel Oil Spot Freight Discounts Narrow, Market Structure Remains Weak] ⑴ Asian fuel oil spot spreads narrowed on Friday, but the market has maintained a futures premium structure recently. ⑵ An unexpected shutdown at Kuwait's Al-Zour refinery, a key producer of low-sulfur fuel oil, provided a slight improvement to the market. ⑶ Trade sources indicated that the Asian market still receives ample supply from other regions, meaning the impact of the shutdown may be limited. ⑷ The 380cst high-sulfur fuel oil market strengthened due to improved buying, but the inter-month spread remains at a deep futures premium. ⑸ Marine fuel oil premiums for both low-sulfur and high-sulfur fuel oil remained stable at a low of $10 above cargo prices this week, with no significant recovery seen throughout the month. ⑹ Fuel oil crack spreads held steady to strengthened, with the Singapore 380cst high-sulfur fuel oil crack spread remaining at a discount of nearly $5 per barrel. ⑺ The low-sulfur fuel oil crack spread rose to a premium of approximately $6.60 per barrel. (8) Fuel oil inventories in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region fell slightly by 0.3% to 920,000 tonnes in the week ending October 30. (9) Kuwait National Oil Company provided additional heavy crude oil for November spot shipments to mitigate the impact of unexpected refinery shutdowns.

21

Broker Rankings

Under Regulation

ATFX

Regulated by the UK FCA | Full license plate MM | Global business coverage

Overall Rating 88.9

Under Regulation

FxPro

Regulated by the UK FCA | NDD is executed without trader intervention | More than 20 years of history

Overall Rating 88.8

Under Regulation

FXTM

The stock owner's currency pair has a zero spread | "3000 times leverage" | Trade US stocks at zero commission

Overall Rating 88.6

Under Regulation

AvaTrade

More than 18 years | Nine levels of supervision | An established European broker

Overall Rating 88.4

Under Regulation

EBC

The EBC Million Dollar Contest | Regulated by the UK FCA | Open an FCA clearing account

Overall Rating 88.2

Under Regulation

Jufeng Bullion

More than 10 years | License of the Gold and Silver Exchange | New customers receive a bonus

Overall Rating 88.0

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3997.41	-3.75 (-0.09%)
XAG	47.961	-0.098 (-0.20%)
CONC	60.15	-0.90 (-1.47%)
OILC	64.00	-0.81 (-1.26%)
USD	99.923	0.059 (0.06%)
EURUSD	1.1512	-0.0007 (-0.06%)
GBPUSD	1.3071	-0.0069 (-0.52%)
USDCNH	7.1253	0.0009 (0.01%)

Home
|
News
|
Live
|
Markets
|
Calendar

Risk Disclosure: Trading stocks, currencies, commodities, futures, bonds, funds or cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. These risks include the loss of part or all of your investment capital, so trading is not suitable for all investors. Before making any financial decision, you should conduct your own due diligence, use your own judgment, and consult a qualified advisor. The content on this website is not specifically directed at you, nor have we considered your financial situation or needs. Information provided on this site may not be real-time or accurate. Prices shown on this website may be provided by market makers rather than exchanges. You are solely responsible for any trades or financial decisions made based on the information from this site, and you must not rely on such information. We make no guarantees regarding any information on the website and assume no responsibility for any trading losses caused by the use of this information. Use, storage, copying, display, modification, dissemination or distribution of the data contained on this site is prohibited without prior written permission. All intellectual property rights in the data provided on this site are reserved by the respective data providers and exchanges.

TURBOFIN TECHNOLOGIES PTY LTD Copyright © 2025 FXBus Ltd