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2026-05-29 Friday

2026-05-30

22:10:54

[Fed Officials Share Views on AI Productivity] As economists predict how artificial intelligence (AI) will impact future productivity and its relationship to downward pressures on inflation, some Federal Reserve officials shared their views this week. Yesterday, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musaleem stated that relying on the prospect of higher productivity growth to address current inflation problems would be risky. This morning, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that while the surge in AI-related investment may be putting some strain on supply chains, strong productivity growth could exert some downward pressure on inflation due to lower production costs in the medium term. "Supportive supply-side policies, including reducing restrictive regulations and lowering corporate taxes, could also benefit these situations," Bowman said at a conference in Iceland.

22:08:09

[Soaring Tomato Prices Reflect Rising Cost of Living in the US] The recent surge in tomato prices in the United States has become a new microcosm of the rising cost of living for Americans. According to an Associated Press report on the 29th, the latest US Consumer Price Index shows that tomato prices are currently about 40% higher than a year ago, exceeding the increases in coffee, roast beef, and frozen seafood. Inflation data released on the 28th showed that overall US prices rose 3.8% year-on-year in April, a near three-year high. Analysts believe that multiple factors, including the conflict in Iran and the US government's tariff policies, have combined to drive up tomato prices. (Xinhua)

22:06:57

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,550.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,550.08/ounce, up 1.19% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,580.00/ounce, up 1.05% on the day.

22:06:54

The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose more than 0.5%, ECARX Technology rose 10.48%, SoYoung rose 5.90%, Tims China rose 5.41%, Miniso rose 4.93%, and Canaan Technology rose 3.62%.

22:06:35

[Institution: Bank of Canada May Not Consider Rate Cuts After Q1 GDP Decline] Royce Mendes, Managing Director of Capital Markets at Cooperative Bank of Canada, said the Bank of Canada is unlikely to overreact to the unexpected 0.1% annualized decline in Q1 GDP. He pointed out that Canada's per capita GDP grew at an annualized rate of nearly 1% in Q1. Mendes said, "The fact that per capita GDP actually grew will limit the central bank's ability to respond to an economic slowdown." Mendes maintained his forecast that the Bank of Canada will not change its interest rate policy until 2026, stating that fixed-income traders are beginning to reduce their bets on rate hikes following the weaker-than-expected GDP report.

22:01:29

[Trump Ceasefire Agreement Waiting Period Triggers Volatility in US Treasuries, Canadian Recession News Sparks Buying] ⑴ US Treasuries fluctuated overnight, falling in the Tokyo session due to month-end profit-taking and weekend risks. Prices rebounded in the London session as short covering pushed prices higher due to Trump's failure to sign a ceasefire extension agreement that would open the Strait of Hormuz. ⑵ Crude oil fell 19% this week, its biggest weekly drop since 2020. Month-end buying continued into the US session, with strong buying at the CME opening, followed by hedge funds. News of a second consecutive quarter of GDP contraction in Canada, indicating a recession, triggered spillover buying from Canadian bond traders, providing additional support for US Treasuries. ⑶ Continued buying from bank trading departments, mortgage accounts, and hedge funds drove the overall buying bias, but some traders were unwilling to hold positions ahead of weekend events. Overseas speculative accounts and intraday long positions sold at higher levels, while domestic traders also took profits on their auction long positions. (4) The two-year yield was 4.018%, down 0.7 basis points, and the ten-year yield was 4.453%, down 0.2 basis points. The spread between the two-year and ten-year yields was positive 43.52 basis points, and the spread between the two-year and thirty-year yields was 96.90 basis points.

22:01:23

[Zambia Launches Bond Buyback Offer to Pave the Way for Return to International Bond Market] ⑴ Zambia announced a tender offer for a series of bonds, a move aimed at managing its debt structure and paving the way for its return to the international bond market. The country invited holders of fixed-rate, incrementally amortized notes maturing in 2053 to submit bids on Friday. ⑵ The notes have a total principal amount of US$1.364 billion, with a purchase price of US$740 per US$1,000 notional amount, plus a US$40 early bidding fee. The deadline for early participation is 5 p.m. New York time on June 5. ⑶ Zambia plans to finance the buyback through a projected US$600 million loan from the African Development Bank and its own resources. The notes are part of Zambia's 2024 debt restructuring process, which will reduce total debt by US$900 million and extend repayment periods by June 2024, based on a US$13.4 billion debt restructuring. (4) The Zambian government had previously received investor approval to issue two new euro bonds to replace three outstanding bonds issued before the restructuring agreement was signed. Zambia stated that the offer would simplify the debt stock and proactively manage the overall debt maturity structure, thereby paving the way for a future return to the international capital market.

21:59:46

Is the oil price around 87 a sign of risk release or the start of a new round of pricing? Details>

21:59:02

[Iranian Foreign Minister: Discusses Future Governance of the Strait of Hormuz with Oman, Emphasizes Sovereign Responsibility and International Law] ⑴ The Iranian Foreign Minister stated that in a phone call with the Omani Foreign Minister, he expressed Iran's solidarity with Oman in the face of any threats, and the two sides discussed the Strait of Hormuz and its future governance. ⑵ The two sides explored how to fulfill sovereign responsibilities and international law. Iran welcomed consultations with all its neighbors, following US President Trump's warning that the Strait of Hormuz is not under anyone's jurisdiction.

21:58:36

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,540.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,540.17/ounce, up 0.97% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,570.50/ounce, up 0.84% on the day.

21:56:13

[US-Iran Agreement Hopes to Drive US Treasury Yields Down for Fourth Consecutive Day; Bowman Warns Energy Shock Could Lead to Policy Shift] ⑴ US Treasury yields fell for the fourth consecutive trading day on Friday, as reports this week of progress in efforts to reach a ceasefire between the US and Iran boosted market optimism. The 10-year yield fell 0.8 basis points to 4.447%, and the 30-year yield fell 0.4 basis points to 4.981%. ⑵ Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Bowman said on Friday that it was too early to judge the economic impact of the Middle East war, but a prolonged energy shock could require central banks to change their monetary policy stance. Commerce Department data showed that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge hit a three-year high last month. ⑶ Institutional strategists pointed out that the fragile ceasefire since last month has eased upward pressure on oil prices and inflation expectations, helping to push US Treasury yields lower. However, oil prices may not end their rally simply because an agreement has been reached, as has happened before. (4) The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell 1.1 basis points to 4.014%, and the spread between two-year and ten-year yields was positive 43.1 basis points. The breakeven inflation rate for five-year bonds was 2.529%, and for ten-year bonds it was 2.391%, indicating that the market expects inflation to average about 2.4% per year over the next ten years.

21:55:31

[US-Iran Agreement Hopes to Drive US Treasury Yields Down for Fourth Consecutive Day; Bowman Warns Energy Shock Could Lead to Policy Shift] ⑴ US Treasury yields fell for the fourth consecutive trading day on Friday, as reports this week of progress in efforts to reach a ceasefire between the US and Iran boosted market optimism. The 10-year yield fell 0.8 basis points to 4.447%, and the 30-year yield fell 0.4 basis points to 4.981%. ⑵ Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Bowman said on Friday that it was too early to judge the economic impact of the Middle East war, but a prolonged energy shock could require central banks to change their monetary policy stance. Commerce Department data showed that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge hit a three-year high last month. ⑶ Institutional strategists pointed out that the fragile ceasefire since last month has eased upward pressure on oil prices and inflation expectations, helping to push US Treasury yields lower. However, oil prices may not end their rally simply because an agreement has been reached, as has happened before. (4) The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell 1.1 basis points to 4.014%, and the spread between two-year and ten-year yields was positive 43.1 basis points. The breakeven inflation rate for five-year bonds was 2.529%, and for ten-year bonds it was 2.391%, indicating that the market expects inflation to average about 2.4% per year over the next ten years.

21:53:33

[The pound is consolidating, awaiting direction; support below 1.34 and resistance at 1.35 form a range-bound pattern] ⑴ The pound is likely to remain within a narrow range in the near term, as bears have repeatedly failed to hold momentum below the psychological level of 1.3400, while bulls have been unable to break through the resistance level above 1.35, resulting in a lack of clear directional catalysts. ⑵ The pound weakened slightly after Bank of England Governor Bailey made dovish comments, stating that policymakers do not feel an immediate urgency to raise interest rates. However, optimism surrounding the extension of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, which is currently awaiting approval, provided some support for the pound. ⑶ Thursday's US PCE data was slightly lower than expected, moderated expectations of a hawkish Fed policy, and added a less favorable factor for the dollar to the macroeconomic backdrop. This may prompt pound bulls to refocus on the 1.35 level. (4) From a technical perspective, the pound is supported by the 200-day moving average at 1.3423 and the recent trend low at 1.3380. More important support is located at the lower Bollinger Band on the 30-day chart at 1.3352. The upside resistance is located at the top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud at 1.3451, followed by the Fibonacci level at 1.3481. The high of this week between 1.3504 and 1.3509 forms the upper resistance.

21:53:00

The Bank of Canada will auction C$3 billion of 4-day non-fungible cash management notes on June 1, and C$5 billion of 2-day swappable cash management notes on June 1.

21:51:38

[BHP Billiton Port Electrical Workers in Western Australia Plan to Strike on June 30; Union Calls for Iron Ore Business Leaders to Negotiate] ⑴ The union said on Friday that electrical workers at BHP Billiton's bulk export terminal at Port Hedland in Western Australia may strike on June 30, the end of the current financial year. ⑵ Union leaders said BHP Billiton must take this seriously and that iron ore business leaders need to negotiate with the union.

21:51:00

[Logistics Remains the Biggest Obstacle to the Oil Market's Return to Normal; Return to Normalcy Expected Early Next Year After Agreement] ⑴ Analysts say the oil market reflects growing confidence that an agreement to end the US-Iran conflict is near, but logistics remain a major obstacle to normalcy. ⑵ If an agreement is reached within the next two weeks, the entire oil market and the petrochemical market along the supply chain will not reach a certain level of normalcy until early next year, with ships queuing to load oil in the Persian Gulf all wanting to enter simultaneously. ⑶ With producers rushing to empty their full storage tanks, large ships may queue at the front, initially leading to competition, but order must be restored quickly.

21:48:14

Nordic American Tankers Ltd.: Whether the Strait of Hormuz is closed or open will not affect the commercial operations of Nordic American Tankers.

21:47:37

[ECB Governing Council Member Radev: Action to Address the Impact of the Iran Conflict Should Not Be Delayed; Costs May Outweigh the Costs of Early Intervention] ⑴ ECB Governing Council member Radev stated that the ECB should avoid delaying its response to the aftermath of the Iran conflict. ⑵ The Bulgarian central bank governor pointed out: "Given the risk that inflation expectations may become less stable, the trade-offs at this stage are not asymmetrical." ⑶ He added: "The cost of slow action may outweigh the cost of earlier intervention." ⑷ After the Middle East conflict caused inflation to far exceed the 2% target level, policymakers appear to be on the verge of their first interest rate hike since 2023. However, some officials believe the ECB should observe the spillover effects before intervening; others are concerned about the risks to economic growth.

21:46:02

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,900.00 mark, currently trading at 50,900.36, up 0.46% on the day.

21:45:02

Chicago PMI for May in the United States

Previous : 49.20 Forecast : 50.50

美元

金银石油

Published Value 62.70

21:44:55

The Kremlin stated that member states of the Eurasian Economic Union have called on Armenia to hold a referendum on joining the European Union.

21:44:27

Nordic Tankers Ltd: Whether the Strait of Hormuz is closed or open will not affect the company's operations.

21:41:12

Netanyahu: Israeli troops have crossed the Litani River in Lebanon

21:40:59

[New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport to Implement Ebola Screening] The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) announced on May 29 that New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport will implement health screenings for arriving passengers from countries affected by the Ebola outbreak. The CDC stated that related measures also include departure screening, airline disease reporting, and post-arrival public health surveillance. Similar screening programs are already in place at Dulles International Airport in Virginia, Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport in Atlanta, and George Bush Intercontinental Airport in Houston. According to regulations, passengers who have traveled to the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Sudan, or Uganda within the past 21 days will be directed to designated areas for health inquiries upon arrival in the United States and will undergo further medical evaluation as needed. (CCTV)

21:40:43

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Inflation is affected by a series of shocks.

21:40:32

Federal Reserve official Paulson: Inflation has not undergone structural changes.

21:38:08

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 27,000.00 mark, currently trading at 27,000.64, up 0.31% on the day.

21:34:33

Random Thoughts on the US-Iran Game: Oil Prices Are Almost at the Adjustment Level Details>

21:33:27

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 50,800.00 mark, currently trading at 50,800.22, up 0.26% on the day.

21:31:11

[CBOT Opening Preview: Wheat and Corn Fall Due to Oil Price Decline, Soybean Oil Demand Supports Soybean Rise by 3-5 Cents] ⑴ Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) opening forecast for Friday: wheat down 1-2 cents, corn down 2-3 cents, soybeans up 3-5 cents, as the market assesses a potential US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. ⑵ Wheat futures fell as traders assessed a potential ceasefire agreement and expectations of ample global supply. Crude oil futures fell nearly 2%, on track for their biggest weekly drop since early April. The USDA reported wheat export sales of 250,200 tons this week. ⑶ Corn futures fell slightly under pressure from favorable crop weather in the US Midwest and a potential agreement on the Iran war. Corn futures have largely followed oil prices during the US-Iran war. The USDA reported corn export sales of 1,633,900 tons. (4) Soybean futures rose as traders assessed a potential deal to end the war with Iran, while stronger soybean oil futures provided support. Analysts pointed to strong demand for soybean oil for biofuel blending under the U.S. renewable fuel obligation as a positive factor for soybeans. The USDA reported soybean export sales of 437,600 tons.

21:31:06

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,530.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,530.09/ounce, up 0.75% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,560.60/ounce, up 0.62% on the day.

21:30:57

Gold prices rebounded slightly: After the ceasefire draft was reached, will the next wave be a sharp drop or a dramatic reversal? Details>

21:30:21

A US judge has temporarily blocked the Trump administration from establishing an $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization fund."

21:29:40

Federal Reserve's Paulson: The market's shift towards a tighter monetary policy outlook is "healthy".

21:29:35

Fed's Paulson: Keeping interest rates unchanged gives the Fed room to weigh data.

21:26:18

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Monetary policy is well-prepared for the future.

21:26:00

Federal Reserve's Paulson: The current monetary policy stance is appropriate.

21:25:48

Federal Reserve's Paulson: The Fed's current policy is helping to curb high inflation.

21:25:39

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Long-term inflation expectations are good

21:24:31

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Economic activity growth has not had a substantial impact on inflationary pressures.

21:24:13

Federal Reserve's Paulson: High inflation is the result of a combination of factors.

21:24:05

Federal Reserve's Paulson: High inflation is the result of a combination of factors.

21:23:29

[US Natural Gas Prices Hit 16-Week High as Warm Weather Boosts Cooling Demand, Production and LNG Exports Both Decline] ⑴ US natural gas futures rose about 3% on Friday, hitting a 16-week high. The July contract closed at $3.368 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), up about 15% for the week and about 20% for the month, driven by warmer weather and higher-than-expected cooling demand over the next two weeks. ⑵ Data shows that since May, average natural gas production in the 48 contiguous US states has fallen to 109.5 billion cubic feet per day, down from 109.8 billion in April and 110.6 billion in December. Meanwhile, due to spring maintenance at several plants, average LNG export plant intakes have fallen from a record high of 18.8 billion cubic feet per day in April to 17.1 billion since May. (3) Weather forecasts indicate that the weather will be mostly warmer than normal until June 13th, which will increase the amount of fuel used for air conditioning in gas-fired power plants. Approximately 40% of electricity generation in the United States comes from gas-fired power plants. Analysts predict that total demand in the 48 contiguous states will slightly decrease from 100.3 billion cubic feet this week to 99 billion next week, before rebounding to 101.5 billion two weeks later. (4) Currently, only one LNG carrier is sailing directly from the United States to its destination, compared to a peak of five carriers in the past week. The United States is the world's largest producer, consumer, and exporter of natural gas.

21:22:34

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1930.00/oz mark, last trading at $1930.30/oz, up 0.47% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1935.0/oz, up 0.40% on the day.

21:20:01

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Unemployment rate nearing full employment level

21:19:45

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Amid uncertainty, households and businesses are cautious about the outlook.

21:19:42

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Consumer spending is still growing, but at a slower pace.

21:19:38

Federal Reserve Chairman Paulson: The US is expected to continue its moderate growth.

21:19:33

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Inflation was too high, even before the war broke out.

21:19:24

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Monetary policy is currently at a slightly tight level, which is appropriate.

21:17:08

[COMEX Copper June Contract Delivery Intentions Revealed, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup Lead Both Long and Short Positions] ⑴ According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, the delivery intention date for COMEX copper futures in June 2026 is May 28th, and the delivery date is June 1st, with a total of 3,787 delivery intentions. ⑵ On the client side, JPMorgan Chase Securities leads the long positions with 960 delivery intentions, followed by Citigroup with 949, Wells Fargo Securities with 1,240, BMO Capital Markets with 2, and Scotia Capital with 20. ⑶ On the short side, RBC Capital Markets leads with 1,168, followed by JPMorgan Chase Securities with 577, BNP Paribas Securities with 343, StoneX Financial with 385, and Mizuho Securities USA with 449.

21:16:20

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Inflationary pressures are dragging down the economy.

21:16:15

Federal Reserve's Paulson: Businesses are finding it difficult to plan for the future.

21:15:35

Shenzhou-21 astronauts Zhang Lu, Wu Fei, and Zhang Hongzhang all safely and successfully exited the spacecraft and are in good health. (Xinhua)

21:11:57

ECB Governing Council member Radev: The cost of acting too late may outweigh the cost of acting early. Monetary policy cannot be merely economic defense.

21:11:36

May 29th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:09:22

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 1.01% intraday, closing at 5462 yuan/ton.

21:07:47

[US and Iran Close to Agreement on Reopening Strait of Hormuz; US Treasury Yields May Fall Sharply Monthly; Oil Prices Under Pressure and Fall Below $90] ⑴ US Treasury yields are expected to fall sharply this month as the market anticipates a potential agreement between the US and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The 10-year yield is at 4.447%, down from 4.454% yesterday, while the two-year yield has slightly declined from 4.024% to 4.021%. ⑵ Crude oil futures fell, with WTI oil prices falling below $90 per barrel. The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index gave up overnight gains and remained flat. Market focus shifts to next week's employment data, including the final non-farm payroll report before the Fed's June 17 meeting.

21:04:30

Chile's annual copper production rate in April

Previous : -9.04% Forecast : -

Published Value 13.81%

21:03:40

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $87.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $86.99/barrel, down 2.15% on the day.

21:02:59

The European Commission has approved up to €9 billion in subsidies from the Spanish government to ensure electricity security.

21:01:59

Chile's copper production fell 13.81% year-on-year in April.

21:01:49

Canada's first-quarter GDP annual rate - seasonally adjusted

Previous : 0.72% Forecast : -

Published Value -0.05%

21:01:31

China's INE crude oil futures main contract has just broken through the 580.0 yuan/barrel mark, and is currently trading at 580.2 yuan/barrel, down 1.63% on the day.

20:57:59

[Fed's Bowman: Inflation Progress Has Stagnated; Prolonged Energy Shock Will Pressure Prices] ⑴ Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that progress in reducing inflation has stalled. She would consider changing the policy outlook if war-driven inflation expands, noting that the longer the Middle East wars last, the greater the risk to inflation. ⑵ Bowman pointed out that the Fed can foresee the energy shock, provided monetary policy remains credible. However, if the energy shock prolongs, it will put pressure on inflation later this year, and responding to a temporary energy shock could drag down the economy. ⑶ She believes it is too early to judge the economic impact of the Middle East wars and hopes to obtain more definitive information about the wars' effects. She is optimistic that the end of the wars will lead to a decline in energy prices. ⑷ Bowman stated that the Fed's current "moderately restrictive" policy aims to help employment and reduce inflation. The US economy remains resilient despite the fragility of the labor market, and the Fed's accommodative stance in its April 29 policy statement was appropriate.

20:57:41

Federal Reserve's Bowman: Progress in reducing inflation has stalled.

20:57:37

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: It's a good thing the Fed continued to ease its bias in its April 29 policy statement.

20:57:31

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Bowman: Despite a fragile job market, the U.S. economy remains resilient.

20:57:28

Federal Reserve Chairman Bowman: Hoping for a clearer understanding of the economic impact of war.

20:57:23

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Bowman: The longer the Middle East wars last, the greater the risk of inflation.

20:57:18

Federal Reserve's Bowman: The ongoing energy shock will put pressure on inflation later this year.

20:57:15

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: The Fed's current "moderately tight" monetary policy aims to promote employment and reduce inflation.

20:56:53

Federal Reserve's Bowman: Optimistic about a potential drop in energy prices following the end of the war.

20:56:28

Fed's Bowman: Responses to temporary energy shocks could drag down the economy.

20:56:21

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Bowman: It is too early to assess the economic impact of the Middle East wars.

20:56:16

Federal Reserve Chairman Bowman: If the Fed maintains credibility in monetary policy, it can overcome the energy shock.

20:55:30

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Bowman: She would consider adjusting policy direction if war-induced inflation worsens.

20:53:02

Gazprom reported first-quarter revenue of 2.8 trillion rubles. First-quarter EBITDA was 979 billion rubles.

20:51:51

[AI Chip Demand Ignites Tech Stocks, Global Equity Funds See Net Inflows of $458 Million, Bond Funds See Eight Consecutive Weeks of Net Inflows] ⑴ In the week ending May 27, global investors made net purchases of $458 million in equity funds, reversing the previous week's net outflow of $6.56 billion. Rising AI-related stocks boosted demand, but cautious sentiment stemming from US-Iran talks limited buying. ⑵ The MSCI World Index hit a new intraday high of 1129.06 points on Friday. US equity funds saw net inflows of $1.97 billion, European funds saw net inflows of $678 million, but Asian funds saw net outflows of $3.92 billion. Sector funds as a whole saw net inflows of $5.14 billion, with the technology and financial sectors attracting $4.98 billion and $1.05 billion respectively. ⑶ Global bond funds saw net inflows for the eighth consecutive week, reaching $18.15 billion. Short-term bond funds, euro-denominated bond funds, and corporate bond funds led the gains, with net inflows of $3.67 billion, $3.16 billion, and $1.4 billion respectively. (4) Money market funds saw net outflows of $4.46 billion, reversing the previous week's net inflows of $18.12 billion. Precious metals funds, including gold, experienced net outflows of $584 million, marking the fourth weekly outflow in five weeks. (5) Emerging market equity funds saw outflows for the fifth consecutive week, totaling $4.45 billion, while bond funds saw net inflows of $1.08 billion.

20:49:05

[Month-end capital outflows weigh on overnight repo rates, opening higher at 3.69%, continued pressure on US Treasury financing] ⑴ The overnight general secured repo rate opened 3 basis points higher on Friday to 3.69% for buyers, primarily driven by the re-issuance and settlement of 2-year floating-rate notes and 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, resulting in approximately $43 billion in cash outflows. ⑵ Settlement of 2-year, 5-year, and 7-year Treasury notes on Monday will bring another $68 billion in outflows, with approximately $16 billion in Treasury bill settlements expected on Tuesday. Therefore, a significant drop in overnight rates is not anticipated. ⑶ Repo rates are expected to trade between 3.69% and 3.64%. After afternoon repo operations, the overnight rate may stabilize around 3.70% before Monday's settlement. If it breaks through 3.64%, the 10-day moving average of 3.55% will become a resistance level. (4) Except for the 3-year Treasury bond, premiums across all maturities ranged from 6 to 14 basis points, reflecting widespread hedging activity due to falling prices. Federal funds futures indicated a 94% probability of no rate hike at the June Fed meeting. (5) Short-term overnight index swap pricing showed a 33% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike within the next 90 days. SOFR futures fluctuated narrowly, unaffected by the 1.7% drop in spot oil prices.

20:48:02

Chevron CEO Worth: The company will not consider paying tolls to allow ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

20:44:12

[Canada's Q1 GDP Contracts by 0.1% Annualized, Marking Second Consecutive Quarter Decline; Trade and Tariffs Drag Down Growth] ⑴ Statistics Canada data released Friday showed that the country's GDP contracted by 0.1% annualized in the first quarter, marking the second consecutive quarter of annualized decline after a 1% drop in the fourth quarter of last year. Some market observers have termed this a technical recession. ⑵ On a quarter-on-quarter basis, Q1 GDP was flat compared to the previous quarter, narrowly avoiding the definition of a technical recession at the quarterly level. Analysts and institutions had previously expected annualized growth of 1.5%. ⑶ Statistics Canada stated that the Canadian economy has largely withstood the impact of trade uncertainty and tariffs over the past year. However, the ripple effects of tariffs have weakened investment, hiring, and spending, and pushed up prices. The upcoming review of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the oil price shock caused by the Middle East wars have added further uncertainty. ⑷ Q1 GDP was negatively impacted by high import levels, but this was largely offset by high inventory accumulation. Household spending, particularly on financial services and food, increased, but this was offset by declines in business and government investment. Business capital investment declined for the fifth consecutive quarter. (5) March GDP fell 0.1% month-on-month, worse than the expected flat reading. Statistics Canada's advance forecast indicated that April growth might be 0.4%, suggesting a strong start to the second quarter. The Bank of Canada had previously projected this year's growth at 1.2%, lower than last year's 1.7%, and will update its forecast in July.

20:41:59

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Total wheat for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 29.68 Forecast : -

Published Value 25.02

20:41:51

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - wheat for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 16.63 Forecast : -

Published Value -80.73

20:41:38

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Total soybean meal for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 49.22 Forecast : -

Published Value 44.13

20:41:30

U.S. net export sales to May 21 - Cotton for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 13.18 Forecast : -

Published Value 15.36

20:41:24

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - total beef -USDA weekly

Previous : 0.81 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.32

20:41:20

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - total pork -USDA weekly

Previous : 3.46 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.29

20:41:14

New pork export sales in the United States until May 21 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 3.66 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.52

20:41:08

USDA Weekly New beef export sales in the United States as of May 21

Previous : 0.99 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.41

20:41:02

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Wheat for the second year -USDA weekly

Previous : 13.05 Forecast : -

Published Value 105.75

20:40:46

USDA Weekly New wheat export sales in the United States as of May 21

Previous : 26.52 Forecast : -

Published Value 6.68

20:39:52

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Corn for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 212.53 Forecast : -

Published Value 101.53

20:39:44

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - soybeans for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 35.14 Forecast : -

Published Value 29.99

20:38:47

Net export sales of soybean oil in the United States as of May 21 - total for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 0.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.34

20:38:34

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Soybean oil for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 1 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.40

20:38:10

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Soybean oil for the second year -USDA weekly

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

20:37:38

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Corn total for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 240.67 Forecast : -

Published Value 163.39

20:37:30

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Soybean total for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 52.42 Forecast : -

Published Value 43.76

20:37:07

U.S. net export sales as of May 21 - Soybean meal for the second year -USDA weekly

Previous : 1.64 Forecast : -

Published Value 13.73

3

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4544.73	49.14 (1.09%)
XAG	75.546	-0.071 (-0.09%)
CONC	87.91	-0.99 (-1.11%)
OILC	91.69	-0.71 (-0.76%)
USD	98.927	-0.082 (-0.08%)
EURUSD	1.1661	0.0011 (0.09%)
GBPUSD	1.3461	0.0018 (0.13%)
USDCNH	6.7652	-0.0038 (-0.06%)

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