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2025-12-18 Thursday

2025-12-19

17:10:52

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1940.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1939.75/ounce, up 2.08% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1967.8/ounce, up 1.53% on the day.

17:10:07

[Steep Yield Curve: Dutch 2s/10s Spread Signals Abnormality] ⑴ After directional adjustment, the 2-year and 10-year portions of the Dutch government bond yield curve appear unusually steep. ⑵ According to a three-month regression analysis on constant yields to maturity, the 10-year Dutch government bond is valued 6.5 basis points lower than the beta-adjusted 2-year bond. ⑶ This deviation reaches 2.2 standard deviations, which is statistically significant, indicating that the current curve shape may contain trading opportunities or market pricing discrepancies. ⑷ Such extreme valuation differences usually indicate a sharp change in market expectations regarding the long-term economic outlook or monetary policy path, and are worth close monitoring by interest rate traders.

17:09:53

[US-Germany Yield Spread Approaching 2023 Lows: A "Stress Meter" for Global Capital Flows] ⑴ Despite further deterioration in US stock market sentiment, the German bond market saw no significant buying interest, remaining range-bound throughout the day. ⑵ In contrast, the European STOXX 600 index performed relatively strongly, a divergence between markets warranting attention. ⑶ Against this backdrop, the yield spread between 10-year US and German government bonds has returned to lows, currently reaching its narrowest level since June 2023, when it narrowed to 122 basis points. ⑷ Looking back at 2023, this spread widened sharply after hitting a low of 99 basis points. Under the current market structure, the possibility of it testing similar low levels again before 2026 cannot be ruled out. ⑸ This continued narrowing of the spread reflects relative changes in transatlantic economic growth and monetary policy expectations, becoming a key indicator for observing global capital allocation preferences.

17:09:34

[Japanese Bond Yields Hover Near Multi-Year Highs as Markets Hold Breath Ahead of Bank of Japan Meeting] ⑴ The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds touched a high of 1.98% on Wednesday, approaching the 2.00% level, unseen since 2006/2007, a level last seen in 1999 and 2000. ⑵ This yield level is the highest since February of this year and is currently holding steady ahead of the Bank of Japan's meeting on Friday morning, with initial technical support at the December 11 low of 1.915%. ⑶ The 5-year government bond yield is currently capped below the 1.45% high repeatedly reached this month. 1.50% is a key psychological level; if the upward trend resumes, it could challenge the June 2008 high of 1.555% and the July 2007 high of 1.61%. ⑷ The first support level for the 5-year yield is at the low of 1.415%, followed by 1.37%. (5) The 2-year government bond yield stabilized after hitting a high of 1.08% on December 10th, with 1.10% becoming the next level of attention. The key resistance level after that is the July 2007 high of 1.135%. (6) Initial support for the 2-year yield is at 1.05%, followed by the previous high of 1.03%, and then the 1.00% area. (7) Yields across all maturities are hovering near multi-year highs, reflecting market tension and a wait-and-see attitude ahead of the Bank of Japan's key meeting. Any unexpected policy signals could trigger sharp fluctuations in the bond market.

17:07:34

[Spot Gold (XAU) 1-Hour Price Analysis] The current spot gold price is 4326.8, showing a slightly weaker trend today. The intraday high was 4342.95 and the low was 4322.19. Resistance levels are at 4340-4345 (based on the intraday high and recent highs), while support levels are at 4320-4325 (based on the intraday low and recent lows). Using time series trend analysis, the price is encountering resistance at the resistance zone and may continue to fluctuate or decline slightly. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the support level is broken.

17:07:24

【EUR/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis】 The EUR/USD price is currently fluctuating around 1.17323, having fallen from a high of 1.17493 to a low of 1.17278 during the day, indicating a short-term downtrend. Resistance is in the 1.1745-1.1750 area (based on the day's high and recent highs), while support is in the 1.1725-1.1730 area (based on the day's low and recent lows). Using time series analysis, historical data suggests that the price has been fluctuating within the 1.172-1.175 range. It is expected that the price may maintain a slightly weak and volatile trend in the coming hours, and a break below support would likely lead to further declines towards 1.1720.

17:07:12

[GBP/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis] The current GBP/USD price is 1.33568, trending downwards. The intraday high of 1.33786 is the resistance level, and the low of 1.33546 is the key support level. Based on historical time series data analysis, the recent price decline from its high indicates a downward trend. It is predicted that the price may continue to fall or remain volatile in the short term; a break below the support level would accelerate the downward movement.

17:06:57

[USD/JPY 1-Hour Price Analysis] The USD/JPY price is currently trending upwards. Historically, the price has gradually climbed from 154.880 to 155.864. The intraday high of 155.951 forms a resistance level, while the low of 155.423 provides support. Based on time series analysis (such as simple moving averages), the upward momentum continues, and the upward trend is expected to continue in the short term, targeting above 156.000. If resistance is encountered, the price will likely enter a period of consolidation.

17:06:45

【AUD/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis】 The current AUD/USD price is trending downwards, having fallen from the previous high of 0.664 to around 0.66, and has recently fluctuated between 0.659 and 0.661. The latest price is 0.66072, with resistance around the intraday high of 0.66120 and support at the intraday low of 0.65922. Based on time series analysis, historical data shows a short-term consolidation pattern, predicting that the price may continue to fluctuate or decline slightly in the next few hours, testing the support area around 0.6590.

17:06:34

[WTI Crude Oil (CONC) 1-Hour Price Analysis] The current WTI crude oil price is 56.1600, exhibiting a fluctuating trend, having rebounded slightly from the intraday low of 55.9100. Resistance is around 56.3000 (recent high), and support is around 56.0000 (a psychological level and near the intraday low). Based on time series trend analysis, recent price fluctuations suggest a possible continuation of the sideways movement or a slight upward trend, testing the resistance area.

17:04:49

Germany will issue €318 billion in conventional securities through auctions in the capital markets in 2026.

17:04:11

[Policy Remains Unchanged, Hawkish Sentiment Remains Strong, Market Nervous Awaits Dovish Shift] ⑴ On Tuesday, the Norwegian central bank announced it would maintain its policy rate at 4%, in line with market expectations. ⑵ The central bank explicitly stated it was in no hurry to lower the policy rate, noting that if rates were lowered too quickly, inflation could remain above target for an extended period. ⑶ The central bank noted uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, but stated that if the economy develops broadly as currently expected, the policy rate will be gradually lowered over the next year. ⑷ In assessing risks, the Norwegian central bank's Monetary Policy Committee specifically pointed out that the unpredictable international cooperation and trade environment is creating uncertainty for global and Norwegian inflation and growth prospects. ⑸ The Committee judged that maintaining the current interest rate at the current meeting was appropriate, but still expects a cautious normalization of the policy rate over the next few years. ⑹ The central bank stated that its interest rate outlook has remained largely unchanged since the September report, reinforcing its signal of a patient and data-dependent policy stance. (7) This series of statements highlights the central bank’s prudent attitude in dealing with inflation and growth risks. The short-term interest rate path has been anchored, and market expectations for rapid interest rate cuts may be revised.

17:03:19

The central bank of Norway's interest rate decision on December 18th

Previous : 4% Forecast : 4%

Published Value 4%

17:02:24

Germany plans to issue a record €512 billion in bonds in 2026.

17:01:48

[Swedish Krone Holds Steady Against Euro, Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged] ⑴ The Swedish krona held steady against the euro after the Swedish central bank, as expected, kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.75%, stating that rates are expected to remain at current levels for some time. ⑵ The central bank said inflation developments were in line with its forecasts, while economic activity was stronger. ⑶ The central bank noted that the labor market remained weak, but there were signs of improvement. ⑷ The Swedish central bank's policy rate forecast indicates it will remain unchanged until the third quarter of 2026, with a slight possibility of a rate hike in the fourth quarter of that year. ⑸ The euro fell 0.1% against the Swedish krona to 10.9060, essentially unchanged from pre-decision levels.

17:01:18

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Lead

Previous : -2875 Forecast : -

Published Value -3450

17:01:02

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Copper

Previous : 325 Forecast : -

Published Value -2650

17:00:53

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Tin

Previous : 375 Forecast : -

Published Value 235

17:00:45

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Zinc

Previous : 2150 Forecast : -

Published Value 1700

17:00:38

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Nickel

Previous : 690 Forecast : -

Published Value -60

17:00:38

Who will determine the fate of the US dollar? Four key storms reveal the mysteries. Details>

17:00:28

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:26

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Primary aluminum

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:24

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:23

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 18th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

16:56:22

The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) released its "Preliminary Overview of the Latin American and Caribbean Economy 2025" report in Santiago, Chile, on the 16th, predicting that the region's economy will grow by 2.4% this year and 2.3% next year. The report points out that Latin America and the Caribbean has experienced four consecutive years of low growth, with an average annual growth rate of only about 2.3%. In recent years, consumption has been the main driver of the region's economy, contributing more than half of its economic growth. However, against the backdrop of weak external demand and slowing employment growth, the contribution of consumption to the region's economic growth is expected to decline in 2025 and 2026. (Xinhua)

16:54:37

[Bank of England Outlook: Weak Data May Trigger a Dovish Surprise] ⑴ The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark rate down from 4.00% to 3.75%. The vote is expected to be 5-4 in favor of the rate cut, with Governor Bailey joining the dovish camp. ⑵ Market focus will be on the voting split and forward guidance. There will be no press conference at this meeting. ⑶ First, traders will pay attention to the voting split. A 6-3 vote in favor of the rate cut would be interpreted as more dovish than expected, potentially bringing forward expectations for the next rate cut, thus putting downward pressure on the pound and boosting the stock market. ⑷ On the other hand, if no rate cut is ultimately implemented, it will be seen as a hawkish surprise, potentially pushing the pound higher and putting pressure on the stock market. ⑸ Second, the guidance in the policy statement is expected to remain unchanged. The removal of the word "gradual" could be seen as a dovish surprise.

16:53:51

[French CAC 40 Index Rises Slightly on Thursday] ⑴ The French CAC 40 index rose 0.1% to 8100 points on Thursday, rebounding after two consecutive days of declines, ahead of major economies' monetary policy decisions. ⑵ Pernod Ricard led the gains, extending yesterday's rise by 1.3%, followed by Sanofi, Continental, and Essilor. ⑶ Energy stocks benefited from rising oil prices, with Total Energy, Engie, and Air Liquide all recording slight gains. ⑷ Accor rose 0.2% as it continues confidential negotiations regarding the sale of its Essendi stake, postponing its €100 million share buyback program from the first quarter of 2026 to the fourth quarter of 2025. ⑸ On the downside, luxury goods stocks performed poorly, with Kering, Hermès, and LVMH all declining. ⑹ BNP Paribas fell 0.6%, despite reports that the bank is in talks to acquire Mercedes-Benz's car rental division. (7) In other areas, French business sentiment improved significantly, with the manufacturing business climate index reaching a one-and-a-half-year high in December.

16:50:47

Zelensky: Lawmakers have not yet introduced a bill related to the presidential election.

16:50:35

The South Korean government plans to incubate 10,000 startups in hard technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) over the next five years, aiming to make these companies a significant force in South Korea's economic development. Yonhap News Agency reported that on December 18, the Ministry of Small and Medium Enterprises, together with relevant departments, released a "Comprehensive Strategy for Becoming One of the World's Four Major Venture Capital Powers," outlining several goals, including incubating 10,000 startups in hard technologies such as AI, creating 50 unicorn and "decagonal" companies, and facilitating connections for these companies to the global venture capital market, which is worth approximately 40 trillion won (about 190.4 billion yuan) annually. (Xinhua)

16:50:17

Greek Prime Minister: Greece supports providing a compensation loan to Ukraine; we should not leave Brussels without finding a solution.

16:49:53

[EU Summit Seeks Agreement on Using Russian Assets to Finance Ukraine] ⑴ EU leaders pledged at a summit in Brussels on Thursday to find funds to meet Ukraine's financing needs. ⑵ The meeting also pressured Belgium to abandon its opposition to the use of frozen Russian assets. ⑶ The EU is seeking to use €210 billion of Russian sovereign assets held at the European Clearing Bank to guarantee €90 billion in loans to Ukraine over the next two years. ⑷ The funds are intended to help Ukraine withstand external pressure and ensure Europe's key role in relevant peace negotiations, despite Russia's threats of a strong legal response. ⑸ EU officials expressed hope for an agreement before the summit, even if it meant holding meetings overnight. ⑹ The summit, originally scheduled to end on Friday, may be extended; European Council President Costa pledged to keep leaders in Brussels until an agreement is reached.

16:46:28

[The Swedish central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.75% as expected] ⑴ The Swedish central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.75% at its December 2025 meeting, as expected. ⑵ The central bank indicated that borrowing costs are likely to remain at current levels for some time. ⑶ This move aims to continue supporting the economy, as inflation is approaching its medium-term target of 2%. ⑷ Policymakers stated that indicators continue to support the view that inflationary pressures will remain consistent with future targets.

16:45:48

[UK Two-Year Bond Yields Fall as Market Awaits Bank of England Decision] ⑴ UK two-year bond yields fell as investors awaited the Bank of England's interest rate decision, due at 20:00 Beijing time, with a rate cut widely expected. ⑵ Weaker-than-expected UK inflation data released this week increased the prospect of a rate cut. ⑶ Market focus may be on the margin of votes supporting a rate cut. ⑷ Data shows the market expects the Bank of England to cut rates to 3.75% on Thursday and prices in another 25 basis point cut by mid-2026. ⑸ The two-year bond yield fell 3 basis points to 3.707%; the ten-year bond yield remained stable at 4.469%.

16:43:37

[US Market Focuses on CPI Data; Market Reaction May Be Volatile Again] ⑴ The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released during the US session. The market expects the overall CPI year-on-year rate to be 3.1%, and the month-on-month rate to be 0.3%; the core CPI year-on-year rate is expected to be 3.0%, and the month-on-month rate to be 0.3%. ⑵ Due to data issues caused by the government shutdown in October, the market consensus is that this report may trigger a chaotic market reaction, similar to the recent non-farm payroll report. ⑶ Analysts believe the market is more likely to focus on how the data will affect the hawkish camp within the Federal Reserve. ⑷ The recent unemployment rate of 4.6% has exceeded the Fed's year-end forecast of 4.5%. Given the Fed's focus on the labor market, this is a strong signal supporting an earlier rate cut. ⑸ On the other hand, inflation data continues to be lower than the Fed's forecast, with its expectation for core personal consumption expenditures prices in 2025 at 3.0%. ⑹ Therefore, if today's CPI data meets or falls short of expectations, the market may tend to interpret it more dovishly. (7) The market might even believe that weaker data will positively influence hawkish committee members, making them more likely to support an earlier-than-expected rate cut. (8) Conversely, if the data is stronger than expected, it may dampen market sentiment in the short term, but the overall picture may not change significantly.

16:43:07

[Institutional Views: Sterling's Decline May Be Short-lived if Bank of England Cuts Rates] ⑴ ING analysts stated in a report that if the Bank of England decides to cut interest rates, the pound's decline may only be temporary. ⑵ The market generally expects the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points, with an average expected vote of 5 to 4 in favor of the cut, but a 6 to 3 risk exists. ⑶ Analysts stated that although the result would be a mild negative for the pound, speculative positions are already significantly underweight on the currency. ⑷ They pointed out that after the Bank of England's decision, the euro/pound exchange rate may surge to the 0.8820-0.8840 range, but will quickly fall back to 0.8750.

16:42:28

[European Session Focus: Bank of England and ECB Interest Rate Decisions Imminent] ⑴ The main focus of the European session will be the monetary policy decisions of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. ⑵ The market widely expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark rate down from 4.00% to 3.75%. ⑶ The market widely expects a 5-4 vote in favor of a rate cut, with Governor Bailey expected to join the dovish camp. ⑷ Market attention will be focused on the voting split or potential dovish surprises in the forward guidance. There will be no press conference after the meeting. ⑸ The ECB is expected to maintain its policy rate at 2.00%. ⑹ The meeting will release updated economic forecasts, with both growth and inflation expectations expected to be revised upwards. ⑺ The central bank is not expected to deviate from its recent forward guidance, which relies on data and is decided on a meeting-by-meeting basis, without a predetermined interest rate path.

16:40:04

[UK Stocks Open Slightly Higher on Thursday as Market Awaits Bank of England Decision] ⑴ The FTSE 100 index opened slightly higher on Thursday, continuing the modest gains of the previous trading day, as the market awaits the Bank of England's policy decision later in the day. ⑵ The market widely expects the central bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, a expectation supported by recent economic data, including an unexpected slowdown in inflation. ⑶ Traders will also scrutinize the upcoming US inflation report for clues about the Federal Reserve's future policy direction. ⑷ Rentokil led the gains, rising nearly 3%, after Bank of America Global Research upgraded its rating from "neutral" to "buy" and raised its target price from 425 pence to 510 pence.

16:38:31

EU Council President Costa: Will not leave the EU without a decision on Ukraine's financial situation.

16:37:55

Irish Prime Minister: The important thing is that we reached a loan agreement for Ukraine today.

16:37:16

Taiwan's M2 annual rate of money supply in November

Previous : 5.04% Forecast : -

Published Value 5.11%

16:34:56

Zelensky: The US-proposed solution regarding Zaporizhia is unfair as a compromise.

16:34:40

The Swedish central bank stated that it is closely monitoring developments and is prepared to adjust monetary policy should the outlook change.

16:34:17

[Sweden's Central Bank Keeps Policy Rate at 1.75%, Expects to Remain Stable] ⑴ The Swedish central bank announced it will maintain its policy rate at 1.75% and expects it to remain at current levels for some time. ⑵ The central bank noted that while inflation has fluctuated between months, overall developments are in line with its September forecast. ⑶ Economic growth is stronger than in the September forecast, and economic activity is assessed as more robust. ⑷ The central bank concluded that this development further strengthens the Executive Board's confidence in the ongoing economic recovery. ⑸ Overall, the economic outlook appears to have improved slightly, while the inflation outlook is assessed as unchanged. ⑹ The central bank stated it is closely monitoring developments and is prepared to adjust monetary policy should the outlook change.

16:33:40

[With Interest Rate Cuts Nearing Their End, Markets Bet on Central Bank Roadmap; Where Lies the Disagreements?] ⑴ On Tuesday, the Swedish central bank released its latest policy rate forecast, indicating that it expects the key interest rate to remain stable at 1.75% in the first three quarters of 2026, consistent with previous forecasts. ⑵ According to its outlook, the average interest rate in the fourth quarter of 2026 is expected to be 1.77%, unchanged from previous forecasts, while the forecasts for the fourth quarters of 2027 and 2028 are 1.94% and 2.12%, respectively. ⑶ Notably, the Swedish central bank's forecast for the end of 2027 is slightly higher than the previous forecast of 1.92%, a slight upward revision suggesting a subtle adjustment in policymakers' assessment of the long-term interest rate path. ⑷ This series of data suggests that the widely anticipated interest rate cut cycle may be nearing its end, and the future policy path will be smoother and more uncertain. ⑸ For traders, the focus has shifted from "when to cut rates" to "what will the final interest rate be," and even small differences in central bank forecasts could trigger a repricing of market expectations for long-term liquidity. (6) In the future, we need to pay close attention to similar long-term forecasts from other major central banks, such as the European Central Bank or the Federal Reserve. Any signals of synchronization or divergence will be key to influencing global asset rotation.

16:32:40

Rakuten develops large-scale language model for Japan

16:32:21

Indonesia's budget deficit as a percentage of GDP was 2.35% at the end of November.

16:31:44

Taiwan's M2 broad money supply in November, China

Previous : 667255 Forecast : -

Published Value 667617

16:30:44

Discount rate in Taiwan, China for the fourth quarter - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 2% Forecast : 2%

Neutral

Published Value 2%

16:30:09

Sweden's central bank policy interest rate will come into effect on December 18th

Previous : 1.75% Forecast : 1.75%

Neutral

Published Value 1.75%

16:28:45

Indonesia's national budget deficit reached 560.3 trillion rupiah at the end of November.

16:28:32

On December 18 local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that earlier that day, the IDF launched attacks on Hezbollah military buildings in several areas of Lebanon, destroying multiple infrastructure sites, including a training and exercise camp and several weapons storage buildings. The IDF stated that Hezbollah militants used these facilities to plan and carry out actions against Israel. These activities constitute a threat to Israel and violate the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. The IDF emphasized that it will continue to take action to eliminate all threats against Israel and prevent Hezbollah from regaining strength. Hezbollah has not yet responded to this. (CCTV International News)

16:27:51

[Institutions Bullish on Chip Sector, Release Top Stock Picks for 2026] ⑴ Morgan Stanley's latest research report predicts that chip stocks will remain one of the best-performing sectors in the US stock market next year. ⑵ The institution released its "Top Chip Stock Picks for 2026" list, with Nvidia, Broadcom, and Astera Labs ranking in the top three. ⑶ Analysts believe that the semiconductor industry's boom cycle is far from over, with continued global demand for AI computing power being a key driver.

16:27:25

[Bank of England Expected to Resume Rate Cuts, Potentially Reaching 3.75%] ⑴ Markets widely expect the Bank of England to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% at its December 2025 meeting, marking the first rate cut since August. ⑵ This move would bring borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022, against a backdrop of easing inflation and increasing signs of economic pressure. ⑶ UK annual inflation slowed to 3.2% in November, an eight-month low and below the Bank of England's forecast of 3.4%. ⑷ Meanwhile, GDP contracted for the second consecutive month in October, and private sector wage growth continued to cool. ⑸ Investors will closely watch the voting divisions and policy guidance of the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee for signals on the policy outlook for 2026. ⑹ Markets increasingly believe the central bank is nearing the end of its easing cycle, and the market is currently only fully pricing in an additional rate cut next year.

16:26:48

Finnish Prime Minister: We have no choice but to use frozen Russian assets to fund the Ukraine reparations loan.

16:26:34

Ukraine's acting energy minister: 180,000 customers in five regions lost power after Russia launched a nighttime attack.

16:26:03

[French Industrial Confidence Hits Over 18-Month High in December] ⑴ The French manufacturing business climate index rose to 102 in December 2025 from 98 in November, returning above the long-term average of 100 and reaching its highest level since March 2024. ⑵ Sentiment improved significantly, with production turning positive. While personal production prospects fell slightly from 14 to 11, they remained above average. Foreign orders also improved to -6. ⑶ On the downside, overall orders remained weak at -17, while finished goods inventories increased further, indicating continued inventory pressure. ⑷ The labor supply and demand balance remained mildly negative, with employment expected to remain stable at -1. Economic uncertainty rose slightly to 33, the highest level this year. ⑸ By sector, confidence in the transportation equipment industry rebounded strongly, the machinery equipment industry improved moderately, while confidence in the food and beverage industry declined sharply. Other manufacturing sectors also saw slight declines and remained below their long-term averages.

16:25:44

[The European Central Bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time] ⑴ The market widely expects the European Central Bank to keep borrowing costs unchanged for the fourth consecutive time in December 2025, with the main refinancing rate expected to remain at 2.15% and the deposit facility rate at 2.0%. ⑵ The ECB President recently stated that monetary policy is in a "good position." ⑶ Recent data shows that the Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, significantly faster than the ECB's September forecast, while the inflation rate in November was 2.1%, slightly above the 2% target. ⑷ Investors will also be watching the ECB's outlook for 2026, particularly whether it will consider raising interest rates; the market's implied probability of a rate hike by the end of 2026 hovers around 30%. ⑸ The central bank will also release its latest internal forecasts, which are expected to be revised upwards.

16:25:20

[France's Business Climate Index Rises to Nearly Two-Year High in December] ⑴ France's business climate index rose to 99 in December 2025 from 98 in November, the highest level since February 2024, but still below its long-term average of 100. ⑵ The improvement was mainly driven by a strong rebound in retail trade and motor vehicle repair, with the index jumping to 104, and manufacturing rising to 102. ⑶ The improvement in retail and motor vehicle repair benefited from stronger order intentions, while manufacturing rebounded above its long-term average due to improved past production conditions and a more solid order book (particularly in other transport equipment sectors). ⑷ Construction confidence rose slightly to 96, but remained below average; the services index held steady at 98, with growth concentrated in the business services sector. ⑸ In contrast, the employment climate index fell from 96 to 95, reflecting a weakening expectation in the services sector for future labor force size.

16:24:57

European stocks held steady on Thursday, awaiting the ECB decision. ⑴ European stocks traded sideways on Thursday as investors braced themselves for a series of monetary policy decisions. ⑵ The market widely expects the European Central Bank to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time, with the central banks of Norway and Sweden also expected to hold rates steady. ⑶ In contrast, the market has fully priced in the Bank of England's 25 basis point rate cut. ⑷ Among heavyweight stocks, ASML Holdings and SAP rose nearly 0.3%, rebounding from significant losses in the previous session. ⑸ Luxury goods stocks lagged, with LVMH falling 0.4% and L'Oréal declining 0.2%. ⑹ BNP Paribas dipped slightly by 0.2%, despite reports that it is in talks to acquire Mercedes-Benz's car rental subsidiary. ⑺ Meanwhile, BP shares were virtually unchanged after the company appointed Meg O'Neill as its next CEO, whose strategic shift to renewable energy has disappointed investors.

16:23:50

Lithuanian President: We must make a decision on the issue of reparations and loans.

16:21:27

[French Business Confidence Rises in December, Boosted by Manufacturing Sentiment] ⑴ France's composite business confidence index rose to 98.7 in December, the highest level since June 2024. ⑵ This jump was mainly driven by a significant improvement in manufacturing confidence, while service sector confidence remained stable. ⑶ This brings the French business confidence index closer to its long-term average of 100, a level last reached in March of last year. ⑷ The employment situation index dipped slightly to 95 from 96 in November, mainly due to a decline in expectations for future labor force size in the service sector. ⑸ Meanwhile, the overall sector index, which includes retail trade and motor vehicle trade and repair, rebounded sharply to 104, the highest since January 2024, primarily driven by an increase in indicators related to order intentions. ⑹ Although the increase was small, this could at least be a potential starting point for an improvement in the French economic outlook.

16:21:07

Mercedes' fixed cost target will be achieved by the end of 2026, instead of the end of 2027.

16:20:46

Zelensky: There is currently no finalized peace proposal.

16:19:06

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1940.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1939.95/ounce, up 2.09% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1966.3/ounce, up 1.46% on the day.

16:16:37

EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Maria Callas: I understand that Belgium is under tremendous pressure. We cannot afford to lose; we must prove that we are strong.

16:16:25

Swedish Prime Minister: I hope we can find a technological solution to get Belgium's support for this.

16:16:11

Zelensky: Not ready to withdraw troops from Donbas

16:15:30

Toyota will launch three American-made models in Japan, including the Camry.

16:13:36

[Hong Kong stocks closed mixed, with the aviation sector showing strong performance] ⑴ At the close, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.12%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.73%. ⑵ The Hang Seng Tech ETF, which tracks related sectors, fell 1.16%, and the Hang Seng Stock Connect ETF fell 0.22%. ⑶ In terms of sectors, passenger airlines and telecommunications equipment sectors led the gains; electrical equipment and hotel and resort REIT sectors led the declines. ⑷ In terms of individual stocks, China Eastern Airlines rose 8.08%, Zhaojin Mining rose 6.21%, China Southern Airlines rose 5.57%, and Air China rose 4.75%. ⑸ Yixin Group fell 10.73%, Cao Cao Mobility fell 12.35%; MicroPort Medical rose 7.5%.

16:13:03

Swedish Prime Minister: In our view, the solution is to utilize the frozen Russian assets.

16:12:46

my country's first national standard in the field of virtual digital humans, "General Technical Requirements for Customer Service-Oriented Virtual Digital Humans," was recently officially released. This standard fills a gap in industry technical specifications, providing unified technical requirements and evaluation standards for the research, development, production, and application of customer service-oriented virtual digital humans. The standard stipulates that 2D digital human images must ensure complete and clear facial details, and 3D hyper-realistic digital human models must have no fewer than 200,000 faces. It requires digital humans to support multimodal interaction, including voice, gestures, and body movements, and to possess operational and maintenance capabilities such as keyword maintenance and corpus updates. It also requires an emotional interaction success rate of no less than 80%, enabling digital human customer service to move beyond simply "responding" to "empathizing." (CCTV Finance)

16:12:26

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1950.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1949.85/ounce, up 2.61% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are last trading at $1974.9/ounce, up 1.90% on the day.

16:12:18

EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kalas: We have responded to Belgium's concerns regarding the use of frozen Russian assets. Therefore, I hope we can reach an agreement on the financing of Ukraine.

16:11:51

Ukrainian President Zelensky: The Ukrainian team will meet with the US team on Friday and Saturday.

16:11:24

Swedish Prime Minister: Using Russian funds is far better than using EU funds

16:11:07

Swedish Prime Minister: There is no sign of a solution to the funding problem in Ukraine. I will stay up all night if necessary to seek a solution.

16:10:50

Swedish Prime Minister: This is the most important EU summit since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022.

16:09:58

Is France's out-of-control debt crisis exacerbating the risk of a "lame-faced" euro? Details>

16:04:25

Facing continued pressure from the United States on Venezuela, two major Latin American countries, Mexico and Brazil, called on both sides on the 17th to exercise restraint and resolve their differences peacefully. UN Secretary-General António Guterres also issued a similar appeal. Mexican President Jacques Sinbaum, at a regular press conference that morning, called on the US and Venezuela to resolve their differences through dialogue and urged the UN to take action. She urged the UN to "assume its responsibility to prevent any bloodshed." Sinbaum reiterated Mexico's opposition to any form of external interference in Venezuelan affairs and offered to provide "any possible venue for negotiations or meetings" for both countries. (CCTV News)

16:03:17

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán: I believe the issue of Russian assets is "no longer worth discussing"; we are strong enough to form a veto-rule minority; Hungary cannot accept the method of providing funds to Ukraine through a joint EU loan.

16:01:59

Singapore's total fuel inventory for the week ending December 17

Previous : 4941.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 4814.50

16:01:09

The remaining oil inventory in Singapore as of the week ending December 17

Previous : 2606.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 2465.80

16:00:53

Singapore's intermediate distillate fuel inventories for the week ended December 17

Previous : 836 Forecast : -

Published Value 843.10

16:00:41

Singapore's light distillate fuel inventories for the week ended December 17

Previous : 1499.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 1505.60

15:58:44

[Switzerland's Trade Surplus Hits Three-Month High in November] ⑴ Switzerland's trade surplus widened to CHF 3 billion in November, compared with a revised CHF 2.5 billion in the previous month. ⑵ This is the largest surplus since August, with exports rising 1.6% month-on-month to CHF 22.8 billion, mainly driven by increased sales of chemicals and pharmaceuticals, machinery and electronic products, and watches. ⑶ Exports to the US rose 7.6%, rebounding from a 6.9% decline in the previous month, following an agreement that lowered US tariffs. ⑷ Meanwhile, imports fell 0.8% month-on-month to CHF 19.8 billion, mainly due to reduced purchases of chemicals and pharmaceuticals, food, and luxury goods. ⑸ Imports from Europe fell 1.3%, with a 1.4% decline from Eurozone countries and a 4.2% decline from non-Eurozone countries.

15:58:07

[Kazakhstan's Industrial Output Hits Three-Month High in November] ⑴ Kazakhstan's industrial output grew 8.2% year-on-year in November 2025, the fastest pace in three months, accelerating from the 7.1% increase in the previous month. ⑵ The growth was mainly driven by a significant improvement in manufacturing output (6.4%, compared to 2.2% in October), while expansion in the electricity, gas, steam, hot water, and air conditioning supply sector remained stable (3.2%). ⑶ In contrast, growth in the mining and quarrying sector slowed (10.8%, compared to 12.5%), while the water supply, waste management, and pollution control sector contracted more sharply (-6.9%, compared to -3.8%). ⑷ On a monthly adjusted basis, industrial output rebounded to 7.3% in November after declining 0.6% in October. ⑸ In the first 11 months of this year, industrial output increased by 7.4% compared to the same period last year.

15:57:44

[US Inflation Rate Expected to Rise Slightly to 3.1% in November] ⑴ The US annual inflation rate is projected to rise to 3.1% in November 2025, the highest level since May 2024, up from 3.0% in September. ⑵ Core inflation is projected at 3.0%, unchanged from September. ⑶ The November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was delayed by nearly a week due to the government shutdown, and the October report was completely canceled because the Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to collect the necessary data retrospectively. ⑷ Therefore, the market has doubts about the completeness of the November data release. ⑸ The Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that due to the lack of October 2025 data, it will not release the monthly percentage changes of the overall and core CPI for November 2025.

15:54:50

EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Maria Callas: Belgium is facing pressure from Russia. Belgium's concerns regarding the loan issue have been addressed; however, security guarantees from Ukraine must be concrete.

15:54:12

The Ministry of Commerce has approved some general export license applications for rare earth elements. (CCTV News)

15:53:57

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The most important thing is to ensure Ukraine receives funding, and to strive to secure funding for Ukraine before the end of today.

15:53:19

France's Insee Production Outlook Index for December

Previous : -32 Forecast : -

Published Value -7

15:52:23

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1960.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1959.65/ounce, up 3.13% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1982.1/ounce, up 2.27% on the day.

15:45:02

The INSEE Overall Business Sentiment Index for France in December

Previous : 98 Forecast : -

Published Value 99

15:45:01

The INSEE Manufacturing Business Sentiment Index for France in December

Previous : 98 Forecast : 98

Published Value 102

15:43:35

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: If we accept compensation loans, the risk must be shared by all of us. I will not leave the Council until a financing solution for Ukraine is found.

15:41:42

Belgian Prime Minister: I hope to have a new text by 09:00 GMT (17:00 Beijing time), but I'm not sure.

15:41:14

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The EU's commitment to bridging Ukraine's fiscal deficit is a good thing.

15:40:20

Polish Prime Minister: All European leaders must ultimately step up

15:40:09

Belgian Prime Minister: If the war reparations loan program receives broad support, we will reiterate our demand for a fully guaranteed mechanism.

9

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4325.13	-7.48 (-0.17%)
XAG	65.720	0.258 (0.39%)
CONC	55.84	-0.16 (-0.29%)
OILC	59.63	-0.09 (-0.14%)
USD	98.526	0.086 (0.09%)
EURUSD	1.1718	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3373	-0.0006 (-0.05%)
USDCNH	7.0354	0.0042 (0.06%)

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