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2026-09-20 Sunday

21:11:05

[CITIC Securities: Suggests Actively Seizing the Last Window of Opportunity This Year; Two Key Areas to Focus on in the Technology Sector] CITIC Securities points out that in the latter half of an industry supercycle, after institutional holdings peak, a wave of new highs in non-institutional holdings typically occurs. The current AI industry trend, the stage of its profit cycle, and the global monetary environment are likely to limit institutional holdings: 1) AI computing power investment has not slowed, but market expectations for the commercial expansion of cutting-edge model manufacturers are in a period of adjustment; 2) The earnings of the A-share non-financial sector are likely to continue to rise sequentially in the third quarter of 2026, but the peak of year-on-year growth may occur in the fourth quarter of this year; 3) The Federal Reserve has released a tough stance on controlling inflation, and will maintain a relatively tight macro liquidity environment at least this year. From the perspective of institutional research and investment strategies, these factors will undoubtedly constrain the upward potential of the market. However, from the perspective of short-term market sentiment and the rotation cycle of shares, coupled with the catalyst of third-quarter earnings reports, the current market has a favorable environment for active funds to deploy in new technologies and explore new themes. Investors are advised to actively seize the last window of opportunity this year. From an asset allocation perspective, considering the current high-interest-rate environment, market differentiation may widen further during this final window of opportunity this year, with the AI sector poised to regain its market advantage. In the technology sector, we recommend focusing on two main areas: first, sectors benefiting from increased manufacturing complexity, such as new optical communication technologies, PCBs, and advanced packaging; second, sectors with clear growth potential, such as wafer manufacturing and gas turbines. Stocks not heavily held by institutional investors may have greater upside potential, and North American supply chain-related stocks may have a relative advantage in the near future. In the non-technology sector, we continue to focus on the energy and chemical industry and leading securities firms with overseas expansion potential.

21:10:43

[Qwen-Image-2.1 Officially Open-Sourced: Lightweight Design, Outstanding Performance, and Integrated Creation and Editing Functions] According to official news from the Qwen large-scale model team, Qwen-Image-2.1 has recently been officially open-sourced. This new image large-scale model achieves an excellent balance between generation quality, inference efficiency, and usage cost. Qwen-Image-2.1 integrates text-to-image generation and image editing capabilities into the same model architecture. The visual generation module has only 7 billion parameters and natively supports the generation and editing of transparent images. The core highlights of this updated model are mainly reflected in four aspects: 1. Powerful small-parameter model with outstanding cost-effectiveness: Relying on a lightweight model architecture design and deep optimization of the inference process, the optimal balance between image generation quality and computational cost has been found, significantly lowering the barrier to entry. 2. Native support for transparency channels, integrated creation and modification: It can generate regular images or images with transparent backgrounds based on user-input prompts, while also supporting the editing of transparent layers and intelligent image cutout functions to meet diverse design needs. 3. Enhanced full-scene editing capabilities with multi-area detail preservation: Supports importing up to 10 reference images simultaneously, significantly improving the fidelity of local editing effects and the reproduction of portrait and product images, covering most everyday image editing tasks. 4. More realistic generated textures, beautiful text, and natural-looking portraits: Specific optimizations have been made to text layout, lighting and shadow rendering of portraits, and detail texture representation, resulting in a significantly improved visual appeal of the final generated content, better meeting practical usage needs.

20:48:26

[CITIC Securities: A-shares have begun their second round of recovery] CITIC Securities believes that A-shares have officially begun their second round of recovery. The macroeconomic game triggered by the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East that pushed up oil prices and US Treasury yields has largely settled, with oil prices and long-term US Treasury yields subsequently declining. Domestically, the interest rate environment remains loose, and the RMB exchange rate is also maintaining a stable trend. The market's main focus has returned to the logic of earnings growth, and now is a crucial window for funds to flow back into high-growth sectors. However, it is still necessary to continuously monitor the sustainability of the decline in overseas interest rates and oil prices, as well as the potential external volatility caused by the Fed's FOMC meeting at the end of October. In terms of asset allocation, it is recommended to adopt a balanced and tiered approach. For offensive strategies, priority should be given to sectors with tight computing power supply and potential for price increases (including optical chips, PCB manufacturing, CCL, and server assembly), as well as industrial non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, and tin. For defensive strategies, high-dividend assets can be used as a core holding to hedge against market fluctuations. At the same time, investors can flexibly seize investment opportunities in domestic demand sectors such as agriculture, medical aesthetics, and textiles and apparel, which are driven by policy expectations.

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