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Tokyo:12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

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2025-08-01 Friday

2025-08-02

14:00:05

The monthly rate of the Nationwide house price index in the UK in July

Previous : -0.80% Forecast : 0.30%

英镑 金银
美元

Published Value 0.60%

Previous

14:00:04

The year-on-year rate of the Nationwide house price index in the UK in July

Previous : 2.10% Forecast : 2.10%

英镑 金银
美元

Published Value 2.40%

Previous

14:00:01

Russia's SPGI Manufacturing PMI for July

Previous : 47.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 47

Previous

13:45:11

[Dollar Strength Continues, Yen Weakness Draws Government Concern] 1. The US dollar index climbed to 100.14 on Friday, its highest level since May 29th. This week's gain totaled 2.5%, putting it on track for its best weekly performance in nearly three years. After US President Trump announced differentiated tariffs on Canada, Switzerland, and other countries, the US dollar generally strengthened against major currencies, with the Canadian dollar falling to a three-month low of 1.3872 and the Swiss franc retreating 0.26% to 0.8120. 2. The yen continued to weaken after the Bank of Japan stated it was in no rush to raise interest rates. USD/JPY briefly rose to 150.915, an April high, before retreating to around 150.47. Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato expressed concern and hinted at possible intervention. Asian currencies were generally under pressure, with the Philippine peso falling to a six-month low and the South Korean won also hitting a multi-month low. 3. The market focused on non-farm payroll data: Despite Trump's renewed criticism of the Federal Reserve's policies, the US dollar remained strong. Analysts pointed out that if the US non-farm payroll data tonight shows a moderate slowdown in job growth (expected to add 110,000 jobs), it may strengthen the "Goldilocks" economic scenario, creating conditions for future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The euro remained near a two-month low, currently trading around 1.1427, up about 0.13%, as the market's pessimistic interpretation of the US-EU trade agreement continued to exert pressure.

13:10:01

A-shares fell slightly in early trading, with tariffs having limited impact as the market awaits a US-China agreement. 1. Chinese stocks fell modestly in early trading on Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.2% at 3566.55 points and the CSI 300 Index down 0.3%. The US decision to impose new tariffs on dozens of countries triggered widespread weakness in Asian markets, but the Chinese market reacted relatively restrainedly. Analysts noted that the tariff rate of 15%-19% was largely in line with expectations, and that signals that China and the US were nearing a trade deal eased market concerns. 2. The market underwent a structural adjustment, with the communications sector performing weakly. The CSI 5G Communications Thematic Index fell 1.9%, and ZTE's A-shares closed down 1.1%. In contrast, some sectors benefiting from trade expectations remained resilient. Investment institutions believe that the market is currently more focused on the progress of the US-China negotiations, and the US Treasury Secretary's statement that the negotiations were "close but not finalized" has prompted investor caution. 3. Morningstar analysts noted that while the 90-day extension of US-China negotiations may indicate disagreements, progress in key areas such as controlling fentanyl exports and rare earth issues could still contribute to a deal. Market insiders said that against the backdrop of weak manufacturing data, a breakthrough in the negotiations would significantly improve market sentiment. Investors are currently closely watching the subsequent negotiation dynamics to determine the market trend.

13:00:02

HSBC Manufacturing PMI for India in July

Previous : 59.20 Forecast : 59.30

Published Value 59.10

Previous

11:38:10

USD/JPY Breaks Through Key Resistance, Possible Further Upside] 1. The USD/JPY exchange rate has continued to strengthen recently, successfully breaking through the 200-day moving average and the psychologically important 150.00 level, signaling a possible reversal of the downtrend since January. Market analysis suggests that amid diverging policy stances between the US and Japanese central banks, the dollar could gain further upward momentum unless Japanese authorities implement new intervention measures. 2. Technically, USD/JPY has rebounded from its April 22 low of 139.88 and is currently approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 151.62. This trend stands in stark contrast to the previous correction, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. Although both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan maintained interest rates, the Fed's less-than-expected dovish stance and the Bank of Japan's relatively mild hawkish stance provided support for the US dollar. 3. Market positioning data shows that as of July 22, investors still held significant net long yen and long euro contracts. The unwinding of these positions could further boost the dollar's gains. In addition, the knock-out options triggered by Japanese importers above the 150.00 mark may also increase the demand for US dollar buying. However, Tokyo market participants warned that if the exchange rate continues to climb to around 155, it may trigger intervention by the Japanese or US Treasury departments.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3363.16

73.24

(2.23%)

XAG

37.003

0.319

(0.87%)

CONC

67.26

-2.00

(-2.89%)

OILC

69.48

-2.30

(-3.20%)

USD

98.678

-1.389

(-1.39%)

EURUSD

1.1594

0.0001

(0.01%)

GBPUSD

1.3282

-0.0001

(-0.00%)

USDCNH

7.1909

-0.0006

(-0.01%)