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2026-07-17 Friday

2026-07-19

17:04:12

Eurozone June CPI reading excluding tobacco

Previous : 103.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 102.98

Previous

17:03:12

Eurozone June blended CPI (excluding food, energy, tobacco and alcohol) final reading

Previous : 0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20%

Previous

17:02:24

Eurozone June Harmonized CPI reading excluding tobacco

Previous : 103.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 102.98

Previous

17:02:22

Eurozone June final reading of harmonized CPI excluding tobacco

Previous : 3.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.70%

Previous

17:02:21

Eurozone June Core Harmonized CPI YoY - Final Unadjusted

Previous : 2.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.10%

Previous

17:02:20

Eurozone June Harmonized CPI Monthly Rate Final Reading

Previous : -0.10% Forecast : -0.10%

Neutral

Published Value -0.10%

Previous

17:02:18

Eurozone June core harmonized CPI final reading

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.20%

Neutral

Published Value 0.20%

Previous

17:02:17

Eurozone June Harmonized CPI Annual Rate - Final Unadjusted

Previous : 2.80% Forecast : 2.80%

Neutral

Published Value 2.80%

Previous

17:02:16

Eurozone June blended CPI annual rate excluding food, energy, tobacco and alcohol final reading

Previous : 2.40% Forecast : 2.40%

Neutral

Published Value 2.40%

Previous

17:02:14

Eurozone June harmonized CPI month-on-month final reading

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value -0.10%

Previous

16:58:12

[Geopolitical risks resurface, refining bottlenecks exacerbate shortages, oil prices fluctuate at high levels awaiting a breakout] ⑴ A new round of standoff between Iran and the United States around the Strait of Hormuz reversed the brief calm brought by the June memorandum of understanding. Brent crude oil returned to the mid-$80 range, and WTI crude oil approached the $80 mark in tandem. Both saw their largest weekly gains in weeks, and the market's pricing focus shifted from confirming losses to probabilistic trading based on escalating threats. ⑵ Ship tracking shows that vessels can still pass through the strait, but traffic volume has sharply decreased and insurance and security costs have soared. The actual flow in the Persian Gulf is more than 10 million barrels per day below normal levels. Even considering the possibility of some vessels turning off their transponders, leading to statistical underestimation, damaged shipping confidence has brought the export recovery momentum to a halt. ⑶ Saudi Arabia and the UAE played a leading role in the June rebound thanks to their alternative pipeline capabilities, but other oil-producing countries are constrained by port congestion and difficulties in restarting oil fields, and their overall production is still significantly lower than in February. Further restrictions on Iranian ports and coastal areas may further reduce its exports by millions of barrels per day, making the supply-side recovery path no longer linear. (4) The crude oil shortage is rapidly transmitting to the finished product market. Reduced arrivals from the Middle East are forcing refineries in the Eastern Suez market to reduce operating rates. Coupled with spring maintenance and a shortage of heavy feedstocks, global refining volume has shrunk significantly compared to pre-crisis levels. High US crack spreads and retail jet fuel and diesel prices have surged by about 70-80% since February, highlighting the tight supply of middle distillates. (5) Following the attack on Russian refining capacity, operating rates have fallen to multi-year lows, forcing the country to substitute crude oil exports for finished product supply. Large-scale offshore inventories and the quality mismatch between light shale oil and heavy Middle Eastern crude oil have further exacerbated diesel production shortages. Even though some Asian refineries saw a month-on-month increase in operating rates in June, the global refining system still faces a capacity gap of millions of barrels per day. (6) Macroeconomic demand signals are becoming increasingly fragile. High oil prices are suppressing the transportation and chemical sectors. China's purchasing is becoming more price-sensitive. While India shows resilience, the region as a whole is constrained by freight and raw material costs. The penetration rate of electric vehicles also creates a ceiling for long-term gasoline growth. The struggle between supply and demand is keeping short-term volatility high. (7) Brent and WTI are expected to trade within a wide range in the near term, with geopolitical tensions and low inventory levels providing support. However, demand disruption and potential negotiations could trigger a rapid correction. The market is also constrained by three variables: Straits risk, refinery bottlenecks, and weak macroeconomics. A decisive breakout in any direction would open up new price potential.

16:54:12

[Rice Prices Plunge, Government Buyback Stalled, Market Supply and Demand Game Intensifies] ⑴ After two consecutive years of increases, the purchase price of new rice in Japan has reversed course. The recommended purchase price for early rice this season has plummeted by about 20% year-on-year, and advance payments for Koshihikari rice in Miyazaki Prefecture have dropped by nearly half from their high levels, reflecting the overwhelming impact of excessive private inventory on pricing power. ⑵ Supermarket rice prices have continued to soften after breaking through the 4,000 yen mark, falling below 3,500 yen at the beginning of this month, the first time in nearly a year and a half. High private inventory and government reserve releases have combined to exert downward pressure, and market expectations for supply adjustments are turning into a wave of pressure on policymakers. ⑶ Agricultural cooperatives are calling on the government to buy back previously released reserve rice to restore the supply and demand balance, but the Prime Minister's Office rejected the proposal on the grounds of the cost to the people. An emergency resolution by Liberal Democratic Party members and a public appeal by the top agricultural cooperative official have created a dual impetus, demanding that inventory be replenished to the million-ton level. (4) However, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry is concerned about the potential short-term supply gap caused by pre-harvest procurement. Inventories have been depleted from their high levels to about 30%. The policy balance is oscillating between stabilizing prices and ensuring supply. Market sentiment fluctuates with rumors, and participants are holding their breath and waiting for the next directional signal.

16:52:12

[New Jersey Employment Data Releases Conflicting Signals: Hidden Concerns and Highlights Behind the Declining Unemployment Rate] ⑴ New Jersey's June non-farm payrolls report showed a slight decrease of 300 jobs to 4.387 million, while the unemployment rate fell 0.2 percentage points from 4.7% to 4.5%. The coexistence of a decrease in employment and a decline in the unemployment rate reflects either a contraction in the labor force participation rate or statistical differences in household survey methods. ⑵ May's job growth was revised down from an initial estimate of 2,200 to 1,400, indicating that the expansion momentum in the spring labor market was already weaker than previously expected. This downward revision further confirms that employment momentum cooled at the end of the second quarter. ⑶ Significant industry-level differentiation was observed. Professional and business services added 3,700 jobs, and private education and healthcare added 3,600 jobs, constituting the main sources of growth for the month. Construction and manufacturing each added 500 jobs, indicating that the real economy sector still maintained a slight willingness to hire. (4) The trade, transportation, and utilities sectors saw a sharp decline of 4,200 jobs, while the leisure and hospitality sector lost 3,700, becoming the biggest drags on employment. The information technology and financial activities sectors also recorded losses of 900 and 300 jobs respectively. The weakness in service-related industries echoes the recent decline in gas station sales in retail data. (5) Year-on-year, non-farm payrolls across the state increased by 8,000, with the private sector contributing 10,100 jobs. However, this expansion was entirely concentrated in private education and healthcare (+31,000) and professional business services (+6,100), while the other seven major private sectors all contracted, resulting in an extremely singular growth structure. (6) Manufacturing saw a year-on-year decrease of 4,600 jobs, construction 3,000, and trade, transportation, and utilities 8,400. The continued contraction in both the production and distribution of goods poses a medium-term risk, while the 3,900 job loss in the leisure and hospitality sector suggests insufficient momentum for the recovery in consumer service spending. (7) Overall, New Jersey's labor market appears stable on the surface but is actually quite polarized. Improved unemployment has failed to mask the narrow range of industry growth and the monthly stagnation in total employment. Going forward, attention should be focused on whether education and healthcare, the core growth engines, can continue to perform strongly, and whether trade, logistics, and leisure services can see marginal improvement during the summer peak season.

16:44:14

Thailand's foreign exchange reserves as of July 12 - including gold and convertible foreign exchange (USD billion)

Previous : 2811 Forecast : -

Published Value 2794

Previous

16:42:14

Italy's current account balance in May (in billions of euros)

Previous : 22.58 Forecast : -

Published Value 5.94

Previous

16:32:12

Hong Kong's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in June

Previous : 3.70% Forecast : 3.70%

Published Value 3.70%

Previous

16:02:16

Eurozone May unadjusted current account (billion euros)

Previous : 149 Forecast : -

Published Value -62

Previous

16:02:15

Eurozone May seasonally adjusted current account (billion euros)

Previous : 157 Forecast : -

Published Value 251

Previous

15:16:18

China Futures Exchange Daily Warehouse Receipts Changes - Copper (tons) - July 17

Previous : -1050 Forecast : -

Published Value -3242

Previous

15:16:16

China Futures Exchange Daily Warehouse Receipts Changes - Crude Oil (barrels) - July 17

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

Previous

15:16:15

China Futures Exchange Daily Warehouse Receipts Changes - Fuel Oil (tons) - July 17

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

Previous

15:16:13

Shanghai Futures Exchange Daily Warehouse Receipts Changes - Silver (kg) - July 17

Previous : 8143 Forecast : -

Published Value 53326

Previous

15:14:13

China Futures Exchange Daily Warehouse Receipts Changes - Gold (kg) - July 17

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

Previous

15:04:16

[A-Share Market Closing] ⑴ At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 5.4%, the ChiNext Index fell 7.15%, the Beijing 50 Index fell 2.31%, and the STAR Market 50 Index fell 7.12%. Total market turnover was 2.6716 trillion yuan, an increase of 252.7 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 5,000 stocks declining. ⑵ In terms of sectors and themes, the power and banking sectors rose; semiconductors, CPO/CRO concepts, components, and memory chips were among the biggest losers. The power sector opened lower but rallied, with Leshan Electric Power, Huayin Electric Power, Jiangxi Energy, and Shenzhen Nanshan Power A all hitting their daily limit, and Jiawei New Energy rising over 10%. The banking sector showed resilience, with China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Agricultural Bank of China leading the gains. ⑶ The semiconductor sector suffered a sharp decline, with GigaDevice, Dawei Technology, Demingli, Huatian Technology, and many other stocks hitting their daily limit, and over fifty stocks falling over 10%. The CRO concept sector saw a significant pullback, with multiple stocks including Zhaoyan New Drug, Baicheng Pharmaceutical, and Biocytogen hitting their daily limit down, and Haoyuan Pharmaceutical, Hongbo Pharmaceutical, and Yinuosi falling by more than 10%. (4) The optical fiber concept sector continued its decline, with multiple stocks including Changguang Huaxin, Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable, Accelink Technologies, ZTE, and Yangtze Communications hitting their daily limit down, and Juguang Technology, Dingtong Technology, and Tianfu Communication falling by more than 10%.

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

4016.36

40.10

(1.01%)

XAG

55.884

0.395

(0.71%)

CONC

81.77

3.49

(4.46%)

OILC

88.08

3.22

(3.80%)

USD

100.759

0.039

(0.04%)

EURUSD

1.1438

-0.0004

(-0.03%)

GBPUSD

1.3455

-0.0022

(-0.17%)

USDCNH

6.7769

0.0044

(0.06%)