Sydney:12/24 22:26:56

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Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

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2025-09-18 Thursday

2025-09-19

11:24:08

Changes in Japan's PAJ commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending September 13

Previous : -21.01 Forecast : -

Published Value 19.61

Previous

11:24:05

Changes in PAJ gasoline inventories in Japan for the week ending September 13 -GAS

Previous : -3.53 Forecast : -

Published Value 4.64

Previous

11:24:03

The average operating rate of PAJ refineries in Japan for the week ending September 13

Previous : 87.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 84%

Previous

11:21:54

China's diesel exports in August - Energy

Previous : 82 Forecast : -

Published Value 94

Previous

11:21:28

China's sugar imports in August - agricultural and sideline products

Previous : 74 Forecast : -

Published Value 83

Previous

11:21:04

China's liquefied natural gas imports in August - Energy

Previous : 544 Forecast : -

Published Value 635

Previous

11:21:02

China's wheat imports in August - agricultural by-products

Previous : 41 Forecast : -

Published Value 23

Previous

11:21:01

China's corn imports in August - Agricultural and sideline products

Previous : 6 Forecast : -

Published Value 4

Previous

11:20:59

China's pipeline natural gas imports in August - Energy

Previous : 520 Forecast : -

Published Value 551

Previous

11:20:59

China's uncombed cotton imports in August - agricultural and sideline products

Previous : 5 Forecast : -

Published Value 7

Previous

10:45:26

Weak economic data fuels expectations of a rate cut, sending the New Zealand dollar plummeting to a one-week low. The New Zealand dollar (NZD) fell sharply on Thursday, dropping 0.82% to 0.5910, hitting a one-week low. It is currently trading around 0.5928. This is primarily due to the exceptionally weak latest economic data, which reinforced market expectations of a more aggressive rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Meanwhile, the Australian dollar also fell slightly, currently trading around 0.6645. Australia's unexpectedly weak employment data supports further rate cuts, though such an adjustment is more likely to occur in November. Economic fundamentals are fueling market bets on monetary policy easing. New Zealand's economy contracted more sharply than expected in the second quarter, primarily due to continued weakness in the construction sector and global economic uncertainty. Market expectations are that the RBNZ will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.75% at its October 8th meeting, with some even expecting a 50 basis point cut. 3. Kelly Eckhold, chief economist of Westpac Banking Corporation in New Zealand, pointed out that the weak economic situation has strengthened the central bank's reasons to increase stimulus. The bank expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to cut interest rates by 50 basis points and 25 basis points in October and November respectively. 4. In Australia, the number of employed people unexpectedly decreased in August, full-time employment fell after growing in July, and the unemployment rate remained stable, reflecting a gradual slowdown in the labor market. The market expects that the probability of the Reserve Bank of Australia cutting interest rates at the September 30 meeting is low, only 20%, while the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November has risen to 70%. Overall, the expectation of loose monetary policy in Australia and New Zealand continues to dominate the foreign exchange market.

09:52:48

[Zheshang Securities: Expectations of the Fed's "Risk-Management" Rate Cuts Still Face a Possible Backslide] The Zheshang Securities macroeconomic research team published a research report stating that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this month as expected, and the dot plot predicts two consecutive rate cuts in the remaining two meetings this year. However, it is worth noting that Powell, in a post-meeting Q&A session with reporters, stated that the September rate cut was a "risk-management" one. The Zheshang Securities macroeconomic research team believes this was one of the most important statements from the meeting. Overall, while the dot plot suggests there is still room for two rate cuts this year, the Zheshang Securities macroeconomic research team believes that expectations of easing still face a potential backslide. This is primarily due to two factors: First, as the core driver of the US economy shifts from consumption to investment, the non-farm payrolls core may decline. However, a weak non-farm payrolls figure does not necessarily indicate a weak economy, and inflation may be more resilient than expected. Second, despite a decline in the non-farm payrolls core, the unemployment rate may not rise due to the shrinking labor force caused by illegal immigration. If the unemployment rate remains stable, further rate cuts may not materialize. Furthermore, it is important to note the possibility of a halt in balance sheet reduction this year.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3658.78

14.51

(0.40%)

XAG

42.282

0.489

(1.17%)

CONC

63.06

-0.20

(-0.32%)

OILC

67.28

-0.18

(-0.27%)

USD

97.357

0.001

(0.00%)

EURUSD

1.1776

-0.0009

(-0.07%)

GBPUSD

1.3545

-0.0009

(-0.07%)

USDCNH

7.1099

0.0032

(0.05%)