Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

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2025-12-18 Thursday

2025-12-19

22:31:22

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Wage growth exceeded expectations and is on an upward trend.

22:31:21

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We are closely monitoring the situation regarding the appreciation of the euro.

22:31:19

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Exchange rates are not our target.

22:30:40

The S&P 500 rose 1.00% to 6788.76 on the day.

22:30:30

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 48,200.00 mark, currently trading at 48,206.08, up 0.67% on the day.

22:30:29

The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.40% on the day, closing at 23,010.87.

22:23:58

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1910.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1909.90/oz, up 0.51% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1943.3/oz, up 0.27% on the day.

22:19:43

ASML Holding Company: committed €93 million to public infrastructure development aimed at improving accessibility in the "Smart Port" area.

22:19:24

[Institutional View: Fed's 2026 Rate Cut Path May Be Clearer After Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI Data Release] Andrew Grantham, an economist at CIBC Capital Markets, stated that the latest US CPI data provided support for the bank's adjustment of its Fed policy forecast earlier this week. Following the release of the non-farm payrolls data earlier this week, CIBC added a rate cut expectation to its 2026 outlook report, now projecting 25 basis point rate cuts in both the first and second quarters of 2026.

22:18:12

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: The decision on the successor rests with the European Council.

22:18:11

ECB President Christine Lagarde: I don’t have a particular favorite for the position of ECB President, but Isabel is a candidate.

22:18:09

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: There is currently no preferred candidate for the position of European Central Bank President.

22:18:08

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: No discussion was held today on the issue of interest rate cuts or increases.

22:18:06

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Due to a degree of uncertainty, we are unable to provide guidance.

22:18:04

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We will pay very close attention to the wage situation.

22:18:03

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: All participants agreed that the work will continue to proceed on a meeting-by-meeting basis.

22:18:02

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Uncertainty may have intensified further.

22:18:00

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: The pharmaceutical export sector in Ireland and the Eurozone has performed exceptionally well.

22:17:59

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Exports have proven to be sustainable.

22:17:58

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Exports have exceeded our expectations.

22:15:56

[ECB President: Economy Shows Resilience as Consumption and Investment Both Rebound] European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde pointed out that the economy is currently operating smoothly, achieving 0.3% growth in the third quarter, mainly due to the simultaneous strengthening of consumption and investment. At a press conference on Thursday, she mentioned, "The growth momentum led by the service sector is likely to continue in the short term." Lagarde also stated that domestic demand will be the core driver of growth in the coming years, but the complex and challenging trade environment will constrain growth.

22:13:49

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Investment is the driving force of the economy.

22:13:41

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: There have been some changes in the economy.

22:12:37

Silver Analysis: Silver's upward momentum is strongly supported by a significantly lower-than-expected CPI. Details>

22:07:04

ECB President Christine Lagarde: The ECB unanimously agreed to retain all interest rate options.

22:06:47

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1920.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1920.05/ounce, up 1.05% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1949.8/ounce, up 0.60% on the day.

22:06:38

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Export data surprised us and has proven to be sustainable.

22:06:04

[Lagarde Explains ECB's Stance: Holding Rates Steady is Justified, Future Path Depends on Data] ⑴ Following the policy meeting, ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that the Governing Council decided to maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, and the updated assessment confirms that inflation should stabilize at the 2% target over the medium term. ⑵ She pointed out that new forecasts from Eurosystem staff show a slight upward revision to inflation expectations for 2026, mainly due to the anticipated slower decline in service inflation; while economic growth expectations have been revised upward across the board compared to September, primarily driven by domestic demand. ⑶ Lagarde emphasized that the ECB is determined to ensure inflation stabilizes at the target over the medium term and will follow a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting approach to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance, without pre-committing to a specific interest rate path. ⑷ Regarding the economic outlook, she stated that the economy has shown resilience, mainly driven by domestic demand, but challenges in the global trade environment and geopolitical uncertainties remain dragging factors. ⑸ On inflation, she noted that underlying inflation indicators have not changed significantly recently, wage growth is expected to slow in the coming quarters and stabilize at slightly below 3% by the end of 2026, with inflation expected to return to the target in 2028. (6) Lagarde detailed the upside and downside risks to inflation, including multiple factors such as trade policy, exchange rates, geopolitical conflicts, supply chains, wage pressures, and fiscal spending. (7) She assessed that financial and monetary conditions were generally stable, market interest rates had risen since the last meeting, and bank lending rates to businesses had remained broadly stable since the summer. (8) Lagarde concluded that the Governing Council was prepared to adjust all its instruments within its mandate to ensure that inflation remained sustainably stable at the medium-term target and to maintain smooth transmission of monetary policy. (9) Overall, the statement painted a picture of upward revisions to growth, a slight adjustment to the inflation path, but a solid medium-term target, providing a comprehensive justification for the ECB to pause interest rate cuts and enter a period of observation.

22:05:10

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Investment Primarily Due to Artificial Intelligence

22:05:06

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Investment is the main driver

22:04:57

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Unanimous decision, including options

22:04:56

ECB President Christine Lagarde: No specific date has been set for any measures.

22:04:43

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Some changes have occurred in the economy.

22:04:32

ECB President Christine Lagarde: This does not mean we are standing still.

22:04:30

ECB President Christine Lagarde: We are in a good position

22:03:53

Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI): Saudi Arabia's crude oil production rose by 36,000 barrels per day in October, reaching 10.002 million barrels per day.

22:03:11

Joint Oil Data Database (JODI): Saudi Arabia's domestic refinery crude oil processing volume fell by 228,000 barrels per day in October to 2.712 million barrels per day.

22:02:59

Joint Oil Data Database (JODI): Saudi Arabia's petroleum product exports fell by 19.5 million barrels per day in October to 1.406 million barrels per day.

22:02:07

Joint Oil Data Database (JODI): Saudi Arabia's crude oil inventories fell by 1.743 million barrels in October to 148.785 million barrels.

22:01:57

Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI): Saudi Arabia's demand for petroleum products fell by 0.104 million barrels per day in October to 2.444 million barrels per day.

22:01:41

Joint Oil Data Database (JODI): Saudi Arabia's direct crude oil burning fell by 92,000 barrels per day in October to 393,000 barrels per day.

22:00:49

[Czech National Bank Unanimously Votes to Hold Rates Steady, Inflation Risks Balanced, Tightening Stance Unlikely to Change] ⑴ The Czech National Bank's board unanimously decided on Thursday to maintain interest rates unchanged by a 6-0 vote. ⑵ The board assessed that the risks to achieving the inflation target are generally balanced. ⑶ The central bank stated that a relatively tight monetary policy needs to be maintained to keep inflation close to the 2% target in the long term. ⑷ Upside inflation risks include: potential acceleration in money supply growth due to household and government lending, potential growth in public sector spending, continued rapid wage growth, and the inertia of high service price inflation. ⑸ Downside inflation risks include: a stronger Czech koruna and weak performance in some Eurozone economies. ⑹ This assessment indicates that the Czech National Bank has chosen to wait and see after weighing internal and external risks, and its policy stance is expected to remain stable in the short term.

22:00:02

Federal Reserve data shows that the effective federal funds rate was 3.64% on December 17, with a trading volume of $94 billion, compared to 3.64% on December 16, with a trading volume of $95 billion.

21:59:19

[Inflation Data Boosts Rate Cut Bets, Market Slightly Upgrades Expectations for Fed Easing Next Year] ⑴ Following the release of lower-than-expected US November CPI data, the federal funds rate futures market reflected a slightly increased likelihood of a rate cut at the Fed's January policy meeting. ⑵ Traders now see a 28.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January, up from 26.6% before the data release. ⑶ For the entire year of 2026, traders are betting on approximately 64 basis points of Fed easing, a slight increase from 63 basis points before the data release. ⑷ This slight adjustment in market pricing indicates that despite the positive signals from the inflation data, traders remain relatively cautious about the Fed immediately initiating a new round of rate cuts, only slightly revising their easing expectations for the year upwards. ⑸ Market attention has now shifted to the verification of subsequent data and how Fed officials interpret this inflation report, which may have been influenced by technical factors.

21:59:07

[Inflation Data Cools, US Treasury Yields Fall, Market Remains Wary of "Distortion" Risk] ⑴ Following the release of lower-than-expected inflation data, US Treasury yields continued their overnight decline. ⑵ Data showed that the 10-year Treasury yield was last quoted at 4.120%, down from 4.150% on Wednesday; the 2-year Treasury yield was last quoted at 3.447%, down from 3.484% on Wednesday. ⑶ Data released on Thursday showed that US core consumer prices rose 2.6% year-on-year in November, far below the market expectation of a 3.0% increase. ⑷ However, some investors and analysts warned that the data might be distorted due to the previous government shutdown, and indicated that the Federal Reserve will pay closer attention to the next consumer price index report when deciding on the interest rate path. ⑸ This market reaction indicates that although the data provided short-term easing momentum, the market remained cautious about the reliability of the data and the Federal Reserve's interpretation, limiting the extent of the yield decline.

21:58:03

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: A stronger euro could reduce inflation.

21:57:52

The yield on German 10-year government bonds hit a high of 2.895%, the highest since mid-March, up 3 basis points on the day.

21:57:41

Money markets now expect a greater than 50% chance of the European Central Bank raising interest rates by March 2027, up from 35% previously.

21:57:05

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Inflation outlook remains more uncertain than ever before

21:56:50

[Germany Launches €30 Billion Fund to Leverage Private Capital for Future Industries] ⑴ Germany officially launched the €30 billion "German Fund" initiative on Thursday, aiming to enhance the competitiveness of Europe's largest economy by leveraging private capital investment in energy transition, technology, and industrial modernization. ⑵ The fund, coordinated by the German Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Economic Affairs, and implemented by the state-owned development bank KfW, will utilize various tools such as guarantees, loans, and equity investments to mitigate the risks of private investment. ⑶ The government describes the fund as "temporary seed financing" for the German economy after years of stagnation, aiming to leverage approximately €130 billion in additional private investment. ⑷ The fund focuses on three key areas: industrial and SMEs pursuing decarbonization and key raw material projects; energy utilities investing in renewable energy infrastructure; and startups and growth-stage companies in deep technology, biotechnology, and defense technology. ⑸ Specific measures include providing up to €8 billion in guarantees for industrial transition projects, establishing a €600 million guarantee framework for geothermal drilling, and expanding venture capital financing. (6) The Minister of Economy stated that the key lies in channeling private capital towards areas where innovation is born, supply chain resilience is strengthened, and Germany is prepared for the future. (7) KfW will also begin providing financing for defense exports and purchasing securitized products to strengthen loan support for SMEs. (8) The German Startup Association welcomed the plan, noting a significant funding gap for startups in the country, with data showing that in 2024, German per capita startup investment was far lower than that of the United States. (9) According to the plan, the fund will provide €1 billion in funding for startups by the end of 2030.

21:56:30

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Trade tensions have eased somewhat, but the volatile environment still poses risks.

21:55:51

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Most measures of long-term inflation expectations remain around 2%.

21:55:43

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Wage growth will slow in the coming quarters and stabilize below 3% by the end of 2026.

21:55:18

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Wage growth will slow in the coming quarters and stabilize at 3% by the end of 2026.

21:55:11

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Global environment may still be a drag.

21:55:09

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Underlying inflation rate remains in line with the 2% medium-term target.

21:54:47

December 18th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:51:55

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Global environment may still be a drag.

21:51:48

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Government spending on infrastructure and defense should underpin investment.

21:51:40

Did a surprisingly low CPI figure lead to an interest rate cut? The hesitant rise in gold prices reflects a battle between bulls and bears. Details>

21:51:38

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Savings rates should fall

21:51:35

ECB President Christine Lagarde: Domestic demand will be the main growth engine in the coming years.

21:51:28

ECB's Lagarde: The economy has shown resilience

21:51:18

ECB President Christine Lagarde: The momentum of the service sector leading growth will continue in the short term.

21:50:14

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,340.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,340.01/ounce, up 0.04% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,372.60/ounce, down 0.03% on the day.

21:49:47

The total CPI index of the United States in November

Previous : 318.14 Forecast : -

Published Value 317.41

21:48:23

Swap contracts indicate that the market has raised its expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut by 3 basis points before the end of 2026.

21:48:22

Goldman Sachs: Expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March, June, and September 2026, respectively, compared to previous forecasts of cuts in February, April, and July.

21:47:30

Behind the CPI's 20-point "flash crash" in the US dollar, a logical verification that will determine the direction of the entire year has begun. Details>

21:41:13

Interest rates unchanged, a huge signal! The European Central Bank releases hawkish signals. Details>

21:40:19

[Initial Jobless Claims Decline, Job Market Remains Stable Amid Tariffs and Seasonal Fluctuations] ⑴ Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 13,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 224,000, slightly better than the market expectation of 225,000, reversing the surge of the previous week. ⑵ Recent data fluctuations mainly reflect the challenges of data adjustment around the Thanksgiving holiday, but the overall tone of the labor market has not changed significantly; employers are neither willing to significantly increase hiring nor engage in large-scale layoffs. ⑶ Economists point out that Trump's tariff rhetoric had an unexpected impact on businesses, causing them to slow down the pace of increasing headcount. ⑷ A survey of 548 chief financial officers shows that tariffs remain one of the biggest concerns for businesses. ⑸ Although the unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest since September 2021, this data was distorted by technical factors due to the previous 43-day government shutdown. (6) The number of people continuing to receive unemployment benefits increased by 67,000 to 1.897 million in the week ending December 6, indicating that some unemployed people are experiencing longer job search periods. (7) Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, but hinted that they would pause further rate cuts until the direction of the labor market and inflation becomes clearer. (8) Overall, the labor market has shown resilience in the face of seasonal fluctuations and external policy shocks, but its potential strength and sustainability still require more data to verify.

21:39:19

Federal Reserve interest rate swaps indicate that the market expects policy to ease by another 3 basis points by the end of 2026. US Treasury yields jumped, US November CPI data came in below expectations, and the spread between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields was 66.5 basis points.

21:38:35

[US Inflation Data Shows "Technical" Decline, but Affordability Challenges Persist Under the Shadow of Tariffs] ⑴ The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year in November, lower than the market expectation of 3.1% and also lower than the 3.0% increase in September. ⑵ This slowdown may be technical, as the 43-day government shutdown prevented the release of October CPI data, and the November data collection was delayed until later this month, coinciding with retailers offering holiday discounts. ⑶ Despite the lower-than-expected inflation reading, Americans still face affordability challenges, partly due to Trump's tariff rhetoric. Economists point out that tariffs are gradually being passed on to consumers and disproportionately impacting low-income families. ⑷ The core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year in November, a slowdown from 3.0% in September. ⑸ The Federal Reserve's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, used to measure inflation targets, has not yet provided a November update due to data release delays; in September, the index was still well above the target. (6) Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, but also indicated that borrowing costs are unlikely to fall further in the near term until the labor market and inflation direction become clearer. (7) Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has pointed out that the main cause of inflation overshooting is actually tariffs, and economists believe that the price declines resulting from recent tariff reductions on some goods may take time to be passed on to consumers.

21:37:37

Canada's average weekly income annual rate in October

Previous : 3.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.18%

21:35:46

Due to the previous government shutdown, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics canceled its October CPI report, therefore no monthly CPI data was released today.

21:33:19

Following the data release, spot gold rebounded quickly by $11 from $4321 (-0.40%) to $4332 (-0.13%).

21:33:16

The Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing Loading index for December in the United States

Previous : -8.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.20

21:33:11

The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Price Index for December in the United States

Previous : 17.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 24.30

21:33:02

Following the data release, the US dollar index quickly fell 13 points from 98.42 (0.02%) to 98.29 (-0.10%), having already fallen 16 points before the data release.

21:32:32

U.S. food CPI annual rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 3.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 2.60%

21:32:24

U.S. energy CPI annual rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 2.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 4.20%

21:32:19

U.S. new car CPI year-on-year rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.60%

21:31:54

U.S. used car and truck CPI year-on-year rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 5.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.60%

21:31:50

U.S. housing CPI annual rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 3.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 3%

21:31:24

U.S. housing CPI annual rate for November - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 3.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.60%

21:30:39

The seasonally adjusted core CPI reading for the United States in November

Previous : 330.54 Forecast : -

Published Value 331.07

21:30:27

The year-on-year rate of the US CPI in November was not adjusted seasonally

Previous : 3% Forecast : 3.10%

金银石油

美元

Published Value 2.70%

21:30:27

The year-on-year rate of core CPI in the United States for November was not adjusted seasonally

Previous : 3% Forecast : 3%

金银石油

美元

Published Value 2.60%

21:30:25

The Philadelphia Fed's Manufacturing Price Payment Index for December in the United States

Previous : 56.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 43.60

21:30:25

The Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing Employment Index for December in the United States

Previous : 6 Forecast : -

Published Value 12.90

21:30:25

The Philadelphia Fed Capital Expenditure Index for December in the United States

Previous : 26.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 30.30

21:30:25

Philadelphia Fed's six-month forecast for manufacturing business conditions in the United States in December

Previous : 49.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 41.60

21:30:22

The Philadelphia Fed's new Manufacturing Orders Index for December in the United States

Previous : -8.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 5

21:30:21

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for December in the United States

Previous : -1.70 Forecast : 3

金银石油

美元

Published Value -10.20

21:30:20

U.S. New wheat export sales for the week ending December 11 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 38.11 Forecast : -

Published Value 47.99

21:30:20

U.S. net export sales for the week ending December 11 - wheat for the second year -USDA weekly

Previous : 0.75 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

21:30:19

U.S. net export sales for the week ending December 11 - Soybean total for two years -USDA weekly

Previous : 232.07 Forecast : -

Published Value 111.60

21:30:19

U.S. net export sales for the week ending December 11 - Soybean oil for the current year -USDA weekly

Previous : 0.75 Forecast : -

Published Value 2.55

21:30:19

U.S. net export sales for the week ending December 11 - Soybean oil for the second year -USDA weekly

Previous : -0.75 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

21:30:18

U.S. new beef export sales for the week ending December 11 -USDA Weekly

Previous : 1.91 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.96

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4325.13	-7.48 (-0.17%)
XAG	65.720	0.258 (0.39%)
CONC	55.84	-0.16 (-0.29%)
OILC	59.63	-0.09 (-0.14%)
USD	98.526	0.086 (0.09%)
EURUSD	1.1718	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
GBPUSD	1.3373	-0.0006 (-0.05%)
USDCNH	7.0354	0.0042 (0.06%)

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