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2026-04-09 Thursday

2026-04-09

14:13:29

[Russian Diplomat: Russia Will Not Delay Trilateral Talks on Ukraine] On April 9th local time, it was learned that Russian Ambassador-at-Large Rodion Miroshnik stated that Russia will not delay the resumption of trilateral talks on the Ukraine issue. Miroshnik stated that the negotiation arrangements must be agreed upon by all three parties, and currently "many things depend on the US decision," including who will represent the US in post-ceasefire dialogue with Iran. If the person responsible for the Iranian dialogue overlaps with the person responsible for the Ukraine negotiations, then the trilateral talks may be slightly delayed, but this will not constitute a fundamental obstacle to mediation. He also emphasized that Russia will not face any obstacles or delays in resuming the negotiation process. Andrei Kortunov, an expert at the Valdai International Discussion Club, stated that if the Middle East ceasefire is not broken, the next round of trilateral talks may be held in May. (CCTV News)

14:13:00

OMV (Oil & Gas Group): The gains from rising oil and gas prices are expected to fully cover the impact, while the Middle East conflict is expected to have a significant negative impact on the fuel business.

14:12:39

[Trump Declares Victory, Iran May Use Hormuz as Leverage to "Strengthen," Ceasefire Merely a Fragile Respite] 1. Analysts point out that while the US-Iran ceasefire agreement allowed Trump to declare victory, the reality is that Iran still firmly controls the Strait of Hormuz, wielding significant leverage to influence global energy markets and its Gulf rivals. This war is seen as a "serious strategic miscalculation" by Trump, with Iran's position actually solidifying after the blows. 2. Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz was legally considered an international waterway, with Iran only intermittently harassing ships. Now, Tehran has become the de facto gatekeeper, selectively deciding whether ships can pass and planning to charge tolls for safe passage. The Gulf states view the strait as a non-negotiable red line, and any outcome that allows Iran to effectively control it would be a defeat for Trump. 3. Iran has demonstrated resilience under continuous airstrikes, retaining the ability to further escalate the conflict. Its influence extends to Lebanon, Iraq, and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea. Domestically, despite economic devastation and infrastructure ruins, the leadership remains firmly in control of the situation. 4. Analysts question the outcomes of the US-Israel war: no regime change, no Iranian surrender, no containment of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and no end to Tehran's support for regional allies. The whereabouts of Iran's nuclear materials remain unknown, and missile and drone production continues. 5. Gulf officials stated that the ceasefire is a fragile pause; if it cannot evolve into a broader agreement that redefines the rules of engagement in the Strait and proxy battlefields, it is at best a tactical respite. If the core issues (ballistic missiles, drones, proxy forces, nuclear issue, and Straits governance rules) remain unresolved, the region will continue to be exposed to risks.

14:12:13

[High Copper Prices Lead to Increased Theft of Bridge Signs in South Korea] With rising copper prices, non-ferrous metals are becoming a new target for thieves in South Korea, with a surge in thefts of bronze bridge signage across the country. According to a report in the Korea Herald on the 8th, authorities discovered that 47 bronze signage pieces installed on small bridges in eight villages in Samcheok City, Gangwon Province, have gone missing. Replacing these signage pieces will cost approximately 100 million won (about 462,000 yuan), placing a significant financial burden on local governments. (Xinhua)

14:11:16

China's weekly apparent demand for rebar as of April 9

Previous : 228.26 Forecast : -

Published Value 229.14

14:11:14

China's weekly rebar output as of April 9

Previous : 207.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 215.59

14:11:12

China's weekly social inventory of rebar as of April 9

Previous : 632.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 619.66

14:11:12

Weekly inventory of rebar plants in China as of April 9th

Previous : 208.65 Forecast : -

Published Value 207.54

14:07:31

Bank of Thailand Governor: Plans to launch more preferential loans to support businesses, and will extend housing loan easing policies for another year.

14:07:16

British Foreign Secretary Cooper: Israel's escalation on Wednesday caused serious damage.

14:06:55

The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that Iran will control the passage of ships and decide which oil exports can pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

14:06:14

【TrendForce: China's humanoid robot production is expected to increase by 94% year-on-year in 2026, with Unitree Robotics and Logic Robotics accounting for nearly 80% of shipments】 (1) According to the latest report from TrendForce, the global humanoid robot industry will enter a critical period of commercialization in the second half of 2026. (2) Chinese manufacturers are gradually clarifying their commercialization goals and scenarios and are actively increasing production. It is estimated that the annual growth rate of China's humanoid robot market production will reach 94% in 2026. (3) Unitree Robotics and Logic Robotics stand out with their profitability and mass production progress. It is estimated that the two together will account for nearly 80% of the shipment share.

14:05:33

The Governor of the Bank of Thailand stated that the country plans to launch more preferential loans to support businesses, and that the policy interest rate will remain unchanged as it is appropriate. GDP growth is projected to be between 1.3% and 1.7% in 2026. He believes that current interest rate hikes will not reduce inflation. Core inflation is expected to be between 2.5% and 3.5% this year.

14:04:14

Germany's unadjusted trade balance for February

Previous : 166 Forecast : -

Published Value 204

14:03:44

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $97.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $96.98/barrel, up 2.72% on the day.

14:02:37

According to a report by the Iranian Students' News Agency on the 9th, an Iranian military spokesperson claimed that Iran "shot down at least one of the enemy's most advanced fighter jets." The report did not specify when or where the aircraft was shot down, nor did it specify whether the "enemy" was Israel or the United States. (Xinhua)

14:01:03

The Nikkei 225 index closed at 56,013.34 points today, down 0.52%.

14:00:43

Germany's annual rate of industrial output adjusted for working days in February

Previous : -1.20% Forecast : 0.60%

Published Value 0%

14:00:09

South Africa's net gold and foreign exchange reserves in March

Previous : 758.35 Forecast : -

Published Value 731.87

14:00:09

The total amount of South Africa's gold and foreign exchange reserves in March

Previous : 810.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 777.59

14:00:07

Germany's seasonally adjusted monthly export rate for February

Previous : -1.50% Forecast : 1%

Published Value 3.60%

14:00:07

Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial output monthly rate for February

Previous : -0.50% Forecast : 0.70%

美元

欧元金银

Published Value -0.30%

14:00:07

Germany's seasonally adjusted trade balance for February

Previous : 214 Forecast : 185

Published Value 198

14:00:07

Germany's seasonally adjusted monthly import rate for February

Previous : -6% Forecast : 4%

Published Value 4.70%

13:59:47

[US-Iran ceasefire stabilizes market sentiment in the short term; focus recommended on energy-independent Latin American assets] (1) Anthony Kettle, Managing Director of RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said the two-week conditional US-Iran ceasefire should stabilize short-term market sentiment. Temporarily lower oil prices should alleviate inflationary pressures in fragile Asian economies and improve the fiscal situation of importing countries. (2) However, he advised against structural bets until the ceasefire proves to be lasting, and warned that even if peace is maintained, Middle Eastern energy exports will take time to return to normal. RBC BlueBay expects energy prices to remain significantly high this year. (3) Therefore, the firm recommends investors focus on sovereign nations and companies that can withstand or benefit from rising energy costs. The most confident trades are currently concentrated in Latin America, with a focus on assets that benefit from strong energy independence.

13:59:43

[Iranian Ceasefire Fails to Mask Severe Damage to Middle East Infrastructure; Supply Tights Expected to Continue] 1. While the ceasefire agreement reached between Trump and Iran has temporarily quelled the fighting, dozens of refineries, oil fields, and LNG export terminals in the Middle East have been attacked by missiles and drones, making repairs extremely complex. Experts say they have "never seen such a scale of destruction," and the global oil and gas market will face prolonged supply shortages. 2. Critical facilities severely damaged: Approximately 17% of the capacity at Qatar's Ras Lafan LNG facility has been destroyed, with full recovery potentially delayed until 2030 and repair costs estimated at $10 billion. One production line at Shell's Pearl gas-to-liquids facility will be shut down for at least a year. Kuwaiti refineries have suffered severe damage, requiring three to four months to return to full production; Bahrain's Sitra refinery has declared force majeure. 3. About one-third of refineries in the Gulf region have been damaged, with repairs expected to take at least several months. The International Energy Agency estimates that over 40 critical energy assets have been damaged, causing the largest supply disruption in history. Rezid Energy estimates repair costs to exceed $25 billion. Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other countries were forced to shut down approximately 7.5 million barrels per day of crude oil production, with sudden well shutdowns posing geological risks. 4. Supply chain bottlenecks exacerbate repair difficulties: Replacing customized transformers, valves, and gas turbines will take years, and a large number of specialized engineers and welders have already left. Wood Mackenzie stated that repair costs will crowd out approximately $100 billion in oil and gas investment in the region this year, forcing the postponement of growth projects. 5. Consulting firm Eurasia Group predicts that even if hostilities end, oil prices will remain above $80 per barrel this year. Brent crude fell to $95 per barrel after the ceasefire announcement, but is still far above the pre-war level of $60. Damage to non-energy facilities such as aluminum smelters will also push up metal prices.

13:58:11

The Argentine Chamber of Deputies passed a reform bill supported by Argentine President Milley to liberalize mining in the glacial region.

13:57:44

[Foreign investors have been net sellers of Indian stocks for 23 consecutive days, setting a new record] (1) As of April 7, overseas investors have been net sellers of Indian stocks for 23 consecutive trading days, setting a new record. (2) From the end of February to April 7, foreign investors withdrew a net $17.8 billion due to market concerns about the impact of the global energy crisis on the Indian economy, including six trading days with outflows exceeding $1 billion per day. The total amount of capital outflows so far this year is close to the record of $19 billion for the whole of 2025. (3) During this period, Indian domestic institutions invested $20.6 billion, absorbing most of the foreign sell-off, but this only partially alleviated the downward pressure, and the market still faces pressure.

13:57:07

Australian miners' union: High Court dismisses BHP Billiton's appeal for special leave in the Queensland miners' equal pay case.

13:55:24

Huawei Cloud will release a full range of AI products. At the infrastructure level, Huawei Cloud will launch the AI Infra distributed AI cloud infrastructure and simultaneously upgrade its one-stop AI training and push platform capabilities. Huawei Cloud also plans to release an industry intelligent agent development platform and several self-developed "Lobster" series products. In addition, targeting emerging directions such as embodied intelligence, its one-stop embodied intelligence development platform is also expected to be launched at the same time.

13:51:51

Saudi Arabia’s industrial production rose 8.9% year-on-year in February.

13:51:40

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,710.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,709.19/ounce, down 0.22% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,732.50/ounce, down 0.94% on the day.

13:51:17

[Daiwa Securities Economist: Ceasefire Fails to Alleviate Energy Inflationary Pressures, Global Economy Still Faces Concerns] (1) Daiwa Securities economist Kenji Yamamoto stated that despite the ceasefire agreement reached between the US and Iran, the global economy may continue to face inflationary concerns. (2) The impact of the ceasefire agreement is clear: the global economy has avoided a severe growth shock, but energy-driven inflationary pressures remain unresolved. (3) He anticipates that the practical outcome will be an "imperfect" agreement—with Iran making some concessions on its nuclear program in exchange for sanctions easing and a greater role in managing the Strait of Hormuz. This framework represents a state of order maintained through a fragile balance, even if a full-blown confrontation is avoided.

13:50:50

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2008.25/ounce, down 1.03% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2021.6/ounce, down 2.22% on the day.

13:50:32

[Jefferies: Fragile Ceasefire May Last as Neither Side Wants to Continue War] (1) Jefferies global economist Mohit Kumar said the Middle East ceasefire is fragile but expected to last. (2) Both sides want a ceasefire because continuing the war would have negative consequences for each other. Trump wants an agreement because his “Make America Great Again” base does not support continuing the war. (3) Meanwhile, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is struggling with a devastated economy, potentially paving the way for a subsequent uprising. Given the interests of both sides, this fragile ceasefire is likely to last.

13:48:58

According to sources, the Japanese government is considering releasing oil reserves equivalent to 20 days of demand as the conflict with Iran strains energy supplies.

13:47:03

Iran's energy shock has begun; awaiting the release of US CPI data, the Federal Reserve may remain on hold for an extended period. Details>

13:46:44

JPMorgan Chase raised its target price for Alcoa from $68 to $70.

13:45:56

In the afternoon, the wind power equipment concept saw a partial rebound, with Zhenjiang Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit, and Hewang Electric, Jinlei Co., Ltd., Taisheng Wind Power and Dajin Heavy Industry rising sharply.

13:45:44

Turkish Airlines carried 7.2 million passengers in March, a 16% increase year-on-year.

13:42:15

Seychelles' CPI rose 0.24% year-on-year in March.

13:39:28

OMV (Oil & Gas Group): It expects a one-off hedging loss of €100 million in the first quarter of 2026 due to oil supply disruptions.

13:39:03

Court documents filed Tuesday show that tech billionaire Elon Musk is suing artificial intelligence giant OpenAI, demanding the dismissal of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman.

13:38:27

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 56,000.00 mark, currently trading at 56,009.62, down 0.53% on the day.

13:35:36

[Barclays: Philippine Central Bank Expected to Hold Rates No in April, May Raise by 25 Basis Points in June Following US-Iran Ceasefire] (1) Barclays economists say they no longer expect the Philippine Central Bank to raise interest rates in April following the US-Iran ceasefire. They now expect the central bank to maintain its current rates and focus on the economic impact of the Middle East conflict. (2) Policymakers may also be concerned about economic challenges that existed before the conflict began. (3) Barclays’ base case forecast is that the Philippine Central Bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in June, followed by a 25 basis point rate cut in February 2027, and another rate cut in April (previously expected to be three rate cuts).

13:35:03

[Japanese Consumer Confidence Drops for First Time in Three Months in March Due to Impact of Iran War] (1) A Japanese government survey showed that the consumer confidence index was 33.3 in March, down 6.4 points from February, marking the first decline in three months and the largest monthly drop since the COVID-19 pandemic began in April 2020. (2) The government stated that consumer confidence is weakening and downgraded its assessment from the previous month (which had previously indicated signs of improvement). (3) Soaring fuel costs are impacting the fragile economic recovery, and this result, along with other recent data, highlights the economic impact of the Middle East war, further complicating the Bank of Japan's decision on whether to raise interest rates in April.

13:32:58

According to Japanese media reports, the Japanese government has approved a plan to strengthen its defense capabilities, adding 17 civilian seaports and airports that can be used by the Self-Defense Forces and the Japan Coast Guard in emergencies.

13:31:04

A summary chart of futures company viewpoints: Non-ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, tin, etc.) on April 9th Details>

13:30:05

Air France has suspended its Tel Aviv-Beirut route until May 3.

13:29:46

Air France has suspended its Dubai and Riyadh routes until May 3 (inclusive).

13:27:09

[Standard Chartered: US-Iran ceasefire offers limited help to energy supply; oil price correction may be excessive] (1) Standard Chartered's energy and metals research team stated that the two-week US-Iran ceasefire agreement may offer limited help to energy supply. Security concerns, high insurance rates, and operational restrictions mean that there won't be much additional energy transport through the Strait of Hormuz. (2) Liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes may be an exception, as recent news indicates that LNG carriers are fully loaded and ready to set sail in a short time. (3) Although oil prices fell due to the ceasefire news, the team believes that this rapid correction may be excessive. They expect the average price of Brent crude to be US$98 per barrel and the average price of WTI to be US$92.50 per barrel in the second quarter.

13:25:46

[US Navy plans to increase Tomahawk missile procurement by 13 times, Army simultaneously enhances strike capabilities] (1) According to Pentagon budget documents, the US Navy plans to request $3 billion in fiscal year 2027 to procure 785 Tomahawk cruise missiles, an increase of about 13 times compared to the 55 missiles procured this fiscal year. (2) In addition to the new procurement, the Navy also requested $1.5 billion to upgrade existing missiles, 217% higher than the amount in fiscal year 2026, with a total Tomahawk missile inventory target set at 3,992. (3) The US Army also requested $2.7 billion for MRC ground launchers (capable of launching Tomahawk and SM-6 missiles), 32 times higher than this year's allocation ($82 million, for only 13 missiles).

13:25:24

[Iranian Delegation to Arrive in Islamabad on the Evening of the 9th] Iranian Ambassador to Pakistan, Moghaddam, posted on social media on the 9th that despite repeated violations of the ceasefire agreement by Israel, an Iranian delegation will arrive in Islamabad on the evening of the 9th at the invitation of Pakistani Prime Minister Shahbaz to engage in serious dialogue on the 10 ceasefire terms proposed by Iran. (Xinhua)

13:23:26

The escalating situation in the Middle East has fueled safe-haven demand, coupled with rising inflation expectations, causing the US dollar index to remain volatile at high levels. Details>

13:20:29

Qatar's foreign exchange reserves stood at 261.97 billion Qatari riyals in March.

13:18:29

A two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran is unlikely to stem the inflationary impact; the Eurozone's 2026 growth forecast may be revised downward by 0.6 percentage points. Details>

13:18:16

[XS Analyst: Oil Price Decline Not a Sustained Trend, Rebound Driven by Risk Premium, Expected to Range-Bound in the Short Term] (1) XS analyst Linh Tran stated that the recent sharp drop in oil prices has not yet foreshadowed a sustained downward trend. Following the ceasefire agreement, Israeli attacks on Beirut and parts of southern Lebanon reignited concerns about supply disruptions, causing oil prices to rebound as investors adjusted their expectations. (2) However, the current oil price rebound does not reflect a genuine supply shortage, but is mainly driven by the reintroduction of risk premiums. (3) Near-month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is expected to remain highly volatile and range-bound, fluctuating between $90 and $105 per barrel. The direction of oil prices depends on whether the tensions in the Middle East escalate into a structural supply disruption risk or remain merely a short-term psychological shock.

13:15:39

The Iranian ambassador to Pakistan said that an Iranian delegation will arrive in Islamabad on Thursday evening for “serious talks” on Iran’s ten-point proposal.

13:15:26

[Iranian Deputy Speaker Says Iran's Losses Must Be Compensated] On April 8th local time, Ali Nikozadeh, Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Parliament, stated in a media interview that for a ceasefire agreement to be reached, US troops must withdraw, Iran must gain current and future access to the Strait of Hormuz, major sanctions must be lifted, and Iran's losses must be compensated. #US-IranCeasefireAgreementNeedsSupremeLeaderApproval# Nikozadeh also stated that the agreement must receive formal approval from the Supreme Leader. He further criticized US President Trump's previously proposed 15-point ceasefire plan as "hypocritical," because from the US perspective, whether things develop according to US wishes or not, the US will claim to have "won," and even if things don't go according to US plan, the US will still claim to be negotiating. (CCTV International News)

13:15:04

On Thursday, the next-day electricity price in Japan's Kansai region surged to 23.06 yen per kilowatt-hour, the highest level in over a year. The Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts cloudy or rainy weather across much of the country, including western Japan, on Friday. This could dampen solar power generation and put upward pressure on spot electricity prices. Kansai Electric Power Company also shut down the Takahama No. 3 nuclear reactor this week as planned for maintenance, reducing grid supply and further pushing up spot market prices.

13:12:02

According to a report by the Wall Street Journal on August 8, only four ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on the same day, following the ceasefire announced by the United States and Iran. (Xinhua)

13:11:46

International Monetary Fund: Sri Lanka's economic reforms continue to support economic recovery.

13:10:35

Indian Ministry of Petroleum: The Indian Minister of Petroleum will pay an official visit to Qatar from April 9 to 10.

13:06:02

ANZ Bank: Energy transition and data center growth are driving resilient demand, which will keep the market with a 4% to 5% supply gap, thus supporting copper prices.

13:05:11

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $98.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $98.01/barrel, up 3.81% on the day.

13:03:42

ANZ Bank: If the oil price recovery stalls this week, resulting in a daily supply gap of more than 4 million to 5 million barrels, the market may need oil prices to remain above $100 per barrel to curb demand and prompt a decline in inventories.

13:03:18

ANZ: We believe there is a real risk that crude oil production capacity of 1-2 million barrels per day may be permanently lost or limited.

13:02:35

International Monetary Fund: IMF staff reached a staff-level agreement on the fifth and sixth merger reviews under the Sri Lanka Extended Fund arrangement.

13:02:05

India’s Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas will pay an official visit to Qatar from April 9 to 10, 2026.

13:01:54

[World Bank: East Asia and Pacific Economic Growth Expected to Slow to 4.2% in 2026] (1) The World Bank’s latest report indicates that, affected by external shocks, economic growth in the East Asia and Pacific region will slow to 4.2% in 2026 (compared to 5% last year). China’s growth is projected at 4.2% and 4.3%, respectively, due to weak domestic demand, challenges in the real estate market, and a slowdown in exports. Other economies in the region are expected to grow by 4.1% in 2026 and rebound to 5% in 2027. (2) The impact of the Middle East conflict depends on the energy import dependence and policy flexibility of each country. If fuel prices continue to rise by 50%, it could lead to a 3%-4% loss in household income in the region. The report recommends that countries maintain growth through structural reforms and seizing digital opportunities. (3) AI-related exports and investments are highlights for 2025 (especially in Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam), but AI applications remain limited – only 13%-17% of multinational subsidiaries use AI, about one-third of that in industrialized countries. Specific growth forecasts: Philippines 3.7%, Thailand 1.3%, Vietnam 6.3%, Malaysia 4.4%, Indonesia 4.7%, Cambodia 3.9%.

13:01:33

ANZ Bank: Oil supply disruptions have significantly tightened the global crude oil supply-demand balance, with the market rapidly shifting from a surplus at the beginning of the year to a considerable deficit.

13:01:11

British Foreign Secretary Cooper: We should support the International Maritime Organization's proposal regarding ships detained in the Strait of Hormuz. Fundamental freedoms of the sea must not be unilaterally deprived or sold off, and navigation in the Strait of Hormuz must be toll-free. Lebanon must be included in the ceasefire agreement.

13:00:15

Japan's household consumer confidence index for March

Previous : 40 Forecast : 38

Published Value 33.30

13:00:09

The Shenzhen Component Index opened at 13998.87 points, down 0.31%; the ChiNext Index opened at 3325.31 points, down 0.67%; the SME Composite Index opened at 14998.96 points, down 0.33%; the Shanghai Composite Index opened at 3965.75 points, down 0.73%; and the CSI 300 Index opened at 4565.98 points, down 0.64%.

12:58:19

Indian Petroleum Minister: The Iran war highlighted India's inadequacy in preparing for adversity.

12:55:13

[Bridgewater's Dalio: The current US-Israel-Iran conflict is part of a world war, and the probability of multi-regional conflict in the next five years is over 50%] (1) Dalio warned that the US-Israel-Iran conflict is not an isolated event, but a component of a larger world war, and will not end in the short term. The current situation is highly similar to that of 1913-1914 and 1938-1939, and is in a critical stage of transition from "pre-war confrontation" to "wartime combat". (2) The typical trend of the conflict in this stage is escalation rather than easing. He judged that the probability of at least one major multi-regional conflict breaking out in the next five years is over 50%. The market's general expectation that "the war will end soon and everything will return to normal" is an underestimation risk. (3) Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Dalio believes that the judgment that its closure will have a significant impact on China is not valid (China has abundant energy and a large amount of oil reserves). Although the United States has the strongest military, it is the most excessive in expansion and the weakest in the ability to bear the long-term cost of war. (4) He proposed a classic big cycle framework, pointing out that the world order has shifted from a multilateral rule-based order to a "might makes right" order, and more conflicts can be foreseen. The most reliable indicator of victory in a war is not which side is the strongest, but which side can endure the greatest suffering for the longest time.

12:54:39

Kia Motors: Targets 17 trillion won in operating profit by 2030 (previously 18 trillion won).

12:44:45

[European Financial Institutions: Oil Prices Unlikely to Return to Pre-Middle East Conflict Levels in the Short Term] Several European financial institutions released reports on the 8th predicting that international oil prices are unlikely to fall back to pre-US-Iran conflict levels in the short term. The market needs to pay attention to the Strait of Hormuz's traffic flow and the recovery of infrastructure in the Middle East. ING stated that the news of the US and Iran agreeing to a two-week ceasefire has somewhat alleviated market concerns about long-term oil supply disruptions, causing international oil prices to fall below $100 per barrel. Future oil price trends will depend on whether a lasting agreement can be reached and whether shipping levels in the Strait can return to normal. Continued market volatility is expected during the negotiations. UBS stated that it is unclear when and to what extent shipping in the Strait will resume, and some tankers will need time to reroute. If traffic in the Strait is disrupted again, energy prices could rebound rapidly. Furthermore, even in an optimistic scenario, the repair of energy infrastructure and the recovery of production will take weeks or even months. Therefore, energy prices are unlikely to fall back to pre-conflict levels in the short term. Barclays believes the ceasefire has temporarily averted the "worst-case scenario" and opened the door to further de-escalation, but given the damage to energy infrastructure and the uncertain ultimate outcome of the conflict, oil prices are unlikely to reverse course quickly after rising. (Xinhua)

12:41:13

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Japanese companies' return on equity (ROE) is on a recovery trend.

12:40:57

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Japanese companies' return on equity (ROE) is on a recovery trend.

12:38:14

[US Think Tank Warns: Temporary US-Iran Ceasefire "On the Verge of Collapse," Israeli Attack on Lebanon Could Cause Agreement to Deteriorate] (1) According to the Associated Press, The Soufan Center, headquartered in New York, warned that the temporary ceasefire agreement reached during the Iran-Iraq War is "on the verge of collapse." (2) In an analysis report released on Thursday, the think tank pointed out that Israel's attack on Lebanon on Wednesday could cause the agreement to collapse. Although Lebanon is not formally included in the agreement, the scale of the Israeli attack is highly likely to be seen as an escalation of the situation. (3) The report added that the Israeli strike could be interpreted as an attempt to sow discord between Iran and its proxies, or as a response to being marginalized in the initial ceasefire negotiations.

12:37:21

[Tencent Cloud Announces: Prices for AI Computing Power, Container Services, and EMR Products to Increase by 5% Starting May 9, 2026] (1) Due to the continued surge in global demand for AI computing power and the significant increase in core hardware supply chain costs, Tencent Cloud announced that it will adjust the list prices of related products starting May 9, 2026, to ensure service quality and continuous supply of computing resources. (2) Prices for AI computing power related products and services will increase by 5%. (3) Prices for container services TKE-native node related products and services will increase by 5%; prices for elastic MapReduce (EMR) related products and services will also increase by 5%.

12:36:09

Data shows that the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Japan in March was $10.80 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

12:35:52

Russia is offering liquefied natural gas (LNG) subject to US sanctions to Asian buyers at a 40% discount.

12:32:56

The Netherlands' inflation rate was 2.4% in February and 2.7% in March.

12:32:35

Thailand's consumer confidence index was 51.8 in March, compared to 53.7 in February.

12:28:53

The Justice Department's investigation has reached a deadlock, and Walsh's nomination has been blocked! Did they intend to oust Powell, but instead made him even more secure in his position? Details>

12:22:24

The Pakistani ambassador to the United States stated that Lebanon is part of the ceasefire agreement between Iran and the United States.

12:22:00

[Netanyahu: Israel "Ready to Return to the Battlefield," Ceasefire Does Not Include Hezbollah] Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a video address on the evening of the 8th, emphasizing that the two-week ceasefire reached between the United States and Iran is not the end of the war, but merely a phase in the process of achieving all of Israel's established goals. Netanyahu stated that Israel "still has more goals to accomplish" and that "we will achieve these goals, whether through an agreement or by resuming fighting," including the removal of enriched uranium from Iran. Israel is "ready to return to the battlefield" and "our finger is always on the trigger." Netanyahu also said that he demanded the temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran not involve Hezbollah in Lebanon, adding, "We will continue to strike them forcefully." Regarding criticisms within Israel that Netanyahu was informed of the ceasefire by US President Trump without his knowledge, Netanyahu emphasized in his speech that the US reached the temporary ceasefire with Iran after "full coordination" with Israel, and was not informed at the "last minute." (Xinhua)

12:21:44

[Middle East Situation Disrupts Serbia's Chemical Raw Material Import Supply Chain; Anxiety Spreads to Europe] On April 8, the United States and Iran announced a two-week ceasefire and agreed to begin negotiations. Iran subsequently stated that ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz could pass safely during the ceasefire if they coordinated with the Iranian armed forces. Following this news, international crude oil futures prices, which had previously fluctuated sharply due to the continued tension in the Middle East, plummeted. New York WTI and London Brent crude oil futures generally fell by more than 15%, both dropping below the $100 per barrel mark. Looking back over the previous weeks, the Middle East situation has been repeatedly volatile, causing the global energy market to fluctuate accordingly—oil prices have frequently oscillated between expectations of supply disruptions and signals of geopolitical easing, with market sentiment constantly shifting between panic and wait-and-see. As a key supplier of global oil and chemical raw materials, any developments in the Middle East will directly push up crude oil and basic chemical raw material prices through energy transportation chains and raw material supply networks, further creating a chain reaction in the petrochemical industry chains of various countries, leaving the entire energy and chemical market in a state of high uncertainty. (CCTV)

12:21:20

The Nikkei 225 index has just broken through the 55,800.00 mark, currently trading at 55,793.22, down 0.92% on the day.

12:21:06

[Trump Says 10 Iranian Ceasefire Terms Revealed by US Media Are "Fake News"] US President Trump posted on social media on the 8th that US media outlets had published a "completely false 10-point report" regarding the Iran ceasefire negotiations, stating that its "purpose is to discredit those involved in the peace process. These 10 points are pure fabrication and a hoax." According to US media reports on the 8th, the 10 points proposed by Iran are: 1. A US guarantee not to invade Iran; 2. Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz; 3. Ending the war on all fronts in the region, including the war with Hezbollah in Lebanon; 4. Withdrawal of US combat troops from all bases and deployment sites in the region; 5. Payment of reparations to Iran; 6. Acceptance of Iran's uranium enrichment activities; 7. Lifting all primary sanctions against Iran; 8. Lifting all secondary sanctions against Iran; 9. Withdrawal of relevant IAEA resolutions; 10. Withdrawal of relevant UN Security Council resolutions. Earlier on the 8th, Trump said in an interview that Lebanon was not included in the two-week US-Iran ceasefire agreement. U.S. Vice President Vance also said in Budapest, Hungary, that Iran believed the ceasefire agreement included Lebanon, but this was not the case, and the U.S. "never made such a commitment." (CCTV)

12:19:56

Goldman Sachs Lowers Q2 European Gas Price Forecast, Warns of Straits Delay Risks] 1. Goldman Sachs analysts stated in a report that, given China's low LNG imports, the bank has lowered its forecast for European gas prices in the second quarter of 2026. The bank now expects European gas prices to reach €50/MWh in Q2, down from its previous forecast of €70/MWh. 2. The forecast for European gas prices in the second half of 2026 has been lowered from €43/MWh to €42/MWh. 3. Goldman Sachs points out that if there are significant delays in the resumption of LNG transport through the Strait of Hormuz, or damage to gas production facilities, the gas market will require broader demand suppression. In this scenario, Dutch TTF gas prices may break through €75/MWh and explore even higher levels.

12:19:01

[Goldman Sachs: Oil Price Risks Tilted to the Upside if Ceasefire Breaks or Strait Reopening Delayed] 1. Goldman Sachs analysts noted in a report that oil price risks are skewed to the upside due to the potential for prolonged supply disruptions and continued production losses. If the ceasefire cannot be maintained, or the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is delayed by a month, even if Persian Gulf oil production recovers to pre-war levels, the average price of Brent crude in the fourth quarter is still expected to reach $100 per barrel. 2. If the Strait reopening is delayed, and the Middle East continues to cut production by 2 million barrels per day, Brent crude prices could rise to $115 per barrel. 3. Goldman Sachs maintains its oil price forecasts: Brent crude is expected to reach $82 per barrel in the third quarter and $80 per barrel in the fourth quarter; WTI crude is expected to reach $77 per barrel in the third quarter and $75 per barrel in the fourth quarter.

12:15:44

[Israel Resumes "Full Activity" Status Except for the Northern Border with Lebanon] The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement on the evening of March 8th, saying that in light of the current situation and the ongoing situation assessment by the Home Defense Command, the IDF has decided to update its national civil defense regulations, resuming a "full activity" status except for the northern border with Lebanon. The statement said that as of 6:00 AM on March 9th, the current defense guidelines remain unchanged; from 6:00 AM to 8:00 PM on March 9th, the defense guidelines will be adjusted according to the latest security assessment as follows: In the frontline areas in the north where there is a standoff with Hezbollah in Lebanon, a "limited activity" status will remain in effect. In the rest of the country, a "full activity" status will be restored, and general restrictions will no longer be implemented, but in some central areas, the size of gatherings will still be limited to a maximum of 1,000 people. The IDF stated that it will continue to closely monitor the situation and make further adjustments to relevant defense measures as needed. (CCTV)

12:14:39

Data released by the National Bank of Kazakhstan shows that Kazakhstan's net gold and foreign exchange reserves in March totaled $65.083 billion, a decrease of 8.8% compared to the previous month.

12:13:46

According to the Financial Times, Brussels warned that the EU will still suffer from a "stagflation shock." European Commission Executive Vice-President Dombrovskis stated that the Commission is preparing to lower its economic growth forecast for this year.

12:11:46

According to Japan's Kyodo News, Japan is considering releasing about 20 days' worth of oil reserves.

12:00:02

Malaysia's industrial output year-on-year rate in February

Previous : 5.90% Forecast : 5.20%

Published Value 3.10%

11:56:59

On April 9, Yahua Group responded to investors on its interactive platform, stating that the company had engaged in active and effective communication with relevant departments of the Zimbabwean government, striving to resume lithium concentrate exports as soon as possible. The company stated that its current lithium concentrate inventory is sufficient to meet domestic production needs.

6

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4758.01	38.83 (0.82%)
XAG	74.415	0.361 (0.49%)
CONC	102.18	7.77 (8.23%)
OILC	98.98	2.82 (2.94%)
USD	98.982	-0.048 (-0.05%)
EURUSD	1.1676	0.0014 (0.12%)
GBPUSD	1.3411	0.0019 (0.14%)
USDCNH	6.8377	0.0057 (0.08%)

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