Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

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2026-05-25 Monday

2026-05-30

20:59:43

[Russian President and Bahrain King Discuss Middle East Situation] The Kremlin announced on the 25th that Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by phone with Bahrain's King Hamad, exchanging views on the situation in the Middle East. Both sides emphasized the need to resolve the conflict with Iran as soon as possible through political and diplomatic means, while also considering the interests of all countries in the Middle East. They reaffirmed their willingness to further deepen cooperation in trade, finance, investment, and cultural exchanges. (Xinhua)

20:59:22

The yield on Italian 10-year government bonds fell to its lowest point since March 18, at 3.648%.

20:55:05

[Canada's wholesale trade is expected to rise slightly in April, with building materials supporting sales] (1) Canada's wholesale trade is estimated to have risen slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, compared with a 1.9% increase in the previous month. (2) This expected increase partly reflects stronger sales in the building materials and supplies sub-sector.

20:50:21

Sources: Iran's air defense system on the Gulf island of Qeshm has been activated, for unknown reasons.

20:49:59

India: Immediate ban on piped natural gas users purchasing liquefied petroleum gas cylinders

20:49:42

[Trump: Negotiations with Iran Progressing Well] US President Donald Trump posted on social media on the 25th that negotiations with Iran are progressing well. In his post, Trump said, "Negotiations with Iran are progressing well!" He added that if no agreement is reached, "then we'll go back to the front lines, back to a state of fighting, but on a larger scale than ever before." Trump also demanded that Middle Eastern countries immediately sign the "Abraham Accords," which aim to normalize relations with Israel, and stated that if the US and Iran reach an agreement, Iran should also join the "Abraham Accords." (Xinhua)

20:40:10

[Dakota Pipeline Granted Permission to Continue Operation, But Subject to Stricter Environmental Regulations; Native American Concerns Remain] ⑴ The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers ruled last Wednesday (May 21) that the Dakota Pipeline can continue operating under stricter environmental and safety regulations, a blow to Native American tribes and environmental groups who have opposed the pipeline's passage through a critical water source for years. ⑵ The pipeline can transport up to 750,000 barrels of crude oil per day from the Bakken Shale Basin to Illinois, with a section running beneath the Oashie Reservoir on the Missouri River. In 2020, a U.S. court ordered the Army Corps of Engineers to conduct a more in-depth environmental study of this section. ⑶ The Army Corps of Engineers stated that granting the pipeline an easement with additional conditions to reduce risks to the reservoir and the Missouri River was the preferred option among five alternatives. These additional conditions include strengthening leak detection and monitoring systems, expanding groundwater and surface water monitoring, developing water supply contingency plans, coordinating survival resource studies with affected tribes, and having independent experts review the pipeline's leak detection safety system. (4) From a transactional psychology perspective, the ruling provides policy certainty for domestic shale oil transportation in the United States, but stricter regulatory requirements mean increased operating costs and potential compliance risks. Indigenous tribes have long been concerned about the threat of oil spills to drinking water safety, and this conflict has not been fundamentally resolved by the new regulations, which may remain a potential trigger for future legal challenges.

20:39:21

A glimpse into the Fed's logic: Why it hesitates to act rashly Details>

20:38:25

[Russian Grain Exports by Sea Doubled Year-on-Year in April, Black Sea Route Surges 89%] ⑴ Shipping data released by industry organizations on Monday showed that Russian grain exports by sea in April increased by 100.1% year-on-year, reaching 4.9 million tons. ⑵ So far this quarter, total seaborne grain exports have reached 46 million tons, up 7.4% year-on-year. Among them, exports from Black Sea terminals, the main channel for Russian grain exports, increased by 89.0% year-on-year in April, reaching 4.1 million tons. ⑶ Shipments from Caspian ports to the Iranian market in April were nearly 300,000 tons, slightly lower than March levels; while exports from Baltic Sea terminals supplying Russian grain to emerging markets such as Africa and Latin America surged by 127.8% year-on-year to 400,000 tons, and exports from Far East terminals increased by 21.5%. ⑷ From a trading perspective, Russian grain exports accelerated across the board in April, especially the doubling of exports from the Baltic Sea, reflecting its active expansion into diversified markets beyond the traditional Black Sea route. This, to some extent, mitigates the transportation risks brought about by geopolitics and helps stabilize global grain supply expectations.

20:37:17

Ryanair repays €1.2 billion in bonds, achieving zero debt for the first time, unfazed by summer challenges. ⑴ Ryanair announced on Monday that it has repaid its final tranche of €1.2 billion (approximately US$1.39 billion) in bonds, achieving zero debt for the first time since its 1997 IPO. It now boasts a fleet of 620 Boeing 737s without ownership burdens. ⑵ The Chief Financial Officer stated that Ryanair has been able to continue achieving passenger growth at fares significantly lower than its competitors, as many of its rivals are burdened with expensive long-term debt and aircraft leases. ⑶ A week earlier, the group warned of weaker fares, increased last-minute bookings, and rising fuel costs for the crucial summer season. These factors are directly related to rising energy prices and economic uncertainty stemming from the Middle East wars, leading some European travelers to postpone their summer travel bookings. (4) From a transaction psychology perspective, the zero-debt status gives Ryanair greater pricing flexibility and risk resistance during the summer season. When highly leveraged competitors are forced to raise fares to cover financing costs, Ryanair can take the opportunity to seize market share. At the same time, the company stated that it may return to the bond market in the future to support its expansion plan to receive up to 50 Boeing MAX-10s per year starting in 2029.

20:36:11

[Trump Says Iran Negotiations "Going Well," Abraham Agreement Becomes Diplomatic Bargaining Chip] ⑴ US President Trump said on Monday that negotiations with Iran were "going well," and revealed that he had asked the UAE, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, and Jordan to sign the Abraham Agreement as part of the US's efforts to reach an agreement with Iran. ⑵ Trump directly linked the signing of the Abraham Agreement to the Iran negotiations on his social media platform, and said that these countries would be honored to have Iran join the agreement—a series of agreements normalizing relations with Israel. ⑶ From a trading psychology perspective, although the US released contradictory signals over the weekend (claiming on Saturday that the memorandum was "basically agreed upon," and on Sunday that the blockade would be "fully effective" until the agreement was signed), Trump's positive statement on Monday further strengthened market expectations for easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the restoration of oil supply. This explains why, even after Brent crude oil fell 5.8% on Monday, the market continued to price a decline in geopolitical risk premiums.

20:30:50

Canada's wholesale trade volume in April is most likely to increase by 0.1% compared to the previous month.

20:30:29

US President Trump: In discussions with several leaders, they have indicated that they would be honored to include Iran in the Abraham Accords once the documents are finalized.

20:26:20

US President Trump: Saudi Arabia and other countries should join the Abraham Accords.

20:26:11

[US Economic Confidence Falls to Lowest Level Since 2022, Installment Payments Become a Necessity for Low-Income Groups] ⑴ The Gallup Economic Confidence Index further declined to -45 in May, lower than April's -38, marking its lowest point since October 2022, but still higher than the previous low of -58 in June 2022. ⑵ From a transaction psychology perspective, the continuous weakening of this index reflects the accumulating pessimism among American households regarding inflation, energy prices, and growth prospects. This may suppress consumer spending in the coming months, thereby dragging down corporate profit expectations. ⑶ Meanwhile, another Gallup survey shows that about 10% of Americans frequently use installment payments online, and another 17% use them occasionally; cumulatively, 51% have used installment payments, while 48% have never used them. (4) Significant income disparities: Among households with an annual income of less than $48,000, 37% frequently or occasionally use installment payments, while the figures for middle-income and high-income households are 29% and 21%, respectively, indicating that installment payment tools are becoming an important means for low-income groups in the United States to manage cash flow pressure.

20:25:11

Trump says negotiations with Iran are progressing well.

20:22:37

Market news: Eni and its partners have received approval to invest in the third phase of the Balein oil field project in Côte d'Ivoire. Upon completion of the third phase of development, daily crude oil production will increase from 60,000 barrels to 150,000 barrels, and daily natural gas production will increase from 80 million cubic feet to 200 million cubic feet.

20:22:14

Reports from Israel: A drone bomb struck a building in Shomera, but there are no reports of casualties.

20:21:40

[The rupee is nearing a historic low, with oil prices and foreign capital outflows putting increasing pressure on your EMI and overseas travel costs] ⑴ Since the outbreak of the US-Iran conflict at the end of February, the Indian rupee has been under continuous pressure, falling from approximately 91 rupees to the US dollar on February 28 to a historic low of 96 rupees on May 21, closing at 95.23 on Monday. ⑵ The head of commodities and foreign exchange research at Kotak Securities pointed out that the rupee's depreciation is being transmitted to households through three channels: first, gas stations—liquefied petroleum gas, compressed natural gas, and diesel freight are all facing upward pressure; second, kitchens—about 60% of India's cooking oil is imported and priced in US dollars; and third, transportation bills—diesel-powered trucks, rail freight, and last-mile delivery are driving up vegetable prices and e-commerce order costs. ⑶ In terms of investment, sectors highly dependent on imported raw materials, such as aviation, chemicals, coatings, oil marketing companies, and electronics, are the biggest losers, with aviation fuel now accounting for 55% to 60% of airline operating costs; while IT services, pharmaceutical exporters, and textile and jewelry exporters are benefiting from a favorable exchange rate after income conversion. (4) Outbound travel has become significantly more expensive—a $5,000 budget for a US vacation would cost approximately 400,000 rupees when the rupee was at 80, but this has risen to 480,000 rupees when it was at 96. Domestic travel has also been affected, with businesses passing on losses to higher airfares and hotel prices. (5) From a trading psychology perspective, the weakening rupee has pushed up the prices of crude oil and imported goods, thereby raising inflation expectations. If the Reserve Bank of India is forced to raise interest rates in the future, the EMI (excessive inflation) of floating-rate loans will increase accordingly. The current stage should be seen as a rebalancing trigger point rather than a panic sell-off. A small increase in holdings of export-oriented companies and a strategic gold allocation of 5% to 10% can be considered.

20:21:18

The Shanghai Stock Exchange Listing Review Committee is scheduled to hold its 31st meeting of 2026 on June 1, 2026, to review the initial public offering (IPO) of Unitree Robotics Corp., Ltd. (Shanghai Stock Exchange Listing Review Committee)

20:19:48

Saudi Aramco has reportedly announced the transfer of its entire stake in PrefChem to Petronas.

20:19:40

[Dollar weakens amid volatility, oil prices fall below $100, Hormuz reconciliation expectations roil currency markets] ⑴ On Monday, international oil prices fell below $100 per barrel as markets hoped for an agreement to resume navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, causing the dollar to weaken against major currencies, despite both the US and Iran downplaying the possibility of a short-term agreement. ⑵ Due to holidays in the US, UK, and many parts of Europe, market liquidity was thin. The dollar fell 0.2% against the yen to 158.89, the euro rose 0.40% to 1.1649, the pound rose 0.55% to 1.35044, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars rose 0.64% and 0.5% respectively. ⑶ Strategists at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia pointed out that if a peace agreement is ultimately reached, the dollar will weaken for a period, but "once the shock subsides," the dollar will strengthen again due to the better fundamentals of the US compared to other major currencies. (4) From a trading psychology perspective, the plunge in oil prices (Brent crude fell 5.8% to $97.61 in a single day) has temporarily lowered inflation expectations, prompting the market to withdraw its bets on a 2027 rate hike. This has provided breathing room for risk assets, but has also marginally weakened the demand for the US dollar as a safe haven. (5) The US statement over the weekend was inconsistent: on Saturday it said the memorandum had been "basically agreed upon," while on Sunday it said the blockade of Iranian ships would be "fully effective" until the agreement was signed. The market has become accustomed to being patient with substantial breakthroughs, but generally believes that the baseline scenario for an agreement remains solid.

20:18:16

[French Yield Curve Flattens, 2-Year/10-Year Spread Narrows, Market Bets on Long-Term Premium Receding] ⑴ According to an IFR news report on Monday, the slope of the French 2-year and 10-year yield curve is flattening after directional adjustments. ⑵ Regression analysis based on the three-month constant yield shows that the French 10-year bond is overvalued by 6.4 basis points relative to the beta-adjusted 2-year bond, equivalent to 2 standard deviations. ⑶ From a trading perspective, this spread narrowing indicates that the market is pricing in limited upside potential for French long-term interest rates, while short-term pressure is relatively greater. A flattening curve often reflects investors' digestion of expectations for a slowdown in medium-term economic momentum or monetary policy tightening. ⑷ Combined with previous assessments that the Eurozone economy is "more vulnerable to energy price shocks," the flattening French yield curve may also suggest that the market is becoming more cautious about betting on further interest rate hikes by the European Central Bank, and the long-term bond premium is being gradually squeezed out.

20:18:09

[Iranian Parliament Speaker Leads Delegation to Qatar] According to Iranian media reports on the 25th, an Iranian delegation led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf arrived in Doha, the capital of Qatar, that day. The Iranian delegation will hold consultations with senior Qatari officials on issues related to ending the conflict. (Xinhua)

20:16:10

[US Imposes Exorbitant Deportation Fee, $180,000 Fines Difficult to Implement, Exacerbating Immigration Panic] ⑴ The Trump administration plans to impose a $18,000 fine on each deported immigrant to cover arrest, detention, and repatriation costs. This policy will also raise the bar for their future legal return to the US. ⑵ The Department of Homeland Security acknowledges that over 23,000 people will face this new fine annually, but authorities are likely to collect almost nothing—institutional data shows that the average annual income in Mexico is only $5,000. ⑶ White House officials stated that the fine is intended to encourage illegal immigrants to "voluntarily leave," while the Department of Homeland Security stated that "illegal overstayers should leave immediately or face consequences." ⑷ From a transactional psychology perspective, this policy sends a clear deterrent signal: increasing the cost of violations to suppress the motivation for illegal entry. However, enforcement faces a ceiling on the actual affordability of low-income groups, making the fine more of a psychological warfare tool than a means of fiscal recovery. ⑸ Immigrant rights organizations point out that this move aims to "criminalize" almost all immigrants in the US. An official from the American Civil Liberties Union stated that "the purpose is to intimidate people and make them feel they must leave as soon as possible." (6) Data shows that the number of deportations by default judgment in 2024 surged from 62,000 in 2022 to 223,000, while the Trump administration simultaneously introduced a voluntary deportation bonus of $2,600 per person, and more than 100,000 people have used the relevant app to leave the country.

20:13:59

[US Treasury Pressure Rises, Eurozone Debt Risk Aversion Intensifies, Market Divergence Widens] ⑴ Natixis strategists point out that due to the relatively more resilient US economy, coupled with a structurally loose financial environment and a higher market tolerance for rising long-term yields, the medium-term upward pressure on US 10-year Treasury yields will significantly exceed that of similar Eurozone bonds. ⑵ In contrast, Eurozone economic growth is "more susceptible" to the impact of rising energy prices, which will largely limit the ECB's future interest rate hike space, making it difficult to reach the current market expectations. ⑶ Institutional data shows that the yield on German 10-year government bonds fell by more than 9 basis points on Tuesday, hitting a six-week low of 2.941%, reflecting a rising risk aversion to the Eurozone economic outlook. ⑷ From a trading psychology perspective, the market's pricing logic of "maintaining high interest rates for a longer period" in the US economy continues to strengthen, while doubts about the resilience of Eurozone growth are driving funds to rotate from Eurozone bonds to safe-haven assets. This fundamental expectation gap is driving further divergence in yield trends across the transatlantic bond market.

20:13:32

[Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Persian Gulf Security is Iran's Red Line] On the 25th local time, Sefichian, commander of the Medina base of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that the soldiers are fully prepared to deal with any threat, emphasizing that "the enemy must understand that the security of the Persian Gulf is Iran's red line, and this region is by no means a testing ground for any aggressor." Sefichian stated that Iran has comprehensive monitoring of enemy movements and the capability to take decisive and deterrent responses at any level; Iran's security and strength are non-negotiable and indestructible. It is understood that the Medina base is one of the ten major bases of the IRGC ground forces and is also the closest IRGC ground force base to the Strait of Hormuz. (CCTV News)

20:10:08

Market sources say that Iran has never asked or sought US recognition of its legitimate sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.

20:08:20

[Iranian conflict disrupts fuel transport, India's gas-fired power generation falls to a six-year low, scorching heat pushes electricity demand to record high] (1) Affected by the disruption of fuel transport due to the Iranian conflict, India's gas-fired power generation has fallen to its lowest level in at least six years; at the same time, scorching heat is pushing electricity demand to record highs, exacerbating the already tight power supply. (2) Last week, temperatures soared, and people used air conditioning and cooling equipment extensively, resulting in a peak electricity consumption of 270.8 gigawatts, which continued to rise for four consecutive days; daytime demand was basically met by solar power, but power supply could not keep up when demand surged at night. (3) Data from the Indian Ministry of Power shows that from April to May 21 this year, gas-fired power generation was about 3.6 billion kilowatt-hours, the lowest record for this period in at least six years, only about two-thirds of the same period last year and about half of the same period in 2024.

20:08:03

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,560.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,559.79/ounce, up 1.15% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,562.10/ounce, up 0.86% on the day.

20:03:46

Gold Analysis: From 4889 to 4453 and then back to 4570, is this "escape from death" a sign of dawn or an even bigger trap? Details>

20:03:25

Trump reiterates his red line on the Iran nuclear deal; what will happen to oil prices after they fall below the 50-day moving average? Details>

20:02:26

[Barclays: RBI May Keep Rates Unchanged in June, But Energy Inflation Risks Could Force Rate Hike] (1) Barclays economists expect the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to keep interest rates unchanged at its June policy meeting. While the central bank may raise its inflation forecasts and lower its economic growth forecasts, it is likely to ignore the current supply-side inflationary pressures. (2) However, the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has kept energy prices high for an extended period, and price pressures could become more persistent, threatening Barclays' baseline forecast that the RBI will keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of 2026. (3) The bank adds that the spillover effects of rising energy prices on transportation and other raw material costs could eventually force the central bank to raise interest rates. While economic growth is an important consideration, the risk of an inflationary shock is currently higher than the risk of a growth shock.

20:01:30

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1960.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $1959.76/ounce, up 1.98% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1970.2/ounce, up 1.57% on the day.

20:00:29

Japanese bond yields have quietly fallen back to 2.7%, so why hasn't the yen rebounded yet? Details>

20:00:06

Mexico's seasonally adjusted trade balance for April

Previous : 24.99 Forecast : -

Published Value 33.51

20:00:05

Mexico's trade balance in April

Previous : 59.32 Forecast : 14.09

Published Value 45.20

19:58:16

US officials stated that Iran will not receive any funding until it abandons its nuclear stockpile, and the lifting of sanctions depends on Iran's compliance with US nuclear-related provisions. Iran must guarantee the restoration of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, and the US will ease its blockade restrictions on Iran accordingly based on the degree of reopening of the strait.

19:57:40

[Iranian negotiators arrive in Doha to discuss an agreement to end the conflict and unfreeze funds] (1) On Monday, an informed official revealed that Iran's chief negotiator, Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Araghchi arrived in Doha to hold talks with the Qatari Prime Minister to discuss a potential US-Iran agreement aimed at ending the conflict. (2) The official said the talks mainly focused on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. (3) According to the official, the governor of Iran's Central Bank also accompanied the delegation to explore the possibility of unfreezing Iran's frozen funds as part of a final agreement.

19:51:52

Hezbollah in Lebanon: At 11:10 local time on Monday, an Ababil attack helicopter targeted an Israeli enemy Merkava tank in Dibir and confirmed a hit.

19:49:37

[Israel Says Hezbollah Launched Multiple Drones] The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement on the 25th, saying that Hezbollah launched multiple drones at IDF forces and Israeli territory that day. The statement said that alarms sounded in several areas of northern Israel that day, indicating "enemy aircraft intrusion," and Hezbollah launched multiple drones. One drone, loaded with munitions, hit a house in Metura, a town in the northern Israeli-Lebanese border region. Israeli media reported that there were no reports of injuries. An IDF spokesperson warned on social media that day that the IDF was preparing to launch airstrikes against Hezbollah and demanded the evacuation of residents from 10 villages and towns in southern Lebanon. The warning stated that given Hezbollah's "violation of the ceasefire agreement," the IDF was "forced to take military action." (Xinhua)

19:47:44

Market sources say the governor of Iran’s central bank has traveled to Doha with a delegation to discuss the release of frozen Iranian funds as part of the final US-Iran agreement.

19:45:11

Market sources say that discussions in Doha focused primarily on the Strait of Hormuz and the issue of highly enriched uranium, according to informed officials.

19:42:13

Market sources say that Iranian chief negotiator Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Araqi are meeting with the Qatari prime minister in Doha to discuss a possible US-Iran agreement to end the conflict, according to informed officials.

19:41:58

[Iranian Central Bank Governor Visits Qatar] According to Iranian sources on the 25th, Abdelnaser Hemmati, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, visited Qatar. It is understood that a few days earlier, a Qatari delegation visited Tehran, the Iranian capital, to discuss the issue of frozen Iranian assets. (CCTV)

19:37:32

[German bond yields hit a new low since April 8, while Italian 10-year yields also plunged 12 basis points] ⑴ The yield on German 10-year government bonds fell to 2.943% on Monday, its lowest level since April 8, a drop of 9 basis points on the day. ⑵ The yield on Italian 10-year government bonds also fell to 3.657%, a new low since April 17, a drop of 12 basis points on the day.

19:37:21

The pound sterling just touched the 1.3500 level against the dollar, last trading at 1.3500, up 0.51% on the day.

19:35:22

The yield on German 10-year government bonds fell to its lowest level since April 8, at 2.943%, down 9 basis points on the day.

19:33:06

The yield on India's benchmark 10-year government bond closed at 7.0270%, compared with the previous closing price of 7.0917%.

19:32:26

Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy: In the past 24 hours, 32 vessels, including oil tankers, container ships and other merchant ships, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz with permission.

19:32:17

[Gaza Aid Crew Members Recount Hellish Torture] Several Australian activists from the Global Resilience Fleet, a humanitarian ferry recently detained by Israel in Gaza, returned home today (May 25) and recounted their experiences of being beaten, sexually assaulted, and abused by Israeli military and police to the media at the airport. Some said they suffered hellish torture over four days, sustaining numerous injuries and even fractures, and that they saw "no humanity" in the eyes of the Israelis who perpetrated the violence. These activists expressed their hope that when people hear their stories, they will not only think of their suffering but also "think of the decades-long suffering of the Palestinians and the need to stop and dismantle the genocidal Israeli regime." (CCTV International News)

19:30:06

According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian troops have liberated a settlement in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

19:23:42

[Oman aims for 1,945 MW of wind power capacity by 2030, accelerating its energy transition] Oman is accelerating its renewable energy expansion and long-term energy transition plan, with a target of achieving 1,945 MW of wind power capacity by 2030.

19:23:25

[Hog Prices Plunge to Nearly 10-Year Low] According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, since May, national hog prices have shown a trend of low-level fluctuations and gradual stabilization. In the third week of May, the national hog price was 10.12 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 0.4% month-on-month and 32.2% year-on-year. At a hog production enterprise in Hebi, Henan, the manager told reporters that local hog prices have continued to decline since the Spring Festival this year, reaching a low of 4.1 yuan per jin (approximately 0.5 kg), the lowest in nearly 10 years, and have shown a low-level fluctuation trend for the past month. Currently, hog production capacity remains relatively abundant, and hog prices are fluctuating weakly. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs recently issued the "Comprehensive Implementation Plan for Hog Production Capacity Regulation," guiding the industry to proactively reduce hog production capacity. Reporters learned that under the guidance of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs' capacity regulation policy, some large-scale breeding enterprises have already proactively reduced the number of breeding sows. (CCTV)

19:23:04

According to Al Jazeera on the 25th, Iranian officials stated that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened in phases. (Xinhua)

19:22:31

A 5% yield has become a "golden guillotine," and a brief rebound is unlikely to change the predicament of gold. Details>

19:22:10

[Global Attention Turns to South America: Record Production in Argentina and Brazil Reshapes Agricultural Market Landscape] ⑴ International agricultural commodity markets experienced significant volatility last week. July contracts for corn, soybeans, and wheat on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange all closed higher, driven by technical buying, demand expectations, and international geopolitical uncertainties. A USDA report showed that winter wheat conditions were deteriorating, but planting progress remained faster than historical averages. ⑵ South America has once again become the focus of the global market. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange in Argentina raised its 2025/26 corn production forecast to a record 64 million tons and soybean production to 50.1 million tons. The Argentine government also announced a gradual reduction in export tariffs on various crops, including soybeans, corn, and wheat. ⑶ Brazil continues to consolidate its leading position in global soybeans. Abiove raised its production forecast to 180.1 million tons, with ending stocks reaching a near-decade high. Brazil has solidified its position as a major supplier to China thanks to cost competitiveness, improved logistics, and ample export supplies. (4) Concerns about a lack of rainfall and high temperatures in Europe in the coming weeks have led MARS services to lower yield forecasts for wheat, barley, corn, and rapeseed. Meanwhile, investor funds still hold historically high net long positions in multiple agricultural commodity markets, posing a potential risk of price correction.

19:16:25

Egyptian Oil Minister: Egypt will settle all outstanding payments to foreign oil and gas companies by June 10.

19:15:52

The Nasdaq ETF Guotai (513100) will be suspended from trading from the opening of the market on May 26, 2026 until 10:30 on that day.

19:15:44

The Huatai-PineBridge Semiconductor ETF (513310) will be suspended from trading from the opening of the market on May 26, 2026 until 10:30 on the same day.

19:15:23

[Spain Announces 26-Man Squad for the USA-Mexico World Cup] On May 25th local time, the Royal Spanish Football Federation announced its 26-man squad for the upcoming USA-Mexico World Cup. The squad is led by star players such as Rodri, Pedri, and Yamal. FC Barcelona has eight players included in the squad, while Real Madrid has no players selected. (CCTV)

19:15:02

Israel Defense Forces: Enemy aircraft intrusion alarms sounded in the Hanita area; details are under investigation.

19:05:58

[Brazilian Central Bank Assesses Master Crisis: No Systemic Impact, But Household Credit Risk Rises] ⑴ The Central Bank of Brazil stated on Monday that the liquidation of institutions within the Master banking group had no systemic impact, with depositors compensated by the FGC fund primarily channeling their funds to larger, more systemically important financial institutions. ⑵ The central bank noted that the Master crisis had no significant impact on the interest rates of FGC-backed instruments, but the risk of default in household credit has increased. ⑶ Default probability estimates indicate that the upward trend in default rates for most credit instruments should continue.

19:03:22

China's actual annual rate of foreign direct investment in April (CNY) - year-to-date

Previous : -7.30% Forecast : -

Published Value -10.30%

19:02:07

As of May 22, commercial inventories of soybean oil in key regions across China

Previous : 97.56 Forecast : -

Published Value 103.22

19:00:09

Brazil's FGV Consumer confidence index for May

Previous : 89.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 88.80

18:53:13

Behind the continuous decline in palm oil prices: Demand signals are collectively weakening, is it a normal correction or an approaching trend turning point? Details>

18:46:16

[Iran Clarifies No Tolls, But Security Services Will Be Charged; Straits Reopening Negotiations Continue] ⑴ An Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson clarified on Monday that Iran does not intend to charge tolls for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, but will provide a range of security and navigation services for which fees will be charged; therefore, the term "toll" should not be used. ⑵ The spokesperson explained that Iran and Oman's joint development of an agreement or mechanism to ensure the safe passage of ships through the strait is a responsible action in accordance with international law, concerning both countries' interests and national security as littoral states, as well as the common interests of the international community. ⑶ These services include navigational assistance and necessary measures to protect the environment of the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf, and the Sea of Oman. Tehran and Muscat are negotiating the establishment of this mechanism and hope to reach a final agreement as soon as possible. ⑷ The strait has been blocked by Iran since the outbreak of the war. 20% of the world's oil has passed through this waterway. Last week, Iran allowed 20 to 35 ships to pass daily. The US and Iran are negotiating to end the war and reopen the strait, but on Monday morning, Iran stated that signing an agreement was not imminent.

18:44:21

[Polish copper company KGHM releases April production and sales data: copper production 573,000 tons, sales 561,000 tons] ⑴ Data released by Polish company KGHM on Monday showed that copper production payable in April was 57,300 tons, and copper sales were 56,100 tons. ⑵ During the same period, silver production payable was 128.2 tons, and silver sales were 78.7 tons.

18:39:40

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: Today, I exchanged views with the managers of four startups on Japan's startup strategy.

18:39:33

According to Iranian state news agencies, the governor of the Central Bank of Iran will travel to Qatar after a Qatari delegation visits Tehran to discuss the issue of frozen funds.

18:32:39

On the afternoon of May 25, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić attended a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. (Xinhua)

18:28:18

[Trump Hints: US-Iran Deal Not Yet Finalized, Don't Listen to Laymen's Criticism] ⑴ US President Trump stated on the 24th that the US-Iran agreement is not yet fully finalized. He accused some uninformed people of making unwarranted criticisms and emphasized that either a great and meaningful agreement will be reached, or there will be no agreement at all. ⑵ According to Axios, citing two US officials, Trump stated in a conference call with Arab and Muslim leaders on Saturday that if an agreement to end the war with Iran is reached, he hopes these countries will sign a peace agreement with Israel. ⑶ A senior US official stated at a briefing that the White House does not expect an agreement to be reached on Sunday, believing that the agreement may take several days to be approved by the Iranian leadership, including the Supreme Leader. Trump has told his representatives on social media not to rush into an agreement. ⑷ According to Israel's Channel 13, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu admitted in private conversations that it is difficult to exert pressure on Trump and stated in a security meeting that his influence over the US president is limited.

18:26:31

[The Ministry of Natural Resources and the China Meteorological Administration jointly issued a geological disaster meteorological risk warning at 18:00 on May 25] It is expected that from 20:00 on May 25 to 20:00 on May 26, parts of western Zhejiang, southern and western Anhui, northeastern Jiangxi, southern Henan, central and eastern and southwestern Hubei, northwestern Hunan, northeastern Chongqing, and southeastern Tibet will face a relatively high meteorological risk of geological disasters (yellow warning). Locally, the meteorological risk of geological disasters is high (orange warning) in southern and western Anhui, northeastern Jiangxi, and northeastern Hubei. Governments at all levels and relevant departments should implement emergency plans to carry out geological disaster prevention work. (China Meteorological Administration)

18:25:00

[UAE and Serbia Deepen Agricultural Cooperation, 60,000 Hectares of Farmland Become a Pillar of Food Security] ⑴ The UAE Minister of Climate Change and Environment led a high-level delegation to Serbia to discuss with the Serbian President strengthening the strategic partnership supporting a sustainable food security system within the framework of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA). ⑵ Both sides focused on expanding cooperation in food security, agriculture, and sustainable development. UAE investments in Serbia now cover over 600,000 hectares of farmland, with projects by companies like Al Rawafed serving as models of sustainable cooperation. ⑶ The partnership between Siral and Serbian producers has become a key pillar of the UAE's food security system. Field trials have shown significant success with the Serbian barley variety Java in the UAE, creating new opportunities for specialized seed cooperation. ⑷ The UAE minister stated that innovation and advanced agricultural technologies are central to addressing future food challenges. Both sides will strengthen cooperation in research and development, seed technology, agricultural water resource management, and climate-smart agriculture practices. The UAE will also host the 2026 UN Water Conference this year.

18:18:24

[Malaysia's Palm Oil Exports Plunge 14.5% in May, All Three Major Destinations Shrink] ⑴ Data released Monday by independent inspection agency ITS showed that Malaysia's palm oil exports from May 1st to 25th totaled 1,019,777 tons, a 14.5% decrease compared to 1,192,798 tons in the same period of April. ⑵ Among the main varieties, crude palm oil exports fell from 242,040 tons to 170,900 tons, refined palm oil from 102,655 tons to 82,855 tons, palm stearin from 92,599 tons to 66,980 tons, while crude palm kernel exports rose from 14,500 tons to 33,200 tons. ⑶ Exports to all three major destination markets declined: exports to the EU fell from 296,265 tons to 237,125 tons, and exports to India and the subcontinent fell from 240,070 tons to 171,400 tons. (4) Looking at the monthly trends, April's total exports were 1,404,618 tons, a decrease of 15.3% month-on-month; March's exports were 1,658,021 tons, a significant increase of 44.3% month-on-month; and February's exports were 1,149,063 tons, a decrease of 21.5% month-on-month.

18:16:51

[Intensive Consultations on Reopening the Strait of Hormuz Highlight Conflicts of Interests] ⑴ Oman's Foreign Minister spoke by phone with the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy on Monday, exchanging views and expressing support for efforts to restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and end regional tensions. ⑵ According to media reports, Iran is discussing with Oman arrangements for the management of the strait, involving formally regulating maritime traffic in this strategic waterway, which has been severely affected since the outbreak of war. ⑶ Several countries, including Oman, have expressed concern about establishing toll arrangements, arguing that the Strait of Hormuz, as a natural waterway, holds a special status under international maritime law. ⑷ A delegation led by Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister met with Omani officials in Muscat on Sunday to discuss the two countries' commitments to a safe and sustainable reopening, while reports indicate that the US and Iran are close to reaching an agreement on reopening the strait, unfreezing funds, and extending the ceasefire to negotiate a nuclear agreement.

18:16:12

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $91.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $90.97/barrel, down 5.83% on the day.

18:14:46

US President Trump: The agreement with Iran will be completely different from the failed Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement negotiated by the Obama administration, which was a direct and open path to nuclear weapons for Iran. I will not make that kind of agreement.

18:11:50

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1970.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1970.04/ounce, up 2.51% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1978.8/ounce, up 2.02% on the day.

18:11:15

Trump on Iran: A deal with Iran will either be great and meaningful, or there will be no deal at all.

18:08:19

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,570.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,570.51/ounce, up 1.39% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,571.20/ounce, up 1.06% on the day.

18:06:14

A US-Iran deal is "close but not reached," a turning point has emerged in interest rates, and a fierce battle ensues between gold bulls and bears. Details>

18:04:33

Indian government officials say the government's monthly revenue has decreased by 140 billion rupees due to the excise tax reduction on petrol and diesel.

18:03:37

[April Core CPI Misses Expectations, UOB Strengthens Bet on Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) Tightening] ⑴ Singapore's April core inflation fell short of expectations, but UOB's economic team believes this data actually strengthens the case for MAS tightening policy, as seasonally adjusted core CPI on a three-month basis accelerated, indicating accelerating imported inflation. ⑵ Early signs suggest widening price pressures, evidenced by a general increase in inflation. UOB maintains its 2026 core inflation forecast at 1.9% and overall inflation forecast at 2.2%, with both risks skewed to the upside. ⑶ UOB analyst Jester Koh stated that he still expects the MAS to further tighten monetary policy in its October 2026 statement, with room for preemptive action should a second round of effects intensify or inflation expectations accelerate.

18:02:20

[Trump's Fate Deeply Linked to Warsh's; No More Scapegoats to Find Amid High Inflation Pressure] ⑴ With Warsh's appointment as Federal Reserve Chairman, Trump has gained complete control of the highest economic policy-making body in the United States. Previously, Trump could claim that Powell was imposed on him by the previous administration, but Warsh was personally chosen by Trump, and the president must be held accountable for the final outcome. ⑵ During his campaign, Trump promised to lower prices and address the overall affordability issue for American families. However, since March 2025, the inflation indicator used by the Federal Reserve to set its 2% target has accelerated from 2.3% to 3.5%, the 30-year mortgage rate has rebounded to over 6.5%, a nine-month high, and the average price of a gallon of gasoline has risen from less than $3 before the conflict to $4.55. ⑶ Conservative think tank economic policy researchers point out that Powell has become the perfect scapegoat for Trump. Now, Trump will bear all economic responsibility, and the most pressing issues of rising prices and purchasing power will not disappear for the next few years or even many years. (4) The Federal Reserve remains a decentralized institution. The April meeting saw the most dissenting votes in over 30 years, with a majority of governors believing interest rates might need to rise. This directly contradicted Trump's expectations, and Warsh's preference for a debating style that allows for differing opinions could even surprise financial markets.

18:01:06

[Saudi Arabia Urges US and Iran to Use Clear Language Regarding Straits Security and Freedom of Navigation in Any Agreement, Avoiding New Shipping Restrictions] ⑴ According to the New York Times, citing a regional official, Saudi Arabia is urging the US and Iran to use clear language regarding the security and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz in any agreement, as Saudi Arabia does not want to see any new shipping restrictions. ⑵ The official stated that the US is seeking to strengthen its language regarding Iran's nuclear program, including how to handle its enriched uranium stockpile and future uranium enrichment activities. ⑶ Iran, on the other hand, is demanding more specific commitments regarding the unfreezing of assets and the lifting of sanctions.

17:57:29

The USD/JPY exchange rate on the eve of 160 was entangled with interest rate differentials, oil prices, and fiscal policy. Details>

17:56:49

[100 Million Barrels of Crude Oil About to Unlock, But Analysts Pour Cold Water: Three to Six Months of Growing Pain Inevitable] ⑴ The crude oil market is reacting positively to signs that the US and Iran are getting closer to an agreement. Traders expect that the approximately 100 million barrels of crude oil currently stranded on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz may be released relatively quickly, temporarily easing spot market supply and alleviating recent shortage concerns. ⑵ However, June Goh, senior analyst at Sparta Commodities, points out that the overall fundamentals have not changed. Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately, a full restoration of crude oil production and logistics networks may still take three to six months. ⑶ This means that until global Middle Eastern crude oil production fully recovers, the global market will have to continue consuming existing inventories. An agreement alone is insufficient to restore the global energy system to normal.

17:56:14

[Spot Gold (XAU) 1-Hour Price Analysis] Spot gold is currently exhibiting a high-level consolidation pattern after a recent surge in the 1-hour chart, with the latest price at 4565.47. The upper resistance level is the intraday high of 4579.79, with secondary resistance at 4570; the lower support level is 4555, with strong support at the intraday low of 4534.17. Short-term, it is expected to maintain high-level consolidation. A break above 4579 would likely lead to further upward movement, while failure to break through would likely result in a pullback to test support levels.

17:56:03

[EUR/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis] The EUR/USD pair has been trending upwards in the recent 1-hour timeframe, currently trading at 1.16425. The upper resistance level is the intraday high of 1.16485, while the first support level is 1.16330, and the second support level is the intraday low of 1.16272. The short-term trend is bullish, and it is highly likely to test the upper resistance level first. A break above this level would lead to further upward movement, while failure to break through would likely result in continued high-level consolidation.

17:55:45

[GBP/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis] The GBP/USD pair is currently showing a clear upward trend on the 1-hour chart, having risen steadily over the past two days, with the latest price at 1.34939. The first resistance level is the intraday high of 1.34955, with a potential target of 1.3510 after a break above this level. Support levels are initially at 1.3470, followed by the intraday low of 1.34472. The short-term upward trend is solid, and further gains are expected after a break above resistance.

17:55:31

[USD/JPY 1-Hour Price Analysis] The USD/JPY pair is currently trading within a range with a slight upward bias on the 1-hour chart, with the latest price at 158.925. The current resistance level is the intraday high of 159.04, with strong resistance at 159.18. The support level is the intraday low of 158.75. In the short term, it is likely to maintain range-bound trading. A break above 159.04 could lead to further upward movement; otherwise, it will likely continue to consolidate within the range.

17:55:17

[AUD/USD 1-Hour Price Analysis] The AUD/USD pair has been trending upwards in the recent 1-hour timeframe, currently trading at 0.71672. The upper resistance level is the intraday high of 0.71725, while the first support level is 0.7160, with strong support at the intraday low of 0.71489. It is expected that the pair will first test the upper resistance level in the short term. If it fails to break through effectively, it will likely retrace to the support level and trade within a range. A breakout would open up further upside potential.

17:55:04

[WTI Crude Oil (CONC) 1-Hour Price Analysis] WTI crude oil is currently trending downwards on the 1-hour chart, having gradually retreated from recent highs. The current resistance level is at 92.50, with strong resistance at the intraday high of 93.90. Support is initially seen at the intraday low of 90.32, with psychological support at the 90.00 level. Short-term, it is expected to maintain low-level consolidation. A break below 90.32 would lead to further declines, and any rebound would likely be met with resistance at 92.50, leaving room for further downside.

17:53:12

Kremlin: Russia is offering Armenia very attractive prices for natural gas, but Armenia will lose these favorable rates if it abandons the integration process.

17:47:52

IFX: The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) says it has discovered multiple magnetic mines aboard a Belgian oil tanker in the port of Ust-Luga, Leningrad Oblast.

17:45:38

[Hedge Funds Go on a Tech Stock Buying Spree, Hitting a Nine-Year High in Holdings; AI Becomes Their Sole Faith] ⑴ A client report from Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage business on Friday showed that hedge funds significantly increased their holdings of tech stocks last week at the fastest pace in nearly three months. Buying activity was concentrated in North America and emerging Asian markets, with Europe being the only major region where tech stock purchases were not observed. ⑵ Inflows were highly concentrated in chip manufacturers and software developers, while hedge funds actively reduced their holdings in telecommunications equipment manufacturers and IT consulting services during the same period. ⑶ Current hedge fund holdings of tech stocks relative to the MSCI World Index have reached their highest level since Goldman Sachs began tracking this data in 2016. ⑷ Investment managers are using a two-way strategy to build tech stock exposure: both closing short positions and simultaneously establishing new long positions. ⑸ Despite the continued macroeconomic headwinds from the Iranian conflict disrupting the market, tech stocks directly related to artificial intelligence have shown significant resilience. Chips and microprocessors, as the foundational hardware for AI, remain the core allocation direction for hedge funds.

17:43:35

[Russia's Grain Exports Plunge in May, Wheat Exports Shrink by Over 30% in a Single Month] ⑴ According to estimates by the Russian agricultural consulting firm Sovecon, the country's total exports of wheat, barley, and corn in May amounted to 3.1 million tons, a significant decrease from 4.55 million tons in April. ⑵ Of this, wheat exports are estimated at 2.8 million tons, down from 4 million tons in April; barley exports are estimated at 1 million tons, down from 2.5 million tons in April; and corn exports are estimated at 2 million tons, down from 3 million tons in April. ⑶ Looking at a longer timeframe, after peaking at around 5.4 million tons in September and October of last year, Russian grain exports have generally been declining, with May's 3.1 million tons representing a relatively low level for the year.

17:39:47

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just touched the $98.00 per barrel mark and is currently trading at $98.00 per barrel, down 5.69% on the day.

39

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4539.78	44.19 (0.98%)
XAG	75.274	-0.343 (-0.45%)
CONC	87.76	-1.14 (-1.28%)
OILC	91.59	-0.81 (-0.88%)
USD	98.932	-0.077 (-0.08%)
EURUSD	1.1660	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3456	0.0001 (0.01%)
USDCNH	6.7632	0.0001 (0.00%)

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