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2025-09-16 Tuesday

2025-09-19

14:55:32

The Governor of the Bank of Thailand: The previous interest rate cut was not intended to stimulate the economy in the short term, but to ease financial conditions

14:54:54

Thailand's foreign tourist arrivals fell 7.1% year-on-year in the first eight months. ⑴ From January 1 to September 14, 2025, Thailand welcomed approximately 23 million foreign tourists, a 7.08% decrease compared to the same period last year. ⑵ Malaysia was the largest source country (3.28 million), followed closely by China (3.23 million). ⑶ In August, the national planning agency lowered its full-year foreign tourist forecast from 37 million to 33 million, still below the pre-pandemic record of nearly 40 million in 2019. ⑷ Thailand's GDP grew 2.8% year-on-year in the second quarter, slowing from 3.2% in the first quarter. ⑸ The accommodation and food services sector weakened significantly, with growth slowing from 7.2% in the first quarter to 2.1% in the second quarter, primarily due to a decline in inbound tourism and a slowdown in domestic travel. ⑹ Foreign tourist arrivals reached 7.136 million in the second quarter, a 12.2% year-on-year decrease; domestic tourism grew 2.1%, slowing from 2.6% in the first quarter.

14:54:38

China Central Reserve Network: The central reserve frozen pork rotation outbound auction will be launched on September 18. This outbound auction will list 15,000 tons of domestic frozen pork.

14:53:53

[The Indonesian Rupiah strengthens as fiscal stimulus and bank recapitalization boost the exchange rate] ⑴ The Indonesian rupiah rose to 16,370 per dollar on Tuesday, a significant rebound from 16,415 the previous day. ⑵ The government announced a new stimulus package of 16.2 trillion rupiah for the fourth quarter, with some measures extended until 2026. ⑶ The Finance Minister stated that this move will not change the 2025 budget deficit forecast of 2.78% of GDP. ⑷ Last week, authorities injected 200 trillion rupiah into five state-owned banks to boost liquidity, stimulate credit, and support growth. ⑸ Bank Indonesia is expected to maintain its interest rate at 5% on Wednesday, having cut rates in July and August. ⑹ The rupiah fell to a one-month low in early September following the sudden resignation of Finance Minister Sri Mulyani. ⑺ The US dollar index traded near a two-month low of 97.2, as markets awaited a Federal Reserve rate cut.

14:53:48

EU officials: The 19th EU sanctions package against Russia is no longer on the agenda for the EU ambassadors' meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, and no new date for discussion has been set.

14:52:32

Governor of the Bank of Thailand: Monetary policy has been adjusted to be more accommodative in a low-growth environment

14:51:33

UK wage employment fell by 8,000 in August. (1) The number of UK wage employees fell by 8,000 to 30.3 million in August 2025, a decrease from the previous reading of 6,000, marking the seventh consecutive month of decline. (2) Compared to August 2018, the number of wage employees in the UK decreased by 127,000 (a decrease of 0.4%), with 90,000 layoffs in the accommodation and food services sector being the primary drag. (3) Regionally, Westminster saw the largest decline (-2.9%), while Mid-Ulster saw the largest increase (+1.3%). (4) Median monthly earnings rose by 6.6% year-on-year to £2,568, with the highest salary growth in the healthcare and social work sectors (11.0%) and the lowest in the professional and technical sectors (3.3%).

14:50:59

ECB Governing Council member Kazaks: The ECB has already cut interest rates significantly and there is no reason to cut interest rates at the moment

14:50:55

[UK unemployment rate remains at 4.7% in July] ⑴ The UK unemployment rate for the three months ending in July was 4.7%, unchanged from the previous reading and in line with market expectations, remaining at its highest level since August 2021. ⑵ The number of people unemployed for 6-12 months and for more than 12 months increased compared to the previous period, with all unemployment duration groups showing an upward trend year-on-year. ⑶ The number of employed people increased by 232,000 to a record high of 34.2 million, primarily driven by growth in full-time jobs. ⑷ The number of part-time workers increased to 3.8% of the total employed population, indicating that more workers are seeking additional sources of income. ⑸ The economic inactivity rate rose slightly to 21.1%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous reading.

14:50:46

The Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned the Israeli Charge d'Affaires in Madrid to protest the Israeli Foreign Minister's remarks.

14:50:37

UK employment increased by 232,000 in July, exceeding expectations. (1) UK employment increased by 232,000 in the three months ending July, an increase from the previous figure of 239,000, exceeding market expectations of a 220,000 increase, primarily driven by full-time jobs. (2) Year-on-year, employment increased by 654,000, with increases in both full-time and part-time employees and the self-employed. (3) The employment rate for people aged 16 to 64 edged up 0.1 percentage point to 75.2%. (4) The number of part-time workers increased to 1.301 million, representing 3.8% of the total employed population.

14:50:21

[UK wage growth excluding bonuses slowed to 4.8% in July] ⑴ Regular weekly earnings (excluding bonuses) in the UK rose 4.8% year-on-year to £680 in the three months ending in July, the lowest growth rate since May 2022. The previous two months saw 5% growth, in line with market expectations. ⑵ Public sector wage growth slowed to 5.6% (from 5.7% previously), while private sector wage growth fell to 4.7% (from 4.8% previously). ⑶ By industry, wage growth was fastest in the wholesale, retail, hotel, and restaurant sectors, at 6.4%, followed by services (4.9%), manufacturing (4.5%), construction (3.9%), and financial and business services (3%). ⑷ After adjusting for inflation, real wages grew by 0.7%.

14:50:06

UK wage growth edged up to 4.7% in July. (1) Average weekly earnings (including bonuses) in the UK rose 4.7% year-on-year to £727 in the three months ending July, slightly higher than the previous reading of 4.7%, in line with market expectations. (2) Private sector wage growth slowed to 4.6% (from 4.7% in the previous month), while public sector wage growth edged down to 5.1% (from 5.3% in the previous month). (3) Real wages, adjusted for inflation, rose by 0.5%, unchanged from the previous reading.

14:49:55

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation plans to revive a project to lease and re-lease crude oil pipelines

14:49:30

[Tencent launches AI Application Prosperity Plan, more than 300 companies have signed up for AI Co-creation Camp] On September 16, the 2025 Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Conference was launched in Shenzhen. Tencent officially launched the AI Application Prosperity Plan, covering two core modules, "AI Co-creation Camp" and "AI 100 Schools Tour". It will continue to open up AI technology, deepen the use of scenarios, and work with global partners to accelerate AI talent training and breakthroughs and prosperity of "artificial intelligence +". As a core component of the plan, Tencent's new AI Co-creation Camp has officially started. At present, more than 300 companies have signed up for Tencent AI Co-creation Camp, and the number of people who have registered for the first offline event has reached nearly 3,000, covering multiple industries such as finance, law, manufacturing, and consumption.

14:48:39

[Gold Prices Hit a New High! Expectations of a Fed Rate Cut Rise, US Dollar Continues to Under Pressure] 1. Gold prices climbed to a new record high on Tuesday, primarily driven by a weakening US dollar. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting this week. 2. As of 2:47 PM, spot gold rose 0.37% to $3,692.48 per ounce, while December gold futures hit a high of $3,730.7 per ounce, both hitting new all-time highs. 3. Capital analyst Kyle Rodda stated, "Market sentiment is bullish... With the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy decision approaching, expectations of a rate cut continue to rise, and gold remains strong in the medium and short term." 4. Earlier, US President Trump posted on social media, calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to implement "even deeper rate cuts." 5. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its two-day meeting ending on September 17, with a 50 basis point cut less likely. 6. The US dollar is hovering at a two-and-a-half-month low against the euro and nearing a 10-month low against the Australian dollar. 7. In addition, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), announced that its holdings increased by 0.21% from 974.80 tons last Friday to 976.80 tons on Monday. 8. On the other hand, the US Court of Appeals on Monday dismissed a lawsuit that would allow Trump to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. This is the first time a president has attempted to take such action since the establishment of the Federal Reserve in 1913, and the case has once again raised market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve's independence can be maintained.

14:47:55

The Spanish Foreign Ministry summoned Israel's deputy ambassador to Madrid to protest the Israeli foreign minister's remarks.

14:45:51

Spot gold just broke through the $3,690.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,690.01/ounce, up 0.31% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,727.70/ounce, up 0.23% on the day.

14:44:35

South Korea's KOSPI index closed higher for the 11th consecutive trading day, its longest winning streak since September 2019.

14:41:29

[The Ukrainian Army is facing a serious shortage of drones] Russian law enforcement agencies have learned that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are facing a serious shortage of drones, especially they are unable to provide drones to the drone company formed by the 156th Independent Mechanized Brigade. It is reported that the Ukrainian command in the Sumy direction is continuing to increase the number of drone units. The 156th Independent Mechanized Brigade formed an additional drone company, but due to a serious shortage of drones, the logistics officials of the Ukrainian Armed Forces failed to provide drones to the company. The supply of drones to the unit has been transferred to volunteers, and the cost is borne by Ukrainian citizens.

14:37:35

[Japanese and South Korean stock indices both hit record highs] The Nikkei 225 index closed up 134.15 points, or 0.30%, at 44,902.27 points on Tuesday, September 16. The South Korean KOSPI index closed up 42.32 points, or 1.24%, at 3,449.63 points on Tuesday, September 16, both hitting record highs.

14:32:12

[Maimai: The number of non-technical positions in the AI industry has increased by 7.7 times] Maimai’s latest "2025 AI Talent Mobility Report" shows that from January to July 2025, the supply and demand of the AI talent market was booming, the number of newly posted AI positions increased by more than 10 times year-on-year, and the number of resume submissions also soared by 11 times. "Algorithm"-related talents continue to be in short supply, among which "search algorithm" talents are the most in short supply, with 2 people competing for 5 positions. The number of non-technical positions has increased by 7.7 times year-on-year. The battle for AI talent has extended to campus recruitment, and more than half of the positions for fresh graduates on Maimai have a monthly salary of more than 50,000 yuan. As of July 2025, more than 1,000 companies have posted 72,000 AI-related positions on Maimai, covering major Internet companies, foreign companies, car companies and AI vertical companies. In terms of the number of newly posted AI positions, ByteDance's recruitment index of 29.83 ranked first, Xiaohongshu ranked second with 18.32, and Alibaba ranked third with 12.25. Vertical companies such as Xiaopeng Motors, Arbitrary Variable Robotics, and Black Sesame Intelligence also made the list.

14:31:45

[September 16: The "Agricultural Products Wholesale Price 200 Index" rose by 0.06 points from yesterday] According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the "Agricultural Products Wholesale Price 200 Index" on September 16 was 118.00, up 0.06 points from yesterday, and the "Vegetable Basket" product wholesale price index was 118.79, up 0.08 points from yesterday.

14:30:36

[RBA Deputy Governor: Pension Fund FX Hedging to Grow Significantly, Dollar's Death Premature Talk] RBA Deputy Governor Hauser said Australian pension funds are expected to "substantially" expand their FX hedging in the long term, but noted that predictions of a declining US dollar are premature. Speaking on Tuesday, Hauser noted that the cost of hedging foreign exchange risk for Australian investors has changed little recently, while the implied volatility of the Australian dollar against the US dollar remains lower than that of US stocks. There is also no evidence that international investors have significantly reduced their holdings of US assets – all of which suggests that "predictions of the demise of the US dollar and the end of Australia's hedging model appear somewhat premature." Against this backdrop, Hauser said it was encouraging that so-called superannuation funds are still improving their ability to manage FX and liquidity risks. This is important "because even if the average hedge ratio of superannuation funds does not change much in the short term, the overall market's FX hedging will grow significantly over the longer term."

14:29:57

[Eurozone bond market awaits Germany's ZEW index and bond supply] Hauke Siemssen of Commerzbank said in a report that the market focus in the European morning should be on Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index, which is expected to show a deterioration. "Our economists expect the decline in the index to be in line with market consensus," said the interest rate strategist. "In a Wall Street Journal survey, the average analyst expectation is that the economic expectations index will weaken to 26.3 in September from 34.7 in August, while the current situation index will also decline. On Tuesday, Slovakia, Germany and Finland will hold bond auctions. Data from the London Stock Exchange Group showed that the 10-year German government bond yield rose 0.9 basis points to 2.702% shortly after the opening.

14:26:47

[Israeli Defense Minister Confirms Plan to Continue Operations in Gaza City Until Hamas is Completely Destroyed] Following Israel's overnight strikes on the Gaza Strip, Israeli Defense Minister Katz stated that Gaza City is "on fire," and confirmed that operations will continue until the Palestinian Hamas movement is destroyed and the hostages are rescued. Katz posted on social media X: "Gaza is on fire. The IDF is striking terrorist infrastructure with an iron fist, and Israeli soldiers are fighting bravely to create conditions for rescuing hostages and destroying Hamas. We will not retreat or reduce our offensive until our mission is accomplished."

14:25:55

[Taiwan stocks closed up 1.07%, breaking all-time highs both at closing and during trading] On Tuesday, Taiwan's weighted index was strong today. It once surged during trading, with an increase of 1.21%, and the stock price reached 25664.81 points, which set a new record at this stage. As of the close of the day, the index's increase narrowed slightly, but it still closed at 25629.64 points with an increase of 1.07%, successfully setting a new historical high in the closing dimension. From the perspective of the performance throughout the year, the Taiwan Weighted Index has accumulated an increase of 11.26% this year, showing an overall steady upward trend. Short-term market observations show that the active trading of electronic component-related stocks played a certain role in promoting the index's upward trend that day.

14:24:29

[2025 Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Conference: Fully Open AI Capabilities] ⑴The 2025 Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Conference was held in Shenzhen on Tuesday. Tencent executive Tang Daosheng said that "intelligence" and "globalization" will be used as efficiency engines to promote industrial development. ⑵In terms of intelligence, Tencent Cloud released a strategic panorama of intelligent bodies, fully opening up AI capabilities and C/B-end advantage scenarios, and activating enterprise innovation through three major upgrades: intelligent body solutions, SaaS+AI, and large model technology. Data shows that Tencent Yuanbao (the top three domestic AI native applications in terms of DAU) has a daily question volume that reached the monthly volume at the beginning of the year, the IMA knowledge base has exceeded 100 million files, and the monthly activeness of QQ Browser AI has increased by 17.8 times compared to April. Currently, intelligent bodies have been piloted in some city government scenarios. ⑶In terms of globalization, this year Tencent Cloud's overseas zone opening speed is ahead of domestic cloud vendors, and it has also completed multiple rounds of product upgrades to fully adapt to the global technology ecosystem.

14:23:43

[Musk focuses on AI5 chip design, AI/autonomous driving, Optimus Prime and car production] On Tuesday, Musk disclosed his recent work plan: on the one hand, he plans to conduct a technical evaluation of the AI5 chip design on Saturday. The evaluation is expected to focus on verifying whether the chip performance matches the computing power requirements of the autonomous driving system; on the other hand, a special meeting will be held next week to discuss the progress of artificial intelligence and autonomous driving technology research and development, the progress of the Optimus Prime humanoid robot project, and matters related to increasing car production.

14:22:48

[my country successfully launched a satellite internet technology test satellite at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center] On September 16, my country successfully launched a satellite internet technology test satellite into space at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center using a Long March 2C carrier rocket and an Expedition 1S upper stage. Ultimately, the satellite successfully entered its planned orbit, marking the successful completion of the space launch mission. This launch not only verified the collaborative working capabilities of the relevant carrier rocket and upper stage, but also laid the foundation for the subsequent research and development and application of my country's satellite internet technology.

14:22:18

[Chery Automobile plans to open the book for IPO on September 17, with a target valuation of HK$140 billion] ⑴ According to a report from the International Financial News on Tuesday, Chery Automobile will officially launch the book for IPO tomorrow (September 17), with a target valuation of HK$140 billion. ⑵ Judging from the previous progress, Chery Automobile successfully passed the listing hearing on September 7, and immediately launched a global pre-roadshow after the hearing to attract more investor attention. According to the current plan, the company is expected to complete the listing transaction in late this month and officially enter the capital market. The funds to be raised from this IPO will be mainly used in core business areas such as new energy vehicle technology research and development, production capacity upgrades and global market expansion.

14:21:32

[OpenAI recruits former CFO of xAI, competition between Altman and Musk heats up] ⑴ According to a CNBC report on Tuesday, OpenAI has hired Mike Liberator, the former financial director of Musk's xAI, as a business finance officer to oversee large-scale infrastructure spending. A company spokesperson said that Liberator had only been at xAI for three months, resigned in July of this year, and officially joined OpenAI on Tuesday. ⑵ He will report to Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar and collaborate with Greg Brockman's team, which is responsible for contracts and capital operations related to computing power strategy. ⑶ This personnel change is the latest development in the escalating competition between OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Musk. The two co-founded the OpenAI non-profit laboratory in 2015. The company later transformed into a commercial entity with Microsoft's main investment. In recent years, they have publicly broken up and become fierce rivals.

14:19:30

[Japan: Adults Drive Toy Market to Record Highs] Kyodo News, citing data from the Japan Toy Association, reported on September 14th that Japan's toy market is projected to grow 7.9% year-on-year in fiscal 2024, reaching 1.1 trillion yen (53.17 billion yuan), a record high. Trading cards and anime-related products are the primary drivers, growing 36% compared to a decade ago. Electronic pets and various plush toys are also popular among adults. Statistics show a significant increase in toy spending among single-person households: in 2024, the average single-person household in Japan will spend 14,498 yen (701 yuan), a 3.5-fold increase from 2014. Multi-person households with at least one child will spend an average of 12,367 yen (598 yuan). (Xinhua News Agency)

14:18:19

【Yushu Technology, State Grid Hangzhou Power Supply and others signed a "Power + Embodied Intelligence" framework cooperation agreement】 State Grid Hangzhou Power Supply Company's official microblog announced today that on September 15, State Grid Hangzhou Power Supply Company, Yushu Technology Company, Embodied Intelligence Base Company, and State Grid Zhejiang Huadian Research Institute signed a "Power + Embodied Intelligence" framework cooperation agreement at the company's Fusion Innovation Center, initiating in-depth cooperation in the field of power artificial intelligence applications. The cooperation framework agreement clearly states that the four parties will focus on innovative applications of artificial intelligence in the power sector, carry out in-depth cooperation in the four dimensions of platform construction, scientific and technological research, standard setting, and talent training, and work together to explore the way forward in the high-quality development of "artificial intelligence +" energy and power, and accelerate the incubation of a number of standards and leading achievements that fill technical gaps.

14:17:53

[Unemployment rate remains stable, Bank of England may keep interest rates unchanged] Data released by the UK National Statistics Office on Tuesday showed that the UK's ILO unemployment rate was 4.7% in the three months to July, the same as the three months to May and June. Over the same period, the annual growth rate of wages excluding bonuses slowed to 4.8% from 5.0% in the year to June. This result is not expected to change the position of Bank of England policymakers at their meeting on Thursday - investors expect them to keep the base rate unchanged at 4%. Since August last year, the Bank of England has maintained what policymakers call a "cautious and gradual" pace of quarterly interest rate cuts, and cut interest rates by 25 basis points last month. But there are still signs that the central bank needs to deal with a gradually cooling labor market. Preliminary estimates show that the number of employees in employment fell by 8,000 from July to August, after a decrease of 6,000 in the previous month.

14:17:16

Ukraine's Cabinet expects GDP to grow by 2.7% and CPI to rise by 9.5% in 2025

14:12:14

The US dollar remained on the defensive on Tuesday, trading near a 2.5-month low against the euro and a 10-month low against the Australian dollar. Traders continued to price in market expectations of a Fed rate cut this week and further easing in the coming months. The US dollar index fell to 97.16, its lowest level since July 24. Markets generally expect the Fed to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its meeting on Wednesday, with a 50 basis point cut less likely. Interest rate futures indicate that investors anticipate a cumulative rate cut of 81 basis points by the end of January. This easing expectation continues to weigh on the US dollar and has pushed US stocks to record highs. US President Trump reiterated pressure on the Federal Reserve on Monday, publicly calling for a "larger" rate cut to boost the housing market and the economy. Meanwhile, recent weak labor market data has further reinforced expectations of a rate cut and driven US Treasury yields lower. Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said: "The market consensus is moving towards the view that the Fed is behind the curve and must accelerate rate cuts to a neutral level."

14:11:57

[The UK job market continues to cool: employment declines, wage growth slows] Official UK data shows that the UK labor market continued to cool over the summer as companies prepare for more tax increases to hit the economy. The UK Office for National Statistics said on Tuesday that the number of employed workers fell by 8,000 in August, the seventh consecutive month of decline. In the three months to July, wage growth excluding bonuses slowed to 4.8%, the lowest level in three years, down from the previous value of 5%. Wage growth in the private sector, which the Bank of England watches most closely, slowed to 4.7%. The unemployment rate remained at a four-year high of 4.7%, and the number of job vacancies continued to decline. These data may not ease the Bank of England's inflation concerns. Although Bank of England Governor Bailey emphasized the weakness of the labor market, officials are increasingly concerned that the recent surge in inflation is leading consumers to expect continued strong price growth.

14:11:41

South Korea's Foreign Minister: Has asked the United States to make the trade and tariff agreement an agreement requiring parliamentary approval

14:11:07

The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 44900.00 mark and was last at 44899.42, up 0.29% on the day.

14:10:31

South Korea's Foreign Minister: Currency swap with the United States is a proposal made during trade negotiations between the two sides

14:09:57

[OPEC+ will discuss capacity updates this week] OPEC+ representatives will meet in Vienna this week to hold preliminary discussions on the procedures for updating member countries' capacity estimates. Sources said the meeting is scheduled for September 18-19. Delegates hope to reach an agreement on a mechanism for assessing each member country's maximum sustainable crude oil production capacity. The OPEC+ Secretariat hopes to submit a feasible plan to OPEC+ ministers by the end of the year. The alliance of 22 oil-producing countries plans to use capacity estimates to determine a new production baseline and use it to calculate production targets for 2027. OPEC+ originally planned to use the new production baseline in 2025, but due to internal disagreements, the implementation time was postponed to 2026 and then to 2027.

14:09:12

Polish Finance Minister: Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be around 3% in the coming months

14:09:05

Coking coal contracts rose 6.6% to 1,249 yuan per ton, a one-month high.

14:06:50

Japan's Cabinet Office data showed the output gap in the April-June quarter was revised upward to +0.3%, the biggest increase since July-September 2019.

14:05:15

[Pan Gongsheng published an article in "Qiushi": Firmly implement the global governance initiative and continuously promote the reform and improvement of global financial governance] Pan Gongsheng pointed out in his article in "Qiushi" that the cross-border payment system is the "artery" of global monetary capital operations, an important support for promoting international trade and investment and financing, maintaining financial stability, and an important support for the international monetary system. The evolution of the international monetary system towards the coexistence of a few sovereign currencies and the rapid development of digital technology will promote the diversified development of the cross-border payment system. The diversified cross-border payment system will in turn accelerate the transformation of the international monetary system. To improve global financial governance, all parties need to strengthen dialogue and cooperation. The People's Bank of China will be a firm practitioner of the global governance initiative, adhere to the path of reform and opening up, and the path of multilateralism, actively play the leading role of a major country, pragmatically carry out global financial governance and cooperation, and continue to build a more fair, just, inclusive and resilient global financial governance system, and contribute to improving global governance.

14:04:07

The Office for National Statistics: data shows that the number of job vacancies in the UK was 728,000 in the three months to August, and the economic activity participation rate of people aged 16 to 64 in the UK was estimated to be 21.1% between May and July 2025.

14:01:06

The Nikkei 225 index closed at 45013.53 points today, up 0.55%.

14:00:07

The ILO job changes in the UK in July

Previous : 23.90 Forecast : 220

美元

英镑

Published Value 23.20

14:00:06

Unemployment rate in the UK in July - by ILO standards

Previous : 4.70% Forecast : 4.70%

Neutral

Published Value 4.70%

14:00:06

The annual rate of the UK's three-month average wage including dividends in July

Previous : 4.60% Forecast : 4.70%

Neutral

Published Value 4.70%

14:00:05

The annual rate of the UK's three-month average wage excluding dividends in July

Previous : 5% Forecast : 4.80%

Neutral

Published Value 4.80%

14:00:05

The HMRC job changes in the UK in July

Previous : -0.80 Forecast : -

Published Value -0.80

14:00:03

The number of unemployment benefit applicants in the UK changed in August

Previous : -0.62 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.74

13:59:32

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's Merger Condition for British Mining Company: Headquarters Must Move to Canada First. According to a September 15th report by Canada's Globe and Mail, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney told Anglo American, a London-based mining company, that if it wanted to proceed with its merger with Turk Resources, Anglo American would need to relocate its headquarters to Canada. Citing sources familiar with the matter, the report stated that Carney also made it clear during his conversation with Anglo American that any company interested in acquiring Turk Resources must first agree to relocate its headquarters to Canada. (Xinhua News Agency)

13:59:07

[Hong Kong-listed robot concept stocks continued to rise, with Yuejiang up more than 6%] Hong Kong-listed robot concept stocks continued to rise, with Yuejiang up more than 6%, UBTECH Robotics up more than 4%, Chunli Medical and Beijing Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. following suit.

13:58:49

The three major A-share indices turned positive again in the afternoon, with more than 3,200 stocks in the market rising

13:58:35

If the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, gold prices will rise well above $3,700 Details>

13:57:57

AI glasses are experiencing their "iPhone moment": The time is right for an experience revolution. AI glasses became a hot topic at the recent 2025 Inclusion Conference on the Bund. Industry experts and business representatives agree that smart glasses are transitioning from "feature phones" to "smart phones," facing a critical turning point from a hardware race to an experience revolution. Lightweight, interactive, and secure are the three key breakthroughs, and the industry is moving from a "hardware race" to "ecosystem co-construction."

13:56:25

ECB's Villeroy de Villeroy: We must rein in spending and raise taxes

13:56:08

US Secretary of State Rubio: Trump may meet with Zelensky in New York next week

13:54:19

[Malawi Holds Presidential, Parliamentary, and Local Government Elections] On September 16th, local time, the Southern African nation of Malawi held its three-in-one presidential, parliamentary, and local government elections. Approximately 7.2 million registered voters will cast ballots at 6,339 polling stations nationwide to elect the president, members of parliament, and local councilors. Seventeen candidates are reportedly participating in this presidential election. Polls indicate that incumbent President Lazarus Chakwera and former President Peter Mutharika are leading in support, and both are likely to win. The election results are expected to be announced within eight days. (CCTV News)

13:53:42

ECB Governing Council member Villeroy de Villeroy: France's economic growth is not strong enough, but it still maintains positive growth. We must "seriously" solve the debt problem. France has no reason to become a laggard in Europe.

13:50:13

[Institution: The Federal Reserve is believed to be facing increasing pressure to cut interest rates] Matthias Scheiber of Allspring Global Investments said in a report that the market and the Trump administration are putting increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but inflation and the other side of the dual mandate may require less easing measures. The head of multi-asset solutions said: "The market expects a series of rate cuts (75 basis points) by the end of this year and an easing cycle that will continue into next year. We can clearly see that the Federal Open Market Committee is in trouble." Scheiber said that as far as this week's decision is concerned, a 25 basis point rate cut is "almost a done deal."

13:47:36

[Deputy Chairman of the Reserve Bank of Australia: The hedging ratio of Australian pension funds is still low] The Australian dollar is still a good "natural" hedging tool for global risk assets. The hedging scale of pension funds will increase significantly. The total pension assets will increase to 180% of GDP in the next ten years. The total foreign exchange hedging may double to A$1 trillion in the next ten years. In view of the shortage of domestic assets, pension funds may increase overseas investment. Pension funds may need to expand and diversify their hedge provider pool over time. Pension funds may need to meet higher hedge position margin and collateral requirements.

13:46:00

[Latest Airside Economic Development Index Released: Shanghai Pudong, Beijing Capital and Guangzhou Baiyun Ranked in the Top Three] On September 13, the "China Airside Economic Development Index Report 2025" was released at the 2025 China International Fair for Trade in Services Results Release Hall. It was compiled by a joint research team of multiple units. In 2024, the overall development of my country's key airside economic zones was stable, with Shanghai Pudong, Beijing Capital and Guangzhou Airside Economic Demonstration Zones ranking in the top three. The overall leading advantages of the 17 national airside economic demonstration zones have been enhanced. The ranking of the sub-development index of each airside economic zone shows a pattern of "each showing its strengths and complementing each other's advantages".

13:44:30

The 19th round of EU sanctions against Russia has been postponed. (Politico)

13:43:13

Chairman of the Russian Public Council's Sovereignty Committee: Ukrainian authorities are preparing to evacuate the southern region of Zaporizhia due to concerns about the approach of Russian troops

13:42:01

[US Revokes Colombia's Counter-Drug Partnership, Colombian President Announces Countermeasures] On September 15th, local time, Colombian President Petro Petro announced that the US government had revoked Colombia's certification as a global counter-drug partner and listed it, along with four other countries, as having "clearly failed to fulfill" their obligations under international drug control agreements over the past year. Colombia was last revoked of this status in 1997. Petro stated that the US's actions ignored the enormous price Colombia has paid in the war on drugs. In retaliation, Petro announced that the Colombian Armed Forces would cease relying on US-supplied weapons and equipment, and that the Minister of Defense would be responsible for independent procurement. (CCTV News)

13:41:01

GBP/JPY fell back above the 200 mark, with focus on UK CPI and the Bank of Japan's decision Details>

13:39:58

HSBC: Re-cover Alibaba (BABA.N) with a buy rating and a price target of $160

13:36:37

Trade talks stall! Why can't South Korea learn from the US-Japan agreement? Details>

13:33:58

[Guangdong: Support scientific research institutions and AI technology service companies to vigorously develop intelligent bodies for industrial scenarios] The "Guangdong Province Action Plan to Accelerate the Promotion of Artificial Intelligence to Empower the Toy Industry (2025-2027)" was officially issued. The "Plan" mentioned that it supports enterprises to develop AI chips, AI plug-ins, AI modules and other products that are easy to implant, supports scientific research institutions and AI technology service companies to vigorously develop intelligent bodies for industrial scenarios, and promotes the low-cost implementation of AI-specific technologies in toy companies. Support chain-leading leading enterprises to establish open AI development platforms to serve "on-chain" enterprises. Encourage cities and counties with conditions to explore providing certain support for enterprises, platforms, etc. to use intelligent computing power to carry out AI toy large-scale model training and large-model computing power costs.

13:32:17

[Guangdong: By 2027, the operating income of the toy industry above designated size will reach 100 billion yuan, and the penetration rate of AI toys will reach more than 30%] The "Guangdong Province Action Plan to Accelerate the Promotion of Artificial Intelligence to Empower the Toy Industry (2025-2027)" has been officially issued. It mentions that by 2027, the operating income of the toy industry above designated size in the province will reach 100 billion yuan, and the penetration rate of AI toys will reach more than 30%. The competitiveness of industrial clusters will be enhanced, forming high-level toy industrial clusters such as Shantou, Dongguan, and Shenzhen, cultivating more than 5 internationally competitive AI toy leading companies, and creating about 10 benchmark cases of AI+ industrial innovation applications.

13:32:13

The FTSE China A50 Index futures just broke through the 15100.00 mark and was last trading at 15088.00, down 0.72% on the day.

13:31:43

Guangdong Province: Supporting AI-Integrated Robots to Open Up New Toy Markets and Exploring "AI+Toy+Robot" Cross-Industry Integration Models. The "Guangdong Province Action Plan for Accelerating the Empowerment of the Toy Industry by Artificial Intelligence (2025-2027)" has been officially released. It mentions creating new products, new scenarios, and new models for AI toys. Supporting AI-Integrated Robots to open up new markets for companion toys, promoting typical "Robot+" application scenarios, and supporting technology companies to take the lead in integrating AI and robots in the toy sector, redefining the form and function of toys. These include "AI+Companion Robots" in the form of mini AI robots and bionic pets, enabling visual, motion, and voice interaction. These robots can be applied in multiple scenarios, including entertainment, education, elderly care, family, and social interaction. This cross-industry integration model of "AI+Toy+Robot" will be explored, opening up new high-value-added opportunities for toys. Leading toy industry companies and AI companies are encouraged to focus on niche scenarios such as children's education, emotional companionship, and educational entertainment, guided by market demand, and develop large-scale end-side models for vertical toy applications with low power consumption, high responsiveness, and strong interactivity. Qualified cities and counties are encouraged to explore providing certain support to enterprises, platforms, etc. that use intelligent computing power to carry out AI toy large-scale model training and large-model computing power costs.

13:30:07

Azerbaijan's Finance Minister: 2026 budget sets average oil price at $65 per barrel; GDP growth forecast at 5% in 2026

13:29:54

[Goldman Sachs expects the next pain point for bond traders to be in 5-year bonds] Goldman Sachs strategists said that the next pain point for bond traders may appear in the 5-year part of the yield curve. Strategists George Cole and William Marshall wrote in a report that 5-year bonds in Japan and Germany are particularly vulnerable, with the former heading for a longer tightening cycle and the latter's economic outlook improving. Shorter-term bonds are greatly affected by monetary policy bets, and bonds with maturities of 10 years and longer tend to be more sensitive to inflation and deficit concerns. This makes 5-year bonds a "sweet spot" in the global bond market.

13:29:16

[US Secretary of State Rubio says Hamas has days or weeks to negotiate an agreement] US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Israel before visiting Qatar that the window for reaching an agreement through negotiations is "very short." "Despite what has happened, we know they are uneasy about this," but he still hopes Qatar will continue to mediate. The United States and Qatar have a close partnership, and "we appreciate and respect" their past efforts to negotiate a ceasefire. Qatar and the United States are discussing strengthening defense cooperation, and the two sides are "close to" finalizing it. He hopes to reach an agreement through negotiations that will release all hostages and disarm Hamas. When asked about the risk of an Israeli attack on Gaza City, he said there is a risk of war.

13:28:10

[More than 30 new cars are launched intensively as car companies rush to seize the "Golden September and Silver October" sales window] As September approaches, the automobile market ushers in a period of intensive new product launches. According to incomplete statistics from Xinhua Finance, at least 30 new cars are expected to be launched in September this year. In the second half of the month starting from September 15 alone, about 20 models including Xiangjie S9T, Weilai ES8, Ideal i6, new Wenjie M7, Volvo XC70, Audi E5 Sportback, Zhijing L7, Shangjie H5, Galaxy M9, Roewe M7 DMH, 2026 Lantu Dreamer and BYD Haibao 07DM-i have been launched on the market.

13:23:53

[Assistant Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia: Very close to the target levels of inflation and employment, will remain on the sidelines] Assistant Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Hunt said that the country's central bank is "very close" to restoring the inflation rate to the median of the target range of 2%-3%, and the economy is close to full employment. "We are monitoring the situation and will remain on the sidelines," Hunt said at an industry event in Sydney on Tuesday. "The committee will formulate policy accordingly. Although the future cannot be fully predicted, we hope to maintain the status quo for now." The Reserve Bank of Australia will hold its next meeting on September 29-30, and most economists and traders expect it to keep the cash rate unchanged at 3.6%. Economists generally predict that the bank will cut interest rates for the fourth time this year in November and cut interest rates again early next year, bringing the terminal interest rate to 3.1%.

13:23:12

Vietnamese feed producers are buying about 30,000 tonnes of Canadian canola per month at around $220 a tonne, C&F, trade sources said, significantly lower than the pre-tariff price of $300-310 a tonne.

13:20:50

[Luxembourg plans to recognize the State of Palestine] According to the European edition of the U.S. Political News Network, Luxembourg Prime Minister Frieden and Luxembourg Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Bettel told a committee of the Luxembourg Parliament on the 15th local time that Luxembourg plans to recognize the State of Palestine.

13:19:34

The divergence between the Fed's easing expectations and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike prospects pushed USD/JPY down to 147. Details>

13:18:53

Suzhou: By the end of 2026, Suzhou will have over 3,000 AI companies. Suzhou has released the "Suzhou Action Plan for Accelerating the Construction of an 'Artificial Intelligence Plus' City (2025-2026)." The plan proposes that by the end of 2026, Suzhou will have over 3,000 AI companies, with the core scale of the smart economy industry growing at an average annual rate of over 20%. It will also encourage companies to take the lead in or participate in the development of international and national standards, establish a standardized work system in areas such as high-quality data sets, native smart companies, and innovative platforms, and achieve significant results in the construction of pilot bases for AI industry applications.

13:17:27

South Korean Prime Minister: Discussions with the United States on foreign exchange swaps have been held

13:15:27

[Vietnam urges US to reconsider seafood ban] Vietnam urged the United States to reconsider a ruling that essentially bans the import of some seafood, warning that the move could undermine bilateral trade and cause the Southeast Asian country's seafood industry to lose $500 million a year. According to an announcement on the government website, Vietnamese Minister of Industry and Trade Nguyen Hong Diem wrote to U.S. Secretary of Commerce Lutnick saying that the livelihoods of thousands of fishermen and workers are at risk. Nguyen Hong Diem pointed out that the ban will also affect American importers and consumers. In August, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) determined that 12 Vietnamese fishing companies failed to comply with the requirements of the Marine Mammal Protection Act. This means that from January 1 next year, these companies will no longer be able to export seafood to the United States. The Vietnam Seafood Exporters and Producers Association said the move could cause $500 million in losses to the seafood industry and will seriously affect exporters of products such as tuna, swordfish, grouper, mackerel and crab.

13:14:04

[Musk again responds to whether the Macrohard project really exists] In response to a user's question about whether the Macrohard project is being advanced, Musk replied: "We are indeed spray-painting the words 'MACROHARD' on the roof of the Colossus II supercomputing cluster in Memphis, large enough to be seen from space." Musk previously stated that he was planning to establish a pure AI software company called Macrohard. The name was a bit of a joke, but the project itself does exist. At the time, he also explained: "Since software companies like Microsoft don't produce physical hardware themselves, it should be possible to fully simulate it using artificial intelligence."

13:13:50

Expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical tensions pushed gold prices to new highs, with prices approaching $3,700, but technical indicators indicate overbought risks. Details>

13:13:43

[Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi announces his intention to run for the presidency of the Liberal Democratic Party] On September 16, local time, Japan's current Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi posted on social media platforms, expressing his intention to participate in the upcoming Liberal Democratic Party presidential election. The Liberal Democratic Party suffered consecutive defeats in the House of Representatives election in October last year and the House of Councillors election in July this year. The ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party lost a majority of seats in both the House of Representatives and the House of Councillors. This is the first time since the founding of the Liberal Democratic Party in 1955 that it has failed to obtain a majority of seats in both houses of parliament. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba held a press conference on September 7 and announced his decision to resign as president of the Liberal Democratic Party. The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan held a meeting of the Presidential Election Management Committee on the afternoon of September 9 and decided to hold the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election on October 4. (CCTV)

13:12:38

Humanoid robot concept stocks continued to rise in the afternoon, with Hanwei Technology hitting the 20cm limit, Jiangsu Leili, Hengshuai Shares, Hongchang Technology, and Amperon rising by more than 10%.

13:12:38

18 Forex Support and Resistance Charts in One Chart: US Dollar + European and Japanese Currencies + Commodity Currencies + Emerging Currencies (September 16, 2025) Details>

13:12:20

The Shenzhen Component Index just broke through the 13000.00 mark and is currently trading at 13001.11, down 0.04% on the day.

13:10:23

Commodity support and resistance chart: Gold, Silver, Oil, Gas, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, and Agricultural Products Futures (September 16, 2025) Details>

13:09:03

AI Agent Trading Marketplace "MuleRun" Officially Launches: On September 16th, the AI Agent Trading Marketplace MuleRun (translated as "MuleRun") officially launched and is open to all users. It is the world's first AI worker marketplace, or AI digital labor market. The so-called "Agent Marketplace" allows users to upload agents for their own use or for use by other users. Users earn revenue based on the computing power points consumed by their agents, with the platform taking a percentage of the commission.

13:05:48

Musk: Plans to conduct a technical review of the AI5 chip design on Saturday, and will hold a meeting next week to discuss artificial intelligence/autonomous driving, Optimus Prime, and car production

13:04:56

[Google pledges to invest nearly $7 billion in the UK] Alphabet's Google said it will invest 5 billion pounds (6.78 billion U.S. dollars) in the UK over the next two years. This is the latest large-scale investment commitment made by the U.S. technology giant to expand AI infrastructure and other services in Europe. The company said that this investment covers AI, energy supply capabilities, workforce training, research and development, and related engineering fields, and will add more than 8,000 jobs each year to companies across the UK. Ruth Porat, president and chief investment officer of Alphabet and Google, said in a statement: "Through today's announcement, Google is deepening our roots in the UK and helping support the UK to leverage the potential of AI to add 400 billion pounds to the country's economy by 2030, while improving key social services."

13:04:43

[International Energy Agency: The natural decline in global oil and gas field production is accelerating] The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday that the natural decline in global oil and gas field production is accelerating due to the increasing reliance on shale oil and deep-sea resources. This means that companies need to accelerate investment to maintain stable production. The IEA said in a statement that its report warned that if investment in existing oil fields is not continued, the world will lose oil equivalent to the total oil production of Brazil and Norway each year, which will have an impact on markets and energy security.

13:03:42

[Nomura: The Bank of Korea may cut interest rates continuously to boost consumption] Nomura Securities' latest report pointed out that the probability of the Bank of Korea cutting interest rates continuously in October and November has increased in order to promote a more sustainable consumption recovery. Economist Jeong Woo Park said in the report that the stimulus effect of the consumption vouchers issued by the South Korean government is limited, and the related expenditures are mainly concentrated in the food category, and the spillover effect on overall household consumption is insufficient. Policymakers may turn to more global policies to maintain the recovery momentum rather than relying on one-time short-term measures. Nomura maintains its baseline forecast, expecting the Bank of Korea to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in October, and then cut it by another 25 basis points in February next year.

13:03:15

【Technical Analysis: Spot gold may climb to the range of $3706 to $3709】 1. From a technical perspective, driven by wave (5), spot gold may climb to the range of $3,706 to $3,709 per ounce. 2. Based on the depth of the previous wave (4), the price of gold may rise to $3706. Forecasting the upward trend from $3312, the higher target is $3739. 3. The support level is $3,668. A break below this level may cause the price to fall to the range of $3631 to $3651. On the daily chart, forecasting the upward trend since $3264, it can be found that the target range is $3701 to $3779, which is composed of the 138.2% and 161.8% forecast levels.

33

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3656.80	12.53 (0.34%)
XAG	42.192	0.399 (0.95%)
CONC	62.60	-0.66 (-1.04%)
OILC	66.88	-0.58 (-0.86%)
USD	97.516	0.160 (0.16%)
EURUSD	1.1765	-0.0019 (-0.17%)
GBPUSD	1.3502	-0.0052 (-0.39%)
USDCNH	7.1133	0.0066 (0.09%)

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