Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

Sydney：12/24 22:26:56

Tokyo：12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong：12/24 22:26:56

Singapore：12/24 22:26:56

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London：12/24 22:26:56

New York：12/24 22:26:56

2026-02-16 Monday

2026-02-22

23:03:04

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,980.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,979.58/ounce, down 1.25% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5,000.60/ounce, down 0.91% on the day.

22:45:52

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2008.75/ounce, down 2.61% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2018.0/ounce, down 2.85% on the day.

22:44:30

[Festive Festive Atmosphere and Booming Sales During the First Two Days of the Spring Festival Holiday] According to the Ministry of Commerce, during the first two days of the Spring Festival holiday, the Ministry, together with relevant departments and local governments, launched the "Happy Shopping for the Spring Festival" special event, resulting in a strong festive atmosphere and booming sales across the country. Big data from the Ministry of Commerce shows that during the first two days of the holiday, the average daily sales of key retail and catering enterprises nationwide increased by 10.6% compared to the first two days of the Spring Festival holiday in 2025. On February 15, the number of visitors and sales revenue of 78 key pedestrian streets (commercial districts) monitored by the Ministry of Commerce increased by 23.2% and 33.2% respectively compared to the first day of the Spring Festival holiday last year. (Xinhua News Agency)

22:43:22

One chart: Baltic Dry Index rises across the board, shipping freight rates collectively increase. Details>

22:41:10

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract rose 1.00% to $63.52 per barrel on the day.

22:40:10

Brent crude oil futures for the most active contract rose 1.03% to $68.30 a barrel on the day.

22:25:58

[Dollar Positions Fall to 14-Year Low, Market Bearish Sentiment Reaches Historical Extreme] (1) The latest foreign exchange and interest rate sentiment survey released by Bank of America shows that in February, global asset management institutions’ net holdings of the US dollar fell to the lowest level in 14 years, and the scale of short bets on the US dollar surged to the highest level since January 2012, setting a new extreme level since the bank began keeping records. (2) Against this backdrop, fund managers’ dollar allocation ratio has fallen below the low point set in April 2025, and funds are showing a continuous outflow from dollar assets. After US President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to serve as the chairman of the Federal Reserve, market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have cooled down, but this positive signal has not translated into dollar buying power, nor has it been able to boost optimistic expectations for US assets. (3) The survey also pointed out that the US job market is showing more signs of weakness, which is considered by the surveyed institutions as a key risk dragging down the performance of the US dollar, and is also the core logic of the current consensus among institutions to be bearish on the US dollar.

22:15:51

[British Prime Minister Says He Will "Accelerate" Achieving 3% of GDP Defence Spending Target] British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated on the 16th that the UK will "accelerate" achieving its target of spending 3% of GDP on defense. According to Sky News, Starmer said that UK defense spending also depends on "coordination and cooperation with like-minded countries, especially European countries." Starmer called on Europe to "be prepared for battle" at the Munich Security Conference in Germany on the 14th. He said Europe is a "sleeping giant" with enormous defense capabilities, but these capabilities often fail to be effectively combined. Starmer also stated that the UK is no longer the UK it was after Brexit, "Without Europe, there is no British security; without the UK, there is no European security." (Xinhua)

22:09:02

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2009.70/ounce, down 2.56% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2021.1/ounce, down 2.70% on the day.

22:07:38

German Finance Minister: The six largest European economies want to speed up the decision-making process, and we are open about it.

22:06:40

German Finance Minister: This is a critical moment for Europe. We should not hide behind national interests. Germany is prepared to compromise.

22:06:15

German Finance Minister: Progress must be made on the savings and investment union.

22:05:30

German Finance Minister: The European Central Bank has a timetable, and we will find a good solution.

22:01:11

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2020.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2019.20/ounce, down 2.10% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2028.0/ounce, down 2.36% on the day.

21:59:22

Silver Forecast: Will the Fed meeting minutes and PCE data trigger a rebound or a new round of selling? Details>

21:58:33

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has released the First Amendment to the Foreign Exchange Control Regulations 2026. The amendment allows for the permitted uses of funds raised through offshore commercial borrowing for "control" acquisitions. There are no restrictions on relending external commercial borrowings to individual borrowers. However, the relending of external commercial borrowings for the real estate sector is not permitted.

21:56:04

German Finance Minister: Europe's action is not fast enough to meet the challenges.

21:55:37

[Robotic Pandas Stun the Spring Festival Gala: Hundreds Perform Simultaneously, Setting a Global Record and Taking a Key Step Towards Commercialization] ⑴ On the CCTV Spring Festival Gala stage on New Year's Eve, technology and art achieved a profound fusion. At the Yibin branch venue, hundreds of "robotic pandas" ran, lined up, and danced in perfect unison, presenting a visually stunning spectacle with a strong sci-fi feel to a global audience. ⑵ This was not only a breakthrough in stage effects but also an engineering feat. It is understood that this is the world's first time that more than one hundred quadruped robots have performed completely synchronously in a public performance, marking the transition of swarm control technology from the laboratory to complex real-world environments. ⑶ These adorable "pandas" are actually MagicDog quadruped robots from Magic Atom, modified by wearing specially designed costumes. From the motion control of a single robot to the group scheduling and real-time communication of hundreds of devices, this performance was essentially a full-link extreme test covering structural design, system stability, and scheduling algorithms. ⑷ Beyond technological verification, the greater highlight lies in its commercial potential. The ability to stably control a group control system of hundreds of units signifies that the technology is feasible for large-scale application in theme parks, large-scale events, and specific security patrol scenarios, laying a crucial foundation for quadruped robots to move out of closed testing grounds and into real-world operational scenarios.

21:48:06

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,990.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,989.88/ounce, down 1.05% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5,010.90/ounce, down 0.70% on the day.

21:42:19

The US and Iran clashed on Tuesday, leaving the gold market holding its breath! Details>

21:41:14

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just touched the $68.00 per barrel mark and was last quoted at $68.00 per barrel, up 0.60% on the day.

21:39:50

In the United States, 11,266 users reported malfunctions on the social media platform "X".

21:38:51

[Energy Market Sees Renewed Turbulence, Coal Prices Rise for Fourth Consecutive Day; Two Major Supply-Side Variables Take Effect] ⑴ The European energy market is showing signs of renewed supply tightness, with coal futures prices rising for the fourth consecutive trading day. ⑵ The direct driver of this round of price increases comes from the supply side. Attacks on key Black Sea port facilities in Russia, coupled with the port's monthly coal throughput exceeding 1 million tons, have led analysts to predict short-term export disruptions, directly impacting supply expectations in the European market. ⑶ Meanwhile, Indonesia, a major global coal exporter, tightened its supply policies, further exacerbating market concerns about supply shortages. The simultaneous disruptions to these two major export sources are the core factors driving this round of price increases. ⑷ Notably, while natural gas contracts, as an alternative energy source, have fallen due to improved weather prospects, coal prices have remained independent and strong. As of Monday, the March contract price on the Intercontinental Exchange in Europe rose 1% to $108.10 per ton, highlighting the dominant logic of current tight supply in the coal market.

21:33:29

[Canadian Manufacturing Sector Experiences a Tale of Two Extremes: Slight Increase in Shipments, Accelerated Inventory Reduction] ⑴ Latest data shows a divergent picture in Canadian manufacturing. December manufacturing shipments increased by 0.6% month-over-month, indicating some resilience on the demand side. ⑵ However, the growth was driven by a modest expansion in new orders and unfulfilled orders, which increased slightly by 0.2% and 0.4% respectively compared to November, suggesting weak momentum for further growth. ⑶ Notably, there were significant changes in inventory levels. December manufacturing inventories decreased by 1.2% compared to November, indicating a faster pace of destocking. This brought the inventory-to-shipments ratio down to 1.69:1, a slight decline from the previous period. ⑷ The slight increase in shipments coupled with accelerated inventory reduction reflects that companies may be proactively adjusting inventory levels to cope with future uncertainties. The market is currently closely watching whether this trend will continue in subsequent data.

21:31:29

Canada's monthly rate of new manufacturing orders in December

Previous : -1.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20%

21:31:25

The monthly rate of outstanding orders in Canada's manufacturing sector in December

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.40%

21:31:19

Canada's manufacturing inventory monthly rate for December

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : -

Published Value -1.20%

21:31:12

Canada's manufacturing inventory shipment ratio for December

Previous : 1.72 Forecast : -

Published Value 1.69

21:30:52

Canada's manufacturing sales monthly rate for December

Previous : -1.20% Forecast : 0.50%

Published Value 0.60%

21:30:18

[Economists are more hawkish on UK inflation than the Bank of England, with clear disagreements on the path of interest rate cuts] ⑴ A survey shows that 22 out of 30 economists expect the UK's second-quarter CPI to be higher than the Bank of England's February monetary policy report forecast, indicating a more hawkish stance on inflation than the Bank of England itself. ⑵ Economists are divided on the number of interest rate cuts this year, with 18 predicting one or two cuts and 16 predicting two or three. The market generally expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates to 3.25% by the end of September and maintain it until at least the end of 2026.

21:27:48

[Federal Reserve's Bowman: Mortgage Servicing Rights Capital Requirements Too High, May Need Reconsideration] ⑴ Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman stated that the shift of U.S. mortgage lending from banks to non-bank lenders is a "worrying trend." She attributed part of the reason to the restrictive capital requirements applicable to mortgage servicing rights at the Orlando banking conference. ⑵ Mortgage servicing rights are an asset on a bank's balance sheet, representing the net fees a bank can expect to receive for servicing a mortgage over its life. Bowman pointed out that banks holding MSRs face high regulatory risk weights, which could hinder banks from building profitable servicing businesses. ⑶ She acknowledged that these regulations stem from "reasonable concerns" but believes adjustments should be considered to address these legitimate concerns about the structure of the mortgage market while maintaining appropriate prudential safeguards.

21:27:18

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman: U.S. banks will see new mortgage capital requirements in the Basel program.

21:26:56

[Options Market Bets on Long-Term Pound Decline, Political Risks Far From Gone] ⑴ On Monday, the pound stabilized, while the euro dipped slightly by 0.1% to 0.8687 pounds. Convera's Antonio Ruggiero stated in a report that although the political risk premium for the pound has decreased after cabinet ministers supported Prime Minister Starmer, political concerns remain. ⑵ Options market investors continued to buy protection to hedge against the risk of a long-term pound decline. Risk reversal indicators showed that the skew of call options betting on a rise in the euro against the pound was more moderate in short-term contracts than in long-term contracts, indicating that investors still expect political turmoil but are now more inclined to hedge against the risk of further pound weakness. ⑶ Ruggiero concluded: "In short, investors believe that political risks have subsided, but are far from gone."

21:26:21

Interest rate cut bets surge, dollar's safe-haven appeal fades! Awaiting a breakthrough in PCE. Details>

21:25:47

[Dollar Rises Slightly, Thin Liquidity Limits Volatility, Market Focuses on This Week's PCE] ⑴ On Monday, the dollar index rose modestly by 0.2% to 97.079. Zaheer Anwari, CEO of The Revacy Fund, stated in a report that the President's Day holiday resulted in thin liquidity, limiting market volatility. ⑵ However, he noted that the dollar faces the risk of renewed weakness, as weaker-than-expected US inflation data on Friday reinforced expectations of further rate cuts later this year. Market attention is now turning to the Fed meeting minutes released on Wednesday, and personal consumption expenditure inflation data and fourth-quarter economic growth data to be released on Friday. ⑶ He pointed out that if the PCE data confirms a general slowdown in inflation, the dollar and US Treasury yields could fall further.

21:24:50

February 16th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:22:19

[Canadian housing starts fell in January, December figure revised upward to 281,000 units] Data from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation showed that seasonally adjusted annualized housing starts in January totaled 238,000 units, down from the revised 280,700 units in December. The initial figure for December was 231,000 units.

21:22:11

Nigeria's inflation rate dipped slightly to 15.10% in January, with food price increases slowing. Data released Monday by Nigeria's Bureau of Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 15.10% year-on-year in January, a slight decrease from 15.15% in December. Food inflation was 8.89% in January, a slowdown from previous months.

21:15:02

New housing construction began in Canada in January

Previous : 28.24 Forecast : 26.33

Published Value 23.80

21:12:04

[Wang Xingxing: Unitree's "Martial Arts BOT" High-Dynamic, High-Collaboration Cluster Control Technology Makes its Global Debut] The "Martial Arts BOT" program, featuring robots practicing martial arts, ignited the audience during CCTV's Spring Festival Gala. Wang Xingxing, founder of Unitree Robotics, told reporters that this year, the robots completed rapid formation changes and martial arts movements while running at high speed. This high-dynamic, high-collaboration cluster control technology is making its global debut. "This action is very practical and lays the groundwork for subsequent robot cluster or single-robot scheduling in other scenarios." (CCTV News)

21:02:14

[GBP Swap Spreads Narrow Across the Board, 2-Year Leads the Decline] ⑴ On Monday, GBP swaps underperformed UK government bonds, with spreads narrowing across all maturities. Data shows that the 2-year spread narrowed by 0.4 basis points, the 5-year by 0.5 basis points, the 10-year by 0.3 basis points, and the 30-year by 0.2 basis points. ⑵ Note: Since the SONIA swap spread curve is generally negative, "widening" indicates a more negative spread (i.e., swaps outperform government bonds), and "narrowing" indicates a lessening of the negative value.

21:01:42

[National Road Traffic Remains Stable and Orderly on Lunar New Year's Eve] According to the Traffic Management Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security on February 16, traffic flow on major highways across the country declined on Lunar New Year's Eve. As of 6 p.m. that day, except for some areas affected by low temperatures and snow, resulting in temporary traffic congestion on certain sections and around commercial areas, overall road traffic across the country remained stable and orderly, with no major or above-level road traffic accidents reported. (Xinhua News Agency)

20:45:13

[The Battle for the Top Spot on the Spring Festival Gala: Four Manufacturers Spend Heavily to Compete] ⑴ Following Unitree Robotics' overnight success with its Yangko dance performance at last year's Spring Festival Gala, this year's CCTV Spring Festival Gala has become a marketing showcase for robot manufacturers. Unitree Robotics, Magic Atom, Galaxy General, and Songyan Power all appeared on the Year of the Horse Spring Festival Gala, half of which are from the Yangtze River Delta region. According to media reports, each company spared no expense to secure the partnership. ⑵ The industry is currently rapidly evolving to a critical inflection point of mass production and large-scale commercialization, with many companies entering the IPO sprint stage, and the atmosphere of competition for market share is becoming increasingly intense. For reference, the annual revenue of leading domestic humanoid robot companies is mostly in the hundreds of millions to billions of yuan range, while IDC statistics show that the global sales of humanoid robots in 2025 will only be about 3.04 billion yuan. This marketing investment is by no means a small amount for the relevant companies. ⑶ Several robots from Songyan Power appeared in the skit "Grandma's Favorite," not only interacting with the actors in the skit but also demonstrating skills such as somersaults and head extensions. The facial expressions of its bionic humanoid robot are extremely similar to those of Cai Ming, attracting attention. This bionic robot has 32 degrees of freedom and can achieve more than 200 micro-expression changes, with a facial imitation accuracy of over 90%. (4) Unitree Robotics' robot appeared in the martial arts performance program "Wu BOT". Previously, Songyan Power had launched the 10,000-yuan-level humanoid robot "Xiao Bumi," and its "Little Rascal" robot won second place in the first Humanoid Robot Half Marathon in 2025.

20:44:08

British Prime Minister Starmer: My duty after the Mandelson scandal was to stand up and fight.

20:43:57

Unitree Robotics' robots appeared in the Spring Festival Gala's martial arts performance, "Martial Arts BOT".

20:43:41

[Chevron Leads Consortium in Greek Offshore Gas Exploration Agreement, US Expands in Eastern Mediterranean] ⑴ A consortium led by US oil giant Chevron signed an exclusive lease agreement on Monday for natural gas exploration in the southern waters of Greece, doubling the area of sea available for exploration in Greece. The consortium was granted permission to explore four deep-sea blocks south of the Peloponnese peninsula and Crete, covering a total area of 47,000 square kilometers. ⑵ This is the second offshore exploration agreement involving a US energy giant in Greece in recent months. ExxonMobil, in partnership with Energean and Hellenic Energy, launched exploration in another block in western Greece in November. As the EU seeks to phase out Russian gas supplies, the US is accelerating its expansion of influence in the Eastern Mediterranean, while Chevron also plans to expand production in Israel.

20:36:28

[Yen Gives Back Some Gains as Weak GDP Data Weakens Rate Hike Expectations] ⑴ The yen fell 0.5% to $153.43 on Monday, partially erasing its nearly 3% weekly gain from the previous week, its biggest weekly gain in about 15 months. This followed a landslide victory for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party in the election, but the latest data showed that Japan's economy grew at an annualized rate of only 0.2% in the fourth quarter, far below expectations, highlighting the challenges facing the government. ⑵ Analysts at Danske Bank, specializing in foreign exchange and fixed income, stated that with the political dust settling somewhat after the election, the yen is becoming increasingly sensitive to data. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and the prime minister held their first meeting since the election on Monday, exchanging general views on economic and financial developments. The prime minister did not make any specific policy requests. ⑶ The market is currently pricing in a 20% probability of a rate hike at the Bank of Japan's March meeting, with institutional surveys predicting the central bank will wait until July to raise rates. The Bank of Japan raised its interest rate to a 30-year high of 0.75% in December, but this is still far below that of most major economies. (4) The US dollar index remained largely unchanged around 97, having fallen 0.8% last week due to lower-than-expected US January CPI. The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 62 basis points over the remainder of the year, equivalent to two 25-basis-point cuts plus a third cut with a roughly 50% probability. The first cut is most likely to occur in June, with an 80% probability. (5) The Swiss franc edged down to 0.7696 against the US dollar, after rising over 1% last week. Strategists at OCBC Bank pointed out that further appreciation of the Swiss franc could pose a downside risk to the Swiss National Bank's inflation forecasts, potentially challenging the central bank's recent tolerance for currency appreciation, although the threshold for returning to negative interest rates remains high. (6) The Australian dollar rose slightly by 0.2% to US$0.7083, slightly below the three-year high of US$0.71465 reached last week. The New Zealand dollar remained unchanged at US$0.6041; the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will hold a policy meeting on Wednesday, with the market widely expecting interest rates to remain unchanged.

20:33:53

[UK to Launch Green Bond Issuance in March 2037, Virtual Roadshow Opens Next Week] ⑴ The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) announced on February 13th the appointment of a syndicate to issue a new green bond maturing in March 2037, scheduled for the week beginning March 9th, with the exact timing depending on demand and market conditions. ⑵ The joint bookrunners for this transaction are Barclays, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, HSBC, JPMorgan Chase, and NatWest. All other wholesale gilt-edged bond marketers have been invited to serve as joint lead managers. ⑶ The DMO and the Treasury will hold virtual one-on-one meetings with investors on February 18th and 19th, focusing on the newly released green finance framework. The relevant framework documents and second-party advice provided by S&P Global have been published on the website.

20:31:54

[German Bond Yields Fall for Sixth Consecutive Day, Longest Streak Since November 2024] ⑴ On Monday, Eurozone bond yields continued their decline, with the yield on the German 10-year bond falling slightly to 2.7539%, hitting its lowest level since early December last year. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of decline, the longest losing streak since late November 2024. ⑵ Last week, the yield on the German 10-year bond fell by approximately 9 basis points, the largest weekly drop since March last year. This week started quietly, coinciding with holidays in the US and parts of Asia, but a flurry of economic data releases could influence expectations for the European Central Bank's policy. ⑶ Rainer Guntermann, interest rate strategist at Commerzbank, noted that German bonds may take a breather amid stabilizing risk sentiment and the US holiday, but the positive duration profile is expected to continue until Friday's data releases. (4) Andrzej Szczepaniak, senior European economist at Nomura, expects the data to be generally stronger than the consensus. If this is the case, the market's current pricing of an 8 basis point rate cut by December 2026 may be reduced by 2 to 3 basis points. (5) Money market bets on a December rate cut by the European Central Bank eased slightly on Monday, after rising to about 40% probability following Friday's US inflation data. The yield on German two-year government bonds, which is sensitive to interest rate expectations, remained largely unchanged at 2.0496%. (6) This week, the market will also be closely watching Friday's release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which is widely regarded as a key reference for the Federal Reserve's decision-making.

20:31:45

[Brazil's soybean harvest lags behind last year, second-season corn planting also slows] ⑴ Agricultural consultancy AgRural said on Monday that as of last Thursday, Brazilian farmers had harvested 21% of the 2025/26 soybean crop, a 5 percentage point increase from the previous week, but lower than the 24% harvest at the same time last year. ⑵ AgRural stated that the slowdown in harvesting is mainly due to increased rainfall in some states, particularly Mato Grosso, where sunny weather has become scarce. Second-season corn planting in south-central Brazil has reached 31% of the projected area, compared to 36% at the same time last year. The first-season corn harvest is 22% complete, lagging behind the 29% harvest at the same time last year.

19:57:54

[Vitol Leads $3 Billion South African LNG Power Plant Project, Receives Strategic Government Support] ⑴ Global commodities trader Vitol confirmed it is leading a consortium to invest $3 billion in a gas-fired power plant and associated LNG import facilities in Durban, on South Africa's east coast. The consortium includes Saudi Arabia's ACWA Power, Vitol's Vivo Energy, and its terminal operator VTTI. ⑵ South Africa sees natural gas as key to phasing out coal-fired power, aiming to add 16 gigawatts of natural gas-fired power generation capacity by 2039. The project plans to build a 1,000-1,800 MW combined cycle gas turbine power plant and related LNG import facilities. ⑶ The project received strategic integrated project status from the South African government last September, which will expedite its progress by reducing bureaucratic hurdles such as licensing procedures. Vitol stated that 20 hectares of land have been reserved for the project, but a specific timeline cannot yet be provided. Sources familiar with the matter said that in addition to power generation, the project plans to distribute regasified LNG via pipelines and trucks, and provide LNG bunkering services for shipping.

19:37:37

[India Further Tightens Trading Regulations, Brokerage Stocks Plunge] ⑴ On February 13, the Reserve Bank of India announced that all bank credit facilities provided to brokerage firms must be fully guaranteed, and banks are prohibited from providing loans to brokerage firms for their proprietary securities purchases, including proprietary trading. ⑵ Affected by the new regulations, the share prices of capital market-related companies listed in Mumbai fell by as much as 9% on February 16. Exchange operator BSE fell by 9%, while brokerages such as Groww's parent company Billionbrains Garage Ventures, Motilal Oswal, and Angel One saw declines between 1% and 7%. ⑶ Breakingviews columnist points out that, coupled with previous tax increases, this indicates India's keen interest in curbing excessive risk-taking in the $1.4 trillion options market, and further actions are expected in the future.

19:35:21

[UBS: Weaker-than-expected inflation data could lead to two Fed rate cuts between June and September] ⑴ UBS strategists stated in a report that the improved outlook for Fed rate cuts could benefit stocks, bonds, and gold. Following weaker-than-expected US inflation data last week, the Fed is expected to cut rates in the coming months. ⑵ The institution believes the Fed is still likely to further ease policy, predicting two 25-basis-point rate cuts between June and September.

19:26:21

Spot palladium has just broken through the $1700.00/oz mark, last trading at $1700.69/oz, up 0.87% on the day; Nymex palladium futures are last trading at $1722.00/oz, up 1.09% on the day.

19:26:18

US Dollar Index Analysis: Long-term bearish trend remains unchanged. Details>

19:26:07

[German Interior Minister Announces Border Control Extension for Another Six Months] ⑴ German Interior Minister Dobrinth announced on the 16th that the German government will extend the temporary border control measures, originally scheduled to expire on March 15, 2026, for another six months. He revealed that border control is part of a readjustment of Germany's immigration policy. ⑵ The relevant notification is currently being submitted to the European Commission. According to current EU regulations, the Schengen Area does not have systematic border checks in principle; therefore, member states must follow formal notification procedures when reinstating or extending border controls.

19:21:31

The final reading of India's government trade deficit in USD for January

Previous : 250.40 Forecast : 257.10

Published Value 346.80

19:21:15

India's final value of imports in USD for January

Previous : 635.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 712.40

19:21:02

The final value of India's exports in USD for January

Previous : 385.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 365.60

19:19:04

According to Lighthouse Pro, as of 7:11 PM on February 16, the total box office (including pre-sales) for the 2026 Spring Festival film season (February 15-February 23) has exceeded 600 million yuan.

19:18:56

Indian trade officials expect the US to reduce tariffs on Indian goods to 18% this week. India's chief negotiator will travel to the US next week to finalize a trade agreement.

19:18:24

[Kazuo Ueda Says Meeting Was Without Pressure, Prime Minister Did Not Make Specific Demands] ⑴ Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday that his meeting with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi lasted only 20 minutes. They discussed the overall economic and financial situation, and Takaichi did not make any specific policy demands. ⑵ Investors and economists are trying to determine whether Takaichi, now in a more stable political position, will slow the pace of interest rate hikes to protect economic growth, or urge the central bank to take action to support the yen. ⑶ Hideo Kumano, a former Bank of Japan official and executive economist at the Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute, believes that Takaichi probably wanted to complete the meeting quickly to avoid unnecessary market speculation if they met long after the election. Ueda likely shares this view. ⑷ Due to the short meeting, it is unlikely that the two sides had in-depth discussions on policy paths. Ueda declined to comment on whether Takaichi agreed with his views on the central bank's policy stance.

19:17:52

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in Budapest on Monday that what happens in Hungary should be decided by the country's voters.

19:12:48

The reversal in palm oil exports: is it because stockpiling hasn't started yet, or is demand truly weak? Details>

19:10:58

Spot gold has just broken through the $5,000.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,999.86/ounce, down 0.85% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5,022.10/ounce, down 0.48% on the day.

19:07:43

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky must organize elections

19:05:47

The USD/CHF pair just touched the 0.7700 level, last trading at 0.7700, up 0.31% on the day.

18:22:44

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Copper

Previous : 7225 Forecast : -

Published Value 7975

18:22:35

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Primary aluminum

Previous : -2000 Forecast : -

Published Value -2000

18:22:24

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

18:22:16

LME Daily Inventory Changes in the UK on February 16th - Tin

Previous : -50 Forecast : -

Published Value 240

18:22:08

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Nickel

Previous : 702 Forecast : -

Published Value -168

18:21:57

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

18:21:07

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Lead

Previous : -250 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

18:20:59

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Zinc

Previous : -1275 Forecast : -

Published Value -50

18:20:56

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on February 16th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

18:20:19

[DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp Released: Improved Training and Inference Efficiency, API Price Reduced Simultaneously] DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp was officially released today. This is an experimental version. As an intermediate step towards a next-generation architecture, V3.2-Exp introduces DeepSeek Sparse Attention (a sparse attention mechanism) on top of V3.1-Terminus, exploratoryly optimizing and validating training and inference efficiency for long texts. Currently, the official app, website, and mini-program have all been updated to DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp, and the API price has been significantly reduced.

18:20:00

The average weekly amount of domestic demand deposits in Switzerland for the week ending February 13

Previous : 4305.96 Forecast : -

Published Value 4370.22

18:19:38

The total amount of demand deposits in Switzerland for the week ending February 13

Previous : 4473.59 Forecast : -

Published Value 4526.68

18:19:33

Geopolitical conflicts failed to reverse the downward trend, and downward revisions to demand expectations suppressed the rebound in oil prices. Details>

18:18:47

According to the Ministry of Transport, during the first 15 days of the 2026 Spring Festival travel rush, the total number of cross-regional passenger flows is expected to reach 3,509,342,000, with an average daily flow of 233,956,000, representing a 4.0% increase compared to the same period in 2025.

18:18:40

[Eurozone Industrial Output Falls 1.4% Month-on-Month in December, Capital Goods Lead the Decline] ⑴ Eurostat data released Monday showed that Eurozone industrial output fell 1.4% month-on-month in December, slightly better than the 1.5% decline predicted in a survey; year-on-year growth was 1.2%, slightly lower than the expected 1.3%. ⑵ Breaking down the data, month-on-month, capital goods output fell sharply by 1.9%, becoming the main drag; energy output fell by 0.3%, non-durable consumer goods output fell by 0.3%, and intermediate goods output fell slightly by 0.1%. Durable consumer goods output, however, rose slightly by 0.2%. ⑶ Year-on-year, capital goods output rose by 4.1%, intermediate goods output rose by 1.5%, energy output fell by 0.7%, durable consumer goods output fell by 2.4%, and non-durable consumer goods output fell by 2.1%.

18:17:28

[Malaysian Palm Oil Futures Fall Under Pressure as Exports Plunge and Profit-Taking Exert Pressure] ⑴ Malaysian palm oil futures prices fell on Tuesday as data from shipping surveyor AmSpec Agri Malaysia showed a roughly 15% drop in exports between February 1st and 15th compared to the previous week. ⑵ Kenanga Futures noted in a report that a stronger Malaysian ringgit and profit-taking amid a shorter trading week also put pressure on prices. Analysts at the firm set support at 4,000 ringgit per tonne for the May crude palm oil futures contract and resistance at 4,080 ringgit per tonne. ⑶ The benchmark May contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed down 32 ringgit at 4,014 ringgit per tonne on Tuesday.

18:17:19

[Russia's February Grain Export Forecast Revised Upwards, Wheat Exports Rebound Significantly Month-on-Month] ⑴ According to agricultural consulting firm Sovecon, Russia's total exports of wheat, barley, and corn in February reached 3.7 million tons, higher than January's 3.3 million tons. ⑵ By variety, February wheat exports are estimated at 3.3 million tons, a significant increase from January's 2.9 million tons. Barley exports are estimated at 200,000 tons, and corn exports are also estimated at 200,000 tons. ⑶ Since April 2022, the Russian Customs Service has suspended the publication of certain import and export data to prevent "speculative activities."

18:16:43

[EU May Finalize ECB President Selection Ahead of Schedule to Avoid Far-Right French Rise] ⑴ European governments may choose to expedite the selection of Christine Lagarde's successor to avoid having to negotiate with a far-right French president after the 2027 French election. Lagarde's term will last until October next year, and her successor is usually chosen that summer. ⑵ However, the risk that Marine Le Pen or her successor Jordan Bardella might win the French election starting in April 2027 is prompting European leaders to consider adjusting this timeline.

18:13:59

Eurozone seasonally adjusted industrial output monthly rate for December

Previous : 0.70% Forecast : -1.50%

Published Value -1.40%

18:13:53

The annual rate of industrial output adjusted for working days in the eurozone in December

Previous : 2.50% Forecast : 1.30%

Published Value 1.20%

18:13:15

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2030.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2026.75/ounce, down 1.74% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2040.7/ounce, down 1.75% on the day.

18:13:04

[Trump Wields Tariff Stick Again, Russian Ambassador Denounces as "Completely Insane"] ⑴ According to TASS, Russian Ambassador to Cuba Viktor Koronelli criticized US President Trump's recent executive order imposing tariffs on countries supplying oil to Cuba as "completely insane." ⑵ Koronelli stated that Cuba's current fuel supply difficulties are directly related to the US government's fuel blockade against Cuba. He pointed out that today's situation is a direct consequence of the executive order, a practice that completely violates international law and effectively constitutes sanctions against third countries trading with Cuba.

17:46:57

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2040.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $2039.90/oz, down 1.10% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2052.1/oz, down 1.20% on the day.

17:41:50

US Treasury yields are about to fall to 4.05%, so why is no one daring to buy the dip? Details>

17:38:51

The Kremlin stated that it agrees with the view of the Slovak Financial Intelligence Center (FICO) that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy attempted to blackmail Hungarian President Orbán by delaying the restart of the "Friendship" oil pipeline.

17:38:42

The Kremlin commented on the Slovak Prime Minister's accusation that Ukraine was delaying the restart of the "Friendship" oil pipeline: Completely agree.

17:30:09

[ASB Bank Finalizes 5.5-Year Euro Secured Bond, Target Rating Aaa/AAA] ⑴ ASB Bank Limited has appointed CBA, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, Natixis, and UBS as joint lead managers to issue a 5.5-year, €500 million (non-renewable) Reg S registered secured bond. ⑵ The bond is 100% guaranteed by high-quality New Zealand residential mortgage loans and meets the European Secured Bond Labelling (ESC) standard. The expected issuance rating is Aaa/AAA (Moody's/Fitch). The transaction will commence soon, depending on market conditions. ⑶ Referring to recent transactions: BMO issued €500 million of 5-year bonds on January 21st with a coupon rate of 2.750% and an issuance spread of +22 basis points; BNS issued €1.25 billion of 3-year and €1.25 billion of 7-year bonds on the same day, with spreads of +12 and +27 basis points respectively. (4) NACN issued €1 billion of 5-year bonds on January 20, with a spread of +22 basis points; MQGAU issued €650 million of 5-year bonds on February 18, with a spread of +27 basis points.

17:29:28

[Swedish December Employment Data Revised, Unemployment Rate Better Than Expected] ⑴ Data released by Statistics Sweden on Monday showed that total employment in Sweden in December 2025 was revised to 5.252 million, up from the previous figure of 5.729 million. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 8.8%, down from 9.0% previously, and better than the 8.9% expected by institutional surveys. ⑵ The unadjusted unemployment rate for December was 8.3%.

17:24:16

[Euro Swap Spreads Mixed, Buxl Spreads Widen Significantly] ⑴ On Monday, most euro swap spreads remained largely unchanged from the close, but the Buxl spread widened significantly. Data showed that the spread between Euribor and Schatz government bonds, as well as the spread between ESR and Schatz government bonds, narrowed by 0.1 basis points. ⑵ The spread between Euribor and Bobl government bonds, and its equivalent spread with ESR, also narrowed by 0.1 basis points. The Bund government bond spread narrowed by 0.2 basis points, while the Buxl spread widened by 0.5 basis points.

17:24:05

[Japanese Government Bond Futures Rally Then Fall Back as Weaker-than-Expected GDP Data Fails to Overcome Selling Pressure at Longer Bonds] ⑴ On Monday, Japanese government bond futures opened higher, boosted by lower US Treasury yields and weaker-than-expected economic growth data. However, the gains were hampered by weakness in ultra-long-term bonds, resulting in light trading throughout the day. ⑵ Futures jumped 10 points from Friday to open at 131.90, then rose to an intraday high of 132.02. Data showed that Japan's annualized GDP growth for the October-December quarter was only 0.2%, far below the 1.6% growth forecast by institutional surveys. ⑶ However, futures failed to break through this level as they had on Thursday and Friday of the previous week. The 10-year yield briefly fell below 2.20% to 2.195% in the morning but quickly rebounded above 2.20%. ⑷ Futures then fell back to 131.90 around 10:00 AM and remained there until the close. Selling pressure first appeared in 20-year bonds and spread to 30-year and 40-year bonds in the afternoon. Trading was light throughout the day as US markets were closed on Monday and many Asian financial centers were on Lunar New Year holiday. A trader at a Japanese securities firm noted some pension funds buying 20-year non-benchmark bonds, while offshore institutions were selling 5-year non-benchmark bonds, but overall trading was not active. Futures briefly rose to 132.06 during the night session. The trader believed that if Tuesday's 5-year government bond auction went smoothly, especially given the Bank of Japan's plan to purchase a large amount of bonds through regular operations on Wednesday, futures could temporarily hold above 132.02.

17:06:46

[Oil Prices Hold Steady as Middle East Talks and Supply Pressure Limit Upside] ⑴ Oil prices were largely steady on Monday, with the market remaining cautious ahead of the second round of talks between the US and Iran this week. Brent crude rose slightly by 0.1% to $67.60 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained unchanged at $62.30 a barrel, after recording a weekly decline last week. ⑵ Saxo Bank analysts noted that without disruptions to Middle East supply, the upside potential for oil prices to continue rising above $70 seems limited. The market continues to emphasize ample supply, and there are signs that some OPEC members believe there is room to resume production increases in April. ⑶ Traders are also closely watching the US-mediated talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials, which aim to end the four-year war. Potential easing of geopolitical tensions could also put pressure on oil prices.

17:06:04

Affected by a sharp drop in wind power supply, the baseload electricity price in France on the over-the-counter market was €38/MWh, a 214% increase compared to the price for delivery on Friday, Monday.

16:40:49

[Eurozone Bond Market Surges, Marking Longest Winning Streak; Markets Hold Breath Awaiting Inflation Storm] ⑴ On Monday, the Eurozone bond market continued its strong performance, with the yield on German 10-year government bonds falling 1 basis point to 2.7468%, hitting its lowest level since early December last year. ⑵ This marks the sixth consecutive trading day of decline for this benchmark yield, marking the longest losing streak since late November 2024. Last week, the yield on German 10-year government bonds fell by approximately 9 basis points, recording its largest weekly drop since March last year. ⑶ Monday's market opening was relatively calm, coinciding with holidays in the US and parts of Asia. However, a series of key economic data releases are scheduled for later this week, and traders are closely watching these data points that could influence expectations for the European Central Bank's monetary policy. ⑷ Money market bets on a December rate cut by the European Central Bank are currently slightly below 40%, an expectation that has rebounded after the release of US inflation data last Friday. The yield on German two-year government bonds, which is sensitive to interest rate expectations, was essentially unchanged at 2.0531% on Monday. (5) This week, major Eurozone economies will release their final Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, along with the region's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The market will also closely watch key US data, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, widely considered a key inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. (6) Furthermore, due to weaker-than-expected Japanese economic data, traders have reduced their bets on an early interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan. On Monday, the Japanese Prime Minister and the Bank of Japan Governor will hold their first meeting since the ruling party's landslide victory in last week's election.

38

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	5098.85	103.02 (2.06%)
XAG	84.227	5.873 (7.50%)
CONC	66.31	-0.09 (-0.14%)
OILC	71.58	-0.31 (-0.44%)
USD	97.807	-0.045 (-0.05%)
EURUSD	1.1785	0.0012 (0.10%)
GBPUSD	1.3484	0.0021 (0.16%)
USDCNH	6.8955	-0.0024 (-0.04%)

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