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2025-12-15 Monday

2025-12-20

19:10:20

[Double Non-Farm Payrolls Report Released: First Data Gap in 80 Years – Will the Truth About US Employment Be Revealed?] ⑴ On Tuesday, the US Department of Labor will release two employment reports delayed due to the government shutdown, covering data for October and November. The market will receive its first official answer in months regarding the health of the labor market. ⑵ The report will include the November unemployment rate and some October hiring data, but will lack the October unemployment rate because the survey could not be conducted during the shutdown. This is the first time in nearly 80 years that this monthly indicator has been unavailable. ⑶ The last regular report showed that September saw 119,000 new jobs, stronger than expected, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, a four-year high. ⑷ Since September, private sector indicators have shown mixed hiring, with the labor market continuing to cool but not collapse. Economists expect October job growth to decline due to the federal government's delayed resignation plan, but November should see a modest positive growth. (5) Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pointed out last week that official data may overestimate monthly job growth by as much as 60,000, meaning that actual job growth may have been weaker over the past period. (6) This report will also include routine revisions to data from previous months, the results of which will affect market expectations for the Fed's policy path, especially given the recent heightened concerns about an economic slowdown.

19:07:23

The total reserve assets of the eurozone in November

Previous : 17097.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 17546

19:05:24

[German 10-Year Bond Yields Hover Near Nine-Month High] ⑴ The yield on German 10-year government bonds held steady at around 2.84% in the last full trading week of the year, hovering near a nine-month high. ⑵ Investors are preparing for the European Central Bank's monetary policy decision to be announced this week. ⑶ The market widely expects the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time, while market pricing indicates a roughly 30% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the end of 2026. ⑷ Eurozone inflation slowed to 2.2% in November, while third-quarter GDP grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter. ⑸ Most policymakers continue to believe that current policy rates are at an "appropriate level." ⑹ ECB President Christine Lagarde recently hinted that the central bank may raise its growth forecasts.

19:05:21

Indicators Fail? Lessons from Gold Investment in 2025 Details>

19:04:04

As of December 12th, commercial inventories of soybean oil in key regions across China

Previous : 116.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 113.74

19:03:57

[Poland's November Inflation Rate Falls to Lowest Level Since May 2024] ⑴ Poland's annual inflation rate slowed to 2.5% in November 2025, the lowest level since May 2024, lower than the previous month's 2.8% and also lower than preliminary estimates. ⑵ The slowdown in inflation was mainly driven by slower price growth in the following categories: food and non-alcoholic beverage prices rose 2.7% year-on-year, compared to 3.4% in the previous month; housing and utilities prices rose 4.1% year-on-year, compared to 4.2% in the previous month; entertainment and cultural prices rose 1.7% year-on-year, compared to 2.0% in the previous month; and education prices rose 6.1% year-on-year, compared to 6.2% in the previous month. ⑶ Meanwhile, furniture, home furnishings, and routine household maintenance prices fell 1.8% year-on-year, a larger decline than the 1.1% decline in the previous month; clothing and footwear prices fell 2.1% year-on-year, a larger decline than the 1.1% decline in the previous month. ⑷ Transportation prices fell 2.3% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous month. (5) Conversely, prices for alcoholic beverages and tobacco rose 7.1% year-on-year, slightly higher than the 7.0% increase in the previous month; prices for other goods and services rose 1.0% year-on-year, higher than the 0.8% increase in the previous month. (6) On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices rose 0.1% in November, the same as in October.

19:03:26

[Bulgaria's November Inflation Rate Slows to Five-Month Low] ⑴ Bulgaria's annual inflation rate slowed to 5.2% in November 2025, down from 5.3% in the previous month. ⑵ This is the lowest reading since June, mainly driven by a slowdown in food and non-alcoholic beverage price increases to 5%, down from 6.4% in the previous month; alcoholic beverage and tobacco price increases slowed to 7.2%, down from 7.8% in the previous month; communication price increases slowed to 3.9%, down from 5.4% in the previous month; and education price increases slowed to 8.4%, down from 8.7% in the previous month. ⑶ In addition, healthcare prices fell steadily by 4.5% year-on-year. ⑷ On the other hand, inflation in furniture, home equipment and maintenance prices accelerated to 1%, down from 0.6% in the previous month; transportation price inflation accelerated to 1.1%, down from 0.5% in the previous month; entertainment and cultural price inflation accelerated to 18.4%, down from 15.7% in the previous month; miscellaneous goods and services price inflation accelerated to 5.6%, down from 5% in the previous month; while restaurant and hotel price inflation remained stable at 10.2%. (5) Clothing and footwear prices rose 1% year-on-year, compared to a 0.3% decrease in the previous month. (6) On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices rose 0.5% in November, marking the second consecutive month of increase, compared to a 0.9% increase in the previous month.

19:02:44

[Latvia's Current Account Deficit Narrows to Nearly Two-Year Low in October] ⑴ Latvia recorded a current account deficit of €23 million in October 2025, narrowing from €77 million in the same period last year. ⑵ This is the smallest deficit since February last year, mainly driven by a shift to a surplus in the primary income account. ⑶ The primary income account recorded a surplus of €97 million, compared to a deficit of €49 million in the same period last year. ⑷ In addition, the secondary income account surplus widened to €55 million from €27 million. ⑸ On the other hand, the goods account deficit widened to €326 million from €253 million. ⑹ The services account surplus narrowed to €152 million from €198 million.

19:02:23

[Eurozone Industrial Production Rises 0.8% Month-on-Month in October, Year-on-Year Growth Hits Five-Month High] ⑴ Eurozone industrial production rose 0.8% month-on-month in October 2025, the largest increase since May 2025, higher than the previous month's 0.2%, in line with market expectations. ⑵ Growth was broad-based, with durable goods production rising 2.0% month-on-month, non-durable goods production rising 1.2%, energy production rising 1.1%, capital goods production rising 0.5%, and intermediate goods production rising 0.3%. ⑶ Among the major Eurozone economies, Germany's output rose 1.4% month-on-month, Ireland's 4.0%, Spain's 0.9%, the Netherlands' 0.3%, and France's 0.2%; while Italy's output fell 1.0%, Belgium's 3.4%, and Sweden's 6.5%. ⑷ Year-on-year, industrial production rose 2.0% in October, a five-month high, accelerating from September's 1.2% and exceeding the forecast of 1.9%.

19:01:35

[Croatia's November Inflation Rate Confirmed at 3.8%] ⑴ Croatia's annual inflation rate rose to 3.8% in November 2025, up from 3.6% in the previous month, in line with preliminary estimates. ⑵ The upward pressure mainly came from rising housing and utility prices, with their inflation rate rising to 8.8% from 8.4% in October. ⑶ Categories with rising inflation rates also included: alcoholic beverages and tobacco prices rose 5% year-on-year, up from 4.5% in October; furniture, home furnishings and routine household maintenance prices rose 0.4% year-on-year, up from 0.1% in October; entertainment and cultural prices rose 3.7% year-on-year, up from 3.0% in October; restaurant and hotel prices rose 7.3% year-on-year, up from 6.9% in October; and communication prices rose 5.1% year-on-year, up from 4.1% in October. (4) On the other hand, clothing and footwear prices fell 2.5% year-on-year, a larger drop than the 2.2% decline in October; transportation prices fell 0.1% year-on-year, a smaller drop than the 1.1% decline in October; and food and non-alcoholic beverage prices rose 4.0% year-on-year, a lower increase than the 4.4% in October. (5) On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices rose 0.6% in November, the same as in October, in line with preliminary estimates. (6) Meanwhile, the harmonized annual consumer inflation rate accelerated from 4.0% to 4.3%.

19:01:12

[Czech Republic's Current Account Surplus Expands Year-on-Year in October] ⑴ The Czech Republic's current account surplus expanded to 16.83 billion crowns in October 2025, compared to 11.73 billion crowns in the same period last year. ⑵ This improvement was mainly driven by a larger goods account surplus, which increased to 42.58 billion crowns from 31.35 billion crowns in October 2024. ⑶ In addition, the services account surplus narrowed to 1.27 billion crowns, compared to 4.67 billion crowns in the same period last year. ⑷ Meanwhile, the secondary income account improved, with its deficit narrowing to 3.2 billion crowns from 5.97 billion crowns in the same period last year. ⑸ At the same time, the primary income account surplus expanded to 23.82 billion crowns from 18.32 billion crowns in October 2024. ⑹ Cumulatively, from January to October this year, the current account recorded a surplus of 41.17 billion crowns, compared to 116.89 billion crowns in the same period last year.

19:00:39

[Greece's Construction Output Grew by 3.3% in Q3] ⑴ Greece's construction output grew by 3.3% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, with the previous quarter's growth revised down to 5.6%. ⑵ This marks the second consecutive quarter of growth in construction activity, primarily supported by faster growth in residential and non-residential construction output. ⑶ Residential and non-residential construction output increased by 9.8% year-on-year, higher than the 9.2% in the second quarter; meanwhile, specialized construction activity output increased by 6.6% year-on-year, reversing the 3.5% year-on-year decline in the second quarter. ⑷ On the other hand, civil engineering construction output declined by 6% year-on-year, reversing the 13% growth trend of the previous quarter. ⑸ On a quarter-on-quarter basis, construction activity declined by 2.3% in the third quarter, with the previous quarter's quarter-on-quarter growth revised down to 41.9%.

19:00:18

[Botswana's November Inflation Rate Slightly Declines to 3.8%] ⑴ Botswana's annual inflation rate in November 2025 was 3.8%, slightly lower than the 13-month high of 3.9% reached the previous month. ⑵ Price growth slowed in some consumer price index categories, mainly with transportation prices rising 5.6% year-on-year, lower than October's 6.2%; entertainment and cultural prices rising 0.6% year-on-year, lower than October's 1.3%; and healthcare prices rising 2.3% year-on-year, lower than October's 2.6%. ⑶ Meanwhile, food prices rose 5.5% year-on-year, unchanged from October's reading; while housing and utilities prices fell 3% year-on-year, a slightly smaller decline than October's 3.1% drop. ⑷ On the other hand, alcoholic beverage and tobacco prices rose significantly by 10% year-on-year, higher than October's 9.8%; miscellaneous goods and services prices rose 8.8% year-on-year, higher than October's 8.4%. ⑸ On a month-on-month basis, the consumer price index in November was unchanged from the previous month, compared to a 0.3% increase in the previous month.

19:00:08

Brazil's IGP-10 inflation index monthly rate for December

Previous : 0.18% Forecast : 0.05%

Published Value 0.04%

18:38:48

[Middle East Crude Oil Under Pressure, Murban Premium Falls to Two-Week Low, Supply Growth Becomes Focus] ⑴ The Murban premium, the benchmark for Middle Eastern crude oil, continued its decline on Monday, hitting a two-week low, mainly due to ample supply of this type of oil and pressure from the prospect of increased production in the Middle East. ⑵ Meanwhile, news that Kazakhstan hopes to deliver new mooring points to the Caspian Pipeline consortium's Black Sea oil terminal ahead of schedule also strengthened market expectations of increased oil supply. ⑶ On Monday, premiums for Oman and Dubai crude oil were little changed, with the premium for cash Dubai to swap contracts rising slightly by 1 cent to 55 cents per barrel. ⑷ Trading in the Singapore spot market showed that several suppliers, including Equinor and BP, sold multiple lots of Upper Zakum crude oil for February loading to Glencore at a price of $61.25 per barrel. ⑸ Global shipping costs are likely to remain high in the first half of 2026 due to an aging fleet and an increase in vessels affected by Western sanctions, but freight rates may be limited in the second half of the year. China’s crude oil processing volume rose 3.9% year-on-year in November, with a new batch of crude oil import quotas offsetting the impact of some state-owned refinery maintenance.

18:33:57

[Silver Surges to Record Highs Amid Low Inventories and Strong Demand; Caution Required After the Frenzy] ⑴ Spot silver hit a record high last Friday, with a year-to-date gain exceeding 120%, meaning it is poised for its largest annual gain since 1979. ⑵ Meanwhile, the gold-silver ratio briefly fell below 67, its lowest level since June 2021, and is currently only slightly above its 50-year average. ⑶ This strong performance in silver is mainly attributed to global exchange-traded silver inventories falling to near-decade lows, while silver ETF holdings have increased significantly, with data showing a 1,145-ton increase in holdings within a month. ⑷ Although the short-term rally has accumulated substantial gains, the market needs to remain cautious, but the long-term fundamental outlook remains optimistic. ⑸ According to the World Silver Institute's demand report, demand for silver in areas such as photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and data centers/artificial intelligence is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, supporting its long-term value.

18:31:34

[US Treasury Bulls Stir, Yields Decline, Focus on Non-Farm Payrolls and Inflation to Determine Direction] ⑴ US Treasury yields fell in the afternoon European trading session as investors awaited key employment and inflation data and continued to bet on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. ⑵ The delayed October and November non-farm payroll data, scheduled for release on Tuesday, will be closely scrutinized by the market to confirm whether the labor market is weak. ⑶ Kudotrade analyst Konstantinos Chrysikos pointed out that weak data would further strengthen market expectations for multiple rate cuts in 2026, thus continuing to put pressure on the dollar and US Treasury yields. ⑷ He believes that the upcoming US data "could determine the market direction in the coming weeks." ⑸ According to institutional data, the 2-year US Treasury yield fell 1.7 basis points to 3.513%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield fell 3 basis points to 4.165%.

18:30:15

[Six Departments Including the Ministry of Commerce: Implementing an Innovation-Driven Action] Building Digital Trade Industrial Clusters. Supporting qualified regions in establishing internationally recognized data security and privacy protection mechanisms, promoting the deep integration of the digital economy and the real economy, and constructing digital trade industrial clusters. Focusing on optimizing the digital business environment, cultivating and strengthening industrial capabilities, actively developing international data service businesses, exploring the establishment of a data service industry chain for overseas data storage, processing, and trading, accelerating the development of new forms and models of digital trade, and cultivating new growth points for foreign trade. Supporting Innovation in Service Outsourcing-Related Businesses. Supporting eligible resource-based cities in central and western China in developing service outsourcing businesses related to cloud computing, supercomputing, intelligent computing, and artificial intelligence, undertaking domestic and international information technology outsourcing and digital service transfers, and exploring new paths for the digital transformation of resource-based cities.

18:29:52

[Six departments including the Ministry of Commerce: Implementing an action plan to enhance platform carriers.] Supporting high-quality development of demonstration cities. Guiding each service outsourcing demonstration city (hereinafter referred to as demonstration city) to combine regional major strategies and urban development strategies, carefully study and analyze its location characteristics, resource endowment, industrial foundation, and comparative advantages, determine the functional positioning of service outsourcing development, formulate development goals, refine key tasks, cultivate key projects, expand application scenarios, and create a favorable ecosystem for service outsourcing development. Supporting demonstration cities in the eastern region to leverage their advantages in agglomerating high-end service outsourcing elements and build a global service outsourcing development hub. Supporting demonstration cities in the central, western, and northeastern regions to expand their advantageous and distinctive service outsourcing areas, actively undertake offshore and onshore outsourcing transfers, cultivate new growth points, and promote coordinated regional development of service outsourcing. Strengthening park platform construction. Supporting various regions to combine urban renewal, building replacement, and other development plans, utilize their resource endowments, focus on leading industries, leverage comparative advantages, build personalized and differentiated service outsourcing parks, construct digital infrastructure, allocate various high-quality elements and resources, and gradually upgrade from traditional service models to an "industry empowerment + ecosystem service" model. Support the construction of public service platforms for service outsourcing in various regions, strengthen data sharing among enterprises, governments, and professional institutions, and promote "one-stop online services." Support professional institutions in the service outsourcing field to enhance their international service capabilities, connect with international resources, and better leverage their role in policy research and export promotion.

18:27:08

After surpassing the $4,000 mark, has short-term demand for palm oil lagged behind? — Bullish and bearish logic is converging. Details>

18:24:04

[Six Departments Including the Ministry of Commerce Issue the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing"] The Ministry of Commerce and five other departments issued a notice regarding the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing." The notice proposes that by 2030, a number of internationally competitive leading service outsourcing enterprises will be cultivated, and a number of service outsourcing clusters with strong innovation capabilities and distinctive advantageous industries will be built. The digitalization, intelligentization, greening, and integration of service outsourcing will be further improved, and the number of jobs created will increase significantly. Service outsourcing will become an important component of innovative service trade and innovative development of digital trade. (Ministry of Commerce website)

18:23:22

[Internal Divisions Within the Bank of England: Governor's Vote Decides the Outcome, Is a Rate-Cutting Cycle Beginning?] ⑴ Deutsche Bank analyst Sanjay Raja predicts that Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, having seen sufficient evidence of weakening wage growth and declining inflation in consumer and service prices, will cast a decisive vote this week in favor of a rate cut. ⑵ He predicts a 5-4 vote at this meeting, with Governor Bailey's stance being crucial. ⑶ Since the similarly 5-4 split in November, new data shows a slowdown in UK GDP growth in the third quarter, and weakening labor demand. ⑷ Raja believes policymakers may abandon the "gradual" wording in their policy guidance, adopting a more neutral, data-driven forward-looking stance. ⑸ He expects the Bank of England to cut rates twice more in March and June 2026, ultimately bringing the final interest rate to 3.25%.

18:21:01

[Interest Rate Spread Alert: West German 30-Year Bond Premium Deviations from Mean by 2.1 Standard Deviations] ⑴ After adjusting for the directional nature of the interest rate spread between the two countries, 30-year Spanish bonds appear "expensive" relative to 30-year German bonds. ⑵ Based on a two-month constant yield to maturity regression model, the yield on 30-year Spanish bonds is 2.8 basis points higher than the beta-adjusted yield on 30-year German bonds. ⑶ This premium of 2.1 standard deviations indicates that the current interest rate spread has significantly deviated from its recent historical average, potentially suggesting a short-term imbalance in market pricing of long-term credit risk or liquidity between the two countries.

18:20:51

[German Bond Curve Steepening Pauses, Long-Term Yields Touch 10-Year Psychological Barrier] ⑴ The spread between German 5-year and 30-year bond yields remained virtually unchanged during the day. The curve had steepened by approximately 4 basis points over the previous trading days, rebounding from a low of 95.5 basis points. Trend support is at 95 basis points, with key support below at 92 basis points. ⑵ If the spread rebounds, the next resistance levels to watch are 101 basis points, the November 21 high of 106.5 basis points, and the September 3 high of 111 basis points. ⑶ The 5-year bond yield peaked at 2.52% on December 10th, before falling back by about 6 basis points, showing some signs of topping out in the short term. ⑷ The 30-year yield hit a new high on Friday, almost touching the significant psychological level of 3.50%, its highest level since 2011. (5) If this level is broken, the price may encounter strong resistance near the historical level of 3.55%, and a further break could trigger more stop-loss buying. The yield had already fallen back to 3.46% on Monday.

18:20:46

[Spread Analysis: Spanish Bonds Appear "Expensive," Relative Value Opportunities Emerging?] ⑴ After directional adjustments to the spread between the two, 10-year Spanish bonds appear "expensive" relative to 10-year Dutch bonds. ⑵ Based on two-month constant yield regression analysis, 10-year Spanish bonds are 2.1 basis points higher than beta-adjusted 10-year Dutch bonds, or 2.1 standard deviations higher. ⑶ This significant statistical deviation may indicate a short-term imbalance in the relative value relationship between the two countries' bonds, providing a potential observation window for investors focusing on carry trades.

18:19:55

[Japanese Bond Market Relieves Pressure, Awaits Central Bank Decision; Key Levels to Determine Bullish or Bearish Trends] ⑴ The Japanese government bond market consolidated ahead of Friday's central bank meeting, with the market widely expecting a 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75%. ⑵ The 2-year Japanese government bond yield touched a high of 1.08% last week before slightly retreating. Initial support is at 1.05%, followed by 1.03% and the gap at 0.98%. If the decline resumes, 1.10% will be a key level to watch, with stronger resistance at the July 2007 high of 1.135%. ⑶ The 5-year yield encountered resistance at multiple highs around 1.45%, with the psychological level at 1.50%. If the upward trend resumes, the next target could be 1.555% (June 2008) and the July 2007 high of 1.61%. Initial support is at 1.40%, followed by 1.35%. (4) The 10-year yield peaked at 1.97% before falling back to the 2006/2007 level of 2.00%, with initial support at 1.90%, followed by 1.85%. (5) The 30-year yield reached a high of 3.455% on December 4th, with 3.50% being a psychological level. Based on the double bottom pattern formed by the July and October lows of 3.02%, the theoretical target is 3.68%. Last Friday's pullback low was 3.34%, with stronger support at the November 27th low of 3.295%.

18:18:19

[Palm Oil Faces Supply and Demand Pressures, Key Support Levels Tested] ⑴ Palm oil prices fell as continued concerns about weak demand dominated trading sentiment. ⑵ David Ng, an institutional trader in Kuala Lumpur, pointed out that rising production is also putting pressure on prices, which could push up overall inventory levels in Malaysia. ⑶ The most active February contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 12 ringgit to close at 4,006 ringgit per tonne. ⑷ The trader believes that the key support level for crude palm oil futures is at 3,950 ringgit per tonne, while the resistance level is at 4,100 ringgit per tonne. ⑸ Prices are currently hovering within this key range, and the market is closely watching changes on both the supply and demand sides to determine whether prices will test the lower support level.

18:13:46

[Japanese Business Confidence Remains Strong, Central Bank Raises Further Confidence; Economic Turning Point Imminent?] ⑴ HSBC economists point out that Japan's Tankan survey shows business confidence remains resilient and is likely to remain strong in the future. ⑵ They believe that government stimulus measures will effectively boost private consumption, thereby continuing to support business optimism. ⑶ From a macroeconomic perspective, the survey results suggest that the quarter-on-quarter GDP contraction in September may only be a temporary setback rather than a trend reversal, and growth is expected to return to positive territory in the December quarter. ⑷ This result also strengthens HSBC's base case expectation that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% this week. ⑸ HSBC emphasizes that against the backdrop of global trade policy uncertainty, business confidence remains solid, providing a stronger basis for the Bank of Japan to proceed with further interest rate hikes.

18:13:07

Germany's antitrust authority has announced its approval of a joint tank project between Rheinmetall and KNDS.

18:12:42

[Global Interest Rate Crack: US Yields Stand Out, Where is Capital Flowing?] ⑴ Key-maturity Treasury yield data shows that the US maintains a significant advantage in interest rates among major global economies. ⑵ The US 2-year Treasury yield is 3.518%, far exceeding most developed countries such as Germany and Japan, and its spread with the UK is -19.9 basis points, demonstrating a significant divergence in short-term interest rate policies. ⑶ Looking at 10-year Treasury bonds, the US yield is 4.166%, second only to the UK's 4.493% and Australia's 4.736%, with a spread of 132.3 basis points over German bonds, highlighting the attractiveness of its long-term asset yields. ⑷ In a horizontal comparison, Germany, as the benchmark for the Eurozone, generally has lower yields across all maturities than the US, UK, and Australia, but higher than Japan, reflecting the vastly different inflation prospects and central bank policy paths in different regions. ⑸ This huge yield difference continues to influence the allocation of global capital and may dominate exchange rate fluctuations between major currencies in the future.

18:10:35

Norilsk Nickel, a Russian company, projects that the global nickel surplus will exceed 200,000 tons per year in 2025 and 2026. The global palladium market is expected to reach balance in 2025, with an estimated deficit of 0.2 million ounces, including investment.

18:07:59

U.S. government documents show that the U.S. is demanding a commitment from the European Union that it will not penalize U.S. oil and gas companies if they violate methane emissions laws. The U.S. is also requesting an EU exemption from U.S. natural gas companies' obligation to comply with methane emissions laws until 2035.

18:06:50

Norilsk Nickel (Russia): The global palladium market deficit is expected to reach 100,000 ounces by 2026 (excluding investment demand).

18:05:57

[Eurozone Industrial Output Accelerates Unexpectedly: The Joys and Sorrows of a Resilience Narrative] ⑴ Data released on Monday showed that Eurozone industrial output rose 0.8% month-on-month in October, significantly higher than September's 0.2%, meeting market expectations and providing support for strengthening economic momentum. ⑵ Year-on-year growth also accelerated to 2.0%, exceeding market expectations of 1.9%, reinforcing the view that the region's economy is gaining momentum. ⑶ German industry performed exceptionally well, growing 1.4% month-on-month, effectively offsetting the impact of a 1.0% decline in Italian output and weak growth in France. ⑷ Despite the positive data, growth is far from robust, with overall economic growth only slightly above 1%, close to its potential growth rate, mainly due to continued weakness in exports, the traditional engine of growth, with growth almost entirely contributed by domestic demand. ⑸ Looking ahead, although industrial activity may have bottomed out this year, and high-frequency indicators show that economic activity remains positive at the end of the year, a clear boom is yet to be seen against the backdrop of Trump's tariff rhetoric potentially changing the global trade landscape, with both upside potential and downside risks appearing relatively limited.

18:02:47

The European Central Bank's report on payment fraud shows that total fraudulent activity increased from €3.5 billion in 2023 to €4.2 billion in 2024. Strong authentication mechanisms remain effective, but fraudsters are constantly adapting their strategies.

18:02:18

Monthly rate of existing home sales in Canada in November

Previous : 0.90% Forecast : -

Published Value -0.60%

18:01:38

South Africa's Business Confidence Index (BCI) for November

Previous : 121.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 132.30

18:00:04

The annual rate of industrial output adjusted for working days in the eurozone in October

Previous : 1.20% Forecast : 1.90%

Published Value 2%

18:00:03

Eurozone seasonally adjusted industrial output monthly rate for October

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.80%

Neutral

Published Value 0.80%

17:59:38

[Global Central Bank Conundrum: Hawkish Surprise Attack, Rate Cut Frenzy Already Changed Before It Even Began?] ⑴ On the eve of the European Central Bank's (ECB) meeting on Thursday, policymaker Isabelle Schnabel's comments surprised the market, hinting that the central bank's next move might be a rate hike, although not soon. ⑵ Due to stronger-than-expected growth and inflation data since the October meeting, market bets on further ECB rate cuts have weakened significantly, with some investors beginning to price in the possibility of a rate hike next year. ⑶ Although the ECB, the Swedish central bank, and the Norwegian central bank are all expected to hold rates steady this week, maintaining them at 2% and other levels respectively, the market is on high alert, watching for any comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde on the policy outlook. ⑷ Meanwhile, a Bank of England rate cut on Thursday seems almost certain, with the market pricing in a roughly 90% probability of a reduction from 4.0% to 3.75%, but Wednesday's inflation data could still introduce uncertainty. (5) Significant divisions exist within the UK Monetary Policy Committee, with Deputy Governor Claire Lombardelli suggesting the easing cycle may be nearing its end, while Dave Ramsden supports gradual interest rate cuts. This division is expected to continue to influence the policy path in 2026.

17:58:37

India's Ministry of Commerce: India's oil imports reached $14.12 billion in November.

17:58:12

India's Ministry of Commerce: India's gold imports reached $4.02 billion in November.

17:56:46

The dollar's decline may be difficult to halt, with interest rate futures revealing details. Details>

17:56:06

[A $230 Billion Legal Battle Erupts: Russia-EU Asset Dispute May Crack Financial Markets] ⑴ The Central Bank of Russia has filed a lawsuit in a Moscow court against the European Bank for Clearing and Settlements (Euroclear), seeking $230 billion in damages. This is its first legal counterattack against the EU's plan to use frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine. ⑵ The EU plans to use approximately €210 billion of frozen Russian Central Bank assets to provide loans to support Ukraine's military and civilian needs in 2026 and 2027. ⑶ Russian President Vladimir Putin's investment envoy, Kirill Dmitriev, warned that the EU's move undermines property rights and will damage international investors' confidence in the euro and the EU financial system. ⑷ This unprecedented battle for sovereign assets may not only trigger a series of complex transnational legal disputes but also have a long-term and profound impact on the security of the international reserve system, the credibility of European financial centers, and the safe-haven logic of global assets.

17:55:18

Switzerland's economy is experiencing a "laissez-faire" growth, with the US dollar and Swiss franc locked in a battle of wills to see which is weaker. Details>

17:52:42

Commercial inventories of palm oil in key regions across China as of December 12

Previous : 68.37 Forecast : -

Published Value 65.27

17:45:46

Kremlin: Following the US-EU talks on Ukraine in Berlin, we hope the US will inform Russia of the relevant proposals. Ukraine's non-membership in NATO is one of the key issues, but it needs to be discussed separately.

17:43:43

[The Yen's Dilemma: Deeply Sinking into the Low-Interest-Rate Quagmire, Unlikely to Turn Around in 2026] ⑴ Japan's current interest rate of 0.5% is projected to rise only to 1% by the end of 2026. Even in an extreme scenario reaching 1.25%, it would still be among the lowest interest rates among major global economies. ⑵ Although the Bank of Japan is considered particularly hawkish this year, its rate hikes are unlikely to significantly exceed current market expectations, resulting in limited tightening. ⑶ This slow pace of tightening, while potentially slowing the yen's decline, may not be sufficient to fundamentally reverse its weakness and could even weaken its efforts to curb domestic inflation. ⑷ Since April of this year, the yen's trade-weighted exchange rate has fallen significantly from 58.91 to 54.72 at the end of October, approaching the historical low of 53.06 reached in July 2024. ⑸ Therefore, in the foreseeable future, Japan's ultra-low interest rate environment will continue to exert structural pressure on the yen. Market analysts believe that additional measures, such as monetary intervention, may be necessary to prevent further sharp declines in the yen.

17:39:05

Hong Kong's third-quarter industrial production year-on-year rate - unadjusted for the quarter

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 5.50%

17:39:02

Singapore Airlines: Passenger load factor in November was 87.3%, compared to 87.0% in the same period last year. Passenger volume in November increased by 6.0% year-on-year. Passenger capacity in November increased by 2.2% year-on-year.

17:36:17

The London Metal Exchange (LME) announced an updated report outlining its plans to implement the Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) Policy Statement 25/1 on commodities reform. Public consultation is planned for early 2026 on proposed rule changes to address the current situation.

17:32:38

[Gold Prices Hang by a Thread: How Long Can the Dovish Wind Last? Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI Will Determine Fate] ⑴ Recent comments from the Federal Reserve Chairman, more dovish than expected, have provided key support for gold prices. He downplayed inflation risks and emphasized the weakness in the labor market. ⑵ This statement suggests that the Fed's policy balance may be more inclined to avoid a deterioration in the job market, with a relatively higher tolerance for inflation. ⑶ The current market expectation is that the Fed will cumulatively cut interest rates by 57 basis points by the end of 2026, which forms the macroeconomic basis for the medium-term upward trend of gold. ⑷ However, short-term trends will be directly affected by this week's US non-farm payrolls and consumer price index data. Strong data will trigger a hawkish adjustment in interest rate expectations and put downward pressure on gold prices. ⑸ Conversely, weak data will strengthen market bets on an earlier rate cut, further supporting gold. ⑹ Therefore, although the long-term trend of gold prices may be upward under the Fed's dovish response mechanism, the fluctuations in interest rate expectations brought about by this week's data will be a key stress test determining its short-term direction.

17:32:26

The Thai Election Commission announced that Thailand will hold a general election on February 8.

17:30:38

The European Council has decided today to extend the existing restrictive measures for another year, until 10 January 2027, in light of the situation in Venezuela.

17:29:43

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1750.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1770.05/ounce, up 2.94% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1804.3/ounce, up 2.37% on the day.

17:24:56

[First Session of the Series of Reports on Current Affairs and Policies Held in Beijing] The first session of a series of reports on current affairs and policies, jointly organized by the Publicity Department of the CPC Central Committee, the Working Committee of the Central and State Organs, the Ministry of Education, the Political Work Department of the Central Military Commission, and the Beijing Municipal Committee, was held in Beijing on the 15th. Han Wenxiu, Deputy Director of the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission and Director of the Central Rural Work Leading Group, delivered a special report entitled "Adhering to the Principle of Seeking Progress While Maintaining Stability, Improving Quality and Efficiency, and Striving for a Good Start to the '15th Five-Year Plan'." Han Wenxiu believes that next year's economic work is multifaceted and demanding, and it is necessary to grasp the key points and focus on the overall picture. It is essential to adhere to the principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability, improving quality and efficiency, increasing counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, maintaining stable economic growth, maintaining overall stability in employment and prices, maintaining a basic balance in international payments, and promoting the synchronous growth of residents' income and economic growth. (Xinhua News Agency)

17:24:06

[Korean Won Defense Escalates: Central Bank Joins Forces with Pension Fund to Launch Currency Defense] ⑴ The Bank of Korea and the National Pension Service (NPS) have agreed to extend their foreign exchange swap agreement for another year, until the end of 2026. ⑵ This move aims to stabilize the USD/Korean won market, where the won is currently hovering near a 16-year low and facing significant depreciation pressure. ⑶ The government statement also emphasized that the NPS will maintain its existing foreign exchange hedging strategy to coordinate responses to market volatility. ⑷ This action demonstrates that South Korean official institutions are jointly building a defense against excessive currency depreciation by strengthening liquidity support and strategic coordination. ⑸ The agreement extension directly provides potential dollar liquidity support to the foreign exchange market, helping to mitigate expectations of one-sided market volatility and representing a key policy measure to address current exchange rate pressures.

17:22:13

Singapore Airlines' operating results for November 2025: Passenger traffic for the Singapore Airlines Group increased by 2.6% year-on-year in November. The Singapore Airlines Group's load factor for November 2025 is projected to be 87.3%. Singapore Airlines expects cargo traffic to increase by 12.4% in November 2025.

17:18:54

[Dollar Hangs by a Thread; Unexpected Non-Farm Payrolls Could Trigger Rate Cut Frenzy] ⑴ Market focus shifts to the US non-farm payroll data to be released at 21:30 (Beijing time) on Tuesday, the results of which will directly impact the dollar's trajectory. ⑵ Institutional surveys predict that non-farm payrolls will increase by 40,000 in November, with the unemployment rate expected to be 4.4%. ⑶ Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan Chase all predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its meeting on January 28. ⑷ Currently, the interest rate futures market shows that traders are pricing in a 50% probability of a rate cut by the Fed before March 18 next year. ⑸ If the final data is weaker than expected, it will strengthen market expectations of a dovish Fed rate cut as early as the first quarter of next year, and the dollar may continue its weakness from last Thursday's drop to a two-month low, continuing to face significant selling pressure.

17:16:59

German Economics Ministry: The German economy is facing a dual predicament of a challenging external economic environment and a gradually stabilizing domestic economy, with recent business expectations and consumer confidence deteriorating.

17:14:26

German Economics Ministry: Current indicators show a strong start to the fourth quarter of 2025.

17:09:58

Hong Kong's PPI year-on-year rate for the third quarter - unadjusted seasonally

Previous : 4% Forecast : -

Published Value 7.70%

17:07:46

[Frequent Inventory Fluctuations: Undercurrents in the Non-Ferrous Metals Market – Who Will Break the Mold?] ⑴ The latest inventory data from the London Metal Exchange shows mixed changes in major metal inventories, reflecting a divergence in market supply and demand. ⑵ Copper inventories decreased slightly by 25 tons to 165,875 tons, while cancelled warrants decreased by 600 tons to 65,400 tons, possibly indicating a change in short-term expectations for deliverable resources. ⑶ Aluminum inventories decreased by 50 tons to 519,600 tons, but cancelled warrants also decreased slightly by 50 tons, indicating a moderate downward trend in inventories. ⑷ Nickel and zinc inventories increased by 360 tons and 2,550 tons respectively, with nickel cancelled warrants increasing significantly by 678 tons; whether this will turn into a sustained outflow needs to be monitored. ⑸ Lead inventories increased sharply by 17,725 tons to 252,475 tons, while cancelled warrants decreased by 1,000 tons, indicating significant supply pressure. (6) Tin inventory increased by 125 tons to 3,795 tons. Although the total amount is not high, the increase of 20 tons in cancelled warrants indicates that small-scale demand activity is still ongoing. (7) The changes in inventory and cancelled warrants for different commodities are not entirely consistent, suggesting that future price trends may continue to diverge due to differences in commodity fundamentals. Investors need to closely monitor subsequent changes in the warrant cancellation ratio.

17:06:29

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced that, in accordance with the Memorandum of Understanding between the PBOC and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), it has decided to authorize DBS Bank Limited to serve as the RMB clearing bank in Singapore.

17:05:40

Bank of Korea: The Bank of Korea and the National Public Consortium have agreed to extend their currency swap agreement for another year.

17:05:09

[Rate Cut Expectations Rise, UK Bonds React; Key Data to Determine the Outcome] ⑴ Strong market expectations for a Bank of England rate cut this Thursday are dominating the movement of UK government bonds, with the 10-year bond yield falling 2.5 basis points to 4.493%. ⑵ Institutional data shows that the UK money market is pricing in an 85% probability of a rate cut this week and expects at least one more rate cut next year. ⑶ However, persistently high inflation means that the Monetary Policy Committee's vote may be divided, and market expectations are not monolithic. ⑷ Citigroup analysts point out that the market has fully priced in a rate cut, but Tuesday's employment data and Wednesday's inflation data could still introduce last-minute uncertainties and affect the degree of disagreement within the committee. ⑸ Therefore, before the central bank's decision on Thursday, the employment and inflation data released this week will be key risk factors determining whether market expectations are realized and even the subsequent direction of the bond market.

17:04:29

[Swiss Franc Safe-Haven Deposits Surge, Central Bank Data Hints at Intervention] ⑴ Data released by the Swiss National Bank on Monday showed that, in the week ending December 12, spot deposits at domestic commercial banks rose to CHF 444.663 billion, a significant increase of CHF 4.144 billion from the previous week's CHF 440.519 billion. ⑵ The total, including other CHF spot deposits, also rose to CHF 463.488 billion, an increase of CHF 1.618 billion from the previous week's CHF 461.87 billion, marking several consecutive weeks of growth. ⑶ Spot deposits are a key component of the banking system's liquidity, and their continued rise is often seen as a signal that the central bank may be intervening in the foreign exchange market through foreign exchange swaps or repurchase operations, aiming to increase liquidity and curb the appreciation of the local currency. ⑷ Looking at longer-term data, since the low point in June, domestic bank spot deposits have increased by nearly CHF 20 billion, reflecting the continued safe-haven demand and potential central bank intervention amid market volatility and concerns over Trump's tariff rhetoric. (5) The trend of this data needs to be closely monitored in the future, as it directly reflects the policy orientation of the Swiss National Bank and the market liquidity situation, and is an important leading indicator for predicting the Swiss franc exchange rate and risk sentiment in the European market.

17:04:17

[Slovakia's November Inflation Rate Remains Stable at 3.7%, Core Inflation Declines] ⑴ Slovakia's annual inflation rate remained stable at 3.7% in November 2025, unchanged from the previous month and at its lowest level since April 2024. ⑵ Housing and utilities prices rose 2.9% year-on-year, higher than October's 2.5%; healthcare prices rose 3.1%, higher than October's 2.5%; miscellaneous goods and services prices rose 7.1%, higher than October's 6.7%; transportation prices rose 4.4%, higher than October's 3.4%; and restaurant and hotel prices rose 9.0%, slightly higher than October's 8.9%. ⑶ Entertainment and cultural prices and communication prices remained stable at year-on-year increases of 5.4% and 4.3%, respectively. (4) Conversely, inflation on food and non-alcoholic beverages slowed to 0.9%, down from 1.4% in October; inflation on alcoholic beverages and tobacco slowed to 5.8%, down from 6.1% in October; inflation on clothing and footwear slowed to 2.3%, down from 2.6% in October; inflation on furniture, household equipment, and everyday household maintenance slowed to 2.4%, down from 3.1% in October; and inflation on education slowed to 8.8%, down from 8.9% in October. (5) On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices rose 0.3% in November, compared to 0.1% in the previous month. (6) Meanwhile, core inflation, excluding regulated prices, fell to 2.9% in November from 3% in October, a seven-month low.

17:03:52

[German DAX Index Rises at the Start of the Week; Market Focuses on Central Bank Decisions and Geopolitical Dynamics] ⑴ The German DAX index rose slightly by 0.4% on Monday, reaching approximately 24,290 points, rebounding from Friday's decline, mirroring the performance of other major European stock indices. ⑵ Investors are preparing for a crucial week, with a large amount of economic data releases and policy statements from several central banks scheduled. ⑶ The market widely expects the European Central Bank to maintain its borrowing costs while raising its GDP growth forecast. ⑷ Meanwhile, geopolitical dynamics continue to be closely watched amid ongoing US-Ukraine negotiations, especially after the Ukrainian president indicated his willingness to abandon his desire to join NATO. ⑸ In terms of individual stocks, Fresenius, Siemens Energy, Porsche, Zalando, and Continental were among the top gainers, with gains ranging from 1% to 2.5%. ⑹ However, defense stocks such as Rheinmetall fell 2.3%, Lenkr fell 1.8%, and Hensolt fell 0.7%, recording the largest declines.

17:03:52

The yen staged a strong rebound, causing the pound/yen exchange rate to weaken significantly. Details>

17:02:39

[French CAC40 Index Rebounds on Monday, Luxury Goods Sector Leads Gains] ⑴ The French CAC40 index rose 0.6% on Monday to around 8120 points, rebounding from a modest decline in the previous session as investors returned to risk assets after a slightly lackluster close last week. ⑵ The luxury goods sector led the gains, with Kering Group up 2.7%, Hermès up 1.5%, and LVMH up 0.8%. ⑶ Industrial, energy, and infrastructure stocks also performed solidly, including Schneider Electric up 1.5%, Saint-Gobain up 1.3%, and Total Energy up 0.8%. ⑷ On the other hand, Sanofi shares fell nearly 5% as the market anticipated that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration would delay its approval decision on its multiple sclerosis drug tolebrutinib. ⑸ Orange announced it will acquire Spain's MasOrange for €4.25 billion, causing its shares to fall 1.0%. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approval. (6) In addition, Thales, a defense stock, saw its share price drop slightly by 0.3% after the Ukrainian president indicated his willingness to abandon his desire to join NATO.

17:02:28

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Copper

Previous : 50 Forecast : -

Published Value -25

17:02:24

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Primary aluminum

Previous : 900 Forecast : -

Published Value -50

17:02:17

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:02:13

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Nickel

Previous : 180 Forecast : -

Published Value 360

17:02:08

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Lead

Previous : -725 Forecast : -

Published Value 17725

17:02:04

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Zinc

Previous : 1575 Forecast : -

Published Value 2550

17:01:55

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Tin

Previous : -25 Forecast : -

Published Value 125

17:01:49

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:44

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on December 15th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:13

The average weekly amount of domestic demand deposits in Switzerland for the week ended December 12

Previous : 4405.19 Forecast : -

Published Value 4446.63

17:01:06

The total amount of demand deposits in Switzerland for the week ending December 12

Previous : 4618.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 4634.88

16:54:39

Fitch: 2026 Global Money Market Fund Industry Outlook Neutral

16:50:41

The US seizure of an oil tanker has disrupted Latin American oil trade and could trigger a ripple effect in the oil market. Details>

16:50:40

In early December 2025, key steel enterprises produced a total of 18.69 million tons of crude steel, averaging 1.869 million tons per day, a 2.8% increase compared to the previous period; 17.14 million tons of pig iron, averaging 1.714 million tons per day, a 3.4% decrease compared to the previous period; and 18.29 million tons of steel products, averaging 1.829 million tons per day, a 12.1% decrease compared to the previous period. Based on this, it is estimated that the national daily crude steel output for this period was 2.28 million tons, a 5.3% increase compared to the previous period; daily pig iron output was 2.09 million tons, a 0.2% increase compared to the previous period; and daily steel product output was 3.87 million tons, a 5.4% decrease compared to the previous period. Due to fluctuations in data from some large enterprises and the concentrated settlement of inventory at the end of last month, the daily steel product output for this period saw a significant decrease. Excluding the impact of inventory settlement, the daily steel product output for this period decreased by 10.7% compared to the previous period. (China Iron and Steel Association)

16:49:42

The French Foreign Minister stated that he suggested to EU Foreign Minister Karas that the US representative brief them on the Gaza peace plan during the EU foreign ministers' meeting.

16:49:22

Indian Trade Secretary: Preliminary findings indicate no dumping of rice into the United States, and no active investigation is currently underway.

16:48:51

[EU Official Says Using Russian Assets to Aid Ukraine Faces Difficulties, Urges Member States to Push Forward] ⑴ The EU's foreign policy chief stated that efforts to use Russian assets as a major source of international aid to Ukraine are becoming "increasingly difficult." ⑵ This is because leaders are struggling to reach an agreement on the relevant framework. ⑶ The EU's top diplomat stated that using frozen assets remains the "most credible" option. ⑷ Speaking at the EU foreign ministers' meeting in Brussels on the eve of the leaders' summit on Thursday and Friday, she urged member states to move forward with the plan. ⑸ She told reporters on Monday: "Other options are not very feasible. We haven't reached that point yet; things are becoming increasingly difficult, but we still have a few days."

16:47:39

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is reportedly close to acquiring a stake in India's Shriram Finance.

16:47:18

Indian Trade Secretary: India's rice exports to the United States are mainly limited to fragrant rice, and are priced higher than regular rice.

16:47:02

[First Delivery of New US Presidential Aircraft No Earlier Than 2028] ⑴ According to the latest timeline released by the US Air Force, the first of the two newly commissioned presidential aircraft will not be delivered before 2028. ⑵ This means the delivery of the new aircraft has been delayed again. ⑶ A US Air Force spokesperson stated that the military added $15.5 million to the existing contract on the 12th to upgrade the communications system. ⑷ The first of the two new aircraft is expected to be delivered in mid-2028. ⑸ The US Air Force did not specify the exact reasons for the delivery delay. ⑹ Boeing stated that any questions regarding the new presidential aircraft project should be directed to the US Air Force.

16:45:01

[Industry insiders say the Bank of Japan may begin selling its ETF holdings next month; the process is expected to take over a century] ⑴ According to industry insiders, Bank of Japan officials may begin selling their exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holdings as early as next month. ⑵ This process is expected to take over a century to complete. According to Bank of Japan data, as of the end of September, the market value of these assets was 83 trillion yen, and their book value was 37.1 trillion yen. ⑶ The September policy decision outlined a plan to sell 330 billion yen annually at book value. ⑷ Simple calculations show that if this pace remains constant, the entire process will take approximately 112 years.

16:43:27

Indian Trade Secretary: India could increase exports to Russia in sectors such as automobiles and pharmaceuticals.

16:42:10

The 25th Bolivarian Alliance for the Americas (BAA) summit of heads of state and government was held online on the 14th. The summit issued a statement strongly condemning the recent National Security Strategy released by the US government, arguing that the document aims to reaffirm and promote the outdated Monroe Doctrine. The statement called for an immediate cessation of any military threats against BAA member states and condemned the US attack and illegal seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker in the Caribbean, calling it an act of piracy, a blatant violation of international law, and a serious infringement on Venezuela's national sovereignty. The statement also emphasized opposition to any form of hegemonism and foreign interference. Furthermore, the statement demanded that the US immediately remove Cuba from its so-called "list of state sponsors of terrorism." (CCTV News)

16:41:40

[India's Trade Deficit Narrows to Five-Month Low in November] ⑴ Preliminary data shows that India's trade deficit narrowed to $24.53 billion in November, compared to $31.92 billion in the same period last year. ⑵ This is the smallest trade deficit in five months, mainly driven by stronger exports and lower imports. ⑶ Exports rose 19.37% year-on-year to $38.13 billion, a six-month high, supported by a series of government measures. ⑷ These measures include consumption tax cuts, export incentives, and labor reforms aimed at mitigating the economic impact of the 50% US tariffs implemented at the end of August.

16:40:43

[UK Stocks Rise at the Start of the Week as Market Focuses on Central Bank Decision and Economic Data] ⑴ The FTSE 100 index in London rose 0.5% on Monday, nearing the 9700 level, moving in tandem with other major European stock indices. ⑵ Investors are focused on a plethora of economic data releases this week and policy decisions from several central banks, with the Bank of England expected to announce an interest rate cut. ⑶ Precious metals miners and retail stocks led the market gains. ⑷ Endeavour Mining and Fresnillo shares rose 3.8% and 3.7% respectively, ranking among the top gainers, mainly driven by rising gold prices. ⑸ Other miners such as Antofagasta and Glencore also rose 1.5% each, benefiting from higher copper prices. ⑹ Marks & Spencer and Burberry rose 1.6% and 1.5% respectively.

16:39:37

[European Stocks Rise at the Start of the Week as Markets Focus on Central Bank Decisions and Geopolitical Developments] ⑴ European stocks rose, with both the Stoxx 50 and Stoxx 600 indices gaining 0.3%, rebounding after a sell-off led by technology stocks on Friday. ⑵ Investors are bracing for a busy week of central bank meetings. The market widely expects the European Central Bank to keep borrowing costs unchanged while raising its GDP growth forecast. ⑶ The Bank of England, the Swedish central bank, and the Norwegian central bank will also announce their monetary policy decisions. ⑷ Meanwhile, geopolitical developments continue to be a focus, with the market watching the peace talks in Ukraine. ⑸ Talks between the US delegation and Zelensky resumed in Berlin. ⑹ Fresenius Group rose 2.2%, Santander Bank rose 1.5%, and Schneider Electric rose 1.3%, leading the market gains. ⑺ Conversely, Argenx shares plummeted 9%, while Sanofi fell more than 5% after its multiple sclerosis drug tolebrutinib failed to meet the primary endpoint in its clinical trial.

16:38:09

[Pickup Truck Sales Up 18.8% Year-on-Year in November; New Energy Vehicles Experience Rapid Growth] ⑴ Data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows that pickup truck sales reached 56,000 units in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% and a month-on-month increase of 16.8%, remaining at a high level compared to the past five years. ⑵ From January to November 2025, cumulative pickup truck sales reached 537,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.1%. ⑶ In terms of production, pickup truck production reached 52,000 units in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8%, remaining at a mid-to-high level compared to the past five years. ⑷ From January to November, cumulative pickup truck production reached 527,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%. ⑸ Regarding new energy pickup trucks, sales reached 8,000 units in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 152% and a month-on-month increase of 40%. ⑹ From January to November, cumulative sales of new energy pickup trucks reached 67,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 335%.

16:37:06

[Strategist: Mildly Weak US Jobs Data Could Boost Bullish Sentiment in Stocks] ⑴ Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson stated that mildly weak US jobs data this week could boost bullish sentiment in stocks, as it could increase the likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. ⑵ Investors are awaiting clues from relevant data to determine whether the Fed is about to end its accommodative monetary policy after three consecutive rate cuts, or whether it must take more aggressive measures. ⑶ Wilson wrote in a report: "We are now firmly back to a 'good-or-bad'/'bad-or-good' situation." ⑷ He explained that while a booming labor market is beneficial to the economy, it would reduce the likelihood of a rate cut in 2026.

16:35:32

Indian Trade Secretary: The India-Oman trade agreement has been reached and is about to be signed.

36

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4338.22	5.61 (0.13%)
XAG	67.126	1.664 (2.54%)
CONC	56.54	0.54 (0.96%)
OILC	60.48	0.76 (1.28%)
USD	98.717	0.277 (0.28%)
EURUSD	1.1707	-0.0014 (-0.12%)
GBPUSD	1.3375	-0.0004 (-0.03%)
USDCNH	7.0341	0.0029 (0.04%)

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