2026-07-15 Wednesday
2026-07-19
01:03:22
[New British Prime Minister Faces Economic Challenges and Escalating Iran Risk Upon Taking Office] According to sources, Andy Bunham, who will succeed Keir Starmer as British Prime Minister next Monday, will receive the Treasury's latest economic assessment on his first day in office. The report predicts that the UK's fourth-quarter inflation forecast has been revised upward to 3.2%, and that government bond yields and financing costs will continue to rise, with the Bank of England expected to raise interest rates at least once more before the end of the year. If the US-Iran ceasefire cannot be quickly restored, international oil prices could rise to $150 per barrel, further increasing energy, food, and aviation fuel prices, pushing up the cost of living and exacerbating economic pressures in the UK. At the same time, the UK will also face the risk of cyberattacks from Iran and Russia and will need to continue making key decisions on foreign policy issues such as Ukraine, sanctions against Russia, and the security of the Strait of Hormuz. These factors will be the main challenges Bunham will face in the early stages of his term.
00:10:12
[Wash: Markets Will Receive Ample Advance Notice If the Fed Adjusts its Balance Sheet] Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that if the Fed adjusts its balance sheet policy, it will provide advance notice, explanation, and public discussion, giving financial markets ample preparation time. At a hearing, Warsh said the public is already familiar with his views on the Fed's massive balance sheet, but he declined to prejudge the decisions the newly formed balance sheet task force would make. He pointed out that the balance sheet falls under the scope of monetary policy and emphasized that the Fed should avoid interfering in fiscal policy. Warsh stated, "I assure you that if there are any changes to balance sheet policy, we will provide advance notice, explanation, and discussion. Both the Committee and the financial markets will receive full advance notice before any adjustments to balance sheet policy occur."