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Tokyo:12/24 22:26:56

Hong Kong:12/24 22:26:56

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London:12/24 22:26:56

New York:12/24 22:26:56

2025-09-16 Tuesday

2025-09-19

09:31:29

Oil Prices Stable as Market Assess Russian Supply Risks and Macroeconomic Policy Impacts 1. International oil prices were essentially flat in early trading on Tuesday, entering a wait-and-see mode after a slight increase in the previous session. Investors are closely monitoring the potential for crude oil supply disruptions caused by ongoing Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries. Brent crude futures rose 0.3% to $67.63 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose 0.27% to $63.49. 2. Geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. Ukraine has recently intensified its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure in an attempt to weaken its military capabilities, while ceasefire negotiations between the two sides remain deadlocked. Market analysts point out that as a major producer accounting for over 10% of global oil production, Russia's supply stability is a key concern, and any potential disruption could further push up oil prices. 3. Macroeconomic policies also influence the crude oil market. Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at this week's meeting, and the weakening US dollar is providing additional support for dollar-denominated crude oil. On the same day, U.S. Treasury Secretary Jeffrey Besant stated that the U.S. has no plans to impose new tariffs on China alone unless European countries take similar action first. This statement also brought some relief to market sentiment. 3. In addition, the situation in the Middle East has once again attracted attention. The Israeli military launched a ground offensive on Gaza City. The expansion of regional conflicts may jeopardize the Middle East oil supply, further exacerbating market concerns about the stability of crude oil supply. Under the intertwined factors, oil prices may continue to fluctuate in the short term.

09:23:08

[US House Speaker Says Stop-Gap Appropriations Negotiations Slowed by Need for Additional Security Funding] 1. US House Speaker Johnson said on Monday that negotiations on a stop-gap appropriations bill to keep the government running have slowed due to the need for additional security funding for federal officials following the attack on conservative activist Kirk last week. If congressional Republicans and Democrats fail to reach an agreement on a continuing appropriations resolution, the federal government will face a partial shutdown starting October 1st. Lawmakers had expected the House and Senate to take action before their week-long recess later this week. 2. Johnson said, "We're working on this," adding that discussions include increasing funding in the continuing appropriations resolution. "We have to protect the judges, the staff of those two departments, and of course, the members of Congress. So we're looking at the appropriate size of the continuing appropriations resolution." 3. Johnson said he hopes to resolve the issue within the next 24 to 48 hours through discussions with members of his party and Democrats. "We'll get to an amount that everyone agrees on." While lawmakers work to reach agreement on a comprehensive 2026 appropriations bill, they have been working on a continuing appropriations resolution to keep federal agencies operating at current spending levels until November 20th. 4. U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said the temporary appropriations resolution could be a way to increase security funding, but he hopes to keep the funding adjustments to a minimum. "If the House of Representatives can pass it smoothly, I hope to complete the process before the recess this week."

08:40:56

[The US Dollar Continues to Under Pressure as Markets Await Signals of a Fed Rate Cut] 1. The US dollar hovered broadly at low levels on Tuesday, nearing a two-and-a-half-month low against the euro and a ten-month low against the Australian dollar. Market expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon begin a cycle of rate cuts and continue easing policy continued to suppress the dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar also hovered at a recent low against the British pound after US President Trump again called for the Fed to implement "aggressive" monetary easing measures. 2. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its meeting on Wednesday, with a larger 50 basis point cut less likely. It is estimated that the cumulative rate cuts could reach 67 basis points by the end of the year, and 81 basis points by the end of January. On Monday, Trump pressured the Fed via social media, demanding "deeper" rate cuts and optimistically predicting a real estate market rally. 3. Recent weak labor market data has been a major driver of rising expectations for rate cuts. This trend not only depressed the dollar and US Treasury yields but also boosted US stocks, with all three major Wall Street indexes reaching record highs on Monday. Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said, "There is a growing consensus that the Fed's policy is lagging and that it needs to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts to a neutral level." The market consensus is trending towards the Fed cutting interest rates in September, October, December, and even January next year. 4. In terms of major currency pairs, EUR/USD held steady at 1.1759 in early Asian trading, close to the highest level since July reached last week; GBP/USD was at 1.3599, maintaining near its recent high; AUD/USD was slightly below the peak since November set yesterday, currently at 0.6666; USD/JPY was basically flat at 147.44.

07:44:33

U.S. soybean growth excellence rate as of September 14 -USDA Specific Week

Previous : 64% Forecast : -

Published Value 63%

Previous

07:43:30

Spring wheat harvest progress in the United States as of September 14 -USDA Specific Week

Previous : 85% Forecast : -

Published Value 94%

Previous

07:43:28

U.S. corn growth excellence rate as of September 14 -USDA Specific Week

Previous : 68% Forecast : -

Published Value 67%

Previous

07:43:26

U.S. cotton growth rate as of September 14 -USDA Specific Week

Previous : 54% Forecast : -

Published Value 52%

Previous

06:47:09

New Zealand's food price index for August year-on-year

Previous : 5% Forecast : -

Published Value 5%

Previous

06:45:02

New Zealand's food price index monthly rate for August

Previous : 0.70% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.30%

Previous

06:31:33

The total amount of the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on September 15th

Previous : 847.16 Forecast : -

Published Value 843.03

Previous

06:31:32

The winning rate of the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on September 15th

Previous : 3.94% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.91%

Previous

06:31:31

The 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on September 15th - high allocation percentage

Previous : 33.04% Forecast : -

Published Value 8.09%

Previous

06:31:31

The bid multiple for the 3-month Treasury bond auction in the United States on September 15th

Previous : 2.81 Forecast : -

Published Value 3.11

Previous

06:15:11

South Korea's export price index monthly rate for August

Previous : 1% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.70%

Previous

06:15:11

The monthly rate of South Korea's import price index in August

Previous : 0.90% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.30%

Previous

06:01:22

NYMEX palladium inventory in the US on September 12th - Updated Daily

Previous : 1464.86 Forecast : -

Published Value 1464.86

Previous

06:01:22

NYMEX Palladium inventory changes in the US on September 12th - Daily

Previous : 67.53 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

Previous

06:00:57

NYMEX platinum inventory changes in the United States on September 12th - Daily

Previous : -48.71 Forecast : -

Published Value 48.71

Previous

06:00:57

NYMEX platinum inventory in the US on September 12th - Updated Daily

Previous : 5252.59 Forecast : -

Published Value 5301.30

Previous

06:00:24

COMEX silver inventory in the United States on September 12th - Updated Daily

Previous : 5274232.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 5276476.71

Previous

06:00:24

COMEX silver inventory changes in the US on September 12th - Daily

Previous : 29098.26 Forecast : -

Published Value 2244.41

Previous

05:59:13

COMEX gold inventory in the US on September 12th - Updated Daily

Previous : 389144.91 Forecast : -

Published Value 391809.31

Previous

05:59:13

COMEX gold inventory changes in the US on September 12th - Daily

Previous : 22.18 Forecast : -

Published Value 2664.40

Previous

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument Current Price Change

XAU

3656.80

12.53

(0.34%)

XAG

42.192

0.399

(0.95%)

CONC

62.60

-0.66

(-1.04%)

OILC

66.88

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USD

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1.1765

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GBPUSD

1.3502

-0.0052

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USDCNH

7.1133

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(0.09%)