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2025-12-18 Thursday

2025-12-20

06:27:15

News: Trump has been told by his lawyers that the constitutional legitimacy of a third presidential term is still unclear.

06:26:20

[US Pressures EU Member States to Block Use of Frozen Russian Assets to Aid Ukraine] 1. According to media reports, the US government has been exerting continuous pressure on EU member states, aiming to prevent the EU from using frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine at the EU summit on December 18-19. 2. The report indicates that US officials bypassed EU leadership and held secret contacts directly with several EU member state governments. Against this backdrop, Italy, Bulgaria, Malta, and the Czech Republic have joined the ranks of those opposing the plan. A senior EU official familiar with US-EU relations and the summit preparations commented, "They want to weaken us."

06:24:02

FBI Deputy Director Dan Bungino stated that he will resign in January.

06:20:33

[New Zealand's Q3 GDP Rebounds Beyond Expectations, Interest Rate Cuts Show Effect] 1. Latest data shows that New Zealand's economy recovered more strongly than market expectations in the third quarter. The effects of the interest rate cut policy are beginning to appear, helping the country's economy return to a growth trajectory after contracting in the second quarter. 2. Statistics New Zealand announced on Thursday that its GDP grew by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, higher than economists' previous forecast of 0.9%. After experiencing a significant recession last year, the country's economy finally responded positively to the central bank's aggressive interest rate cuts, with several indicators, including retail spending, manufacturing, and construction, showing signs of improvement. 3. Analysts point out that due to the still considerable spare capacity in the current economy, this recovery is not expected to significantly exacerbate inflationary pressures in the coming year.

06:09:36

BP announced that Meg O'Neill will become the company's next Chief Executive Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Carole Hall will serve as the company's interim Chief Executive Officer.

06:08:49

NYMEX Palladium inventory changes in the US on December 16th - Daily

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

06:08:49

NYMEX platinum inventory changes in the United States on December 16th - Daily

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

06:08:44

NYMEX platinum inventory in the US on December 16th - Updated Daily

Previous : 6145.61 Forecast : -

Published Value 6145.61

06:08:44

NYMEX palladium inventory in the US on December 16th - Updated Daily

Previous : 1892.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 1892.30

06:05:51

The probability of a Fed rate cut in January remains unchanged at 24.4%. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in January is 24.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 75.6%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 44.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 46%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 9.5%.

06:04:42

COMEX gold inventories in the US as of December 16 - Updated Daily

Previous : 359913.45 Forecast : -

Published Value 359913.45

06:04:42

COMEX gold inventory changes in the US on December 16th - Daily

Previous : 241.13 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

06:04:05

COMEX silver inventory changes in the US on December 16th - Daily

Previous : -7142.39 Forecast : -

Published Value -8953.55

06:03:54

U.S. COMEX Silver inventories as of December 16 - Updated Daily

Previous : 4538461.37 Forecast : -

Published Value 4529507.83

06:00:53

New Zealand's third-quarter GDP annualized quarterly rate - unadjusted under the production method

Previous : -1.10% Forecast : -0.30%

Published Value 0.50%

05:57:09

[Italian Prime Minister Reiterates No Troops to Ukraine] On December 17th local time, Italian Prime Minister Meloni reiterated in parliament that Italy will not send troops to Ukraine, even if a multinational European force is formed. Meloni stated that Italy will continue to support Ukraine because a collapse in Ukraine would have a direct impact on European security. She also called for caution in the use of frozen Russian assets and stated that Italy supports the continued freezing of Russian assets. (CCTV)

05:55:31

The United States plans to proceed with up to 200 citizenship revocation cases per month.

05:55:18

[US Journalist Claims Trump May Declare War on Venezuela Today; White House Predicts Annual Speech] 1. According to US journalist Tucker Carlson, citing a member of Congress, US President Trump may declare war on Venezuela on the morning of December 18th, Beijing time. Carlson revealed that members of Congress were informed on December 16th that "war is inevitable," and the president plans to formally announce this in a national address at 9 PM (Eastern Time) on December 17th. 2. However, this news is currently only a one-sided citation, and its authenticity has not been officially confirmed. According to the schedule previously released by the White House, Trump is scheduled to deliver a national address at 10 AM Beijing time on December 18th. The White House stated that this speech aims to summarize the year's work and announce new initiatives, and did not mention anything related to Venezuela.

05:53:24

Japan's Financial Services Agency plans to increase penalties for violations involving false shareholding reports.

05:52:20

Micron Technology CEO Mehrotra said the company expects to start construction on a new factory in New York in 2026, with the factory scheduled to be operational in 2030.

05:52:18

The United States plans to strip more naturalized citizens of their citizenship.

05:51:15

On the 17th local time, Trinidad and Tobago Prime Minister Bissessar stated that Trinidad and Tobago has no intention of getting involved in any conflict and that the United States has not requested assistance from Trinidad and Tobago regarding the blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers.

05:51:11

Micron CEO Mehrotra said the second factory in Idaho is expected to be operational in 2028.

05:50:07

Micron CEO Mehrotra said the first wafers from the new Idaho plant are expected to be produced in early 2027, earlier than previously anticipated.

05:49:02

Micron Technology expressed its "regret" over its failure to meet customer needs.

05:49:00

Micron CEO Mehrotra said the company expects to increase its 2026 capital expenditures from the previously estimated $18 billion to $20 billion.

05:47:56

U.S. Senator Warren said Attorney General Bundy should recuse himself from scrutiny of the Warner Bros. Discovery Group deal.

05:47:54

Micron Technology stated that the supply of memory chips will continue to be in a state of "severe shortage".

05:45:46

New Zealand's GDP grew 1.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, higher than the estimated 0.9%.

05:45:04

New Zealand's GDP growth rate for the third quarter - seasonally adjusted production method

Previous : -0.60% Forecast : 1.30%

Neutral

Published Value 1.30%

05:45:04

New Zealand's GDP growth rate for the third quarter - seasonally adjusted production method

Previous : -0.90% Forecast : 0.90%

纽元金银

美元

Published Value 1.10%

05:45:03

New Zealand's GDP growth rate for the third quarter - seasonally adjusted expenditure approach

Previous : -0.90% Forecast : 0.90%

Published Value 1.30%

05:39:23

International oil prices rose on the 17th. By the close of trading that day, the price of light sweet crude oil futures for January 2026 delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 67 cents to settle at $55.94 per barrel, an increase of 1.21%; the price of Brent crude oil futures for February delivery on the London ICE Futures Exchange rose 76 cents to settle at $59.68 per barrel, an increase of 1.29%.

05:39:21

The Trump administration is currently asking American oil companies if they would be willing to return to Venezuela if leader Maduro were to step down, but so far the answer has been a resounding "no." Industry officials and analysts point out that current market oversupply and oil prices at near five-year lows are insufficient to attract companies to risk investing huge sums in Venezuela's dilapidated oil facilities.

05:37:11

Micron Technology CEO Mehrotra predicts that the tight supply situation in the memory market will continue beyond 2026.

05:36:06

The chairman of ANZ Bank has confirmed that more than 25% of the votes cast on this matter will be against passing the remuneration report.

05:35:03

Micron Technology CEO Sanjay Mehrotra stated that Micron Technology has reached an agreement on the price and quantity of its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) supply for the entire year of 2026.

05:31:53

The Trump administration inquired with the U.S. oil industry whether they would return to Venezuela if Maduro were to step down.

05:27:41

Oil stocks at Venezuela’s main storage facilities and at its terminal tankers are rising rapidly and are expected to reach maximum capacity in about 10 days.

05:27:39

Venezuela's crude oil storage capacity is running out due to restrictions on tanker transportation.

05:26:36

On Wednesday, Micron Technology raised its earnings guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, projecting revenue between $18.3 billion and $19.1 billion, compared to analysts' previous average estimate of $14.4 billion. Adjusted earnings per share are expected to be between $8.22 and $8.62, significantly exceeding market expectations of $4.71. The market is currently experiencing explosive growth in demand for AI computing components, widening the supply-demand gap. Memory chip manufacturers like Micron are directly benefiting, while there is also a shortage of relatively low-end memory chips used in personal computers, partly because the storage industry is shifting production capacity towards high-end technology products needed for AI data centers. Micron Technology is one of the core beneficiaries of this surge in AI demand, as its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is a key component in the chips and systems needed for developing AI models. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending November 27, Micron Technology's revenue increased 57% year-over-year to $13.6 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $4.78, both exceeding analysts' previous forecasts of $13 billion in revenue and $3.95 in earnings per share.

05:21:17

A spokesperson for the U.S. regulatory agency said that Caroline Pham will continue to serve as acting chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) until Mike Selig, appointed by Trump, is confirmed.

05:21:15

U.S. natural gas futures rose more than 4.00%, currently quoted at $3.387 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

05:21:14

The market expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to their highest level in 30 years.

05:19:02

Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that Russia would pursue its objectives in Ukraine through either diplomatic means or military action.

05:16:55

US President Trump stated that he is currently imposing a blockade on Venezuela and will not allow anyone who should not "pass through" to pass through. He also said, "They took away all our energy rights. Not long ago, they took away all our oil. We want that oil back, but they took it. They took it illegally." He also mentioned, "You know, we used to have a lot of oil there. They drove our companies out, and we want it back," implying that he wants to take back the oil extraction rights and land.

05:16:50

Salesforce said the acquisition will be completed in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027.

05:11:34

S&P expects Argentina's economy to grow by more than 4% in 2025, but its growth rate will slow moderately in the coming years.

05:10:30

WTI crude oil rose 3% on the day, currently priced at $56.79 per barrel.

05:09:24

S&P upgraded Argentina's long-term rating to "CCC+" due to improved liquidity access in the country, with a stable outlook.

05:09:22

S&P stated that Argentina's rating was upgraded due to the country's improved ability to access liquidity and reduced economic vulnerability.

05:08:17

On the 17th, Russian President Vladimir Putin, while attending an expanded meeting of the Russian Ministry of Defense, stated that Russia "will, as always, be prepared for negotiations and to peacefully resolve all the issues that have arisen in recent years." Although he did not specify which issues, he pointed out that Russia was not the instigator of the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022. "The destructive forces in Ukraine are supported by the West. In fact, the West itself started this war, and we just want to end it."

05:06:10

Micron Technology's second fiscal quarter outlook indicates that revenue, gross margin, earnings per share, and free cash flow have all reached record highs.

05:06:08

On the evening of the 17th, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy appealed to European leaders in a video address, hoping that the EU summit scheduled for the 18th and 19th could reach an agreement on using frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine.

05:05:07

The capacity cost of PJM Electricity Markets, the largest regional transmission organization and electricity market operator in the United States, has climbed to a record high of $333.44 per megawatt-day.

05:03:58

Micron Technology's stock price rose 6% in after-hours trading.

05:03:57

Micron Technology expects its adjusted revenue for the second fiscal quarter to be between $18.3 billion and $19.1 billion.

05:00:36

Trump claims Venezuela illegally acquired U.S. assets.

05:00:34

Trump said that FBI Deputy Director Bungino was doing a good job and that he felt he wanted to go back to doing his own show.

05:00:32

Trump stated that Venezuela expelled American companies, and the United States must reclaim its own interests.

05:00:30

When discussing Venezuela, Trump stated that he would reclaim the land and oil extraction rights that Venezuela had taken from him.

04:59:24

Trump declared that he would not allow anyone who should not pass through the Venezuelan blockade to get through.

04:55:36

The Nasdaq index has just broken through the 22,700.00 mark, currently trading at 22,698.90, down 1.79% on the day.

04:51:00

Meta Platforms (META) is reportedly adopting a new age verification system that could streamline the social media group and its billions of users’ adaptation to increasing child protection regulations worldwide. The stock fell 0.4% in late trading on Wednesday.

04:49:56

Trump stated that broadcast television networks using public bands must obtain licenses in accordance with laws and regulations.

04:49:54

Trump said major television networks should pay "huge sums of money".

04:48:49

Australian agricultural giant GrainCorp will suffer a loss of AU$10 million due to its unexpected withdrawal from the Canadian market, causing its share price to plummet by 20% in a single day. The company also warned that wheat and other agricultural harvests in its extensive storage network in Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria, Australia, have fallen short of expectations, and announced its withdrawal from the loss-making Canadian business.

04:45:40

Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares fell 0.4% in late trading on Wednesday after multiple sources directly involved in Apple and its suppliers’ product development revealed that Apple plans to significantly expand its smartphone product line over the next two years, potentially releasing at least seven new flagship models by the fall of 2027, indicating that Apple plans to substantially expand its iPhone business.

04:42:30

Wedbush Securities said AppLovin dominates the mobile advertising market, and AppLovin (APP) shares fell 2.9% in late trading on Wednesday, citing its partner Unity (U)’s return to profitability.

04:40:22

On November 17, local time, the U.S. Senate confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the 15th administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) with a vote of 67 to 30. Isaacman is the founder and CEO of the U.S. payment service provider Shift4Pay. He was first nominated by Trump to serve as NASA administrator last December, but the nomination was withdrawn at the end of May this year. On November 4, Trump re-nominated him for the position.

04:37:10

On December 17, the U.S. Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control issued a general license allowing transactions involving civilian nuclear energy with a number of Russian banks, the Central Bank of Russia, and the National Clearing House. The license states that “this general license authorizes all transactions involving one or more of the following civilian nuclear energy-related entities that are prohibited by the Presidential Executive Order before 12:01 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on June 18, 2026.”

04:37:06

According to reports, Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) board of directors is prepared to support Netflix's acquisition offer, saying it is superior to Paramount Skydance's (PSKY) $108 billion takeover bid. Following this news, the company's stock fell 2.2% in late trading on Wednesday.

04:31:49

According to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of the week ending December 2, 2025, the British pound had a net short position of 80,180 contracts.

04:31:43

The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will announce the shortlist of applicants for the Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing Vehicle Integrated Project (EIPP) in mid-2026, according to Archer Aviation.

04:31:40

Archer Aviation revealed that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is expected to review the initial phase of applications and announce the selected list between early and mid-2026.

04:31:38

Shares of General Mills (GIS) rose 3.5% in late trading on Wednesday, despite the company’s expectation of increased sales of organic products despite pressure on profit margins.

04:30:34

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week ending December 2, equity fund managers increased their net long positions in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) S&P 500 by 35,016 contracts, reaching 940,761 contracts.

04:30:32

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week ending December 2, stock fund speculators increased their net short positions in the CME S&P 500 by 60,302 contracts, reaching 441,285 contracts.

04:30:30

According to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of the week ending December 2, speculators on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) increased their net long positions in copper futures by 5,708 contracts, reaching 64,204 contracts.

04:30:28

According to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending December 2, COMEX gold speculators increased their net long positions by 11,832 contracts, reaching 119,808 contracts.

04:30:27

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week ending December 2, speculators on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) increased their net long positions in silver by 1,127 contracts, reaching 21,254 contracts.

04:30:24

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week ending December 2, 2025, net long positions in the Japanese yen reached 36,418 contracts.

04:30:23

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that net long positions in the euro reached 108,453 contracts in the week ending December 2, 2025.

04:28:16

The US dollar index rose 0.23% on the 17th, closing at 98.368 in late trading. At the close of New York trading, the euro was at $1.1745, down from $1.1758 the previous day; the pound sterling was at $1.3378, down from $1.3426; the dollar was at 155.63 yen, up from 154.68 yen; the dollar was at 0.7953 Swiss francs, up from 0.7946 Swiss francs; the dollar was at 1.3789 Canadian dollars, up from 1.3746 Canadian dollars; and the dollar was at 9.2984 Swedish krona, up from 9.2890 Swedish krona.

04:27:09

Musk claims that xAI could achieve general artificial intelligence that surpasses human intelligence by 2026.

04:26:06

Tucker Carlson, a prominent conservative journalist in the United States, said that U.S. lawmakers were briefed yesterday about an impending war in Venezuela.

04:25:00

Medline, which will have the largest IPO in 2025, saw its stock price surge by more than 30% on its first day of trading.

04:21:51

According to two sources familiar with the matter, U.S. and Russian officials are expected to meet in Miami this weekend, with plans still being finalized. The Russian delegation is expected to include Dmitriev, CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund, while the U.S. delegation is expected to include U.S. Middle East Special Envoy Witkov and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner.

04:20:46

NASA has appointed billionaire Isaacman as its administrator.

04:19:42

On the 17th local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres called on the United States and Venezuela to exercise restraint and immediately de-escalate the situation, while also urging all parties to abide by their obligations under international law, including the UN Charter, in order to maintain regional peace.

04:18:39

S&P stated that the upgrade of Paraguay's rating was due to the country's recent implementation of sound economic policies that have driven strong economic growth and enhanced monetary and fiscal flexibility.

04:17:33

State Street stated that the dollar's decline earlier this year was primarily due to US investors reducing their foreign exchange hedging of overseas investments, rather than global investors increasing their hedging of US portfolios. Chris Pizzotti, global head of foreign exchange sales and trading at State Street Markets, said on Wednesday at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Foreign Exchange Market Structure Conference that "more noticeable activity comes from US domestic investors adjusting their overseas hedging ratios." He estimated that US domestic investors have halved their hedging ratios, which has actually contributed to the dollar's weakness. Furthermore, the lingering uncertainty surrounding Liberation Day has naturally sparked discussions about de-risking.

04:17:28

S&P upgraded the Republic of Paraguay's rating to "BBB-/A-3" with a stable outlook, citing policy effectiveness and stronger economic resilience.

04:07:22

Citigroup received a regulatory notice from the Federal Reserve, requiring it to improve its risk management measures.

04:06:13

When discussing succession plans, LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault said he hopes to work for another 10 years.

04:05:08

Joshua White has been appointed chief economist by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

04:03:03

WarnerMedia was valued at $81 billion in Comcast's offer to acquire Warner.

04:01:59

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said in Strasbourg, France, on the 17th that the Russia-Ukraine conflict has sounded an alarm for Europe, and that Europe must take responsibility for its own security. In a speech at the plenary session of the European Parliament that day, she said that the current situation means that Europeans must protect themselves and rely on themselves. "This is no longer a choice, but an inevitability."

03:59:51

Sources revealed that the Federal Reserve has notified Citigroup that it has withdrawn its notification requiring the bank to improve its counterparty risk management.

03:55:40

U.S. covered debt instruments (CLOs) saw record annual sales, reaching $201.5 billion.

13

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4338.44	5.83 (0.13%)
XAG	67.154	1.692 (2.58%)
CONC	56.57	0.57 (1.02%)
OILC	60.49	0.77 (1.29%)
USD	98.693	0.253 (0.26%)
EURUSD	1.1713	-0.0009 (-0.08%)
GBPUSD	1.3377	-0.0002 (-0.02%)
USDCNH	7.0335	0.0022 (0.03%)

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