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2025-09-18 Thursday

2025-09-19

05:00:48

Brazil's finance minister revealed that President Lula will submit a proposal on competition in the digital environment to Congress.

04:56:14

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 1.54% to 4.091.

04:51:24

The Peruvian president has signed a revised contract, allowing Chevron and Westlaw to officially enter Peru.

04:29:34

New stock Gemini Space Station Inc. (GEMI) closed down 12.80% at $24.53, falling below its IPO price of $28.

04:23:17

Fitch said the default rate on leveraged loans fell to 4.8% in August.

04:23:00

USD/JPY just touched the 147.00 mark and is currently trading at 147.00, up 0.37% on the day.

04:18:05

George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at Mitsubishi UFJ, said the Fed's decision was the most dovish statement it could make, and added another rate cut this year to the dot plot expectations, but it felt that the Fed had not entered the rate cut sprint mode, but had simply restarted the rate cut process because it acknowledged that the job market was not as good as expected. This is also the reason for the flat reaction of risk assets. The Fed may cut by 25 basis points in October and December respectively, and a 50 basis point rate cut may not necessarily be good for credit.

04:17:01

Argentina's lower house voted to reject President Milley's decision on (several) universities.

04:17:00

German automaker Volkswagen has submitted a final version of its collective bargaining agreement to its Chattanooga workers, proposing a 20 percent wage increase to the United Auto Workers (UAW).

04:16:40

The US dollar index just touched the 97.00 mark and was last at 97.00, up 0.36% on the day.

04:15:55

Syria's president said that if the security agreement is successfully reached, "other agreements" may be reached, but "peace and normalization of relations" are not currently on the table.

04:15:54

Syria's president said Washington was not pressuring Damascus to reach a deal with Israel.

04:13:48

Syria said that security talks with Israel may produce results in the "coming days", calling it a "necessary move" to reach a security agreement with Israel and stressing that Syria's airspace and territorial integrity should be respected.

04:06:29

Market news shows that Apple plans to produce about 95 million iPhones in the next-generation product line to be launched in 2026. The company aims to increase its total mobile phone shipments by 10% in 2026 and believes that the launch of the highly anticipated foldable screen model will help achieve this goal.

04:06:28

Gap CEO called for an "open dialogue" with employees in an internal memo.

04:05:24

Market news shows that Apple has revealed to several suppliers that it expects the launch of foldable models to drive overall iPhone demand, including non-folding models.

04:03:18

Market news indicates that Apple is exploring the possibility of trial production of a foldable iPhone.

04:02:15

Lyft's closing price rose sharply by 13%, hitting a new high since May 2022.

03:47:37

The "new bond king" Gundlach said that as the next Federal Reserve chairman takes office, he does believe that negative real interest rates will almost occur.

03:47:36

"It's interesting that while Waller and Bowman were vying for the Fed chair position, they both held the consensus, while the newest member, Milan, outpaced them with a more dovish dissenting opinion of 50 basis points," said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management. "They may be trying to portray themselves as the more dovish members of the Fed, who want a 25 basis point cut but don't see the need for a big, harsh cut."

03:43:24

The "new bond king" Gundlach said that if long-term Treasury bond interest rates rise too high, yield curve control measures may be implemented.

03:43:23

In the foreign exchange market, the Argentine central bank sold $53 million.

03:41:18

The "new bond king" Gundlach said he believes there is a risk of rising inflation.

03:39:12

"New Bond King" Gundlach said that the biggest opportunity worth paying attention to at present is the weakening trend of the US dollar.

03:39:11

The "new bond king" Gundlach said he believes the US dollar will continue to weaken.

03:38:08

Deutsche Bank believes that gold still has room to rise further. Analysts at the bank said that given that gold has reached its forecast level for 2026 ($3,700 per ounce), the foreign exchange and interest rate environment remains conducive to its further upward movement, and positioning indicators are not overstretched. Although gold is high relative to fair value, this is largely due to strong official demand, which the bank expects to continue.

03:38:06

The "new bond king" Gundlach said he believes credit spreads may face some pressure.

03:37:03

The "new bond king" Gundlach said there are significant differences within the Federal Reserve on the extent of the interest rate cut.

03:35:58

After the Fed made its decision, the MSCI Global Index hit a record high during the session, with the latest quote at 976.91 points, up 0.02%.

03:35:57

Argentina's Central Bank denies peso breaches trading band ceiling, citing technical factors. On Wednesday, Argentina's central bank denied the peso had breached its trading band, citing slight discrepancies between its calculations and those based on a publicly disclosed formula. According to an agreement reached between Argentina and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in April, the upper and lower limits of the trading band are gradually widened by 1% each month, evenly distributed across each day. Using this calculation method, the peso briefly reached 1,474.5 per dollar on Wednesday, exceeding the upper limit of 1,474.345. However, because Argentina's official trading system only allows quotes in 50-cent increments, the central bank rounds off the upper limit in its calculations, using 1,474.5 as the upper limit. From the central bank's perspective, the peso has not breached the band. Under the $20 billion agreement signed between Argentina and the IMF, if the upper limit is breached, the central bank, led by President Milley, can intervene directly in the market and sell dollars.

03:27:28

PayPal shares rose, with the latest increase reaching 2.7%, on news that Google and PayPal have reached a multi-year partnership to revolutionize the commerce sector.

03:26:24

The central banks of the Gulf countries followed the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. The Saudi Central Bank lowered the repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% and the reverse repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.15%. The Central Bank of Qatar lowered the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%. The Central Bank of Bahrain lowered the overnight deposit rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. The Central Bank of Kuwait lowered the discount rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%. The Central Bank of Oman lowered the repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%.

03:25:20

Key Points from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Speech: Inflation has risen recently and remains relatively high. This year's rise is primarily driven by rising commodity prices, and the overall impact of tariffs on inflation remains to be seen. The labor market faces downside risks, though its current situation is not entirely due to immigration, and demand has clearly slowed. Both hiring and firing rates are currently low, and when more vulnerable groups face difficulties finding jobs, it indicates a weakening labor market. He believes there is no need for a rapid interest rate adjustment, and the idea of a 50 basis point rate cut today did not receive widespread support. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is working to address the factors behind the revisions to employment data, and the annual employment data revisions are almost exactly in line with expectations. The data the Fed receives from the Bureau of Labor Statistics remains sufficient to meet job needs, but a higher response rate is needed to reduce data volatility. He welcomes the new members of the Committee. With the addition of Milan, the Committee remains committed to fulfilling its dual mandate and firmly committed to maintaining the independence of the Federal Reserve. Ten of the 19 policymakers expect two or more rate cuts for the remainder of the year, while another 10 expect fewer. There is no new information on plans to remain at the Federal Reserve, and commenting on Cook's lawsuit would be inappropriate.

03:25:16

JPMorgan Chase lowered its prime lending rate to 7.25% after the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points.

03:24:10

Powell said he did not see market participants taking into account the risks to the Fed's independence.

03:23:05

Google and PayPal have reached a multi-year partnership aimed at revolutionizing commerce.

03:23:05

Powell said that apart from this anomaly in the University of Michigan survey, long-term inflation expectations have remained very stable.

03:22:01

Powell said banks and households are in good shape, financial stability is mixed, and he did not see any increased structural vulnerabilities in the financial system.

03:20:57

Since the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the U.S. two-year Treasury yield has completely recovered its losses, rebounding above 3.54%, forming a sharp V-shaped reversal in the short term.

03:20:52

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that the Federal Reserve is focused on price stability and full employment goals, and will also monitor financial stability separately. The current financial stability situation is mixed.

03:20:51

Mexico's Ministry of Finance announced the completion of the capital injection and financing operations for Pemex, the Mexican state oil company.

03:19:47

Powell said they believe that after achieving employment and inflation goals, the "third mission" of achieving moderate interest rates will naturally be achieved.

03:19:46

Powell said there was no consideration of incorporating the "third duty" in a different way.

03:19:45

Powell said that the current default rate has not yet reached a level that is extremely worrying, but it still needs to be closely monitored.

03:18:41

Powell said they believe that reducing the balance sheet will not have an impact on the macroeconomy.

03:18:40

Powell said stable inflation and full employment are generally believed to lead to moderate long-term interest rates.

03:17:51

Powell cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, focusing on employment and inflation, while most officials remain cautious about easing Details>

03:17:37

Powell said they don't set mortgage rates, but rate cuts could help the real estate market and that rate changes would have to be large to have a significant impact on the housing market.

03:17:32

Powell said that it is extremely challenging to carry out forecasting work at present and it is difficult to have full confidence in the forecast results.

03:17:30

Powell said we are facing a national housing shortage.

03:17:28

Powell said that reserves remain ample in terms of the balance sheet.

03:17:27

Powell said he currently believes the balance sheet does not have a significant impact on the economy.

03:15:22

Powell said that typically, when the policy rate falls, mortgage rates tend to follow suit.

03:14:19

Powell said risks facing the labor market are a focus of today's decision.

03:14:17

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that the Fed has shifted its policy focus from inflation to the labor market.

03:14:03

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 45900.00 mark and was last at 45898.32, up 0.31% on the day.

03:13:23

Spot gold just broke through the $3,650.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,649.21/ounce, down 1.09% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,684.30/ounce, down 1.10% on the day.

03:13:15

Everyone has noticed the rapid decline in both supply and demand in the labor market, Powell said.

03:13:12

Powell said it was reassuring to see that economic activity and consumption remained strong.

03:12:10

Powell said the current economic situation is not bad, and from a policy perspective, it is difficult to determine what measures should be taken.

03:12:08

Powell said today's action had highly unanimous support.

03:12:06

Powell said close attention needs to be paid to two equally important goals.

03:11:02

Powell said the only way for voters to change the situation is to make a convincing argument based on data.

03:11:02

Powell said there was some passing on of tariffs to consumers, but the extent was smaller than expected.

03:11:00

Powell said they will do everything they can to use all the tools they can to achieve their goals.

03:10:59

Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economic research at Fitch, said the Federal Reserve is now fully supporting the labor market and has clearly signaled that it will enter a decisive and aggressive rate cut cycle in 2025. The message it conveys is very clear that growth and employment are the top priorities, even if it means tolerating higher inflation in the short term.

03:10:57

Powell said there is a general feeling that conditions in the labor market have changed.

03:10:54

Powell said it was widely recognized that new data showed significant downside risks to the labor market.

03:10:51

Powell said almost everyone wrote in support of the rate cut.

03:08:43

The Nasdaq index just broke through the 22,300.00 mark and was last at 22,300.21, down 0.15% on the day.

03:05:54

Powell said he believes goods inflation contributes 0.3 or 0.4 to personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation.

03:05:52

Powell said the tariffs are borne primarily by businesses that sit between exporters and consumers.

03:05:51

The Argentine peso depreciated by 1.68% in the unofficial market, trading at 1,490 pesos to the dollar, close to its all-time low set in July 2024.

03:05:49

Powell said there is no new progress on his plans to stay at the Fed.

03:04:46

Powell said goods inflation has been generally negative over the past 25 years and was 1.2% over the past year.

03:03:43

The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.31% at 26,829 points in the main overnight session, and the Hang Seng Tech Index closed down 0.35% at 6,309 points in the main overnight session.

03:03:41

Powell said that after previously announced staff cuts, staffing levels will remain stable over the next decade.

03:02:43

Powell said that expectations of future loose policies have emerged in financial markets.

03:02:39

Powell said he would not comment on anything said by U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson.

03:02:37

The S&P 500 narrowed its losses in volatile trading, with the latest decline being 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was last up 0.3%.

03:02:34

Powell said the layoffs may exceed the planned 10%.

03:02:02

The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 46,000.00 mark and was last at 46,001.73, up 0.53% on the day.

03:00:29

Powell said that there is a clear expectation in the financial market that future policies will be loose.

03:00:24

Powell said we will start by cutting interest rates by 25 basis points.

03:00:22

Powell said the labor market is cooling and he believes there is no need for it to cool further, but he also does not want the labor market to continue cooling.

03:00:20

Powell said it was unclear how much impact a 25 basis point rate cut would have, and that the overall trend and expectations of interest rates needed to be examined.

03:00:20

Powell said the market is pricing in an interest rate path, but did not endorse it.

03:00:18

According to data from Argentina's National Statistics Institute, the country's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 6.3% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025, compared with the 6.50% expected in a Reuters poll.

02:59:14

Powell said it was unclear whether a 25 basis point rate cut would have a huge impact.

02:59:13

Powell said it is necessary to examine the overall trajectory of interest rates and market expectations.

02:59:11

Powell said that if we see more vulnerable groups facing difficulties finding jobs, it means that the labor market is weakening.

02:58:09

Powell said they want to increase data response rates, and the way to achieve that is to give agencies enough resources to collect data.

02:58:07

Powell said there is a need to ensure federal statistical agencies have adequate resources.

02:58:06

Powell said they understand the current situation and will take appropriate action, and said that action has been taken today.

02:58:04

Powell said the Fed must look through the windshield, not the rearview mirror.

02:57:01

Powell said the Bureau of Labor Statistics is working hard to find solutions to the factors behind the revisions to employment data.

02:56:59

Powell said the data they get from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is still sufficient for their work needs.

02:56:56

Powell said the problem with the current data is the low response rate.

02:56:54

Powell said a higher response rate is needed to reduce volatility in the data.

02:55:50

Spot platinum fell 3% to $1,349.40 an ounce.

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Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3652.74	8.47 (0.23%)
XAG	42.195	0.402 (0.96%)
CONC	63.04	-0.22 (-0.35%)
OILC	67.27	-0.19 (-0.28%)
USD	97.405	0.049 (0.05%)
EURUSD	1.1775	-0.0010 (-0.08%)
GBPUSD	1.3532	-0.0023 (-0.17%)
USDCNH	7.1103	0.0037 (0.05%)

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