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2026-02-19 Thursday

2026-02-22

21:18:52

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2050.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2048.45/ounce, down 1.26% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2059.9/ounce, down 2.51% on the day.

21:17:12

[Walmart's Latest Earnings Report: Groceries and E-commerce Drive Growth, But Consumer Spending Becomes Cautious] ⑴ Walmart released its quarterly earnings report ending January 31 on Thursday, showing a 4.6% year-over-year increase in U.S. same-store sales and a 27% surge in online sales. The company continues to attract consumers across income levels, particularly high-income households, gaining more market share in grocery and fast online delivery. ⑵ New CEO John Furner has had a solid start. The company's stock price broke the $1 trillion market capitalization mark for the first time earlier this month. The advertising business, though still small, is growing rapidly and is highly profitable, becoming a new growth engine. ⑶ However, consumer spending is becoming more cautious, especially among low-income groups. Executives noted that the spending gap between high- and low-income households is widening slightly. Reductions in federal food assistance benefits have also dampened consumption among low-income groups. The earnings report shows that total merchandise sales growth has slowed, reflecting consumers prioritizing spending on necessities. ⑷ Regarding inflation, grocery prices rose less than 1% in the quarter, while general merchandise prices rose 3.2%, partly due to rising tariff costs. Walmart expects similar price trends in the current quarter. The company forecasts net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5% for the current fiscal year, below some analysts' expectations. Quarterly net sales were $190.7 billion, slightly exceeding expectations, but net income fell 19.4% to $4.2 billion, dragged down by losses on equity investments.

21:08:12

[Brazil's Economic Activity Expected to Grow by 2.5% in 2025, Agriculture Acts as Economic "Shock Absorber"] ⑴ Data released by the Central Bank of Brazil on Thursday showed that the country's economic activity index grew by 2.5% year-on-year in 2025, a slowdown from the previous year, but still exceeding initial expectations for the second consecutive year. Strong performance in the agricultural sector was a key support for the economy. ⑵ This index (IBC-Br) is widely regarded as a leading indicator of GDP, combining estimates of agriculture, industry, services, and production-related taxes. Excluding the robust 13.1% growth in agriculture, the index's growth in 2025 would fall to 1.8%. Official GDP data will be released on March 3. ⑶ A weekly survey of economists predicts GDP growth of 2.3% in 2025, down from 3.4% in 2024. This slowdown comes after the central bank ended its aggressive tightening cycle in July, with the benchmark Selic interest rate remaining at a near two-decade high of 15%. Policymakers have hinted at the start of an easing cycle next month. (4) In December, the seasonally adjusted IBC-Br index fell 0.2% month-on-month, less than the market expectation of 0.5%. The index rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in the fourth quarter, with all sectors except industry recording positive growth. Analysts point out that weak economic activity at the end of 2025 provides support for upcoming easing policies.

21:07:25

The Canadian Growth Fund announced it will invest up to $85 million with key strategic partners to acquire the Thompson Nickel Complex in Manitoba, focusing on key mineral resources.

21:06:46

Explosion in Santiago, Chile

21:02:39

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2060.00/oz mark, currently trading at $2059.90/oz, down 0.71% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2069.9/oz, down 2.04% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4980.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4979.54/oz, up 0.05% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4999.60/oz, down 0.20% on the day.

21:02:19

[USDA Outlook Forum: US Soybean Acreage Expected to Increase, Corn Acreage to Decrease in 2026] ⑴ The US Department of Agriculture released preliminary forecasts at its annual Outlook Forum on Thursday, predicting that US farmers will plant more soybeans and reduce corn acreage in 2026. Corn acreage is projected at 94 million acres, down from 98.8 million acres in 2025 (an 89-year high); soybean acreage is projected to increase to 85 million acres, up from 81.2 million acres last year. ⑵ Planting decisions face challenges due to low crop prices and rising input costs such as seeds and fertilizers. US agricultural income is projected to decline by 0.7%, although government payments are near record highs, expected to account for nearly 29% of producer income. Most Midwestern farmers rotate corn and soybeans to maintain soil health, but some flexible land can be adjusted based on profit expectations. ⑶ The USDA's corn acreage forecast is lower than the expected 94.9 million acres, while soybean acreage is higher than the expected 84.9 million acres. Analysts point out that after a record harvest in 2025, ample supply and low prices will curb corn planting, but strong exports and ethanol demand will limit the decline. (4) Soybean acreage is increasing, despite competition from trade tensions with China and a record Brazilian harvest. Strong domestic demand for soybean oil from renewable fuel producers continues to support prices.

21:00:05

Russia's gold and foreign exchange reserves for the week ending February 13

Previous : 7975 Forecast : -

Published Value 8061

20:58:48

0.7 Life-or-death crisis: Is the Australian dollar making a desperate comeback or on the eve of a collapse? Details>

20:58:06

ECB President Demarco: A sustained inflation rate below 2% may necessitate an interest rate cut. It remains to be seen whether the low inflation in January was a one-off event. Even if the euro/dollar exchange rate rises to 1.20-1.25, it's not the end of the world.

20:56:40

With negotiations stalled and military standoff escalating, crude oil prices continued their volatile upward trend. Details>

20:51:55

February 19th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

20:50:39

Caribbean Storm Resurfaces: Cuba Becomes a Geopolitical Pivot, Igniting Safe-Haven Sentiment for Gold Details>

20:47:06

[US-Iran Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand, Gold Prices Approach $5,000] ⑴ Gold prices continued their upward trend on Thursday, further approaching the $5,000 mark. The previous trading day saw a gain of over 2%, primarily driven by safe-haven flows triggered by ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. As of press time, spot gold was up 0.2% at $4,989.09 per ounce. ⑵ The White House stated on Wednesday that some progress had been made in the Iran talks held in Geneva this week, but significant differences remained between the two sides on some issues. Analysts pointed out that if the US takes military action against Iran, it could last for weeks, making geopolitical concerns a market focus. It is understood that the US National Security Advisor has been instructed that all military forces deployed to the Middle East should be in place by mid-March. ⑶ Meanwhile, investors are assessing the Federal Reserve's policy path. The minutes of the January meeting showed that policymakers were largely united on interest rates, but differed on the next steps: some officials were willing to support rate hikes if inflation remained high, while others preferred further rate cuts when inflation subsided. (4) The market will focus on today's initial jobless claims data and Friday's personal consumption expenditures report for policy clues. The market currently expects the first rate cut this year to occur in June.

20:40:11

[US Pressures NATO Allies to Block Ukraine and Four Asia-Pacific Countries from Participating in Formal Ankara Summit] ⑴ According to a Politico report on Thursday, four NATO diplomats revealed that the United States is pressuring its allies not to invite Ukraine to the formal NATO summit to be held in Ankara, Turkey, on July 7-8. This move would significantly limit Kyiv's role at this important NATO leaders' meeting. ⑵ At the same time, the United States also opposes inviting four Asia-Pacific partner countries—Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and South Korea—to the formal summit agenda. These five countries may only be able to participate in some lower-level side events, according to reports. ⑶ Diplomats stated that the US position reflects its desire to control the scope of participation in the summit, focusing the core agenda on existing member states. Ukraine has long sought to strengthen its relationship with NATO and eventually join the alliance. ⑷ Currently, NATO allies are conducting internal discussions regarding the US proposal. The final decision will affect the level of strategic interaction between Ukraine and the four Asia-Pacific countries with NATO.

20:33:56

[20 Million Barrels of Oil Hang in the Balance: Strait of Hormuz Becomes Focus of US-Iran Standoff, Oil Prices Plunge] ⑴ Approximately 20 million barrels of oil pass through the Strait of Hormuz daily, equivalent to nearly one-fifth of global oil demand. This deep-water channel between Iran and Oman has become the focus of the US-Iran standoff and a key driver of the recent surge in oil prices. ⑵ Analysts point out that disrupting tanker traffic or completely closing the strait are possible ways Iran might retaliate against US strikes. Earlier this week, Iranian state media announced that the strait would be partially closed due to "security precautions." Brent crude rose more than 1% on Thursday, climbing from below $60 in early January to above $70. ⑶ The US has amassed its strongest air force in the Gulf region since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, and its navy has deployed 13 ships in the Middle East and the Eastern Mediterranean. Although the US and Iran held talks in Geneva this week, with the White House claiming "some progress," the two sides "remain significantly different." Iran is expected to present more detailed proposals in the coming weeks. (4) In 2024, nearly 40% of the crude oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz came from Saudi Arabia. Although Saudi Arabia has pipelines bypassing the strait, there is no alternative route for most of the oil passing through this waterway. Of the daily throughput, about three-quarters is crude oil and one-quarter is refined petroleum products, with Iran itself exporting about 1.5 million barrels per day.

20:31:54

[Japanese Government Bond Futures Trade in Narrow Range; Ultra-Long-Term Non-New Issuance Bonds Strengthen Supported by Draft Accounting Standards] ⑴ On Thursday, Japanese government bond futures fluctuated within a narrow range throughout the day, with the 20-year bond auction failing to provide a clear direction for the market. Futures opened at 132.31, down 17 basis points from the previous day, but subsequently rebounded supported by the resilience of spot bonds. The 10-year yield rose only 1 basis point to 2.145%. ⑵ The 20-year government bond auction was successfully completed, representing an additional issuance of the currently newly issued JL195. The auction results were mixed: the stop yield was 2.979%, 1.1 basis points higher than the previous close. The subscription multiple was 3.08 times, lower than last month's 3.19 times and the average of 3.54 times across six auctions. Some believe that the auction attracted robust demand despite yields below 3%, performing better than expected; however, others argue that the decline in the subscription multiple indicates weakening demand. ⑶ Ultra-long-term non-new issuance bonds performed particularly strongly. Non-newly issued bonds with maturities around 25 years continued to receive buying support, mainly boosted by the draft accounting standards released by the Japan Institute of Certified Public Accountants on Tuesday. The market believes that if the draft is finalized, the necessity for life insurance companies to write down bonds when their prices fall to half of their purchase price will decrease. As a result, the yield on non-newly issued bonds maturing in December 2051 fell by as much as 10 basis points during the day. (4) Traders pointed out that the sharp fluctuations in 30-year non-newly issued bonds were mainly due to insufficient liquidity and traders' unwillingness to hold positions. One trader stated that these bonds are highly volatile and lack effective hedging tools, resulting in low trading interest.

20:22:07

[US Treasury Yields Rise Against the Trend, Geopolitical Tensions Fails to Alleviate Supply Concerns] ⑴ On Thursday, despite escalating geopolitical tensions and Iran's preparations for a potential US attack, US Treasury yields rose across the board. As of press time, the 2-year yield was 3.47%, the 10-year yield was 4.096%, and the 2s-10s spread remained at 62.4 basis points. Market focus shifted from safe-haven demand to supply pressures and expectations for Federal Reserve policy. ⑵ In overnight headlines, Timothy Rausch of the Wall Street Journal noted that the minutes of the Fed's January meeting showed policymakers were "not very interested" in cutting interest rates, with some officials favoring more neutral language to counter expectations of rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office predicted that the US federal debt-to-GDP ratio would surpass 100% this year. ⑶ The situation in the Middle East continues to escalate. The WSJ reported that the US has amassed its strongest air force in the Gulf since the 2003 Iraq War, preparing to take action against Iran, but Trump has not yet decided whether to order a strike. The Financial Times pointed out that oil prices have already factored in the Iranian risk premium, but this assumes no supply disruptions. (4) Today's data is plentiful: Initial jobless claims, December trade balance, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and pending home sales will be released. Federal Reserve officials Bostic, Bowman, and Kashkari will each deliver speeches. The Treasury will also auction 30-year TIPS and announce the issuance sizes of 2/5/7-year Treasury bonds next week.

20:21:18

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2060.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $2059.70/oz, down 0.72% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2077.2/oz, down 1.69% on the day.

20:20:48

New York cocoa futures prices fell more than 4% to $3,163 per metric ton.

20:18:33

[USDA Outlook Forum: US Corn Planting Area Expected to Decline in 2026, Soybean Planting to Expand] ⑴ The US Department of Agriculture released preliminary forecasts at its annual Outlook Forum on Thursday, projecting that US corn planting area in 2026 will be 94 million acres, a decrease of approximately 4.9% from 98.8 million acres in 2025. Soybean planting area is projected at 85 million acres, higher than 81.2 million acres in 2025. Wheat planting area is projected at 45 million acres, slightly lower than last year's 45.3 million acres. ⑵ In terms of production, the USDA projects corn production for 2026/27 at 15.755 billion bushels, significantly lower than the 17.021 billion bushels in 2025/26; the yield is projected at 183.0 bushels per acre, lower than last year's 186.5 bushels. Soybean production is projected at 4.45 billion bushels, up from 4.262 billion bushels last year; yield is projected to remain unchanged at 53 bushels per acre. Wheat production is projected at 1.86 billion bushels, down from 1.985 billion bushels last year. (3) Ending Stocks Forecast: Corn ending stocks for 2026/27 are projected at 1.837 billion bushels, down from 2.127 billion bushels last year; soybean ending stocks are projected at 355 million bushels, slightly up from 350 million bushels last year; wheat ending stocks are projected at 933 million bushels, roughly unchanged from 931 million bushels last year. (4) Regarding prices, the USDA projects the average price of corn in 2026/27 to be $4.20 per bushel, up from $4.10 in 2025/26; the average price of soybeans to be $10.30, up from $10.20 last year; and the average price of wheat to be $5.00, up from $4.90 last year. Furthermore, the USDA also forecasts that beef exports will decline by 6% and pork production will increase by nearly 3% in 2026.

20:08:13

The euro/dollar pair has likely bottomed out in the short term, and a recovery is expected. Details>

20:04:09

King Charles III of the United Kingdom: The law must proceed according to its procedures. It is inappropriate to comment further on this matter. Meanwhile, my family and I will continue to fulfill our duties and serve all people.

20:03:39

Mexico's total gold production in December was 5,615 kilograms.

20:03:34

The euro just touched the 182.00 level against the yen, and is currently trading at 182.00, down 0.20% on the day.

20:00:32

Brazil's IBC-BR Economic Activity Index monthly rate for December

Previous : 0.70% Forecast : -0.50%

Published Value -0.20%

19:59:46

ECB Vice President Guindos: ECB President Lagarde is fully focused on her work.

19:57:44

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Member Mann: Food inflation is a key factor in my decision-making.

19:56:11

According to Ukraine's Interfax news agency on the 19th, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy said after the trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine in Geneva that the trilateral talks held in Switzerland were "a good thing," and that Ukraine looks forward to holding the next round of talks this month.

19:55:46

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann: Inflation is expected to reach 2% in the next three to four months. Commodity inflation has fallen more than expected.

19:55:39

ECB Vice President Guindos: Growth risks are balanced; the main danger lies in geopolitics.

19:52:01

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2060.00/oz mark, currently trading at $2058.15/oz, down 0.79% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2073.6/oz, down 1.86% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4980.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4979.93/oz, up 0.05% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4999.60/oz, down 0.20% on the day.

19:51:20

[UK Office for National Statistics Cuts Some Reports to Focus on Improving Core Data Quality] ⑴ The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) announced on Thursday that it will cut some publications as part of a plan aimed at fixing long-standing quality issues with the release of core data. By 2026, the agency plans to reduce the number of reports published by approximately 10% to allow resources to be focused on prioritizing critical statistical work. ⑵ Specific adjustments include: reducing work on health surveys, terminating statistics related to the nighttime economy, and suspending the release of quarterly greenhouse gas emissions data. The ONS Permanent Secretary stated, "Making the difficult decision to cut the number of publications is crucial to restoring the quality of core statistics." ⑶ This adjustment comes against the backdrop of low response rates to the Labour Force Survey in 2023, which is used to calculate the UK unemployment rate and other key employment market indicators. The survey is currently undergoing a comprehensive reform. ⑷ The Bank of England typically uses ONS Labour Force data as an important reference for interest rate decisions. Governor Bailey has described the deterioration in data quality as a "major" problem. This "cutting off an arm to save a life" approach reflects the statistical agency's determination to prioritize the credibility of core data under resource constraints.

19:38:47

BBC: Former Prince Andrew arrested in connection with Epstein investigation

19:35:10

The US dollar and gold rose simultaneously in a rare manner. Is gold's momentum at full strength or just the last gasp? Details>

19:28:38

[UK Industrial Orders Remain Weak in February, Price Pressures Remain High] ⑴ Data released by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) on Thursday showed that the industrial orders index for February was -28, slightly higher than January's -30, but still well below the long-term average of -14. This indicates continued weak demand for manufacturing orders in the UK. ⑵ Regarding price pressures, the expected price index for February was +26, a slight decrease from the high of +29 reached in January, the highest level since February 2023, but still at a high level. February 2023 coincides with the energy price shock to the UK following the Russia-Ukraine war. ⑶ The UK manufacturing sector accounts for approximately 9% of UK economic output and is currently facing multiple challenges, including soaring energy costs, the impact of Trump's trade tariffs, and high interest rates. A senior economist at the CBI noted that many businesses reported that customers remained cautious due to a lack of confidence and significant cost pressures. ⑷ The survey was based on responses from 305 manufacturing companies received between January 26 and February 12. The continued weakness in industrial orders and the persistent price pressures add complexity to the Bank of England's future policy path.

19:28:22

According to Yonhap News Agency on January 19, a fuel tank leak occurred at the US military base in Gunsan, South Korea on January 26, with the leak exceeding 11,000 gallons (approximately 41,600 liters).

19:28:12

French President Macron: Will discuss social media with US President Trump

19:26:34

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2070.00/oz mark, and is currently trading at $2069.90/oz, down 0.23% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2084.3/oz, down 1.35% on the day.

19:17:37

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann: Core inflation is not as good as we had hoped. It is difficult to judge whether the 2% inflation rate that may appear in the coming months is sustainable.

19:17:11

Spot silver has just broken through the $78.00/oz mark, currently trading at $77.99/oz, up 1.08% on the day; COMEX silver futures are currently trading at $77.91/oz, up 0.40% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4980.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4979.25/oz, up 0.04% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5000.90/oz, down 0.17% on the day.

19:12:24

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann: We are gradually approaching the critical point where monetary policy strikes a balance between the inflation target and full employment.

19:08:14

Analysis of the three major currency pairs: US dollar under pressure, Australian dollar leads gains, Japanese yen fluctuates. Details>

19:01:01

The difference in CBI industrial output expectations for the UK in February

Previous : 29 Forecast : -

Published Value 26

19:00:02

The difference in CBI industrial orders for the UK in February

Previous : -30 Forecast : -

Published Value -28

18:47:50

Investment management firm Aviva Investors has upgraded its stance on Japanese government bonds from long-term "short" to "neutral." It anticipates the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates twice.

18:45:46

Two sources said that Gunvor Group founder John Tornquist has lent more than $4 billion to employees for a management buyout. Gunvor Group is valued at approximately $5 billion.

18:45:32

[Today Sets New Record for Single-Day Passenger Flow Since the Start of Spring Festival Travel Rush: Migrant Workers Begin Return Journey] According to the Ministry of Transport, the total cross-regional passenger flow today is expected to exceed 339 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, setting a new single-day record since the start of this year's Spring Festival travel rush. On the third day of the Lunar New Year, the first "customized high-speed rail" after the holiday departed from Ji'an, Jiangxi, carrying 415 skilled workers to Suzhou. Migrant worker travel to Chengdu, Fuyang, and other places started early, with stations adding temporary trains to Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen. The national railway is expected to transport 13.4 million passengers today, with 747 additional passenger trains planned. The national highway traffic volume is expected to exceed 60 million vehicles today, with heavy traffic on the Hunan section of the Xu-Guang Expressway, the Jiangsu section of the Beijing-Shanghai Expressway, and the Sichuan section of the Chengdu-Bazhong Expressway. Commuter buses connecting stations, airports, and tourist attractions are operating at increased frequency to facilitate passenger transfers. The national civil aviation is expected to transport 2.55 million passengers today, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, with 19,237 flights operated. (CCTV News)

18:30:39

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2070.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2069.95/ounce, down 0.23% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2085.0/ounce, down 1.32% on the day.

18:14:56

[Renewed Geopolitical Tensions Pressure Emerging Markets' Stocks and Currencies] ⑴ On Thursday, most emerging market currencies weakened slightly due to escalating global geopolitical tensions, while stock markets remained largely unchanged. The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index fell 0.2%, hitting a more than one-week low; the stock market index was flat. ⑵ With most Asian markets closed this week for the Lunar New Year holiday, emerging market assets generally traded within a range. However, while progress was seen in the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, differences remain, and the market has not ruled out the possibility of military action. Rabobank strategists warned that if the US launches an attack after Friday's close, it could trigger sharp market volatility, potentially causing oil and LNG prices to surge. ⑶ Regarding the Russia-Ukraine peace talks, two days of negotiations yielded no breakthroughs. The Ukrainian president expressed dissatisfaction with the results, while the US claimed to have made "meaningful progress." The differing positions of the parties lead analysts to believe that a reconciliation is unlikely in the short term. Ukrainian international bonds stabilized on Thursday after falling by more than 1 cent in the previous trading day. ⑷ The Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed that policymakers were in no hurry to cut interest rates, which initially supported the dollar, but the dollar index ultimately closed down 0.1%. The South African rand fell 0.6%, marking its fourth consecutive day of decline; the Turkish lira held steady, while its stock market fell 1.7%; South Korean stocks surged over 3% to a record closing high, boosted by technology stocks. The Philippine central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, while the Indonesian central bank held rates steady, with both currencies showing little reaction.

18:13:52

[Lagarde Hints at Resignation Not Imminent, But Independence Questions Remain] ⑴ Four sources revealed that European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has sent private messages to her colleagues, indicating that she remains focused on her duties and will inform them first if she decides to step down. Recipients generally interpret this as Lagarde not resigning in the short term. An ECB spokesperson declined to comment. ⑵ The Financial Times previously reported that Lagarde plans to step down before next year's French presidential election to allow outgoing President Macron to participate in the selection of a new governor. Current polls suggest that the Eurosceptic far-right party is likely to win. ⑶ Some policymakers were surprised by this rumor, as there is still more than a year until the 2027 French elections and the end of Lagarde's term next October. The Governor of the Bank of France announced his early resignation last week to make room for Macron to appoint a successor. ⑷ The ECB believes that the series of actions in France are aimed at ensuring that whoever wins the election will elect a competent and independent central bank governor. However, the far-right National Rally condemned the move as "anti-democratic." Sources indicate that if Lagarde resigns prematurely to strip Macron's successor of his voice, her own independence will also be questioned.

18:06:44

Eurozone construction output monthly rate in December

Previous : -1.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.88%

18:03:23

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2070.00/oz mark, currently trading at $2069.95/oz, down 0.23% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2086.6/oz, down 1.24% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4990.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4989.64/oz, up 0.25% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5012.20/oz, up 0.05% on the day.

18:03:20

Eurozone construction output monthly rate in December

Previous : -1.10% Forecast : -

Published Value -1.10%

18:03:11

Annual rate of construction output in the eurozone in December

Previous : -0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value -0.90%

17:59:10

[Middle East crude oil benchmark Dubai rises for fifth consecutive day, driven by strong demand from Total and Mercuria] ⑴ On Thursday, the price of Dubai crude oil, the Middle East benchmark, rose for the fifth consecutive trading day, mainly supported by strong demand from Total Energy and Mercuria. The two companies purchased a total of 106 shipments in Dubai swap transactions on the day, resulting in the French energy giant receiving three shipments and a European trader receiving one physical shipment. ⑵ The Singapore oil market was closed on Tuesday and Wednesday for the Lunar New Year holiday, but trading was active after resuming today. The premium of Dubai spot to swaps rose to $1.09 per barrel, up 5 cents from Monday's close. ⑶ In terms of trading dynamics, Shell will deliver one shipment of Upper Zakum crude oil each for April loading to Mercuria and Total Energy, while Total will also receive one shipment of Oman crude oil from Vitol. Phillips 66 will deliver one shipment of Dubai crude oil for April loading to Total. ⑷ In terms of tenders, India's MRPL has issued a tender seeking to purchase up to 2 million barrels of crude oil, with the tender closing on February 18. The company purchased Kissange and Mostada crude oil from ExxonMobil in its last tender. Furthermore, data shows that the share of Russian crude oil in India's imports has fallen to its lowest level since the end of 2022, while the share of Middle Eastern crude oil has risen to its highest level in the same period. China's imports of Russian crude oil in February are expected to climb to a new high for the third consecutive month.

17:58:03

[Trump Warms Up State of the Union Address: Trade Deficit to Turn Positive for the First Time in Decades] ⑴ The White House Press Office announced that US President Trump will deliver his State of the Union address to the Senate and House of Representatives on February 24. Trump himself indicated that he will focus on economic issues. ⑵ Regarding trade, Trump claimed that the US trade deficit has decreased by 78% due to tariff measures and predicted that it will turn positive this year for the first time in decades. This statement suggests that his trade policy may be further escalated. ⑶ The Gaza reconstruction issue has surfaced. According to US media reports, Trump's "Peace Committee" will pledge $5 billion for Gaza reconstruction, and JPMorgan Chase is in talks to provide banking services to the committee. ⑷ On military and diplomatic fronts, CBS News reported that senior national security officials have informed Trump that the military may launch an attack on Iran as early as Saturday. Trump also criticized Britain for returning sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius and hinted that if Iran does not reach an agreement, he may use US military bases on the main island of the archipelago. (5) Domestically, Trump signed an executive order, pursuant to the Defense Production Act, to ensure an adequate supply of elemental phosphorus and glyphosate herbicides. Meanwhile, 17 environmental organizations have filed lawsuits seeking to revoke greenhouse gas hazard designations.

17:57:28

Accounting magic or a delaying tactic? Unveiling the "hidden bomb" behind the yen's exchange rate. Details>

17:43:57

[Sweden's Central Bank Reduces Securities Holdings, Takes Measures to Optimize Bank Liquidity Management] ⑴ The Swedish central bank stated on Thursday that liquidity in the banking system is declining as the central bank reduces its holdings of Swedish securities. This trend is part of the central bank's gradual exit from unconventional monetary policies. ⑵ To address the challenges posed by declining liquidity, the Swedish central bank announced measures to facilitate banks' daily liquidity management. The new measures aim to help banks better plan and manage their daily funding positions. ⑶ The central bank emphasized that these measures are intended to enable banks to adapt more smoothly to changes in the liquidity environment and ensure the normal functioning of the money market. ⑷ The Swedish central bank's actions reflect an adjustment in the interaction pattern between the central bank and financial institutions under the backdrop of quantitative tightening. The market will focus on the subsequent evolution of liquidity conditions and further use of the central bank's policy tools.

17:36:21

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2080.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2079.95/ounce, up 0.26% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2096.0/ounce, down 0.80% on the day.

17:35:15

Italy's current account for December

Previous : -15.94 Forecast : -

Published Value 31.09

17:33:13

[US-Iran Tensions Impact LNG Shipping, European Gas Prices Jump] ⑴ On Thursday, wholesale gas prices in the Netherlands and the UK surged, primarily driven by concerns that escalating US-Iran tensions could disrupt liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments. Data showed that near-month natural gas futures contracts at the Dutch TTF hub rose €3.25 to €32.70 per megawatt-hour. ⑵ Iran issued an aviation notice on Thursday announcing plans for rocket launches in several southern regions, while the US has deployed warships in the vicinity. Despite talks held in Geneva on Tuesday, the US indicated significant differences remain. Analysts at ING pointed out that Middle East geopolitical risks are pushing up gas prices, with the market particularly concerned about potential disruptions to LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a key export route for Qatar, the world's second-largest supplier. ⑶ However, weather forecasts indicate that Europe will experience milder weather starting this weekend, somewhat alleviating the upward pressure from geopolitical factors. Current EU gas storage inventory levels are 32.5%, lower than 43.3% at the same time last year. (4) In response to rising energy costs, the Italian government approved a measure on Wednesday aimed at limiting the price difference between domestic natural gas and the TTF benchmark. In the carbon market, benchmark contract prices rose slightly to €71.65 per tonne, finding support around €70 after last week's sharp sell-off.

17:32:31

U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: In the coming year, we will use all available pressure tactics to push the International Energy Agency away from its net-zero agenda.

17:29:40

Spot gold has just broken through the $5,000.00/ounce mark, currently trading at $4,999.82/ounce, up 0.45% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5,019.50/ounce, up 0.20% on the day.

17:28:11

US Energy Secretary Wright: Europe has gone astray in energy investment.

17:26:21

The Central Bank of Rwanda set its key repurchase rate at 7.25%.

17:25:40

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's chief of staff: We have already released strategic oil reserves. If Ukraine continues to block oil shipments through the Friendship Pipeline, we will take measures. We are considering suspending electricity and gas exports to Ukraine.

17:25:24

The eurozone's current account remained unadjusted seasonally in December

Previous : 125.70 Forecast : -

Published Value 345.77

17:25:20

The seasonally adjusted current account of the eurozone for December

Previous : 85.72 Forecast : -

Published Value 145.70

17:25:01

Sources say that after responding to reports of an early resignation, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde told colleagues that she remains focused on her work. This does not mean she is about to resign, but the possibility of resignation remains. If she were to resign, she would inform them immediately.

17:24:30

Spot gold has just broken through the $5010.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $5009.72/ounce, up 0.65% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $5029.80/ounce, up 0.41% on the day.

17:04:15

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2090.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $2089.05/ounce, up 0.70% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $2104.2/ounce, down 0.41% on the day.

17:02:41

[ING: Dollar Remains Under Pressure, But Trade Data May Provide Short-Term Support] ⑴ Turner, Global Head of Markets at ING, stated that the dollar remains under pressure overall, but may find some support in the short term. Market focus is shifting from the labor market to inflation data. ⑵ Turner pointed out that inflation data needs to continue declining to validate the current currency market's expectation of two rate cuts this year. If the rate cut expectation materializes, lower interest rates will reduce the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets to some foreign investors. ⑶ Today's market focus will be on the December trade balance data. Turner believes that if the December trade deficit is lower than expected, it will enhance market optimism regarding tomorrow's fourth-quarter GDP data and may provide short-term support for the dollar. ⑷ As of press time, the dollar index fell 0.1% to 97.62. The market is awaiting trade and GDP data to further assess the dollar's trajectory. Any better-than-expected economic data could temporarily alleviate the dollar's weakness.

17:01:26

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Lead

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:24

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Main NASAAC aluminum alloys

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:22

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Nickel

Previous : -24 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:20

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Tin

Previous : -10 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:18

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Cobalt

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:16

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Primary aluminum

Previous : -2000 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:12

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Copper

Previous : 3025 Forecast : -

Published Value 925

17:01:06

LME Daily inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Zinc

Previous : -25 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:01:01

LME Daily Inventory changes in the UK on February 19th - Aluminum Alloy

Previous : 0 Forecast : -

Published Value 0

17:00:19

Why is the dollar failing to rise despite the Federal Reserve saying it's "in no hurry to cut interest rates"? Details>

16:46:57

[Fed Minutes Confirm "Exchange Rate Inquiry," ING: Dollar Weakening Aligns with Washington's Inclination] ⑴ ING's foreign exchange strategist, Turner, released a report on Wednesday stating that the newly released Federal Reserve meeting minutes further confirm the Trump administration's view that it does not mind a weaker dollar. The minutes show that the New York Fed, on behalf of the US Treasury, inquired about the dollar-yen exchange rate last month. ⑵ Turner points out that this move reflects a shared desire in the US and Japan not to allow the dollar to continue appreciating above 160 yen. The exchange rate inquiry itself is a policy communication signal. ⑶ Against this backdrop, the divergence between the Fed's rate cut expectations and the Bank of Japan's rate hike prospects will jointly put pressure on the dollar. Turner believes that asset management companies should be very interested in selling dollars in the 156-158 yen range. ⑷ As of press time, the dollar-yen exchange rate was basically unchanged at 154.81. The release of the Fed minutes provides new clues for the market to understand Washington's attitude towards exchange rates, and the tendency for a weaker dollar may have a lasting impact on major currency pairs.

16:46:06

[Global Government Bond Yield Spread Map: US and German 10-Year Yield Spread Exceeds 130 Basis Points, UK and Australia Continue to Lead High Yields] ⑴ Data released on Thursday showed that the divergence in yields among major global government bonds continued. For example, the 10-year yield on German government bonds was 2.764%, low among major economies, only higher than Denmark (2.618%), Sweden (2.669%), and Japan (2.144%). ⑵ In the high-yield camp, the yield on Australian 10-year government bonds reached 4.795%, 203.1 basis points higher than Germany; the UK 10-year yield was 4.396%, a spread of 163.2 basis points; the US 10-year yield was 4.107%, 134.3 basis points lower than Germany. ⑶ Observing the 2-year yield, the spread was even more pronounced. The yield on German 2-year government bonds was 2.059%, while the yield on Australian 2-year bonds was as high as 4.271%, a spread of 221.3 basis points. The UK's 2-year yield was 3.591%, 153.2 basis points higher than Germany's; the US's 2-year yield was 3.491%, with a spread of 143.3 basis points. (4) Using the US as a benchmark, its 2-year yield of 3.491% was lower than Australia's 4.271%, but significantly higher than economies such as Japan (1.257%) and Germany (2.059%). For the 10-year maturity, the US yield of 4.107% was also lower than Australia and the UK, but still maintained a significant interest rate advantage relative to Germany, France, and Japan. The UK became the only major economy to maintain a positive interest rate spread against the US on both the 2-year and 10-year maturities.

16:45:13

Airbus CEO: We will support two fighter jet options if customers have a strong demand for them.

16:42:00

An $88.4 billion exodus? As US Treasury buyers become more "calculating," how long can the dollar remain stable? Details>

16:41:44

Why have gold prices fluctuated so much recently? Details>

16:41:29

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $66.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $66.01/barrel, up 1.48% on the day.

16:38:38

Airbus CEO: Scale in the defense sector can only be achieved through cooperation.

16:37:18

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2100.00/ounce mark, last trading at $2099.60/ounce, up 1.20% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $2114.2/ounce, up 0.06% on the day.

16:36:02

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has established a framework for extending its liquidity support program. A standardized and scalable process has been developed for the ELF program, which will enable participating banks to quickly access collateralized liquidity support when necessary.

16:30:27

[China Development Bank Issues Over 360 Billion Yuan in Highway Infrastructure Loans in 2025] In 2025, the China Development Bank actively supported the strengthening and upgrading of the national comprehensive three-dimensional transportation network, assisting in the intelligent and green upgrading of highways across the country and improving their safety. It also explored supporting the integrated development and upgrading of highway service areas with related industries. The bank issued over 360 billion yuan in highway infrastructure loans throughout the year, a year-on-year increase of 10%. Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the China Development Bank's financing coverage for 102 major highway projects has exceeded 65%. (CCTV News)

16:28:06

Spot platinum has just broken through the $2110.00/oz mark, last trading at $2110.40/oz, up 1.72% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $2122.0/oz, up 0.43% on the day.

16:27:26

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung: An investigation will be conducted into the current wage security situation for local government environmental beautification workers.

16:18:49

The chairman of the Japan Bankers Association believes there is a high probability that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates as early as March or April.

16:12:23

[Energy Landscape Shifts: Central and Eastern Europe Suspends Diesel Exports, Russian Drilling Drops to Three-Year Low] ⑴ Hungary and Slovakia announced a suspension of diesel exports to Ukraine, potentially impacting Ukraine's fuel supply. Meanwhile, Slovakia released 250,000 tons of oil reserves to prepare for supply disruptions. ⑵ Russian oil drilling activity has slowed, with drilling volume in 2025 expected to fall to its lowest level in three years. India imported 1.1 million barrels per day of Russian oil in January, the lowest since November 2022, indicating a cooling demand for Russian oil in the Asian market. ⑶ The Italian cabinet approved a decree to reduce energy costs to ease the burden on businesses and residents. Angola lowered its April crude oil export plan to 28 shipments, down from 35 in March. ⑷ In the mining sector, Rio Tinto reiterated its 2026 copper production target of 800,000-870,000 tons, with copper accounting for 85% of its exploration budget. Glencore reached a land agreement with the Democratic Republic of Congo to increase copper production. India has removed margin requirements for gold and silver futures and begun negotiations with the United States on cooperation in key minerals. Indonesia and the United States signed agreements totaling $38.4 billion covering energy, agriculture, technology, and other sectors.

16:08:29

Singapore's intermediate distillate fuel inventories for the week ended February 18

Previous : 932.60 Forecast : -

Published Value 810.80

16:08:23

The remaining oil inventory in Singapore as of the week ending February 18

Previous : 2270 Forecast : -

Published Value 2251.90

16:08:12

Total fuel inventories in Singapore for the week ended February 18

Previous : 5000.40 Forecast : -

Published Value 5010.10

18

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	5098.85	103.02 (2.06%)
XAG	84.227	5.873 (7.50%)
CONC	66.31	-0.09 (-0.14%)
OILC	71.58	-0.31 (-0.44%)
USD	97.807	-0.045 (-0.05%)
EURUSD	1.1785	0.0012 (0.10%)
GBPUSD	1.3484	0.0021 (0.16%)
USDCNH	6.8955	-0.0024 (-0.04%)

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